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Defense-Related Spending in China:
A Preliminary Analysis and Comparison with
American Equivalents
by Dennis J. Blasko, Chas W. Freeman, Jr., Stanley A. Horowitz
Evan S. Medeiros, and James C. Mulvenon
The United States - China Policy Foundation
Contents
Preface ……………………………………………………………………………iii
Executive Summary ………………………………………………………………1
Introduction ………………………………………………………………………3
Section 1. Using a Common Baseline: Developing a Structure to Compare
U.S. and Chinese Total Defense-Related Spending………………………………5
Table 1. FY 2006 DOD Budget by Service and Appropriation…………………12
Table 2. FY 2006 Defense-Related Spending from Non-DOD Sources ………13
Table 3. Detailed Breakdown of the FY 2006 Military Personnel Budget ……14
Section 2. Insights into Chinese Defense Budget Structure……………………15
Figure 1. Growth of Announced Defense Expenditures ………………………17
Table 4. China’s Officially Announced Defense Expenditures …………………19
Table 5. Summary of Extrabudgetary Sources of Defense-Related Spending …30
Section 3. Insights into Chinese Defense Budget Organization and Process …31
Figure 2. The Chinese Defense Budgeting Organizational System ……………32
Figure 3. The PLA Budget Process ……………………………………………38
Figure 4. The Structure of Chinese Military Finance …………………………39
Table 6. Notional Mapping of Functional Budget Components Onto White
Paper Categories…………………………………………………………………41
Section 4. Conclusions ……………………………………………………………45
Appendices ………………………………………………………………………49
Delegation Members ……………………………………………………………51
ii
PREFACE
The mission of the United States – China Policy Foundation is to improve mutual
understanding and communication between Americans and Chinese. There are few
aspects of China that have been subject to greater misunderstanding, not to say wilder
conjecture and distortion, than the country’s defense budget and military spending. The
issues involved are too important to be left to speculation. That is why the Foundation
was especially pleased to work with the General Staff Department of the People’s
Liberation Army to facilitate a delegation of distinguished American experts to engage in
an intensive exchange of information on this subject with active and retired PLA officers
in November 2006.
The result of those exchanges is this report. We at the Foundation believe it offers a
significant contribution to the factual basis for public understanding of the defense and
related budgets in China and the United States, even as it establishes a benchmark for
future exchanges and further advances in mutual understanding and pioneers a
methodology for international defense-spending comparisons with implications far
beyond those for Sino-American relations. We are pleased to note that our Chinese
counterparts have informally indicated a desire for the process of mutual discovery begun
in 2006 to continue. We are gratified and honored by the prospect that the Foundation
can help to advance this process in the years to come.
Chas W. Freeman, Jr.
Co-Chair, United States - China Policy Foundation
iii
EXECUTIVE SUMMARY
In November 2006, Ambassador Charles Freeman, Jr., co-chair of the United States –
China Policy Foundation (USCPF), led a U.S. delegation of four experts to Beijing to
participate in a Track II exchange (i.e., non-governmental) on the subject of Chinese and
U.S. defense budgets.
Prior to our trip, the Chinese government had released a series of White Papers, each of
which discussed the basic composition of the defense budget. Likewise, each March,
around the time of the National People’s Congress, the size of the official defense budget
is announced, sometimes with corrections to update numbers from previous years. Since
the first White Paper on arms control in 1995, the announced defense budget has grown
by over a factor of six, from approximately RMB 55 billion in 1994 to about RMB 350
billion in 2007.1 Each White Paper also outlines general reasons for the increase in
funding – improving the pay and standard of living for personnel is traditionally foremost
in order to keep up with growth in the civilian economy. Defense spending is broken
down into three main categories of personnel, operations and maintenance, and
equipment, each of which receives about one third of the total announced budget. This
one-third distribution was skewed slightly because of the large pay raise of 2006.
Moreover, the personnel account now has seen the largest rate of increase over the 14
years for which data are available. It is generally recognized, however, that the official
announced defense budget does not include all sources of extrabugetary funds available
to the Chinese armed forces.
Evidence exists indicating that China’s “total defense-related spending” also includes
funding from three major sources: 1) other central government ministries and
organizations, 2) local governments, and 3) from within the PLA itself. Many questions
remain about the amount and source of funding for foreign equipment purchases;
spending on military research and development; military-related infrastructure
construction; local government support for retired and demobilized personnel, operations
of the reserves and militia, and pay for local cadre who support the military; as well as
the value of PLA sideline production of food and its sales of any excess property and
equipment. The amounts of these extrabudgetary sources likely vary from year to year
and some funding that previously was “off-the-books” may now be included in the
official defense budget. The exchange rate value of the Chinese currency also has an
important impact on China’s defense budget which needs to be taken into account in
estimates of “total defense-related spending.” As a result of these factors, foreign
estimates of the size of China’s “actual defense budget” or “total defense-related
spending” vary greatly. This paper does not attempt to judge which of the numerous
foreign estimates of Chinese defense spending is most accurate.
The Chinese presentations in to the USCPF delegation provided valuable data about the
structure and process of Chinese defense budgeting, including highly detailed discussions
of changes in personnel expenditures as well as the relevant budget organizations and the
planning calendar. Over the course of the meetings, the Chinese side explained three key
1 The Chinese currency is known as the renminbi (RMB). It is also referred to as yuan.
Executive Summary
1
pieces of defense budget information not previously known to the experts on the U.S.
delegation. First, the Chinese side provided a tripartite breakdown of the personnel (RMB
83.159 billion), operations and maintenance (RMB 80.683 billion), and equipment (RMB
83.656 billion) costs in the published 2005 defense budget of RMB 247 billion. Second,
the PLA participants offered deep insights into the RMB 13.5 billion salary adjustment
July 2006, and provided detailed data about the dramatic increases in their own personal
salaries and retirement benefits. Third, the Chinese delegation disclosed that higher
global oil prices have resulted in fuel budget overruns of more than RMB 10 billion in
2006. Each of these facts was corroborated after the trip through interviews and primary
sources, and much of the information later appeared in China’s newest Defense White
Paper, published in December 2006.
While these meetings were a good start and the progress to date has been promising, there
is still a long way to go. Through this effort we have acquired a better understanding of
the composition of the officially announced Chinese defense budget, a more detailed
listing of the types of extrabudgetary inputs, and a general knowledge of the process by
which the military budget is formulated and executed. But we do not yet have enough
information to make a reasonable estimate of the total amount of Chinese “defense-
related spending.”
The information and insights gleaned from the USCPF delegation’s dialogue in China
raise the immediate and appropriate question: where do we go from here? We assess that
there is an opportunity both to expand existing Track II exchanges and also to create a
distinct defense budget working group under the framework of the existing U.S.-China
Defense Consultative Talks (DCT). The goals of such a working group would be two-
fold: to develop a common baseline for analysis and comparison, and to narrow
misunderstandings about each other’s national defense intentions, priorities and plans.
The working group could begin by focusing on questions related to strategy and policy,
including secrecy versus openness and national budget priorities. A second major activity
could be negotiating a common definition of defense spending. This report’s definition of
“total defense related spending” would be one place to begin, as it incorporates elements
of other major international standards. A third part of such a dialogue could be even more
specific and focused on the content of American and Chinese defense budgets. A final
part of this dialogue should focus on the defense budget formation process and related
reforms.
We hope that this report will prove useful to those outside China who feel a need for a
more accurate understanding of Chinese defense spending and the budgetary processes
that support it. We also hope that it will stimulate our military dialogue partners in China
to educate us further. We need their assistance to correct misunderstandings and to
improve our still very imperfect understanding of China’s total defense-related spending
and its implications. Without their help, no one abroad can hope to assess China’s
military modernization accurately or objectively and foreign apprehensions will grow
apace with China’s burgeoning defense budget.
Defense-Related Spending in China
2
INTRODUCTION
The accurate appraisal by U.S. defense planners of the level of resources assigned by
foreign states to national defense is essential to America’s ability to assess these states’
current and future military capabilities. Such estimates inform threat estimates and are the
basis for the planning and funding of U.S. defense forces against foreseeable challenges.
The quality of U.S. decisions about our national security as well as tens of billions of
dollars of defense spending rests on the accuracy of these estimates.
