department of agriculture cotton: foreign …...2015/08/12 · china’s share of u.s. export...

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China’s Share of U.S. Export Continues to Erode as Southeast Asian Markets Rise

China’s share of U.S. exports dropped to 23 percent in 2014/15, the lowest level since 2001/02. China has been the dominant market for U.S. shipments since its accession to the WTO in 2001. Over the previous decade China accounted for over one-third of all U.S. exports, and its share reached a high of 54 percent in 2011/12. While China is likely to remain a strong market for U.S. cotton, it is unlikely to return to the dominant position it held over the last decade due to policies targeted at reducing massive government stocks.

Consumption in Southeast Asian markets, particularly Vietnam and Indonesia, has benefited from China’s policy changes with commensurate growth in imports from the United States. Growth in U.S. shipments to Southeast Asia has not come only at the expense of China. Turkey, which has been the second largest market for U.S. cotton for over a decade, slipped to third place behind Vietnam. Exports to long-time third place Mexico dropped to the lowest level in nearly 20 years, dropping it to 5th place behind both Vietnam and Indonesia.

United States Department of Agriculture

Foreign Agricultural Service

August 2015

Cotton: World Markets and Trade

https://public.govdelivery.com/accounts/USDAFAS/subscriber/new

Overview

For 2015/16, world production and ending stocks are lower. Consumption and trade are raised slightly, mostly due to a historical revision for Bangladesh, see note next page. The U.S. forecast shows significantly lower production, lower exports, consumption, beginning and ending stocks. The forecast U.S. season-average farm price is raise 3 cents to 65 cents/pound.

For 2014/15, world consumption and trade are also raised slightly by the revision of estimates for Bangladesh. Ending stocks are marginally lower. The U.S. forecast for 2014/15 shows higher exports and lower ending stocks. The forecast for the U.S. season-average farm price is unchanged at 60.5 cents/pound.

For current prices received by farmers click here; NASS farm price

Prices The A-Index and U.S. spot prices continue to drift sideways as generally favorable northern hemisphere crop development and lackluster sales from China’s state reserve provide little support for either the bears or the bulls in the market.

For more information on U.S. spot price click here; AMS Cotton Market News

For more information on U.S. export sales click here; FAS Export Sales Query System

Foreign Agricultural Service/USDA August 2015Office of Global AnalysisForeign Agricultural Service/USDA August 2015Office of Global Analysis

http://usda.mannlib.cornell.edu/MannUsda/viewDocumentInfo.do?documentID=1002

http://www.ams.usda.gov/market-news/cotton

Significant Historical Series Changes:

Turkmenistan: New data on Turkmenistan’s State Commodity and Raw Materials Exchange sales of cotton for export for 2012/13 to 2014/15 gave rise to significant revisions of Turkmenistan’s exports. Due to limited data availability, past USDA estimates were based on cumulative sales of cotton for each crop, retroactively counted in its corresponding marketing year. A thorough review of partner country trade data (especially robust import demand in Turkey alongside improved data from Bangladesh), UN statistics, and comparisons with other sources revealed multiple confirmations of the trend observed in Turkmenistan’s sales data. Accordingly, USDA has adopted export numbers in recent years very similar to Turkmenistan’s reported sales.

These sales greatly exceed Turkmenistan’s annual cotton production, and included sales of cotton from the last 5 seasons, stretching back to 2010/11. This implies that, when large sales began in 2012/13, Turkmenistan held large cotton stocks. This implication can be verified from market reports from Turkmenistan during the period, which indicated difficulties and delays marketing the crop. Reports indicate that within the last several years, the State Commodity and Raw Materials Exchange has changed the mechanism for official sales, offering lots with greater frequency and with somewhat easier access to information. This has led to a corresponding improvement in data quality.

Turkmenistan’s exports were reduced from 2006/07 through 2012/13 based on this analysis. These reductions brought Turkmenistan’s exports closer in line with partner country customs data and UN statistics. The largest reduction was in 2010/11. This large reduction is reasonable, however, given that 2010/11 cotton was still actively selling as of the summer of 2015, implying that it was poorly sold in previous years.

Bangladesh: USDA’s August 2015 estimates include significant increases in imports and consumption for Bangladesh beginning in 2011/12. These increases are the result of an analysis of trade statistics from the Bangladesh Bureau of Statistics (BBOS) and the Central Bank of Bangladesh (CBOB). From 2003/04 through 2011/12, both agencies report roughly consistent cotton import values; the BBOS also reports import quantities. BBOS quantity data is not available for the period after 2011/12; however, value data is available from the CBOB through April of 2015.

The CBOB began to report import values by country in 2011/12; these data closely approximate the export values of the supplier countries reporting to the Global Trade Atlas (GTA); GTA reporting countries account for about half of Bangladesh’s imports. Since the supplier countries also reported quantities, it is possible to derive unit prices in order to estimate quantities from the country/value data for non-reporting supplier countries. For 2011/12 through 2013/14, USDA has derived import quantities from the available value data by establishing unit prices based on known data from trading partner countries. The quantity data derived using this methodology for 2011/12 matches closely the quantity data reported by BBOS for that period. For 2014/15, CBOB monthly value data is being used to estimate Bangladesh imports, with the export unit value derived from available trade partner export data.

The USDA consumption estimates were revised in line with the higher import estimates. The revised consumption estimates are consistent the expansion of the textile sector in Bangladesh. Over the last eight years the number of spinning mills has increased by over 50 percent while the number of installed


spindles has nearly doubled. The expansion in the spinning sector is being driven by rapid growth of textile and apparel exports which have nearly tripled in the last eight years.

Minor Historical Series Changes:

Afghanistan’s exports and consumption are adjusted, in line with Afghanistan’s exports as reported in official data to the FAO. FAO data is confirmed by partner country data, especially with regards to Afghanistan’s primary cotton trade partner, Pakistan.

Iran’s imports, exports, and consumption are adjusted in line with Iran’s reported customs data and partner country customs data. The revised data shows volatile stocks-to-use driven by imports from 2008/09 to present, which may possibly relate to changing trade patterns due to policy instability and international economic sanctions.

Kyrgyzstan‘s exports and consumption are adjusted, in line with partner country customs data, FAO data, and market reports. Revisions are relatively small.

Tajikistan’s exports and consumption are adjusted in line with data produced by the National Bank of Tajikistan. Monthly exports and consumption data are available. Export data closely matches partner country data, and consumption data exhibits a trend similar to previous USDA estimates.


Historical Changes to Trade, Consumption and Stocks(1,000 480 lb bales)

Afghanistan Area Harvested Production Imports Total

Supply Exports Use Total Dom. Cons.

Ending Stocks

2001/02 50 85 - 98 30 60 60 8 2002/03 50 85 - 93 15 60 60 18 2003/04 50 85 - 103 30 60 60 13 2004/05 50 85 - 98 30 60 60 8 2005/06 50 85 - 93 15 60 60 18 2006/07 50 85 - 103 15 60 60 28 2007/08 50 85 - 113 40 60 60 13 2008/09 50 85 - 98 40 50 50 8 2009/10 50 85 - 93 40 40 40 13 2010/11 50 85 - 98 15 50 50 33 2011/12 50 85 - 118 25 60 60 33 2012/13 50 85 - 118 40 50 50 28 2013/14 45 85 - 113 40 50 50 23 2014/15 45 85 - 108 40 50 50 18 2015/16 45 85 - 103 40 50 50 13

2001/02 - - - - 15 (10) (10) (5)2002/03 - - - (5) - (10) (10) 5 2003/04 - - - 5 15 (10) (10) - 2004/05 - - - - 15 (10) (10) (5)2005/06 - - - (5) - (10) (10) 5 2006/07 - - - 5 - (10) (10) 15 2007/08 - - - 15 25 (10) (10) - 2008/09 - - - - 25 (20) (20) (5)2009/10 - - - (5) 25 (30) (30) - 2010/11 - - - - - (20) (20) 20 2011/12 - - - 20 10 (10) (10) 20 2012/13 - - - 20 25 (20) (20) 15 2013/14 - - - 15 25 (20) (20) 10 2014/15 - - - 10 25 (20) (20) 5 2015/16 - - - 5 25 (20) (20) -

Bangladesh Area Harvested Production Imports Total


Ending Stocks

2011/12 36 86 3,400 4,478 3,700 10 3,710 2012/13 40 108 5,000 5,876 4,700 10 4,710 2013/14 42 115 5,300 6,581 5,300 10 5,310 2014/15 43 120 5,400 6,791 5,500 10 5,510 2015/16 45 125 5,550 6,956 5,650 10 5,660

