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Working Papers in Health Volume 3 Department of Health Ca Andrew Street, David Sch Alexander Geissler and Re Determinant and performa Methods, models for the EuroDRG p Policy and Management are Management heller-Kreinsen, einhard Busse ts of hospital co ance variation: and variables project May 2010 osts :

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Page 1: Determinants of hospital costs and performance variation WPplaintex… · Determinants of hospital costs and performance variation Working Papers in Health Policy and Management Andrew

Working Papers in Health Policy and Management

Volume 3

Department of Health Care Management

Andrew Street, David Scheller

Alexander Geissler and Reinhard Busse

Determinants of hospital costs

and performance variation

Methods, models and variables

for the EuroDRG project

Working Papers in Health Policy and Management

Department of Health Care Management

Andrew Street, David Scheller-Kreinsen,

Reinhard Busse

Determinants of hospital costs

and performance variation:

Methods, models and variables

EuroDRG project

May 2010

Determinants of hospital costs

:

Page 2: Determinants of hospital costs and performance variation WPplaintex… · Determinants of hospital costs and performance variation Working Papers in Health Policy and Management Andrew

Determinants of hospital costs and performance variation

Working Papers in Health Policy and Management

Andrew Street,1 David Scheller

Determinants of hospital co

variables for the EuroDRG project

Working Papers in Health Policy and Management

Volume 3

May 2010

1 Andrew Street is a professor of Health Economics and

in the Centre for Health Economics

2 David Scheller-Kreinsen and Alexander Geissler

of Health Care Management at the

3 Reinhard Busse is a professor and head

at the Berlin University of Technology

EDITOR-IN-CHIEF / HERAUSGEBER DER

Prof. Dr. med. Reinhard Busse

EDITOR / REDAKTEUR

Matthew Gaskins

PUBLISHER AND DISTRIBUTOR / V

Universitätsverlag der Technischen Universität Berlin

Universitätsbibliothek

Fasanenstr. 88 (im VOLKSWAGEN

Tel.: +49 30 314 76131; Fax.:

e-mail: [email protected]

http://www.univerlag.tu-berlin.de/

ISBN 978-3-7983-2124-3

© FG Management im Gesundheitswesen, Technische Universität Berlin

Dieses Werk ist urheberrechtlich geschützt. Die dadurch begründeten Rechte, insbesondere die der Übersetzung, des

Nachdrucks, des Vortrags, der Entnahme von Abbildungen und Tabellen, der Funksendung, der Mikroverfilmung oder

der Vervielfältigung auf anderen Wegen und der Speicherung in Datenverarbeitungsanlagen, bleiben, auch bei nur

auszugsweiser Verwertung, vorbehalten. Eine Vervielfältigung dieses Werkes oder von Teilen dieses Werkes ist auch im

Einzelfall nur in den Grenzen der gesetzlichen Bestimmungen

Deutschland vom 9. September 1965 in der jeweils geltenden Fassung zulässig. Sie ist grundsätzlich vergütungspflichtig.

Zuwiderhandlungen unterliegen den Strafbestimmungen des Urheberrechtsgesetzes.

eterminants of hospital costs and performance variation

Working Papers in Health Policy and Management, Vol. 3/2010

David Scheller-Kreinsen,2 Alexander Geissler2 and Reinhard Busse

eterminants of hospital costs and performance variation: Methods, models and

for the EuroDRG project

Working Papers in Health Policy and Management

rofessor of Health Economics and director of the Health Policy team

in the Centre for Health Economics (CHE) at the University of York, UK.

Kreinsen and Alexander Geissler are research fellows in

Care Management at the Berlin University of Technology, Germany.

rofessor and head of the Department of Health Care Management

Berlin University of Technology, Germany.

ERAUSGEBER DER SCHRIFTENREIHE

Prof. Dr. med. Reinhard Busse

VERLAG UND VERTRIEB

Universitätsverlag der Technischen Universität Berlin

Fasanenstr. 88 (im VOLKSWAGEN-Haus), D-10623 Berlin

76131; Fax.: +49 30 314 76133

ail: [email protected]

berlin.de/

© FG Management im Gesundheitswesen, Technische Universität Berlin

Dieses Werk ist urheberrechtlich geschützt. Die dadurch begründeten Rechte, insbesondere die der Übersetzung, des

Nachdrucks, des Vortrags, der Entnahme von Abbildungen und Tabellen, der Funksendung, der Mikroverfilmung oder

n Wegen und der Speicherung in Datenverarbeitungsanlagen, bleiben, auch bei nur

auszugsweiser Verwertung, vorbehalten. Eine Vervielfältigung dieses Werkes oder von Teilen dieses Werkes ist auch im

Einzelfall nur in den Grenzen der gesetzlichen Bestimmungen des Urheberrechtsgesetzes der Bundesrepublik

Deutschland vom 9. September 1965 in der jeweils geltenden Fassung zulässig. Sie ist grundsätzlich vergütungspflichtig.

Zuwiderhandlungen unterliegen den Strafbestimmungen des Urheberrechtsgesetzes.

I

Reinhard Busse3

ethods, models and

irector of the Health Policy team

llows in the Department

, Germany.

of the Department of Health Care Management

Dieses Werk ist urheberrechtlich geschützt. Die dadurch begründeten Rechte, insbesondere die der Übersetzung, des

Nachdrucks, des Vortrags, der Entnahme von Abbildungen und Tabellen, der Funksendung, der Mikroverfilmung oder

n Wegen und der Speicherung in Datenverarbeitungsanlagen, bleiben, auch bei nur

auszugsweiser Verwertung, vorbehalten. Eine Vervielfältigung dieses Werkes oder von Teilen dieses Werkes ist auch im

des Urheberrechtsgesetzes der Bundesrepublik

Deutschland vom 9. September 1965 in der jeweils geltenden Fassung zulässig. Sie ist grundsätzlich vergütungspflichtig.

Page 3: Determinants of hospital costs and performance variation WPplaintex… · Determinants of hospital costs and performance variation Working Papers in Health Policy and Management Andrew

Determinants of hospital costs and performance variation

Working Papers in Health Policy and Management

The EuroDRG project

Payment mechanisms represent one of the fundamental building blocks of any health

system, introducing powerful incentives for actors in the system and

design challenges. Inpatient case p

groups (DRGs), are used nowadays

seek to reimburse providers fairly for the work they undertake. Moreover, they intend to

encourage efficient delivery and to discourage the provision of unnecessary

Thereby are thought to overcome some of the drawbacks of more traditional hospital

reimbursement systems. A case payment system that fulfils these hopes requires

carefully balanced incentives as well as a methodologically sound system. Especially

DRGs need to accurately reflect the resources and costs of treating a given patient.

Fierce debate among practitioners, researchers and the public indicates that case

payments still pose considerable technical and policy challenges, and many unresolved

issues in their implementation remain. For example the HealthBASKET, project showed

that DRG systems differ greatly between European Member States. One of the key

conclusions of HealthBASKET was that structural components may play an even more

important role than heterogeneity of treatment patters in cost variations within an

episode of care. In this context, many European DRG systems may be heading in the

wrong direction by concentrating almost exclusively on refining the medical classification

of DRGs. In addition, over the last decade the Europeanization of health service markets

generated pressure on national reimbursement systems. Increasing patient mobility

caused growing health system interconnectedness. The EuroDRG project scrutin

challenges. Part one concentrates on the complexities of case payments for hospitals in

national contexts. Special emphasis is put on identifying those factors, which are crucial

for (1) calculating adequate case payments, (2) examining hospital efficiency within

countries and across Europe fairly and (3) studying the relationship between costs and

the quality of care provided in hospitals. The project uses comparative analyses of DRG

systems across 10 European countries embedded in various types of health systems

(Austria, Estonia, Finland, France, Germany, the Netherlands, Poland, Spain, Sweden,

Ireland, UK). The second part of the project seeks to identify pan

hospital case payment by conducting cost analysis across European countries.

Furthermore, the systemic factors, which are crucial for successful policy design in a

slowly emerging pan-European hospital market, will be identified. Special emphasis is

placed on (1) identifying ways to calculate these payments in an adequate fashion, (2)

examining hospital efficiency within and across European countries, and (3) identifying

factors that affect the relationship between the costs

Acknowledgements

The review presented in this working paper

“EuroDRG – Diagnosis-related groups in Europe: towards efficiency and quality

(www.eurodrg.eu), which is funded by the European

Framework Programme.

eterminants of hospital costs and performance variation

Working Papers in Health Policy and Management, Vol. 3/2010

project

Payment mechanisms represent one of the fundamental building blocks of any health

system, introducing powerful incentives for actors in the system and important

. Inpatient case payments, mainly referred to as diagnosis

nowadays as a payment mechanism with ambitious aims: they

seek to reimburse providers fairly for the work they undertake. Moreover, they intend to

encourage efficient delivery and to discourage the provision of unnecessary

Thereby are thought to overcome some of the drawbacks of more traditional hospital

reimbursement systems. A case payment system that fulfils these hopes requires

carefully balanced incentives as well as a methodologically sound system. Especially

DRGs need to accurately reflect the resources and costs of treating a given patient.

Fierce debate among practitioners, researchers and the public indicates that case

payments still pose considerable technical and policy challenges, and many unresolved

ssues in their implementation remain. For example the HealthBASKET, project showed

that DRG systems differ greatly between European Member States. One of the key

conclusions of HealthBASKET was that structural components may play an even more

e than heterogeneity of treatment patters in cost variations within an

episode of care. In this context, many European DRG systems may be heading in the

wrong direction by concentrating almost exclusively on refining the medical classification

addition, over the last decade the Europeanization of health service markets

generated pressure on national reimbursement systems. Increasing patient mobility

caused growing health system interconnectedness. The EuroDRG project scrutin

. Part one concentrates on the complexities of case payments for hospitals in

national contexts. Special emphasis is put on identifying those factors, which are crucial

for (1) calculating adequate case payments, (2) examining hospital efficiency within

untries and across Europe fairly and (3) studying the relationship between costs and

the quality of care provided in hospitals. The project uses comparative analyses of DRG

systems across 10 European countries embedded in various types of health systems

ustria, Estonia, Finland, France, Germany, the Netherlands, Poland, Spain, Sweden,

Ireland, UK). The second part of the project seeks to identify pan-European issues in

hospital case payment by conducting cost analysis across European countries.

e, the systemic factors, which are crucial for successful policy design in a

European hospital market, will be identified. Special emphasis is

placed on (1) identifying ways to calculate these payments in an adequate fashion, (2)

ing hospital efficiency within and across European countries, and (3) identifying

factors that affect the relationship between the costs and quality of inpatient care.

Acknowledgements

presented in this working paper was generated in the conte

related groups in Europe: towards efficiency and quality

which is funded by the European Commission under t

II

Payment mechanisms represent one of the fundamental building blocks of any health

important technical

ayments, mainly referred to as diagnosis-related

as a payment mechanism with ambitious aims: they

seek to reimburse providers fairly for the work they undertake. Moreover, they intend to

encourage efficient delivery and to discourage the provision of unnecessary services.

Thereby are thought to overcome some of the drawbacks of more traditional hospital

reimbursement systems. A case payment system that fulfils these hopes requires

carefully balanced incentives as well as a methodologically sound system. Especially,

DRGs need to accurately reflect the resources and costs of treating a given patient.

Fierce debate among practitioners, researchers and the public indicates that case

payments still pose considerable technical and policy challenges, and many unresolved

ssues in their implementation remain. For example the HealthBASKET, project showed

that DRG systems differ greatly between European Member States. One of the key

conclusions of HealthBASKET was that structural components may play an even more

e than heterogeneity of treatment patters in cost variations within an

episode of care. In this context, many European DRG systems may be heading in the

wrong direction by concentrating almost exclusively on refining the medical classification

addition, over the last decade the Europeanization of health service markets

generated pressure on national reimbursement systems. Increasing patient mobility

caused growing health system interconnectedness. The EuroDRG project scrutinizes these

. Part one concentrates on the complexities of case payments for hospitals in

national contexts. Special emphasis is put on identifying those factors, which are crucial

for (1) calculating adequate case payments, (2) examining hospital efficiency within

untries and across Europe fairly and (3) studying the relationship between costs and

the quality of care provided in hospitals. The project uses comparative analyses of DRG

systems across 10 European countries embedded in various types of health systems

ustria, Estonia, Finland, France, Germany, the Netherlands, Poland, Spain, Sweden,

European issues in

hospital case payment by conducting cost analysis across European countries.

e, the systemic factors, which are crucial for successful policy design in a

European hospital market, will be identified. Special emphasis is

placed on (1) identifying ways to calculate these payments in an adequate fashion, (2)

ing hospital efficiency within and across European countries, and (3) identifying

and quality of inpatient care.

was generated in the context of the project

related groups in Europe: towards efficiency and quality”

under the Seventh

Page 4: Determinants of hospital costs and performance variation WPplaintex… · Determinants of hospital costs and performance variation Working Papers in Health Policy and Management Andrew

Determinants of hospital costs and performance variation

Working Papers in Health Policy and Management

Contents

1 Introduction................................

2 Conceptual and methodological framework

2.1 Analysis of patient-level costs

2.2 Analysis of patient-level length of stay

2.3 Analysis of hospital-

3 Explanatory factors

3.1 Patient-level variables

3.2 Hospital characteristics

3.2.1 Teaching status ................................

3.2.2 Ownership ................................

3.2.3 Volume of activity: economies of scale

3.2.4 Range of activity: specialization versus economies of scope

3.2.5 Quality ................................

3.2.6 Technological equipment

3.2.7 Geographical variation in input costs

3.2.8 Geographical location

Appendix ................................

1 Examining hospital performance

2 Specification choices

2.1 Transformation of variables

2.2 Total vs. average cost function

2.3 Functional form ................................

2.4 Input variables ................................

2.5 Outputs ................................

2.6 Environmental variables

2.7 Weights ................................

2.8 Dynamic nature of production

2.9 Modelling the error term

2.10 One versus two stage estimation

3 Efficiency analysis ................................

3.1 The main approaches to efficiency analysis: SFA and DEA

3.2 Comparing DEA and SFA

References ................................

eterminants of hospital costs and performance variation

Working Papers in Health Policy and Management, Vol. 3/2010

................................................................................................

Conceptual and methodological framework ................................

level costs ................................................................

level length of stay ................................................................

-level costs ................................................................

Explanatory factors ............................................................................................

level variables ................................................................................................

Hospital characteristics ............................................................................................

................................................................................................

................................................................................................

activity: economies of scale................................................................

Range of activity: specialization versus economies of scope ................................

................................................................................................

l equipment ................................................................

Geographical variation in input costs ................................................................

Geographical location ..............................................................................................

................................................................................................

Examining hospital performance – the nature of the problem ..........................

Specification choices ................................................................

Transformation of variables ................................................................

Total vs. average cost function ................................................................

................................................................................................

................................................................................................

................................................................................................

riables ...........................................................................................

................................................................................................

Dynamic nature of production ................................................................

Modelling the error term ................................................................

One versus two stage estimation ................................................................

............................................................................................

The main approaches to efficiency analysis: SFA and DEA ................................

Comparing DEA and SFA...........................................................................................

................................................................................................

III

....................................... 1

....................................................... 4

.................................................... 4

...................................... 6

................................................... 7

............................ 8

................................ 8

............................ 10

......................................... 11

................................................ 12

.................................... 14

.................................. 15

...................................................... 16

......................................................... 17

...................................... 19

.............................. 20

.................................................... 21

.......................... 21

....................................................... 23

..................................................... 23

................................................ 24

........................................ 25

.......................................... 28

..................................................... 29

........................... 30

.................................................... 32

................................................. 33

......................................................... 33

............................................. 34

............................ 34

...................................... 34

........................... 37

................................................. 40

Page 5: Determinants of hospital costs and performance variation WPplaintex… · Determinants of hospital costs and performance variation Working Papers in Health Policy and Management Andrew

Determinants of hospital costs and performance variation

1 Introduction

The use of case payments intends to provide incentives for cost containment,

efficiency and – at least in its theoretical formulation

1985). Although diagnosis

countries, hospital costs do not

variations in hospital cost structures persist

observation, various theoretical considerations

extend the scope of DRG systems to private sections of the hosp

in England or in France, have

for specific health care services can be applied across hospitals.

Instead, researchers are increasingly recognizing

can be due to differences in the following categories of explanatory variables:

(1) patient mix (e.g. age, gender, socio

(2) diagnostics and treatment (both regarding the

technologies as well as the inten

“hospital/medical decision variables”),

(3) costs per unit of staff or technology (determined either by the hospital managers

or being beyond their control

(4) the factors that are incl

variations in costs would then be explained through the way costs are calculated,

and what might be structurally left out).

The new paradigm in academ

al. 2008b), which takes cost variation due to factors beyond the control of hospital

managers into account. The underlying rationale is that the funding formula has to

take account of “legitimate

structural variables) in order to avoid incentivizing unintended consequences in the

hospital sector such as patient selection, lower quality of care, creaming, skimping

and dumping (Dormont and Milcent 2004)

eterminants of hospital costs and performance variation

The use of case payments intends to provide incentives for cost containment,

at least in its theoretical formulation – to reward quality

diagnosis-related groups (DRGs) have been used for years

countries, hospital costs do not appear to have converged; indeed,

variations in hospital cost structures persist (Busse et al. 2008b). This empirical

observation, various theoretical considerations, and recent policy initiatives to

extend the scope of DRG systems to private sections of the hospital market

have led many to rethink the idea that a uniform payment

for specific health care services can be applied across hospitals.

are increasingly recognizing that differences in costs per DRG

an be due to differences in the following categories of explanatory variables:

patient mix (e.g. age, gender, socio-economic status, severity),

(2) diagnostics and treatment (both regarding the use/mix of new and emerging

technologies as well as the intensity, e.g. physician or nursing time

“hospital/medical decision variables”),

(3) costs per unit of staff or technology (determined either by the hospital managers

or being beyond their control – “structural variables”) and

(4) the factors that are included in the costs calculations (hence, the observed

variations in costs would then be explained through the way costs are calculated,

and what might be structurally left out).

The new paradigm in academia is therefore to establish a fair playing field

, which takes cost variation due to factors beyond the control of hospital

managers into account. The underlying rationale is that the funding formula has to

legitimate” cost heterogeneity (due to patient, treatment or

tural variables) in order to avoid incentivizing unintended consequences in the

hospital sector such as patient selection, lower quality of care, creaming, skimping

(Dormont and Milcent 2004).

1

The use of case payments intends to provide incentives for cost containment,

to reward quality (Shleifer

have been used for years in many

d; indeed, rather large

. This empirical

recent policy initiatives to

ital market, such as

led many to rethink the idea that a uniform payment

that differences in costs per DRG

an be due to differences in the following categories of explanatory variables:

mix of new and emerging

sity, e.g. physician or nursing time –

(3) costs per unit of staff or technology (determined either by the hospital managers

uded in the costs calculations (hence, the observed

variations in costs would then be explained through the way costs are calculated,

ia is therefore to establish a fair playing field (Mason et

, which takes cost variation due to factors beyond the control of hospital

managers into account. The underlying rationale is that the funding formula has to

cost heterogeneity (due to patient, treatment or

tural variables) in order to avoid incentivizing unintended consequences in the

hospital sector such as patient selection, lower quality of care, creaming, skimping

Page 6: Determinants of hospital costs and performance variation WPplaintex… · Determinants of hospital costs and performance variation Working Papers in Health Policy and Management Andrew

Determinants of hospital costs and performance variation

The purpose of this review is to examine the international evidence for existing

instruments, systems or concepts for measuring and explaining differences in

hospital costs. Costs here are defined as costs to the hospital to produce services

rather than cost to purchasers (“pric

hospital.

The intention is to review

“hospital/medical decision variables”. The key question is to assess t

(in)adequacyof existing DRG

identify the structural or regional criteria that might need to be considered in

analyzing hospital costs.

The review can be divided into two parts. The first will inform the analytical models

applied in the analysis of p

of stay (as a proxy for cost) of the EuroDRG project. The objectives of these two

approaches are the same, namely:

• To calculate costs (or length of stay) per case for each defined episode of care

per country;

• To estimate cost (or length of stay) functions for each episode of care and

joint functions including all care episodes utilizing the full set of explanatory

variables across countries;

• To explore which adjustment factors explain variation in

length of stay) per country;

• To elaborate how far the DRG

empirically analysed variation in costs (or length of stay) into account, and

adequately capturing the

Empirical studies of variation in hospital costs fall into two camps: those based on

analysis of the costs of individual patients and those

analyse costs reported at hospital level. In this review, we consider how patient

and hospital-level data are related and outline the approaches to analyzing these

data. The second part of the review

appears in the appendix to maintain a short and concise core text. This part of the

eterminants of hospital costs and performance variation

iew is to examine the international evidence for existing

instruments, systems or concepts for measuring and explaining differences in

hospital costs. Costs here are defined as costs to the hospital to produce services

rather than cost to purchasers (“price”), which is revenue from the point of the

The intention is to review but go beyond consideration of patient case

“hospital/medical decision variables”. The key question is to assess t

of existing DRG systems with regard to their (risk-)adjustment and to

identify the structural or regional criteria that might need to be considered in

The review can be divided into two parts. The first will inform the analytical models

applied in the analysis of patient-level cost data and in analyzing patient

of stay (as a proxy for cost) of the EuroDRG project. The objectives of these two

approaches are the same, namely:

To calculate costs (or length of stay) per case for each defined episode of care

To estimate cost (or length of stay) functions for each episode of care and

joint functions including all care episodes utilizing the full set of explanatory

variables across countries;

To explore which adjustment factors explain variation in hospital costs (or

length of stay) per country;

To elaborate how far the DRG classification of each country is taking this

empirically analysed variation in costs (or length of stay) into account, and

adequately capturing the “legitimate” heterogeneity.

