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Working Paper
2014-366
Determinants of the Capital Adequacy
Ratio of a Foreign Bank’s Subsidiaries:
The Role of the Interbank Market and
Regulation of Multinational Banks
Mehdi Mili
Jean-Michel Sahut
Hatem Trimeche
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Determinants of the Capital Adequacy Ratio of a Foreign Bank’s
Subsidiaries: The Role of the Interbank Market and Regulation of
Multinational Banks
Mehdi Milia , Jean-Michel Sahut
b and Hatem Trimeche
c
a MODESFI - University of Sfax & I.S.G. Sousse - Tunisia
b IPAG Business School Paris
b High School of Management of Sousse - Tunisia
Abstract
This paper examines the factors influencing the capital adequacy ratio (CAR) of
foreign banks’ subsidiaries. We use data from 340 subsidiaries of 123
multinational banks and test whether the subsidiaries’ capital ratio depends on the
parent banks’ fundamentals. We also study the role of the economic conditions
and regulatory environment in the bank’s home country while determining the
CAR of its foreign subsidiaries. Our results provide strong evidence that the CAR
of subsidiaries operating in developing and developed countries do not depend on
the same set of explanatory factors. We also find that the regulatory framework of
a parent bank’s home country affects the capitalization of its foreign subsidiaries
in the host countries. Finally, we show that specific variables of the parent bank
have a stronger effect on foreign banks that are closely related to the interbank
market.
Keywords: Capital Adequacy Ratio, Multinational Banks, Interbank Market
JEL codes: F15, F34, G21
1. Introduction International banking regulations based on recommendations of the Basel Committee have
been adopted by banks and international regulators with the aim of promoting the soundness
of the global banking system. These regulations require that banks properly assess the risks
they take, since a weak banking system may threaten the stability of the economy on a
national and international scale.
Generally perceived as a prerequisite for the proper functioning of global banking systems, the regulatory model recommended by the Basel Committee is fundamentally based upon
the "paradigm of supervision of bank capital," as proposed by Caprio and Honohan (1999).
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In this context, the Capital Adequacy Ratio (CAR) has received particular attention from
international regulatory authorities; it is one of the principle regulatory tools used to control and scrutinize a bank’s financial health.
According to Sinkey (1989), regulators use the CAR as an important measure of the "safety
and soundness" of depository institutions because they consider capital a safety margin
capable of absorbing potential losses. Several studies have been conducted on the capital structure of banks located in several countries in order to identify the determinants of the
CAR, a majority of which have tried to explain the impact of the financial health of a bank on
the evolution of the CAR.
The concept of capital adequacy emerged in the mid ‘70s, due to the expansion of lending by
banks without a parallel increase in their capital. This has forced regulators to define several
control procedures and issue new reforms in order to avoid insolvency in the banking sector.
In the same context, i.e., protection against shocks, capital requirements appear as the most
frequently cited prudential regulation.
The importance of the topic of regulatory capital in ensuring the stability of banking systems
has motivated several researchers1 to study the determinants of regulatory capital banks.
Our investigation of the literature allows us to deduce that the works on the determinants of banks' CAR may be split into two methodological paths.
One path focuses on explaining the level of capitalization in a bank, using only financial variables. Demsetz and Strahan (1997) and Ayuso and Saurina (2004) showed that large banks have the ability to operate with low levels of capital; this finding indicates that large
banks could benefit from diversification and can therefore, operate with lower capital ratios.
Gropp and Heider (2009) and Kleff and Weber (2008) claimed that the most profitable banks
tend to have relatively higher regulatory capital. Yu (2000) demonstrated that liquidity is
positively and significantly related to capital ratio, which implies that banks do not consider liquidity a pure direct substitute for capital; thus, it cannot be used to cover whole portfolio
risk.
The second path has attempted to include macroeconomic variables. These studies suggest that the national economic environment has an effect on the solvency of the bank; therefore,
it should be considered a fundamental determinant of the CAR of a bank. For example,
Hortlund (2005) tested the impact of inflation on the capitalization of Swedish banks and demonstrated that inflation and the banks regulatory capital ratios were inversely related.
Williams (1998) studied the impact of macroeconomic variables on the CAR; he noted that macroeconomic variables such as inflation, real exchange rate, money supply, political instability, and return on investment are significant determinants of regulatory capital.
From this overview of the literature, we note that no previous studies have focused on
examining the determinants of regulatory capital of foreign subsidiaries. The purpose of this work is to examine the determinants of the CAR of foreign banks in order to find the role of the parent bank therein. We also contribute to this line of research by examining the role of the economic conditions and regulatory environment in the bank’s home country in the
determination of the CAR of its foreign subsidiaries.