2011/12 - - 100 100 - 200 (3,500) 2,842 2012/13 - - 1,100 1,000 - 800 (3,900) 3,744 2013/14 - - 1,200 1,400 - 1,150 (4,150) 4,289 2014/15 - - 1,100 1,350 - 1,150 (4,350) 4,429 2015/16 - - 1,050 1,250 - 1,100 (4,550) 4,514

Iran Area Harvested Production Imports Total


Ending Stocks

2006/07 117 400 275 820 25 600 600 195 2007/08 125 400 250 845 25 600 600 220 2008/09 124 325 300 845 25 575 575 245 2009/10 108 300 250 795 25 575 575 195 2010/11 120 350 150 695 10 575 575 110 2011/12 115 310 275 695 10 575 575 110 2012/13 105 285 325 720 10 575 575 135 2013/14 115 320 275 730 10 550 550 170 2014/15 110 300 250 720 10 550 550 160 2015/16 110 300 275 735 10 575 575 150

2006/07 - - - - - (20) (20) 20 2007/08 - - - 20 - (20) (20) 40 2008/09 - - - 40 (15) (25) (25) 80 2009/10 - - (75) 5 - (25) (25) 30 2010/11 - - (150) (120) (30) (25) (25) (65)2011/12 - - (25) (90) (10) (25) (25) (55)2012/13 - - 25 (30) (10) - - (20)2013/14 - - 25 5 (10) - - 15 2014/15 - - (25) (10) (10) - - -

2015/16 (Jul) - - (25) (25) (10) - - (15)

Change from Previous Month





Kyrgyzstan Area Harvested Production Imports Total


Ending Stocks

2001/02 38 202 - 226 170 10 10 46 2002/03 40 207 - 253 175 10 10 68 2003/04 41 188 - 256 175 10 10 71 2004/05 46 248 - 319 225 10 10 84 2005/06 46 216 - 300 220 10 10 70 2006/07 46 161 - 231 170 10 10 51 2007/08 35 133 - 184 145 10 10 29 2008/09 33 115 - 144 110 5 5 29 2009/10 17 78 - 107 75 5 5 27 2010/11 25 96 - 123 90 5 5 28 2011/12 37 125 - 153 125 5 5 23 2012/13 30 100 - 123 95 5 5 23 2013/14 27 90 - 113 80 5 5 28 2014/15 27 90 - 118 85 5 5 28 2015/16 25 90 - 118 90 5 5 23

2001/02 - - - - - (5) (5) 5 2002/03 - - - 5 - (5) (5) 10 2003/04 - - - 10 - (5) (5) 15 2004/05 - - - 15 - - - 15 2005/06 - - - 15 - - - 15 2006/07 - - - 15 - - - 15 2007/08 - - - 15 20 - - (5)2008/09 - - - (5) 20 (5) (5) (20)2009/10 - - - (20) (5) (5) (5) (10)2010/11 - - - (10) 15 (5) (5) (20)2011/12 - - - (20) - (5) (5) (15)2012/13 - - - (15) (15) - - - 2013/14 - - - - (10) - - 10 2014/15 - - - 10 - - - 10 2015/16 - - - 10 5 - - 5

Tajikistan Area Harvested Production Imports Total


Ending Stocks

2002/03 265 717 - 871 635 85 85 151 2003/04 285 739 - 890 678 75 75 137 2004/05 290 762 - 899 605 70 70 224 2005/06 255 634 - 858 592 75 75 191 2006/07 255 643 - 834 550 70 70 214 2007/08 250 597 - 811 496 45 45 270 2008/09 230 491 - 761 312 30 30 419 2009/10 170 381 - 800 443 25 25 332 2010/11 162 409 - 741 354 15 15 372 2011/12 204 550 - 922 539 15 15 368 2012/13 200 600 - 968 628 20 20 320 2013/14 190 450 - 770 363 30 30 377 2014/15 175 400 - 777 455 40 40 282 2015/16 150 335 - 617 325 40 40 252

2002/03 - - - - - (10) (10) 10 2003/04 - - - 10 - (10) (10) 20 2004/05 - - - 20 - 2 2 18 2005/06 - - - 18 - 3 3 15 2006/07 - - - 15 - 4 4 11 2007/08 - - - 11 - (4) (4) 15 2008/09 - - - 15 - (10) (10) 25 2009/10 - - - 25 1 (7) (7) 31 2010/11 - - - 31 5 (10) (10) 36 2011/12 - - - 36 (1) (20) (20) 57 2012/13 - - - 57 3 (15) (15) 69 2013/14 - - - 69 (22) (5) (5) 96 2014/15 - - - 96 80 5 5 11 2015/16 - - - 11 - 5 5 6





Turkmenistan Area Harvested Production Imports Total


Ending Stocks

2000/01 475 825 - 1,469 675 325 325 469 2001/02 515 850 - 1,319 450 300 300 569 2002/03 490 690 - 1,259 400 375 375 484 2003/04 480 940 - 1,424 550 380 380 494 2004/05 500 920 - 1,414 375 415 415 624 2005/06 600 975 - 1,599 550 420 420 629 2006/07 570 1,400 - 2,029 800 430 430 799 2007/08 548 1,350 - 2,149 750 440 440 959 2008/09 550 1,550 - 2,509 650 425 425 1,434 2009/10 550 1,470 - 2,904 1,150 425 425 1,329 2010/11 640 1,750 - 3,079 725 550 550 1,804 2011/12 575 1,525 - 3,329 700 600 600 2,029 2012/13 600 1,700 - 3,729 800 650 650 2,279 2013/14 575 1,550 - 3,829 1,625 675 675 1,529 2014/15 545 1,525 - 3,054 1,500 700 700 854 2015/16 550 1,525 - 2,379 900 725 725 754

2000/01 - - - - - (25) (25) 25 2001/02 - - - 25 - (75) (75) 100 2002/03 - - - 100 - - - 100 2003/04 - - - 100 - 5 5 95 2004/05 - - - 95 - - - 95 2005/06 - - - 95 - (5) (5) 100 2006/07 - - - 100 (100) - - 200 2007/08 - - - 200 (150) - - 350 2008/09 - - - 350 (100) (15) (15) 465 2009/10 - - - 465 (50) (15) (15) 530 2010/11 - - - 530 (375) - - 905 2011/12 - - - 905 (50) - - 955 2012/13 - - - 955 (200) - - 1,155 2013/14 - - - 1,155 825 - - 330 2014/15 - - - 330 600 - - (270)2015/16 - - - (270) - (25) (25) (245)



2015/16 TRADE OUTLOOK

Major Exporters:

• United States dropped 800,000 bales to 10.0 million on a much smaller crop.

• India is raised 500,000 to 5.2 million due to lower competition.

• Australia is increased 600,000 bales to 2.6 million on larger exportable supplies.

Major Importers:

• Bangladesh is raised 1.05 million bales to 4.5 million due to revised consumption data.

• Pakistan is lowered 350,000 bales to 1.15 million on higher production and lower mill use.

• Taiwan is up 100,000 bales to 925,000 on higher demand.

• Turkey is up 100,000 bales to 3.8 million on higher demand.

• Vietnam is lowered 100,000 bales to 4.85 million on lower available foreign supply.

• Mexico is lowered 100,000 bales to 900,000 on lower available foreign supply.

• Indonesia is lowered 100,000 bales to 3.4 million on lower available foreign supply.

2014/15 TRADE CHANGES

Major Exporters:

• Australia is lowered 400,000 bales to 2.5 million on slow shipments at the end-of season.

• Turkmenistan is raised 600,000 bales to 1.5 million on historical revision.

• United States is up 200,000 bales to 11.2 million on strong end-of-season shipments.

• Mali is raised 200,000 bales to 900,000 on stronger import demand.

• Uzbekistan is raised 150,000 bales to 1.55 million on strong import demand, especially fromChina.

• Turkey is raised 100,000 bales to 3.75 million on activity to date.

Major Importers:

• Bangladesh is raised 1.1 million bales to 5.4 million on a historical revision.

• Indonesia is increased 150,000 bales to 3.5 million on strong recent shipments.

• Taiwan is raised 100,000 bales to 925,000 on higher mill use.

• Pakistan is lowered 100,000 bales to 900,000 on lower mill use.


