designing & evaluating resale formulas opal...
TRANSCRIPT
10/29/2015
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Tuesday10/20/1511:15 – 12:45
Julie BrunnerOPAL CLT
DESIGNING & EVALUATING RESALE
FORMULAS
Agenda1. Basis for allocating
appreciation
2. Resale formula goals
3. Definitions
4. Types of formulas
INTRODUCTION TO RESALE FORMULAS
EQUITY & APPRECIATION
Equity = Value Less Debt Initially = down payment Increases as debt is retired Increases as value increases
Appreciation = Escalating Value
Homeowner investment in property
Community investment/factors
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Limits appreciation for subsidized HOStrive to allocate
appreciation “fairly”Homeowner investment =
homeownerPublic investment = public
Protect public investmentCreates stock of
affordable HO
RESALE RESTRICTED HOMEOWNERSHIP
BALANCE OF INTERESTS
Community
Individual
RESALE FORMULA GOALS
Permanent affordability
Fair return
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RESALE FORMULA CONSIDERATIONS
What is a “fair” return?
What is the condition of the housing stock?
Nothing’s perfectly fair!
OPERATIONAL GOALS IN A FORMULA
Ease of administration
Minimize disputes
Property taxes
On-going updates
FUNDER GOALS
Wealth creation
Recapture & reinvest
Guaranteed affordability
Compliance
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How affordable was the initial pricing?
Less affordable conservative formula
More affordable more generous
Ease of administration!
MORE CONSIDERATIONS…
Fixed Rate Formulas
Index FormulasCPIAMI
Appraisal Based Formulas
Hybrids + Capital Improvement Credits
RESALE FORMULA OPTIONS
FIXED RATE FORMULA
Base price + multiplier
Multiplier = fixed %
Can be designed to
increase with time
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FIXED RATE FORMULA: ASSUMPTIONS
$250,000 = Cost to develop$100,000 = Subsidy available$150,000 = Original Affordable Price (Base Price)Affordable to a HH of 4 @ 61% AMI
Down payment = Closing costs
$250,000 = Initial appraised value
FIXED RATE FORMULA: EXAMPLE
Base PriceX Fixed % Compounded Annually
= Formula Price
FIXED RATE FORMULA: EXAMPLE
$150,000 (Base price)X 1.5% Compounded Annually= $174,081 (Formula Price)
Affordable to 59% AMI- $9,000 (Closing costs to sell)- $122,013 (Payoff)
$43,068 (Cash to seller)
=150000*(1+0.015)^10
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FIXED RATE FORMULA: ADVANTAGES
Easy to understand/ administer
Calculate at any time
Steady increase in value
Controls affordability
FIXED RATE FORMULA: DISADVANTAGES
No distinction of HO/community investment
Same rate of return/time
Unrelated to market or inflation
Base Price + multiplier
Multiplier = % increase of
index
Commonly used indices
•AMI•CPI•Cap?
