delivering on strategic commitments in a … cost reduced due to network optimisation phase 1 •...
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DELIVERING ON STRATEGIC COMMITMENTS IN A CHALLENGING ENVIRONMENT UNAUDITED RESULTS FOR THE HALF YEAR ENDED 30 SEPTEMBER 2019
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CONTENTS
Introduction(CEO: Roland van Wijnen)
Group results (CFO: Ronel van Dijk)
Summary(CEO: Roland van Wijnen)
01
02
03
04
05
Southern Africa operational review (MD SA – Njombo Lekula)
International operational review (MD International – Mokate Ramafoko)
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1.1 COMPANIES THAT TRULY FOCUS ON SUSTAINABILITY WILL THRIVE
STRATEGY
ENVIRONMENTAL SOCIAL
FINANCIAL
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1.2 PPC HAS THE FOUNDATION FOR A SOLID INVESTMENT CASE
4
Portfolio effectInternationaldelivering good results
Market leader Leadership position in 80% of markets we operate in
SSA FootprintWell developed portfolioin growing markets
Asset baseWorld class asset base, c.70% new capacity
Our peopleExperiencedteam
Financial durability Resilient through economic cycles
06
05
01
02
03
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• Purpose led
• Common values
• Leadership competencies designed
PEOPLE
5
1.3 OVER THE LAST 24 MONTHS PROGRESS ON STRATEGIC VALUE DRIVERS HAS BEEN MADE
• Recognised for our premium products
• Delivering on our brand promise –“Strength Beyond”
• Value added technical support
• Improved route to market strategies in all markets
CUSTOMERS
• Increased average selling prices in SA by 8 – 10%
• Realised R65/tonne profit improvement in SA Cement
• Improved EBITDA from Rwanda and DRC
• Positive free cash flow
FINANCIAL
• RSA and Zimbabwe fixed cost reduced due to network optimisation phase 1
• Rwanda and DRC output increased to serve the market
• New technology in transport management to reduce variable cost
• Restructured head office to reduce overhead costs
OPERATIONAL
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1.4 MEASURABLE INITIATIVES TO ENHANCE AND CREATE VALUE ARE BEING DEVELOPED
6
Outcomes
Guiding principles
02Measurable objectives to:Improve economic value creation, social transformation and environmental performance
Strategy Design
01Purpose led and performance driven
02Simplify, Standardize, Automate
03Cash & value generation
04Premium products at the lowest possible cost
01 Clear strategic positioning
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2. GROUP FINANCIAL RESULTS
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1. Gross debt stable at R5.1bn(R5bn: March 2019)
2. South African gross debt constant at R1.7bn
3. International gross debt of R3.4bn (R3.3bn: March 2019)
Financial Position
8
2.1 KEY METRICS | PROFIBILITY ADVERSELY IMPACTED BY PPC ZIMBABWE
1. Group revenue R4.9bn (Sept 2018: R5.6bn)
2. Group EBITDA R868m (Sept 2018: R1.0bn)
3. Hyper inflation accounting and currency devaluation impacted PPC Zimbabwe results
4. Group revenue (-1%) excluding PPC Zimbabwe
5. Group EBITDA (-3%) excluding PPC Zimbabwe
6. EPS -0.4 cents and HEPS 6 cents
Profitability
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2. FAIR VALUE AND FOREIGN EXCHANGE LOSS
Fair value and foreign exchange loss include:• Expected credit losses of R307 million relating to Zimbabwe financial assets
• R76 million raised against the Zimbabwe financial asset arising as a result of the Zimbabwe debt being settled by the Reserve Bank of Zimbabwe on a 1:1 basis as legacy debt
• R231 million raised against the PPC Limited Zimbabwe blocked funds and Stanbic cash
• A gain of R43 million relates to the translation into Rands of foreign currency denominated monetary items
3. NET MONETARY GAIN
The application of hyperinflationary accounting resulted in a net monetary gain amounting to R543 million before tax (R445 million after tax)