The Foreign Agricultural Service (FAS) updates its production, supply and distribution (PSD) database for cotton, oilseeds, and grains at 12:00 p.m. on the day the World Agricultural Supply and Demand Estimates (WASDE) report is released. This circular is released by 12:15 p.m.

To download the tables in the publication, go to Production, Supply and Distribution Database (PSD Online): (http://apps.fas.usda.gov/psdonline/psdHome.aspx), scroll down to Reports, and Click the plus sign [+] next to Cotton.

FAS Reports and Databases: Current World Market and Trade and World Agricultural Production Reports:

http://apps.fas.usda.gov/psdonline/psdDataPublications.aspx Archives World Market and Trade and World Agricultural Production Reports:

http://usda.mannlib.cornell.edu/MannUsda/viewTaxonomy.do?taxonomyID=7 Production, Supply and Distribution Database (PSD Online): http://apps.fas.usda.gov/psdonline/psdHome.aspx Global Agricultural Trade System (U.S. Exports and Imports):

http://apps.fas.usda.gov/gats/default.aspx Export Sales Report:

http://apps.fas.usda.gov/esrquery/ Global Agricultural Information Network (Agricultural Attaché Reports):

http://gain.fas.usda.gov/Pages/Default.aspx

Other USDA Reports: World Agricultural Supply and Demand Estimates (WASDE):

http://www.usda.gov/oce/commodity/wasde/ Economic Research Service:

http://www.ers.usda.gov/topics/crops National Agricultural Statistics Service:

http://www.nass.usda.gov/Publications/

Questions may be directed to:

James Johnson (202) 690-1546 [email protected]

Lyman Stone (202) 720-0683 [email protected]


http://apps.fas.usda.gov/psdonline/psdDataPublications.aspx

http://usda.mannlib.cornell.edu/MannUsda/viewTaxonomy.do?taxonomyID=7

http://apps.fas.usda.gov/psdonline/psdHome.aspx

http://apps.fas.usda.gov/gats/default.aspx

http://apps.fas.usda.gov/esrquery/

http://gain.fas.usda.gov/Pages/Default.aspx

http://www.usda.gov/oce/commodity/wasde/

http://www.ers.usda.gov/topics/crops

http://www.nass.usda.gov/Publications/

mailto:[email protected]

mailto:[email protected]

Summary of Changes in estimates and Forecasts from Last Month

(1,000 480 lb Bales and 1,000 Ha)

Country Mktg

Year

Area

Harvested

Beginning

Stocks

Production Imports Exports Use Loss Total Dom.

Cons.

Ending

Stocks

Afghanistan

-5-100-10150000 2001/02

5-100-10000-50 2002/03

0-100-10150050 2003/04

-5-100-10150000 2004/05

5-100-10000-50 2005/06

15-100-1000050 2006/07

0-100-102500150 2007/08

-5-200-20250000 2008/09

0-300-302500-50 2009/10

20-200-2000000 2010/11

20-100-101000200 2011/12

15-200-202500200 2012/13

10-200-202500150 2013/14

5-200-202500100 2014/15

0-200-20250050 2015/16

Argentina

17000-25-8000 2014/15

17000000170 2015/16

Australia

400000-400000-5 2014/15

0000600020040035 2015/16

Bangladesh

-10020002000100000 2011/12

200800080001,1000-1000 2012/13

2501,15001,15001,20002000 2013/14

2001,15001,15001,10002500 2014/15

1501,10001,10001,05002000 2015/16

Benin

-50000500000 2014/15

-1000005000-500 2015/16

Bolivia

0000-2-2000 2014/15

0000-2-2000 2015/16

Brazil

-1100010-1000 2014/15

23900000250-1125 2015/16

Foreign Agricultural Service/USDA August 2015Office of Global Analysis

Summary of Changes in estimates and Forecasts from Last Month (Continued)

(1,000 480 lb Bales and 1,000 Ha)

Country Mktg

Year

Area

Harvested

Beginning

Stocks


Cons.

Ending

Stocks

Burkina

-25000250000 2014/15

-25000000-250 2015/16

Cameroon

-25000250000 2014/15

-25000000-250 2015/16

China

-500-5000-50000-1,0000-75 2015/16

Colombia

-5-150-150-20000 2014/15

-10-150-150-200-50 2015/16

Cote d'Ivoire

-50000500000 2015/16

Greece

-50000500000 2014/15

-50000000-500 2015/16

India

-2500000-250000 2010/11

-250000000-2500 2011/12

-250000000-2500 2012/13

-250000000-2500 2013/14

150-3500-3500500-2500 2014/15

-600-2500-2505000-500150-200 2015/16

Indonesia

-1000000-100000 2010/11

-100000000-1000 2011/12

-100000000-1000 2012/13

-100000000-1000 2013/14

-50100010001500-1000 2014/15

-1500000-1000-500 2015/16

Iran

20-200-2000000 2006/07

40-200-20000200 2007/08

80-250-25-1500400 2008/09

30-250-250-750800 2009/10



(1,000 480 lb Bales and 1,000 Ha)

Country Mktg

Year

Area

Harvested

Beginning

Stocks


Cons.

Ending

Stocks

-65-250-25-30-1500300 2010/11

-55-250-25-10-250-650 2011/12

-20000-10250-550 2012/13

15000-10250-200 2013/14

0000-10-250150 2014/15

-15000-10-25000 2015/16

Japan

010010010000 2015/16

Korea, South

2030030050000 2014/15

20250250250200 2015/16

Kyrgyzstan

5-50-500000 2001/02

10-50-500050 2002/03

15-50-5000100 2003/04

15000000150 2004/05

15000000150 2005/06

15000000150 2006/07

-50002000150 2007/08

-20-50-52000-50 2008/09

-10-50-5-500-200 2009/10

-20-50-51500-100 2010/11

-15-50-5000-200 2011/12

0000-1500-150 2012/13

10000-100000 2013/14

10000000100 2014/15

5000500100 2015/16

Mali

-2000002000000 2014/15

-2500005000-2000 2015/16

Mexico

-10000155000 2014/15

-1100000-1000-100 2015/16

Pakistan

325-1500-150-75100000 2014/15

275-1000-1000-35020032550 2015/16

Paraguay



(1,000 480 lb Bales and 1,000 Ha)

Country Mktg

Year

Area

Harvested

Beginning

Stocks


Cons.

Ending

Stocks

5505-82000 2014/15

050500050 2015/16

Peru

-21-500-501-70000 2014/15

-21-500-500-500-210 2015/16

Taiwan

15850850100000 2014/15

15100010001000150 2015/16

Tajikistan

10-100-1000000 2002/03

20-100-10000100 2003/04

18202000200 2004/05

15303000180 2005/06

11404000150 2006/07

15-40-4000110 2007/08

25-100-10000150 2008/09

31-70-7100250 2009/10

36-100-10500310 2010/11

57-200-20-100360 2011/12

69-150-15300570 2012/13

96-50-5-2200690 2013/14

115058000960 2014/15

6505000110 2015/16

Thailand

25000025000 2014/15

25000000250 2015/16

Turkey

251000100-25100000 2014/15

25100010001000250 2015/16

Turkmenistan

25-250-2500000 2000/01

100-750-75000250 2001/02

1000000001000 2002/03

955050001000 2003/04

95000000950 2004/05

100-50-5000950 2005/06

200000-100001000 2006/07



(1,000 480 lb Bales and 1,000 Ha)

Country Mktg

Year

Area

Harvested

Beginning

Stocks


Cons.

Ending

Stocks

350000-150002000 2007/08

465-150-15-100003500 2008/09

530-150-15-50004650 2009/10

905000-375005300 2010/11

955000-50009050 2011/12

1,155000-200009550 2012/13

330000825001,1550 2013/14

-270000600003300 2014/15

-245-250-25000-2700 2015/16

United States

-100100100000000 2013/14

-500200200020000-1000 2014/15

-1,100-1832-50-8000-1,418-500-245 2015/16

Uzbekistan

0000000015 2009/10

10000000100020 2010/11

-10000000-20010040 2011/12

000000100-10035 2012/13

0000000015 2013/14

-250500502000000 2014/15

-425-250-2500-200-2500 2015/16

Vietnam

-50-1000-1000-150000 2015/16

World

World

25-250-2500000 2000/01

100-900-901500250 2001/02

125-250-250001000 2002/03

130-200-2015001250 2003/04

123-80-815001300 2004/05

135-120-120001230 2005/06

261-260-26-100001350 2006/07

400-340-34-105002610 2007/08

545-750-75-70004000 2008/09

581-820-82-29-75054515 2009/10

626-600-60-385-50010058120 2010/11

4121400140-5175-20062640 2011/12



(1,000 480 lb Bales and 1,000 Ha)

Country Mktg

Year

Area

Harvested

Beginning

Stocks


Cons.

