developing the capital plan is only half the battle...western connecticut state university western...
TRANSCRIPT
Western Connecticut State UniversityWestern Oregon University
Westfield State UniversityWidener University
Williams CollegeWorcester Polytechnic Institute
Worcester State UniversityXavier University
Yale University
Developing the Capital Plan is only Half the Battle
Adam Gogolski, Account Manager, Sightlines
April 27, 2018
OACUBO 2018
© 2017 Sightlines, LLC. All Rights Reserved.2
Agenda and Introduction
Challenges Facing Higher Education
What happened to put us in this position?
What are forward-thinking institutional leaders doing to turn it around?
Discussion
Adam Gogolski – Account Manager
• Worked on over 80 campuses in 25 states during his 7-year tenure at Sightlines
• 5 of which were flagship institutions, 2 in the Big Ten
• Graduated with BS degrees in Industrial Engineering and Economics from the University of Pittsburgh
© 2017 Sightlines, LLC. All Rights Reserved.3
Higher Education is in a Financial Crisis
63%
2015 2016 2017
71%56%
Percentage of Chief Business Officers saying media reports that higher education is in the midst of a financial crisis are accurate
Source: Inside Higher Ed, https://www.insidehighered.com/news/survey/survey-finds-business-officers-increasingly-considering-more-painful-options
© 2017 Sightlines, LLC. All Rights Reserved.4
Challenges Facing Higher Education
Changes inEnrollment
Changing SpaceNeeds
Limited Operations (No economy of
scale)
Separate Data Sets, Disconnected
Networks
Too Many Firesto Put Out
Difficulty MeasuringProgress
Trying to Balance Strategic Initiatives with
Current Challenges
Missing Link Between Facilities
& Finance
Pressed for Timeand Bandwidth
More Challenges than Funding
© 2017 Sightlines, LLC. All Rights Reserved.5
How Do We Protect ALL of Our Assets?
Average Endowment
Average Building Replacement Value
5x
© 2017 Sightlines, LLC. All Rights Reserved.6
What Does Sightlines Do?
43States+DC
90%Memberretention
335+ROPA
Members
450Colleges &
Universities
170New members
since 2013
5Canadianprovinces
State & University Systems
• Alaska• California• Florida• Hawaii• Maine
• Massachusetts• Minnesota• Mississippi• Missouri• Nebraska
• New Hampshire• New Jersey• Ohio• Pennsylvania• Texas• Washington
© 2017 Sightlines, LLC. All Rights Reserved.7
Students are Coming Back to Higher Ed
0%
2%
4%
6%
8%
10%
12%
2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016
% G
row
th
Fiscal Year
Space Growth vs. Enrollment Growth
Space Growth Enrollment Growth
© 2017 Sightlines, LLC. All Rights Reserved.8
Not All Institutions Have Been Impacted Evenly
-2%
0%
2%
4%
6%
8%
10%
12%
14%
16%
2007 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 2007 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 2007 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
% G
row
th s
ince
20
07
Fiscal Year
Space Growth vs. Enrollment Growth
Space Growth Enrollment Growth
Baccalaureate Master’s Research
© 2017 Sightlines, LLC. All Rights Reserved.9
Buildings Were Constructed in Two Eras
0%
2%
4%
6%
8%
10%
12%
% o
f C
on
stru
cted
Sp
ace
First WaveDriver: Enrollment
Growth
Second WaveDrivers: Program and Enrollment
Growth
0%
5%
10%
15%
20%
25%
30%
% o
f C
on
stru
cted
Sp
ace
© 2017 Sightlines, LLC. All Rights Reserved.10
The Major Funding Challenge is Still to Come
Wave 1: 1960-1980 35% of total GSF
Wave 2: 1995-201538% of total GSF
Wave 1Needs
Wave 2Needs
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New Construction Projects Have Slowed
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%
2007 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 2007 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 2007 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
% G
SF
Renovation Age by Category
Total Under 10 Total 10 to 25 Total 25 to 50 Total Over 50
Baccalaureate Master’s Research
Low Risk Medium Risk High Risk End of Life
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Operating Resources Have Not Kept Pace with Inflation
$0.00
$1.00
$2.00
$3.00
$4.00
$5.00
$6.00
$/G
SF
Operating Resources by Constituent Group
Daily Service PM
Baccalaureate Master’s Research
19% increase over 2007 9% increase over 2007 9% increase over 2007
Inflation over this time period is roughly 33.5%
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Capital Reinvestment Has Fallen Short of Needs
$4.2 $3.4 $3.6
0.0
1.0
2.0
3.0
4.0
5.0
6.0
7.0
2007-2009 2010-2012 2013-2016
$/
GSF
Baccalaureate
$4.1 $3.8 $3.9
0.0
1.0
2.0
3.0
4.0
5.0
6.0
7.0
2007-2009 2010-2012 2013-2016
$/
GSF
Master’s
$4.1 $4.1 $4.7
0.0
1.0
2.0
3.0
4.0
5.0
6.0
7.0
2007-2009 2010-2012 2013-2016
$/
GSF
Research
Sightlines Annual Investment Target
Actual Institutional Spending
© 2017 Sightlines, LLC. All Rights Reserved.14
Facilities Needs Have Continued to Grow
$0.00
$20.00
$40.00
$60.00
$80.00
$100.00
$120.00
$/G
SF
10-Year Facilities Needs by Constituent GroupBaccalaureate Master’s Research
© 2017 Sightlines, LLC. All Rights Reserved.15
The Question on Everyone’s Mind
How do we reverse the trend and start making
progress?