2.2 INCOME STATEMENT | SIGNIFICANTLY IMPACTED BY NON-CASH ITEMS AND RSA TRADING ENVIRONMENT
9
4. EQUITY-ACCOUNTED INVESTMENTS
The equity investment in the integrated cement plant in Ethiopia was fully impaired, resulting in an impairment loss of R93 million
1. ADMIN AND OTHER OPERATING EXPENSES
Admin and other operating expenses include once-off head office restructuring costs of R83 million
* Reported EPS reflects the impact of hyperinflation in PPC Zimbabwe
UNAUDITED CONDENSED CONSOLIDATED STATEMENT OF COMPREHENSIVE INCOME
for the six months ended 30 September 2019
Six months Six months Twelve months
ended ended ended
30 September
30
September 31 March
2019 2018 % Change 2019
Revenue 4 948 5 597 (12) 10 409
Cost of sales (4 023) (4 494) (10) (8 399)
Gross profit 925 1 103 (16) 2 010
Administrative and other operating expenditure (555) (580) (4) (1 083)
Operating profit before item listed below 370 523 (29) 927
Empowerment transactions IFRS 2 charges (16) (16) - (33)
Operating profit 354 507 (30) 894
Fair value and foreign exchange (loss)/gain (270) 38 (811) (9)
Finance costs (327) (336) (3) (681)
Net monetary gain 543 - - -
Investment income 10 62 (84) 95
Profit before equity-accounted earnings 310 271 14 299
Loss from equity accounted investments (54) (19) 184 (67)
Impairments (93) (1) 9 200 (82)
Profit before taxation 163 251 (35.08) 150
Taxation (186) 9 (2 167) (6)
(Loss)/Profit for the period (23) 260 (109) 144
Attributable to:
Shareholders of PPC Ltd (6) 312 (102) 235
Non-controlling interests (17) (52) (67) (91)
(LOSS)/EARNINGS PER SHARE (CENTS)
Basic (0.4) 21 (102) 16
Headline 6 21 (73) 20
Rm
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Revenue Rm Reported PPC Zimbabwe Ex- PPC Zimbabwe
Six months ended September 2019 4 948 501 4 447
Six months ended September 2018 5 597 1 086 4 511
Change (649) (585) (64)
% change (12%) (54%) (1%)
EBITDA Rm Reported PPC Zimbabwe Ex- PPC Zimbabwe
Six months ended September 2019 868 201 667
Six months ended September 2018 1 039 352 687
Change (171) (151) (20)
% change (17%) (43%) (3%)
2.3 PPC ZIMBABWE ADVERSELY IMPACTED BY INFLATION ACCOUNTING AND CURRENCY DEVALUATION
10
Note: The above figures exclude the elimination of inter-company transactions in PPC Ltd
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1,039
-114 -15
-151
64 21
24 868
83 951
600
650
700
750
800
850
900
950
1 000
1 050
1 100
Sept 2018reportedEBITDA
SA cement SA Materials Zimbabwe Rwanda DRC Group services Sept 2019reportedEBITDA
Once-offrestructuring
costs
Sept 2019EBITDA (ex
once-off costs)
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2.4 GROUP EBITDA IMPACTED BY SOUTHERN AFRICA AND ZIMBABWE
Group EBITDA Bridge (Rm)
* Group services includes Mozambique EBITDA loss of R1m (1H19: loss of R5m)
EBITDA margin 17.5%
EBITDA margin 18.6%
EBITDA margin 19.2%
+10%
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Six Six
months ended months ended
September September %
Revenue (Rm) 2019 2018 change
Southern Africa cement 2 555 2 772 (8%)
SA Materials 1 079 1 107 (3%)
Zimbabwe 497 1 077 (54%)
Rwanda 514 402 28%
DRC 303 240 26%
Group 4 948 5 597 (12%)
52%
22%
10%
10%
6% Southern Africa cement
SA Materials
Zimbabwe
Rwanda
DRC
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2.5 REVENUE | RWANDA, DRC COMPENSATED FOR RSA AND ZIMBABWE
Six months ended September 2019
50%
20%
19%
7%4% Southern Africa cement
SA Materials
Zimbabwe
Rwanda
DRC
Six months ended September 2018
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17.4%
9.0%
29.0%
18.6%14.4%
7.9%
33.3%
17.5%
0.0%
10.0%
20.0%
30.0%
40.0%
Southern Africacement
SA Materials International Group
Six months ended September 2018 Six months ended September 2019
Six Sixmonths ended months ended
September September %
EBITDA (Rm) 2019 2018 change
Southern Africa cement 367 481 (24%)
SA materials 85 100 (15%)
Zimbabwe 201 352 (43%)
