despite drop in gun crime, most americans think it's increased

7/30/2019 Despite Drop in Gun Crime, Most Americans Think It's Increased

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President Barack Obama frowns as he speaks during a news conference in the Rose Garden of the WhiteHouse about a bill to expand background checks on guns that was defeated in the Senate, April 17, 2013.

ustice Department: Gun Murders Down 39 Percent From 1993 to011ew report says non-fatal gun crimes down 69 percent

STEVEN NELSON

7, 2013

cording to a report released Tuesday by the

tice Department's Bureau of Justice

tistics, the number of firearm-related

micides declined 39 percent from 1993 to

11. Non-fatal firearm crimes dropped 69cent during the same period.

ere were 11,101 firearm-related homicides

2011, the report said, compared to 18,253

1993. The decline was part of a multi-year

wnward trend.

2011, there were 467,300 non-fatal firearm

mes, according to the report, down from

million such crimes in 1993. The steep

cline was also part of a multi-year trend.

OLL: Americans Incorrectly Believe Gun

mes Increased]

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EAD: Joe Biden's Gun Advice Could Land Wife in Jail]

e report, which used data provided by the BJS National Crime Victimization Survey and other government agencies, comes amid an

ense push to establish new gun laws in the wake of high-profile mass shootings. Republican senators defeated a proposal in April to

ndate background checks for all gun sales. Sen. Chuck Schumer, D-N.Y., predicted that gun control measures would be voted on againer this year.

ring the time gun-related violence decreased, gun sales appear to have increased. Although a comprehensive tally of year-by-year

arm sales is impossible to determine with precision, FBI statistics for the number of NICS background checks performed suggest an

ward trend in gun sales since the late 1990s. Around 9.1 million of the background checks - mandated by a 1993 gun control law and

nched in 1998 - were performed in 1999, compared to 16.4 million performed in 2011.

CHUMER: 'We're Going to Bring This Bill Back']
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bama Behind the Scenes Gun Control Cartoons North Korea Cartoons

ORE: Gun Control Bill Hits a Wall ... But Just For Now?]

e data released Tuesday showed that a very small fraction of crime victims used a gun to defend themselves. "In 2007-11, about one

cent of victims in all nonfatal violent crimes reported using a firearm to defend themselves during the incident," said the press release

ompanying the report. "A small number of property crime victims also used a firearm in self-defenseabout 0.1 percent of all property

timizations."

e report said that 60 percent of state prison inmates arrested for a gun-related crime obtained their guns legally: 37 percent from famil

friends, 10 percent from a retail or pawn shop and just 2 percent from a gun show or flea market.

re News:

Steven Nelson is a reporter at U.S. News & World Report. You can follow him on Twitter or reach him at [email protected].

Read more stories by Steven Nelson

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5/7

Study: Despite drop in gun crime, 56% think it's worse

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By Meghan Hoyer and Paul Overberg 3:25 p.m. EDT May 7, 2013

Violent gun crime has dropped dramatically in the

past two decades, but the majority of Americans

think it's more of a problem now than ever,

according to a Pew Research Center study released

Tuesday.

According to the survey, done in March, 56% of

Americans believe gun crime is worse today than it

was 20 years ago. And 84% believe in recent years,

gun crime has either gone up or stayed the same

when the reality is that it has dropped significantly.

The rate of non-fatal violent gun crime victimization

dropped 75% in the past 20 years; The gun homicide rate dropped 49% in the same

period, according to numbers Pew researchers obtained from the Centers for Disease

Control and Bureau of J ustice Statistics.

"The public doesn't get its feelings out of crime statistics," said Alfred Blumstein, an

urban systems professor at Heinz College at Carnegie Mellon University. "The public

gets its feelings from particularly notorious events, and what the press talks about."

The recent attention on the massacre in Newtown, Conn., other mass shootings and

even the spate of shootings in Chicago have fueled a perception that crime is up,

even though in most cities it has dropped overall, he said.

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STORY HIGHLIGHTS

The rate of gun homicides

dropped 49% between 2010

and 1993

56% of Americans believe

gun crime is worse today

than it was 20 years ago

84% believe in recent years,

gun crime has either gone

up or stayed t he same

GUN-RELATED HOMICIDE RATEThe gun-related homicide rate has dropped over the past two decades.

RATE

1990 1992 1994 1996 1998 2000 2002 2004 2006 2008 2010

0

1

2

3

4

5

6

7 6.56.8 6.7

5.2

4.33.8

4.1 4.0 4.3 4.0

3.6

_

Source: Pew Research Center; Centers for Disease Control

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"It's not just gun crime it's all crime has gone down," said David Hemenway, a

professor at Harvard's School of Public Health. "But from the news, it sounds like

school shootings are way up. Certainly since Newtown, these things are huge news.

So people believe things must be worse."

Hemenway called Pew's findings "not surprising at all."

He said a recent case that attracted national news, where a 5-year-old boy in

Kentucky accidentally shot and killed his 2-year-old sister, was an example of a

relatively commonplace event that, in light of the national focus on guns at the

moment, became national news.

"Every week or so, something like that happens," he said. "But that's the focus now,

so people are not surprisingly misled. People worry about the wrong things. What

people worry about are things that are salient in the news things that happened

recently, things that they have no control over."

Meghan Hoyer and Paul Overberg

NON-FATAL VIOLENT GUN CRIMESThe victimization rate in non-fatal violent gun crimes has dropped by 75% in the past two

decades.

RATE

1993 1995 1997 1999 2001 2003 2005 2007 2009 2011

0

100

200

300

400

500

600

700

800725.3

554.8

465.8

285.4245.7

195.3 205.9221.6

161.4181.5

_Source: Pew Research Center; Bureau of J ustice Statistics


AMERICANS' IDEAS

ABOUT GUN CRIMEThe Pew Research Center survey asked:

Compared with 20 years ago, has the

number of gun crimes in America gone up,

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Pew researchers began their work before the elementary school shooting in Newtown

in December 2012, said D'Vera Cohn, a co-author of the study. Pew plans a larger

study of crime trends and public awareness later this year, she said.

The survey found that women and the elderly were less likely to be victims of crime,

but were more likely to believe gun crime had increased in recent years. Men, who

were more likely to be victims, were more likely to know that the gun crime rate haddropped.

Starting in 1993, homicides and robberies began to drop. Blumstein said that was in

part due to the decline of the crack cocaine trade, which from 1985 to 1993 fueled a

25% increase in those crimes.

Violent crime rates remained relatively flat through much of the 2000s, but then

dropped by about 8% in 2009 and again in 2010, Blumstein said.

Hemenway said researchers can't point to a singular reason why gun crime has

dropped so significantly. The report points to the aging population, high incarceration

rates and a drop in crime internationally since the mid-1990s as contributing reasons.

"I think the big reason gun crime has gone down is because crime has been down,"

Hemenway said. "There's no huge thing there's been no major changes in gun

policy,"

There is a fear of a knee-jerk response based on the public's erroneous perceptions

of crime, Blumstein said.

For example, in the late 1980s, politicians instituted increasingly tough mandatory

sentencing laws to lock up what some had deemed a new type of "super predator"

involved in the street drug trade. The result has been overcrowded prisons and a

number of first-time offenders serving overly long sentences, Blumstein said.

As politicians weigh in on gun control, he said, they're very aware that many citizens

believe that gun crime has gotten worse.

"The public says 'I'm concerned, do something,' and the political system has to

respond to that," he said.

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gone down or stayed the same? (%)

Source: Pew Research Center


GONE UP

STAY SAME

GONE DOWN

DON'T KNOW
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despite drop in gun crime, most americans think it's increased

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