Ending

Stocks

1,0697650765-1971,12510041235 2012/13

2611,2251001,1258081,22501,06915 2013/14

-2591,1402009409361,5560261-5 2014/15

-2,94924232210468488-2,468-259-410 2015/16


Table 01 Cotton World Supply, Use, and Trade (Season Beginning August 1)

(1000 MT)

2011/12 2012/13 2013/14 2014/15

Jul

2015/16

Aug

2015/16

Production none

6,314 India 6,205 6,750 6,423 6,423 6,314

7,403 China 7,620 7,131 6,532 5,879 5,661

3,391 United States 3,770 2,811 3,553 3,157 2,848

2,308 Pakistan 2,025 2,068 2,308 2,177 2,221

1,894 Brazil 1,306 1,742 1,524 1,470 1,524

871 Uzbekistan 1,002 893 849 849 806

749 Turkey 577 501 697 610 610

4,806 Other 4,455 4,337 4,020 3,704 3,747

27,736 Total 26,960 26,231 25,906 24,268 23,731

USE Dom. Consumption none

8,274 China 7,838 7,512 7,403 7,512 7,403

4,235 India 4,736 5,084 5,334 5,715 5,661

2,177 Pakistan 2,341 2,264 2,308 2,395 2,373

1,219 Turkey 1,317 1,372 1,393 1,393 1,415

806 Bangladesh 1,023 1,154 1,197 991 1,230

365 Vietnam 490 697 882 1,034 1,012

871 Brazil 893 914 849 816 816

4,720 Other 4,966 4,971 4,975 5,059 5,051

22,666 Total 23,603 23,967 24,342 24,916 24,962

Imports none

5,341 China 4,426 3,075 1,796 1,252 1,252

740 Bangladesh 1,089 1,154 1,176 980 1,208

354 Vietnam 525 697 958 1,089 1,056

519 Turkey 804 924 816 806 827

544 Indonesia 683 651 762 762 740

275 Thailand 329 337 327 337 337

255 Korea, South 286 280 288 278 283

1,869 Other 2,220 1,876 1,741 1,910 1,815

9,897 Total 10,361 8,993 7,865 7,413 7,520

Exports none

2,550 United States 2,836 2,293 2,439 2,351 2,177

2,412 India 1,690 2,015 871 1,023 1,132

1,043 Brazil 938 486 851 827 827

1,010 Australia 1,343 1,056 544 435 566

544 Uzbekistan 697 588 533 501 501

142 Burkina 261 272 261 261 261

239 Greece 239 280 261 239 239

2,087 Other 2,096 1,913 1,976 1,774 1,810

10,028 Total 10,100 8,902 7,737 7,413 7,515

Ending Stocks none

6,767 China 10,965 13,653 14,562 14,170 14,061

2,312 India 2,568 2,474 2,953 2,812 2,681

1,740 Brazil 1,263 1,670 1,531 1,414 1,466

729 United States 827 512 806 914 675

617 Pakistan 590 539 626 550 610

270 Turkey 286 295 366 332 338

829 Australia 522 393 364 291 291

2,931 Other 2,973 2,903 2,895 3,060 2,780

16,197 Total 19,995 22,440 24,103 23,544 22,902


Table 02 Cotton World Supply, Use, and Trade (Season Beginning August 1)

(1000 Bales)

2011/12 2012/13 2013/14 2014/15

Jul

2015/16

Aug

2015/16

Production none

8,700 Brazil 6,000 8,000 7,000 6,750 7,000

34,000 China 35,000 32,750 30,000 27,000 26,000

29,000 India 28,500 31,000 29,500 29,500 29,000

10,600 Pakistan 9,300 9,500 10,600 10,000 10,200

3,440 Turkey 2,650 2,300 3,200 2,800 2,800

15,573 United States 17,314 12,909 16,319 14,500 13,082

4,000 Uzbekistan 4,600 4,100 3,900 3,900 3,700

22,074 Other 20,461 19,918 18,463 17,011 17,211

127,387 Total 123,825 120,477 118,982 111,461 108,993

USE Dom. Consumption none

3,700 Bangladesh 4,700 5,300 5,500 4,550 5,650

4,000 Brazil 4,100 4,200 3,900 3,750 3,750

38,000 China 36,000 34,500 34,000 34,500 34,000

19,450 India 21,750 23,350 24,500 26,250 26,000

2,450 Indonesia 3,050 3,050 3,400 3,400 3,400

1,700 Mexico 1,800 1,850 1,850 1,900 1,900

10,000 Pakistan 10,750 10,400 10,600 11,000 10,900

5,600 Turkey 6,050 6,300 6,400 6,400 6,500

3,300 United States 3,500 3,550 3,550 3,750 3,700

1,675 Vietnam 2,250 3,200 4,050 4,750 4,650

14,229 Other 14,457 14,380 14,052 14,187 14,197

104,104 Total 108,407 110,080 111,802 114,437 114,647

Imports none

3,400 Bangladesh 5,000 5,300 5,400 4,500 5,550

24,533 China 20,327 14,122 8,250 5,750 5,750

600 India 1,187 675 1,200 950 950

2,500 Indonesia 3,137 2,989 3,500 3,500 3,400

1,170 Korea, South 1,314 1,286 1,325 1,275 1,300

900 Pakistan 1,800 1,200 900 1,500 1,150

863 Taiwan 941 857 925 825 925

1,263 Thailand 1,511 1,546 1,500 1,550 1,550

2,382 Turkey 3,692 4,246 3,750 3,700 3,800

1,625 Vietnam 2,410 3,200 4,400 5,000 4,850

6,222 Other 6,270 5,884 4,973 5,499 5,312

45,458 Total 47,589 41,305 36,123 34,049 34,537

Exports none

4,640 Australia 6,168 4,852 2,500 2,000 2,600

4,792 Brazil 4,307 2,230 3,910 3,800 3,800

650 Burkina 1,200 1,250 1,200 1,200 1,200

425 Cote d'Ivoire 575 725 800 750 800

1,100 Greece 1,100 1,285 1,200 1,100 1,100

11,080 India 7,761 9,255 4,000 4,700 5,200

625 Mali 900 800 900 950 1,000

700 Turkmenistan 800 1,625 1,500 900 900

11,714 United States 13,026 10,530 11,200 10,800 10,000

2,500 Uzbekistan 3,200 2,700 2,450 2,300 2,300

7,834 Other 7,353 5,635 5,875 5,547 5,615

46,060 Total 46,390 40,887 35,535 34,047 34,515

Ending Stocks none

3,807 Australia 2,399 1,807 1,672 1,337 1,337

7,993 Brazil 5,801 7,668 7,032 6,493 6,732

31,081 China 50,361 62,707 66,882 65,082 64,582

10,619 India 11,795 11,365 13,565 12,915 12,315

2,835 Pakistan 2,710 2,475 2,875 2,525 2,800

1,241 Turkey 1,315 1,357 1,682 1,527 1,552

3,350 United States 3,800 2,350 3,700 4,200 3,100

13,464 Other 13,654 13,334 13,297 14,056 12,768

74,390 Total 91,835 103,063 110,705 108,135 105,186


Table 04 Cotton Area, Yield, and Production

From last month From last year

MBalesPercent

Yield

(Kilograms per hectare)

Aug 2013/14 MBales

Country / Region

Area

(Million hectares)

Production

(Million 480 lb. bales)

Change in Production

2013/14

Prel.

2014/15 Jul Jul

Prel.

2014/15 Aug

Prel.

2014/15 Jul Aug Percent

2015/16 Proj.2015/16 Proj. 2015/16 Proj.

