demographic trends in wagoner county & broken arrow population growth in wagoner county...

Prepared by the Community Service Council of Greater Tulsa

Presented to Tulsa Area United WayCommunity Investments Volunteers

Community Profile 2006Wagoner County/Broken Arrow

Prepared for The Tulsa Area United WayCommunity Investments Process

By The Community Service Council of Greater Tulsa


Quiz

1. Which area is growing the most rapidly (percent increase)? a. TAUW service area b. Wagoner Co. c. Broken Arrow

2. During the past 30 years, what has happened to the income gap between rich and poor?

a. increased b. decreased c. stable

3. What percentage of all poor families in Broken Arrow have an employed householder and/or spouse?

a. 20% b. 49% c. 75%

4. What percentage of Wagoner County residents age 25 & older have only a high school education or less?

a. 24% b. 40% c. 55%

5. How does Oklahoma compare to the nation in age-adjusted deaths rates?

a. better b. worse c. same


Community Profile 2006

Demographic TrendsHuman DevelopmentPanel TopicsBest Practices

��


Demographic Trends

Population growthAgeRace and Hispanic originLiving arrangementsMedian family incomeResidential mobility

>>>>>>

Demographic Trends in Wagoner County & Broken Arrow

• Population growth in Wagoner County exceeding that of TAUW service area.

• Greater cultural diversity particularly among the population under 25 years of age

• Living arrangements are changing significantly with more children in single headed households and other relative households

• Larger number of people over 65 years of age are living alone… especially women

• Median family income varies by race

• Large population of mobile renters

Osage

Creek

Tulsa

Rogers

Okmulgee

Wagoner

N

EW

S

TAUW Service Area


Population of TAUW Service Area and Wagoner County1970, 1980, 1990, 2000 and 2004 (est.)

Source: U. S. Bureau of the Census.

1970 1980 1990 2000 2004(est.)

0

100,000

200,000

300,000

400,000

500,000

600,000

700,000

800,000

900,000

1,000,000Wagoner Co.

TAUW

Wagoner Co. 22,163 41,801 47,883 57,491 63,054

TAUW 561,210 696,342 745,444 842,920 864,981

Wagoner County’s population grew 10% between 2000 and 2004, while that of TAUW service area increased only 3%.


Population of Wagoner County and Broken Arrow1970, 1980, 1990, 2000 and 2004 (est.)


1970 1980 1990 2000 2004(est.)

0

20,000

40,000

60,000

80,000

100,000Broken Arrow

Wagoner Co.

Broken Arrow 11,787 35,761 58,043 79,871 84,400

Wagoner Co. 22,163 41,801 47,883 57,491 63,054

Broken Arrow’s population increased 6% between 2000 and 2004.


Population of Selected Cities in Wagoner County1970, 1980, 1990, 2000 and 2004 (est.)


Broken Arrow

Wagoner

Coweta

0 20,000 40,000 60,000 80,000 100,000

1970

1980

1990

2000

2004 (est.)

Broken Arrow Wagoner Coweta

1970 11,787 4,959 2,457

1980 35,761 6,191 4,554

1990 58,043 6,894 6,159

2000 79,871 7,698 7,531

2004 (est.) 84,400 7,870 8,140

Coweta’s population increased 8% between 2000 and 2004, while that of Wagoner grew 2%.


Population of Selected Counties in the Tulsa Metro Area1970, 1980, 1990, 2000 and 2004 (est.)


Creek Co. Okmulgee Co. Osage Co. Rogers Co. Wagoner Co.0

20,000

40,000

60,000

80,000

100,000 1970 1980 1990 2000 2004 (est.)

1970 45,532 35,358 29,750 28,425 22,163

1980 59,016 39,169 39,327 46,436 41,801

1990 60,915 36,490 41,645 55,170 47,883

2000 67,367 39,685 44,437 70,641 57,491

2004 (est.) 68,666 39,890 45,181 79,042 63,054


Population by Race and Hispanic OriginWagoner County and Broken Arrow, 2000


46,03280.1%

2960.5%

5,3939.4%

2,1583.8%

3,1105.4%

5020.9%

63,88685.3%

1,4251.9%

3,0074.0%

2,7933.7%

2,7973.7%

9511.3%

White Asian* American Indian*

Black Two or more races Some other race

Notes: Persons of Hispanic origin may be of any race, and therefore are not included separately in pie chart. Native Hawaiians and other Pacific Islanders are Included in "Asian" race category Alaska Natives are included in "American Indian" race category.

Hispanic Origin*(N=1,437) 2.5%

Hispanic Origin*(N=2,664) 3.6%

Wagoner County Broken Arrow


Births by Race of MotherWagoner County, 2004

Source: Oklahoma State Department of Health

White667 (83.4%)

Black34 (4.3%)

Amer. Indian94 (11.8%)

Asian/Pacific Islander5 (0.6%)

Total births=800Hispanic origin: 27 (3.4%)


Age DistributionWagoner County and Broken Arrow, 2000


4,0567.1%

12,10421.1%

4,5317.9%

30,96253.9%

5,3819.4%

4570.8%

59548.0%

1713422.9%5749

7.7%

4039754.0%

50206.7%

6050.8%

0-4 5-17 18-24 25-64 65-84 85+



Living Arrangements of Children Under 18Wagoner County and Broken Arrow, 2000


72.2%

4.8%

13.6%7.6%

79.1%

3.6%

12.4%

3.8%

Married Couple Male-headed Female-headed Other relatives0%

20%

40%

60%

80%

100%Wagoner County Broken Arrow


Types of Families with Own Children Under 18, by RaceWagoner County, 2000


80%

46.5%

74.4%

83.3%80.9%

5.6%

12.3%6.8%

2.8%6%

14.4%

41.2%

18.8%13.9% 13.1%

White Black American Indian Asian Hispanic0%

20%

40%

60%

80%

100%Percent of families within each race

Married Couple Male-headed Female-headed

Note: "Own Children" refers to children (including step and adopted) of the householder in a family.