1 Agrawal and Jacque (2001), Berger et al. (2008), and Kleff and Weber (2008).
3
Our research is based on literature showing that parent banks exert significant influence on the financial fundamentals of their foreign subsidiaries. Dee Haas and van Lelyveld (2006 &
2010) and Martinez Peria et al. (2002) suggested that parent banks support their foreign subsidiaries, especially during periods of crisis, which allows them to be resilient to economic shocks. Morgan et al. (2004) developed a theoretical framework explaining how
lending by multinational bank’s subsidiaries is influenced by the funding strategy of their parent banks; they described the funding mechanism between them, using an internal capital market. This evidence reported in the literature, concerning the parent banks’ effect on their foreign subsidiaries, led us to test how the parent banks affects the level of capitalization of the subsidiaries.
This paper is organized as follows: the first part presents a review of the literature and
theoretical perspectives to explain the determinants of the bank’s solvency ratio, while
emphasizing the role of the parent bank in its determination, and the second part presents the
methodology and results of our research.
2. Literature review and selection of variables
Because of the recent trend towards financial liberalization, as well as increased cross-border
activities by several banks, banking supervision needs to cover all banking transactions
worldwide. Indeed, for multinational banks, control of foreign banks’ subsidiaries comes from
regulatory authorities in both the home and host country. Multinational banks generally have
complex organizations which regulators find challenging. To address this, coordination between the authorities in the country of origin and destination is required. De Haas and
van Lelyveld (2010) suggested that regulatory control procedures for foreign subsidiaries
focus on financial indicators (solvency, liquidity risk) that depend on the stability of the
national and international banking systems.
On a theoretical level, our study is related to the work of Harr and Ronde (2006), who studied the capital regulation of multinational banks. In their studies, they analyzed cases
wherein multinational subsidiaries are subject to two national regulators who strategically set capital requirements; they concluded that capital requirements may increase when foreign
subsidiaries are subject to two regulators. Other studies have focused on the problem of
divergent interests and lack of coordination between the national regulators2.
There are at least two reasons justifying our hypothesis that the financial characteristics of the parent bank affect the capitalization of its foreign subsidiaries. First, the problem of the
subsidiary’s solvency is part of overall risk management for the parent bank. Thus, the capitalization of the subsidiary is not a strategy executed independently in the home
country. Second, the integration of financial systems across the world and the efforts
deployed to harmonize the system of banking supervision worldwide justifies the fact that
central banks should care about how foreign banks operate in host countries and about their
capitalization, in particular.
2 Holthausen and Ronde (2005), Acharya (2003), Dell’Ariccia and Marquez (2006), Calzolari and Loranth
(2003), and Dalen and Olsen (2003).
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Since the effort to regulate multinational banks and their foreign subsidiaries is built around the regulatory capital of the subsidiary, in this paper, we seek to examine the determinant of the CAR for the subsidiaries.
Our methodological approach will be conducted in three parts. First, we test the impact of the financial fundamental variables of the subsidiary and the parent bank, and integrate the
macroeconomic variables of the subsidiary’s host country and the parent bank’s home country. Then, we test the impact of these variables by distinguishing the effect according to the economic maturity of the host country. This leads us to consider the impact of the
regulatory environment of the parent bank’s home country. Lastly, we test the role of the
interbank market.
Our objective is to examine the determinants of the CAR of the subsidiary, which constitutes the dependent variable in our study. CAR is defined as the capital of a bank expressed as a percentage of its risk-weighted commitments. The international standard recommends a minimum ratio that ensures that banks can absorb a reasonable level of losses before going into financial distress. The application of these minimum capital ratios protects depositors
and promotes the stability and efficiency of the financial system as a whole.
Two types of capital ratios have been proposed. The first relates to Tier 1 capital, which
must absorb the losses of the bank without leading to a cessation of activities. The second is
Tier 2 capital, usually subordinated debt, which is intended to absorb losses in the event of liquidation and thus, provides a modicum of protection to depositors. In this study, we use the CAR formula based on both Tier 1 and Tier 2 capitals.
According to Buchs and Mathisen (2005), these ratios measure the strength of a bank's capital, and its ability to cover the risks of its undertakings and protect the interests of its depositors. This could enhance the stability and efficiency of the banking system. Figuet (2003) stated that capital helps to limit bank failures and consequently, the costs of its rescue
and restructuring. Diamond and Rajan (2000) stated that high capital reduces liquidity creation by the bank but allows it to be strong and avoid bankruptcy.
In our empirical framework, the risk-adjusted capital (RAC)of the subsidiaries will be explained by two types of variables – on the one hand, we use specific financial variables of
subsidiaries and parent banks, and on the other, we consider macroeconomics variables of country of origin and host country.
The group of specific financial variables of subsidiaries and parent banks includes:
Size. The size of the bank may impact its diversification strategies, its risks, and its access to
capital markets. This is proved by Demsetz and Strahan (1997), who concluded that large banks enjoy better diversification and therefore, operate with lower capital ratios. In the
same vein, Ayuso et al. (2004) showed that large banks have lower capital levels. We use the logarithm of total assets (T_Asset) as a measure of size, and we expect an inverse relationship between size and CAR.