There is near universal agreement that China’s drive for wealth and power is among the
most formidable potential challenges to U.S. national security in the 21st century. In the
face of uncertainties over the implications of these trends for global and regional security,
the improving capabilities of the People’s Liberation Army (PLA) have become a
significant factor in U.S. force planning for the Asia-Pacific. Rapid growth in the
officially announced Chinese defense budget is the most obvious aspect of PLA
modernization and is the source of growing concerns to U.S. policymakers and
strategists.
Defense budgets are a visible manifestation of national strategic intentions, priorities, and
policies, but seldom, if ever, include all military and military-related spending. Major
categories of such spending are often contained in other budgets or handled on an ad hoc
basis. This is the case, for example, in the United States, where the defense budget
excludes huge amounts of such spending, such as combat operations in Afghanistan and
Iraq (funded through supplemental appropriations), nuclear weapons (in the Department
of Energy budget), benefits for wounded and disabled soldiers (Department of Veterans
Affairs), homeland security functions (Department of Homeland Security, Justice
Department), and so forth.
There is no agreed international standard for the construction of defense budgets. Each
country includes or excludes categories of spending in such budgets in accordance with
its unique military history, roles and missions, force structure, acquisition procedures,
accounting practices, and national security traditions. Superficially identical budget
categories may embrace vastly different activities, making unadjusted comparisons of
defense budgets highly misleading as measures of military and military-related spending.
Budget reforms can make them even less indicative of trends in such spending.
For decades, the PLA viewed secrecy and opacity about its capabilities and operations as
an essential component of its strength, causing foreign adversaries to underestimate
Chinese military weakness and to overestimate PLA capabilities. China has become more
open in recent years but we still lack more than rudimentary understanding of what
military and military-related spending is and is not in the PLA budget. Chinese budgeting
processes, accounting methods, and acquisition policies are, like the Chinese economy, in
a state of rapid evolution. We lack insight into these changes and their implications.
Chinese published budget data aggregates spending in ways we do not understand. The
result of all these gaps in our knowledge is analysis from incomplete, flawed data, based
on crude speculation and empirically unsubstantiated methodologies. No one, not even
those in the intelligence and academic communities who labor to produce the widely
Introduction
3
varying estimates of Chinese military spending that circulate in the United States, has any
confidence in the numbers or any certainty about their significance.
Though the PLA has briefed visiting officials from the Office of the Secretary of Defense
on the process by which it constructs its budget, it has traditionally viewed pressure for
greater transparency as a hostile effort at intelligence collection intended to gain military
advantage. This tendency has been reinforced by press reporting and commentary
implying that the funding of military spending from outside the defense budget or
through special budget allocations (as in the case of purchases of foreign weaponry)
constitutes an effort at deception or concealment rather than a budgetary practice similar
to that of the United States and other countries. Still, as China grows in military power,
some in China are beginning to argue that excessive secrecy may be counterproductive,
causing the United States and other countries to overestimate PLA capabilities and to
react in response to an exaggerated threat perception of China. Among other undesirable
consequences, they see this as risking the entanglement of China in economically
wasteful arms races it could not hope to win. Thus some Chinese national security
specialists now recognize the desirability of greater openness with respect to military
spending.
In this context, Ambassador (Ret.) Chas W. Freeman, Jr., co-chair of the United States –
China Policy Foundation (USCPF) suggested to General Xiong Guangkai, president of
the Chinese Institute of International Strategic Studies, that a previously agreed Track II
(i.e., unofficial) dialogue on Sino-American defense matters be devoted to disaggregating
and comparing military and military-related spending in both China and the United
States. He proposed that the object of working meetings during that dialogue be to
identify functional categories of spending common to both sides or unique to one or the
other, without regard to the department or budget category to which each side assigns this
spending in its national budget. Such functional categories would be organized in a
matrix that would be jointly developed to facilitate later bilateral or multilateral
comparisons with third countries’ military spending, as appropriate and desired. The
USCPF would publish a report containing the preliminary results. This could provide a
benchmark for follow-up discussions, if both sides agreed a continuation of the process
would be useful. General Xiong, who was until recently the Deputy Chief of the PLA
General Staff Department, accepted this proposal and undertook, on a Track II basis, to
assure the participation of PLA officers able to provide Chinese data to compare with
U.S. data provided by American counterparts. This report contains the results of the
initial meetings and proposes a roadmap for future exchanges.
Defense-Related Spending in China
4
SECTION 1. USING A COMMON BASELINE: DEVELOPING A STRUCTURE TO
COMPARE U.S. AND CHINESE TOTAL DEFENSE-RELATED SPENDING
The goal of the USCPF delegation was to better our understanding of total defense-
related spending in China by comparing it to total defense-related spending in the United
States. We adopted the terminology, “total defense-related spending,” to emphasize that
relevant expenditures are not confined solely to money in defense budgets. For example,
in the U.S. many costs related to nuclear weapons and propulsion systems are in the
budget of the Department of Energy. In both the U.S. and China some costs associated
with personnel retirement are outside the defense budget. The keystone of our philosophy
is that all expenditures made as the result of decisions to provide military capability in
defense of the nation from external threats should be included in international spending
comparisons. By definition, total defense related spending is directed primarily outward
toward deterrence or defense against external threats or internal armed threats to
domestic stability, but does not include routine law enforcement activities undertaken to
maintain order within the country.
There are two reasons for wanting accurate comparisons of total defense-related spending
across countries. The first is to understand the amount of defense capability the countries
are buying every year. The second is to understand the economic sacrifices being borne
to build and use defense capability.
Total defense-related spending is not the same as defense capability. It is related to
annual increments in defense capability. Some defense-related spending, spending on
personnel for example, is needed to maintain the defense capability embedded in the
defense-related capital stock. Some defense-related spending increases capability by
increasing the capital stock or by improving the quality of the capital stock in the short-
or long-term. Expenditures associated with actual operations may have little to do with
the development of additional defense capability. Thus, even the best comparison of total
defense-related spending across countries will be an imperfect indicator of investment in
increased defense capability. Comparisons of expenditures on new equipment and on
research and development may be more illuminating in this regard, and they will be
discussed later.
Comparisons of total defense-related spending are much more tightly linked to the
sacrifices being borne to provide defense. Defense-related spending uses resources that
could be devoted to raising the standard of living of the population either directly through
increased consumption or through investments in increased future productivity. A
consistent examination of total defense-related spending across countries provides clear
insight into the priorities being given to defense as compared to other government
priorities.
Developing comparisons of total defense-related spending will require four steps:
Specification of what should be included in total defense-related spending.
Specification of the categories into which total defense-related spending should be
disaggregated.
Using a Common Baseline
5
••
Presentation of spending by the two countries according to the agreed-upon
taxonomy in their own currencies.
The use of an agreed upon methodology to convert spending into a common
currency.
In this study we will only address the first three of these steps. Currency conversion
issues have to be tackled to place the resources devoted to defense in the two countries on
common terms, and were not part of the discussions held by USCPF and its Chinese
counterparts.
DEFINING TOTAL DEFENSE-RELATED SPENDING
Several definitions of total defense-related spending have been developed.
SIPRI Definition
The Stockholm International Peace Research Institute (SIPRI) definition is based on the
principle that military expenditure includes all current and capital expenditure on the
armed forces, including peace-keeping forces, defense ministries, paramilitary forces
when judged to be trained, equipped and available for military operations, and military
space activities.2
Such expenditures should include:
Personnel
o All expenditures on current personnel, military and civil
o Retirement pensions of military personnel
o Social services for personnel and their families
Operations and maintenance
Procurement
Military research and development (R&D)
Military construction
Military aid (in the military expenditures of the donor country)
SIPRI excludes:
Civil defense
Current expenditure for previous military activities
o Veterans’ benefits
o Demobilization
o Conversion of arms production facilities
o Destruction of weapons
2 This material is drawn from the SIPRI website, specifically
http://www.sipri.org/contents/milap/milex/mex_definition.html
Defense-Related Spending in China
6
•
•
•
••••••
••
This is a very useful taxonomy, but it includes two elements with which we disagree. In
today’s world, homeland defense is a major military mission and civil defense is a central
part of it. Excluding it seems inappropriate.