Types of Families with Own Children Under 18, by RaceBroken Arrow, 2000


81.7%

70.6%75.2%

92.9%

81.5%

4.2% 4.9% 6.1%0.9%

5.5%

14.1%

24.5%18.7%

6.2%13%

White Black American Indian Asian Hispanic0%

20%

40%

60%

80%

100%

120%Percent of families within each race

Married Couple Male-headed Female-headed

Note: "Own Children" refers to children (including step and adopted) of the householder in a family.


Children in Non-Traditional SettingsWagoner County and Broken Arrow, 2000

Source: U. S. Bureau of the Census; Department of Human Services.

Living withgrandparents

Living withother relatives

Foster care(Sept. 2005)

Juvenileinstitutions

0

500

1,000

1,500

Number of children

Children inWagoner Co.

Children in BA

Children inWagoner Co.

1,056 180 122 3

Percentage ofchildren <18

6.5% 1.1% 0.8% 0%

Children in BA 683 199 NA 0

Percentage ofchildren <18

3% 0.9% NA 0%


Occupied Housing Units by TenureWagoner County & Broken Arrow, 2000

Source: U.S. Census Bureau, 2000 Census.

81.0%

19.0%

78.9%

21.1%

Owner-occupied Renter-occupied



Housing Units by Householder's Length of Residence and by Tenure

Wagoner County and Broken Arrow, 2000

Source: U.S. Bureau of the Census.

12.6%

27.9%

59.5%

41.4%

37.8% 20.8%

13.5%

31.4%

55.1%

48.8%

37.0%

14.2%

15 months or less 16 months to 4 years 5 years or more

Wagoner Co. owner-occupied

Broken Arrow owner-occupied

Wagoner Co. renter-occupied

Broken Arrow renter-occupied

In Wagoner County, median household income for owner-occupied housing units =

$46,107; for renter-occupied = 23,209

In Broken Arrow, median household income for owner-occupied housing units =

$60,188; for renter-occupied = 32,056


Median Family Income, by RaceWagoner County and Broken Arrow, 1999

Source: U.S. Census Bureau, Census 2000.

Total White Black AmericanIndian

Asian Hispanic$0

$20,000

$40,000

$60,000

$80,000

$100,000Annual Income

Wagoner Co. Broken Arrow

Wagoner Co. $47,062 $48,934 $27,778 $40,734 $46,250 $40,550

Broken Arrow $58,891 $59,180 $60,481 $53,900 $77,704 $52,552


Human Development


Tulsa Area Human Development Industry What is it?

Independent and collective action of efforts to address the education, health, housing, family support, emergency financial, and transportation needs of families and individuals in the Tulsa area.

Increasingly these efforts seek to prevent needs through promoting increased self-sufficiency among people in the Tulsa area while still intervening to respond to crises and other concerns.

�

�


The Roots of the Challenge Thirty Years of Economic and Social Changes

Emergence of new persistent poor in late 1960's and early 1970's

Massive loss of low skill/high pay jobs

Sharp rise in working poor

Decline in young male workers' wages

Increase in female headed families

Impact of substance abuse

>

>

>

>

>

>

All trends disproportionately affected:~ African-Americans~ young children and young families

Human Development: Key Points

• Middle class is disappearing

• Many households lack adequate income

• Stress of inadequate income and related conditions is widespread

• Starting life in Wagoner County for many is risky business

Human Development: Key Points…continued

• Populations of aging and persons with disabilities are large and growing

• Health challenges are critical to individual and community well-being

• Poor human conditions impact crime and growing incarcerations

• Overall progress in human development is tied to educational success

The Middle Class is Disappearing

~Lower income groups greatly expand, middle shrinks,

highest income group increases dramatically


Source: Hodgkinson, Harold, "The Client," Education Demographer, 1988.

1900 - 1940 1940 - 1990 1990 - ?0%

20%

40%

60%

80%

100%

Poor - 75%

Poor - 20%Poor - 10%

Rich - 20%

Middle - 60%

Rich - 5% Rich - 10%

Middle - 20%

Middle - 80%

The trend: housing patterns and income mirror the job structure, with more rich, more poor, and fewer in the middle -- the "hourglass effect"

The Overall Dominant Trend...The Shrinking Middle Class


Source: U.S. Census Bureau, 2000 Census.

Distribution of Wealth: Household IncomeU.S., Oklahoma, TAUW Service Area and Creek County, 1999

47.4%58.4% 52.7%

59.8%

40.3%

35%38.6%

35.4%

12.3% 6.6% 8.7% 4.8%

U.S. Oklahoma TAUW Creek Co.0%

20%

40%

60%

80%

100%

<$40,000/year

$40,000-$99,999/year

$100,000+/year

1% of U.S. households have

39.3% of the assets, making the U.S. the #1 country in the

world in inequality of income.


Income disparity between rich and poor grows wider beyond 1993

Mean Family Income by Quintile and Top 5% (2003 dollars)United States, 1966-2003

Source: Economic Policy Institute website.

1966

1968

1970

1972

1974

1976

1978

1980

1982

1984

1986

1988

1990

1992

1994

1996

1998

2000

2002

$0

$50,000

$100,000

$150,000

$200,000

$250,000

$300,000

Real hourly wage (2003 dollars)

Lowest Second Middle Fourth Highest Top 5%

Many Households Lack Adequate Income

~More and more households lack adequate income to meet living needs


The Self-Sufficiency Standard...

...The level of income requiredfor a family to meet its needs on its own.

Source: Wider Opportunities for Women, with Community Action Project of Tulsa County, 2002, "The Self-Sufficiency Standard for Oklahoma."