Deposit Ratio. An increase in bank deposits requires regulation to guarantee the rights of depositors and preserve the bank’s solvency. The ratio of total deposits to total assets is used to measure the impact of deposits upon capital. According to Kleff and Weber (2008),
deposits are generally considered cheaper sources of funds, with respect to credit and other similar financing instruments such as bond financing or securitization of loans. Based on the
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study by Asarkaya and Özcan (2007), we expect deposits to have a negative effect on the
CAR.
Loan Ratio. Increased loans expose the bank to higher risk and therefore, the CAR should
increase. According to Hassan and Bashir (2003), higher ratios of loans may reduce the
bank’s liquidity and increase the number of defaulters. Mpuga (2002) found a positive
relationship between CAR and the share of loans. The loan ratio is measured by total loans to
total assets.
Profitability. Most of the studies in the literature claim that profitability has a significant effect on the bank’s CAR. Brown et al. (2010) and Gropp and Heider (2009) concluded that
the most profitable banks tend to have relatively lower levels of regulatory capital, as compared to the less profitable ones. On the basis of these arguments, we expect a negative
relationship between profitability ratios of assets [return on assets (ROA)] and the
capitalization of the subsidiary.
Net Interest Margin (NIM). The NIM is a parameter that reflects the profitability of banks. Moreover, it reflects both the volume and composition of assets and liabilities, and it influences the risk portfolio of the bank. According to Angbazo (1997), adequate NIMs are expected to generate sufficient income to increase capital with increasing exposure to risk. Berger (1995) and Demirguc-Kunt and Huizinga (1998 & 2002) found a positive relationship between the NIM and the ratio of equity.
The second group of variables includes macroeconomic variables of the parent bank’s home
country and the host country in which the foreign subsidiary operates.
GDP growth. In accordance with most studies, such as Ruckes (2004), we expect a negative
relationship between credit growth and capital ratios. We state that in times of strong
economic growth, bank risk is lower, which leads banks to reduce their regulatory capital.
Economic periods of low growth increase a bank’s financial risk and encourage banks to
maintain a high capital ratio.
Real interest rates. Demirgüç-Kunt and Detragiache (1998) showed that higher real interest rates can adversely affect the repayment capacity of borrowers. This can have a negative effect upon capital ratios, should many borrowers default on their payments. We therefore
expect a negative relationship between real interest rates and capital ratios.
Real effective exchange rate. Williams (1998) found that the real effective exchange rate is another important determinant of the CAR. He identified an inverse relationship between
the exchange rate and the CAR that implies that an increase in the real exchange rate
reduces foreign direct investment and thus, reduces the CAR.
Crisis. We take any crisis experienced by the parent bank as a silent variable in this study to test its impact on the determination of banking subsidiaries’ CAR. This dummy variable
equals 1 for the period 2007-2008 and 0 for others.
3. Data and preliminary statistics
Our database consists of 340 subsidiaries of 123 foreign banks ranked in a 2010 issue of
Banker magazine. Among the foreign subsidiaries finally selected, 180 operate in developed
countries and 130 in developing countries. Our database combines both financial variables
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specific to banks and macroeconomic variables that reflect the economic conditions in the
parent bank’s home country and the subsidiary’s host country. Financial variables for
subsidiaries and parent banks are collected for the period 2000-2010 from Bankscope, and all
variables are expressed in U.S. dollars. Our macroeconomic data used for each country were
collected from the International Monetary Fund database. Table 1 rovides a summary of the
variables used in our empirical estimation, along with their sources.
Table 1.
Table 2 presents the summary statistics of specific variables for multinational parent banks
and their foreign subsidiaries. The table shows that subsidiaries differ from their parent banks in terms of financial structure and performance. On an average, parent banks appear slightly better capitalized than their subsidiaries. In addition, we find that the size of parent banks, expressed by the logarithm of total assets, is greater than that of their subsidiaries and their loan loss provisions appear higher than those of their subsidiaries. This is probably on account of the high volume of activity, in terms of loans granted by the parent banks.
Comparing subsidiaries in developed and developing countries, our descriptive statistics are consistent with those of Allen et al. (2012); we note that the subsidiaries in developed countries are more capitalized than those in developing countries. This can be explained by the fact that regulatory requirements are generally more stringent in developed countries. The table also shows that multinational banks tend to set up subsidiaries of larger sizes in developed countries, where the banking industry is more competitive. Subsidiaries in developed countries also seem to perform better, since they have a higher ROA and lower loan loss provision. Table 2.