2013/14

32.76World -8.40-9.99-2.21-2.47108.9933.82 31.75 31.34 801 766 764 757 120.48 118.98 111.46

3.05United States -19.84-3.24-9.78-1.4213.083.78 3.44 3.20 921 939 918 891 12.91 16.32 14.50

29.71Total Foreign -6.58-6.75-1.08-1.0595.9130.04 28.31 28.15 788 744 746 742 107.57 102.66 96.96

none

Western Hemisphere

1.12 Brazil 0.000.003.700.257.000.98 0.95 0.98 1,555 1,563 1,547 1,563 8.00 7.00 6.75

0.12 Mexico -23.13-0.320.000.001.050.18 0.15 0.15 1,652 1,643 1,545 1,545 0.93 1.37 1.05

0.56 Argentina -7.41-0.080.000.001.000.48 0.46 0.46 474 490 473 473 1.22 1.08 1.00

0.02 Paraguay -22.22-0.010.000.000.040.03 0.02 0.02 381 392 381 381 0.04 0.05 0.04

0.04 Peru -8.70-0.010.000.000.110.03 0.02 0.02 1,008 1,002 994 994 0.16 0.12 0.11

0.03 Colombia -5.59-0.010.000.000.140.03 0.03 0.03 878 943 919 919 0.13 0.14 0.14

Africa

0.65 Burkina -9.77-0.130.000.001.200.66 0.63 0.63 421 439 418 418 1.25 1.33 1.20

0.45 Mali -5.66-0.060.000.001.000.54 0.54 0.54 411 429 403 403 0.85 1.06 1.00

0.45 Cote d'Ivoire -7.74-0.070.000.000.780.41 0.42 0.42 382 442 407 407 0.78 0.84 0.78

0.22 Cameroon -10.38-0.060.000.000.480.23 0.22 0.22 495 502 470 470 0.50 0.53 0.48

0.27 Benin -7.14-0.050.000.000.650.32 0.31 0.31 464 484 457 457 0.58 0.70 0.65

0.21 Chad -2.27-0.010.000.000.220.26 0.25 0.25 161 188 187 187 0.15 0.22 0.22

0.13 Togo -22.50-0.050.000.000.160.13 0.11 0.11 261 348 307 307 0.15 0.20 0.16

0.03 Senegal 10.000.010.000.000.060.03 0.03 0.03 381 435 399 399 0.06 0.05 0.06

0.13 Egypt -35.24-0.190.000.000.340.16 0.10 0.10 729 728 740 740 0.44 0.53 0.34

0.26 Zimbabwe 38.890.070.000.000.250.20 0.20 0.20 224 196 272 272 0.26 0.18 0.25

0.29 Nigeria 25.000.050.000.000.250.22 0.24 0.24 199 203 227 227 0.26 0.20 0.25

Asia Oceania

4.80 China -13.33-4.00-3.70-1.0026.004.40 3.70 3.63 1,486 1,484 1,589 1,562 32.75 30.00 27.00

11.70 India -1.69-0.50-1.69-0.5029.0012.70 12.00 11.80 577 506 535 535 31.00 29.50 29.50

2.90 Pakistan -3.77-0.402.000.2010.202.95 2.95 3.00 713 782 738 740 9.50 10.60 10.00

0.14 Kazakhstan -6.25-0.020.000.000.230.13 0.11 0.11 536 408 467 467 0.34 0.24 0.23

0.19 Tajikistan -16.25-0.070.000.000.340.18 0.15 0.15 516 498 486 486 0.45 0.40 0.34

0.58 Turkmenistan 0.000.000.000.001.530.55 0.55 0.55 587 609 604 604 1.55 1.53 1.53

1.30 Uzbekistan -5.13-0.20-5.13-0.203.701.29 1.29 1.29 687 661 661 627 4.10 3.90 3.90

0.33 Turkey -12.50-0.400.000.002.800.43 0.38 0.38 1,517 1,620 1,604 1,604 2.30 3.20 2.80

0.44 Australia -4.35-0.1010.000.202.200.21 0.19 0.23 2,047 2,443 2,292 2,129 4.10 2.30 2.00

0.10 Syria -8.33-0.030.000.000.280.06 0.05 0.05 1,306 1,089 1,197 1,197 0.60 0.30 0.28

0.30 Burma -5.03-0.050.000.000.850.30 0.29 0.29 646 650 649 649 0.89 0.90 0.85

Europe

0.25 Greece -6.69-0.090.000.001.200.28 0.25 0.25 1,217 1,007 1,045 1,045 1.37 1.29 1.20

1.74Others -0.75-0.020.000.002.911.73 1.74 1.74 360 370 364 364 2.87 2.93 2.91

Note: Yeild for Total Foreign and Others is an incorrect calculation.


(1,000 HA and 1000 480-lb. Bales)

Table 05 Cotton Supply and Distribution MY 2015/16

Area

Harvested

Ending

Stocks

ExportsLossUseTotal

Supply

ImportsProductio

n

Country

0 400501038545 Afghanistan 13

15 00162011 Albania 4

25 00252900 Algeria 4

3 3051052 Angola 2

20 35006502,3091,000460 Argentina 1,309

0 000000 Armenia 0

0 2,600-100353,8722,200225 Australia 1,337

25 30223000 Austria 5

0 00701057023 Azerbaijan 35

50 00505800 Bahrain 8

5,550 0105,6506,95612545 Bangladesh 1,296

55 00556600 Belarus 11

60 250356800 Belgium-Luxembour 8

0 700015963650310 Benin 248

6 002033145 Bolivia 13

100 3,800-1503,75014,1327,000975 Brazil 6,732

20 003038102 Bulgaria 8

0 1,2000151,5701,200625 Burkina 355

50 509001,164850285 Burma 259

1 001200 Cambodia 1

0 475020625475220 Cameroon 130

3 003400 Canada 1

0 2805433034 Central African Republic 10

0 210010270215250 Chad 50

0 000000 Chile 0

5,750 50034,00098,63226,0003,625 China 64,582

125 10525032413532 Colombia 59

2 0017211530 Congo (Kinshasa) 4

1 002311 Costa Rica 1

0 8000301,095775415 Cote d'Ivoire 265

0 000000 Croatia 0

10 00141644 Cuba 2

0 000000 Cyprus 0

15 00151900 Czech Republic 4

0 000000 Denmark 0


(1,000 HA and 1000 480-lb. Bales)

Table 05 Cotton Supply and Distribution MY 2015/16 (Continued)

Area

Harvested

Ending

Stocks

ExportsLossUseTotal

Supply

ImportsProductio

n

Country

1 004534 Dominican Republic 1

80 009010993 Ecuador 19

450 150106501,044340100 Egypt 234

155 0016520711 El Salvador 42

0 000000 Estonia 0

45 00210261188130 Ethiopia 51

75 150608800 France 13

210 30018524800 Germany 33

0 15010322816 Ghana 7

10 1,100301001,5101,200250 Greece 280

120 0012315032 Guatemala 27

0 1400171412 Guinea 3

5 00101157 Haiti 1

20 00242942 Honduras 5

0 000000 Hong Kong 0

4 202500 Hungary 1

950 5,200026,00043,51529,00011,800 India 12,315

3,400 703,4004,035219 Indonesia 628

275 100575735300110 Iran 150

30 0060803020 Iraq 20

2 002200 Ireland 0

2 550474608 Israel 15

215 15020025000 Italy 35

300 0030034300 Japan 43

0 1600100393225105 Kazakhstan 133

15 0035461821 Kenya 11

95 001502055519 Korea, North 55

1,300 501,3001,61000 Korea, South 305

0 90051189025 Kyrgyzstan 23

1 100200 Latvia 1

3 003400 Lebanon 1

25 00254000 Lesotho 15

0 000000 Lithuania 0

5 005600 Macedonia 1

0 10050716030 Madagascar 11


(1,000 HA and 1000 480-lb. Bales)


Area

Harvested

Ending

Stocks

ExportsLossUseTotal

Supply

ImportsProductio

n

Country

0 13005211115100 Malawi 76

250 50021035200 Malaysia 92

0 1,0000251,4061,000540 Mali 381

95 009511700 Mauritius 22

900 150251,9002,6801,050148 Mexico 605

35 00354700 Moldova 12

175 0017521011 Morocco 35

0 17505285150135 Mozambique 105

10 00101200 Netherlands 2

0 90112104 Nicaragua 2

0 5041395 Niger 4

50 600240379250240 Nigeria 79

1,150 5002510,90014,22510,2003,000 Pakistan 2,800

0 000000 Panama 0

5 20030643520 Paraguay 14

300 5040060510523 Peru 200

50 00506421 Philippines 14

15 00151800 Poland 3

165 0016520300 Portugal 38

3 003400 Romania 1

315 0032038900 Russia 69

0 5005685530 Senegal 13

5 005700 Serbia 2

5 700800 Singapore 1

0 000000 Slovakia 0

6 006800 Slovenia 2

3 001011712 Somalia 1

85 2001072316515 South Africa 104

15 26002533527570 Spain 50

8 00131755 Sri Lanka 4

0 80085274200110 Sudan 109

0 000000 Sweden 0

15 00151800 Switzerland 3

0 150015036927550 Syria 69

925 009251,14100 Taiwan 216


(1,000 HA and 1000 480-lb. Bales)