Many kinds of current expenditures for previous military activities are part of the life-
cycle cost of defense activities. When people enter into military service they know that
they will likely receive veterans’ benefits if they fulfill required service obligations.
There is no particular reason to differentiate between retirement pensions and other forms
of deferred compensation. Similarly, the life-cycle of weapons systems includes design,
procurement, operations, and disposal. The costs associated with all four phases should,
we believe, be included in total defense-related spending.
NATO Definition
NATO defines defense expenditures as outlays made by national governments to meet
the needs of their armed forces. The use of the term “national governments” limits
defense expenditures to those of central or federal governments, to the exclusion of state,
provincial, local, or municipal authorities. If one is interested, however, in either the
growth of defense capability or in the burden defense places on the national economy
these exclusions do not appear appropriate.3
The focus on outlays means that expenditures are not counted when they are budgeted,
but when they are made. Outlays are the best measure of the flow of resources into
defense, but budgets are the best measure of the commitment of the political process to
defense. Both are of interest.
War damage compensation, veterans’ pensions, payments out of retirement accounts, and
civil defense and stockpiling costs for industrial raw materials or semi-finished products
are not included in this definition of defense spending. With the exception of war damage
compensation and payments out of retirement accounts, which were counted when the
contributions were put into the accounts, these exclusions appear inappropriate.
In the case of the U.S., NATO’s definition includes spending on programs funded outside
the Department of Defense, namely the Department of State’s International Security
Assistance Programs and the defense-related portions of the Coast Guard and the
Department of Energy.
United Nations Definition
Since 1980 the United Nations has had a system for standardized reporting of military
expenditures. Member states are supposed to report annually.4
3 “2004 Statistical Compendium on Allied Contributions to the Common Defense,” U.S. Department of
Defense, page A-1.4 United Nations Instrument for Reporting Military Expenditures, available at
http://disarmament.un.org/cab/milex.html
Using a Common Baseline
7
The U.N. includes paramilitary forces and military assistance in its definition of total
military expenditures. It includes civil defense in its standard budget format, but does not
count it as part of “total military expenditures.”
United States Definition
The U.S. budget presents information for what is termed “The National Defense
Function.” It includes Department of Defense (DOD) military activities, the atomic
energy defense activities of the Department of Energy, and defense related activities of
other federal agencies. Most spending by the Department of Veterans Affairs and by the
Intelligence Community outside of DOD is not included.5
CHOOSING A DEFINITION
As a target for our efforts to compare total defense-related spending across countries, we
will use a modified version of the SIPRI definition. To the extent possible, civil defense,
veterans’ benefits, and weapons’ disposal costs will be included.
Defining the Chinese Armed Forces
Because of differences in the force structure of the Chinese armed forces and those of the
United States, it is necessary to define early in this study exactly what the Chinese mean
by this term. According to the PRC National Defense Law adopted on March 14, 1997,
the Chinese armed forces have three components:
The active and reserve units of the PLA
The People’s Armed Police (PAP) force
The people’s militia6
The PLA is organized into ground forces (the army), the PLA Navy, the PLA Air Force,
and Second Artillery (strategic missile forces). By the definition above, neither the PAP
nor the militia is part of the PLA. Both the PAP and militia meet the definition of
paramilitary organizations, while the PLA is a military organization.
The Central Military Commission (CMC) commands the armed forces of China. The
CMC exercises its command through the four national-level General Departments
(General Staff Department, General Political Department, General Logistics Department,
and General Armaments Department7) and the service headquarters for the Navy, Air
Force, and Second Artillery, as well as a separate headquarters for the PAP. (The army
does not have its own service headquarters. Service headquarters functions are performed
by the four General Departments.) Unlike most countries, the Chinese Ministry of
5 “National Defense Budget Estimates for FY 2007,” Office of the Under Secretary of Defense
(Comptroller), March 2006, page 1.6 All quotes in this section are from “PRC Law on National Defense” Beijing Xinhua Domestic Service in
Chinese 0556 GMT 18 Mar 97 translated by the Open Source Center.7 The four General Departments are commonly known individually as the GSD, GPD, GLD, and GAD,
respectively.
Defense-Related Spending in China
8
•••
National Defense is not in the direct chain of command of the Chinese armed forces,
though the Defense Minister routinely is a member of the CMC. (See Appendix 1.)
According to law, the active units of the PLA “are a standing army, which is mainly
charged with the defensive fighting mission,” which “when necessary, may assist in
maintaining public order in accordance with the law.” Thus, as a military organization,
the primary mission of the PLA is directed outward, but it also has a secondary mission
of domestic stability. Active forces are deployed throughout China in seven military
regions (MR), each of which encompasses several provincial-level military districts
(MD). Reserve units of the PLA “shall take training according to regulations in
peacetime, may assist in maintaining public order according to law when necessary, and
shall change to active units in wartime according to mobilization orders issued by the
state.” Reserve units are commanded by provincial military district headquarters, which
are under the command of the military regions.
On the other hand, the primary mission of the PAP is directed inward. The PAP “is
charged by the state with the mission of safeguarding security and maintaining public
order.” In performing this mission, it works closely with the civilian Ministry of Public
Security and, by law, is under “the leadership and command of the State Council and the
Central Military Commission.” The PAP has several types of units, the majority of which
are dedicated to internal security, but a significant portion of the force is tasked with
guarding gold mines, forests, water, electricity, and transportation facilities, as well as
performing border security, firefighting, and security functions for senior government
officials. As a secondary mission, in time of war, PAP units can act in local defense
operations in conjunction with PLA forces.
The militia, which is organized into small units in every corner of the country, can
support both external and internal security operations. Militia units are commanded by
local People’s Armed Forces Departments (PAFD) and “perform combat-readiness duty,
carry out defensive fighting tasks, and assist in maintaining public order.” PAFD are
under the dual command of the military (through military region and military district
headquarters) and the local Communist Party committees and governments at the same
level.
Units from all three components of the Chinese armed forces provide personnel,
equipment, and logistics support to disaster relief efforts as required.
The vast network of civilian Chinese defense industrial enterprises that produce military
weapons and equipment is not part of the PLA. Rather, the defense industrial sector is
supervised by the State Commission of Science, Technology and Industry for National
Defense (COSTIND). Prior to 1998, COSTIND had been a major headquarters in the
PLA at the level of the service headquarters and the military regions, manned by both
uniformed military and civilian personnel. In 1998, the old COSTIND was disbanded
with most of its military personnel going to the newly formed General Armaments
Department, while most of its civilian personnel were assigned to the new COSTIND,
which is now responsible directly to the State Council and not under the command of the
Using a Common Baseline
9
CMC. COSTIND and the PLA have a close relationship especially in defining equipment
requirements and establishing research and development priorities. But COSTIND and
the defense industrial base is now a separate management system within the Chinese
government – the PLA has no direct control over the functions of this system.
The differences in structural organization between the armed forces of the United States
and China make direct comparisons problematic. For example, both PLA and PAP units
have daily responsibilities for border defense and border control tasks, unlike the
situation in the United States where Department of Homeland Security agencies have
primary responsibility for border control. And while uniformed civilian cadre working for
the PLA are counted as active duty personnel (unlike civilians who work for the U.S.
Department of Defense), a large number of personnel who work in grassroots-level
People’s Armed Forces Departments are considered “local cadre” and are not part of the
active PLA. Yet these village and township-level PAFD personnel are responsible for
recruiting military personnel (similar to the duties of active duty recruiters in the U.S.
military), as well as performing other duties such as commanding militia units. Whenever
possible, these differences in systems will be highlighted in this report, but such
differences compound the problem of comparing of defense-related spending between the
two countries.
CATEGORIZING DEFENSE-RELATED SPENDING
Both the United States and China put together their defense budgets by organization and
by spending category. In the U.S. the organizational structure is based on the military
Services: Army, Navy, Air Force, and Marine Corps. It includes an additional category
for Defense Agencies and other “Defense-wide” expenditures that are budgeted and made
outside the Services. The Chinese structure revolves around the organizations that
prepare budget submissions: the Navy, Air Force, Second Artillery, the seven military
regions, and several other central organizations.