Customized by specific family compositionCustomized by geographic locationBased on all expense categoriesUpdated annually using consumer price index

>>>>


Self-Sufficiency

Wage(annual)

Poverty Guidelines

(annual)

Dollar Difference

Self-SufficiencyPercent of

Poverty

One person

$17,953 $9,570 $8,383 187.6%

Two persons

$30,104 $12,830 $17,274 234.6%

Three persons

$34,401 $16,090 $18,311 213.8%

Four persons

$42,896 $19,350 $23,546 221.7%

Comparison of Self-Sufficiency Wage to Poverty Guidelines, by Size of Family

Wagoner County, 2005

Source: Wider Opportunities for Women, with Community Action Project of Tulsa County, "The Self-Sufficiency Standard for Oklahoma;" Federal Register, February 18, 2005; Bureau of Labor Statistics, Consumer Price Index, November 2005.

($8.63 per hour)

($14.47 per hour)

($16.54 per hour)

($20.62 per hour)

Notes: For the self-sufficiency wages shown in table, family of two consists of one adult and one preschooler; family of three consists of one adult, one preschooler and one schoolage child; family of four consists of two adults, one preschooler and one schoolage child. Per hour wages given assume pay for 40 hours per week for 52 weeks.

($4.60 per hour)

($6.17 per hour)

($7.74 per hour)

($9.30 per hour)


Family of Three, Wagoner County, 2005

Source: Wider Opportunities for Women, with Community Action Project of Tulsa Tulsa County, "The Self-Sufficiency Standard for Oklahoma;" Federal Register, February 18, 2005; Oklahoma State Dept. of Human Services, Bureau of Labor Statistics; U.S. Census Bureau, 2000 Census; U.S. Census Bureau.

$8,292$10,712

$16,090

$29,767

$47,062

WelfareWage

MinimumWage

PovertyWage

185% PovertyWage

Median FamilyIncome(1999)

$0

$10,000

$20,000

$30,000

$40,000

$50,000Annual Wage

Self-Sufficiency Wage = $34,401 ($16.54/hr.)

Note: For the self-sufficiency wage, family of three consists of one adult, one preschooler and one schoolage child.The hourly wages given assume employment at 40 hours per week and 52 weeks per year.

Comparison of Wages: Self-Sufficiency, Welfare, Minimum, Poverty, 185% of Poverty, and Median Family Income

All families

($3.99/hr.)($5.15/hr.)

($7.74/hr.)

($14.31/hr.)

($22.63/hr.)

Married-couple w/ kids: $52,066

Male-headed w/ kids: $24,012

Female-headed w/ kids: $21,235


Budget Distribution for Typical Family of Three Earning Self-Sufficiency Wage


Source: Wider Opportunities for Women, "The Self-Sufficiency Standard for Oklahoma."

Housing$688

Child Care$602

Food$430

Transportation$258

Health Care$287

Miscellaneous$229

Taxes$344

24%

21%

15%

9%

10%

8%

12%

Notes: Family of three in this example consists of one adult, one preschooler and one schoolage child. Self-sufficiency wage for a family of three of this composition is $34,401 per year or $2,867 per month.


Ratio of Income to Poverty LevelPercentage of Total Population and Selected Age Groups



Total population

Under 18 Under 5 5-17 18-64 65+0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

Percentage of population

100% 130% 185%

100% 8.9% 11.7% 14.3% 10.8% 7.6% 9.2%

130% 14.1% 18.3% 24.1% 16.3% 11.9% 16.1%

185% 26.3% 34% 39.8% 32% 22.2% 30.4%


Ratio of Income to Poverty LevelNumber of Persons: Total Population and Children



All Income Levels

100% of poverty level

130% of poverty

level

185% of poverty

level

Total population 57,087 5,086 8,066 15,017

Under 18 years 15,929 1,868 2,916 5,419

Under 5 years 4,050 581 976 1,613

5-17 years 11,879 1,287 1,940 3,806

18-64 years 35,473 2,693 4,234 7,872

65+ 5,685 525 916 1,726


Ratio of Income to Poverty LevelPercentage of Total Population and Selected Age Groups

Broken Arrow, 1999


Total population

Under 18 Under 5 5-17 18-64 65+0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

Percentage of population

100% 130% 185%

100% 4.5% 5.4% 5.8% 5.2% 3.8% 6.9%

130% 7.5% 9.4% 10.1% 9.1% 6.3% 10.6%

185% 15.1% 18.8% 22.5% 17.5% 12.5% 21.9%


Ratio of Income to Poverty LevelNumber of Persons: Total Population and Children

Broken Arrow, 1999


All Income Levels

100% of poverty level

130% of poverty

level

185% of poverty

level

Total population 74,326 3,346 5,603 11,236

Under 18 years 23,002 1,235 2,155 4,329

Under 5 years 5,962 347 601 1,341

5-17 years 17,040 888 1,554 2,988

18-64 years 46,183 1,756 2,905 5,779

65+ 5,141 355 543 1,128


Poverty Rates for Families by Family Type and Age of Children



5.2%7.1%

8.5%

3.5% 3.1%

20.1% 19.8%

36.6%

16.4%

5.2%

29.3%32.2%

50.8%

24.3%

5%

w/ children <18w/ children <5 only

w/ children <5 & 5-17w/ children 5-17 only

no children

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%Poverty rate

Married-couple

Male-headed

Female-headed


Poverty Rates for Families by Family Type and Age of Children

Broken Arrow, 1999


2.2% 1.4%

5.1%

1.4% 1.2%

10.6%

7.1% 6.4%

12.6%

3.5%

16.8%

39.7%37.6%

10.9%

7.1%

w/ children <18w/ children <5 only

w/ children <5 & 5-17w/ children 5-17 only

no children

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%Poverty rate

Married-couple

Male-headed

Female-headed


Median Family IncomeBy Family Type and Presence of Children under 18



$45,623

$52,066

$21,235

$24,012

$48,603

$51,766

$28,432

$37,813

All families

Married-couplefamilies

Female-headedfamilies

Male-headedfamilies

$0$20,000$40,000$60,000

Families WITH children

$0 $20,000 $40,000 $60,000

Families WITHOUT children


Median Family IncomeBy Family Type and Presence of Children under 18

Broken Arrow, 1999


$58,573

$64,491

$26,318

$38,929

$59,311

$62,053

$37,717

$50,417

All families

Married-couplefamilies

Female-headedfamilies

Male-headedfamilies

$0$20,000$40,000$60,000

Families WITH children

$0 $20,000 $40,000 $60,000

Families WITHOUT children


Labor Force Participation among Adults, Age 20-64Wagoner County, 1999

Source: U.S. Bureau of the Census; Oklahoma Employment Security Commission.