Rwanda 156 92 70%
DRC 81 60 35%
Group Services (22) (46) 52%
Group 868 1 039 (17%)
42%
10%
23%
18%
9%-3% Southern Africa cement
SA materials
Zimbabwe
Rwanda
DRC
Group Services
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2.6 EBITDA l RWANDA, DRC PARTIALLY COMPENSATED FOR RSA AND ZIMBABWE
Six months ended September 2019
46%
10%
34%
9%
6%-4% Southern Africa cement
SA materials
Zimbabwe
Rwanda
DRC
Group Services
Six months ended September 2018
EBITDA MARGINS
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Rm %
Profit before tax 163
Tax at S.A. standard rate 46 28
Adjusted for:
Non-taxable net monetary gain as a result of hyperinflation (152) (93)
Deferred tax impact of hyperinflation 115 71
Expected Credit Loss provisions impact 77 47
Impairment of equity accounted investment 26 16
TDB loan at 1:1 financial asset 19 11
Prior year tax (over)/under provision 16 10
Share of loss on equity accounted investment 15 9
Non-deductible expenses and other items 24 15
Total Tax Expense 186 114
2.7 TAX RATE RECONCILIATION
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2.8 FINANCIAL POSITION | STABLE DEBT POSITION
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UNAUDITED CONDENSED CONSOLIDATED STATEMENT OF FINANCIAL POSITIONat 30 SEPTEMBER 2019
30 September 30 September 31 March
2019 2018 2019
ASSETS
Non-current assets 12,664 14,000 14,665
Property, plant and equipment 10,910 12,403 12,587
Right of use assets 117 - -
Goodwill 237 236 236
Other intangible assets 550 566 558
Equity-accounted investments 4 196 149
Other non-current assets 333 321 333
Financial assets 417 2 582
Deferred taxation assets 96 276 220
Non-current assets held for sale 71 41 92
Current assets 3,300 3,917 3,071
Inventories 1,552 1,255 1,276
Trade and other receivables 1,229 1,175 1,166
Taxation receivable 120 230 177
Cash and cash equivalents 399 1,257 452
Total assets 16,035 17,958 17,828
Equity attributable to shareholders of PPC Ltd 7,309 8,782 9,225
Non-controlling interests 110 162 115
Total equity 7,419 8,944 9,340
Non-current liabilities 5,429 6,552 5,628
Provisions 395 533 427
Deferred taxation liabilities 708 1,149 844
Long-term borrowings 3,930 4,595 4,064
Other non-current liabilities 311 275 293
Lease Liabilities 85 - -
Current liabilities 3,187 2,462 2,860
Short-term borrowings 1,201 641 938
Lease Liabilities 35 - -
Trade and other payables 1,907 1,803 1,919
Taxation Payable 44 18 3
Total equity and liabilities 16,035 17,958 17,828
Rm
1. IFRS 16 – Leases
• Right of use assets• Lease liabilities
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5 002 -64 193 5 131
3 000
3 500
4 000
4 500
5 000
5 500
March 19 Net repayments Currency impact September 19
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2.9 STABLE DEBT POSITION
CHANGES IN GROSS DEBT (Rm)
SA gross debt R1 700 million
Recourse gross debt R2 274 million
Non-recourse gross debt R1 157 million
SA gross debt R1 700 million
Recourse gross debt R2 150 million
Non-recourse gross debt R1 152 million
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Refinancing group debt to lengthen maturity profile
Replace project finance debt with long term debt
Gross debt to EBITDA 2.9x (March 2019 : 2.6x)
2.10 WORKING TO IMPROVE MATURITY PROFILE
Current debt maturity profile (Rm)
-
500
1 000
1 500
2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027
Financial Years
International
RSA
Note: Includes DRC capital repayment moratorium
17
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2 8923 038
2 058
921773
225
600800
0
500
1 000
1 500
2 000
2 500
3 000
3 500
FY15 FY16 FY17 FY18 FY19 1H20 FY20
Guidance
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2.11 NORMALISED CAPEX CYCLE
GROUP CAPEX PROFILE (Rm)
MinMax
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2.12 STRONG OPERATING CASH FLOW OFFSET BY WORKING CAPITAL INVESTMENT IN THE PERIOD