4. Empirical results
Our econometric approach is similar to that used by Allen et al. (2012) and Dee Haas and van
Lelyveld (2010), which consists of explaining the CAR of foreign subsidiaries by the
fundamental variables of the subsidiary and its parent bank, and the economic variables of the
host country and home country. Formally, we consider the following model:
(1)
Where ΔCAR it is the change in capital adequacy of subsidiary i in year t, Bankit is a matrix of
foreign subsidiary controls of subsidiary i, and Countryit is a matrix of macroeconomic
variables of the country where subsidiary i is located. ParentBankit is a matrix of parent bank
characteristics of subsidiary i in year t, and ParentCountryit is a matrix of macroeconomic
variables of the country of the parent bank of subsidiary i.
Table 3 presents the estimation results of all foreign subsidiaries taken together. The first column in this table reports the results of the base model line when the CAR of the
subsidiary is regressed against their specific characteristics and the macroeconomic variables
of host countries. Consistent with previous works, the coefficient of loan loss provision is
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positive and statistically significant at less than the 1% threshold, suggesting that bad loans
increased the subsidiary’s risk, which requires greater capitalization.
The increase in loans tends to reduce the CAR; this makes it clear that regulatory capital may fall after a period of credit expansion. Contrary to Ayuso et al. (2004), who found that
larger subsidiaries hold lower levels of capital, we found that the size of the subsidiary is
negative but has no significant effect on the CAR. Thus, the management of regulatory capital may depend much more on the size of the parent bank, as the management of the
subsidiary’s risk is centralized at the parent bank.
Among the macroeconomic variables, economic growth and real interest rates seem to significantly affect the capital ratio of subsidiaries. The coefficient of GDP growth exhibits a positive and significant sign which is in line with the findings of Schaeck and Čihák (2007), who suggested that a high level of economic development requires sophisticated procedures for banking supervision.
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Table 3.
The coefficient of real interest rate appears significantly negative. One possible explanation is that rising real interest rates adversely affect borrowers’ ability to repay their bank loans. This can negatively impact capital ratios if many borrowers default on their payments. The same result is well documented in the literature by Demirgüç-Kunt and Detragiache (1998).
In the second and third columns in Table 3, we expand our baseline model by adding specific
variables of the parent bank and macro variables of the home country to the respective
columns. The coefficients of the size of the parent banks appear significantly negative in both
models. This finding implies that larger multinational banks are generally better able to
benefit from international diversification, therefore allowing their subsidiaries to operate with
lower capital ratios. This is in line with the findings of Gropp and Heider (2009) and Shrieves
and Dahl (1992), who suggested that large banks benefit from more flexible regulation of their CAR, as compared to small banks.
The significantly positive coefficient of loan loss provision of the parent bank indicates that the deterioration of the quality of its loan portfolio creates a higher risk of distress for its subsidiary.
The NIM of the parent bank has a positive and significant impact at 5% in the first model. This is consistent with previous studies conducted by Gropp and Heider (2009) and Kleff and Weber (2008). The parent bank’s NIM expresses a positive but insignificant impact upon the CAR of the subsidiary, indicating that the operating performance of the parent bank is most important in determining the level of capital for the subsidiary. The table shows that the
levels of deposits, ROA, return on equity, liquidity, and leverage have no effect on the
subsidiary’s CAR.
Regarding the host country’s macroeconomic variables, we find in both models a positive but insignificant correlation between the CAR and the GDP growth rate. In fact, only the real interest rate has a negative and significant effect at 10%. The other macroeconomic variables chosen in all models have an insignificant effect on the subsidiary’s CAR. In addition, the dummy variable (i.e., the crisis) has no significant effect on the determination of our dependent variable.
In the third model, a new dummy variable – Crisis, whose coefficient is positive – has been
added in order to capture the effect of the last financial crisis on the capitalization of the
foreign subsidiaries. This suggests that the increase in risk for a bank in periods of economic
instability leads parent banks to increase the capitalization of their foreign subsidiaries.
In order to understand the impact of the regulatory environment of the parent bank’s home
country on the capitalization of its foreign subsidiary, our sample has been divided into two
groups – foreign subsidiaries operating in developed countries, and foreign subsidiaries
operating in developing countries (World Bank in 2008). In addition, the Capital Regulation Index of the home country is included as an explanatory variable. This index, developed by the World Bank, surveys bank regulation (2003, 2007, &
2011) and combines two dimensions. First, it reflects the overall capital stringency in the
banking sector, demonstrating whether the capital requirement reflects certain risk aspects and
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deducts certain market value losses from capital before minimum capital adequacy is
determined. Second, this index values the initial capital stringency, which indicates whether
funds may be used to initially capitalize a bank and whether they are officially used. The
Capital Regulation Index ranges from 0 to 10, with a high value indicating great stringency.
We expect that banking regulations imposed in the home country have an impact on the
capitalization of subsidiaries in foreign countries.
The results are reported in Table 4, which shows that the CAR of foreign subsidiaries in
developing and developed countries is not determined by the same set of factors. The capital
ratio of subsidiaries in developing countries, in particular, depends more on specific variables
of the bank and macroeconomics in the host country. However, in developed countries, the
parent bank’s fundamentals significantly determine the CAR level. These results show, in
some way, that banking regulation in developed countries is more stringent than in developing
countries, and takes into account the financial health of the parent bank and the home country.