25,75675.9%

8,17424.1%

In armed forces

Employed

Unemployed

45 (0.2%)

24,955 (96.9%)

756 (2.9%)

NOT in labor force

In labor force

Unemployment rate (all ages) for October 2005 = 3.6%.


Labor Force Participation among Adults, Age 20-64Broken Arrow, 1999

Source: U.S. Bureau of the Census; Oklahoma Employment Security Commission.

36,20282.0%

7,96418.0%

In armed forces

Employed

Unemployed

48 (0.1%)

35,272 (97.4%)

882 (2.4%)

NOT in labor force

In labor force


Unemployment RatesTulsa MSA, 1991 - 2005

Source: U.S. Department of Labor, Bureau of Labor Statistics.

1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 Oct.2005

0.0

1.0

2.0

3.0

4.0

5.0

6.0

7.0

Rate 5.9 5.3 6.3 5.8 4.2 3.3 3.5 3.5 3.2 2.8 3.4 4.9 6.5 5.0 4.0


Many families in poverty have employed worker(s)Families in Poverty by Family Type and Employment Status



20.223.5

34.1

11.6

44.2 38.9

48.5

49.8

35.6 37.5 17.4 38.7

All familiesin poverty

Married-couplefamilies in poverty

Male-headedfamilies in poverty

Female-headedfamilies in poverty

0%

20%

40%

60%

80%

100%

Percent of impoverished families

Employment Status of Householder or SpouseFull-time Part-time Did not work


Many families in poverty have employed worker(s)Families in Poverty by Family Type and Employment Status

Broken Arrow, 1999


24.9 25.5 28.223.5

49.7 51.9

40.849.5

25.4 22.7 31 26.9

All familiesin poverty

Married-couplefamilies in poverty

Male-headedfamilies in poverty

Female-headedfamilies in poverty

0%

20%

40%

60%

80%

100%

Percent of impoverished families

Employment Status of Householder or SpouseFull-time Part-time Did not work


Poverty Rates by Race and Hispanic OriginTotal Population and Under Age 5, Wagoner County, 1999



Asian Hispanic0%

10%

20%

30%

40%Total population Under 5

Total population 8.9% 7.2% 24.3% 14.2% 8.6% 15.5%

Under 5 14.3% 10.6% 35.4% 23.5% 8.7% 12.1%


Poverty Rates by Race and Hispanic OriginTotal Population and Under Age 5, Broken Arrow , 1999



Asian Hispanic0%

5%

10%

15%

20%

25%Total population Under 5

Total population 4.5% 4% 12.4% 4.1% 4.4% 4.1%

Under 5 5.8% 5.1% 21.9% 3.7% 14% 3.5%


Education increasingly impacts wagesReal Hourly Wage by Educational Attainment

United States, 1973-2003


1973

1975

1977

1979

1981

1983

1985

1987

1989

1991

1993

1995

1997

1999

2001

2003

$0

$5

$10

$15

$20

$25

$30

$35


Less than high school High school College degree Advanced degree


Real Hourly Wage by Educational Attainment for MenUnited States, 1973-2003


1973

1975

1977

1979

1981

1983

1985

1987

1989

1991

1993

1995

1997

1999

2001

2003

$0

$5

$10

$15

$20

$25

$30

$35




Real Hourly Wage by Educational Attainment for WomenUnited States, 1973-2003


1973

1975

1977

1979

1981

1983

1985

1987

1989

1991

1993

1995

1997

1999

2001

2003

$0

$5

$10

$15

$20

$25

$30

$35




Additional Indicators of Economic Distress

Public assistance programsFree & reduced school lunch programHomeless sheltersHelpline and Babyline referrals

>>>>


Participation in Public Assistance ProgramsNumber of Participants and Percentage of Population Participating

Wagoner County, September 2005

Source: Oklahoma Dept. of Human Services, Statistical Bulletin, Sept. 2005; Oklahoma State Dept. of Education, Low Income Report for 2004-2005; Pop. Estimates Division - U.S. Census Bureau; Oklahoma State Department of Health.

7,933

1,674

5,293

560

207

411

243

5,600

224

1,630

447

12.6%

43.6%

33.6%

8.4%

27%

10.4%

6.3%

8.9%

1.4%

45.3%

12.4%

Medicaid Total

Medicaid <5

Medicaid <18

Medicaid 65+

WIC Infants (Oct. 05)

WIC age 1-5 (Oct. 05)

Child Care Subsidy <5

Food Stamps Total

TANF <18

Elem. School Free Lunch(2004-05)

Elem. School Reduced Lunch(2004-05)

02,0004,0006,0008,00010,000

Number of Participants

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60%

Percent of Population


Elementary School Students Eligible for Free and Reduced Lunch Program

By School District, Wagoner County, 2004-2005 School Year

Source: Oklahoma State Dept. of Education, Low Income Report for 2004-2005.

45%

65%

56%

42%

29%

23%

12%

12%

14%

12%

13%

9%

Wagoner County Total

Wagoner

Porter

Okay

Coweta

Broken Arrow

0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100%

Percent of Students Eligible

Free Reduced

Free lunch eligibility requirement: annual household income below 130% of poverty, which currently is $20,917 for a family of three.