Empirical studies of variation in hospital costs fall into two camps: those based on

analysis of the costs of individual patients and those – the vast majority

analyse costs reported at hospital level. In this review, we consider how patient

level data are related and outline the approaches to analyzing these

data. The second part of the review, which concentrates on hospital

appears in the appendix to maintain a short and concise core text. This part of the

2

iew is to examine the international evidence for existing

instruments, systems or concepts for measuring and explaining differences in

hospital costs. Costs here are defined as costs to the hospital to produce services

e”), which is revenue from the point of the

but go beyond consideration of patient case-mix and

“hospital/medical decision variables”. The key question is to assess the

)adjustment and to

identify the structural or regional criteria that might need to be considered in

The review can be divided into two parts. The first will inform the analytical models

level cost data and in analyzing patient-level length

of stay (as a proxy for cost) of the EuroDRG project. The objectives of these two

To calculate costs (or length of stay) per case for each defined episode of care

To estimate cost (or length of stay) functions for each episode of care and

joint functions including all care episodes utilizing the full set of explanatory

hospital costs (or

classification of each country is taking this

empirically analysed variation in costs (or length of stay) into account, and

Empirical studies of variation in hospital costs fall into two camps: those based on

the vast majority – that

analyse costs reported at hospital level. In this review, we consider how patient-level

level data are related and outline the approaches to analyzing these

which concentrates on hospital-level analysis,

appears in the appendix to maintain a short and concise core text. This part of the

Page 7: Determinants of hospital costs and performance variation WPplaintex… · Determinants of hospital costs and performance variation Working Papers in Health Policy and Management Andrew

Determinants of hospital costs and performance variation

review considers general specification choices as well as methods of efficiency

analysis.

Define ik

c as the cost of treating patient

straightforward to add together

to arrive at the hospital’s total cost:

1

I

k ik

i

TC c=

=∑

For those countries for which individual patient cost data are available, an analysis of

variation in individual patient costs

formulate models of patient costs in section 2.1.

In some countries, patient

used as a proxy for costs, at least for those episodes of care that are delivered in the

inpatient setting. The fact that the distributions of cost and length of stay differ

means that we have to adopt slightly different estimation procedures, and these are

outlined in section 2.2.

For completeness, in section 2.3 we also indicate how patient

are related to hospital-level cost functions typically analysed in the

literature.

The primary question of interest is: why do hospital costs or lengths of stay vary

among patients? Broadly speaking, costs or lengths of stay vary for two reasons:

• Firstly because patients have very different characteristics or are d

and treated differently (the first two sets of variables named above)

• Secondly because of the characteristics of the hospital where their treatment

is delivered (both within and beyond the control of hospital managers).

The research in the EuroDRG

these reasons. We discuss the type of patient characteristics and hospital

characteristics that should be accounted for in section 3.

eterminants of hospital costs and performance variation

considers general specification choices as well as methods of efficiency

as the cost of treating patient , 1...i i I= , in hospital , 1...k k K

straightforward to add together the costs for each individual patient in each hospital

to arrive at the hospital’s total cost:

For those countries for which individual patient cost data are available, an analysis of

variation in individual patient costs ikc will be undertaken. We consider how to

formulate models of patient costs in section 2.1.

patient-level cost data are unavailable, but length of stay can be

used as a proxy for costs, at least for those episodes of care that are delivered in the

inpatient setting. The fact that the distributions of cost and length of stay differ

at we have to adopt slightly different estimation procedures, and these are

For completeness, in section 2.3 we also indicate how patient-level cost functions

level cost functions typically analysed in the

The primary question of interest is: why do hospital costs or lengths of stay vary

among patients? Broadly speaking, costs or lengths of stay vary for two reasons:

Firstly because patients have very different characteristics or are d

and treated differently (the first two sets of variables named above)

Secondly because of the characteristics of the hospital where their treatment

is delivered (both within and beyond the control of hospital managers).

The research in the EuroDRG project is designed in a way to identify and disentangle

these reasons. We discuss the type of patient characteristics and hospital

characteristics that should be accounted for in section 3.

3

considers general specification choices as well as methods of efficiency

, 1...k k K= . It is

the costs for each individual patient in each hospital

(1)

For those countries for which individual patient cost data are available, an analysis of

will be undertaken. We consider how to

but length of stay can be

used as a proxy for costs, at least for those episodes of care that are delivered in the

inpatient setting. The fact that the distributions of cost and length of stay differ

at we have to adopt slightly different estimation procedures, and these are

level cost functions

level cost functions typically analysed in the empirical

The primary question of interest is: why do hospital costs or lengths of stay vary

among patients? Broadly speaking, costs or lengths of stay vary for two reasons:

Firstly because patients have very different characteristics or are diagnosed

and treated differently (the first two sets of variables named above)

Secondly because of the characteristics of the hospital where their treatment

is delivered (both within and beyond the control of hospital managers).

project is designed in a way to identify and disentangle

these reasons. We discuss the type of patient characteristics and hospital

Page 8: Determinants of hospital costs and performance variation WPplaintex… · Determinants of hospital costs and performance variation Working Papers in Health Policy and Management Andrew

Determinants of hospital costs and performance variation

2 Conceptual and methodological framework

2.1 Analysis of patient

If patient-level cost data are available, analysis of why costs differ among patients

can be undertaken by specifying a hierarchical or multi

recognizes that patients (level 1) are clustered within hospitals (level 2). The

might take the following general form:

1

N

ik n ik k ik

n

c α β ω ε=

= + + +∑ x

Where ikc is the cost of patient

describe patient i in hospital

(diagnosis, severity, co-morbidities) and socio

economic status etc.) characteristics as well as “hospital

i.e. diagnostics and treatment. These variables

section 3.1. kω captures the hospital influence on costs over and above the patient

characteristics while ikε is the standard disturbance.

Typically the distribution of

having much higher costs than the majority. So as to avoid these high cost patients

exerted undue influence on the estimated relationships, we convert costs into

logarithmic form, which serves to norm

Moreover, because there are only two levels to the hierarchy (patients clustered in

hospitals), equation (1) c

effects panel data models. Which model is most app

dataset being analysed can be established by a Hausman test

Whether estimated by applying a fixed or random effects model

“hospital effects” and can be interpreted as a measure of hospital performance,

higher values implying that this hospital’s costs are above average after taking into

account the characteristics of the patients being treated

choice and intensity of the diagnostics and treatment itself. These estimates (

can themselves be analysed to explore reasons why some hospitals appear to have

eterminants of hospital costs and performance variation

Conceptual and methodological framework

Analysis of patient-level costs

level cost data are available, analysis of why costs differ among patients

can be undertaken by specifying a hierarchical or multi-level model, which

s that patients (level 1) are clustered within hospitals (level 2). The

might take the following general form:

ik n ik k ikα β ω ε

is the cost of patient i in hospital k, ikx is a vector of n

in hospital k, regarding their “patient variables”, i.e. medical

morbidities) and socio-demographic (age, gender, socio

economic status etc.) characteristics as well as “hospital/medical decision variables”,

i.e. diagnostics and treatment. These variables will be described at greater length in

captures the hospital influence on costs over and above the patient

is the standard disturbance.

Typically the distribution of patient costs is positively skewed, with some patients

having much higher costs than the majority. So as to avoid these high cost patients

exerted undue influence on the estimated relationships, we convert costs into

logarithmic form, which serves to normalize the overall distribution of costs.

Moreover, because there are only two levels to the hierarchy (patients clustered in

hospitals), equation (1) can be estimated using standard fixed effects or random

panel data models. Which model is most appropriate for the particular

dataset being analysed can be established by a Hausman test (1978).

mated by applying a fixed or random effects model ω

and can be interpreted as a measure of hospital performance,

higher values implying that this hospital’s costs are above average after taking into

count the characteristics of the patients being treated (Hauck et al.

choice and intensity of the diagnostics and treatment itself. These estimates (

can themselves be analysed to explore reasons why some hospitals appear to have

4

level cost data are available, analysis of why costs differ among patients

level model, which

s that patients (level 1) are clustered within hospitals (level 2). The model

(2)

n variables that

their “patient variables”, i.e. medical

demographic (age, gender, socio-

medical decision variables”,

will be described at greater length in

captures the hospital influence on costs over and above the patient

patient costs is positively skewed, with some patients

having much higher costs than the majority. So as to avoid these high cost patients

exerted undue influence on the estimated relationships, we convert costs into

the overall distribution of costs.

Moreover, because there are only two levels to the hierarchy (patients clustered in

an be estimated using standard fixed effects or random

ropriate for the particular

kω are termed

and can be interpreted as a measure of hospital performance,

higher values implying that this hospital’s costs are above average after taking into

(Hauck et al. 2003) and the

choice and intensity of the diagnostics and treatment itself. These estimates ( ˆkω )

can themselves be analysed to explore reasons why some hospitals appear to have

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Determinants of hospital costs and performance variation

higher costs than others. For instance, costs may vary according to the volume of

activity if there are economies

specialist hospitals. We shall consider these characteristics in section 3.2 but, for the

moment, we summarize

characteristics (both under and beyond the control of hospital managers).

One way to account for hospital characteristics is to adopt a single

using a model developed by Battese and Coelli

form:

1 1

N M

ik n ik k m k k ik

n m

c α β ω γ µ ε= =

= + + + +

∑ ∑x z

It is not always feasible to estimate this model, particularly the fixed effects

specification is employed and some hospitals have unique characteristics. This makes

it impossible to distinguish the influence of the characteristic from the hospital fixed

effect.

An alternative is to specify an Estimated Dependent Variable model, as used in

Laudicella et al. (2009), where

1

ˆM

k o m k k

m

ω α γ µ=

= + +∑ z

This model forms the standard approach in the EuroDRGs project. For certain

countries the Battese & Coelli approach may also be explored.

A major advantage of using patient

legal entity (e.g. hospital) as the unit of analysis. Instead, data can be clustered to

whatever level is deemed appropriate to the

patient-level data enables consideration of specific

likely to be greater standard

undertaken. For instance, Laudicella et al.

obstetrics departments and Kristensen et al.

for patients admitted

HealthBASKET, used so-called vignettes, which in effect were patients with well

eterminants of hospital costs and performance variation

higher costs than others. For instance, costs may vary according to the volume of

activity if there are economies of scale or may be different in, say,

hospitals. We shall consider these characteristics in section 3.2 but, for the

them as a vector kmz of m variables measuring hospital

characteristics (both under and beyond the control of hospital managers).

way to account for hospital characteristics is to adopt a single

using a model developed by Battese and Coelli (1995). This might take the following

1 1

ik n ik k m k k ikα β ω γ µ ε= =

= + + + +

∑ ∑x z

It is not always feasible to estimate this model, particularly the fixed effects

specification is employed and some hospitals have unique characteristics. This makes

it impossible to distinguish the influence of the characteristic from the hospital fixed

An alternative is to specify an Estimated Dependent Variable model, as used in

, where ˆkω is regressed against the hospital characteristics:

This model forms the standard approach in the EuroDRGs project. For certain

Coelli approach may also be explored.

A major advantage of using patient-level data is that it is not necessary to use the

hospital) as the unit of analysis. Instead, data can be clustered to

whatever level is deemed appropriate to the question. Most importantly, the use of

bles consideration of specific production lines, where there is

likely to be greater standardization in the types of patients treated and activities

undertaken. For instance, Laudicella et al. (2009) consider patients clustered within

obstetrics departments and Kristensen et al. (2009) examine costs of hospital care

with diabetes. The predecessor project to EuroDRG,

called vignettes, which in effect were patients with well

5

higher costs than others. For instance, costs may vary according to the volume of

may be different in, say, teaching or

hospitals. We shall consider these characteristics in section 3.2 but, for the

variables measuring hospital

characteristics (both under and beyond the control of hospital managers).

way to account for hospital characteristics is to adopt a single-step process,

. This might take the following

(3)

It is not always feasible to estimate this model, particularly the fixed effects

specification is employed and some hospitals have unique characteristics. This makes

it impossible to distinguish the influence of the characteristic from the hospital fixed

An alternative is to specify an Estimated Dependent Variable model, as used in

is regressed against the hospital characteristics:

(4)

This model forms the standard approach in the EuroDRGs project. For certain

level data is that it is not necessary to use the

hospital) as the unit of analysis. Instead, data can be clustered to

question. Most importantly, the use of

production lines, where there is

tion in the types of patients treated and activities

consider patients clustered within

examine costs of hospital care

with diabetes. The predecessor project to EuroDRG,

called vignettes, which in effect were patients with well-

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Determinants of hospital costs and performance variation

defined medical and socio

differences in diagnostics

were analyzed across nine countries

replacement, stroke, acute myocardial infarction (AMI), child delivery,

appendectomy and cataract surgery.

In the EuroDRG project, the intention is to analyse costs for patients classified to the

same episode of care (building on the vignettes approach, but allowing variability in

medical and socio-demographic variables). Define an episode of care as

1...j J= so that there are a total of

means that, instead of estimating equation (1) for

estimated separately for each episode o

1

N

ik n ik k ik

n

c j j Jα β ω ε=

= + + + ∀ =∑ x

This enables a better capture of the relevant diagnostics

type of hip implant, bare

laparoscopic appendectomy, normal delivery vs. C

variables (such as existence of catheter l

care unit) in kω .

2.2 Analysis of patient

For those countries where patient

be analysed as a proxy for cost. The esti

reflect the fact that the distribution of costs differs from that of length of stay. In

essence, length of stay cannot be considered a continuous variable, so the linear

regression model should not be applied. Inste

models that recognize that length of stay tends to take a limited set of quite low

values with many patients having fairly short lengths of stay and relatively few

staying for longer periods. Moreover, for some episodes o

large proportion of patients who do not stay overnight (hence, being recorded as

having a zero length of stay).

eterminants of hospital costs and performance variation

defined medical and socio-demographic characteristics, for whom the influence of

differences in diagnostics/treatment as well as hospital and country characteristics

were analyzed across nine countries (Busse et al. 2008a). Vignettes included hip

replacement, stroke, acute myocardial infarction (AMI), child delivery,

appendectomy and cataract surgery.

In the EuroDRG project, the intention is to analyse costs for patients classified to the

same episode of care (building on the vignettes approach, but allowing variability in

demographic variables). Define an episode of care as

so that there are a total of J episodes of care dealt with in a hospital. This

means that, instead of estimating equation (1) for all patients in each hospital, it is

estimated separately for each episode of care of interest:

, 1...ik n ik k ikc j j Jα β ω ε= + + + ∀ =

This enables a better capture of the relevant diagnostics/treatment variables (e.g.

type of hip implant, bare-metal stent vs. drug-eluting stent in AMI, open vs.

laparoscopic appendectomy, normal delivery vs. C-section) in ikx as well as structural

variables (such as existence of catheter laboratory, stroke unit or neonatal intensive

Analysis of patient-level length of stay

For those countries where patient-level cost data are unavailable, length of stay will

be analysed as a proxy for cost. The estimation procedure needs to be modified to

reflect the fact that the distribution of costs differs from that of length of stay. In

essence, length of stay cannot be considered a continuous variable, so the linear

regression model should not be applied. Instead, it is better to use count data

that length of stay tends to take a limited set of quite low

values with many patients having fairly short lengths of stay and relatively few

staying for longer periods. Moreover, for some episodes of care, there might be a

large proportion of patients who do not stay overnight (hence, being recorded as

having a zero length of stay).

6

demographic characteristics, for whom the influence of

l as hospital and country characteristics

ettes included hip

replacement, stroke, acute myocardial infarction (AMI), child delivery,

In the EuroDRG project, the intention is to analyse costs for patients classified to the

same episode of care (building on the vignettes approach, but allowing variability in

demographic variables). Define an episode of care as j , with

episodes of care dealt with in a hospital. This

patients in each hospital, it is

(5)

treatment variables (e.g.

eluting stent in AMI, open vs.

as well as structural

aboratory, stroke unit or neonatal intensive

level cost data are unavailable, length of stay will

mation procedure needs to be modified to

reflect the fact that the distribution of costs differs from that of length of stay. In

essence, length of stay cannot be considered a continuous variable, so the linear

ad, it is better to use count data

that length of stay tends to take a limited set of quite low

values with many patients having fairly short lengths of stay and relatively few

f care, there might be a

large proportion of patients who do not stay overnight (hence, being recorded as

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Determinants of hospital costs and performance variation

The main count data models are the Poisson regression model and the negative

binomial regression model, with the latt

length-of-stay data that we will be examining. For episodes of care with a high

proportion of zero values, the zero

appropriate. Good introductions to count data models

Trivedi (1986), Long (1997)

2.3 Analysis of hospital

As mentioned, most empirical studies of hospital costs take the hospital as the unit

of analysis, mainly because data are reported at this level of aggregation. This is

problematic, however, because a common production function cannot be assumed.

Potentially this renders analysis invalid, because hospitals cannot be considered

comparable.

When only kTC is observed analysis of why some hospitals have different t

than others involves specifying a cost function of the general form:

1 1

N M

k k n k m k k

n m

TC Qα β γ ε= =

= + + + +∑ ∑X z

Where kQ measures the number of patients treated in hospital

should be weighted in order to capture

obvious choice for doing so

ex-ante accepting these weights as appropriate. There are the usual specification

choices associated with estimating this functi

natural units or in logarithmic form, and about the form in which explanatory

variables appear. A review of these specification choices is includ

the Appendix.

Note that it is a simple matter to co

an average cost function simply by dividing total costs by total activity:

1 1

N Mk

k n k m k k

n mk

TCAC

Qα β γ ε

= =

= = + + +∑ ∑X z

eterminants of hospital costs and performance variation

The main count data models are the Poisson regression model and the negative

binomial regression model, with the latter more likely to provide a better fit to the

stay data that we will be examining. For episodes of care with a high

proportion of zero values, the zero-inflated negative binomial model might be

appropriate. Good introductions to count data models are provided by Cameron and

(1997) and Jones (2000).

Analysis of hospital-level costs

As mentioned, most empirical studies of hospital costs take the hospital as the unit

of analysis, mainly because data are reported at this level of aggregation. This is

however, because a common production function cannot be assumed.

Potentially this renders analysis invalid, because hospitals cannot be considered

is observed analysis of why some hospitals have different t

than others involves specifying a cost function of the general form:

1 1

N M

k k n k m k k

n m

α β γ ε= =

= + + + +∑ ∑X z

measures the number of patients treated in hospital k

should be weighted in order to capture differences in (legitimate) costs; the most

obvious choice for doing so – using DRG weights – has, however, the disadvantage of

ante accepting these weights as appropriate. There are the usual specification

choices associated with estimating this function, such as whether to consider costs in

natural units or in logarithmic form, and about the form in which explanatory

variables appear. A review of these specification choices is included as section 2 of

Note that it is a simple matter to convert equation (5) from a total cost function to

an average cost function simply by dividing total costs by total activity:

1 1

N M

k n k m k k

n m

α β γ ε= =

= = + + +∑ ∑X z

7

The main count data models are the Poisson regression model and the negative

er more likely to provide a better fit to the

stay data that we will be examining. For episodes of care with a high

inflated negative binomial model might be

are provided by Cameron and

As mentioned, most empirical studies of hospital costs take the hospital as the unit

of analysis, mainly because data are reported at this level of aggregation. This is

however, because a common production function cannot be assumed.

Potentially this renders analysis invalid, because hospitals cannot be considered

is observed analysis of why some hospitals have different total costs

(6)

k. This number

differences in (legitimate) costs; the most

has, however, the disadvantage of

ante accepting these weights as appropriate. There are the usual specification

on, such as whether to consider costs in

natural units or in logarithmic form, and about the form in which explanatory

ed as section 2 of

nvert equation (5) from a total cost function to

an average cost function simply by dividing total costs by total activity:

(7)

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Determinants of hospital costs and performance variation

It is also possible to conduct efficiency analysis of hospital costs, using techniques

such as stochastic frontier or data envelopment analysis

techniques do not materially impact on the specification of the explanatory model,

so we summarize these methods in Appendix 3

In specifications (6 & 7) the vector

equation (1). Although the set of

each individual patient as in

the patients in each hospital. For instance, rather than each patient’s age, age is

specified as some summary (e

evident, therefore, that hospital

about patients than is available in the patient

results are less robust.