© 2017 Sightlines, LLC. All Rights Reserved.16
Traditional Facilities Assessments…
…go from project list to project selection from the bottom up and without a comprehensive strategy
TechnicalAssessment
ProjectSelection
Misses opportunities to optimize capital
resources
Fails to harness operating knowledge
Doesn’t tie to mission
Ignores financial capacity
This approach…
And therefore…
© 2017 Sightlines, LLC. All Rights Reserved.17
Experience Tells Us…
Replace air
compressors
and steam
stop valves
“Capital
Planning is
more than just
a project list.”Upgrade all
heat
detectorsCosmetic
Repair of
Student
Apartments.
Bathroom
Upgrades
Replace
Doors
Install
new
sprinklers
© 2017 Sightlines, LLC. All Rights Reserved.18
The Solution Starts with Strong Data
Facilities condition assessments
Specialized studies(elevators, roofs, etc.)
Campus master plans
Internal review documents
The optimal solution will turn this…
Building drawingsEquipment lists
How many of you have one or more of the following pieces of data?
…Into This
© 2017 Sightlines, LLC. All Rights Reserved.19
Begin the Communication Process
• Trying to compel action through a daunting DM figure does not work.
• It freezes decision making and compounds the core issue.
• Institutional leaders need to:
Understand the cause of deferral and slow
backlog accumulation
3Stop the Bleeding
42Create building
portfolios
Make the Problem
Smaller
Create multi-year
plans
Sustain Impact
of Finite Funding Target capital to reliability,
safety/code, critical asset
preservation
Mitigate Risk1
© 2017 Sightlines, LLC. All Rights Reserved.20
A Successful Approach Will
Provides a list that is framed and targeted
Allows leadership to focus on strategy and outcomes rather than individual projects
Encourages a partnership with stakeholders throughout the institutions
Allows continual review and prioritization as objectives change
© 2017 Sightlines, LLC. All Rights Reserved.21
Why a Portfolio-Based Approach?
Developing a portfolio approach will allow for a focused investment approach based on the Institutional Strategic Direction.
• Building Age• Building Condition• Building Location• Institutional focus• Academic requirements• Student needs
• Historical Significance• Safety/Code requirements• Recruitment/Retention• Transitional Space• Adaptive Reuse
Core considerations to the portfolio approach
• Institutional Priorities• Building Needs• Future Campus Direction
Institutional Leaders for buy in and communication
Not all buildings are created equal
© 2017 Sightlines, LLC. All Rights Reserved.22
Deciding Where NOT To Invest is Critical
Apply Building Portfolio& Timeframe
Apply Investment Criteria & Timeframe
Multi-Year Project Plan
Geographic, Program, Transitional, & Years
Reliability, Asset Preservation, Program, Economic Operations,
Safety/Code & Years
?