Reduced lunch eligibility requirement: annual household income below 185% of poverty, which currently is $29,767 for a family of three.


Selected Helpline Service Requests, by Type of Service

2001 through 2005

Source: Community Service Council of Greater Tulsa.

2001 2002 2003 2004 20050

5,000

10,000

15,000

20,000

Number of Service Requests

Food

Health & Medical Services

Financial Assistance

Food 1,945 1,913 2,152 2,019 3,339

Health & Medical Services 2,688 2,852 3,404 4,074 7,720

Financial Assistance 12,376 12,173 13,269 12,035 17,847

Total incoming calls to Helpline rose to 49,952 in 2005, up

from 28,741 in 2004 (74% increase); while

assessments of caller needs and referrals rose to

101,180 in 2005, up from 50,784 in 2004

(99% increase).


Babyline and Planline Appointments ScheduledTulsa MSA and Surrounding Counties, 1990 through 2005

Source: Community Service Council of Greater Tulsa.

1,9972,107 2,212

3,004

2,6052,369 2,342

2,662 2,767

3,525

3,998

4,4234,604

4,795 4,692

4,355

0 0 0 0 0

631

1,409

858 872

1,1931,432 1,345

1,789

1,333

909

1,500

1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 20050

1,000

2,000

3,000

4,000

5,000

Number of Appointments Scheduled

Family Planning Appointments Prenatal Appointments

Starting Life for Many is Risky Business

~Combination of many risk factors takes heavy toll and early screening

for risk level is inadequate

Adequate Early Screening Essential for All Children to Assess Impact of Risk Factors

• Some evidence indicates only small portion of children receive needed screening

• Sufficient data do not exist to clearly indicate extent and nature of problem

What is early intervention?

• Early intervention applies to children of school age or younger who are discovered to have or be at risk of developing a handicapping condition or other special need that may effect their development.

• Early intervention consists of the provision of services such children and their families need for the purpose of lessening the effects of the condition. Early intervention can be remedial or preventive in nature – premeditating existing developmental problems or preventing their occurrence.


Special Education Students and Students who Received Early Intervention

Oklahoma Public Schools, 2003-04

Source: Oklahoma State Department of Education.

Notspecial

education85%

Specialeducation

15%

Earlyintervention

2.2%

No earlyintervention

97.8%

Small proportion of special education students received early intervention

Total Oklahoma Public School Students

Total Oklahoma Public School Students

Populations of Aging and Populations of Aging and Persons with Disabilities Persons with Disabilities are Large and Growingare Large and Growing

~~These populations will significantly These populations will significantly test the capacity of resources needed test the capacity of resources needed

to enable them to be most self-to enable them to be most self-sufficientsufficient


Living Arrangements of Persons Age 65 & OlderWagoner County and Broken Arrow, 2000

Source: U. S. Census Bureau, Census 2000.

24.2%

71.7%

2.3%

1.9%

21.7%

68.2% 8.6%1.5%

Live alone Family households Group quarters Other

73% of the 65+ population in Wagoner County living alone are female; 81% of

those in Broken Arrow are female.



Disabilities affect all agesDisability Prevalence by Age and Level of Disability

Oklahoma, 1997

Source: U.S. Bureau of the Census, 2001, Americans with Disabilities: 1997 (Aug.-Nov. 1997 data from Survey of Income and Program Participation).

2%

3.4%

11.2%

10.7%

13.4%

22.6%

35.7%

49%

73.6%

4.8%

5.3%

8.1%

13.9%

24.2%

31.8%

57.6%

0 to 2

3 to 5

6 to 14

15-24

25-44

45-54

55-64

65-79

80+

Age Group

0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100%

Percent with Specified Level of Disability

Level of disabilityAny Severe

Health Challenges are Critical to Individual and Community Well-being

~Inadequate income, high risks of starting life and poor lifestyle

choices contribute to major health concerns

800850900950

1,0001,0501,100

1980 1984 1988 1992 1996 2000

Rat

e

Tulsa Co OK US

Oklahoma and Tulsa County Oklahoma and Tulsa County faring poorly faring poorly compared to US in age-adjusted death ratescompared to US in age-adjusted death rates

Age-Adjusted Death Rates, 1980 to 2002Age-Adjusted Death Rates, 1980 to 2002

OBESITYTrend: America’s weight gain epidemic – 25% of

Americans are obese – more than doubled in 15 years.

• Benchmark: We must reverse this trend.

• Bad: Consequences –

– high healthcare costs.

– Increased heart disease, type II diabetes, osteoarthritis, hypertension, gallbladder disease, breast cancer, endometrial cancer and colon cancer.

• Bad: OK and Tulsa Co heart disease rates are higher than the rest of the nation – only one state ranks worse than OK.

Lapolla, Health Policy Analysis of the Tulsa Metropolitan Area, Center for Health Policy Research and Development, OUCPH, 2005; NCHS, CDC; THD;Tulsa County Health Profile; NIH; United Health Foundation; BRFSS, CDC; St. Francis Health System FY 2004 Community Needs Assessment.

OK

US

THD – Patel/Woodruff 9/05

Major Health Concern: Poor Lifestyle Choices -- Obesity

Trend: Percent of adult smokers (2003): 22.7(Tulsa Co), 25.1(OK), 22.0(US), state rank=36.

Benchmark: Smoking bans in public venues, smoking cessation programs, and increasing cigarette taxes = curtailed adult smoking and youth take-up rate.

Good: OK youth smoking percent is below the national average— 26.5(OK) and 27.5(US); adult smokers declining locally, statewide and nationally (2003).

Bad: Smoking is a major cause of premature death, cardiovascular and pulmonary system disease including heart attack, stroke and cancer.