Note, however, that the vector of variables

common to the two forms of analysis.

We now consider in more

3 Explanatory factors

3.1 Patient-level variables

The over-riding reason that costs differ among patients is because they suffer from

very different conditions. Diagnosis

patients into mutually exclusive groups of patients, with the patients in each group

having the same expected

clearly depend on both the number of different DRG

defining them and calculating their relative weights). Countries have developed their

own classification systems but, for expositional purposes, define a DRG as

1...j J= . If DRGs capture all the variation in costs that are due to patient

characteristics, it would be possible to analyse variation in the costs of patients in

different hospitals by specifying a simple model of the general form:

'

ik j ik k ikc α ω ε= + + +β D

eterminants of hospital costs and performance variation

It is also possible to conduct efficiency analysis of hospital costs, using techniques

ochastic frontier or data envelopment analysis (Jacobs et al. 2006)

niques do not materially impact on the specification of the explanatory model,

these methods in Appendix 3.

In specifications (6 & 7) the vector kX differs from the vector ikx in the patient

equation (1). Although the set of n variables are similar, rather being measured for

each individual patient as in ikx , each variable in kX is an aggregated summary of

h hospital. For instance, rather than each patient’s age, age is

specified as some summary (e.g. the average) of all patients in the hospital. It is

evident, therefore, that hospital-level analysis makes use of much less information

available in the patient-level analysis. Consequently, the

Note, however, that the vector of variables kmz capturing hospital characteristics is

common to the two forms of analysis.

We now consider in more detail what variables are contained in these vectors.

Explanatory factors

level variables

riding reason that costs differ among patients is because they suffer from

very different conditions. Diagnosis-related groups (DRGs) are designed to classify

patients into mutually exclusive groups of patients, with the patients in each group

having the same expected “legitimate” cost (whether this is actually the case will

clearly depend on both the number of different DRGs used as well as the accuracy of

defining them and calculating their relative weights). Countries have developed their

own classification systems but, for expositional purposes, define a DRG as

If DRGs capture all the variation in costs that are due to patient

characteristics, it would be possible to analyse variation in the costs of patients in

different hospitals by specifying a simple model of the general form:

8

It is also possible to conduct efficiency analysis of hospital costs, using techniques

(Jacobs et al. 2006). These

niques do not materially impact on the specification of the explanatory model,

in the patient-level

variables are similar, rather being measured for

is an aggregated summary of

h hospital. For instance, rather than each patient’s age, age is

the average) of all patients in the hospital. It is

level analysis makes use of much less information

level analysis. Consequently, the

capturing hospital characteristics is

detail what variables are contained in these vectors.

riding reason that costs differ among patients is because they suffer from

roups (DRGs) are designed to classify

patients into mutually exclusive groups of patients, with the patients in each group

cost (whether this is actually the case will

s used as well as the accuracy of

defining them and calculating their relative weights). Countries have developed their

own classification systems but, for expositional purposes, define a DRG as j , with

If DRGs capture all the variation in costs that are due to patient

characteristics, it would be possible to analyse variation in the costs of patients in

(8)

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Determinants of hospital costs and performance variation

Where ikD is a vector of dummy variables specifying the DRG to which the patient is

allocated, ku is variation in cost that is attributable to the hospital in which the

patient is treated and ikε

DRGs, though, cannot account for all variation in costs among patients

other characteristics of patients other than their DRG and the hospital where they

are treated that explain their costs.

Some of these characteristics will be of general relevance, such as the patient’s age,

gender or socio-economic status. Hvenegaard et al.

explanatory power, over an

explaining variation in the costs of patients undergoing vascular surgery. In this

study, such variables prove to add little additional information. This is consistent

with the health insurance literature,

individual risk of incurring health expenditure.

Other patient characteristics are more important, and are likely to vary according to

the condition under consideration. For example Hvenegaard et al.

set of characteristics relevant to vascular patients including their sm

diabetes, and ASA score.

The HealthBASKET project has explored in depth the relevance of diagnostics and

treatment (on the patient level) as well as certain structural variables: For hip

replacement, the choice of cemented vs. non

number of hospital beds were significant explanatory factors

stroke, receiving thrombolysis and length of

variables (Epstein et al. 2008)

use of PTCA and stenting, length

hospital (Tiemann 2008). For normal child delivery, the variables length

labour costs for nurses/

appendectomy, open surgery

significantly lower costs,

costs (Schreyögg 2008). For cataract surgery, the

intervention had the highest explanatory power

eterminants of hospital costs and performance variation

is a vector of dummy variables specifying the DRG to which the patient is

is variation in cost that is attributable to the hospital in which the

captures random variation in patient costs.

DRGs, though, cannot account for all variation in costs among patients

other characteristics of patients other than their DRG and the hospital where they

t explain their costs.

Some of these characteristics will be of general relevance, such as the patient’s age,

economic status. Hvenegaard et al. (2009) consider the additional

explanatory power, over and above that offered by the DRG classification, in

explaining variation in the costs of patients undergoing vascular surgery. In this

study, such variables prove to add little additional information. This is consistent

with the health insurance literature, where age and gender explain little of the

individual risk of incurring health expenditure.

Other patient characteristics are more important, and are likely to vary according to

the condition under consideration. For example Hvenegaard et al. (2009)

set of characteristics relevant to vascular patients including their sm

The HealthBASKET project has explored in depth the relevance of diagnostics and

ent level) as well as certain structural variables: For hip

replacement, the choice of cemented vs. non-cemented hip implants as well as the

number of hospital beds were significant explanatory factors (Stargardt 2008)

ceiving thrombolysis and length of stay were significant explanatory

(Epstein et al. 2008). For acute myocardial infarction (AMI), these were the

of PTCA and stenting, length of stay, and the setting (i.e. urban/rural)

. For normal child delivery, the variables length

labour costs for nurses/midwives were significant (Bellanger and Or 2008)

appendectomy, open surgery (vs. laparoscopic surgery) was associated with

significantly lower costs, whereas a larger number of hospital beds led to higher

. For cataract surgery, the number of minutes used for the

intervention had the highest explanatory power (Fattore and Torbica 2008)

9

is a vector of dummy variables specifying the DRG to which the patient is

is variation in cost that is attributable to the hospital in which the

DRGs, though, cannot account for all variation in costs among patients – there will be

other characteristics of patients other than their DRG and the hospital where they

Some of these characteristics will be of general relevance, such as the patient’s age,

consider the additional

d above that offered by the DRG classification, in

explaining variation in the costs of patients undergoing vascular surgery. In this

study, such variables prove to add little additional information. This is consistent

where age and gender explain little of the

Other patient characteristics are more important, and are likely to vary according to

(2009) consider a

set of characteristics relevant to vascular patients including their smoking status,

The HealthBASKET project has explored in depth the relevance of diagnostics and

ent level) as well as certain structural variables: For hip

cemented hip implants as well as the

(Stargardt 2008). For

stay were significant explanatory

. For acute myocardial infarction (AMI), these were the

the setting (i.e. urban/rural) of the

. For normal child delivery, the variables length of stay and

(Bellanger and Or 2008). For

(vs. laparoscopic surgery) was associated with

a larger number of hospital beds led to higher

number of minutes used for the

(Fattore and Torbica 2008). Similarly

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Determinants of hospital costs and performance variation

Laudicella et al. (2009) – besides patient variables such as birth weight and whether

or not the baby was still

variables in their analysis of the costs of patients admitted to obstetrics specialties,

together with a set of hospital variables specific to obstetrics, including the number

of babies delivered.

3.2 Hospital characteristics

The choice about what hospital characteristics,

the purpose or perspective of the analysis. Broadly, the literature can be divided into

two camps: technological functions derived from the th

behavioural functions designed to control for the exogenous constraints that

prohibit cost minimization among hospitals.

A standard neo-classical framework involves explaining costs in relation to the level

of production (e.g. number of patients treated) and the price of different inputs

notably labour, equipment and capital. If the research interest is in analysing costs

from the perspective of hospitals themselves, this framework might be appropriate.

The explanatory variables

the hospitals themselves.

Early studies of hospital costs specified a behavioural function in a somewhat

manner, including “fairly indiscriminately all variables for which a causal relationship

to hospital costs is hypothesized and data are available”

more thought has gone into the specification, in recognition that, in most public

health systems, some hospitals are required to operate in more adverse

circumstances than others. These circumstances are often termed

factors” and make achievement of a given level of cost more difficult. In effect these

factors constrain the hospital from operating on the technically feasible minimum

cost frontier.

The analytical objective is to control for these constra

between hospitals. This involves identifying a set of variables that reflects feasible

production possibilities within a constrained environment

often considerable debate as to what factors are considered constraints. In the short

eterminants of hospital costs and performance variation

besides patient variables such as birth weight and whether

or not the baby was still-born – consider a range of diagnostic and procedural

variables in their analysis of the costs of patients admitted to obstetrics specialties,

together with a set of hospital variables specific to obstetrics, including the number

Hospital characteristics

The choice about what hospital characteristics, kmz , to take into account depends on

the purpose or perspective of the analysis. Broadly, the literature can be divided into

two camps: technological functions derived from the theory of the firm and so

functions designed to control for the exogenous constraints that

prohibit cost minimization among hospitals.

classical framework involves explaining costs in relation to the level

mber of patients treated) and the price of different inputs

notably labour, equipment and capital. If the research interest is in analysing costs

from the perspective of hospitals themselves, this framework might be appropriate.

The explanatory variables measure the input choices made by – or endogenous to

Early studies of hospital costs specified a behavioural function in a somewhat

manner, including “fairly indiscriminately all variables for which a causal relationship

to hospital costs is hypothesized and data are available” (Breyer 1987)

more thought has gone into the specification, in recognition that, in most public

health systems, some hospitals are required to operate in more adverse

circumstances than others. These circumstances are often termed “

and make achievement of a given level of cost more difficult. In effect these

factors constrain the hospital from operating on the technically feasible minimum

The analytical objective is to control for these constraining factors in comparing costs

between hospitals. This involves identifying a set of variables that reflects feasible

production possibilities within a constrained environment (Smith 1981)

often considerable debate as to what factors are considered constraints. In the short

10

besides patient variables such as birth weight and whether

f diagnostic and procedural

variables in their analysis of the costs of patients admitted to obstetrics specialties,

together with a set of hospital variables specific to obstetrics, including the number

, to take into account depends on

the purpose or perspective of the analysis. Broadly, the literature can be divided into

of the firm and so-called

functions designed to control for the exogenous constraints that

classical framework involves explaining costs in relation to the level

mber of patients treated) and the price of different inputs –

notably labour, equipment and capital. If the research interest is in analysing costs

from the perspective of hospitals themselves, this framework might be appropriate.

or endogenous to -

Early studies of hospital costs specified a behavioural function in a somewhat ad hoc

manner, including “fairly indiscriminately all variables for which a causal relationship

(Breyer 1987). But recently

more thought has gone into the specification, in recognition that, in most public

health systems, some hospitals are required to operate in more adverse

“environmental

and make achievement of a given level of cost more difficult. In effect these

factors constrain the hospital from operating on the technically feasible minimum

ining factors in comparing costs

between hospitals. This involves identifying a set of variables that reflects feasible

(Smith 1981). There is

often considerable debate as to what factors are considered constraints. In the short

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Determinants of hospital costs and performance variation

run, many factors are outside the control of hospitals. In

set of factors is potentially under hospital control, but the extent and nature of this

control will vary depending on the nature of the context.

In what follows, we consider in more detail the type of variables that might be

incorporated in the vector

3.2.1 Teaching status

Teaching hospitals are often thought to have higher costs than non

hospitals. There have been numerous studies devoted to estimating the cost

differential and almost all econometr

status as a dummy variable. We do not attempt an exhaustive summary of this

empirical research, except to say that the literature rarely explains why costs might

differ in these two types of institution. There

differential costs.

The first reason is not to do with the teaching function of the hospital

perceived inadequacies in DRG system. Teaching hospitals are thought to treat

patients of a greater severity than non

should be able to account for these differences. In practice, the classification may be

imperfect. If teaching hospitals systematically attract more severe patients within

each DRG, their costs will be higher.

picking up additional patient heterogeneity, rather than it having anything to do with

the teaching function itself.

The second reason is due to how teaching is funded. As part of their training medical

students are required to accompany consultants around the hospital in order to

observe and treat patients. Thus the provision of teaching may introduce delays to

the treatment process if, say, consultants spend longer reviewing each patient prior

to surgery or prior to discharge so that the medical students can learn from the

review process. In essence, the provision of patient care and medical education is a

joint and complementary process and it is not straightforward to disentangle these

two components.

eterminants of hospital costs and performance variation

run, many factors are outside the control of hospitals. In the longer term a broader

set of factors is potentially under hospital control, but the extent and nature of this

control will vary depending on the nature of the context.

In what follows, we consider in more detail the type of variables that might be

rporated in the vector kmz .

Teaching hospitals are often thought to have higher costs than non

hospitals. There have been numerous studies devoted to estimating the cost

differential and almost all econometric analyses of hospital costs include teaching

status as a dummy variable. We do not attempt an exhaustive summary of this

empirical research, except to say that the literature rarely explains why costs might

differ in these two types of institution. There are two main explanations of

The first reason is not to do with the teaching function of the hospital

perceived inadequacies in DRG system. Teaching hospitals are thought to treat

patients of a greater severity than non-teaching hospitals. In theory, the DRG system

should be able to account for these differences. In practice, the classification may be

imperfect. If teaching hospitals systematically attract more severe patients within

each DRG, their costs will be higher. So the “teaching status” variable is simply

picking up additional patient heterogeneity, rather than it having anything to do with

the teaching function itself.

The second reason is due to how teaching is funded. As part of their training medical

are required to accompany consultants around the hospital in order to

observe and treat patients. Thus the provision of teaching may introduce delays to

the treatment process if, say, consultants spend longer reviewing each patient prior

r to discharge so that the medical students can learn from the

review process. In essence, the provision of patient care and medical education is a

joint and complementary process and it is not straightforward to disentangle these

11

the longer term a broader

set of factors is potentially under hospital control, but the extent and nature of this

In what follows, we consider in more detail the type of variables that might be

Teaching hospitals are often thought to have higher costs than non-teaching

hospitals. There have been numerous studies devoted to estimating the cost

ic analyses of hospital costs include teaching

status as a dummy variable. We do not attempt an exhaustive summary of this

empirical research, except to say that the literature rarely explains why costs might

are two main explanations of

The first reason is not to do with the teaching function of the hospital per se, but to

perceived inadequacies in DRG system. Teaching hospitals are thought to treat

teaching hospitals. In theory, the DRG system

should be able to account for these differences. In practice, the classification may be

imperfect. If teaching hospitals systematically attract more severe patients within

variable is simply

picking up additional patient heterogeneity, rather than it having anything to do with

The second reason is due to how teaching is funded. As part of their training medical

are required to accompany consultants around the hospital in order to

observe and treat patients. Thus the provision of teaching may introduce delays to

the treatment process if, say, consultants spend longer reviewing each patient prior

r to discharge so that the medical students can learn from the

review process. In essence, the provision of patient care and medical education is a

joint and complementary process and it is not straightforward to disentangle these

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Determinants of hospital costs and performance variation

If funding fails to determine accurately the costs of teaching, the error will be

captured by the “teaching status

costs. In contexts where medical education is underfunded relative to patient care,

teaching hospitals will have higher costs than non

contexts, funding for medical education might be more generous, to the extent that

it subsidizes the provision of patient care. In such circumstances, costs of treatment

in teaching hospitals will appear lower than in non

3.2.2 Ownership

The famous question of whether “there is

2001) between the performance of for

hospitals has yet to be solved

examined differences with regard to organ

Econometric analyses tend to include ownership as a dummy variable either being

specified as private versus public or as for

following we will refer only to for

arguments for both taxonomies are very similar). As for teaching status, we do not

attempt to summarize the findings of all existing studies, bu

implicit conceptual underpinnings, which are

There are two main predictions with regard to cost differences between for

and not-for-profit. The first argues that for

and are more efficient than not

for-profit hospitals operate at lower cost per case.

Three main reasons are put forward to explain why for

operate at lower costs. (1) T

hospitals produce at lower costs as well

with a higher propensity to invest in cost

personally from the resulting profi

hospitals the lack of monitoring by private owners and capital markets means that

managers are less tightly controlled and therefore have more opportunities to shirk.

(3) Related but slightly different

reputation in the community rather than profit maxim

eterminants of hospital costs and performance variation

ng fails to determine accurately the costs of teaching, the error will be

teaching status” variable in the analysis of patient-related hospital

costs. In contexts where medical education is underfunded relative to patient care,

spitals will have higher costs than non-teaching hospitals. In other

contexts, funding for medical education might be more generous, to the extent that

s the provision of patient care. In such circumstances, costs of treatment

tals will appear lower than in non-teaching hospitals.

whether “there is a dime’s worth of difference”

between the performance of for-profit and not-for-profit or public and private

solved. Many theoretical and empirical investigations have

differences with regard to organizational goals, behaviour and outcomes.

Econometric analyses tend to include ownership as a dummy variable either being

specified as private versus public or as for-profit versus not-for

following we will refer only to for-profit and not-for-profit differences as the

arguments for both taxonomies are very similar). As for teaching status, we do not

the findings of all existing studies, but rather focus on the

implicit conceptual underpinnings, which are rarely spelled out explicitly.

There are two main predictions with regard to cost differences between for

profit. The first argues that for-profit hospitals operate at lo

and are more efficient than not-for-profit ones. The second argues the opposite: not

profit hospitals operate at lower cost per case.

Three main reasons are put forward to explain why for-profit hospitals should

operate at lower costs. (1) The property rights model suggests that for

hospitals produce at lower costs as well-established control rights provide owners

with a higher propensity to invest in cost-cutting innovations since they stand to gain

personally from the resulting profits. (2) It is argued that in public and not

hospitals the lack of monitoring by private owners and capital markets means that

managers are less tightly controlled and therefore have more opportunities to shirk.

(3) Related but slightly different is the argument that quality and institutional

reputation in the community rather than profit maximization are predominant

12

ng fails to determine accurately the costs of teaching, the error will be

related hospital

costs. In contexts where medical education is underfunded relative to patient care,

teaching hospitals. In other

contexts, funding for medical education might be more generous, to the extent that

s the provision of patient care. In such circumstances, costs of treatment

dime’s worth of difference” (Sloan et al.

profit or public and private

oretical and empirical investigations have

tional goals, behaviour and outcomes.

Econometric analyses tend to include ownership as a dummy variable either being

for-profit (in the

profit differences as the

arguments for both taxonomies are very similar). As for teaching status, we do not

t rather focus on the

rarely spelled out explicitly.

There are two main predictions with regard to cost differences between for-profit

profit hospitals operate at lower costs

profit ones. The second argues the opposite: not-

profit hospitals should

he property rights model suggests that for-profit

established control rights provide owners

cutting innovations since they stand to gain

ts. (2) It is argued that in public and not-for-profit

hospitals the lack of monitoring by private owners and capital markets means that

managers are less tightly controlled and therefore have more opportunities to shirk.

is the argument that quality and institutional

tion are predominant

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Determinants of hospital costs and performance variation

principles for evaluating managers in the public sector and these determine

managers’ career advancement. As a consequence managers

profit hospitals face strong incentives to invest time and resources to maxim

reputation enhancing technologies or representative infrastructure rather than

focusing on profits or efficiency.

The second prediction, based on a numb

systematic reviews and meta

that “public rather than private provision of health care seems more efficient for

hospitals” (Hollingsworth 2008)

findings, this strand of the literature argues that the finding of “higher profits”

among for-profit hospitals are neither due to true costs nor due to ownership

structure per se. Rather they are due to not

attracting more complex or severe patients and of the inadequacy of DRGs to reflect

actual costs and greater (unobserved) severity of these patients. In such

circumstances, costs of treatment in not

in for-profit hospitals. Accounting for these imperfections reveals that public

hospitals operate at least as efficiently as they ha

pick less complex patients.

Contract failure models add that as the quality and adequacy health care service

hard to determine for patients

characterized by information asymmetry in favour of suppliers

framework, for-profit hospitals face incentives to increase profit at the cost of lower

quality of care, while not

nondistribution constraint, have no incentive to lower quality in fa

(Wörz 2008: 37-38). As a consequence this set of models pred

profits are higher in for-profit hospitals while efficiency (if taking account of quality

when measuring costs or ideally being measured in terms of health outcomes) will

be lower. There is empirical evidence from a meta

(Devereaux et al. 2002).

eterminants of hospital costs and performance variation

principles for evaluating managers in the public sector and these determine

managers’ career advancement. As a consequence managers in public and not

profit hospitals face strong incentives to invest time and resources to maxim

reputation enhancing technologies or representative infrastructure rather than

focusing on profits or efficiency.