The U.S. has a more detailed set of spending categories than does China. The U.S.
categories are called major budget titles, or appropriation categories. They are military
personnel; operations and maintenance; military construction; procurement; research,
development, test, and evaluation (RDT&E); family housing, and revolving and
management funds. Most of these categories are self-explanatory. The last one has to do
with the financing of some operational expenses and can be viewed as closely related to
the operations and maintenance category.
China’s uses only three spending categories: personnel expenses; operations, training and
maintenance expenses; and equipment expenses. More detail on the nature of these
categories is presented in the next section of the paper.
Comparing the two structures, the personnel categories are quite similar, though the U.S.
category only covers military personnel, with civilian personnel being part of the
operations and maintenance category. The Chinese personnel category includes both
military and civilian personnel.
Defense-Related Spending in China
10
The U.S. operations and maintenance category includes more than the analogous Chinese
category. In particular, it includes the maintenance, transportation, and storage of
equipment which fall under the equipment expense category in the Chinese taxonomy.
The Chinese operations, training, and maintenance category includes the maintenance of
facilities, but not equipment.
It appears that the U.S. family housing category would fit under personnel expenses on
the Chinese side. Military construction would be in the Chinese training and maintenance
expense category. Procurement and RDT&E would be in the Chinese equipment expense
category.
In the future, comparisons of U.S. and Chinese defense budgets probably should be based
on the Chinese spending categories. U.S. civilian personnel costs can be moved from
operations and maintenance to personnel. The U.S. categories related to equipment can
be aggregated. The biggest obstacle to comparability will be the different treatment of
equipment maintenance. American expenditures in this area cannot easily be broken out
from the rest of the operations and maintenance category and moved to the equipment
category, as would be necessary for strict comparability with Chinese practice.
In this paper, U.S. and Chinese spending will be displayed using their separate
taxonomies, but considerable movement toward standardization appears possible.
Note that so far the discussion of taxonomies for categorizing defense-related spending
has been limited to the part of defense spending in the narrowly defined defense budgets
of the U.S. and China; that is, the DOD budget for the U.S. and the PLA budget for
China. Defense-related spending that originates in other organizations is not categorized
in the same way. In some cases, non-DOD funded defense-related spending is clearly tied
to personnel and can be so categorized. In others there is no alternative but to show such
spending by its source and purpose, not folded into the spending categories discussed
above.
For the U.S. the following categories of defense-related spending funded from outside
DOD will be addressed:
Department of Veterans Affairs (VA): The entire budget of this department is a
form of deferred compensation to military personnel. It covers both disability
payments associated with medical conditions that began during military service
and the cost of running VA medical facilities. Of course, DOD also runs its own
medical facilities and the cost of these is in the DOD budget.
Department of Energy: Atomic energy activities related to defense.
Department of Treasury: Some retirement costs for people who served before
1986, when a retirement fund was set up.
Department of Labor: Veterans’ re-employment and training programs
Department of Education: Payments to local areas for the education of military
children
Using a Common Baseline
11
•
••
••
Department of Homeland Security (DHS): Coast Guard, Border Patrol, and the
Transportation Security Agency are included, as are expenditures on
preparedness, emergency management, and science and technology. It is difficult
to be sure what to include from the DHS budget. Homeland security is certainly a
defense priority, but relief from natural disasters is not usually thought of as
defense-related. The Coast Guard spends much of its efforts on assuring the safety
of navigators, which are also not explicitly defense-related.
The National Aeronautic and Space Administration (NASA). We include the
entire NASA budget here, but much of it is clearly not closely tied to defense. A
better allocation should be developed.
Non-DOD intelligence organizations. It is difficult to get detailed information on
these expenditures, so we have used publicly available estimates.
Department of Justice (DOJ): This includes the part of the FBI and other DOJ
budget elements included in the “National Defense Budget”
State governments, which provide some funding for the National Guard. The
National Guard provides force structure to DOD and is mostly funded by DOD,
but it also serves the states. One could argue that state funding is for state
purposes, not national defense. We include them here, but may want to revisit this
choice in the future.
AN ESTIMATE OF TOTAL U.S. DEFENSE-RELATED SPENDING
We start by presenting the DOD budget for Fiscal Year 2006 by appropriation. After that,
estimated defense-related spending by other agencies is shown, broken down into items
that are related to military personnel costs and other expenditures. Then total spending
related to military personnel is shown, followed by our estimate total defense-related
spending in the U.S.
Table 1 shows the FY 2006 budget.
Table 1. FY 2006 DOD Budget by Service and Appropriation (billions of dollars)
Army
Navy/Marine
Corps
Air
Force Defense-wide Total
Military
Personnel 52.7 39.5 31.0 123.2
Family Housing 1.3 0.8 2.2 0.6 4.9
O&M and Other 71.1 45.3 46.4 62.5 225.3
Procurement 27.6 36.3 33.4 4.3 101.6
RDT&E 11.5 18.9 21.7 19.9 71.9
Construction 3.8 2.0 2.2 1.4 9.3
Total 167.9 142.8 136.8 88.1 536.2
Defense-Related Spending in China
12
•
•
•
•
•
Costs related to personnel, the military personnel account and family housing make up
24% of the budget. Operations and maintenance make up 42%. The investment accounts,
procurement; research, development, test and evaluation; and construction, together make
up 34% of the budget. Supplemental funding is included in the table.
Table 2 shows defense-related spending (in some cases estimates) from sources other
than DOD. The nature of what is included was discussed above. State government
contributions to the National Guard and the costs of non-DOD intelligence organizations
are estimates because precise numbers were not available. The numbers included for
NASA and the Department of Homeland Security are estimates because it is not clear
how much of the budgets for these agencies should be included as defense-related.
Total defense-related spending from sources other than DOD is estimated to have been
$186.6 billion in FY 2006. Of this $95.6 was related to military personnel.
Table 2. FY 2006 Defense-Related Spending from Non-DOD Sources
(billions of dollars)
Department of Veterans Affairs 70.4
Department of the Treasury 23.2
Department of Labor 0.2
Department of Education 1.2
Military Personnel Related 95.0
Department of Energy 18.7
Non-DOD Intelligence
Organizations 25.0 estimatedDepartment of Homeland
Security 27.4 estimatedNASA 16.3 estimatedDepartment of Justice 2.1
Other Federal Agencies 0.2
State Governments 1.8 estimated
Total 186.6
Table 3 shows that much greater detail is available on spending in the military personnel
account. Comparisons at this level might improve mutual understanding of the U.S. and
Chinese systems for managing and compensating military personnel.
Using a Common Baseline
13
Table 3. Detailed Breakdown of the FY 2006 Military Personnel Budget
(‘000s of dollars)
Total
Officer Enlisted
Basic Pay 14,120,277 30,998,371
Retired Pay Accrual 3,723,173 8,150,212
Basic Allowance for Housing 3,719,598 8,661,539
Basic Allowance for Subsistence 526,394 2,518,883
Incentive Pays 636,402 250,437
Special Pays 842,003 2,299,401
Allowances 378,032 2,040,263
Separation Pay 214,262 33,029
Social Security Tax 1,071,143 2,355,779
Academy Cadets 164,798
Subsistence-In-Kind 1,539,923
Family Subsistence Supplemental Allowance 5,689
Permanent Change Of Station 3,404,124
Reserve Components 14,392,393
Medicare - Retiree Health Care Contribution, Active 1,252,718 6,517,757
Medicare - Retiree Health Care Contribution, Reserve 2,750,584
Other Military Personnel Costs 127,870
Total (Without Supplemental) 113,395,054
When personnel costs funded through supplemental appropriations, family housing costs,
and funding from outside DOD are added, FY 2006 spending related to military
personnel, both current and former, was $223 billion, of which 43 percent was outside the
DOD budget.
Total U.S. defense-related spending in FY 2006 is estimated to have been somewhere
near $723 billion, including approximately 26 percent outside the DOD budget.