NCHS, CDC; THD;Tulsa County Health Profile; NIH; BRFSS, CDC

22.7%

25.1%

22%

20030%

5%

10%

15%

20%

25%

30%

Percent adult smokers

Tulsa Co. Oklahoma US

Major Health Concern: Poor Lifestyle Choices -- Smoking


NCHS, CDC; THD;Tulsa County Health Profile; NIH; BRFSS, CDC

Poor health conditions leave safety net severely challenged - Growing Uninsured PopulationSuburban Counties of Tulsa MSA, 2003

Medicare11%

Medicaid22%

Insured48%

Uninsured19%

Tulsa’s uninsured and Medicaid beneficiaries seek primary care in Tulsa hospital ERs. ER visits by Medicaid recipients actually exceeded uninsured visits by 25%.

Tulsa hospital ER patient survey found that 73% were not true emergencies: 30% treated for non-emergency conditions – another 43% could have been treated in non-emergency facilities within 48 hours.

Using hospital ERs for non-emergency care is a costly and inefficient.

Non-emergency ER use is a major contributor to overload and frequent divert status of Tulsa hospital ERs — especially in the last 2 years.


Lapolla, Health Policy Analysis of the Tulsa Metropolitan Area, Center for Health Policy Research and Development, OUCPH, 2005; THD CAP

Poor health conditions create huge inefficient demand on resources - Misuse of Hospitals

and Emergency Rooms

Poor Human Conditions Poor Human Conditions Impact Crime and Impact Crime and

Growing IncarcerationsGrowing Incarcerations

~Trends greatly affected by substance abuse

0

2,500

5,000

7,500

10,000

12,500

15,000

17,500

20,000

22,500

25,000

'50

'52

'54

'56

'58

'60

'62

'64

'66

'68

'70

'72

'74

'76

'78

'80

'82

'84

'86

'88

'90

'92

'94

'96

'98

'00

'02

'04

Oklahoma’s prison population was relatively stable until 1980 when laws passed to curb

illegal drug use came into effectOklahoma’s Prison Population

1950-2005

Source: Oklahoma State Department of Corrections, Prepared by the Community Service Council of Greater Tulsa for the Metropolitan Human Services Commission in Tulsa.

1980

Note: Number of inmates in Oklahoma prisons, data as of June 30 of each year


Methamphetamine Labs Seized by AuthoritiesOklahoma and City of Tulsa, 1994 - 2004

Source: Oklahoma State Bureau of Narcotics and Dangerous Drugs Website, Tulsa Police Department Website.

10 34

125

241 275

781

946

1,1931,254 1,235

812

0 0 6 13 47132 150 124

178214

131

1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 20040

200

400

600

800

1,000

1,200

1,400

Number of labs discovered

Tulsa

Oklahoma

Overall Progress in Human Overall Progress in Human Development is Tied to Development is Tied to

Educational SuccessEducational Success

~From preschool through post secondary education


Educational Attainment for Persons Age 25 & OlderWagoner County, 2000


18.7%

35.8%

23.7%

6.3%

11.4%

3%

0.7%

0.3%

Less than high school

High school graduate

Some college

Associate degree

Bachelor's degree

Master's degree

Professional school degree

Doctorate degree

0% 10% 20% 30% 40%

Percent of persons 25+


Educational Attainment for Persons Age 25 & OlderBroken Arrow, 2000


8.3%

24.4%

27.1%

9.4%

22.7%

6%

1.5%

0.7%



Some college

Associate degree

Bachelor's degree

Master's degree


Doctorate degree

0% 5% 10% 15% 20% 25% 30% 35%



Educational Attainment for Persons Age 25 & Older, by SexWagoner County, 2000


17.8%

35.7%

24.4%

6.1%

11.8%

2.8%

0.9%

0.5%

19.5%

36%

23.2%

6.5%

11%

3.1%

0.6%

0.1%



Some college

Associate degree

Bachelor's degree

Master's degree


Doctorate degree

0%10%20%30%40%50% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50%

Males Females



Educational Attainment for Persons Age 25 & Older, by SexBroken Arrow, 2000


7.1%

21.3%

26.7%

9.1%

25.6%

7%

2.1%

1.1%

9.4%

26.9%

27.5%

9.7%

20.1%

5.2%

1%

0.3%



Some college

Associate degree

Bachelor's degree

Master's degree


Doctorate degree

0%10%20%30%40%50% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50%

Males Females


Education Success: Preschool


Large pre-K enrollment in surrounding counties, as emphasis increasingly turns to assuring high quality

Enrollment in Public Pre-K Programs, by Full and Part Day

Creek, Osage, Rogers and Wagoner Counties, October 2004

Source: Oklahoma State Department of Education; U.S. Census Bureau, Census 2000.

23.5

31.2

16.5

22.1

61

4.3

41.7

14.1

15.5

64.5

41.8

63.8

Creek Co.

Osage Co.

Rogers Co.

Wagoner Co.

0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100%

Percent of all four year olds

Full-day Part-day Not enrolled

916

Total four year olds:

558

1,081

842

Education Success: Post-Secondary-Higher

Education

Tulsa Community College serves as primary source of higher education enrollment

Percent Distribution of Tulsa Area Higher Education EnrollmentTulsa Area Public Colleges, Fall 2003

Source: Oklahoma State Regents for Higher Education (Fall 2003)

63.9

13.1

9.4

8

3.2

2.4

TCC

RSU

OSU-Tulsa

NSU-BA

OU-Tulsa

LU-Tulsa

0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80

Percent of Enrollment

Public College Remediation Rates Among HS Graduates

Tulsa County and Oklahoma, 1999-2003

37

32.435.1

38.1

33.636.5

34.136.5 36.2 35

1999 2000 2001 2002 2003

Academic Year

0

10

20

30

40

50

Per

cent

Req

uiri n

g R

emed

i ati o

n

Tulsa State

Source: Oklahoma State Regents for Higher Education (Fall 2003)

Human Development: Key Points

• Middle class is disappearing

• Many households lack adequate income

• Stress of inadequate income and related conditions is widespread

• Starting life in Wagoner County for many is risky business

Human Development: Key Points…continued

• Populations of aging and persons with disabilities are large and growing

• Health challenges are critical to individual and community well-being

• Poor human conditions impact crime and growing incarcerations

• Overall progress in human development is tied to educational success


At-Risk Population

Our Health at Risk>


...Our Health at Risk

Our Health at Risk…

Health rankings


Oklahoma's Rankings in Outcomes Associated with Poor Health, 1990 and 2005

According to United Health Foundation's State Health Rankings

Source: United Health Foundation.