The second prediction, based on a number of empirical observations including

systematic reviews and meta-analyses (Hollingsworth 2003; Vaillancourt 2003)

n private provision of health care seems more efficient for

(Hollingsworth 2008). Building on a mixture of theoretical and empirica

findings, this strand of the literature argues that the finding of “higher profits”

profit hospitals are neither due to true costs nor due to ownership

structure per se. Rather they are due to not-for-profit hospitals systematically

more complex or severe patients and of the inadequacy of DRGs to reflect

actual costs and greater (unobserved) severity of these patients. In such

circumstances, costs of treatment in not-for-profit hospitals will appear higher than

. Accounting for these imperfections reveals that public

hospitals operate at least as efficiently as they have no ability or incentives to cherry

less complex patients.

Contract failure models add that as the quality and adequacy health care service

hard to determine for patients (Hansmann 1980) as health care markets are

characterized by information asymmetry in favour of suppliers, i.e. hospitals. In this

profit hospitals face incentives to increase profit at the cost of lower

quality of care, while not-for-profit hospitals, being characterized by a

nondistribution constraint, have no incentive to lower quality in fa

. As a consequence this set of models predict that revenue and

profit hospitals while efficiency (if taking account of quality

when measuring costs or ideally being measured in terms of health outcomes) will

be lower. There is empirical evidence from a meta-analysis suppo

13

principles for evaluating managers in the public sector and these determine

in public and not-for-

profit hospitals face strong incentives to invest time and resources to maximize

reputation enhancing technologies or representative infrastructure rather than

er of empirical observations including

(Hollingsworth 2003; Vaillancourt 2003) , is

n private provision of health care seems more efficient for

. Building on a mixture of theoretical and empirical

findings, this strand of the literature argues that the finding of “higher profits”

profit hospitals are neither due to true costs nor due to ownership

profit hospitals systematically

more complex or severe patients and of the inadequacy of DRGs to reflect

actual costs and greater (unobserved) severity of these patients. In such

profit hospitals will appear higher than

. Accounting for these imperfections reveals that public

ve no ability or incentives to cherry-

Contract failure models add that as the quality and adequacy health care services are

as health care markets are

, i.e. hospitals. In this

profit hospitals face incentives to increase profit at the cost of lower

profit hospitals, being characterized by a

nondistribution constraint, have no incentive to lower quality in favour of profits

ict that revenue and

profit hospitals while efficiency (if taking account of quality

when measuring costs or ideally being measured in terms of health outcomes) will

analysis supporting this view

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Determinants of hospital costs and performance variation

Institutional approaches furthe

regimes may have different costs because they are subject to different taxation

regimes, may have different access to capital, may have differential influence on

labour costs, their location of production, o

compensated) emergency care provided

circumstances mean that for

then depends on the context spec

In contexts where patient and organ

differences in factors constraining the behaviour of for

hospitals, the error will be captured by

If for-profit hospital face a less constraining environment or benefit from more

effective incentive structures relative to not

will have lower costs than not

more favourable regulatory environment (e.g. generous tax breaks) relative to for

profit hospitals, not-for-profit hospitals will have lower costs than for

3.2.3 Volume of activity: economies of scale

Larger hospitals or units are often thought to produce at lower costs than smaller

hospitals or units. The basic argument is that larger hospitals or units benefit from

economies of scale, experiencing decreasing costs per output as volume increases.

Larger hospitals or units might produce at lower cost due to the following reasons:

specialized equipment often comes in units of some minimum size, so that larger

output makes usage more efficient. Benefits from division of labour may arise

because larger workforce fac

each individual worker allowing for standard

technological infrastructure may allow compensating more easily for illnesses or

departure of workers or technological

Beyond a particular size, diseconomies of scale may arise, perhaps because a larger

hospital or unit size leads to overly high expenditures for overhead, bureaucratic

forms of organization, complex interdependencies implying problems of

coordination and cooperation.

eterminants of hospital costs and performance variation

Institutional approaches further stress that hospitals with different ownership

regimes may have different costs because they are subject to different taxation

regimes, may have different access to capital, may have differential influence on

labour costs, their location of production, or the amount of (inadequately

compensated) emergency care provided (Mason et al. 2008a). Whether these

circumstances mean that for-profit or not-for-profit hospitals produce at higher cost

then depends on the context specific configurations of the regulatory framework.

In contexts where patient and organizational variables fail to adequately reflect

differences in factors constraining the behaviour of for-profit and not

hospitals, the error will be captured by the dummy variable “ownership status”.

profit hospital face a less constraining environment or benefit from more

effective incentive structures relative to not-for-profit hospitals, for-

will have lower costs than not-for-profit hospitals. If not-for-profit hospitals face a

more favourable regulatory environment (e.g. generous tax breaks) relative to for

profit hospitals will have lower costs than for-

Volume of activity: economies of scale

spitals or units are often thought to produce at lower costs than smaller

hospitals or units. The basic argument is that larger hospitals or units benefit from

economies of scale, experiencing decreasing costs per output as volume increases.

ls or units might produce at lower cost due to the following reasons:

specialized equipment often comes in units of some minimum size, so that larger

output makes usage more efficient. Benefits from division of labour may arise

because larger workforce facilitates restricting the range of services performed by

each individual worker allowing for standardization. Also a larger workforce and

technological infrastructure may allow compensating more easily for illnesses or

departure of workers or technological problems.

Beyond a particular size, diseconomies of scale may arise, perhaps because a larger

hospital or unit size leads to overly high expenditures for overhead, bureaucratic

forms of organization, complex interdependencies implying problems of

tion and cooperation.

14

r stress that hospitals with different ownership

regimes may have different costs because they are subject to different taxation

regimes, may have different access to capital, may have differential influence on

r the amount of (inadequately

. Whether these

profit hospitals produce at higher cost

ific configurations of the regulatory framework.

tional variables fail to adequately reflect

profit and not-for profit

my variable “ownership status”.

profit hospital face a less constraining environment or benefit from more

-profit hospitals

profit hospitals face a

more favourable regulatory environment (e.g. generous tax breaks) relative to for-

-profits.

spitals or units are often thought to produce at lower costs than smaller

hospitals or units. The basic argument is that larger hospitals or units benefit from

economies of scale, experiencing decreasing costs per output as volume increases.

ls or units might produce at lower cost due to the following reasons:

specialized equipment often comes in units of some minimum size, so that larger

output makes usage more efficient. Benefits from division of labour may arise

ilitates restricting the range of services performed by

tion. Also a larger workforce and

technological infrastructure may allow compensating more easily for illnesses or

Beyond a particular size, diseconomies of scale may arise, perhaps because a larger

hospital or unit size leads to overly high expenditures for overhead, bureaucratic

forms of organization, complex interdependencies implying problems of

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Determinants of hospital costs and performance variation

There have been numerous studies devoted to these issues, e.g.

almost all econometric analyses of hospital costs include some measure of size as a

dummy variable. To scrutin

the number of patients (e.g. in thousands) treated in hospital or department

model. These outlined arguments may also be consistently formulated to justify a

variable that captures the volume of a specific episode of care. Hence one should

add a variable that measures the number of patients falling in the definition of the

respective episode of care treated in the hospital or department

by episode of care.

If one of the respective variables is positive, this suggests that average costs after

controlling for patient characteristics are higher in large departments or hospitals or

in departments producing more of the services relevant to the respective episode

care. Additionally, a measure for the number of whole time equivalent general or

specialist physician per 100 patients can be incorporated if reported. Different job

and staff categories can be weighted according to their respective wages.

Whether size should be considered truly

regulatory context. In some countries as in Germany hospital capacity is negotiated

between state-level regulators and hospital management and then fixed for a certain

period of time. Hence, in the short

it might be adjusted.

3.2.4 Range of activity: special

The range of activity offered by the hospital may also influence costs, but it is

difficult to predict the

economies of scope, increasing the range of activity leads to lower costs. Economies

of scope refer to a situation in which the joint production of two or more products

can be achieved at lower costs th

individually. General hospitals offering a wide range of services may produce at

lower costs in circumstances in which the production of different but related outputs

jointly is cheaper than the production of

These cost advantages can be generated through shared use of resources

technology, workers, or general overhead such as spreading fix costs of operating

eterminants of hospital costs and performance variation

There have been numerous studies devoted to these issues, e.g. (Posnett 2002)

almost all econometric analyses of hospital costs include some measure of size as a

dummy variable. To scrutinize the effect to different hospital sizes one can include

the number of patients (e.g. in thousands) treated in hospital or department

model. These outlined arguments may also be consistently formulated to justify a

variable that captures the volume of a specific episode of care. Hence one should

add a variable that measures the number of patients falling in the definition of the

ective episode of care treated in the hospital or department j measuring volume

If one of the respective variables is positive, this suggests that average costs after

controlling for patient characteristics are higher in large departments or hospitals or

in departments producing more of the services relevant to the respective episode

care. Additionally, a measure for the number of whole time equivalent general or

specialist physician per 100 patients can be incorporated if reported. Different job

and staff categories can be weighted according to their respective wages.

should be considered truly environmental factors depends to on the

regulatory context. In some countries as in Germany hospital capacity is negotiated

level regulators and hospital management and then fixed for a certain

e, in the short-run capacity, is exogenous, while in the long run

Range of activity: specialization versus economies of scope

The range of activity offered by the hospital may also influence costs, but it is

difficult to predict the direction of influence. On the one hand, if there are

economies of scope, increasing the range of activity leads to lower costs. Economies

of scope refer to a situation in which the joint production of two or more products

can be achieved at lower costs than the combined cost of producing each product

individually. General hospitals offering a wide range of services may produce at

lower costs in circumstances in which the production of different but related outputs

jointly is cheaper than the production of outputs separately (Panzar and Willig 1981)

These cost advantages can be generated through shared use of resources

technology, workers, or general overhead such as spreading fix costs of operating

15

(Posnett 2002) and

almost all econometric analyses of hospital costs include some measure of size as a

the effect to different hospital sizes one can include

the number of patients (e.g. in thousands) treated in hospital or department j in the

model. These outlined arguments may also be consistently formulated to justify a

variable that captures the volume of a specific episode of care. Hence one should

add a variable that measures the number of patients falling in the definition of the

measuring volume

If one of the respective variables is positive, this suggests that average costs after

controlling for patient characteristics are higher in large departments or hospitals or

in departments producing more of the services relevant to the respective episode of

care. Additionally, a measure for the number of whole time equivalent general or

specialist physician per 100 patients can be incorporated if reported. Different job

and staff categories can be weighted according to their respective wages.

environmental factors depends to on the

regulatory context. In some countries as in Germany hospital capacity is negotiated

level regulators and hospital management and then fixed for a certain

run capacity, is exogenous, while in the long run

The range of activity offered by the hospital may also influence costs, but it is

direction of influence. On the one hand, if there are

economies of scope, increasing the range of activity leads to lower costs. Economies

of scope refer to a situation in which the joint production of two or more products

an the combined cost of producing each product

individually. General hospitals offering a wide range of services may produce at

lower costs in circumstances in which the production of different but related outputs

(Panzar and Willig 1981).

These cost advantages can be generated through shared use of resources such as

technology, workers, or general overhead such as spreading fix costs of operating

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Determinants of hospital costs and performance variation

rooms or intensive care units over multiple different but related operations. So, for

example, it might be less exp

department, fracture clinic

rather than having them in different locations, as this means that equipment be

shared and staff in different departments can work more effectively together

particularly when patients need to transferred between each setting.

On the other hand, it is often argued that hospitals which special

than general hospitals (Dranove 1987)

ring-fence resources for specific purposes,

competing claims on their use

2009). Another argument is that special

flourish. Specialist hospitals may be better at evaluating practice over a more limited

range of activities and clinical outcomes have been shown improve as doctors

undertake more of the same procedure.

To analyse the effect of different range of services the number of specialties offered

in a hospital can be used as a proxy.

average costs after controlling for patient characteristics are higher in hospitals with

more specialities. Another approach is to define a special

distribution of activity across DRGs

Laudicella et al. (2009: 8) include variables that measure the amount of neonatal and

antenatal care as a proportion of all activity in the obstetrics department.

3.2.5 Quality

One reason that costs may differ among hospitals is that their quality di

relationship between quality and costs

section on ownership, some models envisage that higher quality implies higher

resource consumption, while other models suggest that higher quality can lead to

more efficient delivery of hospital care

between quality and owner

al. 2002; Vaillancourt 2003)

conduciveness of different forms of ownership on quality.

eterminants of hospital costs and performance variation

rooms or intensive care units over multiple different but related operations. So, for

example, it might be less expensive to situate the accident and

tment, fracture clinic, and trauma and orthopaedic wards in close proximity

rather than having them in different locations, as this means that equipment be

shared and staff in different departments can work more effectively together

nts need to transferred between each setting.

On the other hand, it is often argued that hospitals which specialize have lower costs

(Dranove 1987). One reason for specialization is to protect or

fence resources for specific purposes, when otherwise there would be

competing claims on their use (Harris 1977; Kjekshus and Hagen 2005; Street et

. Another argument is that specialization allows expertise to develop and

flourish. Specialist hospitals may be better at evaluating practice over a more limited

range of activities and clinical outcomes have been shown improve as doctors

undertake more of the same procedure.

effect of different range of services the number of specialties offered

in a hospital can be used as a proxy. If positive, this variable would suggest that

average costs after controlling for patient characteristics are higher in hospitals with

Another approach is to define a specialization index, capturing the

distribution of activity across DRGs (Daidone and D'Amico 2009). In a similar vein,

include variables that measure the amount of neonatal and

antenatal care as a proportion of all activity in the obstetrics department.

One reason that costs may differ among hospitals is that their quality di

relationship between quality and costs, however, is unclear. As outlined in the

section on ownership, some models envisage that higher quality implies higher

resource consumption, while other models suggest that higher quality can lead to

fficient delivery of hospital care (Wörz 2008). Moreover, the relationship

between quality and ownership is a frequent issue (Currie et al. 2003; Devereaux et

al. 2002; Vaillancourt 2003). However, the evidence is inconclusive with regard the

conduciveness of different forms of ownership on quality.

16

rooms or intensive care units over multiple different but related operations. So, for

ensive to situate the accident and emergency

orthopaedic wards in close proximity

rather than having them in different locations, as this means that equipment be

shared and staff in different departments can work more effectively together

have lower costs

tion is to protect or

when otherwise there would be

(Harris 1977; Kjekshus and Hagen 2005; Street et al.

tion allows expertise to develop and

flourish. Specialist hospitals may be better at evaluating practice over a more limited

range of activities and clinical outcomes have been shown improve as doctors

effect of different range of services the number of specialties offered

If positive, this variable would suggest that

average costs after controlling for patient characteristics are higher in hospitals with

tion index, capturing the

. In a similar vein,

include variables that measure the amount of neonatal and

antenatal care as a proportion of all activity in the obstetrics department.

One reason that costs may differ among hospitals is that their quality differs. The

is unclear. As outlined in the

section on ownership, some models envisage that higher quality implies higher

resource consumption, while other models suggest that higher quality can lead to

. Moreover, the relationship

(Currie et al. 2003; Devereaux et

. However, the evidence is inconclusive with regard the

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Determinants of hospital costs and performance variation

For the analyses in the EuroDRG project it is moreover important to

quality is multi-dimensional and difficult to measure as it is difficult to establish both

the direction and degree of influence of quality on costs.

Preferably measures of quality will be available for each patient, in which case

influence can be established by including the measures in the

explaining patient costs in equation (3). Various measures of quality can be

considered including waiting times, in

readmissions, and changes in health status.

In the absence of patient

process of care delivery or structure

delivered. These measures might describe, say, whether clinical guidelines have been

adopted, the staffing complement, or the

equipment (see section 3.2.6). Whatever the measure, there is an assumption that

investment in process or structural dimensions of quality is positively correlated with

the quality of care delivered to individual patien

3.2.6 Technological equipment

The relationship between hospital costs and technological equipment has been on

the research agenda for several decades. Many of the investigations were and some

are still inspired by the idea of non

Luft et al. 1986). The latter argue that, as in most western health systems patients

are not sensitive to hospital prices (since they are insured) and the quality of care

delivered tends to be hard to judge, hospitals can feel motivated to (over

“high technology” as a competitive strategy to attract (profitable) patients. This may

result in a “medical arms race”

may increase costs per case.

At the same time it has been stressed that technology investments in hospitals may

encompass product, process and organizational innovation that can be hypothesized

to influence hospitals in very different ways

equipment may increase total costs per case but may also decrease total costs per

case. Similarly process and organizational innovation can be hypothesized to

eterminants of hospital costs and performance variation

For the analyses in the EuroDRG project it is moreover important to

dimensional and difficult to measure as it is difficult to establish both

the direction and degree of influence of quality on costs.

Preferably measures of quality will be available for each patient, in which case

an be established by including the measures in the ikx vector of variables

explaining patient costs in equation (3). Various measures of quality can be

considered including waiting times, in-hospital or 30-day mortality, infections,

readmissions, and changes in health status.

In the absence of patient-level measures of quality, some studies describe the

or structure of the department or hospital in which care is

delivered. These measures might describe, say, whether clinical guidelines have been

adopted, the staffing complement, or the availability of particular types of

equipment (see section 3.2.6). Whatever the measure, there is an assumption that

investment in process or structural dimensions of quality is positively correlated with

the quality of care delivered to individual patients.

Technological equipment

The relationship between hospital costs and technological equipment has been on

the research agenda for several decades. Many of the investigations were and some

are still inspired by the idea of non-price competition among hospitals

. The latter argue that, as in most western health systems patients

are not sensitive to hospital prices (since they are insured) and the quality of care

to be hard to judge, hospitals can feel motivated to (over

“high technology” as a competitive strategy to attract (profitable) patients. This may

result in a “medical arms race”, which can cause higher hospital expenditure and

s per case.

At the same time it has been stressed that technology investments in hospitals may

encompass product, process and organizational innovation that can be hypothesized

to influence hospitals in very different ways (Zweifel and Breyer 1997)

equipment may increase total costs per case but may also decrease total costs per

case. Similarly process and organizational innovation can be hypothesized to

17

For the analyses in the EuroDRG project it is moreover important to consider that

dimensional and difficult to measure as it is difficult to establish both

Preferably measures of quality will be available for each patient, in which case

vector of variables

explaining patient costs in equation (3). Various measures of quality can be

day mortality, infections,

easures of quality, some studies describe the

of the department or hospital in which care is

delivered. These measures might describe, say, whether clinical guidelines have been

availability of particular types of

equipment (see section 3.2.6). Whatever the measure, there is an assumption that

investment in process or structural dimensions of quality is positively correlated with

The relationship between hospital costs and technological equipment has been on

the research agenda for several decades. Many of the investigations were and some

pitals (Joskow 1983;

. The latter argue that, as in most western health systems patients

are not sensitive to hospital prices (since they are insured) and the quality of care

to be hard to judge, hospitals can feel motivated to (over-) invest in

“high technology” as a competitive strategy to attract (profitable) patients. This may

which can cause higher hospital expenditure and

At the same time it has been stressed that technology investments in hospitals may

encompass product, process and organizational innovation that can be hypothesized

(Zweifel and Breyer 1997). Technological

equipment may increase total costs per case but may also decrease total costs per

case. Similarly process and organizational innovation can be hypothesized to

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Determinants of hospital costs and performance variation

increase or decrease costs per c

hard to justify any general statement about the expected relationship between

hospital costs and technology or technical equipment.

The multidimensional character of technology is one of the reasons why

technological indices - in its simplest form the sum of the number of services each

hospital offers from a list of possible services

account for the heterogeneity of technology

underlying hypothesis suggesting a specific relation between technology on the one

side and hospital costs on the other side can hardly be specified, which undermines

well-grounded modelling.

A common alternative is the use of specific technology indices, which are modelled

from a vector of known efficacious technologies at the level of the hospital

et al. 1994; Prince 1998)

variables is problematic when used to explain cost v

main reason is that technologies or technological equipment to be included are

commonly selected in a more or less arbitrary way, while at the same time empirical

studies confirms that variable omission and variable selectio

technology substantially affect the results of parametric hospital cost functions

(Cremieux and Ouellette 2001)

The episode of care approach seems well suited to avoid the main drawbacks of the

outlined approaches. Firstly, as the costs of specific indications or are to be

explained, the range of tech

is limited and decisions for including certain types of technical equipment can be

more readily justified by reference to the treatment patterns of the episode at hand.

The arbitrariness of the variable

remains a matter of degree. Moreover, practical experience within hospitals and

episode specific costing studies may be used to formulate well

about the relationship between specific t

costs. This makes it easier to justify the inclusion of specific variables approximating

technological equipment during the modelling process.

eterminants of hospital costs and performance variation

increase or decrease costs per case. Given the theoretical background it seems to be

hard to justify any general statement about the expected relationship between

hospital costs and technology or technical equipment.

The multidimensional character of technology is one of the reasons why

in its simplest form the sum of the number of services each

hospital offers from a list of possible services - are criticized as they are not able to

account for the heterogeneity of technology (Spetz and Maiuro 2004)

underlying hypothesis suggesting a specific relation between technology on the one

side and hospital costs on the other side can hardly be specified, which undermines

elling.

