developing brownfields as electricity-producing solar farms · developing brownfields as...
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Copyright © 2012 groSolar. All rights reserved. Page 1
Developing Brownfields as Electricity-Producing Solar Farms
Ohio Brownfields Conference
May 23–24, 2012
Nationwide EPC Services Full-Line PV Procurement Services
Jeff Wolfe, Non-Executive Chairman
I - 2
Solar Basics
$3.4
0/w
$3.3
0/w
$3.4
0/w
3.10
/w$
$2
.25
???
$2.2
5/w
$1
.75
$2.8
5/w
$3.0
5/w
$1.7
5/w
$0
.94
I - 3
Solar Basics
$3.4
0/w
$3.3
0/w
$3.4
0/w
3.10
/w$
$2
.25
???
$2.2
5/w
$1
.75
$2.8
5/w
$3.0
5/w
$1.7
5/w
$0
.94
I - 4
Solar Basics
$3.4
0/w
$3.3
0/w
$3.4
0/w
3.10
/w$
$2
.25
???
$2.2
5/w
$1
.75
$2.8
5/w
$3.0
5/w
$1.7
5/w
$0
.94
I - 5
Brownfield Solar – Why?
$3.4
0/w
$3.3
0/w
$3.4
0/w
3.10
/w$
$2
.25
???
$2.2
5/w
$1
.75
$2.8
5/w
$3.0
5/w
$1.7
5/w
$0
.94
• Inexpensive Land • Not Available for Many Other Uses • May Allow Reduction in Cap Costs • Often not in Residential Neighborhoods • IC Point May be Near • May Have Existing IC Point from Landfill Gas
Operation • Provides Income to Offset Cap Maintenance
Expenses
I - 6
Brownfield Solar – Why Not?
$3.4
0/w
$3.3
0/w
$3.4
0/w
3.10
/w$
$2
.25
???
$2.2
5/w
$1
.75
$2.8
5/w
$3.0
5/w
$1.7
5/w
$0
.94
• Post-Closure Construction on Cap Requires Additional Permitting
• Construction on Cap Adds Costs • O&M is More Specialized • IC Point May be Remote • Field May be Used as a Recreational Area (Legally or
Illegally) • Investor Hesitancy
I - 7
Brownfield Solar Basics
$3.4
0/w
$3.3
0/w
$3.4
0/w
3.10
/w$
$2
.25
???
$2.2
5/w
$1
.75
$2.8
5/w
$3.0
5/w
$1.7
5/w
$0
.94
I - 8
Brownfield Solar Basics
$3.4
0/w
$3.3
0/w
$3.4
0/w
3.10
/w$
$2
.25
???
$2.2
5/w
$1
.75
$2.8
5/w
$3.0
5/w
$1.7
5/w
$0
.94
I - 9
Brownfield Solar Basics
$3.4
0/w
$3.3
0/w
$3.4
0/w
3.10
/w$
$2
.25
???
$2.2
5/w
$1
.75
$2.8
5/w
$3.0
5/w
$1.7
5/w
$0
.94
I - 10
Brownfield Solar Basics
$3.4
0/w
$3.3
0/w
$3.4
0/w
3.10
/w$
$2
.25
???
$2.2
5/w
$1
.75
$2.8
5/w
$3.0
5/w
$1.7
5/w
$0
.94
I - 11
Brownfield Solar Basics
$3.4
0/w
$3.3
0/w
$3.4
0/w
3.10
/w$
$2
.25
???
$2.2
5/w
$1
.75
$2.8
5/w
$3.0
5/w
$1.7
5/w
$0
.94
I - 12
$3.4
0/w
$3.3
0/w
$3.4
0/w
3.10
/w$
$2
.25
???
$2.2
5/w
$1
.75
$2.8
5/w
$3.0
5/w
$1.7
5/w
$0
.94
I - 13
Brownfield Solar Basics
$3.4
0/w
$3.3
0/w
$3.4
0/w
3.10
/w$
$2
.25
???
$2.2
5/w
$1
.75
$2.8
5/w
$3.0
5/w
$1.7
5/w
$0
.94
I - 14
Brownfield Solar Basics
$3.4
0/w
$3.3
0/w
$3.4
0/w
3.10
/w$
$2
.25
???
$2.2
5/w
$1
.75
$2.8
5/w
$3.0
5/w
$1.7
5/w
$0
.94
I - 15
Brownfield Solar Basics
$3.4
0/w
$3.3
0/w
$3.4
0/w
3.10
/w$
$2
.25
???
$2.2
5/w
$1
.75
$2.8
5/w
$3.0
5/w
$1.7
5/w
$0
.94
I - 16
Brownfield Solar Basics
$3.4
0/w
$3.3
0/w
$3.4
0/w
3.10
/w$
$2
.25
???