Group free cash flow bridge (Rm)
868
-44
824
-342
-282
23 -219
40
100
200
300
400
500
600
700
800
900
1 000
Sept 2019 reportedEBITDA
Other Operating cashflow
Working capital Net finance costs Taxation Net capex Free cash flow
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Results impacted by Zimbabwe hyperinflation and devaluation of the currency :
Complicates comparability
Expected credit losses
Year-end results likely to be impacted similarly
Overall improved EBITDA margin excluding once-off restructuring costs
Strong operating cash flow
Stable debt position – lengthen maturity profile
2.13 SUMMARY
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3. SOUTHERN AFRICA OPERATIONAL REVIEW
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3.1 SA CEMENT OVERVIEW
Industry
1. Industry volumes are down 10 - 15% nationally
2. Muted consumer and industrial demand
3. Imports up 5% > 800kt calendar YTD August
4. Blender activity detracting from pricing and quality
Our focus areas
1. Improve financial returns by focusing on higher margin volumes, achieve real price increases, and cost reduction
2. Volumes - Entrench route to market strategies
3. Price leadership – Achieve effective average selling price above inflation
4. Achieve cost savings of R70/tonne
Actions taken
1. Achieved average selling price increases of 8 - 10%
2. Improved quality of customer base
3. Overheads down 23% excluding once-off restructuring costs
Financial impact
1. Market weakness was more severe than anticipated
2. Revenue down 8%
3. EBITDA R367 million (Sept 2018: 481 million)
4. EBITDA margins from 17.4% to 14.4%
5. EBITDA margin(ex once-off costs restructuring costs) 17.6%
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• Demand in South Africa is likely to remain subdued
• The market remains competitive in the inland region, substandard quality
• Plans in place to be competitive against imports in the coastal region
• Engagement with the Government on imports through ITAC
• Integration with the materials business is expected to yield positive results
• The Botswana market is expected to benefit from infrastructural development due to growing mining sector
• Embed footprint optimisation
• Re-organisation of production and sales facilities
• Integration of blending facilities
• Enhancing efficiencies of operating plants
• Conversion of Port Elizabeth Factory to milling operation in accordance with environmental standards
• Improve plant reliability and output -enhance efficiencies
• Integration with ready-mix
• Optimisation of logistics
• Continue to maintain pricing momentum
• A focused route to market strategy
• Implementation of value added partnerships
• Focus on the Sure Range of products and introduce new products
• Innovative strategies to embed the local economic development (LED) strategy aimed at ease of doing business and delivery
PRICE COSTVOLUME
3.2 SA CEMENT | KEY STRATEGIC INITIATIVES
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3.3 SA MATERIALS | IMPORTANT FOR CHANNEL MANAGEMENT
1. Revenue growth of 6% with higher prices in certain products compensating for volume declines of 5%
2. Steel and allied sectors volumes remain constrained
3. Lower volumes and refractory and maintenance costs resulted in a 17% contraction in EBITDA
Lime
1. Revenue decline of 11% due to decreased volumes
2. Contraction in EBITDA due to higher fuel and maintenance costs
Aggregates
1. Readymix market remained competitive, pricing and volumes remained under pressure
2. Revenue declined by 6%, as volumes were under pressure due to weak demand
3. EBITDA recovery off a low base, due to improved cost control
Readymix and Ash
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4. INTERNATIONAL OPERATIONAL REVIEW
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1. Cost optimisation
2. Maintain market share
3. Maintain EBITDA margins