A common alternative is the use of specific technology indices, which are modelled

from a vector of known efficacious technologies at the level of the hospital

et al. 1994; Prince 1998). However, also the use of this category of explanatory

variables is problematic when used to explain cost variation between hospitals. The

main reason is that technologies or technological equipment to be included are

commonly selected in a more or less arbitrary way, while at the same time empirical

studies confirms that variable omission and variable selection with regard to hospital

technology substantially affect the results of parametric hospital cost functions

(Cremieux and Ouellette 2001).

The episode of care approach seems well suited to avoid the main drawbacks of the

outlined approaches. Firstly, as the costs of specific indications or are to be

explained, the range of technologies and technological equipment to be considered

is limited and decisions for including certain types of technical equipment can be

more readily justified by reference to the treatment patterns of the episode at hand.

The arbitrariness of the variable selection seems hence less problematic

remains a matter of degree. Moreover, practical experience within hospitals and

episode specific costing studies may be used to formulate well-grounded hypotheses

about the relationship between specific types of technical equipment and hospital

costs. This makes it easier to justify the inclusion of specific variables approximating

technological equipment during the modelling process.

18

ase. Given the theoretical background it seems to be

hard to justify any general statement about the expected relationship between

The multidimensional character of technology is one of the reasons why general

in its simplest form the sum of the number of services each

are criticized as they are not able to

and Maiuro 2004). Moreover, an

underlying hypothesis suggesting a specific relation between technology on the one

side and hospital costs on the other side can hardly be specified, which undermines

A common alternative is the use of specific technology indices, which are modelled

from a vector of known efficacious technologies at the level of the hospital (Pitterle

. However, also the use of this category of explanatory

ariation between hospitals. The

main reason is that technologies or technological equipment to be included are

commonly selected in a more or less arbitrary way, while at the same time empirical

n with regard to hospital

technology substantially affect the results of parametric hospital cost functions

The episode of care approach seems well suited to avoid the main drawbacks of the

outlined approaches. Firstly, as the costs of specific indications or are to be

nologies and technological equipment to be considered

is limited and decisions for including certain types of technical equipment can be

more readily justified by reference to the treatment patterns of the episode at hand.

selection seems hence less problematic – though it

remains a matter of degree. Moreover, practical experience within hospitals and

grounded hypotheses

ypes of technical equipment and hospital

costs. This makes it easier to justify the inclusion of specific variables approximating

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Determinants of hospital costs and performance variation

To scrutinize the effect of diverging sets of technological equipment on hospital

costs, dummy variables for the existence of e.g. a catheter laboratory, a stroke unit

or a neonatal intensive care unit could be included in the model.

3.2.7 Geographical variation in input c

Other factors that make the achievement of a given level of cost or production more

difficult are geographical variations in input costs. So far the empirical evidence

about the significance of differences in input costs is limited and only few DRG

systems attempt to adjust reimbursement for geographical variation. Policy

examples are the US Medicare wage index, which adjusts for differences in hospital

wage levels by a factor reflecting the relative hospital wage level in the geographic

area of the hospital compared to the US

for Medicare and Medicaid Services 2007) and the English “Payment by Results”

(PbR) where public hospitals receive additional payments to account for

geographical variations in the costs of

Market Forces Factor (MFF)

The reason for accounting for input cost differentials across hospitals when

comparing cost per episode of care is that most public hospitals cannot locate where

they wish and therefore need to pay local factor prices rather than relocating to

areas with lower costs. As a result, hospitals face locational constraints, which are

outside their control and affect their production costs

To account for differences in

adjust labour costs of each hospital by a scaling factor that represents variation in

total (or average) costs due local labour market constrains. One way to do this is to

divide the average compensation

regional or state) by the average compensation per hour in the country. Contingent

upon data availability the former can be performed for various job categories and

summarized in a weighted index. The

hospital’s percentage of total costs attributable to salaries to determine final

adjustors. Ultimately final adjustors with scores of less than 1.0 indicate low cost

labour markets and those greater than 1.0 indicate h

example, a hospital with an adjustor of 1.054 is expected to have total costs 5.4%

eterminants of hospital costs and performance variation

the effect of diverging sets of technological equipment on hospital

costs, dummy variables for the existence of e.g. a catheter laboratory, a stroke unit

or a neonatal intensive care unit could be included in the model.

Geographical variation in input costs

Other factors that make the achievement of a given level of cost or production more

difficult are geographical variations in input costs. So far the empirical evidence

about the significance of differences in input costs is limited and only few DRG

stems attempt to adjust reimbursement for geographical variation. Policy

examples are the US Medicare wage index, which adjusts for differences in hospital

wage levels by a factor reflecting the relative hospital wage level in the geographic

spital compared to the US-wide average hospital wage level (Centre

for Medicare and Medicaid Services 2007) and the English “Payment by Results”

(PbR) where public hospitals receive additional payments to account for

geographical variations in the costs of land, buildings and staff through the so

Market Forces Factor (MFF) (Mason et al. 2008b).

The reason for accounting for input cost differentials across hospitals when

comparing cost per episode of care is that most public hospitals cannot locate where

refore need to pay local factor prices rather than relocating to

areas with lower costs. As a result, hospitals face locational constraints, which are

outside their control and affect their production costs (Mason et al. 2008b)

To account for differences in wage levels beyond the control of hospitals one can

adjust labour costs of each hospital by a scaling factor that represents variation in

total (or average) costs due local labour market constrains. One way to do this is to

divide the average compensation per hour in the hospital’s labour market (local,

regional or state) by the average compensation per hour in the country. Contingent

upon data availability the former can be performed for various job categories and

rized in a weighted index. The raw adjustor can then be multiplied by the

hospital’s percentage of total costs attributable to salaries to determine final

adjustors. Ultimately final adjustors with scores of less than 1.0 indicate low cost

labour markets and those greater than 1.0 indicate high cost labour markets. For

example, a hospital with an adjustor of 1.054 is expected to have total costs 5.4%

19

the effect of diverging sets of technological equipment on hospital

costs, dummy variables for the existence of e.g. a catheter laboratory, a stroke unit

Other factors that make the achievement of a given level of cost or production more

difficult are geographical variations in input costs. So far the empirical evidence

about the significance of differences in input costs is limited and only few DRG

stems attempt to adjust reimbursement for geographical variation. Policy

examples are the US Medicare wage index, which adjusts for differences in hospital

wage levels by a factor reflecting the relative hospital wage level in the geographic

wide average hospital wage level (Centre

for Medicare and Medicaid Services 2007) and the English “Payment by Results”

(PbR) where public hospitals receive additional payments to account for

land, buildings and staff through the so-called

The reason for accounting for input cost differentials across hospitals when

comparing cost per episode of care is that most public hospitals cannot locate where

refore need to pay local factor prices rather than relocating to

areas with lower costs. As a result, hospitals face locational constraints, which are

(Mason et al. 2008b)

wage levels beyond the control of hospitals one can

adjust labour costs of each hospital by a scaling factor that represents variation in

total (or average) costs due local labour market constrains. One way to do this is to

per hour in the hospital’s labour market (local,

regional or state) by the average compensation per hour in the country. Contingent

upon data availability the former can be performed for various job categories and

djustor can then be multiplied by the

hospital’s percentage of total costs attributable to salaries to determine final

adjustors. Ultimately final adjustors with scores of less than 1.0 indicate low cost

igh cost labour markets. For

example, a hospital with an adjustor of 1.054 is expected to have total costs 5.4%

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Determinants of hospital costs and performance variation

above the country average due to higher labour costs in its labour market. Similarly,

a hospital with an adjustor of 0.98 is expected to experie

due to the local labour market environment. Each hospital’s costs per episode of

care can then be adjusted accordingly. The respective variable

captures differences in the labour prices faced by hospitals in diffe

are beyond their control.

Using similar approach, differences in capital and building costs can be captured

across regions and countries provided that data requirements can be met.

3.2.8 Geographical location

It is common in many empirical a

the location of the hospital. These might identify the geographical area or indicate

whether the hospital is located in an urban or rural setting. The interpretation of the

variables identifying geographical

In some contexts rural hospitals might have higher costs than urban hospitals. For

example, when DRG funding was first introduced in the Australian state of Victoria

rural hospitals received additional payments

reasons for this. First, they were thought to face above ambulance and patient

transport costs simply because they were transporting patients over longer

distances. Second, because they were serving small communit

were less likely to treat sufficient number of patients to achieve economies of scale.

The payment, then, was justified to ensure access to health services for isolated

communities.

In other contexts urban hospitals might appear to have higher costs than their rural

counterparts. This might be because either they attract patients of above

complexity and this is inadequately reflected by the DRG system or they face higher

input prices which have not been adequately accounted for (see preceding section).

It is difficult, though, to see why urban status

variable is likely to capture measurement error in other variables, particularly patient

case-mix, hospital size and scope, and geographical variation in input prices.

eterminants of hospital costs and performance variation

above the country average due to higher labour costs in its labour market. Similarly,

a hospital with an adjustor of 0.98 is expected to experience 2% lower total costs

due to the local labour market environment. Each hospital’s costs per episode of

care can then be adjusted accordingly. The respective variable in the regression

captures differences in the labour prices faced by hospitals in different regions which

Using similar approach, differences in capital and building costs can be captured

across regions and countries provided that data requirements can be met.

Geographical location

It is common in many empirical analyses to include dummy variables that identify

the location of the hospital. These might identify the geographical area or indicate

whether the hospital is located in an urban or rural setting. The interpretation of the

variables identifying geographical area will, of course, be country-specific.

In some contexts rural hospitals might have higher costs than urban hospitals. For

example, when DRG funding was first introduced in the Australian state of Victoria

rural hospitals received additional payments (Duckett 1994). There were two

reasons for this. First, they were thought to face above ambulance and patient

transport costs simply because they were transporting patients over longer

distances. Second, because they were serving small communities rural hospitals

were less likely to treat sufficient number of patients to achieve economies of scale.

The payment, then, was justified to ensure access to health services for isolated

In other contexts urban hospitals might appear to have higher costs than their rural

counterparts. This might be because either they attract patients of above

complexity and this is inadequately reflected by the DRG system or they face higher

prices which have not been adequately accounted for (see preceding section).

It is difficult, though, to see why urban status per se drives higher costs. Rather the

variable is likely to capture measurement error in other variables, particularly patient

mix, hospital size and scope, and geographical variation in input prices.

20

above the country average due to higher labour costs in its labour market. Similarly,

nce 2% lower total costs

due to the local labour market environment. Each hospital’s costs per episode of

in the regression

rent regions which

Using similar approach, differences in capital and building costs can be captured

across regions and countries provided that data requirements can be met.

nalyses to include dummy variables that identify

the location of the hospital. These might identify the geographical area or indicate

whether the hospital is located in an urban or rural setting. The interpretation of the

specific.

In some contexts rural hospitals might have higher costs than urban hospitals. For

example, when DRG funding was first introduced in the Australian state of Victoria

. There were two

reasons for this. First, they were thought to face above ambulance and patient

transport costs simply because they were transporting patients over longer

ies rural hospitals

were less likely to treat sufficient number of patients to achieve economies of scale.

The payment, then, was justified to ensure access to health services for isolated

In other contexts urban hospitals might appear to have higher costs than their rural

counterparts. This might be because either they attract patients of above-average

complexity and this is inadequately reflected by the DRG system or they face higher

prices which have not been adequately accounted for (see preceding section).

drives higher costs. Rather the

variable is likely to capture measurement error in other variables, particularly patient

mix, hospital size and scope, and geographical variation in input prices.

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Determinants of hospital costs and performance variation

1 Examining hospital performance

problem

It is often asserted that health care organ

that would otherwise encourage them to innovate and adopt cost minim

behaviour. There are various grounds for making this assertion. For instance,

competitive behaviour may be less in evidence if health care is publi

funded/provided or in situations where health care organ

geographical or specialist monopoly of supply. If competitive pressure is weak, there

may be scope for better util

performance measures such as return on investment (ROI) or profitability seem

inappropriate due to the fact that health care entities are often public or non

profit and therefore do not have to generate profits or returns to investments.

Different classes of models are

hospital performance. Firstly, researchers use models, which attempt to explicitly

model the production process in hospitals and compare (average or total) cost

across hospitals. This group of models build

theory and produced rich and diverse sets of studies. Most popular approaches

include hospital cost function (HCF) analysis operationalized via ordinary least

squares (OLS) or corrected ordinary least squares (COLS) r

These were the main approaches during the 1980s and 1990s to derive insights

about the hospital costs, scale and scope, as well as productivity and efficiency. Over

the last decade the attention of most researchers shifted to performa

Performance analyses aim to identify which organ

others in either their overall operation or in specific areas of operation. This

information may be used to stimulate better use of resources, either by encouragin

organizations to act of their own volition or through the imposition of tailored

incentives by a regulatory authority or funding agency.

eterminants of hospital costs and performance variation

Appendix

hospital performance – the nature of the

It is often asserted that health care organizations face limited competitive pressures

that would otherwise encourage them to innovate and adopt cost minim

behaviour. There are various grounds for making this assertion. For instance,

competitive behaviour may be less in evidence if health care is publi

funded/provided or in situations where health care organizations enjoy a

geographical or specialist monopoly of supply. If competitive pressure is weak, there

may be scope for better utilization of resources. At the same time common

s such as return on investment (ROI) or profitability seem

inappropriate due to the fact that health care entities are often public or non

profit and therefore do not have to generate profits or returns to investments.

Different classes of models are used by health economists to derive insights about

hospital performance. Firstly, researchers use models, which attempt to explicitly

model the production process in hospitals and compare (average or total) cost

across hospitals. This group of models builds mainly on neoclassical microeconomic

theory and produced rich and diverse sets of studies. Most popular approaches

include hospital cost function (HCF) analysis operationalized via ordinary least

squares (OLS) or corrected ordinary least squares (COLS) regression techniques.

These were the main approaches during the 1980s and 1990s to derive insights

about the hospital costs, scale and scope, as well as productivity and efficiency. Over

the last decade the attention of most researchers shifted to performa

Performance analyses aim to identify which organizations are doing better than

others in either their overall operation or in specific areas of operation. This

information may be used to stimulate better use of resources, either by encouragin

tions to act of their own volition or through the imposition of tailored

incentives by a regulatory authority or funding agency.

21

the nature of the

face limited competitive pressures

that would otherwise encourage them to innovate and adopt cost minimizing

behaviour. There are various grounds for making this assertion. For instance,

competitive behaviour may be less in evidence if health care is publicly

tions enjoy a

geographical or specialist monopoly of supply. If competitive pressure is weak, there

tion of resources. At the same time common

s such as return on investment (ROI) or profitability seem

inappropriate due to the fact that health care entities are often public or non-for

profit and therefore do not have to generate profits or returns to investments.

used by health economists to derive insights about

hospital performance. Firstly, researchers use models, which attempt to explicitly

model the production process in hospitals and compare (average or total) cost

s mainly on neoclassical microeconomic

theory and produced rich and diverse sets of studies. Most popular approaches

include hospital cost function (HCF) analysis operationalized via ordinary least

egression techniques.

These were the main approaches during the 1980s and 1990s to derive insights

about the hospital costs, scale and scope, as well as productivity and efficiency. Over

the last decade the attention of most researchers shifted to performance analysis.

tions are doing better than

others in either their overall operation or in specific areas of operation. This

information may be used to stimulate better use of resources, either by encouraging

tions to act of their own volition or through the imposition of tailored

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Determinants of hospital costs and performance variation

Here the concept of efficiency is applied to consider the relative performance of

organizations engaged in production, converting inputs into outputs. The

fundamental building block of efficiency analysis is the

production function models the maximum output an organ

given its level and mix of inputs

pictured as in the diagram below. The organ

equipment, etc) and converts these into some sort of output. The middle box, where

this production process takes place

better than others at converting inputs into output.

Labour, intermediate

and capital inputs →

The middle box is actually something of a ´black box´

difficult for outsiders to observe what goes on in the organ

production process is organ

pharmaceutical sector) the production process might be a closely guarded sec

the source of competitive advantage.

This inability to observe the production process directly is a fundamental challenge

for those seeking to analyse efficiency. Nevertheless, it is possible to think of a gold

standard production process that desc

production, given the prevailing technology. This gold standard is termed the

“production frontier”, where the amount and combination of inputs is optimal. Any

other scale of operation or input mix would secure a l

Organizations that have adopted this gold standard are efficient

at the frontier of the prevailing technological process. But organ

operating some way short of this gold standard: equipme

staff may be given to shirking, capital resources might stand idle periodically. These,

and multiple other reasons, might explain inefficiency. To assess whether there is

eterminants of hospital costs and performance variation

efficiency is applied to consider the relative performance of

tions engaged in production, converting inputs into outputs. The

fundamental building block of efficiency analysis is the production function

production function models the maximum output an organization could secure,

given its level and mix of inputs. In very simple terms, the production process can be

pictured as in the diagram below. The organization employs inputs (labour, capital,

equipment, etc) and converts these into some sort of output. The middle box, where

this production process takes place, is critical to whether some organ

better than others at converting inputs into output.

→ Organization of the

production process →

The middle box is actually something of a ´black box´ because it is usually very

difficult for outsiders to observe what goes on in the organization and how its

production process is organized. Indeed, in some industries (such as the

pharmaceutical sector) the production process might be a closely guarded sec

the source of competitive advantage.

This inability to observe the production process directly is a fundamental challenge

for those seeking to analyse efficiency. Nevertheless, it is possible to think of a gold

standard production process that describes the best possible way of organ

production, given the prevailing technology. This gold standard is termed the

, where the amount and combination of inputs is optimal. Any

other scale of operation or input mix would secure a lower ratio of output to input.

tions that have adopted this gold standard are efficient – they are operating

at the frontier of the prevailing technological process. But organiza

operating some way short of this gold standard: equipment might be outmoded,

staff may be given to shirking, capital resources might stand idle periodically. These,

and multiple other reasons, might explain inefficiency. To assess whether there is

22

efficiency is applied to consider the relative performance of

tions engaged in production, converting inputs into outputs. The

production function. The

tion could secure,

. In very simple terms, the production process can be

tion employs inputs (labour, capital,

equipment, etc) and converts these into some sort of output. The middle box, where

, is critical to whether some organizations are

Outputs

because it is usually very

tion and how its

d. Indeed, in some industries (such as the

pharmaceutical sector) the production process might be a closely guarded secret and

This inability to observe the production process directly is a fundamental challenge

for those seeking to analyse efficiency. Nevertheless, it is possible to think of a gold

ribes the best possible way of organizing

production, given the prevailing technology. This gold standard is termed the

, where the amount and combination of inputs is optimal. Any

ower ratio of output to input.

they are operating

izations might be

nt might be outmoded,

staff may be given to shirking, capital resources might stand idle periodically. These,

and multiple other reasons, might explain inefficiency. To assess whether there is

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Determinants of hospital costs and performance variation

better scope for utilization of resources, insight can be gaine

organizations involved in similar activities. Rather than

“black box”, such comparative analysis concentrates on the extremes depicted in the

diagram. Information about what goes in (inputs to the production

what comes out (outputs of the production process) allows comparison of input

output combinations of organ

uses less input to produce one unit of output than another organ

is more productive. If we want to assess organ

amounts of output, we need to make judgements about whether there are

economies of scale which, in turn, relies on understanding the gold standard

production process. Organ

efficiency.

2 Specification choices (in parametric analysis of hospital

costs and performance)

We concentrate on specifications choices to be made in the context of the

parametric approaches such as hosp

Analysis (SFA) as these will be used in the EuroDRG project. Similar choices also have

to be made in the context of the Data Envelopment Analysis (DEA). However, as the

EuroDRG project will not apply these we

general terms in section 3 of the appendix and for the complexities of specification

choices refer to the excellent introduction in Jacobs et al.

2.1 Transformation of variables

One of the first choices researchers face is the form in which they incorporate

variables in their model. Using variables in their natural units implies the assumption

that the explanatory variables are related linearly to the dependent variable

et al. 2006: 43). This approach assumes a constant rate of c

scale of activity changes. This assumption may not hold in practice as decreasing

returns to scale or increasing returns to scale or scope can imply variable marginal

cost. Taking logarithms of the variables in the model represents a

linear relationships. In this case, the interpretations of coefficients changes from

eterminants of hospital costs and performance variation

tion of resources, insight can be gained by comparing

tions involved in similar activities. Rather than attempting to

, such comparative analysis concentrates on the extremes depicted in the

diagram. Information about what goes in (inputs to the production

what comes out (outputs of the production process) allows comparison of input

output combinations of organizations that produce similar things. If an organ

uses less input to produce one unit of output than another organization, the for

is more productive. If we want to assess organizations that produce different

amounts of output, we need to make judgements about whether there are

economies of scale which, in turn, relies on understanding the gold standard

production process. Organizations can then be judged in terms of their relative

Specification choices (in parametric analysis of hospital

costs and performance)

We concentrate on specifications choices to be made in the context of the

parametric approaches such as hospital cost functions and the Stochastic Frontier

Analysis (SFA) as these will be used in the EuroDRG project. Similar choices also have

to be made in the context of the Data Envelopment Analysis (DEA). However, as the

EuroDRG project will not apply these we only briefly introduce the DEA in very

general terms in section 3 of the appendix and for the complexities of specification

choices refer to the excellent introduction in Jacobs et al. (2006: 91ff).