The table shows that parent banks with a significant size and strong ROA are more likely to
reduce the CAR of their foreign subsidiaries operating in developed countries. While these
variables (i.e., parent bank’s size and ROA) appear insignificant for subsidiaries operating in
developed countries, the parent bank’s loan loss provisions seem to affect its foreign
subsidiaries operating in both developed and developing countries, but with higher impact on
those in developed countries.
The coefficients of loan loss provisions and ROA of the foreign subsidiaries are positive in
models for developing countries, but insignificant in developed countries. Two possible
explanations may be adopted for these. First, foreign subsidiaries in developing countries
increase their regulatory capital with increased risk in their portfolio, hence affecting the
quality of their loan. Second, profitable banks increase their capital through retained earnings.
The consequence of macroeconomics in the host country on the subsidiary is more
pronounced in developing countries due to negative GDP growth and real interest rates
(around a level of 1%). In developed countries, GDP appears significant only at the 10%
level.
In addition, GDP growth in the banks’ home countries has different effects on the CAR for
the two groups of subsidiaries. In fact, low GDP growth in a bank’s home country may
increase the lending activity of its foreign subsidiaries, which results in higher capitalization.
Consequently, higher capitalization is required for foreign subsidiaries operating in developed
countries. However, the macroeconomic variables of home countries have no significant
effect on the capitalization of foreign subsidiaries operating in developing countries.
The table also shows that the parent bank’s fragility negatively affects the CAR of its foreign
subsidiaries in developed countries. This can be noticed based on the coefficient of the NIM
and the ROA of the parent bank, which seem to be significant for the developed host countries
but insignificant for the developing host countries. Nevertheless, other bank characteristics do
not have any impact on either group of foreign subsidiaries. In addition, the size of the parent
bank has a positive and significant impact on the capitalization of its subsidiaries in developed
countries, which could indicate that large multinational banks tend to have higher
capitalization in developed countries, where the banking sector is highly competitive.
Table 4.
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The coefficient of the dummy variable, Crisis, seems to be significantly positive only for
foreign subsidiaries operating in developed countries. This shows that the capitalization of
subsidiaries in these countries is strongly linked to the economic situation of the host country.
Taking into account the integration of financial markets and banking sectors, regulatory
authorities in developed countries require strong capitalization in the foreign subsidiaries
operating in their markets.
The regulatory index of the home country seems to affect the two groups of subsidiaries
differently.
Parent banks from countries that practice stricter banking regulations reduce the capitalization
of their foreign subsidiaries operating in developing countries, if they have the option to do
so. However, in host countries in the developed world, where banking regulation is usually
more stringent, parent banks have to increase the capitalization of their subsidiaries.
Lastly, the sample had been divided into two sub-samples in order to explore the effect of the
integration of the subsidiary’s capitalization with the interbank market and to adjust for
market discipline.The interbank ratio is measured by interbank lending to borrowing.
The first sub-sample consists of banks with an interbank rate below one and is considered
highly interbank borrowing related. This means that the first group of foreign subsidiaries
finances their foreign loans from the interbank market, which is a risky strategy for many
banks in periods such as the recent crisis. However, an interbank ratio above one means that
the foreign subsidiary is well-positioned in the interbank market, and so it hadn’t been forced
to take loans during the recent crisis. This reflects the assertion that other banks have the
ability to monitor their peers in the interbank market (Nier and Baumann, 2006) and they have
the incentive, because interbank deposits are not typically covered by deposit protection
schemes.
We expect that the integration of the foreign subsidiary with the interbank market has an
impact on its Regulatory Capitalization Ratio. The results of these estimations are presented
in Table 5.
Globally, the results show that CARs are more dependent on subsidiary fundamentals that are
highly related to the interbank market. The coefficient of loan loss provision of the
subsidiaries seems positively significant for those that are heavily related to the interbank
market. This result suggests that the foreign subsidiary’s own financial fragility leads it to
increase its CAR.
The size variable seems to be negatively significant only for foreign subsidiaries that are
highly related to the interbank market. This implies that the larger subsidiaries that are highly
integrated in the banking sector in the host country can diversify their risk portfolio, thus
opting to reduce their CAR. The profitability of the subsidiary has a significant impact on
both groups. This effect is stronger for those foreign banks that can borrow in the interbank
market.
Regarding the sub-sample of foreign subsidiaries that are slightly related to the interbank
market, the impact from their parent bank’s capitalization is significant. This may be
explained by the fact that the subsidiary’s funding strategy is dependent on its parent bank,
and its capitalization level depends on the parent bank’s global risk portfolio. Their loan loss
provision and NIM variables specifically, are significantly positive for the second group of
subsidiaries. This shows that the subsidiaries with a better position in the interbank market are
not overly controlled in the host country markets and their level of regulatory capital depends
on the loan quality and operational performance of their parent bank.
