demographic survey of jumilla over the last century by 1st bachillerato students infanta elena...
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DEMOGRAPHIC SURVEY OF JUMILLA OVER THE LAST
CENTURY
By 1st Bachillerato students
Infanta Elena Secondary School
Jumilla
ANALYSIS OF THE PROBLEM
Jumilla has undergone 3 demographic stages during the 20th Century. First period 1900-1920 Moderate demographic increase Second period 1920-1995 Stagnation period Third period 1995- 2005 Demographic increase
ANALYSIS OF THE PROBLEM
Demographic changes in Jumilla (Source: Instituto Nacional de Estadisitca)
1900 1920 1940 1960 1980 2000 2011
16466 20303 21165 21590 20492 22250 25596
o Jumilla suffered no demographic increase over 80 years aproximately.
o Possible reasons for this stagnation:EpidemicWars and strugglesEconomic Crisis leading to migratory
movements.Birth and mortality problems.
OBJECTIVES Study of the changes in population over the 20th Century Hypothesis testing:
Demographic stagnation is mainly due to the high immigration of the population of Jumilla to industrialized areas compensated by a high birth increase.
Neighbouring towns with similar economy will have suffered the same emigration movements.
Neighbouring towns with industrial economy will show a growth.
Find out relations between migratory movements and historic and economic events.
Compare demographic changes in Jumilla to the rest of Spain.
THEORETICAL BASIS
BIRTH AND MORTALITY “The birth rate is typically the rate of births in a population
over time.” (Wikipedia 17th-4-2013) “ Mortality rate is a measure of the number of deaths (in
general, or due to a specific cause) in a population “ (Wikipedia 17th-4-2013)
THEORETICAL BASIS
MIGRATION “Human migration is the movement of people from one area
to another, sometimes over long distances or in large groups. Immigration is the movement of people into a country or
region, where they are not native, in order to settle. Emigration is the act of leaving one's country or region to
settle in a different one for long.” (Wikipedia 18th-4-2013)
THEORETICAL BASIS
THE GROWTH OF THE POPULATION WILL BE:
Populations
Births
Emigration
Deaths
Inmigratión
METHODOLOGY Data complilation such as birth and mortality figures getting
information from different sources: National Statistics Institute Census of Local Entity Murcia Region Data Centre.
Historic migratory movement analysis Historic event analysis susch as wars, epidemic, economic
crisis affecting demographic changes.
RESULTS
Demographic changes in Jumilla during the period 1900-2000
RESULTS
Demographic changes in Jumilla during the period 1996-2004
RESULTS
Year Birth Deaths Natural Increase
1975 350 168 182
1980 370 174 196
1985 311 186 125
1990 267 182 85
1995 223 163 60
2000 266 210 56
2005 315 245 70
RESULTS
Emigration from Murcia to other Spanish provinces
RESULTS Comparison of Jumilla to Northwest municipalities
1900
1910
1920
1930
1940
1950
1960
1970
1981
19910
5,000
10,000
15,000
20,000
25,000
30012 Bullas
30013 Calasparra
30015 Caravaca de la Cruz
30017 Cehegín
30022 Jumilla
30028 Moratalla
Municipalities with a similar development pattern to Jumilla. Rural economy.
RESULTS
1900
1910
1920
1930
1940
1950
1960
1970
1981
1991
0
5,000
10,000
15,000
20,000
25,000
30,000
35,000
40,000
30005 Alcantarilla
30022 Jumilla
30025 Lorquí
30027 Molina de Segura
30901 Santomera
30038 Torres de Cotillas (Las)
Comparison of Jumilla to the municipalities near Murcia
Municipalities with a different development pattern to Jumilla. Urban and inductrial economy..
RESULTS Comparison of Jumilla to the neighbouring municipalities.
1900
1910
1920
1930
1940
1950
1960
1970
1981
1991
0
5,000
10,000
15,000
20,000
25,000
30,000
35,000
30001 Abanilla
30002 Abarán
30019 Cieza
30020 Fortuna
30022 Jumilla
30043 Yecla
Municipalities with a similar development pattern to Jumilla. Rural economy and small industry.
RESULTS
0
5,000
10,000
15,000
20,000
25,000
30,000
35,000
30022 Jumilla
30026 Mazarrón
30033 Puerto Lum-breras
30035 San Javier
30036 San Pedro del Pinatar
30041 Unión (La)
AÑOS
PO
BLA
CIÓ
N Comparison of Jumilla to the mining municipalities in the
coast of Cartagena.
Municipalities with a different development pattern to Jumilla. Mining economy suffering from crisis since 1950.
ANALYSIS OF RESULTS Jumilla shows a demographic balance from 1920 to 1990 Growth is positive. Migration is negative. Demographic balance is the result of:
Migration (<0) + natural increase (>0) = 0
Comparison of areas: Northwest: Demographic evolution similar to Jumilla , even in many
decreasing municipalities. Area round Murcia. Demgraphic increase since the policy of economic
development (1960) Mining areas. Demographic decrease since the stop of mining. Area round Jumilla. Different demographic growth following the
municipality development pattern.
ANALYSIS OF RESULTS
Emigration movements: At first, People moved mainly to Barcelona, and later they moved to
Vinalopó Valley and Valencia, From 1910 to 1920 ( Jumilla, from 17.513 to 20.340 inhabitants). It is
a period of economic wealth, as the continuation of the period started during the previous century due to wine expansion; this causes a immigration movement.
Civil War consequences were not important for these municipalities being far from the struggles.
Since 2000, demographic growth is recovered due to immigration. The growth is caused by a new expanding economic period.
CONCLUSIONS
1.Jumilla maintains its population figures during the 20th Century
due to a high emigration rate combined with natural growth.
2.The development pattern is the cause of this stagnation.
3 Similar municipalities following the same pattern have the same
demographic figures.
4.Immigration is the main cause of growth over the last years.
BIBLIOGRAPHY Webs and sources:
www. ine.es (Instituto nacional de Estadística) Atlas regional de la Región de Murcia www.Wikipedia.es Jumilla en cifras 2008 ( Consejería de Economía y Hacienda de la
Región de Murcia) www.Jumilla.org