Area

Harvested

Ending

Stocks

ExportsLossUseTotal

Supply

ImportsProductio

n

Country

0 325040617335150 Tajikistan 252

0 2500175829400400 Tanzania 404

1,550 3251,5001,78921 Thailand 261

0 150015207155110 Togo 42

35 004558102 Tunisia 13

3,800 23006,5008,2822,800380 Turkey 1,552

0 90007252,3791,525550 Turkmenistan 754

0 900517010075 Uganda 75

8 0081000 Ukraine 2

2 200300 United Kingdom 1

10 10,000-83,70016,79213,0823,195 United States 3,100

3 003400 Uruguay 1

0 2,30001,5754,8483,7001,285 Uzbekistan 973

15 001001248515 Venezuela 24

4,850 004,6505,70842 Vietnam 1,058

0 1030373218 Yemen 6

0 18505331190160 Zambia 141

0 2301530439250200 Zimbabwe 164

World

34,537 34,515-113114,647254,235108,99331,340 World 105,186


(1000 MT and 1000 HA)

Table 05A Cotton Supply and Distribution MY 2015/2016

Area

Harvested

Ending

Stocks

ExportsLossUseTotal

Supply

ImportsProductio

n

Country

0 9011221910 Afghanistan 3

3 003400 Albania 1

5 005600 Algeria 1

1 101210 Angola 0

4 760142503218100 Argentina 285

0 000000 Armenia 0

0 566-22884347949 Australia 291

5 105700 Austria 1

0 001523155 Azerbaijan 8

11 00111300 Bahrain 2

1,208 021,2301,5152710 Bangladesh 282

12 00121400 Belarus 2


0 1520321014267 Benin 54

1 004731 Bolivia 3

22 827-338163,0771,524212 Brazil 1,466

4 007820 Bulgaria 2

0 26103342261136 Burkina 77

11 1019625318562 Burma 56

0 000000 Cambodia 0

0 1030413610348 Cameroon 28

1 001100 Canada 0


0 4602594754 Chad 11

0 000000 Chile 0

1,252 1107,40321,4755,661789 China 14,061

27 215471297 Colombia 13



0 1740723816990 Cote d'Ivoire 58

0 000000 Croatia 0

2 003311 Cuba 0

0 000000 Cyprus 0


0 000000 Denmark 0


(1000 MT and 1000 HA)

Table 05A Cotton Supply and Distribution MY 2015/2016 (Continued)

Area

Harvested

Ending

Stocks

ExportsLossUseTotal

Supply

ImportsProductio

n

Country


17 00202421 Ecuador 4

98 3321422277422 Egypt 51

34 00364500 El Salvador 9

0 000000 Estonia 0

10 0046574128 Ethiopia 11

16 30131900 France 3

46 70405400 Germany 7

0 302763 Ghana 2

2 23972232926154 Greece 61

26 00273310 Guatemala 6

0 300433 Guinea 1

1 002212 Haiti 0

4 005610 Honduras 1

0 000000 Hong Kong 0

1 000100 Hungary 0

207 1,13205,6619,4746,3142,569 India 2,681

740 2074087952 Indonesia 137

60 201251606524 Iran 33

7 00131774 Iraq 4

0 000000 Ireland 0

0 120116132 Israel 3

47 30445400 Italy 8

65 00657500 Japan 9

0 35022864923 Kazakhstan 29

3 0081045 Kenya 2

21 003345124 Korea, North 12

283 1028335100 Korea, South 66

0 200126205 Kyrgyzstan 5

0 000000 Latvia 0

1 001100 Lebanon 0

5 005900 Lesotho 3



0 201115137 Madagascar 2


(1000 MT and 1000 HA)


Area

Harvested

Ending

Stocks

ExportsLossUseTotal

Supply

ImportsProductio

n

Country

0 2801462522 Malawi 17

54 110467700 Malaysia 20

0 21805306218118 Mali 83

21 00212500 Mauritius 5

196 33541458422932 Mexico 132

8 0081000 Moldova 3

38 00384600 Morocco 8

0 3801623329 Mozambique 23



0 101321 Niger 1

11 13052835452 Nigeria 17

250 10952,3733,0972,221653 Pakistan 610

0 000000 Panama 0

1 4071484 Paraguay 3

65 1087132235 Peru 44


3 003400 Poland 1

36 00364400 Portugal 8

1 001100 Romania 0

69 00708500 Russia 15

0 110115127 Senegal 3

1 001200 Serbia 0


0 000000 Slovakia 0

1 001200 Slovenia 0

1 002223 Somalia 0

19 402350143 South Africa 23

3 5705736015 Spain 11

2 003411 Sri Lanka 1

0 17019604424 Sudan 24

0 000000 Sweden 0


0 33033806011 Syria 15

201 0020124800 Taiwan 47


(1000 MT and 1000 HA)


Area

Harvested

Ending

Stocks

ExportsLossUseTotal

Supply

ImportsProductio

n

Country

0 71091347333 Tajikistan 55

0 540381808787 Tanzania 88

337 1532739000 Thailand 57

0 3303453424 Togo 9

8 00101320 Tunisia 3

827 5001,4151,80361083 Turkey 338

0 1960158518332120 Turkmenistan 164

0 2001372216 Uganda 16

2 002200 Ukraine 0


2 2,177-28063,6562,848696 United States 675

1 001100 Uruguay 0

0 50103431,056806280 Uzbekistan 212

3 002227193 Venezuela 5

1,056 001,0121,24310 Vietnam 230

0 007874 Yemen 1

0 4001724135 Zambia 31

0 5037965444 Zimbabwe 36

World

7,520 7,515-2524,96255,35423,7316,824 World 22,902


(1,000 HA and 1000 480-lb. Bales)

Table 06: Cotton Supply and Distribution by Country 2014/2015

Area

Harvested

Ending

Stocks

ExportsLossUseTotal

Supply

ImportsProductio

n

Country

0 400501088545 Afghanistan 18

15 00162011 Albania 4

25 00252900 Algeria 4

3 3051052 Angola 2

12 37506502,3141,080480 Argentina 1,289

0 000000 Armenia 0

0 2,500-100354,1072,300205 Australia 1,672

25 30223000 Austria 5

0 00701057023 Azerbaijan 35

41 00505800 Bahrain 8

5,400 0105,5006,79112043 Bangladesh 1,281

55 00607100 Belarus 11


0 6750151,003700315 Benin 313

5 002033145 Bolivia 13

24 3,910-1503,90014,6927,000975 Brazil 7,032

20 003038102 Bulgaria 8

0 1,2000151,5851,330660 Burkina 370

5 509001,169895300 Burma 264

1 001200 Cambodia 1

0 500020670530230 Cameroon 150

3 003400 Canada 1


0 190010255220255 Chad 55

0 001100 Chile 0

8,250 75034,000100,95730,0004,400 China 66,882

115 15525033414333 Colombia 64



0 8000301,150840414 Cote d'Ivoire 320

0 001100 Croatia 0

10 00141644 Cuba 2

0 000000 Cyprus 0


0 000000 Denmark 0


(1,000 HA and 1000 480-lb. Bales)

Table 06: Cotton Supply and Distribution by Country 2014/2015 (Continued)

Area

Harvested

Ending

Stocks

ExportsLossUseTotal

Supply

ImportsProductio

n

Country


80 009011093 Ecuador 20

350 150106501,064525157 Egypt 254

155 0015520611 El Salvador 51

0 000000 Estonia 0

30 50195228175125 Ethiopia 28

75 150608800 France 13

220 35018525800 Germany 38

0 15015342816 Ghana 4

10 1,200301001,6301,286278 Greece 300

120 0012014732 Guatemala 27

0 1400171412 Guinea 3

5 00101157 Haiti 1

20 00242942 Honduras 5

0 1050010500 Hong Kong 0

4 202500 Hungary 1

1,200 4,000024,50042,06529,50012,700 India 13,565

3,500 703,4004,021219 Indonesia 614

250 100550720300110 Iran 160

30 0060803020 Iraq 20

2 002200 Ireland 0

2 650481668 Israel 12

225 15020025000 Italy 35

300 0030034300 Japan 43

0 160095423240128 Kazakhstan 168

5 0035483238 Kenya 13

95 001502055519 Korea, North 55

1,325 501,3001,61500 Korea, South 310

0 85051189027 Kyrgyzstan 28

1 100200 Latvia 1

3 003400 Lebanon 1

30 00254000 Lesotho 15



0 10050716030 Madagascar 11


(1,000 HA and 1000 480-lb. Bales)


