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Design of Sustainable, Resilient Infrastructure Systems Julie Beth Zimmerman, PhD Assistant Professor of Green Engineering School of Engineering and Applied Sciences School of Forestry and Environmental Studies Acting Director, Center for Green Chemistry and Green Engineering Yale University

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Page 1: Design of Sustainable, Resilient Infrastructure Systems...Design of Sustainable, Resilient Infrastructure Systems Julie Beth Zimmerman, PhD Assistant Professor of Green Engineering

Design of Sustainable, Resilient Infrastructure Systems

Julie Beth Zimmerman, PhD Assistant Professor of Green Engineering School of Engineering and Applied Sciences School of Forestry and Environmental Studies Acting Director, Center for Green Chemistry and Green Engineering Yale University

Page 2: Design of Sustainable, Resilient Infrastructure Systems...Design of Sustainable, Resilient Infrastructure Systems Julie Beth Zimmerman, PhD Assistant Professor of Green Engineering

Doing the right things wrong

•  Can we appropriately and successfully address sustainability challenges if our designs are not in themselves sustainable?

Page 3: Design of Sustainable, Resilient Infrastructure Systems...Design of Sustainable, Resilient Infrastructure Systems Julie Beth Zimmerman, PhD Assistant Professor of Green Engineering

Doing the right things wrong

Biofuels from agricultural crops

Page 4: Design of Sustainable, Resilient Infrastructure Systems...Design of Sustainable, Resilient Infrastructure Systems Julie Beth Zimmerman, PhD Assistant Professor of Green Engineering

Doing the right things wrong

Purifying water with acutely lethal substances

Page 5: Design of Sustainable, Resilient Infrastructure Systems...Design of Sustainable, Resilient Infrastructure Systems Julie Beth Zimmerman, PhD Assistant Professor of Green Engineering

Doing the right things wrong

Precious, rare, toxic metals in

photovoltaics

Page 6: Design of Sustainable, Resilient Infrastructure Systems...Design of Sustainable, Resilient Infrastructure Systems Julie Beth Zimmerman, PhD Assistant Professor of Green Engineering

Doing the right things wrong

Agricultural crop efficiency from

persistent pesticides

Page 7: Design of Sustainable, Resilient Infrastructure Systems...Design of Sustainable, Resilient Infrastructure Systems Julie Beth Zimmerman, PhD Assistant Professor of Green Engineering

Doing the right things wrong

Energy saving compact fluorescent light bulbs reliant on

toxic metals

Page 8: Design of Sustainable, Resilient Infrastructure Systems...Design of Sustainable, Resilient Infrastructure Systems Julie Beth Zimmerman, PhD Assistant Professor of Green Engineering

Net mercury emission reductions from CFL implementation

Eckelman, Zimmerman, Anastas, ES&T, 2008, 42, 8564-8570

Page 9: Design of Sustainable, Resilient Infrastructure Systems...Design of Sustainable, Resilient Infrastructure Systems Julie Beth Zimmerman, PhD Assistant Professor of Green Engineering

Eckelman, Zimmerman, Anastas, ES&T, 2008, 42, 8564-8570

Net mercury emission reductions from CFL implementation

Page 10: Design of Sustainable, Resilient Infrastructure Systems...Design of Sustainable, Resilient Infrastructure Systems Julie Beth Zimmerman, PhD Assistant Professor of Green Engineering

How did we get there?

•  Urgent and necessary challenges •  Noble goals •  Exciting science and technology •  Best of intentions

Page 11: Design of Sustainable, Resilient Infrastructure Systems...Design of Sustainable, Resilient Infrastructure Systems Julie Beth Zimmerman, PhD Assistant Professor of Green Engineering

water

toxics climate energy

biodiversity

Page 12: Design of Sustainable, Resilient Infrastructure Systems...Design of Sustainable, Resilient Infrastructure Systems Julie Beth Zimmerman, PhD Assistant Professor of Green Engineering

The necessary transformational change of engineering design

Page 13: Design of Sustainable, Resilient Infrastructure Systems...Design of Sustainable, Resilient Infrastructure Systems Julie Beth Zimmerman, PhD Assistant Professor of Green Engineering

Principles of Green Engineering 1. Inherent rather than circumstantial. Green Chemistry

2. Prevention rather than treatment. 3. Design for separation. 4. Maximize mass, energy, space, and time efficiency. 5. “Out-pulled” rather than “input-pushed”. 6. View complexity as an investment. 7. Durability rather than immortality. 8. Need rather than excess. 9. Minimize material diversity. 10. Integrate local material and energy flows. 11. Design for commercial “afterlife”. 12. Renewable and readily available.