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Table 5. Capital Adequacy Ratio and Interbank Dependency
We also document that macroeconomic variables of the host country play an important role in
the capitalization of the subsidiaries which are highly related to the interbank market.
Therefore, we find that the CAR depends significantly on the GDP growth in the country.
This implies that foreign subsidiaries operating in the interbank market are dependent on the
monetary and financial conditions in their host countries. However, all macroeconomic
variables are insignificant for foreign subsidiaries with low dependence on the interbank
market.
Conclusion
The study investigates the determinants of the CAR of foreign subsidiaries. We provide
strong evidence that the CAR of subsidiaries operating in developed and developing countries
do not depend on the same explanatory factors. We illustrate that the fragility of parent banks
affects the capitalization of their foreign subsidiaries. This is important, especially when the
foreign subsidiary operates in a developed country. This emphasizes the fundamental role
played by multinational banks in the stability of the global banking system.
In addition, our empirical findings show that the regulatory framework of a parent bank’s
home country affects the capitalization of its foreign subsidiaries in the host countries.
Another important finding relates to the role of the interbank market in determining the CAR
of subsidiaries. We conclude that the parent bank’s effect is stronger for foreign banks highly
related to the interbank market.
Our results are important due to the implications of an increased opening of the banking
sector in developing countries to multinational banks. We document that the monetary
authorities in developing countries, especially central banks seeking the stability of their
banking sectors, should impose more stringent regulations on foreign subsidiaries, as it could
result in enhanced financial risk in these countries.
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14
Table .1 Variable Definitions
Variable Description Source
Specific variables CAR Capital adequacy ratio Bankscope
Size The logarithm of total assets of foreign
subsidiaries and parent banks. Bankscope
Deposits Total deposit divided by the total assets of
subsidiary or parent bank deposits. Bankscope
Loans The ratio of total loans to total assets Bankscope
Loan loss provision Ratio of loan loss provisions to net loans Bankscope
ROA Return on Asset Bankscope
NIM Net Interest Margin Bankscope
Macro-variables GDP Yearly change in GDP growth World Bank
Development Indicators
Interest rate
Real interest rate is the lending interest rate
adjusted for inflation as measured by the GDP
deflator.
World Bank
Development Indicators
Exchange rate Exchange Rate from Local currency to USD World Bank
Development Indicators
Crisis Dummy variable equal to 1 if the year 2007 or
2008 and 0 if not. Authors construction
Table 2. Summary statistics of financial fundamentals of multinational parent banks
and foreign subsidiaries
Subsidiaries Parent banks
All Subsidiaries
Developing Developed
Mean Std. Dev.
Mean Std. Dev. Mean Std. Dev. Mean Std. Dev.
CAR 12.423 3.739
13.847 1.782 11.753 4.742 15.847 1.487
Size 9.853 1.853
11.901 1.843 9.042 1.923 12.853 2.361
Deposit 0.654 13.01
0.536 7.019 0.742 17.572 0.526 2.803
Loan ratio 0.735 1.634
0.530 1.937 1.831 3.729 0.638 1.172
NIM 0.051 0.734
0.052 0.824 0.049 1.946 0.092 2.063
Lon_loss_Prov 12.963 1.830
11.903 1.642 14.610 2.053 17.121 1.452
ROA 0.263 2.371
0.372 2.492 0.118 2.578 0.413 1.659
15
Table 3. Capital Adequacy Ratio (CAR) estimation
Model (1) Model (2)
Model (3)
Subsidiary characteristics
Size -2.152
0.134 2.377
(1.445)
(1.750) (0.986)
Dep_Total_asset 0.021
0.625 -0.314
(0.103)
(0.183) (0.193)
Lon_loss_ Prov 0.826***
0.985*** 0.742*
(3.471)
(4.1983) (1.934)
Loan ratio_prov -0.624
0.376 0.456
(0.255)
(0.271) (0.145)
ROA 1.279
0.789 0.856
(0.587)
(0.845) (0.273)
Dep_Total_asset -0.578
0.457 0.954
(0.561)
(1.487) (1.961)
NIM 0.0 27
1.399 -0.273
(0.264)
(0.153) (0.843)
Host country variables
GPD growth 1.162***
2.298 1.324
(3.181)
(0.125) (0.894)
Interest rate - 0.874***
-3.978* 0.214*
(4.429)
(2.190) (2.104)
Exchange rate 0.267
0.295 0.964
( 0.821)
(0.538) (0.832)
Parent bank characteristics
Size
-3.742***
- 4.642***
(9.692) (11.034)
Dep_Total_asset
-0.388 0.286
(0.822) (0.528)
Lon_loss_ Prov
0.178* 0.247
(2.092) (0.217)
Loan ratio_prov
0.282 -0.964
(0.065) ( 0.959)
ROA
- 0.021 -0.779
(0.949) ( 0.347)
Dep_Total_asset
0.722 -1.386
(1.852 ) (1.275)
NIM
0.683* 0.247
( 2.248) (0.243)
Home Countryvariables
GDP Growth
- 1.247*** -2.842***
(3.842) ( 2.747)
Crisis
1.748***
(4.248)
Constante 12.279***
3.135*** 9.894***
(4.216)
(6.311) (2.389)
R-squared 0.357
0.368 0.247
Note. The table reports the fixed effects panel estimation results. The dependent variable is the change in capital
adequacy ratio of foreign subsidiaries (ΔCAR). Size is The logarithm of total assets of foreign subsidiaries and parent
banks. Deposits is the Total deposit to total assets of subsidiary or parent bank deposits Loans is The ratio of total loans
to total assets. Loan loss provision is the Ratio of loan loss provisions to net loans.ROA is the Return on Asset. NIM is
the Net Interest Margin.GDP is the Yearly change in GDP growth Real interest rate is the lending interest rate adjusted
for inflation as measured by the GDP deflator. Exchange rate is the Exchange Rate from Local currency to USD. Crisis is
a Dummy variable that equals 1 if the year 2007 or 2008 and 0 if not.. T-student statistics are reported between
parenthesis. ***,**, * denote significance at the 1%, 5% and 10% levels, respectively.