Transformation of variables

One of the first choices researchers face is the form in which they incorporate

variables in their model. Using variables in their natural units implies the assumption

that the explanatory variables are related linearly to the dependent variable

. This approach assumes a constant rate of change in costs as the

scale of activity changes. This assumption may not hold in practice as decreasing

returns to scale or increasing returns to scale or scope can imply variable marginal

cost. Taking logarithms of the variables in the model represents a way to model non

linear relationships. In this case, the interpretations of coefficients changes from

23

d by comparing

attempting to prise open the

, such comparative analysis concentrates on the extremes depicted in the

diagram. Information about what goes in (inputs to the production process) and

what comes out (outputs of the production process) allows comparison of input-

tions that produce similar things. If an organization

tion, the former

tions that produce different

amounts of output, we need to make judgements about whether there are

economies of scale which, in turn, relies on understanding the gold standard

tions can then be judged in terms of their relative

Specification choices (in parametric analysis of hospital

We concentrate on specifications choices to be made in the context of the

ital cost functions and the Stochastic Frontier

Analysis (SFA) as these will be used in the EuroDRG project. Similar choices also have

to be made in the context of the Data Envelopment Analysis (DEA). However, as the

only briefly introduce the DEA in very

general terms in section 3 of the appendix and for the complexities of specification

.

One of the first choices researchers face is the form in which they incorporate

variables in their model. Using variables in their natural units implies the assumption

that the explanatory variables are related linearly to the dependent variable (Jacobs

hange in costs as the

scale of activity changes. This assumption may not hold in practice as decreasing

returns to scale or increasing returns to scale or scope can imply variable marginal

way to model non-

linear relationships. In this case, the interpretations of coefficients changes from

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Determinants of hospital costs and performance variation

natural units to percentage changes or elasticities. Other functional forms such as

including higher–order powers of explanatory variables can also be app

appropriateness can be scrutin

2.2 Total vs. average cost function

The choice between estimating average and total cost functions depends to a large

extent on the purpose and focus of the analysis. Conceptually economic

suggest that organizations can change their output or cost level in two ways: a) by

making proportionate changes to the amount of all inputs used in the production

process and b) by changing the composition of the input mix.

The effect of changing input composition depends on the scale properties of the

function (also called the degree of homogeneity). If the function is homogeneous of

degree 1, i.e. linearly homogenous, a proportionate change in use of input leads to a

change of output by the same

to scale, an average and a total cost function yield equivalent results

2006: 45).

From a statistical point of view estimating an average function is preferable if the

data being analysed are subject to heteroscedasticity, i.e. if the variance o

residual is not constant. The latter can be reduced by using an average cost function

for the model or by estimating the ratio of output or cost to a deflating variable,

where the residual is more likely to display homoscedasticity

disadvantage of using the ratio of output or cost to deflating variable is that there no

statistical criteria to guide the selection of the deflating variable. One option is to

making the dependent variable an average cost per unit of size. However, this

approach is only appropriate in the case of constant returns to scale. Alternatively,

one can deflate on an outp

the output for deflation substantially affects the estimates.

Before deflating a total cost function one should test for heteroscedasticity because

the error term is transformed by deflation

bias may be entered by deflation if the variable used for deflation is multicollinear

with one of the explanatory variables

eterminants of hospital costs and performance variation

natural units to percentage changes or elasticities. Other functional forms such as

order powers of explanatory variables can also be app

appropriateness can be scrutinized by applying a t-test.

Total vs. average cost function

The choice between estimating average and total cost functions depends to a large

extent on the purpose and focus of the analysis. Conceptually economic

tions can change their output or cost level in two ways: a) by

making proportionate changes to the amount of all inputs used in the production

process and b) by changing the composition of the input mix.

input composition depends on the scale properties of the

function (also called the degree of homogeneity). If the function is homogeneous of

degree 1, i.e. linearly homogenous, a proportionate change in use of input leads to a

change of output by the same proportion. Under this condition of constant returns

to scale, an average and a total cost function yield equivalent results

From a statistical point of view estimating an average function is preferable if the

data being analysed are subject to heteroscedasticity, i.e. if the variance o

residual is not constant. The latter can be reduced by using an average cost function

for the model or by estimating the ratio of output or cost to a deflating variable,

where the residual is more likely to display homoscedasticity (Intriligator 1978)

disadvantage of using the ratio of output or cost to deflating variable is that there no

o guide the selection of the deflating variable. One option is to

making the dependent variable an average cost per unit of size. However, this

approach is only appropriate in the case of constant returns to scale. Alternatively,

one can deflate on an output – but in the context of multiple outputs the choice of

the output for deflation substantially affects the estimates.

Before deflating a total cost function one should test for heteroscedasticity because

the error term is transformed by deflation (Kuh and Meyer 1955). In addition, new

may be entered by deflation if the variable used for deflation is multicollinear

with one of the explanatory variables (Kuh and Meyer 1955). Total cost functions

24

natural units to percentage changes or elasticities. Other functional forms such as

order powers of explanatory variables can also be applied. Their

The choice between estimating average and total cost functions depends to a large

extent on the purpose and focus of the analysis. Conceptually economic models

tions can change their output or cost level in two ways: a) by

making proportionate changes to the amount of all inputs used in the production

input composition depends on the scale properties of the

function (also called the degree of homogeneity). If the function is homogeneous of

degree 1, i.e. linearly homogenous, a proportionate change in use of input leads to a

proportion. Under this condition of constant returns

to scale, an average and a total cost function yield equivalent results (Jacobs et al.

From a statistical point of view estimating an average function is preferable if the

data being analysed are subject to heteroscedasticity, i.e. if the variance of the

residual is not constant. The latter can be reduced by using an average cost function

for the model or by estimating the ratio of output or cost to a deflating variable,

(Intriligator 1978). The

disadvantage of using the ratio of output or cost to deflating variable is that there no

o guide the selection of the deflating variable. One option is to

making the dependent variable an average cost per unit of size. However, this

approach is only appropriate in the case of constant returns to scale. Alternatively,

but in the context of multiple outputs the choice of

Before deflating a total cost function one should test for heteroscedasticity because

. In addition, new

may be entered by deflation if the variable used for deflation is multicollinear

. Total cost functions

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Determinants of hospital costs and performance variation

have the advantage of incorporating various types of output. Other approaches to

deal with heteroscedasticity than estimating an ave

are estimating a logarithmic function

(White 1980).

2.3 Functional form

Various authors showed that the choice of the fu

cost function substantially affects the results of hospital cost or performance analysis

(Folland and Hofler 2001; Rosko and Mutter 2008; Smet 2002; Street 2003)

most common functional forms in parametric analyses are ad

specifications, which in principal are informed by neo

accept assumptions to very different degrees. We will briefly outline the main

features and implications of these in the following paragraphs.

(1) The most basic functional form are

variations in costs per unit of output among hospitals. As indicators for output these

early studies used mainly cost per case or cost per patient and as explanatory

variables they included “fairly indiscriminately

relationship to hospital costs is hypothesized and data are available”

The underlying explanatory model assumes that the cost determinants are linear and

additively separable and are specified in an additive

assumptions may not hold in practice. The additive

imply that an additional bed in the hospital raises costs by a fixed amount

independent of other factors such as hospital’s utilization, the spectrum of illnesses

treatment or wage levels in

The main advantage of this rather bold approach is that it can deal with the multi

product nature of hospitals, while keeping the number of variables manageable

(Smet 2002). However, this strength comes at a cost

between patient, organizational and or environmental variables ca

accounted for and therefore estimates suffer from limited explanatory scope and

power. While this form of hospital cost functions had considerable impact on public

policy in the US and in the UK during the 1980s

recently concentrate on more fl

eterminants of hospital costs and performance variation

have the advantage of incorporating various types of output. Other approaches to

deal with heteroscedasticity than estimating an average cost function in this context

are estimating a logarithmic function (Maddala 1988) or using a robust estimator

Functional form

Various authors showed that the choice of the functional form of the production or

cost function substantially affects the results of hospital cost or performance analysis

(Folland and Hofler 2001; Rosko and Mutter 2008; Smet 2002; Street 2003)

most common functional forms in parametric analyses are ad-hoc specifications and

specifications, which in principal are informed by neo-classical propositions but

accept assumptions to very different degrees. We will briefly outline the main

features and implications of these in the following paragraphs.

(1) The most basic functional form are ad-hoc specifications, which intend to explain

variations in costs per unit of output among hospitals. As indicators for output these

early studies used mainly cost per case or cost per patient and as explanatory

variables they included “fairly indiscriminately all variables for which a causal

relationship to hospital costs is hypothesized and data are available”

The underlying explanatory model assumes that the cost determinants are linear and

additively separable and are specified in an additive-linear functional form. These

t hold in practice. The additive-linear model for example would

imply that an additional bed in the hospital raises costs by a fixed amount

independent of other factors such as hospital’s utilization, the spectrum of illnesses

treatment or wage levels in the hospital.

The main advantage of this rather bold approach is that it can deal with the multi

product nature of hospitals, while keeping the number of variables manageable

. However, this strength comes at a cost – non-separable relationships

between patient, organizational and or environmental variables ca

accounted for and therefore estimates suffer from limited explanatory scope and

power. While this form of hospital cost functions had considerable impact on public

policy in the US and in the UK during the 1980s (Street 2003), most researchers

recently concentrate on more flexible models.

25

have the advantage of incorporating various types of output. Other approaches to

rage cost function in this context

or using a robust estimator

nctional form of the production or

cost function substantially affects the results of hospital cost or performance analysis

(Folland and Hofler 2001; Rosko and Mutter 2008; Smet 2002; Street 2003). The two

hoc specifications and

classical propositions but

accept assumptions to very different degrees. We will briefly outline the main

specifications, which intend to explain

variations in costs per unit of output among hospitals. As indicators for output these

early studies used mainly cost per case or cost per patient and as explanatory

all variables for which a causal

relationship to hospital costs is hypothesized and data are available” (Breyer 1987).

The underlying explanatory model assumes that the cost determinants are linear and

linear functional form. These

linear model for example would

imply that an additional bed in the hospital raises costs by a fixed amount –

independent of other factors such as hospital’s utilization, the spectrum of illnesses

The main advantage of this rather bold approach is that it can deal with the multi-

product nature of hospitals, while keeping the number of variables manageable

separable relationships

between patient, organizational and or environmental variables cannot be

accounted for and therefore estimates suffer from limited explanatory scope and

power. While this form of hospital cost functions had considerable impact on public

, most researchers

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Determinants of hospital costs and performance variation

(2) The second group –

researchers to investigate the variance of output following changes in the level or

mix of inputs. Independent variables in this framework are inputs under the c

of hospital managers. Within this group different approaches can be identified which

accept various sets of restrictions with different implications. One can distinguish

between (2a) closed functional form, (2b) flexible functional form and (2c) hyb

flexible functional form cost functions.

(2a) Closed functional form cost functions accept a large set of common but rather

restrictive assumption used in neo

Cowing et al. 1983). These models, which we called “technological” cost functions in

the first part of the review, build on the insights of duality theory

suggesting a one-to-one correspondence between production und cost function

(Breyer 1987) and also implying a cost function which is non

homogeneous of degree one in factor prices

the well-known Cobb-Douglas logarithmic form:

where:

= total output

= technology

= labour

= capital

and positive parameters

The logarithmic form allows these parameters to be interpreted as elasticities. This

approach entails relatively high risks of misspecification, since researchers often feel

that they can hardly specify the true cost function. Moreover, the strict version

this approach requires that only factor input prices and quantities are incorporated

as explanatory variables. The influence of structural variables such as market

characteristics, and patient characteristics cannot be scrutinized. Hence, the

eterminants of hospital costs and performance variation

approaches following neoclassical proposition

researchers to investigate the variance of output following changes in the level or

mix of inputs. Independent variables in this framework are inputs under the c

of hospital managers. Within this group different approaches can be identified which

accept various sets of restrictions with different implications. One can distinguish

between (2a) closed functional form, (2b) flexible functional form and (2c) hyb

flexible functional form cost functions.

(2a) Closed functional form cost functions accept a large set of common but rather

restrictive assumption used in neo-classical economics (Conrad and Strauss 1983;

. These models, which we called “technological” cost functions in

the first part of the review, build on the insights of duality theory (Shepard 1970)

one correspondence between production und cost function

and also implying a cost function which is non-decreasing and

homogeneous of degree one in factor prices (Caves et al. 1980). A common form is

Douglas logarithmic form:

/ln �

positive parameters

The logarithmic form allows these parameters to be interpreted as elasticities. This

approach entails relatively high risks of misspecification, since researchers often feel

that they can hardly specify the true cost function. Moreover, the strict version

this approach requires that only factor input prices and quantities are incorporated

as explanatory variables. The influence of structural variables such as market

characteristics, and patient characteristics cannot be scrutinized. Hence, the

26

approaches following neoclassical proposition – enable

researchers to investigate the variance of output following changes in the level or

mix of inputs. Independent variables in this framework are inputs under the control

of hospital managers. Within this group different approaches can be identified which

accept various sets of restrictions with different implications. One can distinguish

between (2a) closed functional form, (2b) flexible functional form and (2c) hybrid

(2a) Closed functional form cost functions accept a large set of common but rather

(Conrad and Strauss 1983;

. These models, which we called “technological” cost functions in

(Shepard 1970)

one correspondence between production und cost function

decreasing and

. A common form is

(1)

The logarithmic form allows these parameters to be interpreted as elasticities. This

approach entails relatively high risks of misspecification, since researchers often feel

that they can hardly specify the true cost function. Moreover, the strict version of

this approach requires that only factor input prices and quantities are incorporated

as explanatory variables. The influence of structural variables such as market

characteristics, and patient characteristics cannot be scrutinized. Hence, the

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Determinants of hospital costs and performance variation

estimates may be biased given that the underlying model disregards exogenous

factors (Breyer 1987). Consequently, this group of hospital cost functions is hardly

able to derive meaningful insight about potential

(2b) To circumvent these problems and to avoid

forms, which try to approximate the true functional form using techniques such as

local second-order Taylor approximation,

main problems of both the ad

circumvented, i.e. the deterministic approach

variables in the model. Most common variants of flexible functional forms are the

quadratic, the transcendental (translog) and the generalized transcendental

functional form. However, these models face other difficultie

form they can no longer handle large number of outputs such as different cases or

patients categories (Smet 2002)

functions in this group can handle generates additional drawbacks. Calculating

economies of scope and scale, i.e. deriving inputs abo

output levels increase or returns from specialization require that the function is

scrutinized at the level of (multiple) outputs and not in the neighbourhood of

approximations. Moreover, to estimate economies of scope and sc

about incremental costs is required. Since flexible functional form specifications

need to reduce the number of outputs in the model, they often operate on the basis

of some aggregate measure of output such as average or total costs. Since

and total cost functions fail to provide information about incremental costs and costs

at zero output level respectively, their use precludes analyzing issues such as

economies of scale and scope.

(2c) Hybrid functional form hospital cost function

assumptions, while still operating within the neoclassical framework. For example

using hybrid functional forms allows supplementing factors of production as

explanatory variables by other variables representing organizat

Hence, the impact of other exogenous

be scrutinized, while the basic assumption of homogeneity in factor prices is

eterminants of hospital costs and performance variation

may be biased given that the underlying model disregards exogenous

. Consequently, this group of hospital cost functions is hardly

able to derive meaningful insight about potential “legitimate” hospital cost variation.

(2b) To circumvent these problems and to avoid misspecification, flexible functional

forms, which try to approximate the true functional form using techniques such as

order Taylor approximation, were developed (Smet 2002)

main problems of both the ad-hoc and the strict neoclassical approaches are

circumvented, i.e. the deterministic approach towards the relationship between the

variables in the model. Most common variants of flexible functional forms are the

quadratic, the transcendental (translog) and the generalized transcendental

However, these models face other difficulties: due to their technical

form they can no longer handle large number of outputs such as different cases or

(Smet 2002). Moreover, the limited range of outputs that cost

functions in this group can handle generates additional drawbacks. Calculating

economies of scope and scale, i.e. deriving inputs about decreasing marginal cost as

output levels increase or returns from specialization require that the function is

scrutinized at the level of (multiple) outputs and not in the neighbourhood of

approximations. Moreover, to estimate economies of scope and scale information

about incremental costs is required. Since flexible functional form specifications

need to reduce the number of outputs in the model, they often operate on the basis

of some aggregate measure of output such as average or total costs. Since

and total cost functions fail to provide information about incremental costs and costs

at zero output level respectively, their use precludes analyzing issues such as

economies of scale and scope.

(2c) Hybrid functional form hospital cost functions allow relaxing some neoclassical

assumptions, while still operating within the neoclassical framework. For example

using hybrid functional forms allows supplementing factors of production as

explanatory variables by other variables representing organizational constrains.

Hence, the impact of other exogenous factors on performance and cost

be scrutinized, while the basic assumption of homogeneity in factor prices is

27

may be biased given that the underlying model disregards exogenous

. Consequently, this group of hospital cost functions is hardly

hospital cost variation.

misspecification, flexible functional

forms, which try to approximate the true functional form using techniques such as

(Smet 2002). Thereby the

and the strict neoclassical approaches are

towards the relationship between the

variables in the model. Most common variants of flexible functional forms are the

quadratic, the transcendental (translog) and the generalized transcendental

s: due to their technical

form they can no longer handle large number of outputs such as different cases or

. Moreover, the limited range of outputs that cost

functions in this group can handle generates additional drawbacks. Calculating

ut decreasing marginal cost as

output levels increase or returns from specialization require that the function is

scrutinized at the level of (multiple) outputs and not in the neighbourhood of

ale information

about incremental costs is required. Since flexible functional form specifications

need to reduce the number of outputs in the model, they often operate on the basis

of some aggregate measure of output such as average or total costs. Since average

and total cost functions fail to provide information about incremental costs and costs

at zero output level respectively, their use precludes analyzing issues such as

s allow relaxing some neoclassical

assumptions, while still operating within the neoclassical framework. For example

using hybrid functional forms allows supplementing factors of production as

ional constrains.

on performance and cost variation can

be scrutinized, while the basic assumption of homogeneity in factor prices is

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Determinants of hospital costs and performance variation

maintained. These variables are not interpreted as contributing to the cost

minimum, but rather explain deviations of observed costs from cost minimization.

Overall, we face an ambiguous trade

functional form and less restrictive assumptions with regard to nature of

organizational and market characteristics or to focus on the ability of the model to

account for the multi-product nature of hospitals. Increasingly

and closed functional forms are being considered of limited value due to restrictive

assumptions and over simplistic specification. Flexible functional and hybrid forms

represent the majority of recent applications

Street 2003).

Vignettes or episode approach such as used in the EuroDRG project constitute a

third option that captures the benefits of flexible functional forms while not

suffering from artificially ignoring the multi

2.4 Input variables

Most parametric analysis of hospital costs build explicitly or implicitly on a neo

classical model of the production process. In this framework factor markets are

assumed to be competitive and free from monistic pressures

hospital managers face given prices and can solely decide on the mix

scale of input use and their application in the production process.

for inputs, however, are

researchers often simply omit input prices in their models. This appr

assumption that input prices are identical across hospitals included in the sample or

that the substitution rate for hospital technology is zero

consequence, insights about the effects of differences in input prices

different wage levels, capital costs or differences in the cost of medical technology

across hospitals, cannot be generated. Moreover, as we saw earlier the application

of the strict neoclassical model implies that the hospital cost function is homothetic.

Given the high degree of restrictiveness of these assumptions, recent analyses often

relaxed the former and incorporated input prices in the model in the framework of

more flexible functional forms.

eterminants of hospital costs and performance variation

maintained. These variables are not interpreted as contributing to the cost

inimum, but rather explain deviations of observed costs from cost minimization.

Overall, we face an ambiguous trade-off: either to prioritize flexibility of the

functional form and less restrictive assumptions with regard to nature of

rket characteristics or to focus on the ability of the model to

product nature of hospitals. Increasingly, ad hoc specifications

closed functional forms are being considered of limited value due to restrictive

simplistic specification. Flexible functional and hybrid forms

represent the majority of recent applications (Rosko and Mutter 2008; Smet 2002;

Vignettes or episode approach such as used in the EuroDRG project constitute a

third option that captures the benefits of flexible functional forms while not

suffering from artificially ignoring the multi-product nature of hospitals.

parametric analysis of hospital costs build explicitly or implicitly on a neo

classical model of the production process. In this framework factor markets are

assumed to be competitive and free from monistic pressures (Smet 2002)

hospital managers face given prices and can solely decide on the mix

scale of input use and their application in the production process. Reliable price data

often hard to collect or simply not available. Therefore

researchers often simply omit input prices in their models. This approach implies the

assumption that input prices are identical across hospitals included in the sample or

that the substitution rate for hospital technology is zero (Cowing et al. 1983)

insights about the effects of differences in input prices

different wage levels, capital costs or differences in the cost of medical technology

cannot be generated. Moreover, as we saw earlier the application

neoclassical model implies that the hospital cost function is homothetic.