Area

Harvested

Ending

Stocks

ExportsLossUseTotal

Supply

ImportsProductio

n

Country

0 14005241150130 Malawi 96

300 100020040200 Malaysia 102

0 9000251,3311,060538 Mali 406

90 009011200 Mauritius 22

830 175251,8502,7801,366181 Mexico 730

35 00354700 Moldova 12

165 0016519911 Morocco 34

0 14005280170135 Mozambique 135



0 5041395 Niger 4

50 500220349200215 Nigeria 79

900 4752510,60013,97510,6002,950 Pakistan 2,875

0 000000 Panama 0

7 12030664525 Paraguay 24

260 6040060611525 Peru 200


15 00151800 Poland 3

165 2016020000 Portugal 38

3 003400 Romania 1

325 0033540900 Russia 74

0 4505635025 Senegal 13

5 005700 Serbia 2

10 12001500 Singapore 3

0 000000 Slovakia 0

6 006800 Slovenia 2

3 001011712 Somalia 1

76 260972048519 South Africa 81

15 32002539033174 Spain 45

8 00131755 Sri Lanka 4

0 4008019413067 Sudan 74

0 000000 Sweden 0


0 175020046930060 Syria 94

925 009251,14100 Taiwan 216


(1,000 HA and 1000 480-lb. Bales)


Area

Harvested

Ending

Stocks

ExportsLossUseTotal

Supply

ImportsProductio

n

Country

0 455040777400175 Tajikistan 282

0 1800175784375400 Tanzania 429

1,500 5251,4501,71721 Thailand 237

0 175015242200125 Togo 52

35 004558102 Tunisia 13

3,750 22506,4008,3073,200430 Turkey 1,682

0 1,50007003,0541,525545 Turkmenistan 854

0 1000517511552 Uganda 70

8 0081000 Ukraine 2


12 11,2002313,55018,68116,3193,783 United States 3,700

3 003400 Uruguay 1

0 2,45001,5505,1483,9001,285 Uzbekistan 1,148

15 001001248515 Venezuela 24

4,400 004,0504,90463 Vietnam 854

0 1030363218 Yemen 5

0 16505311150160 Zambia 141

0 2001530434180200 Zimbabwe 189

World

36,123 35,535126111,802258,168118,98233,819 World 110,705


(1,000 Metric Tons)

Table 06A: Cotton Supply and Distribution by Country 2014/2015

Area

Harvested

Ending

Stocks

ExportsLossUseImportsProductio

n

Beginning

Stocks

Country

19 90110510 Afghanistan 4

0 003310 Albania 1

0 005510 Algeria 1

1 101100 Angola 0

235 8201423266105 Argentina 281

0 000000 Armenia 0

501 544-228039345 Australia 364

0 105510 Austria 1

15 0015085 Azerbaijan 8

0 0011940 Bahrain 2

26 021,1971,1762779 Bangladesh 279

0 00131230 Belarus 2


152 1470306669 Benin 68

3 004131 Bolivia 3

1,524 851-3384951,670212 Brazil 1,531

2 007420 Bulgaria 2

290 26103056144 Burkina 81

195 1019615965 Burma 57

0 000000 Cambodia 0

115 1090403050 Cameroon 33

0 001100 Canada 0


48 41020856 Chad 12

0 000000 Chile 0

6,532 1607,4031,79613,653958 China 14,562

31 315425177 Colombia 14



183 1740706790 Cote d'Ivoire 70

0 000000 Croatia 0

1 003201 Cuba 0

0 000000 Cyprus 0


0 000000 Denmark 0


(1,000 Metric Tons)

Table 06A: Cotton Supply and Distribution by Country 2014/2015 (Continued)

Area

Harvested

Ending

Stocks


n

Beginning

Stocks

Country


2 00201751 Ecuador 4

114 332142764134 Egypt 55

0 003434110 El Salvador 11

0 000000 Estonia 0

38 10427527 Ethiopia 6

0 30131630 France 3

0 80404880 Germany 8

6 303013 Ghana 1

280 26172227361 Greece 65

1 00262650 Guatemala 6

3 300013 Guinea 1

1 002102 Haiti 0

1 005410 Honduras 1

0 23000230 Hong Kong 0

0 000100 Hungary 0

6,423 87105,3342612,4742,765 India 2,953

5 207407621092 Indonesia 134

65 20120543724 Iran 35

7 0013744 Iraq 4

0 000000 Ireland 0

14 1401032 Israel 3

0 30444950 Italy 8

0 00656590 Japan 9

52 3502104028 Kazakhstan 37

7 008128 Kenya 3

12 003321124 Korea, North 12

0 10283288630 Korea, South 67

20 1901066 Kyrgyzstan 6

0 000000 Latvia 0

0 001100 Lebanon 0

0 005720 Lesotho 3



13 2011027 Madagascar 2


(1,000 Metric Tons)


Area

Harvested

Ending

Stocks


n

Beginning

Stocks

Country

33 300102028 Malawi 21

0 2204465220 Malaysia 22

231 19605059117 Mali 88

0 00202050 Mauritius 5

297 38540318112739 Mexico 159

0 008830 Moldova 3

0 00363670 Morocco 7

37 300102429 Mozambique 29



2 101011 Niger 1

44 11048112247 Nigeria 17

2,308 10352,308196539642 Pakistan 626

0 000000 Panama 0

10 307235 Paraguay 5

25 108757505 Peru 44


0 003310 Poland 1

0 00353680 Portugal 8

0 001100 Romania 0

0 007371180 Russia 16

11 1001035 Senegal 3


0 000000 Slovakia 0

0 001100 Slovenia 0

2 002103 Somalia 0

19 60211794 South Africa 18

72 700531016 Spain 10

1 003211 Sri Lanka 1

28 901701415 Sudan 16

0 000000 Sweden 0


65 3804403713 Syria 20

0 00201201470 Taiwan 47

87 990908238 Tajikistan 61


(1,000 Metric Tons)


Area

Harvested

Ending

Stocks


n

Beginning

Stocks

Country

82 3903808987 Tanzania 93

0 15316327470 Thailand 52

44 38030927 Togo 11

2 0010830 Tunisia 3

697 4901,39381629594 Turkey 366

332 32701520333119 Turkmenistan 186

25 220101311 Uganda 15

0 002200 Ukraine 0


3,553 2,439507733512824 United States 806

0 001100 Uruguay 0

849 53303370272280 Uzbekistan 250

19 0022353 Venezuela 5

1 008829581081 Vietnam 186

7 007014 Yemen 1

33 360103535 Zambia 31

39 443705544 Zimbabwe 41

World

25,906 7,7372724,3427,86522,4407,363 World 24,103


Table 09: World Cotton Supply and Distribution

(1,000 HA and 1000 480-lb. Bales)

Country Mktg

Year

Beginning

Stocks

Area

Harvested

Production Imports Total

Supply

Exports Use Loss Total Dom.

Cons.