$2.2
5/w
$1
.75
$2.8
5/w
$3.0
5/w
$1.7
5/w
$0
.94
I - 17
Brownfield Solar Basics
$3.4
0/w
$3.3
0/w
$3.4
0/w
3.10
/w$
$2
.25
???
$2.2
5/w
$1
.75
$2.8
5/w
$3.0
5/w
$1.7
5/w
$0
.94
I - 18
Brownfield Solar Basics
$3.4
0/w
$3.3
0/w
$3.4
0/w
3.10
/w$
$2
.25
???
$2.2
5/w
$1
.75
$2.8
5/w
$3.0
5/w
$1.7
5/w
$0
.94
I - 19
Brownfield Solar Basics
$3.4
0/w
$3.3
0/w
$3.4
0/w
3.10
/w$
$2
.25
???
$2.2
5/w
$1
.75
$2.8
5/w
$3.0
5/w
$1.7
5/w
$0
.94
I - 20
Brownfield Solar Basics
$3.4
0/w
$3.3
0/w
$3.4
0/w
3.10
/w$
$2
.25
???
$2.2
5/w
$1
.75
$2.8
5/w
$3.0
5/w
$1.7
5/w
$0
.94
I - 21
Brownfield Solar Basics
$3.4
0/w
$3.3
0/w
$3.4
0/w
3.10
/w$
$2
.25
???
$2.2
5/w
$1
.75
$2.8
5/w
$3.0
5/w
$1.7
5/w
$0
.94
I - 22
Brownfield Solar – Construction
$3.4
0/w
$3.3
0/w
$3.4
0/w
3.10
/w$
$2
.25
???
$2.2
5/w
$1
.75
$2.8
5/w
$3.0
5/w
$1.7
5/w
$0
.94
• Existing Conditions • Slopes • Orientation vs. Drainage • Loading • Vehicles • Maintenance Access
I - 23
Brownfield Solar – EPC Selection
$3.4
0/w
$3.3
0/w
$3.4
0/w
3.10
/w$
$2
.25
???
$2.2
5/w
$1
.75
$2.8
5/w
$3.0
5/w
$1.7
5/w
$0
.94
• Brownfield Experience!
> Construction Experience
– Solar Experience
• Price / Quality / Schedule • Longevity – Long-Term O&M
I - 24
Brownfield Solar – Developer Selection
$3.4
0/w
$3.3
0/w
$3.4
0/w
3.10
/w$
$2
.25
???
$2.2
5/w
$1
.75
$2.8
5/w
$3.0
5/w
$1.7
5/w
$0
.94 • Brownfield Experience!
> Finance Methods
– Solar Experience
• Longevity – Long-Term O&M
I - 25
Solar Costs
0
0.5
1
1.5
2
2.5
3
3.5
4
2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012P
S/Watt PV Module
$/Watt PV Module
$/WattPV Module
???
I - 26
0
0.5
1
1.5
2
2.5
3
3.5
4
2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012P
S/Watt PV Module
$/Watt PV Module
$/WattPV Module
14% Cumulative Annual Cost Decline
???
Solar Costs
I - 27
0
0.5
1
1.5
2
2.5
3
3.5
4
2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012P
S/Watt PV Module
$/Watt PV Module
$/WattPV Module
14% Cumulative Annual Cost Decline
30% Cumulative Annual Cost Decline
???
Solar Costs
II - 28
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
2008 2011 2012 2012Alt Coal
GMBOS/InstallRackingInveterPV Panel
Solar Costs Declining Costs & Increasing Scale
Commercial Cost Reduction Roadmap For the Years 2006-2012 ($/watt)
Avg Sale 1.5 MW
Avg Sale 200 kW
Avg Sale 10MW
…
Copyright © 2010 groSolar. All rights reserved. Page 29
Copyright © 2012 groSolar. All rights reserved. Page 29
U.S. Solar Markets
Germany
United States
Copyright © 2010 groSolar. All rights reserved. Page 30
Copyright © 2012 groSolar. All rights reserved. Page 30
US Markets
0
500
1000
1500
2000
2500
3000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
F
US PV Installations
US MW
I - 31
Commercial / Utility Scale: • Federal Investment Tax Credit
– 30%, Need Tax Liability • State Solar Renewable Energy Credit (SREC)
– 5 to 10 Year Contract – Financed (But Difficult “Market”)
• State Incentive (If Any, Changes Often, Each State Different)
• Equity Requires ~10+% Unlevered Return • 40% Debt Possible
– If Available, Adds Other Costs
Financing
I - 32
• Great Opportunity • Respect the Site • Choose Partners with the Right Experience • Solar is Feasible and Cost Effective Today
Brownfields
Jeff Wolfe, P.E. [email protected]