Building Portfolio Process
Cu
rren
t C
hal
len
geP
rop
ose
d S
olu
tio
n
Electrical, Plumbing, HVAC, Mechanical, Exterior, Interior,
Safety…
Full Project Inventory
ProjectSelection
Full Project Inventory
Divest
Total Needs
$165.4M
Transitional Buildings
$35.2M
174,284 GSF
$202/GSF
Grounds/ Infrastructure
$15.3M
Building Needs
$114.8M
Core Academic
$34.0M
539,944 GSF
$63/GSF
Student Life
$30.1M
392,533 GSF
$77/GSF
Residence Halls
$21.9M
215,279 GSF
$102/GSF
Historic Preservation
$14.9M
87,281 GSF
$170/GSF
Campus Perimeter
$14.0M
116,172 GSF
$121/GSF
Example #1: Functional Portfolios
Institutionally Funded Student Fees Student Fees Gifts Sell
The “Big Problem”
The Manageable Solution
As Needed
Total Needs
$144.3M
Parking
$3.9M
1,1M GSF
$3.6/GSF
Grounds/ Infrastructure
$14M
Building Needs
$110.5M
Beneficial
$41.8M
977K GSF
$43/GSF
Legacy
$29M
574,368 GSF
$34/GSF
Millennium
$28.1M
1.8M GSF
$15.5/GSF
Transitional
$19.5M
240K GSF
$81/GSF
Rental
$7.2M
96K GSF
$75/GSF
24
Example #2: Vintage Portfolios
The “Big Problem”
Complete Renovation Exterior RenovationProgrammatic Stewardship
Emergency Reinvestment Only
No Capital ReinvestmentA Targeted Solution
As NeededAs Needed
Example #3: Balancing Needs & Program Value
Total Needs
$856.3M
Grounds $21.9M
Building Needs
$770.8M
Infra. and Central Plant
$72.6M
Capital Stewardship
$214.6M
Major Renovation
$318.1M
Maintain Only
$103.5M
Transition
$134.6M
Institutionally Funded
Gifts or Fundraising
Limit Capital Reinvestment
Divest
Utility Fees
As Needed
© 2017 Sightlines, LLC. All Rights Reserved.26
Use Objective Tools to Prioritize
Capital Upkeep Stage: Primarily new or recently renovated buildings w/ sporadic building repair & life cycle needs; “You pick the projects”
Repair and Maintain Stage: Buildings are beginning to show their age and may require more significant investment on a case-by-case basis
Systemic Renovation Stage: Buildings may require more significant repairs ; large-scale capital infusions/ renovations are inevitable; “The projects pick you”
Demolition/Transitional/ Gut Renovation Stage: Major buildings components are in jeopardy of complete failure.
© 2017 Sightlines, LLC. All Rights Reserved.27
Show the Relationship Between Needs and Risk
Reliability $75.1M $64.9M $75.1M $15.9M
Safety/Code $29.2M $10.1M $29.2M $17.2M
Asset Preservation
$322.4M $0 $13.5M $14.2M
EconomicOpportunity
$18.6M $0 $18.6M $195,000
Program Improvement
$75.3M $0 $13.5M $4.5M
10
0%
35
%
86
%
7%
15
%
Sample Fund$75M
45
%
66
%
Highest Risk
Lowest Risk
Total Need$520M
Sample Fund$150M
Sample Fund$300M
0%
0%
0%
10
0%
10
0%
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28
Leverage Portfolio Priorities for the Planhttps://www.buyzip.com/products/magiclegs?variant=12076818464836&gclid=EAIaIQobChMIz7iF0Jer2gIVioTICh1RGQ9DEAkY
ASABEgIAcPD_BwE
https://www.buyzip.com/products/magiclegs?variant=12076818464836&gclid=EAIaIQobChMIz7iF0Jer2gIVioTICh1RGQ9DEAkYASABEgIAcPD_BwE
Admin/Other Classrooms HistoricUndergraduate
ScienceGraduate Research
$75M Plan $ 4,809,000 $ 24,020,000 $ 2,932,000 $ 19,860,000 $ 23,379,000
$150M Plan $ 7,648,000 $ 54,761,000 $ 6,855,000 $ 43,585,000 $ 51,550,000
$300M Plan $ 17,396,240 $ 121,779,000 $ 16,231,000 $ 63,621,000 $ 80,971,000
$- $10,000,000 $20,000,000 $30,000,000 $40,000,000 $50,000,000 $60,000,000
Asset PreservationEconomic OpportunityProgram Improvement
ReliabilitySafety/Code
Asset PreservationEconomic OpportunityProgram Improvement
ReliabilitySafety/Code
Asset PreservationEconomic OpportunityProgram Improvement
ReliabilitySafety/Code
Asset PreservationEconomic OpportunityProgram Improvement
ReliabilitySafety/Code
Asset PreservationEconomic OpportunityProgram Improvement
ReliabilitySafety/Code
$75M Plan $150M Plan $300M Plan
Ad
min
/O
ther
Cla
ssro
om
sH
isto
ric
Un
der
grad
Sc
ien
ceG
rad
uat
e R
esea
rch
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The Right Data Allows for Complex Analysis
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A Complete Plan Will…
Articulate the Cause of Backlogs
Communicate a Credible Inventory of
Need
Create a Process;Don’t Just
Pick Projects
Measurable Performance
• Catch-up vs. Keep-up
• Understand how underfunding creates backlog
• Impact of changing campus age
.
• Comprehensive, credible, and flexible
• Illustrate operations impact
• Benchmarking for context
• Building Portfolios reflect institutional strategy
• Investment Criteria define the investment outcome
• Timeframe – aligns financial capacity to facilities needs
.
• Fact: Never get enough funding
• Fact: Emergencies arise so contingency management is key
• Fact: Customer support is important
Creating a complete plan will result in action rather than paralysis
31
Questions & Discussion
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32 © 2017 Sightlines, LLC. All Rights Reserved.32