developing an integrated multi-criteria decision-support framework for the sustainability assessment...
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springspring
Developing an integrated multi-criteria decision-support framework for the
sustainability assessment of nuclear power
Lorraine Youds
Laurence Stamford
Adisa Azapagic
The University of Manchester
springspringAgenda
Context within the SPRIng project
Aims and objectives
Stakeholder engagement
Multi-criteria decision-analysis
Results
Further work
Lorraine Youds, The University of Manchester UNTF, 15th April 2010
springspring
SPRIng Project
Aim: To develop an integrated decision-support framework
to assess the sustainability of nuclear power, taking into
account the following aspects:
- technical (e.g. availability of the technology)
- economic (e.g. life cycle costs of technologies)
- environmental (e.g. GHG emissions)
- social and governance (e.g. employment)
Lorraine Youds, The University of Manchester UNTF, 15th April 2010
springspringDecision-Support Framework
Lorraine Youds, The University of Manchester UNTF, 15th April 2010
springspring
Specific Objectives
Objectives:
- assessment of the sustainability of energy options within the UK
- sustainability assessment of nuclear power in an integrated UK energy mix
- communication of results to stakeholders and integration of stakeholder preferences into the framework
Lorraine Youds, The University of Manchester UNTF, 15th April 2010
springspringDecision-Support Framework
Lorraine Youds, The University of Manchester UNTF, 15th April 2010
springspring
Stakeholder Engagement
‘Test’ work already developed on stakeholders
Ask them what they’d expect out of our work
Which issues are particularly important to them (preference elicitation)
Multi-criteria decision-analysis
Lorraine Youds, The University of Manchester UNTF, 15th April 2010
springspring
Stakeholder Questionnaire
1 – not important; 4 – very important
Source: Stamford & Youds (2010)
Lorraine Youds, The University of Manchester UNTF, 15th April 2010
springspringSPRIng Partners
Academic partners Other partners & collaboratorsThe University of Manchester AMEC NNCCity University AREVA NPUniversity of Southampton Battelle
British EnergyBritish Nuclear Energy Society
Chatham HouseBERRForeign & Commonwealth OfficeHSEMinistry of DefenceNexia SolutionsSERCOThe London Press ClubUKERCUniversity of SheffieldWestinghouse
Lorraine Youds, The University of Manchester UNTF, 15th April 2010
springspringQuestionnaire Analysis
Least valued sustainability indicators identified
Combine stakeholders into industry, regulator and organisation groups to identify any correlations
Lorraine Youds, The University of Manchester UNTF, 15th April 2010
springspring
Multi-Criteria Decision-AnalysisOrganisation of vast, complex and conflicting information
Allows all criteria to be taken into account
Stages involved:
- Problem Structuring (formulation)
- Problem Analysis (evaluation)
- Problem Resolution (appraisal) – Requisite?
Lorraine Youds, The University of Manchester UNTF, 15th April 2010
springspring
Multi-Criteria Decision-AnalysisMulti-attribute value analysis:
- score each alternative against each indicator (this standardises the units of measurement)
- apply stakeholder weights to each indicator score
- add up the weighted scores for each indicator under an alternative
Lorraine Youds, The University of Manchester UNTF, 15th April 2010
springspring
Multi-Criteria Decision AnalysisSource: Stamford & Youds (2010)
Stakeholder 1
Lorraine Youds, The University of Manchester UNTF, 15th April 2010
springspring
Multi-Criteria Decision AnalysisSource: Stamford & Youds (2010)
Stakeholder 2
Lorraine Youds, The University of Manchester UNTF, 15th April 2010
springspring
Multi-Criteria Decision Analysis:Sensitivity Analysis
Source: Stamford & Youds (2010)
Stakeholder 1
Lorraine Youds, The University of Manchester UNTF, 15th April 2010
springspring
Further Work
Future UK energy scenario modelling
Sustainability assessments
Further stakeholder engagement and preference elicitation
Multi-criteria decision-analysis
Lorraine Youds, The University of Manchester UNTF, 15th April 2010