#31

#41

#31

#24

#32

#27

#27

#44

#43

#50

#44

#47

#37

#43

Overall ranking

Limited activity days

Cardiovascular deaths

Cancer deaths

Total mortality

Infant mortality

Premature death

1990 2005

Ranking: 1=best, 50=worst


Report Card on HealthOklahoma and United States, 2002

Source: Oklahoma State Department of Health, Report Card on Health, 2004.

85.6%

58.7%

22.9%

30.5%

30.6%

16.9%

26.6%

77.4%

59.2%

22.2%

31.2%

24.4%

11%

23%

Eat <5 fruits/vegetables per day

Overweight

Obese

HS students inactive

Adults inactive

Youth smokers

Adult smokers

0%25%50%75%100% 0% 25% 50% 75% 100%

Oklahoma U.S.

F

C

C

F

F

F

B


Lack of Health Insurance


Health Insurance Status, by TypeOklahoma, 2003-2004

Source: Kaiser Family Foundation.

1,631,430 (47.9%)

129,260 (3.8%)391,140 (11.5%)

564,150 (16.5%)

693,050 (20.3%)

435,150 (47.8%)

29,920 (3.3%)

256,250 (28.1%)

23,250 (2.6%)

166,090 (18.2%)

1,193,460 (59.5%)

97,700 (4.9%)97,740 (4.9%)

91,990 (4.6%)

525,470 (26.2%)

2,810 (0.6%)1,640 (0.3%)37,150 (7.6%)

448,910 (91.2%)

1,490 (0.3%)

Employer Individual Medicaid Medicare/Other Public Uninsured

Total Population Under Age 19

Age 19-64 Age 65 & over


Persons with Disabilities


What is a Disability?

Source: ARC-USA, 2000; Americans with Disabilities Act of 1990 (ADA); Developmental Services Division (DDSD), Oklahoma Department of Human Services (DHS), 2000; National Organization on Disability (NOD), 2000; U.S. Bureau of the Census, 2001, Americans with Disabilities: 1997 .

A person is considered to have a disability if he or she has difficulty performing certain functions (e.g., seeing, hearing, talking, walking, climbing stairs, lifting and carrying, etc.), or has difficulty performing activities of daily living, or has difficulty with certain social roles (e.g., doing school work for children, working at a job and around the house for adults, etc.).

– A person who is unable to perform one or more activities, or who uses some type of assistive technology to improve daily participation in all aspects of work, school and community life, or who needs assistance from another person to perform basic activities is considered to have a severe disability.

–

1 in 5 Americans have some level of disability.1 in 8 Americans have a severe disability.1 in 9 children age 6 to 14 have a disability.

*


Disability Prevalence by Age and Level of DisabilityOklahoma, 1997

Source: U.S. Bureau of the Census, 2001, Americans with Disabilities: 1997 (Aug.-Nov. 1997 data from Survey of Income and Program Participation).

2%

3.4%

11.2%

10.7%

13.4%

22.6%

35.7%

49%

73.6%

4.8%

5.3%

8.1%

13.9%

24.2%

31.8%

57.6%

0 to 2

3 to 5

6 to 14

15-24

25-44

45-54

55-64

65-79

80+

Age Group

0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100%

Percent with Specified Level of Disability

Level of disabilityAny Severe


Persons with Disabilities by Age and TypeCivilian Noninstitutionalized Population, Wagoner County, 2000


16.1%

6.4%

62.4%

15.1%

1.0%2.7%

21.7%10.9%

27.3%

36.4%

9.3%

12.5%3.3%

0.2%3.0%

27.7%

44.0%

9.0%

24.9%4.2%0.4%

8.3%

53.3%

Sensory Physical Mental Self-care Go-outside-home Employment 2 or more disabilities

Age 5-15(N=689)

Age 16-20(N=626)

Age 21-64(N=7,046)

Age 65+(N=2,745)


Persons with Disabilities by Age and TypeCivilian Noninstitutionalized Population, Broken Arrow, 2000


9.2%

3.2%

65.8%

0.9%

20.8%

6.1%

2.1%

18.4%8.0%

29.6%

35.8%

9.8%

15.2%3.8%

0.1%2.9%

26.2%

42.0%

8.8%

27.0%2.0%

8.6%

53.6%

Sensory Physical Mental Self-care Go-outside-home Employment 2 or more disabilities

Age 5-15(N=865)

Age 16-20(N=625)

Age 21-64(N=5,925)

Age 65+(N=2,041)


Labor Force Participation of People with Work DisabilitiesOklahoma, 1999

Source: U.S. Census Bureau, March 1999 Current Population Survey.

9.7%90.3%

69.5%

2.9%

27.6%

An estimated 10% of Oklahoma's population age 16-64 have a work disability.