4. Ensure that the business remains self sustaining
5. Deleverage the business
1. Aligned cost base with activity levels
2. Secured volumes in construction
3. Prioritized domestic sourcing of inputs to reduce forex requirement
4. Secured input materials
5. Debt being repaid on a 1:1 to the US$
1. Volumes declined by 30 - 35%
2. Pricing has been aligned with local inflationary increases
3. Total cost of production down 24% in US$
4. Revenue and EBITDA in rands impacted by change in functional currency
1. Consumer price inflation and liquidity shortages impacting overall demand in the economy
2. Industry cement volumes down 15 – 20%
3. Imports increased to 8 -12% of the domestic market
4. Power supply instability
1. Maximise forex cash generation
2. Maintain EBITDA margins
3. Positioning for growth
4. Product optimisation and innovation
5. Leadership development and coaching
6. Secure strategic input materials
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4.1 ZIMBABWE
Our focus areas
Actions taken
Financial impactIndustry
Strategic initiatives
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4.2 RWANDA
Strategic initiatives
1. Optimise plant efficiencies to operate at higher capacity utilisation
2. Enhance route to market
3. Stakeholder management
4. Increase in-country sourcing of raw materials
1. Ramped-up volumes post plant debottlenecking
2. Secured strategic input materials (e.g. limestone, extender, gypsum, etc.)
3. Continuous engagement with key stakeholders
1. Volumes increased by 20%
2. Pricing maintainedin US$
3. Total cost of production down by 11% in US$
4. Revenue + 28%
5. EBITDA + 70%
1. Infrastructure projects driving demand
2. Demand growing inline with GDP 7 – 8%
3. Under supplied market
1. Achieve design capacity
2. Secure strategic input materials (e.g. limestone, extender, gypsum, etc.)
3. Drive transfer of critical skills to locals
4. Capacity building at Supervisory level
Our focus areas
Actions taken
Financial impactIndustry
Strategic initiatives
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1. Entrench route to market strategy
2. Achieve market share in line with capacity share
3. Optimise production costs
4. Lobby for an effective ban of imports
5. Restructure debt
1. Focused on profitable markets
2. Introduced premix products
3. Preserve price stability in the market
4. Continuous engagement regarding debt restructuring
5. Import ban extended
1. Volumes growth maintained
2. Market prices stabilised
3. Total cost of production down 9% in US$
4. Revenue +26%
5. EBITDA +35%
1. Overcapacity
2. Pricing constrained
3. Domestic market grew by 7-10%
4. Imports absorbed growth in domestic market
1. Increase market penetration
2. Ongoing negotiations to restructure long term debt
3. Deliver innovative products and solutions
4. Optimisation of costs
Our focus areas
Actions taken
Financial impactIndustry
Strategic initiatives
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4.3 DRC
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5. SUMMARY
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PPC is well positioned with a good assets base across multiple countries
Market challenges in South Africa call for further reduction of costs through network optimization and fixed cost reduction
Zimbabwe will continue to focus on market share, maintain EBITDA margin well above 30% and be financially self-sufficient
DRC and Rwanda focus on increasing EBITDA through volume growth and cost reduction
PPC is ready to support a turnaround in Ethiopia with the HabeshaBoard and its lenders
Group treasury initiated the process to improve the debt profile across the portfolio
Our strategic review shall provide a set of measurable initiatives to create economic value, drive social transformation and improve environment performance
5.1 SUMMARY AND OUTLOOK
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6. APPENDIX