Anastas and Zimmerman, Environmental Science and Technology, March 1, 2003

Page 14: Design of Sustainable, Resilient Infrastructure Systems...Design of Sustainable, Resilient Infrastructure Systems Julie Beth Zimmerman, PhD Assistant Professor of Green Engineering

Design criteria for sustainable solutions

“Performance” must evolve from

function, cost, quality, safety to include

environment, human health, social wellbeing

Page 15: Design of Sustainable, Resilient Infrastructure Systems...Design of Sustainable, Resilient Infrastructure Systems Julie Beth Zimmerman, PhD Assistant Professor of Green Engineering

Starting from design

•  Typically, 70% of total cost is determined at design phase

•  Analogous for environmental impacts

Page 16: Design of Sustainable, Resilient Infrastructure Systems...Design of Sustainable, Resilient Infrastructure Systems Julie Beth Zimmerman, PhD Assistant Professor of Green Engineering

Service oriented design

•  What function or service are we providing?

rather than

•  What is the greenest design for this product or process?

Page 17: Design of Sustainable, Resilient Infrastructure Systems...Design of Sustainable, Resilient Infrastructure Systems Julie Beth Zimmerman, PhD Assistant Professor of Green Engineering

Towards sustainability

•  Design for a Dynamic World

•  Design for a Systems Context

•  Design for Inherency

Page 18: Design of Sustainable, Resilient Infrastructure Systems...Design of Sustainable, Resilient Infrastructure Systems Julie Beth Zimmerman, PhD Assistant Professor of Green Engineering

Crutzen, P. J. The Anthropocene: The Current Human-Dominated Geological Era—Human Impacts on Climate and the Environment. In Climate Change and Its Effect on Sustainable Development, Proceedings of the Global Environmental Action International Conference, Tokyo, Oct 14–16, 2005; GEA: Tokyo, 2005.

Page 19: Design of Sustainable, Resilient Infrastructure Systems...Design of Sustainable, Resilient Infrastructure Systems Julie Beth Zimmerman, PhD Assistant Professor of Green Engineering

Crutzen, P. J. The Anthropocene: The Current Human-Dominated Geological Era—Human Impacts on Climate and the Environment. In Climate Change and Its Effect on Sustainable Development, Proceedings of the Global Environmental Action International Conference, Tokyo, Oct 14–16, 2005; GEA: Tokyo, 2005.

Page 20: Design of Sustainable, Resilient Infrastructure Systems...Design of Sustainable, Resilient Infrastructure Systems Julie Beth Zimmerman, PhD Assistant Professor of Green Engineering

Crutzen, P. J. The Anthropocene: The Current Human-Dominated Geological Era—Human Impacts on Climate and the Environment. In Climate Change and Its Effect on Sustainable Development, Proceedings of the Global Environmental Action International Conference, Tokyo, Oct 14–16, 2005; GEA: Tokyo, 2005.

Page 21: Design of Sustainable, Resilient Infrastructure Systems...Design of Sustainable, Resilient Infrastructure Systems Julie Beth Zimmerman, PhD Assistant Professor of Green Engineering

Crutzen, P. J. The Anthropocene: The Current Human-Dominated Geological Era—Human Impacts on Climate and the Environment. In Climate Change and Its Effect on Sustainable Development, Proceedings of the Global Environmental Action International Conference, Tokyo, Oct 14–16, 2005; GEA: Tokyo, 2005.

Page 22: Design of Sustainable, Resilient Infrastructure Systems...Design of Sustainable, Resilient Infrastructure Systems Julie Beth Zimmerman, PhD Assistant Professor of Green Engineering

Crutzen, P. J. The Anthropocene: The Current Human-Dominated Geological Era—Human Impacts on Climate and the Environment. In Climate Change and Its Effect on Sustainable Development, Proceedings of the Global Environmental Action International Conference, Tokyo, Oct 14–16, 2005; GEA: Tokyo, 2005.

Page 23: Design of Sustainable, Resilient Infrastructure Systems...Design of Sustainable, Resilient Infrastructure Systems Julie Beth Zimmerman, PhD Assistant Professor of Green Engineering

Crutzen, P. J. The Anthropocene: The Current Human-Dominated Geological Era—Human Impacts on Climate and the Environment. In Climate Change and Its Effect on Sustainable Development, Proceedings of the Global Environmental Action International Conference, Tokyo, Oct 14–16, 2005; GEA: Tokyo, 2005.