Given the high degree of restrictiveness of these assumptions, recent analyses often

relaxed the former and incorporated input prices in the model in the framework of

functional forms.

28

maintained. These variables are not interpreted as contributing to the cost

inimum, but rather explain deviations of observed costs from cost minimization.

off: either to prioritize flexibility of the

functional form and less restrictive assumptions with regard to nature of

rket characteristics or to focus on the ability of the model to

ad hoc specifications

closed functional forms are being considered of limited value due to restrictive

simplistic specification. Flexible functional and hybrid forms

(Rosko and Mutter 2008; Smet 2002;

Vignettes or episode approach such as used in the EuroDRG project constitute a

third option that captures the benefits of flexible functional forms while not

product nature of hospitals.

parametric analysis of hospital costs build explicitly or implicitly on a neo-

classical model of the production process. In this framework factor markets are

(Smet 2002). Hence,

hospital managers face given prices and can solely decide on the mix of inputs, the

eliable price data

hard to collect or simply not available. Therefore,

oach implies the

assumption that input prices are identical across hospitals included in the sample or

(Cowing et al. 1983). As a

insights about the effects of differences in input prices, such as

different wage levels, capital costs or differences in the cost of medical technology

cannot be generated. Moreover, as we saw earlier the application

neoclassical model implies that the hospital cost function is homothetic.

Given the high degree of restrictiveness of these assumptions, recent analyses often

relaxed the former and incorporated input prices in the model in the framework of

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Determinants of hospital costs and performance variation

Another central issue when considering the input side is, how inputs are

disaggregated (Jacobs et al. 2006)

level of disaggregation: some studies use aggregate costs, while others try to

disaggregate all relevant inputs. This variation of practice reflects on the o

differences in the availability of data for input prices and quantities.

hand, choices with regard to the level of disaggregation also co

of the analysis. Using total costs as the single measure of inputs implies th

assumption that hospitals can deploy inputs freely without external constrains. This

approach hence takes a long term perspective, assuming that hospitals can adopt an

optimal mix of capital and labour. Disaggregation comes at the cost that models

become less parsimonious, which captures some of the explanatory power of those

factors in the production for which weighting is less clear

Commonly disaggregated inputs are labour and capital. An important additional

aspect is to account for services that hospitals have outso

2.5 Outputs

As the model of the production process is the starting point of all analyses of

hospital costs good measures for output are essential. Nevertheless, it is well known

that defining outputs is problematic in the health sector

demanded for its own sake but rather due to its positive contribution to health

status. Given this background

of health outcomes. However, health outcomes are hard to measure and rarely

systematically collected by hospitals. Researchers therefore tend to use activity

indicators such as the number of cases treate

organization or the number of procedures performed as approximations for output.

Using these indicators suffers from various limitations:

(1) Firstly, hospitals generating better health outcomes with less activity, for

example by developing smart medical pathways are penalized. However, the

quality of the services is hard to measure and therefore hard to incorporate in

production or cost functions

(2) Secondly, given the multi

weight of each output has to be sp

eterminants of hospital costs and performance variation

Another central issue when considering the input side is, how inputs are

(Jacobs et al. 2006). Studies vary to a great extent with regard to the

level of disaggregation: some studies use aggregate costs, while others try to

disaggregate all relevant inputs. This variation of practice reflects on the o

differences in the availability of data for input prices and quantities.

, choices with regard to the level of disaggregation also co-determine the focus

of the analysis. Using total costs as the single measure of inputs implies th

assumption that hospitals can deploy inputs freely without external constrains. This

approach hence takes a long term perspective, assuming that hospitals can adopt an

optimal mix of capital and labour. Disaggregation comes at the cost that models

less parsimonious, which captures some of the explanatory power of those

factors in the production for which weighting is less clear (Jacobs et al. 2006: 30)

Commonly disaggregated inputs are labour and capital. An important additional

aspect is to account for services that hospitals have outsourced.

As the model of the production process is the starting point of all analyses of

hospital costs good measures for output are essential. Nevertheless, it is well known

outputs is problematic in the health sector, as health care

demanded for its own sake but rather due to its positive contribution to health

status. Given this background, hospital output should ideally be measured in terms

of health outcomes. However, health outcomes are hard to measure and rarely

systematically collected by hospitals. Researchers therefore tend to use activity

indicators such as the number of cases treated, the number of hospital days per

organization or the number of procedures performed as approximations for output.

Using these indicators suffers from various limitations:

Firstly, hospitals generating better health outcomes with less activity, for

e by developing smart medical pathways are penalized. However, the

quality of the services is hard to measure and therefore hard to incorporate in

production or cost functions (Jacobs et al. 2006: 28).

Secondly, given the multi-product nature of hospitals, the relative value or

weight of each output has to be specified.

29

Another central issue when considering the input side is, how inputs are

. Studies vary to a great extent with regard to the

level of disaggregation: some studies use aggregate costs, while others try to

disaggregate all relevant inputs. This variation of practice reflects on the one hand

differences in the availability of data for input prices and quantities. On the other

determine the focus

of the analysis. Using total costs as the single measure of inputs implies the

assumption that hospitals can deploy inputs freely without external constrains. This

approach hence takes a long term perspective, assuming that hospitals can adopt an

optimal mix of capital and labour. Disaggregation comes at the cost that models

less parsimonious, which captures some of the explanatory power of those

(Jacobs et al. 2006: 30).

Commonly disaggregated inputs are labour and capital. An important additional

As the model of the production process is the starting point of all analyses of

hospital costs good measures for output are essential. Nevertheless, it is well known

as health care is rarely

demanded for its own sake but rather due to its positive contribution to health

hospital output should ideally be measured in terms

of health outcomes. However, health outcomes are hard to measure and rarely

systematically collected by hospitals. Researchers therefore tend to use activity

d, the number of hospital days per

organization or the number of procedures performed as approximations for output.

Firstly, hospitals generating better health outcomes with less activity, for

e by developing smart medical pathways are penalized. However, the

quality of the services is hard to measure and therefore hard to incorporate in

product nature of hospitals, the relative value or

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Determinants of hospital costs and performance variation

As we will see below in the sub

implicitly assume that the expenditure allocation within the hospital reflects societal

values of different outputs, which might be questionable. Moreover, in t

classical production framework the level of output should be completely beyond the

control of the hospital managers and physicians, i.e. exogenous. This assumption has

been challenged from two angles:

(1) Firstly, it has been argued that hospital manag

side by producing more if their hospital is characterized by a favourable cost

structure or less if the opposite is the case.

(2) Secondly, many studies argue that physicians may induce demand, operating

exogenous to the deci

In both cases, estimates generated by a model that does not account for the former

are biased. Nevertheless, exogenous determination of levels of output is often

assumed given that case payment systems and the cost containmen

third-party payers weakened the relationship between gross

quantity demanded (Smet 2002)

models to determine hospital performance or sources of cost variation is that they

incorporate well-designed measures of output and that they are

for output being determined (partially) within hospitals via econometric techniques

such as instrumental variables

2.6 Environmental variables

Any analysis of hospital costs needs to clarify how it approaches factors that

constrain the production of health care. There is often considerable deb

what factors should be considered constraints. In the short run, many factors are

outside the control of the organ

of variation. In the long-term a broader set of factors is potentially under t

of the organizations, but the extent and nature of this control will vary depending on

the nature of the context.

Therefore the assumptions with regard to the equilibrium condition, i.e. the state

(long- vs. short-term) in which managers can de

eterminants of hospital costs and performance variation

As we will see below in the sub-section on weights (2.7), parametric analyses tend to

implicitly assume that the expenditure allocation within the hospital reflects societal

values of different outputs, which might be questionable. Moreover, in t

classical production framework the level of output should be completely beyond the

control of the hospital managers and physicians, i.e. exogenous. This assumption has

been challenged from two angles:

Firstly, it has been argued that hospital managers may manipulate the supply

side by producing more if their hospital is characterized by a favourable cost

structure or less if the opposite is the case.

Secondly, many studies argue that physicians may induce demand, operating

exogenous to the decisions of hospital management.

estimates generated by a model that does not account for the former

are biased. Nevertheless, exogenous determination of levels of output is often

assumed given that case payment systems and the cost containmen

party payers weakened the relationship between gross-price charged and the

(Smet 2002). Still, one of the defining features of well

models to determine hospital performance or sources of cost variation is that they

designed measures of output and that they are capable to account

for output being determined (partially) within hospitals via econometric techniques

such as instrumental variables (Smet 2002).

Environmental variables

Any analysis of hospital costs needs to clarify how it approaches factors that

constrain the production of health care. There is often considerable deb

what factors should be considered constraints. In the short run, many factors are

outside the control of the organizations and could be considered “legitimate

term a broader set of factors is potentially under t

tions, but the extent and nature of this control will vary depending on

the nature of the context.

Therefore the assumptions with regard to the equilibrium condition, i.e. the state

term) in which managers can determine the level of all inputs, are

30

section on weights (2.7), parametric analyses tend to

implicitly assume that the expenditure allocation within the hospital reflects societal

values of different outputs, which might be questionable. Moreover, in the neo-

classical production framework the level of output should be completely beyond the

control of the hospital managers and physicians, i.e. exogenous. This assumption has

ers may manipulate the supply

side by producing more if their hospital is characterized by a favourable cost

Secondly, many studies argue that physicians may induce demand, operating

estimates generated by a model that does not account for the former

are biased. Nevertheless, exogenous determination of levels of output is often

assumed given that case payment systems and the cost containment pressure by

price charged and the

. Still, one of the defining features of well-suited

models to determine hospital performance or sources of cost variation is that they

capable to account

for output being determined (partially) within hospitals via econometric techniques

Any analysis of hospital costs needs to clarify how it approaches factors that

constrain the production of health care. There is often considerable debate as to

what factors should be considered constraints. In the short run, many factors are

legitimate” factors

term a broader set of factors is potentially under the control

tions, but the extent and nature of this control will vary depending on

Therefore the assumptions with regard to the equilibrium condition, i.e. the state

termine the level of all inputs, are

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Determinants of hospital costs and performance variation

important. Some authors assume that hospital managers are essentially able to set

all inputs at the cost-minimizing level, include a price for capital and therefore

estimate a long-run cost function. Others argue that o

be employed at the cost-

(Smet 2002).

Econometric techniques offer some orientation by providing tools to test whether

hospitals operate in short or long run equilibrium using the so

condition (Braeutigam and Daughety 1983)

performed with reliable and detailed data for inputs, which are often not available.

Estimating a long-run hospital cost function without testing the appropriateness of

the long-term equilibrium assumption may lead to bia

misspecification of functional form. Most researchers therefore agree that in the

absence of high quality measures of capital input, short

should be estimated (Cowing et al. 1983; Smet 2002; Vita 1990)

Having agreed on the priority given to short

to incorporate those factors, which are beyond the control of hospital mangers in

the analysis. In the framework of the parametric analyses there are three main ways

to account for environmental variables:

- Firstly, comparisons can be restricted to hospitals operating within similarly

constrained environments

- Secondly, external constrains can be included directly as explanatory

variables in the production model.

- Thirdly, risk adjustment techniques adjust organizational output for

differences in cons

(Jacobs et al. 2006: 35)

this approach is often considered superior to the other approaches, since it

adjusts each output only for those constrains that apply specifically rather

than adjusting all outputs generally for external constrains.

Risk adjustment to account for the fact that output is heterogeneous with regard to

certain dimensions is often operational

eterminants of hospital costs and performance variation

important. Some authors assume that hospital managers are essentially able to set

minimizing level, include a price for capital and therefore

run cost function. Others argue that only easily adjustable inputs can

-minimization level and estimate short run cost functions

Econometric techniques offer some orientation by providing tools to test whether

hospitals operate in short or long run equilibrium using the so-called envelope

(Braeutigam and Daughety 1983). The latter, however, can only be

performed with reliable and detailed data for inputs, which are often not available.

run hospital cost function without testing the appropriateness of

term equilibrium assumption may lead to biased estimates and

misspecification of functional form. Most researchers therefore agree that in the

absence of high quality measures of capital input, short-run hospital cost functions

(Cowing et al. 1983; Smet 2002; Vita 1990).

Having agreed on the priority given to short-run models, one needs to consider how

to incorporate those factors, which are beyond the control of hospital mangers in

ework of the parametric analyses there are three main ways

to account for environmental variables:

Firstly, comparisons can be restricted to hospitals operating within similarly

constrained environments (Everitt et al. 2001).

Secondly, external constrains can be included directly as explanatory

variables in the production model.

risk adjustment techniques adjust organizational output for

differences in constrains before they are deployed in the efficiency model

(Jacobs et al. 2006: 35). In the light of the multi-product nature of hospitals

this approach is often considered superior to the other approaches, since it

adjusts each output only for those constrains that apply specifically rather

justing all outputs generally for external constrains.

Risk adjustment to account for the fact that output is heterogeneous with regard to

certain dimensions is often operationalized via product mix descriptor variables,

31

important. Some authors assume that hospital managers are essentially able to set

minimizing level, include a price for capital and therefore

nly easily adjustable inputs can

minimization level and estimate short run cost functions

Econometric techniques offer some orientation by providing tools to test whether

called envelope

. The latter, however, can only be

performed with reliable and detailed data for inputs, which are often not available.

run hospital cost function without testing the appropriateness of

sed estimates and

misspecification of functional form. Most researchers therefore agree that in the

run hospital cost functions

run models, one needs to consider how

to incorporate those factors, which are beyond the control of hospital mangers in

ework of the parametric analyses there are three main ways

Firstly, comparisons can be restricted to hospitals operating within similarly

Secondly, external constrains can be included directly as explanatory

risk adjustment techniques adjust organizational output for

trains before they are deployed in the efficiency model

product nature of hospitals

this approach is often considered superior to the other approaches, since it

adjusts each output only for those constrains that apply specifically rather

Risk adjustment to account for the fact that output is heterogeneous with regard to

d via product mix descriptor variables,

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Determinants of hospital costs and performance variation

which can be grouped into three broad categories: (1) case

quality, and (3) intra-diagnosis related group severity of illness

2008). While contributing to avoid specification bias, the use of product descriptor

variables has three additional global effects, which need to be taken into account.

Firstly, the addition of further explanatory variables is always likely to

decline of the previously unexplained residual and thereby to reduce estimated

average inefficiency or cost variation

parsimony and adds uncertainty with regard to the results. Finally, the data

requirements for risk adjustment are demanding and some controversy exists about

appropriate techniques (Jacobs et al. 2006: 36)

2.7 Weights

A key aspect, which policy makers need to consider when scrutinizing cost and

output variation across individual or groups of organizations, is whether all

organizations are meant to fulfil the same task and objectives

2005). Ideally, any analysis that

to clarify the underlying assumptions with regard to the relative value it allocates to

different outputs and the way specific outputs are therefore included and weighted

in the model (Smith and Street 2005)

Clearly, in the context of the multi

complex. Various approaches have been used to account for this complexity such as

creating a single index of outputs, estimation of a cost rather than a production

function or the use of distance f

Smith and Street (2005) point out that common to all approaches is that the weight

for each output is calculated via the sample mean cost of producing an additional

unit of output. This implies that weights are not allocated with reference to societal

values, but rather estimate

Street 2005). As a consequence most models implicitly assume that the expenditure

allocation decisions of managers and physicians within hospitals reflect the values

that society places on different outputs

models attach zero weight to any output that is not explicitly specified in the

production model. Hence any resources devoted to outputs, which do not enter the

eterminants of hospital costs and performance variation

which can be grouped into three broad categories: (1) case-mix complexity, (2)

diagnosis related group severity of illness (Rosko a

. While contributing to avoid specification bias, the use of product descriptor

variables has three additional global effects, which need to be taken into account.

Firstly, the addition of further explanatory variables is always likely to

decline of the previously unexplained residual and thereby to reduce estimated

average inefficiency or cost variation (Jacobs et al. 2006). However, it reduces

parsimony and adds uncertainty with regard to the results. Finally, the data

requirements for risk adjustment are demanding and some controversy exists about

(Jacobs et al. 2006: 36).

A key aspect, which policy makers need to consider when scrutinizing cost and

output variation across individual or groups of organizations, is whether all

organizations are meant to fulfil the same task and objectives (Smith and Street

. Ideally, any analysis that compares output or costs across organizations needs

to clarify the underlying assumptions with regard to the relative value it allocates to

different outputs and the way specific outputs are therefore included and weighted

(Smith and Street 2005).

xt of the multi-product hospital world, the former is very

complex. Various approaches have been used to account for this complexity such as

creating a single index of outputs, estimation of a cost rather than a production

function or the use of distance functions (Coelli and Perelman 2000; Shepard 1970)

point out that common to all approaches is that the weight

for each output is calculated via the sample mean cost of producing an additional

unit of output. This implies that weights are not allocated with reference to societal

values, but rather estimated as a by-product of statistical estimation

. As a consequence most models implicitly assume that the expenditure

allocation decisions of managers and physicians within hospitals reflect the values

that society places on different outputs (Smith and Street 2005). Moreover, all

attach zero weight to any output that is not explicitly specified in the

production model. Hence any resources devoted to outputs, which do not enter the

32

mix complexity, (2)

(Rosko and Mutter

. While contributing to avoid specification bias, the use of product descriptor

variables has three additional global effects, which need to be taken into account.

Firstly, the addition of further explanatory variables is always likely to lead to a

decline of the previously unexplained residual and thereby to reduce estimated

. However, it reduces

parsimony and adds uncertainty with regard to the results. Finally, the data

requirements for risk adjustment are demanding and some controversy exists about

A key aspect, which policy makers need to consider when scrutinizing cost and

output variation across individual or groups of organizations, is whether all

(Smith and Street

compares output or costs across organizations needs

to clarify the underlying assumptions with regard to the relative value it allocates to

different outputs and the way specific outputs are therefore included and weighted

product hospital world, the former is very

complex. Various approaches have been used to account for this complexity such as

creating a single index of outputs, estimation of a cost rather than a production

(Coelli and Perelman 2000; Shepard 1970).

point out that common to all approaches is that the weight

for each output is calculated via the sample mean cost of producing an additional

unit of output. This implies that weights are not allocated with reference to societal

product of statistical estimation (Smith and

. As a consequence most models implicitly assume that the expenditure

allocation decisions of managers and physicians within hospitals reflect the values

. Moreover, all

attach zero weight to any output that is not explicitly specified in the

production model. Hence any resources devoted to outputs, which do not enter the

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Determinants of hospital costs and performance variation

model, are hypothesized to contribute to inefficiency or illegitimate cost variation.

Thirdly, assumptions with regard to the nature of the rate of return from additional

units of output, i.e. constant versus variable returns, considerably affect the weights

that are attached to different outputs.

2.8 Dynamic nature of production

Unsolved is the question how

process as current performance depends on past inheritances. Furthermore, hospital

managers also invest resources in future attainments

Adequate measures for organizational endowments are lacking. Given thes

limitations, estimating cost determinants or inefficiency scores by analysing panel

data might be a more suitable way to account for dynamic effects in the production

process (Bond 2002; Jacobs et al. 2006; Smith and Street 2005)

2.9 Modelling the error term

One of the fundamental innovations of the SFA is interpreting the residuals, i.e. the

difference between observed hospital costs or outputs and that predicted, as

comprising random error and inefficiency. These two components are as

distributed differently: for the random error term a normal distribution is assumed,

while the inefficiency part can take various distributional forms. However, for cross

sectional data no economic or statistical criteria are available to infor

the distributional characteristics of the inefficiency term

and Sickles 1984). Researchers are commonly provided with four distributions which

they can apply to the inefficiency error term: a half

exponential or a gamma distribution

generates different estimates of average inefficiency in the sample as a whole and of

relative inefficiency of individual hospitals

2008; Zuckerman et al. 1994)

distributions on relative and average inefficiency

Mutter 2008; Zuckerman et al. 1994)

comparing it to the difference resulting from decomposing inefficiency into two

components versus interpreting the entire residuals as inefficiency using COLS

(Jacobs et al. 2006: 57).

eterminants of hospital costs and performance variation

model, are hypothesized to contribute to inefficiency or illegitimate cost variation.

ions with regard to the nature of the rate of return from additional

units of output, i.e. constant versus variable returns, considerably affect the weights

that are attached to different outputs.