Of those with a work disability, 31% are in labor

force and 28% are employed.

work disability

30.5% in labor force

Note: A work disability is one which prevents a person from working or limits a person in terms of kind or amount of work he or she can do.

employed

not in labor force

no work disability

unemployed2.9%


Employment Rates by Disability TypeCivilian Noninstitutionalized Population Age 21 to 64, Wagoner County, 2000


58.1%

57%

34.2%

31.6%

16.5%

45.7%

62.4%

Any Disability

Sensory

Physical

Mental

Self-care

Go-outside-home

Employment

0% 20% 40% 60% 80%

Percent Employed


Employment Rates by Disability TypeCivilian Noninstitutionalized Population Age 21 to 64, Broken Arrow, 2000


67.8%

64.3%

54.5%

39.6%

31.8%

51.9%

69.5%

Any disability

Sensory

Physical

Mental

Self-care

Go-outside-home

Employment

0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80%

Percent Employed


Poverty Rates by Disability Status and AgeCivilian Noninstitutionalized Population, Wagoner County, 1999


18.6%

12.6% 12.8%11.1%10.4% 9.8%

6%7.5%

Age 5-15 Age 16-20 Age 21-64 Age 65+0%

5%

10%

15%

20%

25%Percent of population living below poverty

Persons with a disability Persons with no disability


Poverty Rates by Disability Status and AgeCivilian Noninstitutionalized Population, Broken Arrow, 1999


4.4%

14.9%

5.8%

9.1%

5.5% 5.5%

3.1%

5.5%

Age 5-15 Age 16-20 Age 21-64 Age 65+0%

5%

10%

15%

20%

25%Percent of population living below poverty

Persons with a disability Persons with no disability


Death Rates


Age-Adjusted Death Rates for the Leading Causes of DeathUnited States, 2003, Oklahoma and Tulsa County, 2004

Source: National Center for Health Statistics, National Vital Statistics Report, Vol. 51, No. 5, March 14, 2003; Oklahoma State Department of Health

Heart disease

Cancer

Stroke

Chronic lowerrespiratory diseases

Accidents

Diabetes mettitus

Influenza & pneumonia

0 50 100 150 200 250 300 350

Rate per 100,000 Persons

U.S.

Oklahoma

Tulsa County


Mortality Rates for the Three Leading Causes of DeathOklahoma, 1930 - 2000

Source: Oklahoma State Department of Health.

1930 1935 1940 1945 1950 1955 1960 1965 1970 1975 1980 1985 1990 1995 20000

50

100

150

200

250

300

350

400

Rate per 100,000 persons

Stroke

Cancer

Heart Disease

Death Rates for Comparable Areas, 2002

600 700 800 900 1,000 1,100

Birmingham, AL

Washington, DC

Oklahoma City, OK

Louisville, KY

Tulsa, OK

Bakersfield, CA

Toledo, OH

Knoxville, TN

Little Rock, AR

Wichita, KS

Denver, CO

Omaha, NE

Baltimore, MD

Buffalo, NY

US

Fresno, CA

Tucson, AZ

Syracuse, NY

Albuquerque, NM

Salt Lake City, UT

El Paso, TX

Honolulu, HI

County Rate

Good:

Tulsa Co death rates parallel those of OK

Tulsa rates below the OK rate for most years;

2002 Tulsa rate lower than some metro areas of similar size and scope, including Oklahoma City.

Bad: By 2002 Tulsa County rate was 14.5% higher than the nation.


Major Health Concern: Tulsa’s high age-adjusted death rate compared to other areasAge-Adjusted Deaths Rates for Tulsa and Comparable Areas, 2002


A Research Based Approach

Best Practices... Doing What Works


Best Practices...Doing What WorksStrategies

Outcome performance measuresCommunity coalitions

Collaborative, public-private partnershipsConsumer/client investments

Successful outreach and recruitmentCase management/Care coordinationStrong social marketingRisk reduction educationAccess to services and care

Child careTransportationTranslation

��

––

��

–––


Best Practices

Source: Institute of Medicine, Reducing Risk for Mental Disorders, 1994.

Institute of Medicine’s Intervention Spectrum


Best PracticesSAMHSA’s Strategic Prevention Framework

Source: Substance Abuse and Mental Health Services Administration (SAMHSA.).

Organize community to profile needs, including community readiness

Mobilize community and build capacity to address

needs

Develop the prevention plan (activities,

programs & strategies

Implement prevention plan

Evaluate for results and sustainability

1: Assessment

2: Capacity

3: Planning4: Implementation

5: Evaluation

Sustainability & cultural competence


Best Practices“Communities that Care” Model of Prevention

Risk and Protective Factor Framework

Source: Hawkins, Catalano, Miller, University of Washington Social Marketing Research Group, 1992, “Communities that Care” model of prevention.

Risk FactorsCharacteristics that

increase the likelihood of

negative outcomes

Protective FactorsCharacteristics that protect or provide a

buffer to moderate the influence of negative characteristics, and reduce potential of negative outcomes

Domains~Community

~Family~School

~Individual/Peer


...There is hope when United Way

invests in important long-term change and we all work together.


Quiz

1. Which area is growing the most rapidly (percent increase)? a. TAUW service area b. Wagoner Co. c. Broken Arrow

2. During the past 30 years, what has happened to the income gap between rich and poor?

a. increased b. decreased c. stable

3. What percentage of all poor families in Broken Arrow have an employed householder and/or spouse?

a. 20% b. 49% c. 75%

4. What percentage of Wagoner County residents age 25 & older have only a high school education or less?

a. 24% b. 40% c. 55%

5. How does Oklahoma compare to the nation in age-adjusted deaths rates?

a. better b. worse c. same


TAUW Community Investments Strategy Mission Statement

To take a leadership role in community building by investing TAUW's community resourcesin the most efficient and effective delivery systems for health and human services.


Community Profile 2006

...now available on the website ofThe Community Service Council of Greater Tulsa

www.csctulsa.org

demographic trends in wagoner county & broken arrow population growth in wagoner county...

Documents

early intervention

children of school age

highest income group

lower income groups

womenmedian family income

wagoner county exceeding

risk level

small portion of children