Defense-Related Spending in China
14
SECTION 2. INSIGHTS INTO CHINESE DEFENSE BUDGET STRUCTURE
SOURCES AND METHODS FOR UNDERSTANDING DEFENSE BUDGET
STRUCTURE
Foreign observers of the Chinese military currently have access to an increasing but still
insufficient set of sources detailing aspects of China’s defense budget structure. In its
series of White Papers on “Arms Control and Disarmament” and “National Defense,” the
Chinese government has publicly released basic information about the structure of its
defense budget, primarily for foreign audiences. In addition to these official documents, a
variety of Chinese newspapers, journals, and books expand upon the topic and provide
greater detail. Many of these sources are in Chinese and not readily available to non-
linguists, though significant information can be found in Chinese media available on the
Internet. Nonetheless, even after intense study by a wide variety of foreign governments
and scholars, large gaps about the structure and process of the Chinese defense budget
and defense-related expenditures persist. While the Chinese government has improved
transparency in this regard with the publication of its White Papers and it is understood
that all militaries will maintain some degree of secrecy about some specific details of
sensitive programs, many mundane facts, which if revealed would have little or no
adverse impact on overall China’s security posture, remain concealed from foreign
scrutiny. As a result, there is much speculation and guessing about the “actual” size of the
Chinese defense budget.
THE OVERALL BUDGET
Every year in March, in conjunction with the annual session of the National People’s
Congress, the Chinese government announces the size of the coming year’s defense
budget, as well as the percentage increase. Little detail is provided publicly about budget
details, though usually some explanation is given to justify increases over the previous
year’s numbers. Later in the year or in subsequent years, the government may publish
adjustments in the size of the budget to reflect actual spending, but this is done with
much less fanfare. Usually, any changes only marginally affect the size of the number
announced in the previous March. As will be seen, a significant exception to this general
rule occurred in March 2007, when the 2006 actual budget was adjusted upwards by
approximately 5 percent, due to the large pay raise that went into effect in July 2006.
Starting in 1995 with the publication of the White Paper on “Arms Control and
Disarmament,” and updated in each of the five White Papers on National Defense, the
Chinese government has provided additional detail about the officially announced
defense expenditure.8 Over this period of time, the announced defense budget, not
8 The first National Defense White Paper was published in 1998. Additional Defense White Papers have
been released every two years since then, usually in December. In 2003, a White Paper on “China's Non-
Proliferation Policy and Measures” was published, but it did not discuss defense expenditures. The 2005
White Paper on “China's Endeavors for Arms Control, Disarmament and Non-Proliferation” basically
repeated information from the 2004 Defense White Paper with the exception of providing a number for the
2005 defense budget, which was close to what had already been released earlier in the year. All Chinese
Chinese Defense Budget Structure
15
adjusted for inflation, has increased by over a factor of six, from approximately RMB 55
billion in 1994 to about RMB 350 billion in 2007. (See Figure 1 and Table 4 below.) This
increase is the result of consistent annual double-digit increases of over 10 percent (not
adjusted for inflation) and took place as the active duty personnel strength of the PLA
was streamlined from about three million to some 2.3 million. Concurrently, many old
weapons systems were retired and replaced, usually in fewer numbers, by more
advanced, sophisticated equipment. The training tempo for the entire force also has
increased significantly and grown more expensive as newer, more expensive weapons
have been added to the force. In a major break with past practices, since 2002 the PLA
has conducted a series of combined training exercises with foreign forces, many focused
on anti-terrorist operations, and opened a number of its internal exercises and
demonstrations to foreign observers. The Chinese armed forces have conducted
numerous internal disaster relief operations in recent years and the PLA has increased its
participation in overseas UN peacekeeping operations. These trends have all been
outlined in the White Papers.
The format and content of information about the defense budget contained in the White
Papers has been reasonably consistent over the years. Each White Paper contains
information about:
The total size of the current year’s defense expenditure and sometimes
information about the previous one or two years;
The composition of the budget, broken down into three broad categories
(personnel, operations and maintenance, and equipment);
Reasons for increases in the budget over previous years;
The defense budget as a percentage of total government expenditures and of the
Gross Domestic Product (GDP); and
The comparative size of China’s defense expenditures with those of other
countries.9
government White Papers are accessible at http://english.gov.cn/links/whitepapers.htm and
http://www.china.org.cn/e-white/index.htm.9 This section will not discuss the White Papers’ comparisons of China’s defense expenditures with other
countries because of the complexities involved in these comparisons due to exchange rates, inflation, and
differences in exactly what is included in a nation’s total defense expenditures. Without accounting for
these factors, comparisons of defense expenditures among countries can be misleading. The Chinese are
correct, however, when they point out that both in actual numbers and in numbers relative to the spending
of other countries that the budget increases over the past 15 years started from a very low base. Senior PLA
officers still consider the force to be financially constrained and great efforts are made to save money and
conserve funds.
Defense-Related Spending in China
16
•
•
••
•
Figure 1. Growth of Announced Defense Expenditures
0
50
100
150
200
250
300
350
400
1994
1995
1996
1997
1998
1999
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
Billion, RMB
THE THREE STRUCTURAL CATEGORIES: PERSONNEL, OPERATIONS AND
MAINTENANCE, AND EQUIPMENT
The White Papers break down the total Chinese defense budget figures into the three
categories of personnel; operations, training, and maintenance; and equipment.10
This
nomenclature is helpful at a macro-level of analysis, and provides an initial framework
for discussions with the Chinese military on budgeting issues. As will be seen in the
subsequent chapter, Chinese primary sources provide much more detail about the
structure of budget categories.
Over the years, the subcomponents of these three categories have been identified, but no
details of how funds are distributed among subcomponents have been provided.
Personnel expenses mainly cover salaries, insurance, food, clothing, and welfare
benefits for officers, non-commissioned officers and enlisted men as well as for
civilian employees;
10
The PLA does not break down its budget by individual services because there is no single "Department
of the Army" for the PLA's largest service. However, the Central Military Commission, four
General Headquarters Departments, Navy, Air Force, Second Artillery, National Defense University,
Academy of Military Sciences, and National University of Defense Technology (known as "major
commands") all have their own budgets.
Chinese Defense Budget Structure
17
•
Training and maintenance expenses cover troop training, institutional
education, construction and maintenance of installations and facilities, and other
expenses on routine consumables; and
Equipment expenses mainly cover research on, experimentation with, and
procurement, maintenance, transportation and storage of weaponry and
equipment.11
As can be seen in Table 4, Chinese defense expenditures have been roughly divided into
thirds for each of the three categories over this entire period. From 1994 to 2005, specific
percentages varied among categories, but stayed within the range of 31 to 35 percent
each.12
The details of distribution by category usually did not include information about
the year that the White Paper was released, but instead provided information on prior
years (for example, the 2006 White Paper gave the break down for 2005, not 2006). The
number of years for which data is provided varies among White Papers and gaps in this
level of detail can be seen in the two most recent iterations of the document. Nonetheless,
the roughly one-third distribution of funds among categories has remained constant. From
1994 to 2006, growth in the size of the personnel account was the largest of the three
categories (growing at approximately 5.81 times the 1994 number or 581 percent),
followed by growth in the equipment fund (approximately factor of 5.41 or 541 percent),
and last operations, training, and maintenance (about factor of 5.01 or 501 percent). The
relative growth in the personnel account was spurred by the July 2006 pay increase,
where most members of the PLA received a large pay raise, approximately doubling
compensation for many personnel. While the 2006 White Paper, which was released in
December, acknowledged in general that this pay increase took place, it did not provide
details or discuss how the pay raise affected the distribution percentage among the three
categories of the defense budget. Rather, the impact of the pay raise is strongly suggested
based on the budget information announced in March 2007, specifically the increase in
the final year-end budget number compared to the figure announced the year before. (See
the following section for details.)
11
These subcomponents are as defined in the 2006 White Paper.12
This one-third distribution scheme also extends down to the budgets for operational units. It reportedly
reflects 1985-86 guidance from the late Chinese leader, Deng Xiaoping and, as such, has long been immune
to reexamination.