Page 24: Design of Sustainable, Resilient Infrastructure Systems...Design of Sustainable, Resilient Infrastructure Systems Julie Beth Zimmerman, PhD Assistant Professor of Green Engineering

Crutzen, P. J. The Anthropocene: The Current Human-Dominated Geological Era—Human Impacts on Climate and the Environment. In Climate Change and Its Effect on Sustainable Development, Proceedings of the Global Environmental Action International Conference, Tokyo, Oct 14–16, 2005; GEA: Tokyo, 2005.

Page 25: Design of Sustainable, Resilient Infrastructure Systems...Design of Sustainable, Resilient Infrastructure Systems Julie Beth Zimmerman, PhD Assistant Professor of Green Engineering

Crutzen, P. J. The Anthropocene: The Current Human-Dominated Geological Era—Human Impacts on Climate and the Environment. In Climate Change and Its Effect on Sustainable Development, Proceedings of the Global Environmental Action International Conference, Tokyo, Oct 14–16, 2005; GEA: Tokyo, 2005.

Page 26: Design of Sustainable, Resilient Infrastructure Systems...Design of Sustainable, Resilient Infrastructure Systems Julie Beth Zimmerman, PhD Assistant Professor of Green Engineering

Performance over time: Engineered systems

Page 27: Design of Sustainable, Resilient Infrastructure Systems...Design of Sustainable, Resilient Infrastructure Systems Julie Beth Zimmerman, PhD Assistant Professor of Green Engineering

Performance over time: Engineered systems

F(t) = 1 – R(t)

Time-dependent cumulative probabilities of failure for increase in traffic loads [2.3% annual increase in traffic volume, traffic load (mass) increases by 0.5% per annum].

Vu, K. A. T.; Stewart, M.G. Structural Safety, 22, 2000, 313-333

Page 28: Design of Sustainable, Resilient Infrastructure Systems...Design of Sustainable, Resilient Infrastructure Systems Julie Beth Zimmerman, PhD Assistant Professor of Green Engineering

MG Ryan, D Binkley, JH Fownes - Advances in Ecological Research, 27:213–262, 1997

Performance over time: Tree stand

Page 29: Design of Sustainable, Resilient Infrastructure Systems...Design of Sustainable, Resilient Infrastructure Systems Julie Beth Zimmerman, PhD Assistant Professor of Green Engineering

Performance over time: Palm oil production

Page 30: Design of Sustainable, Resilient Infrastructure Systems...Design of Sustainable, Resilient Infrastructure Systems Julie Beth Zimmerman, PhD Assistant Professor of Green Engineering

Performance over time: Worker productivity

Page 31: Design of Sustainable, Resilient Infrastructure Systems...Design of Sustainable, Resilient Infrastructure Systems Julie Beth Zimmerman, PhD Assistant Professor of Green Engineering

performan

ce‐‐‐‐‐>

-me‐‐‐‐‐>

current engineered system innovative engineered system 1 innovative engineered system 2 innovative engineered system 3

to performance(t)dt0

t∫

Shift design criteria

from maximum performance at t=0

Page 32: Design of Sustainable, Resilient Infrastructure Systems...Design of Sustainable, Resilient Infrastructure Systems Julie Beth Zimmerman, PhD Assistant Professor of Green Engineering

Design for a Dynamic World

•  The stressors and impacts of the “hockey-stick world” come to suggest that we need to expand our design considerations, particularly in infrastructure systems that typically have useful lifetimes meant to last for decades (and often function beyond their designed lifetime).

Zimmerman, Mihelcic, Smith, ES&T, 42 (12), 2008, 4247-4254

Page 33: Design of Sustainable, Resilient Infrastructure Systems...Design of Sustainable, Resilient Infrastructure Systems Julie Beth Zimmerman, PhD Assistant Professor of Green Engineering

Water and Nonwater-related Challenges of Achieving Global Sanitation Coverage Lauren M. Fry, James R. Mihelcic, and David W. Watkins Environ. Sci. Technol., 2008, 42 (12), 4298-4304

Freshwater stress by country (L) in 1995 and (R) projected for 2025 (13). UN Environment Programme. Global Environmental Outlook: Environment for Development; Report GEO-4; Progress Press: Valletta, Malta, 2007.

Page 34: Design of Sustainable, Resilient Infrastructure Systems...Design of Sustainable, Resilient Infrastructure Systems Julie Beth Zimmerman, PhD Assistant Professor of Green Engineering

Enhancing performance over time

•  Adaption •  Resilience •  Emergence •  Evolution

Page 35: Design of Sustainable, Resilient Infrastructure Systems...Design of Sustainable, Resilient Infrastructure Systems Julie Beth Zimmerman, PhD Assistant Professor of Green Engineering

Enhancing performance over time

•  This is not about each component necessarily performing better over the lifetime, this is about enhancing the performance of the system.