16
Table 4. The capital adequacy ratio with distinction between developed and developing countries
developing
developed
Model (1) Model (2) Model (3)
Model (1) Model (2) Model (3)
Subsidiary characteristics
Size -2.862** 1.145 -2.933*** 1.287 -3.375*** -3.876***
(1.983) (0.093) (3.234) (1.631) (2.450) (7.973)
Dep_Total_asset 0.242 -0.727 -0.838 0.982 0.347 1.463***
(0.644) (0.116) (0.426) (0.191) (0.215) (2.285)
Loan_loss_ Prov 1.734*** 1.380** 0.246*** 0.340 0.871 0.642
(11.286) (1.938) (7.921) (0.239) (0.826) (0.875)
Loan ratio -0.246 -0.237 -0.848 0.911 -0.842 -0.851
(0.796) (0.756) (0.74) (0.231) (0.309) (0.422)
ROA 3.784*** 1.197*** 3.984* 0.864 1.374 0.347
(8.765) (6.927) (1.834) (0.655) (0.235) (0.643)
Dep_Total_asset -1.315 -1.279 -1.474 -2.363 -12.153 6.678
(0.455) (1.034) (1.466) (1.268) (0.096) (0.245)
NIM -0.276 0.562 0.768 2.784 3.836 2.967
(0.257) (0.002) (0.1 38) (0.368) ( 0.724) (1.569)
Host country variables
GPD growth -2.679*** -1.231*** -4.741*** 0.853* 1.274 -3.582***
(4.376) (3.863) (11.573) (1.725) (0.967) (1.905)
Interest rate -3.724*** -1.325*** -2.262* 0.563 -0.356 -1.987
(5.281) (4.246) (1.764) (0.254) (0.425) (1.054)
Exchange rate 0.637 2.996 2.466 0.752 1.327 1.865
( 0.711) (1.017) (1.398) (0.141) (0.459) (1.245)
Parent bank characteristics
Size
2.246 4.268
-2. 974** -3.792*
(0.622) (1.124)
(2.374) (1.864)
Dep_Total_asset
- 0.735 0.853
0.624 0.727
(0.2833) (0.357)
(0.956) (0.289)
Lon_loss_ Prov
0.748** 0.482*
1.952 *** 1.630***
(2.574) (1.723)
(4.976) (3.249)
Loan ratio
1.131 0.246
-0.265 0.987
(0.724) (1.266)
(0.099) (0.644)
ROA
-0.207 0.817
-0.927*** -0.294***
(0.245) (0.294)
(3.294) ( 5.291)
Dep_Total_asset
0.762 5.874
1.127 9.736
(0.657) (0.867)
( 1.163) (4.752)
NIM
-0.225 0.865
2.756 1.259**
(0.566) (0.901)
( 1.365) (2.187)
Country of origine variables
GDP Growth
-0.732
-1.532 ***
( 0.365) ( 14.825)
Crisis
1.346 0.875***
(0.546) (4.638)
Regulation Index
-3.273** 2.786***
(2.134) (4.253)
Constant 4.629** 10.653** 5.869 9.687 8.946 17.959
(3.654) (6.267) (3.979) (6.828) (13.946) (6.546)
R-squared 0.476 0.343 0.392 0.481 0.274 0.397
Note. The table reports the fixed effects panel estimation results. The dependent variable is the change in capital adequacy ratio
of foreign subsidiaries (ΔCAR). Size is The logarithm of total assets of foreign subsidiaries and parent banks. Deposits is the
total deposit to total assets of subsidiary or parent bank deposits. Loans is The ratio of total loans to total assets. Loan loss
provision is the Ratio of loan loss provisions to net loans.ROA is the Return on Asset. NIM is the Net Interest Margin.GDP is
the Yearly change in GDP growth. Real interest rate is the lending interest rate adjusted for inflation as measured by the GDP
deflator. Exchange rate is the Exchange Rate from Local currency to USD Regulation Indexes the Capital Regulation Index of
home country as an additional explanatory variable. This index was developed by the World Bank surveys on bank regulation
(2003, 2007 and 2011). Crisis is a Dummy variable that equals 1 if the year 2007 or 2008 and 0 if not.. T-student statistics are
reported between parenthesis. ***,**, * denote significance at the 1%, 5% and 10% levels, respectively.