Defense-Related Spending in China
18
•
•
Table 4. China’s Officially Announced Defense Expenditures
(in billions of RMB/percentage of total budget)
Year Total Personnel Operations Equipment
1994 55.071 18.774/34.09 18.845/34.22 17.452/31.69
1995 63.672
1996 72.006
1997 81.257 29.162/35.89 26.536/32.66 25.559/31.45
1998 93.47 32.27/34.52 29.80/31.88 31.40/33.59
1999 107.67 34.86/32.37 38.03/35.32 34.78/32.30
2000 121.29 40.55/33.43 41.81/34.47 38.93/32.09
2000 (update)* 120.754 40.550/33.58 41.274/34.18 38.930/32.23
2001 144.204 46.163/32.01 48.581/33.68 49.460/34.29
2002 169.444 54.043/31.89 58.123/34.30 57.278/33.80
2002 (update)** 170.778
2003 190.787 62.006/32.50 64.104/33.59 64.677/33.90
2004 220.001
2005*** 247.496 83.159/33.6 80.683/32.6 83.654/33.8
2006 283.829
2006 (update)**** 297.93 109.2/36.65(est) 94.37/31.68(est) 94.37/31.68(est)
2007 350.92
* Numbers for the year 2000 were provided in both the 2000 and 2002 White Papers.
** Numbers for the year 2002 were provided in both the 2002 and 2004 White Papers.
*** Numbers for 2005 provided during the USCPF delegation visit are consistent with
2006 White Paper.
**** Total is an update based on the March 2007 announcement that the RMB 350.92
billion for 2007 was an increase of 52.99 billion over 2006. Personnel, operations, and
equipment numbers are estimates for 2006 only. Previous numbers are based on data
from the White Papers.13
According to information in the White Papers, the percentage of defense expenditure to
GDP has ranged from a low of 1.09 percent in 1996 to a high of 1.63 percent in 2003,
dropping to 1.35 percent in 2005. As a share of total state financial expenditures, defense
expenditure has dropped from about 9.5 percent in 1994 to 7.29 percent in 2005. These
13
The estimates for 2006 are based upon the following calculations: In 2005, the personnel account was
33.6% of the total or about 83 billion (the figures they gave us). In 2006, applying the original 14.7%
increase to 83 billion, 12.22 billion should be added for a total of 95.2 billion (prior to the July pay raise).
Assuming the entire 14 billion actual increase (revealed in 2007) is applied only personnel, that total then
becomes 109.2 billion out of a total of 297.93 billion for a percentage of 36.65. Further assuming that
operations and equipment split the remainder equally, these accounts each amount to 94.37 billion or
31.675 percent (still significant increases in the absolute numbers for these accounts over 2005). This
assumption is probably wrong and either operations or equipment probably received a slightly larger
percentage of the budget, but it is likely to fall within a percentage of actual numbers – and still roughly
within the traditional spread of 31 to 35 percent per category, or consistent with the one-third breakdown
scheme.
Chinese Defense Budget Structure
19
numbers, however, only account for the official defense budget and do not include any
extrabudgetary categories.
As defense expenditures have grown, the White Papers have given increasingly detailed
explanations for the upward movement of the budget. In 1998, the White Paper asserted
that “the annual increase in defense outlay went for the most part to ensure that the living
standards of military personnel keep up with the nation's social and economic
development and with the increase of the per capita incomes of urban and rural residents,
so as to improve the living conditions of officers and men.” In 2000, after the divestiture
of PLA commercial activities,14
the demobilization of 500,000 personnel, and the return
of Macao to PRC sovereignty, three new reasons were given:
The annual increase in defense expenses went or will go [1] for the most
part to cover the increased spending for carrying out their routine duties
and operations after the armed forces have ceased commercial activities;
[2] increased spending for the placement of retired officers and their
pensions; [3] increased spending for pay and subsidy raises for military
personnel to keep their living standards in step with the nation's social and
economic development and with the increase of the per capita incomes of
urban and rural residents; and [4] increased spending for maintaining a
garrison in Macao.
In 2002, five reasons were given, reflecting changes in China’s social security system,
non-traditional security challenges after 9/11, and, for the first time, the expenses
associated with new equipment entering the force:
1) Increase in personnel expenses…. The past decade has witnessed…an 84% salary
raise for officers and 92% allowance raise for soldiers;
2 ) Establishment and gradual improvement of a social security system for
servicemen;
3) Increase in expenses for maintenance. Since the armed forces stopped commercial
activities in 1998, the budgets for training have increased year by year. With the
gradual improvement of living facilities and progressive office automation,
expenses for maintenance have continued to rise;
4) Increase in expenses spent on cooperation with the international community in
anti-terrorism activities;
5) Appropriate increase of expenses for the improvement of military equipment to
enhance defense capabilities under the conditions of modern technologies,
particularly high technologies.
14
The PLA has also divested itself of quartermaster factories formerly run by the General Logistics
Department that produced uniforms, shoes, and personal equipment by turning them over to local
government control. See “Remarkable Progress Made in PLA Logistics Socialization,” PLA Daily, 11 April
2005, and confirmed in conversations in Beijing with senior retired PLA officers as well as a visit to the
former PLA 3501 Factory outlet store during the first week of November 2006.
Defense-Related Spending in China
20
In 2004, five reasons again were listed, roughly similar to 2002, but with the addition of
costs associated with the 200,000-man reduction announced in 2003 (both in structural
reform and demobilization costs) and the recognition of the importance of education of
the force. The impact of new equipment was still listed last:
1) Increase in the salaries and allowances for military personnel;
2) Further improvement of the social insurance system;
3) Support for the structural and organizational reform of the military…[and to]
increase the expenses for the resettlement of the discharged surplus personnel
accordingly;
4) Increased investment in the development of high-caliber [human resource] talents;
and
5 ) Moderate increase in equipment expenses. This is aimed at promoting the
leapfrog development of weaponry and equipment, and stepping up preparations
for military struggle.
In 2006, increases in personnel expenses were first (as nearly always), but the cost of
equipment immediately followed, tacitly acknowledging the influx of new equipment
into the force in recent years, while suggesting this trend is to continue (though the White
Paper contained no information on any of the new Chinese-made weapons entering the
force or those imported primarily from Russia). Inflation of commodity prices was also
included as a factor in the rise of the country’s defense spending:
1) Increasing salaries and allowances for military personnel and improving their
living conditions. Along with the growth of China's economy and the steady
improvement of the people's life, the salaries and allowances of military personnel
and the pensions of retired officers have increased accordingly. The insurance,
medical, housing and other benefits have also increased. Subsidies are being
increased, too, to compensate for differences across regions and facilities, and the
living conditions of the troops stationed in hardship areas are being improved.
2) Increasing investment in weaponry and equipment and infrastructure. The PLA is
accelerating its informationization drive, increasing expenses for procurement and
maintenance of weaponry and equipment, upgrading the military infrastructure,
and improving the facilities for border and coastal defense troops.
3) Supporting the training of military personnel. The PLA is increasing input into
education and training through both military educational institutions and regular
institutions of higher learning. It is also increasing subsidies for professionals with
outstanding performance and incentives for experts, and increasing the budget for
the employment of contract civilians.
4) Compensating for rising prices. As the prices of oil, building materials and staple
and non-staple foodstuffs go up, the PLA accordingly increases the expenses on
military petroleum, oils and lubricants and defense engineering, and raises the
boarding subsidies.
Chinese Defense Budget Structure
21
5 ) Increasing expenses for international cooperation in non-traditional security
fields.15
Two Unexpected Expenses: The July 2006 Salary Increase and Unexpected Oil Costs
No details of the impact of the July 2006 pay raise were included in the White Paper.
However, during conversations in Beijing in November 2006 a retired PLA officer
provided specific details about the changes in the compensation structure. The 2006 pay
raise was applied to both active duty and retired personnel and affected nearly everybody
in the PLA. From July 2006 to the end of the year, an additional 13.5 billion RMB was
spent on salaries and other benefits.16
The 13.5 billion number mentioned in Beijing is
remarkably similar to the difference of RMB 14.1 billion between the RMB 283 billion
budget announcement in March 2006 and the actual 2006 figure of RMB 297.93
billion.17
It appears to be a reasonable assumption that most, if not all, of the difference
between the announced 2006 budget and the actual budget was the result of the pay raise
which went into effect during the second half of the year. This large pay increase skews
the traditional 1/3 distribution among budget categories to favor the personnel category
by a few percentage points at the expense of operations and equipment. More
importantly, when the size of the pay raise is applied to the full year of 2007, it amounts
to roughly RMB 28 billion, or over 50 percent of the entire 52.99 billion total budget
increase.