Page 36: Design of Sustainable, Resilient Infrastructure Systems...Design of Sustainable, Resilient Infrastructure Systems Julie Beth Zimmerman, PhD Assistant Professor of Green Engineering

Towards sustainability

•  Design for a Dynamic World

•  Design for a Systems Context

•  Design for Inherency

Page 37: Design of Sustainable, Resilient Infrastructure Systems...Design of Sustainable, Resilient Infrastructure Systems Julie Beth Zimmerman, PhD Assistant Professor of Green Engineering

Design for a Systems Context

Page 38: Design of Sustainable, Resilient Infrastructure Systems...Design of Sustainable, Resilient Infrastructure Systems Julie Beth Zimmerman, PhD Assistant Professor of Green Engineering

Systems thinking

•  Reductionist approach – Hold everything constant and fully understand

each individual parameter individually

•  Synergies? •  Antagonism? •  Feedback mechanisms?

Page 39: Design of Sustainable, Resilient Infrastructure Systems...Design of Sustainable, Resilient Infrastructure Systems Julie Beth Zimmerman, PhD Assistant Professor of Green Engineering

Peerenboom, Fisher, Whitfield, 2001, Presentation to the workshop on Mitigating Vulnerability of Critical Infrastructure to Catastrophic Failures, Alexandria, VA.

Page 40: Design of Sustainable, Resilient Infrastructure Systems...Design of Sustainable, Resilient Infrastructure Systems Julie Beth Zimmerman, PhD Assistant Professor of Green Engineering

Resiliency

•  Traditional systems engineering try to anticipate and resist disruptions but may be vulnerable to unforeseen factors

Page 41: Design of Sustainable, Resilient Infrastructure Systems...Design of Sustainable, Resilient Infrastructure Systems Julie Beth Zimmerman, PhD Assistant Professor of Green Engineering

Resilient systems

•  Resilience tends to increase if a system has diversity, redundancy, efficiency, autonomy, awareness, adaptability, cohesion, and strength in its critical components.

Page 42: Design of Sustainable, Resilient Infrastructure Systems...Design of Sustainable, Resilient Infrastructure Systems Julie Beth Zimmerman, PhD Assistant Professor of Green Engineering

Resiliency

Fiskel, Designing Resilient, Sustainable Systems, Environmental Science and Technology, 37 (23), 5330-5339, 2003

Page 43: Design of Sustainable, Resilient Infrastructure Systems...Design of Sustainable, Resilient Infrastructure Systems Julie Beth Zimmerman, PhD Assistant Professor of Green Engineering
Page 44: Design of Sustainable, Resilient Infrastructure Systems...Design of Sustainable, Resilient Infrastructure Systems Julie Beth Zimmerman, PhD Assistant Professor of Green Engineering
Page 45: Design of Sustainable, Resilient Infrastructure Systems...Design of Sustainable, Resilient Infrastructure Systems Julie Beth Zimmerman, PhD Assistant Professor of Green Engineering

Towards sustainability

•  Design for a Dynamic World

•  Design for a Systems Context

•  Design for Inherency

Page 46: Design of Sustainable, Resilient Infrastructure Systems...Design of Sustainable, Resilient Infrastructure Systems Julie Beth Zimmerman, PhD Assistant Professor of Green Engineering

Design for Inherency

•  “The term ‘intrinsic nature’ does not indicate a factor’s temporal status, but rather refers to its underlying and defining nature.”

--Buddhist scholar

Page 47: Design of Sustainable, Resilient Infrastructure Systems...Design of Sustainable, Resilient Infrastructure Systems Julie Beth Zimmerman, PhD Assistant Professor of Green Engineering

Circumstantial vs. Intrinsic

•  Circumstantial – Use – Exposure – Handling – Treatment – Protection – Costly

•  Intrinsic – Molecular design

for reduced toxicity – Reduced ability to

manifest hazard –  Inherent safety

from accidents or terrorism

Page 48: Design of Sustainable, Resilient Infrastructure Systems...Design of Sustainable, Resilient Infrastructure Systems Julie Beth Zimmerman, PhD Assistant Professor of Green Engineering

Inherency

•  What if we found a value-added use for Cl- in concrete systems rather than spending enormous resources to control the circumstances surrounding Cl- exposure and subsequent concrete deterioration?

Page 49: Design of Sustainable, Resilient Infrastructure Systems...Design of Sustainable, Resilient Infrastructure Systems Julie Beth Zimmerman, PhD Assistant Professor of Green Engineering

Towards sustainability

•  Design for a Dynamic World

•  Design for a Systems Context

•  Design for Inherency

Potential design strategies to get us closer to doing the right things right.