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CASH BY COUNTRY SEPTEMBER 2018 CASH BY COUNTRY SEPTEMBER 2019
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CONTRIBUTION TO CASH BALANCE BY CURRENCY
15%
0%
27%
9%14%
35%
Botswana pula
Mozambican metical
ZWL (Zimbabwe)
Rwandan franc
South African rand
United States dollar
21%
0%
21%
12%
9%
37%
Botswana pula
Mozambican metical
ZWL (Zimbabwe)
Rwandan franc
South African rand
United States dollar
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69%
31% International
South Africa
GROSS DEBT PER REGION AND CURRENCY
GROSS DEBT SEPTEMBER 19 GROSS DEBT SEPTEMBER 19
GROSS DEBT MARCH 19 GROSS DEBT MARCH 19
69%
31% International
South Africa
61%
8%
31%USD
RWF
ZAR
60%
31%
9%USD
RWF
ZAR
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CEMENT SA PRODUCTION COST DRIVERS SEPTEMBER 2018
CEMENT SA PRODUCTION COST DRIVERS SEPTEMBER 2019
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KEY COST DRIVERS l DISTRIBUTION IS THE LARGEST COST DRIVER
25%
19%
10%
11%
8%
9%
6%
8%
4% Distribution
Other
Salaries
Electricity
Depreciation
Material consumables
Maintenance
Coal
Packaging
23%
16%
13%
12%
8%
10%
7%
7%4% Distribution
Other
Salaries
Electricity
Depreciation
Material consumables
Maintenance
Coal
Packaging
D i s t r i b u t i o n c o s t s a c c o u n t e d f o r 2 3 % o f t o t a l p r o d u c t i o n c o s t s f o r 1 2 m o n t h s e n d e d S e p t e m b e r 2 0 1 9
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Rwanda
Zimbabwe
DRC
Ethiopia
Political stability post elections in the DRC in December 2018
GDP growth is forecast to grow by a 4 year average of 4.8% supported by mining demand
Focus on growing demand and capacity utilisation
In Ethiopia, the political landscape is expected to improve, with strong projected growth in GDP of 7 - 8%
Construction and retail & wholesale trade are growing at >10%
Focus on market stabilisation
GDP growth forecast to improve average 2.5% over 4 years
PPC Zimbabwe is well positioned to benefit from improved growth prospects
Focus on optimising US$ EBITDA and preserving cash
Rwandan GDP revised upward, average 7.4% over the next 4 years, supported by the agriculture sector
Focus on increasing demand and plant optimisation
Debottleneck of plant
INTERNATIONAL CEMENT LONGER TERM OUTLOOK
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INVESTOR CONTACTS
Anashrin PillayInvestor Relations
+27 11 386 9000
www.ppc.co.za
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This document including, without limitation, those statements concerning the demand outlook, PPC’s expansion projects and its capital resources and expenditure, contains certain forward-looking statements and views. By their nature, forward-looking statements involve risk and uncertainty and although PPC believes that the expectations reflected in such forward-looking statements are reasonable, no assurance can be given that such expectations will prove to be correct. Accordingly, results could differ materially from those set out in the forward-looking statements as a result of, among other factors, changes in economic and market conditions, success of business and operating initiatives, changes in the regulatory environment, other government action and business and operational risk management.
Whilst PPC takes reasonable care to ensure the accuracy of the information presented, PPC accepts no responsibility for any damages, be they consequential, indirect, special or incidental, whether foreseeable or unforeseeable, based on claims arising out of misrepresentation or negligence arising in connection with a forward-looking statement. This document is not intended to contain any profit forecasts or profit estimates, and the information published in this document is unaudited.
DISCLAIMER
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