The size of the pay increase varies from individual to individual based on four factors:
Duty position grade and time in grade (years in that grade) (See Appendix 2)
Military rank based on seniority (years in that rank)
Time in service at RMB 10 per year (an increase from the previous number of one
RMB per year)
A new living allowance of RMB 560 for officers (enlisted personnel receive less)
For example, a retired major general with nine years at the deputy army grade, nine years
as a major general, and 43 years in service received about RMB 4000 per month in
retirement pay. (An active duty major general received about RMB 6000 per month.18
)
The July pay raise resulted in augmenting the retired general’s retirement pay by:
15
In addition to international cooperation such as UN peacekeeping operations, non-traditional security
missions also include domestic requirements such as disaster relief efforts.16
USCPF delegation conversations with senior retired PLA officers, November 2006. Similar raises in pay
have, according to collateral information, been granted to others in the national security-related professions,
e.g., foreign service personnel.17
This figure was calculated based on the announcement that “China's defense budget for 2007 is expected
to hit 350.92 billion yuan… an increase of 52.99 billion” over 2006. Subtracting 52.99 billion from 350.92
billion results in 297.93, which is an increase of 14.1 billion over the number announced in March 2006.18
At an exchange rate of RMB 7.8 to one U.S. dollar, RMB 6000 is about $769 per month. In the U.S.
military, a new recruit upon entering service received basic pay of $1,178 per month in 2006. A brand new
second lieutenant had a basic pay $2,416 per month. A U.S. major general with 20 years of service received
basic pay at $11,075 per month. For a complete accounting of basic pay and allowance, incentives, etc, see
Defense-Related Spending in China
22
•••
•
RMB 1710 for grade and rank
RMB 560 for living allowance
RMB 387 for 43 years of service (387 plus the 43 allowance previously received
equals 430 for 43 years of service)
The total, RMB 2657, is roughly a 66 percent increase over this general’s prior pay. It is
commonly understood that the pay raise doubled the salaries for most personnel.
Presumably active duty personnel would receive a greater percentage than retired
personnel, so it appears likely that some personnel had their pay raised by considerably
more than 100 percent.
As an example of how higher prices affected the 2006 budget, discussions in Beijing
revealed that an additional RMB 10 billion was spent over plan for the purchase of oil.
The amount spent for oil in 2005 is not known, however. In addition to increasing funds
for petroleum products, the PLA also has focused attention on fuel conservation and
efficiency measures in units of all services in recent years. Articles describing how much
fuel has been saved through conservation are not uncommon.19
BUDGET CATEGORY ONE: PERSONNEL
Every White Paper includes information about the PLA personnel structure. Of the three
major budget categories, the most information about personnel costs has been revealed.
The reports reveal the topline figure of 2.3 million active-duty personnel, but distribution
by service or according to ranks (officers and enlisted) has never been disclosed
officially20
. A close reading of all the White Papers reveals the following categories of
personnel receiving salaries from the defense budget:
Officers, including retired officers
“Non-ranking cadre,” known as wenzhi ganbu, who are uniformed civilians
working for the PLA usually in higher headquarters and administrative or support
positions, particularly in the fields of health and education. Wenzhi ganbu wear
military uniforms and have their own distinctive epaulets and collar insignia. The
1998 White Paper announced, “different from many other countries, China
includes… civil cadres… in the overall strength of the PLA.” The number of
uniformed civilians working for the PLA has not been released.21
Noncommissioned officers (NCOs)
http://www.dod.mil/dfas/militarypay/newinformation/WebPayTableVersion2006updated.pdf. The Chinese
government provides no similar detailed information about military pay.19
For example, a headline from the Jiefangjun Bao website on 15 January 2006 read, “Armed Forces Units
Throughout Country Save Close to 100,000 Tons of Fuel in 2005.”20
Statistics for U.S. active duty personnel specifying numbers for each officer and enlisted rank and service
are available at http://siadapp.dior.whs.mil/personnel/MILITARY/Miltop.htm. As of November 30, 2006, a
total of 1,420,206 personnel were on active duty in the U.S. military, including the Coast Guard.21
Wenzhi ganbu are roughly equivalent to civilians who work for the Department of Defense, who do not
wear uniforms, but are paid by the defense budget. As of August 2006, DOD employed over 670,000
civilians who are not counted as active duty personnel. See
http://siadapp.dior.whs.mil/personnel/CIVILIAN/fy2006/august2006/august2006.pdf.
Chinese Defense Budget Structure
23
•••
••
•
Conscripts
Cadets in military academies
Civilian employees, known as zhigong, or workers and staff. This category
includes the many workers and service personnel, such as drivers, necessary to
perform basic administrative and support functions. Unlike wenzhi ganbu, these
civilian workers do not wear uniforms and are not included in the count of total
active duty PLA personnel.22
In 2006, the PLA added a new civilian component of workers: non-active duty contract
civilian workers, often called wenzhi renyuan. Unlike the active duty wenzhi ganbu, these
civilians are not counted on the PLA’s rolls. Contract workers do, however, wear military
uniforms and are paid by the personnel account of the military budget.23
Contract workers
perform a variety of technical and administrative support jobs, such as “teaching,
research, engineering, health, culture and sports, library and archives, as well as some
administrative and logistics positions.”24
As of February 2007, the PLA had employed
some 6,000 of this new category of personnel throughout the force.25
The 2006 White Paper also revealed for the first time details of the manning of People’s
Armed Forces Departments. PAFD personnel perform many functions, including
recruitment of new personnel to serve in the armed forces and command of local militia
units. Two types of PAFD organizations are described by the White Paper – those found
county level and manned by active duty PLA personnel and those found at grassroots
levels (villages, towns, townships, and sub-districts), which are “non-active-duty
organizations” whose personnel are considered local civilian, not military, cadre. These
local civilian cadre are known as zhuanwu ganbu. As such, local governments must
provide the salaries for this unknown number of personnel found in every corner of China
who perform duties that directly support all components of the Chinese armed forces.26
The defense budget includes pensions for approximately 300,000 to 400,000 retired
officers.27
These retired officers are broken down into three categories:
1) Officers who reached the grade level of deputy army commander and above
(generally speaking this means they attained the rank of at least senior colonel or
major general).
22
Based on USCPF delegation conversations with senior retired PLA officers, November 2006, some
civilian workers in General Armament Department-managed maintenance depots and technical civilian
workers in research and development organizations are paid out of the equipment category of the defense
budget, not the personnel category.23
USCPF delegation conversations with senior retired PLA officers, November 2006.24
“Chinese PLA to Recruit More Civilian Employees,” Xinhua, March 3, 2006. For many years, the U.S.
military has employed a large number of contract workers who provide a variety of services.25
“Employment of nonmilitary personnel in the army begins to show effects,” PLA Daily, March 23, 2007.26
USCPF delegation conversations with senior retired PLA officers, November 2006.27
For comparison sake, the U.S. military budget supports about 2.1 million retired personnel and survivor
benefit recipients. See Charles A. Henning, “Military Retirement: Major Legislative Issues,” Congressional
Research Service Issue Brief, updated March 14, 2006, page CRS-1 at
http://www.house.gov/english/pdf/militaryretirement.pdf.
Defense-Related Spending in China
24
•••
2) Officers at division-level and below, who are paid by the military for the initial
period of their retirement and are then gradually turned over to the Ministry of
Civil Affairs to provide retirement payments. Money provided by the Ministry of
Civil Affairs to support retired officers is not included in the announced defense
budget.