INDEXED FORMULAS
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INDEXED FORMULAS: ASSUMPTIONS
$250,000 = Cost to develop$100,000 = Subsidy available$150,000 = Original Affordable Price (Base Price)Affordable to a HH of 4 @ 61% AMI
Down payment = Closing costs$250,000 = Initial appraised value
INDEXED FORMULAS: EXAMPLE
Base Price
X 1 + % Change Index over time
= Formula Price
INDEXED FORMULAS: EXAMPLE
$150,000 (Base price)X 1.22 (22% increase in AMI)= $183,000 Formula Price
Affordable to 61% AMI- $9,000 (Closing costs to sell)- $122,013 (Payoff)
$51,987 (Cash to seller)
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INDEXED FORMULAS: ADVANTAGES
Allows continuous monitoring of price
Can be tied to AMI
Easy to understand
Easy to use
INDEXED FORMULAS: DISADVANTAGES
Ignores earned equity (improvements)
Possible greater than market-rate increases
Index may not reflect target incomes
APPRAISAL BASED FORMULA
Simple Compound Shared Equity Formulas
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SIMPLE APPRAISAL BASED FORMULA
Appraisals at purchase and resaleIncrease = % of increase in appraised value% increase smaller than compound
SIMPLE APPRAISAL BASED FORMULA
Appraisals at purchase and resaleIncrease = % of increase in appraised value% increase smaller than compound
APPRAISAL BASED FORMULA: ASSUMPTIONS
$250,000 = Cost to develop$100,000 = Subsidy available$150,000 = Original Affordable Price (or Base Price)Affordable to a HH of 4 @ 61% AMI
Down payment = Closing costs$250,000 = Initial appraised value
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SIMPLE APPRAISAL BASED FORMULA: EXAMPLE
Base Price
+ 25% (Change in value)
= Formula Price
SIMPLE APPRAISAL BASED FORMULA: EXAMPLE
$400,000 (Current appraisal)$250,000 (Original appraisal)$150,000 (Difference in appraisal)
X25%$37,500 (Appreciation)
+$150,000 (Base price)$187,500 Formula Price
Affordable to 62% AMI- $9,000 (Closing costs to sell)-$122,013 (Payoff)$56,487 (Cash to Seller)
SIMPLE APPRAISAL BASED FORMULA: ADVANTAGES
Easily explained
Easily administered
Disputes unlikely
Sharing of gainsIndividualCommunity
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SIMPLE APPRAISAL BASED FORMULA: DISADVANTAGES
Based on market value
What do you do with
your 75%
APPRAISALS!
Must have appraisal to
calculate
Multiple index formulas
Hybrid index formulas
The Lesser of…
VARIATIONS
When does it make sense?Age/condition of housing
stockRelationship to resale
formula?Appraisal based formulasConservative formula +
capital creditsDon’t forget Ease of
Administration!
CAPITAL IMPROVEMENTS
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NO right answer!
Simplicity WINS!
Sometimes needed.
Thoughtful process
New buyers only
AMENDING YOUR FORMULA
INDEXED OR APPRAISAL BASED?
0.0%
1.0%
2.0%
3.0%
4.0%
5.0%
6.0%
OPAL BCLT
1.9%
6.0%
2.7%
3.3% 3.3%
2.5%
Resale Formula Comparison 1999-2005
Orcas Island Wa - Burlington Vermont
AMI
AMI
CPI
CPI
25% Appraisal
25% A
ppraisal
INDEXED OR APPRAISAL BASED?
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WHICH FORMULA? – HOT MARKET
$125,000
$140,000
$155,000
$170,000
$185,000
$200,000
199
5
199
7
199
9
200
1
200
3
200
5
200
7
200
9
201
1
201
3
201
5
Resale Formula Comparison
AppraisalBased (25%)
Index Based(AMI)
Fixed Rate(1.5%)
Year
$125,000
$150,000
$175,000
$200,000
$225,000
199
5
199
7
199
9
200
1
200
3
200
5
200
7
200
9
201
1
201
3
201
5
Resale Formula Comparison
Appraisal Based(25%)
Index Based(AMI)
Fixed Rate(1.5%)
Year
WHICH FORMULA? – MIXED MARKET
$50,000
$60,000
$70,000
$80,000
$90,000
$100,000
19
95
19
97
19
99
20
01
20
03
20
05
20
07
20
09
20
11
20
13
20
15
Appraisal Based(25%)
Index Based (AMI)
Fixed Rate (1.5%)
WHICH FORMULA? – WEAK MARKET
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Cornerstone Partnership Resale Formula Video Series(Goolge: Resale Formula Video Series)
Burlington Associates Resale Formula Calculatorhttp://www.burlingtonassociates.com/home-slides/resale-formula-comparison-tool
National CLT Network Technical Manual – Resale Formulashttp://cltnetwork.org/wp-content/uploads/2014/07/12-Resale-Formula-Design.pdf
RESOURCES
THANKS!