developing a programme for the implementation of the 2008 sna and supporting statistics side event...
TRANSCRIPT
Developing a programme for the implementation of the
2008 SNA and supporting statistics
Side event at the 2013 UNSCOrganised by UNSD
23 February 2013 New York, USA
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Outline
∙ Introduction
∙ 2008 SNA implementation programme
∙ Activities of ISWGNA members
∙ Developing a programme for SNA implementation and supporting statistics
∙ Discussion
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Introduction
∙ Increased concerns about data gaps and major revisions in national accounts and supporting statistics of developing countries
∙ Need to revisit the effectiveness of the implementation of the 2008 SNA and supporting statistics
∙ One option is to address the institutional arrangements, the statistical operations and the statistical infrastructure at country level
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NSOs committed to uphold UN Fundamental Principles of Official Statistics and 2008 SNA implementation goals
However, mobilising political motivation at the highest levels of government is encumbered by absence of adequate statistical management and communication strategies
The UNSC also recognised the need for scaling up the SNA implementation
Aim today: to discuss the UNSD approach to developing an implementation programme for the 2008 SNA and supporting statistics at the country level
Introduction
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Global 2008 SNA Implementation Programme
Global statistical initiative, mandated by the 40th UNSC following the adoption of the 2008 SNA, with dual objective to assist countries to:
– Change over to the 2008 SNA;– improve scope, detail and quality of the national
accounts and supporting economic statistics
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Develop national accounts that are responsive to:
– Macroeconomic and sectoral policy needs
– Global economic and financial interconnected environment (global production, trade and finance and their interdependency with national economy)
– Short term economic vulnerabilities (early warning indicators for tracing turning points in the business cycle
Objective of the Global Statistical Initiative
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The efficiency and sustainability of the initiative rest on the agreed principles of the implementation strategy:
(a) strategic planning
(b) coordination, monitoring and reporting
(c) improving statistical systems
Principles of the global initiative
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Strategic planning framework: NSDS as the strategic planning framework
Information structure: based on the integrated economic statistics approach (standards, statistical production process, institutional arrangements) and internationally agreed scope (MRDS) and compliance for the national accounts and supporting economic statistics
Modalities: Training and technical cooperation, publication of manuals and handbooks, research and advocacy
Stages of implementation: leading to the change over to the 2008 SNA.
Elements to operationalise the initiative
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Implementation stagesImplementation stages Three stages
o Stage I: Review of strategic framework and detailing of national and regional implementation programmes
• Statement of strategy – Development of an economic statistics programme for compiling the required scope and detail of the National Accounts to inform policy makers
• Diagnosis of current situation – Assessment of the national statistical system to support the national accounts compilation (self assessment diagnostic tool)
• Development of strategic vision for national accounts and supporting statistics shared among stakeholders
• Develop implementation plan based on agreed priorities with a minimum set of core indicators
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Implementation stagesImplementation stages
Stage II: Adaptation of classification frameworks, business registers and frames, surveys, administrative data sources and information technology infrastructure.
Stage III: Application of adapted frameworks and source data, backcasting and changeover to 2008 SNA
Each country will determine the duration of the various stages. – It is expected that from 2014 onwards, many Member
States will change over to the 2008 SNA following a gradual two or three year transition for each stage.
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Activities of ISWGNA members
Light coordination mechanism allows for flexibility
Active in statistical capacity building providing training and technical cooperation, publication of manuals and handbooks and research
Most recent activities of the ISWGNA members and the regional commissions described annually in the report of the ISWGNA to the UNSC
In addition, all these agencies also disseminate support material through their respective websites
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UNSD, in collaboration with RCs, conducted series of seminars to align regional and global implementation programmes
Country visits the next phase – to help countries develop strategic vision and implementation programme
Lead countries identified to support SNA implementation at a sub-regional level
– National seminar with lead country– (Sub) regional seminar with support from lead country
– Follow up with countries by UNSD, RCs and lead country
UNSD activities
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Objectives of the seminars are to
– Identify the macro economic policy needs to determine the scope and detail of the NA that needs to be compiled
– To prepare for an assessment of the adequacy of the statistical production process to provide the required data for the compilation of the NA
– To identify the required actions for implementation
– To develop a statement of strategy
UNSD activities
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a strategic planning frame work for the development of an economic statistics programme to meet policy needs
set of actions to accomplish statistical and institutional goals for the sustainable improvement of the economic statistics programmes
Statement of strategy
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Policy documents, NSDS, etc.Regional strategic frameworks for statistical capacity
building Regulatory and institutional framework – strengthening
the functioning of NSS, its programming, management and performance
Statistical infrastructure – strengthening of use of classifications, registers and frames and IT infrastructure
Statistical operations of data collection, compilation, dissemination and analysis
Statement of Strategy – take into account
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Mandate,
Mission statement
Values
High-level goals
Specific goals
Required actions
Elements of the statement of strategy
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High-level goals represent the overall accomplishments to be achieved
Improving scope, quality and timeliness of economic statistics
Minimizing response burdenIncreasing use of administrative data for statistical
purposesAchieving cost effectiveness using best practicesRaising public awareness and use of national accounts
and economic statistics
Statement of strategy
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Specific goals describe the ultimate results that need to be accomplished
– Compile national accounts according to milestone two or MRDS
– Develop a national central hub for short term economic statistics
Statement of strategy
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Required actions to be carried out:
Regulatory and institutional framework – strengthening the functioning of NSS, its programming, management and performance
Statistical infrastructure – strengthening of use of standards (2008 SNA), classifications (ISIC Rev 4), registers and frames
Statistical operations – strengthening of data collection, compilation, dissemination and analysis
Statement of strategy
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Improve statistical legislation, code of conduct, service agreements for NSS
Comply with standards: 2008 SNA, ISIC rev 4, etc.Upgrade of business registers and area framesExtend use of administrative dataIncrease periodicity and timeliness of data (price
statistics, production and turnover surveys)Integrate survey and questionnaire design of
economic activity surveys (structural business statistics and short term business statistics)
Integrate survey and questionnaire design of household surveys (labour and income and expenditure surveys)
Extend coverage of enterprises (informal sector surveys etc.
Examples of actions
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Confrontation of
– Goals – as determined by international recommendations – compliance
– Requirements to meet goals – administrative and survey resources
– Current status – present practices– Actions – to remedy the shortcomings
Consolidation of statistical requirements, assessments and actions
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Consolidation of statistical requirements, assessments and actions
Data item
Frequency 2008 SNA
Required sources
Principal data sources and compilation
methods
M Q A
N V N V N VNominal
Volumes
Nominal
Volumes
National accounts aggregates to comply to Milestone 2 - MRDS
Set of short term indicators
Blue – GoalsGreen – needsRed – current status
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Statement of strategy: requires agreement by the national statistical system
(data producer, provider and user), high political support and donor consultation
is basis for formulating a national implementation programme
is basis for actively seeking funding for implementation programmes from own sources and donors
Conclusions
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Is the development of a statement of strategy an appropriate step for the development of a programme for the implementation of the SNA and supporting statistics?
Is the sub-regional approach with lead countries the right approach for developing multi-year implementation programme that could be scaled up to the regional and global level?
Do you have other suggestions to facilitate the implementation of the SNA?
Points for discussion
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Thank you