17
Table 5. Capital adequacy ratio and interbank dependency
Interbank<1
Interbank>1
Model (1) Model (2) Model (3)
Model (1) Model (2) Model (3)
Subsidiary characteristics
Size -1.836** -5.137** -4.931*** -4.247 -5.147 -0.861
(1.996) (2.033) (5.979) (0.934) (1.272) (1.346)
Dep_Total_asset 0.456 -0.289 -0.124 0.274 0.275 0.829
(0.153) (0.236) (0.9967) (0.941) (0.753) (0.975)
Lon_loss_ Prov 2.875*** 1.794** 4.385*** 0.975 -0.654 0.086
(3.790) (2.312) (6.876) (0.817) (0.138) (0.722)
Loan ratio -0.247 0.728* 0.497* 0.846 0.842 0.844
(0.982) (0.976) (0.147) (0.156) (0.145) (0.566)
ROA -0.866***
-
0.371*** -0.214*** -4.431*** -3.273*** -3.835***
(3.266) (6.583) (12.1 48) (4.325) ( 11.134) (13.644)
Dep_Total_asset -1.567 -1.204 -1.403 -2.234 -12.272 6.754
(0.275) (0.848) (0.375) (0.865) (0.737) (0.745)
NIM 0.967 0.649 0.257 0.552 1.754 -0.725
(0.756) (0.780) (0.870) (0.876) (0.276) (0.685)
Host country variables
GPD growth 0.623
-
1.387*** -0.972* 0.194 0.943 -0.558
(1.305) (2.476) (1.678) (0.537) (0.125) (0.937)
Interest rate 0.347 -0.969 -0.0578 0.496 0.976 0.134
(0.958) (0.365) (0.266) (0.032) (0.004) (1.067)
Exchange rate 0.724 2.024 2.772 0.624 1.321 1.688
( 0.767) (1.247) (1.127) (0.782) (0.024) (0.004)
Parent bank characteristics
Size
-2.281 4.634
2. 764*** 3.876***
(0.674) (0.268)
(4.876) (2.985)
Dep_Total_asset
- 0.357 0.256
0.275 0.377
(0.825) (0.724)
(0.024) (0.264)
Lon_loss_ Prov
0.981 -0.278
3.234*** 7.274**
(0.361) (0.482)
(2.731) (2.347)
Loan ratio
0.452 0.636
-0.258 0.255
(0.356) (0.737)
(0.266) (0.169)
ROA
-0.883 0.675
-0.573 0.767
(0.437) (0.356)
(0.357) ( 0.424)
Dep_Total_asset
0.7367 7.523
-1.536 -2.357
(1.567) (0.677)
( 1.357) (0.863)
NIM
-0.289 0.458
1.095*** 1.689***
(0.502) (0.493)
( 6.244) (5.567)
Country of origin variables
GDP Growth
0.478
0.257
(0.838)
(0.005)
Crisis
0.376
0.536
(0.257)
( 0.003)
Constant 6.836 9.964 11.536 9.857 14.477 11.834
(6.456) (4.674) (3.838) (6.674) (7.653) (6.737)
R-squared 0.3765 0.474 0.254 0.456 0.256 0.367
Note. The table reports the fixed effects panel estimation results. The dependent variable is the change in capital adequacy
ratio of foreign subsidiaries (ΔCAR). Size is The logarithm of total assets of foreign subsidiaries and parent banks. Deposits is
the Total deposit to total assets of subsidiary or parent bank deposits Loans is The ratio of total loans to total assets Loan loss
provision is the Ratio of loan loss provisions to net loans.ROA is the Return on Asset. NIM is the Net Interest Margin.GDP is
the Yearly change in GDP growth Real interest rate is the lending interest rate adjusted for inflation as measured by the GDP
deflator. Exchange rate is the Exchange Rate from Local currency to USD. Crisis is a Dummy variable that equals 1 if the
year 2007 or 2008 and 0 if not.. T-student statistics are reported between parenthesis. ***,**, * denote significance at the 1%,
5% and 10% levels, respectively.