Ending

Stocks

Stock to

Use %

World

5942,12671,29047470,81627,200140,61627,62988,70633,74124,281 1984/85

6347,58975,58225275,33028,078151,24928,98180,14231,58142,126 1985/86

4335,41782,27417982,09533,350151,04133,09370,35929,34747,589 1986/87

3932,60984,68053484,14630,103147,39230,52981,44630,87135,417 1987/88

3631,05085,88064285,23833,481150,41133,58284,22033,83132,609 1988/89

2924,97887,13923486,90531,357143,47432,70379,72131,69631,050 1989/90

3227,46785,69417085,52429,560142,72130,57887,16533,15324,978 1990/91

4336,96586,55636886,18828,204151,72529,02495,23434,75827,467 1991/92

4034,50486,4006386,33725,435146,33927,06782,30732,64336,965 1992/93

3327,82785,70314385,56026,620140,15027,96777,67930,71834,504 1993/94

3832,01484,292-33084,62228,118144,42430,30086,29732,25027,827 1994/95

4740,12985,396-54485,94027,396152,92127,00493,90335,92032,014 1995/96

5144,63387,351-58587,93626,777158,76128,57990,05333,74040,129 1996/97

5749,46786,686-58187,26726,777162,93025,92992,36833,79744,633 1997/98

6252,85283,651-1,11484,76523,517160,02024,48086,07332,88549,467 1998/99

5651,14090,485-60291,08727,126168,75127,97687,92332,35052,852 1999/00

5449,57090,754-1,42492,17826,156166,48026,22989,11132,01251,140 2000/01

5854,68293,636-78194,41729,081177,39929,32298,50733,71949,570 2001/02

4947,88397,658-80498,46230,400175,94130,23391,02630,77654,682 2002/03

4948,42697,174-90998,08333,172178,77234,17596,71432,34347,883 2003/04

5661,004107,975-1,245109,22034,949203,92833,985121,51735,69548,426 2004/05

5361,940115,168-1,793116,96144,922222,03044,693116,33334,77061,004 2005/06

5163,309122,548-1,715124,26337,401223,25838,305123,01334,60261,940 2006/07

5162,768121,688-2,094123,78238,893223,34939,463120,57732,89563,309 2007/08

5762,720108,843-1,536110,37930,102201,66530,597108,30030,63462,768 2008/09

4047,782119,526-62119,58835,689202,99736,918103,35930,25262,720 2009/10

4451,339115,5189115,50934,841201,69836,263117,65333,54647,782 2010/11

7174,390103,734-370104,10446,060224,18445,458127,38736,00451,339 2011/12

8591,835107,579-828108,40746,390245,80447,589123,82534,42374,390 2012/13

94103,063109,667-413110,08040,887253,61741,305120,47732,75991,835 2013/14

99110,705111,928126111,80235,535258,16836,123118,98233,819103,063 2014/15

92105,186114,534-113114,64734,515254,23534,537108,99331,340110,705 2015/16


Table 10: United States Cotton Supply and Distribution

(1,000 HA and 1000 480-lb. Bales)

Country Mktg

Year

Area

Harvested

Yield Beginning

Stocks


Supply

Exports Use Loss Ending

Stocks

Stock to

Use %

United States

193,000-1436,5069,22918,592514,6293,9586135,193 1979/80

232,668-3355,8915,92614,1502811,1223,0004535,348 1980/81

566,632-1235,2646,56718,3402615,6462,6686085,601 1981/82

747,937-425,5135,20718,6152011,9636,6326613,939 1982/83

222,7752385,9216,78615,720127,7717,9375692,973 1983/84

354,102-745,5386,21515,7812412,9822,7756734,200 1984/85

1129,348-1546,4131,96017,5673313,4324,1027064,140 1985/86

365,026-807,4526,68419,08239,7319,3486183,427 1986/87

415,771-1827,6176,58219,788214,7605,0267924,059 1987/88

517,0921657,7826,14821,187515,4115,7716944,835 1988/89

183,000-1638,7597,69419,290212,1967,0926883,860 1989/90

142,344-2858,6577,79318,509415,5053,0007114,748 1990/91

233,70489,6136,64619,9711317,6142,3447315,245 1991/92

304,662-19010,2505,20119,923116,2183,7047854,501 1992/93

203,530-810,4186,86220,802616,1344,6626795,173 1993/94

132,650-3811,1989,40223,2122019,6623,5307945,391 1994/95

142,6092710,6477,67520,95840817,9002,6506026,478 1995/96

223,971-811,1266,86521,95440318,9422,6097915,216 1996/97

213,8874111,3497,50022,7771318,7933,9717545,425 1997/98

273,939-39410,4014,29818,24443913,9183,8877014,324 1998/99

233,91514510,1946,75021,0049716,9683,9396805,433 1999/00

386,000-4838,8626,74021,1191617,1883,9157085,282 2000/01

407,4481807,69611,00026,3242120,3036,0007905,596 2001/02

285,3851667,27311,90024,7246717,2097,4487465,025 2002/03

173,4502116,26613,75823,6854518,2555,3858184,858 2003/04

265,4951086,69114,43626,7302923,2513,4509585,284 2004/05

266,069-2005,87117,67329,4132823,8905,4959315,586 2005/06

539,4793034,93512,95927,6761921,5886,0699125,152 2006/07

5510,0514294,58413,63428,6981219,2079,4799854,245 2007/08

386,337-2633,54113,26122,876012,82510,0519123,063 2008/09

192,947-143,55012,03718,520012,1836,3378703,049 2009/10

142,6001823,90014,37621,058918,1022,9479104,330 2010/11

223,350-1723,30011,71418,1921915,5732,6008863,829 2011/12

233,8003483,50013,02620,6741017,3143,3509993,772 2012/13

172,3502923,55010,53016,7221312,9093,8009213,053 2013/14

253,7002313,55011,20018,6811216,3192,3509393,783 2014/15

233,100-83,70010,00016,7921013,0823,7008913,195 2015/16


Table 11: Foreign Cotton Supply and Distribution

(1,000 HA and 1000 480-lb. Bales)

Country Mktg

Year

Area

Harvested

Yield Beginning

Stocks


Supply

Exports Use Loss Ending

Stocks

Total Foreign

18,23215359,39821,43399,21630,50150,81717,89840927,026 1979/80

17,94130259,13020,33997,71227,22552,25518,23242127,021 1980/81

19,20236258,04519,19796,80625,67253,19317,94142427,337 1981/82

17,51734461,45320,30899,62226,05154,36919,20243127,455 1982/83

21,50625862,75918,547103,07027,04758,50617,51745627,947 1983/84

38,02454865,27820,985124,83527,60575,72421,50655829,541 1984/85

38,24140668,91726,118133,68228,94866,71038,02452927,441 1985/86

30,39125974,64326,666131,95933,09060,62838,24150925,920 1986/87

26,83871676,52923,521127,60430,52766,68630,39154226,812 1987/88

23,95847777,45627,333129,22433,57768,80926,83851728,996 1988/89

21,97839778,14623,663124,18432,70167,52523,95852827,836 1989/90

25,12345576,86721,767124,21230,57471,66021,97854928,405 1990/91

33,26136076,57521,558131,75429,01177,62025,12357329,513 1991/92

29,84225376,08720,234126,41627,06666,08933,26151128,142 1992/93

24,29715175,14219,758119,34827,96161,54529,84252525,545 1993/94

29,364-29273,42418,716121,21230,28066,63524,29754026,859 1994/95

37,520-57175,29319,721131,96326,59676,00329,36456229,442 1995/96

40,662-57776,81019,912136,80728,17671,11137,52054328,524 1996/97

45,580-62275,91819,277140,15325,91673,57540,66256528,372 1997/98

48,913-72074,36419,219141,77624,04172,15545,58055028,561 1998/99

47,225-74780,89320,376147,74727,87970,95548,91357426,917 1999/00

43,570-94183,31619,416145,36126,21371,92347,22558626,730 2000/01

47,234-96186,72118,081151,07529,30178,20443,57060528,123 2001/02

42,498-97091,18918,500151,21730,16673,81747,23462425,751 2002/03

44,976-1,12091,81719,414155,08734,13078,45942,49862227,485 2003/04

55,509-1,353102,52920,513177,19833,95698,26644,97670430,411 2004/05

55,871-1,593111,09027,249192,61744,66592,44355,50969029,184 2005/06

53,826-2,018119,31524,442195,56538,272101,42555,86875029,450 2006/07

52,714-2,523119,18625,259194,63639,440101,37053,82677028,650 2007/08

56,381-1,273106,83016,841178,77930,59095,47552,71475427,571 2008/09

44,834-48116,03223,652184,47036,91391,17656,38173027,203 2009/10

48,738-173111,60520,465180,63536,25099,55144,83474229,216 2010/11

71,039-198100,80034,346205,98745,435111,81448,73875732,175 2011/12

88,034-1,176104,90333,364225,12547,575106,51171,03975730,651 2012/13

100,711-705106,52530,357236,88841,286107,56888,03478829,706 2013/14

107,003-105108,24724,335239,48036,106102,663100,71174430,036 2014/15

102,084-105110,94224,515237,43634,52295,911107,00374228,145 2015/16


department of agriculture cotton: foreign …...2015/08/12 · china’s share of u.s. export...

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