Dynamic nature of production

Unsolved is the question how to deal with the dynamic nature of the production

process as current performance depends on past inheritances. Furthermore, hospital

managers also invest resources in future attainments (Smith and Street 2005)

Adequate measures for organizational endowments are lacking. Given thes

limitations, estimating cost determinants or inefficiency scores by analysing panel

data might be a more suitable way to account for dynamic effects in the production

(Bond 2002; Jacobs et al. 2006; Smith and Street 2005).

odelling the error term

One of the fundamental innovations of the SFA is interpreting the residuals, i.e. the

difference between observed hospital costs or outputs and that predicted, as

comprising random error and inefficiency. These two components are as

distributed differently: for the random error term a normal distribution is assumed,

while the inefficiency part can take various distributional forms. However, for cross

sectional data no economic or statistical criteria are available to inform the choice of

the distributional characteristics of the inefficiency term (Newhouse 1994; Schmidt

. Researchers are commonly provided with four distributions which

they can apply to the inefficiency error term: a half-normal, a truncated

exponential or a gamma distribution (Greene 2004). The choice of the distribution

generates different estimates of average inefficiency in the sample as a whole and of

relative inefficiency of individual hospitals (Jacobs et al. 2006; Rosko and Mutter

2008; Zuckerman et al. 1994). Overall, the significance of the impact of different

distributions on relative and average inefficiency (Jacobs et al. 2006; Rosko and

Mutter 2008; Zuckerman et al. 1994) seems to be limited, especially when

it to the difference resulting from decomposing inefficiency into two

components versus interpreting the entire residuals as inefficiency using COLS

33

model, are hypothesized to contribute to inefficiency or illegitimate cost variation.

ions with regard to the nature of the rate of return from additional

units of output, i.e. constant versus variable returns, considerably affect the weights

to deal with the dynamic nature of the production

process as current performance depends on past inheritances. Furthermore, hospital

(Smith and Street 2005).

Adequate measures for organizational endowments are lacking. Given these

limitations, estimating cost determinants or inefficiency scores by analysing panel

data might be a more suitable way to account for dynamic effects in the production

One of the fundamental innovations of the SFA is interpreting the residuals, i.e. the

difference between observed hospital costs or outputs and that predicted, as

comprising random error and inefficiency. These two components are assumed to be

distributed differently: for the random error term a normal distribution is assumed,

while the inefficiency part can take various distributional forms. However, for cross-

m the choice of

use 1994; Schmidt

. Researchers are commonly provided with four distributions which

normal, a truncated-normal,

. The choice of the distribution

generates different estimates of average inefficiency in the sample as a whole and of

(Jacobs et al. 2006; Rosko and Mutter

. Overall, the significance of the impact of different

(Jacobs et al. 2006; Rosko and

seems to be limited, especially when

it to the difference resulting from decomposing inefficiency into two

components versus interpreting the entire residuals as inefficiency using COLS

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Determinants of hospital costs and performance variation

2.10 One versus two stage estimation

Identifying correlate variables of inefficiency

variables is highly relevant for the identification of

performance variation. The analysis of the former can be conducted in one or two

stages (Rosko and Mutter 2008)

approaches in which inefficiency estimates are calculated in a first step and in a

second stage these estimates are regressed against a set of factors thought

correlate with inefficiency

estimate the stochastic frontier and the inefficiency model, which allows estimating

the effect of hospital specific and environm

Coelli 1995; Coelli et al. 2005; Hjalmarsson et al. 1996; Wang and Schmidt 2002)

Research indicates that two

and Rosenman 2001; Rosko and Mutter 2008; Wang and Schmidt 2002)

hence be interpreted with great caution and where possible ought to be checked

against results from one stage estimation.

3 Efficiency analysis

3.1 The main approaches to efficiency analysis: SFA and DEA

The two main techniques to measure relative efficiency are S

Analysis (SFA), which is a form of econometric model, and Data Envelopment

Analysis (DEA), which is a form of linear optim

each of these techniques briefly.

SFA is a special form of the standard economet

theory. The standard model takes the general form:

1

M

k m mk k

m

Y α β ε=

= + +∑ z

where k

Y is the total amount of output for each organ

constant and we have a set of

variables might measure the amount of labour or capital input used by each

organization or the constr

frontier. m

β captures the influence of a particular explanatory variable

eterminants of hospital costs and performance variation

One versus two stage estimation

tifying correlate variables of inefficiency such as firm-specific or environmental

riables is highly relevant for the identification of “legitimate” sources of hospital

performance variation. The analysis of the former can be conducted in one or two

(Rosko and Mutter 2008). The first generation of SFA studies use two

approaches in which inefficiency estimates are calculated in a first step and in a

second stage these estimates are regressed against a set of factors thought

correlate with inefficiency (Pitt and Lee 1981). One stage approaches simultaneously

estimate the stochastic frontier and the inefficiency model, which allows estimating

the effect of hospital specific and environmental variables directly

et al. 2005; Hjalmarsson et al. 1996; Wang and Schmidt 2002)

Research indicates that two-stage estimation leads to substantially biased results

and Rosenman 2001; Rosko and Mutter 2008; Wang and Schmidt 2002)

ce be interpreted with great caution and where possible ought to be checked

against results from one stage estimation.

Efficiency analysis

The main approaches to efficiency analysis: SFA and DEA

The two main techniques to measure relative efficiency are Stochastic Frontier

Analysis (SFA), which is a form of econometric model, and Data Envelopment

Analysis (DEA), which is a form of linear optimization. We introduce and compare

each of these techniques briefly.

SFA is a special form of the standard econometric model that builds on production

theory. The standard model takes the general form:

is the total amount of output for each organization k K=

constant and we have a set of 1...m M= explanatory variables m

z . These explanatory

variables might measure the amount of labour or capital input used by each

tion or the constraints faced by the organization in attaining the production

captures the influence of a particular explanatory variable

34

specific or environmental

sources of hospital

performance variation. The analysis of the former can be conducted in one or two

. The first generation of SFA studies use two-stage

approaches in which inefficiency estimates are calculated in a first step and in a

second stage these estimates are regressed against a set of factors thought to

. One stage approaches simultaneously

estimate the stochastic frontier and the inefficiency model, which allows estimating

ental variables directly (Battese and

et al. 2005; Hjalmarsson et al. 1996; Wang and Schmidt 2002).

stage estimation leads to substantially biased results (Li

and Rosenman 2001; Rosko and Mutter 2008; Wang and Schmidt 2002) and should

ce be interpreted with great caution and where possible ought to be checked

The main approaches to efficiency analysis: SFA and DEA

tochastic Frontier

Analysis (SFA), which is a form of econometric model, and Data Envelopment

tion. We introduce and compare

ric model that builds on production

(2)

1...k K= , α is a

. These explanatory

variables might measure the amount of labour or capital input used by each

tion in attaining the production

captures the influence of a particular explanatory variable m

z on

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Determinants of hospital costs and performance variation

output. If m

β is positive, the explanatory va

The error term ε captures the imperfect relationship between these explanatory

variables (i.e. the model) and observed output.

SFA has been developed to address a fundamental measurement problem:

inefficiency is unobservable. How can one measure something that

lack of effort that an organ

problem in two stages.

First, it specifies the form and location of the production frontier. This involves

comparing different organ

organization(s) are doing best. This involves specifying a production model where

( )k mk

Y f= z . We shall consider this specification in more detail shortly.

Second, the production of the remaining organ

so that unobservable inefficiency is estimated by the distance from the frontier.

However, as we noted in equation (1), true (unobserved) performance is also

measured imperfectly, captured previously by the error term

of inefficiency, the term

SFA model disentangles these components, so that

inefficiency and v captures measurement or modelling error. The standar

equation, then, is re-specified as:

1

M

m m mk k k

m

Y u vα β=

= + + +∑ z

Figure 1 provides a graphical illustration of the process, taken from the World Health

Organization’s attempt the measure the relative performance of different countries

in producing health (World Health Organization, 2000)

Adjusted Life Expectancy (DALE) as the output of product

per capita as the input. Each dot represents a unit of observation

in this example. The SFA frontier runs through the cloud of observations but not

through the uppermost data points. Some points lie above the

measurement error v . For points below the frontier, the vertical distance comprises

a combination of inefficiency

eterminants of hospital costs and performance variation

is positive, the explanatory variable has a positive influence on output.

captures the imperfect relationship between these explanatory

variables (i.e. the model) and observed output.

has been developed to address a fundamental measurement problem:

inefficiency is unobservable. How can one measure something that is not there: the

that an organization ought to exert, for instance? SFA tries to solve this

First, it specifies the form and location of the production frontier. This involves

comparing different organizations producing the same things, to see which

are doing best. This involves specifying a production model where

. We shall consider this specification in more detail shortly.

Second, the production of the remaining organizations is compared to the frontier,

so that unobservable inefficiency is estimated by the distance from the frontier.

e noted in equation (1), true (unobserved) performance is also

measured imperfectly, captured previously by the error term ε . But in the context

ε captures both measurement error and inefficiency. The

SFA model disentangles these components, so that u vε = + , where

captures measurement or modelling error. The standar

specified as:

m m mk k kY u v

Figure 1 provides a graphical illustration of the process, taken from the World Health

tion’s attempt the measure the relative performance of different countries

(World Health Organization, 2000). Here we observe Disability

Adjusted Life Expectancy (DALE) as the output of production and health expenditure

per capita as the input. Each dot represents a unit of observation – each is a country

in this example. The SFA frontier runs through the cloud of observations but not

through the uppermost data points. Some points lie above the frontier because of

. For points below the frontier, the vertical distance comprises

a combination of inefficiency u and measurement error v .

35

riable has a positive influence on output.

captures the imperfect relationship between these explanatory

has been developed to address a fundamental measurement problem:

is not there: the

tion ought to exert, for instance? SFA tries to solve this

First, it specifies the form and location of the production frontier. This involves

tions producing the same things, to see which

are doing best. This involves specifying a production model where

. We shall consider this specification in more detail shortly.

tions is compared to the frontier,

so that unobservable inefficiency is estimated by the distance from the frontier.

e noted in equation (1), true (unobserved) performance is also

. But in the context

measurement error and inefficiency. The

, where u captures

captures measurement or modelling error. The standard

(3)

Figure 1 provides a graphical illustration of the process, taken from the World Health

tion’s attempt the measure the relative performance of different countries

. Here we observe Disability

ion and health expenditure

each is a country

in this example. The SFA frontier runs through the cloud of observations but not

frontier because of

. For points below the frontier, the vertical distance comprises

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Determinants of hospital costs and performance variation

DEA derives from an engineering tradition that presumes accurate data, so does not

allow for measurement error. This greatly simplifies the produ

its most basic form, is specified as the ratio of output to input. This conforms to the

simple notion that an organ

the same amount of output can be considered more efficient. Tho

with the highest ratios of output to input are considered efficient, and the efficiency

frontier is constructed by joining these observations up in the input

The frontier thus comprises a series of linear segments connecting o

observation to another. Inefficient organ

frontier in DEA. The inefficiency of the organ

calculated relative to this

dataset as in Figure 1, but employing DEA instead of SFA. Thus, while careful

specification of the production model is required for SFA, when applying DEA the

location (and the shape) of the efficiency frontier is determined by the data.

Figure 1: An example of a stochastic frontier going through a cloud of observations

eterminants of hospital costs and performance variation

derives from an engineering tradition that presumes accurate data, so does not

allow for measurement error. This greatly simplifies the production model which, in

its most basic form, is specified as the ratio of output to input. This conforms to the

simple notion that an organization that employs less input than another to produce

the same amount of output can be considered more efficient. Those observations

with the highest ratios of output to input are considered efficient, and the efficiency

frontier is constructed by joining these observations up in the input

The frontier thus comprises a series of linear segments connecting o

observation to another. Inefficient organizations are “enveloped” by the efficiency

frontier in DEA. The inefficiency of the organizations within the frontier boundary is

calculated relative to this “envelope”, as can be seen in Figure 2, usin

dataset as in Figure 1, but employing DEA instead of SFA. Thus, while careful

specification of the production model is required for SFA, when applying DEA the

location (and the shape) of the efficiency frontier is determined by the data.

: An example of a stochastic frontier going through a cloud of observations

36

derives from an engineering tradition that presumes accurate data, so does not

ction model which, in

its most basic form, is specified as the ratio of output to input. This conforms to the

tion that employs less input than another to produce

se observations

with the highest ratios of output to input are considered efficient, and the efficiency

frontier is constructed by joining these observations up in the input-output space.

The frontier thus comprises a series of linear segments connecting one efficient

by the efficiency

tions within the frontier boundary is

, as can be seen in Figure 2, using the same

dataset as in Figure 1, but employing DEA instead of SFA. Thus, while careful

specification of the production model is required for SFA, when applying DEA the

location (and the shape) of the efficiency frontier is determined by the data.

: An example of a stochastic frontier going through a cloud of observations

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Determinants of hospital costs and performance variation

DEA models can be run for both constant returns to scale (CRS) and a more flexible

variable returns to scale (VRS) (as shown in Figure 2) which

when not all organizations can be considered to be operating at an optimal scale.

3.2 Comparing DEA and SFA

As described earlier, DEA and SFA take different approaches to establishing the

location and shape of the production frontier, and

organization is located in relation to the frontier. Here we briefly summar

differences. This is important because these differences are the reasons why the

techniques produce different estimates of the relative efficienc

organizations.

SFA controls for supposed influences on output, and contends that unexplained

variations in output are due

econometric models, therefore, where interest lies in the expl

models extract organization

part of the model. The implication is that standard econometric tools to test model

specification cannot be applied to SFA models both because of the

placed on kε

and because organ

required. Thus un-testable judgments need to be made about the adequacy of

Figure 2: An example of a DEA frontier enveloping a cloud of observations

eterminants of hospital costs and performance variation

DEA models can be run for both constant returns to scale (CRS) and a more flexible

variable returns to scale (VRS) (as shown in Figure 2) which may be appropriate

tions can be considered to be operating at an optimal scale.

Comparing DEA and SFA

As described earlier, DEA and SFA take different approaches to establishing the

location and shape of the production frontier, and to determining where each

tion is located in relation to the frontier. Here we briefly summar

differences. This is important because these differences are the reasons why the

techniques produce different estimates of the relative efficiency of individual

SFA controls for supposed influences on output, and contends that unexplained

variations in output are due – in part, at least – to inefficiency. Unlike standard

econometric models, therefore, where interest lies in the explanatory variables, SFA

tion-specific estimates of inefficiency from the unexplained

part of the model. The implication is that standard econometric tools to test model

specification cannot be applied to SFA models both because of the

and because organization-specific rather than average estimates are

testable judgments need to be made about the adequacy of

: An example of a DEA frontier enveloping a cloud of observations

37

DEA models can be run for both constant returns to scale (CRS) and a more flexible

may be appropriate

tions can be considered to be operating at an optimal scale.

As described earlier, DEA and SFA take different approaches to establishing the

to determining where each

tion is located in relation to the frontier. Here we briefly summarize these

differences. This is important because these differences are the reasons why the

y of individual

SFA controls for supposed influences on output, and contends that unexplained

to inefficiency. Unlike standard

anatory variables, SFA

mates of inefficiency from the unexplained

part of the model. The implication is that standard econometric tools to test model

specification cannot be applied to SFA models both because of the interpretation

specific rather than average estimates are

testable judgments need to be made about the adequacy of

: An example of a DEA frontier enveloping a cloud of observations

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Determinants of hospital costs and performance variation

stochastic frontier models and the inefficiency estimates th

2005).

In applying DEA the location and shape of the frontier are established by the data.

The outermost observations, those with the highest level of output given their scale

of operation, are deemed efficient. Referring back to figures 1 and 2, DEA would

consider observations lying at the upper extreme of the data cloud to be fully

efficient, whereas SFA may consider that these organ

inefficiency.

The consequence of plotting the frontier through the outermost observations is that

DEA is highly flexible, the frontier moulding itself to the data. The drawback, though,

is that the frontier is sensitive to organ

combinations of inputs or outputs. These will have a scarcity of adjacent reference

observations (usually termed

being inappropriately positioned.

While DEA might be thought to win out over the SFA method in terms of flexibility,

this is offset by how the technique interprets any di

are two key differences. Firstly, DEA assumes correct model specification and that all

data are observed without error while SFA allows for the possibility of modelling and

measurement error. Consequently, even if the two te

frontier, SFA efficiency estimates are likely to be higher than those produced by DEA.

Secondly, DEA uses a selective amount of data to estimate each organ

efficiency score. DEA generates an efficiency score for each o

comparing it only to peers that produce a comparable mix of outputs. This has two

implications.

(1) If any output is unique to an organ

make a comparison, irrespective of the fact that it may produce

common outputs. An absence of peers results in the automatic assignation of

full efficiency for the organ

eterminants of hospital costs and performance variation

stochastic frontier models and the inefficiency estimates they yield (Smith and Street

applying DEA the location and shape of the frontier are established by the data.

The outermost observations, those with the highest level of output given their scale

of operation, are deemed efficient. Referring back to figures 1 and 2, DEA would

observations lying at the upper extreme of the data cloud to be fully

efficient, whereas SFA may consider that these organizations exhibit some degree of

The consequence of plotting the frontier through the outermost observations is that

is highly flexible, the frontier moulding itself to the data. The drawback, though,

is that the frontier is sensitive to organizations that have unusual types, levels or

combinations of inputs or outputs. These will have a scarcity of adjacent reference

bservations (usually termed “peers”), perhaps resulting in sections of the

being inappropriately positioned.

While DEA might be thought to win out over the SFA method in terms of flexibility,

this is offset by how the technique interprets any distance from the frontier. There

are two key differences. Firstly, DEA assumes correct model specification and that all

data are observed without error while SFA allows for the possibility of modelling and

measurement error. Consequently, even if the two techniques yield an identical

frontier, SFA efficiency estimates are likely to be higher than those produced by DEA.

Secondly, DEA uses a selective amount of data to estimate each organ

efficiency score. DEA generates an efficiency score for each o

comparing it only to peers that produce a comparable mix of outputs. This has two

If any output is unique to an organization, it will have no peers with which to

make a comparison, irrespective of the fact that it may produce

common outputs. An absence of peers results in the automatic assignation of

full efficiency for the organization under consideration.

38

(Smith and Street

applying DEA the location and shape of the frontier are established by the data.

The outermost observations, those with the highest level of output given their scale

of operation, are deemed efficient. Referring back to figures 1 and 2, DEA would

observations lying at the upper extreme of the data cloud to be fully

tions exhibit some degree of

The consequence of plotting the frontier through the outermost observations is that

is highly flexible, the frontier moulding itself to the data. The drawback, though,

tions that have unusual types, levels or

combinations of inputs or outputs. These will have a scarcity of adjacent reference

), perhaps resulting in sections of the “frontier”

While DEA might be thought to win out over the SFA method in terms of flexibility,

stance from the frontier. There

are two key differences. Firstly, DEA assumes correct model specification and that all

data are observed without error while SFA allows for the possibility of modelling and

chniques yield an identical

frontier, SFA efficiency estimates are likely to be higher than those produced by DEA.

Secondly, DEA uses a selective amount of data to estimate each organization’s

efficiency score. DEA generates an efficiency score for each organization by

comparing it only to peers that produce a comparable mix of outputs. This has two

tion, it will have no peers with which to

make a comparison, irrespective of the fact that it may produce other

common outputs. An absence of peers results in the automatic assignation of

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Determinants of hospital costs and performance variation

(2) When assigning an efficiency score to an organ

frontier, only its peers are considered, wi

remainder of the sample discarded. In contrast, SFA appeals to the full

sample information when estimating relative efficiency.

In addition to making greater use of the available data, this facet of the SFA

approach will make the sample’s efficiency estimates more robust in the presence of

outlier observations and to the presence of atypical input/output combinations. But

this advantage over DEA is mainly a matter of degree

the DEA frontier may be determined by outliers, but outliers also exert influence on

where the SFA frontier is positioned. Moreover, there are no statistical criteria for

sorting these unusual observations into outliers or

and Street 2005).

eterminants of hospital costs and performance variation

When assigning an efficiency score to an organization not lying on the

frontier, only its peers are considered, with information pertaining to the

remainder of the sample discarded. In contrast, SFA appeals to the full

sample information when estimating relative efficiency.

In addition to making greater use of the available data, this facet of the SFA

make the sample’s efficiency estimates more robust in the presence of

outlier observations and to the presence of atypical input/output combinations. But

this advantage over DEA is mainly a matter of degree – the location of (sections of)

may be determined by outliers, but outliers also exert influence on

where the SFA frontier is positioned. Moreover, there are no statistical criteria for

hese unusual observations into outliers or examples of best practice

39

tion not lying on the

th information pertaining to the

remainder of the sample discarded. In contrast, SFA appeals to the full

In addition to making greater use of the available data, this facet of the SFA

make the sample’s efficiency estimates more robust in the presence of

outlier observations and to the presence of atypical input/output combinations. But

the location of (sections of)

may be determined by outliers, but outliers also exert influence on

where the SFA frontier is positioned. Moreover, there are no statistical criteria for

examples of best practice (Smith

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Determinants of hospital costs and performance variation

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