3) Veterans who joined the PLA before 1949.28
Additional funds for resettling demobilized officers and enlisted personnel have been
necessitated by the reductions in force implemented since 1997. The Ministry of Civil
Affairs and local governments also help PLA personnel not qualified for retirement to
find jobs after they are demobilized from active service. Quotas are sent to local
governments from a Resettlement and Transition Office that works for the State Council
and coordinates with the General Political Department to formulate local demobilization
plans. Demobilized personnel are entitled to a one-time resettlement payment depending
on their length of service and location.29
For officers and NCOs, local governments send
requests to institutions and enterprises in their areas to help the new civilians find jobs. If
the officer or NCO volunteers to find his own job without government help, the one-time
payment will be higher. Demobilization and resettlement funds from the Ministry of Civil
Affairs and local governments are not considered to be defense expenditures by the
Chinese. This information may be reported to the State Council, but it is not provided
routinely to the military.30
In 2006, over 21,000 retired military cadres were transferred to
local governments for retirement placement and in total more than 150,000 retired
military cadres have been transferred to local governments since 1958.31
In early 2007,
the Ministry of Civil Affairs and the General Political Department jointly issued the
Measures on the Hand-over-and-Take-over Work for Transferring the Retired Military
Officers to the Local Government for Placement to standardize the work of transferring
retired military officers to the local government for placement.32
At the time of the 2007
budget announcement, People's Daily reported that within the total of RMB 350 billion,
“3.689 billion yuan [was] from the local budget.”33
This figure amounts to about one
percent of the total announced defense budget and is unlikely to include all funding from
local governments to support the Chinese armed forces. Unfortunately, no further detail
about the purpose of this local funding was released.
28
USCPF delegation conversations with senior retired PLA officers, November 2006. The Ministry of Civil
Affairs also provides pensions to some veterans who served before 1949 but retired in the 1950s, many of
whom then took civilian jobs. For 2005, that number was reported as 14.36 billion RMB. See “Government
Increases Subsidies For Oldest Red Army Veterans,” Xinhua, May 18, 2006.29
“Government to Speed Up Placement Service for Demobilized Soldiers,” Xinhua, January 3, 2006: “The
central government [likely the Ministry of Civil Affairs] allocated 17.5 billion yuan for the retired soldiers
or military officers' subsidies in 2005.”30
USCPF delegation conversations with senior retired PLA officers, November 2006.31
“150,000 retired military cadres transferred to local governments for placement,” in PLA Daily 2007-02-
08 at http://english.chinamil.com.cn/site2/news-channels/2007-02/08/content_730434.htm.32
“Measures on handing over and resettling retired officers promulgated,” PLA Daily 2007-02-14 at
http://english.chinamil.com.cn/site2/news-channels/2007-02/14/content_736240.htm.33
“Roundup: China's defense budget to rise 17.8 percent in 2007,” People's Daily March 05, 2007 at
http://english.peopledaily.com.cn/200703/05/eng20070305_354267.html.
Chinese Defense Budget Structure
25
The 2006 White Paper also for the first time offered a manpower figure for the People’s
Armed Police, asserting that this paramilitary force numbered approximately 660,000.
This figure is significantly smaller than most foreign estimates of the size of the PAP,
which have ranged between one million and 1.5 million over the past decade. The White
Paper also confirmed what had been generally recognized before that the People’s Armed
Police “has an independent budgetary status in the financial expenditure of the state.” As
such, the PAP budget is not considered part of defense expenditures. From the Chinese
perspective, based on its primary duties of ensuring domestic stability, the vast majority
of the PAP budget should not be considered as contributing to external defense.
Though most discussions of the personnel category of the PLA budget mainly focus on
pay and allowances for personnel, this category also includes food and clothing expenses
incurred by the force. Many PLA units at company level produce cash crops, such as
vegetables and fruit, and animals, such as pigs, chicken, or fish, to augment the food
consumed by the units. Excess from these sideline production efforts may be sold on the
open market to earn cash that can then be used to buy other necessities for the units.
Larger units maintain agricultural and sideline production bases, which produce staples
such as grains and legumes. Despite these efforts, the PLA is not self-sufficient in food
production and units must purchase some foodstuffs, especially processed foods and
rations for use in the field. The General Logistics Department does, however, have a few
research and development facilities that help in the development and testing of these
products.
Before 1998, the PLA ran several dozen quartermaster factories that produced most of
the PLA’s uniforms, shoes, boots, and personal equipment, such as load-bearing
equipment. These factories were part of the General Logistics Department system,
operated primarily by non-uniformed civilians working for the PLA. These factories now
have been turned over to local governments or other means of ownership. Many of them
still retain their old numeric designators, such as the 3501 Factory, and produce goods
used by the military (along with civilian products), but the PLA currently must purchase
their wares out of funds in the defense budget. Compared to overall cost of pay and
allowances, the percentage of funds dedicated to other aspects of the personnel account
are probably relatively small, but no details have been made public.
BUDGET CATEGORY TWO: OPERATIONS AND MAINTENANCE
Fewer specific facts are known about the composition of the operations and maintenance
category of the defense budget. Obviously a large portion of this category is dedicated to
the wide array of training conducted to prepare the force to execute its missions, plan and
organize its increasingly complex operations, and prepare its troops to effectively operate
and maintain its more sophisticated weapons and equipment. The new equipment is more
expensive to operate than in previous decades, as seen by the increase in oil costs, and
especially more expensive to conduct live-fire training with live ammunition.
Accordingly, to help manage costs, the PLA and defense industries have developed a
large numbers of equipment simulators to train pilots, drivers, gunners, and other
personnel in building the skills necessary for the future battlefield. As the PLA expands
Defense-Related Spending in China
26
its training in the field with troops and equipment, it also must reimburse local
governments and citizens for “maneuver damage” caused during the course of the
exercises. No details of amounts transferred to local governments, presumably from the
PLA operations budget category, are available and the issue remains controversial among
soldiers and local leaders.34
The 2006 White Paper repeats a statement that was first used in the 2000 edition,
“defense expenditure covers not only the active forces, but also the militia and reserve
forces.” As written, that statement implies that all expenses incurred by PLA reserve and
militia forces are paid out of the defense budget. In 1998, the first White Paper, however,
limited that support to logistics support, not personnel or operations: “In terms of the
scope of logistic support, these expenditures cover not only active service personnel, but
also militia and reserve requirements.” (italics added) Other recent information strongly
suggests that local governments actually provide the majority of funding for at least the
operational expenses for reserve and militia units. For example, in July 2006, Xinhua
reported that “Party committees and governments at all levels” should pay attention to
“solving practical problems of the militia and reserve forces in the course of training and
providing effective guarantees in terms of policy, funding, and materials.”35
(emphasis
added)
Education expenses to run the system of 67 PLA professional military education
institutions are generally included in the operations, training, and maintenance category
of the budget. The Ministry of Education also provides funding for a limited number of
officers to study at civilian educational institutes in China for graduate degrees. In 2003
the numbers reported were 60 students per year in 29 universities.36
The amount of
funding provided by the Ministry of Education for this program is not known. On the
other hand, funds to pay for national defense students, who do their undergraduate work
at civilian colleges and universities and are obligated to serve in the PLA upon
graduation, are included in the PLA operations budget. In 2006, over 10,000 high school
graduates entered this program at 112 civilian institutions. The PLA provides a yearly
scholarship of 5,000 RMB to each of the 40,000 students in this program.37
Presumably,
the PLA (or Ministry of Education) also provides some amount of funding to the
universities themselves to support this program.
Personnel and equipment from the PLA, PAP, and militia are routinely used throughout
China to respond to disasters and provide relief to civilians affected by floods, fires,
earthquakes, and other natural disasters. In 2005, regulations were issued that outline
procedures for reimbursement to the Chinese armed forces for performing these missions
based on who tasked the forces to act:
34
USCPF delegation conversations with senior retired PLA officers, November 2006.35
“Circular Issued on Commemorating PLA's 79th Founding Anniversary,” Xinhua, 17 July 2006. There
are many other articles in the Chinese military press that discuss the role of provincial and local
governments in providing funding for reserve and militia operations.36
“High-caliber talent program runs smoothly,” in PLA Daily, September 29, 2003.37
PRC: National Defense Students Train at Xian Electronics University CPP20060818145012 Xian
Shaanxi Ribao (Internet Version-WWW) in Chinese 29 Jun 06, translated by the Open Source Center
(OSC). This amounts to some 200 million RMB annually.
Chinese Defense Budget Structure
27
The expenses incurred by the army in participating in disaster relief
organized by the State Council shall be assumed by the State Central
Financial Department. The expenses incurred by the army in participating
in disaster relief organized by local people's governments shall be
assumed by the financial departments of the local governments.38
(italics
added)
With reimbursement from the central or local governments for activity related to
emergency tasks, the Chinese armed forces theoretically should be repaid for the
diversion of funds from their operations budgets to perform these important missions
(though not necessarily in the year that the expenses were incurred). The amount of
money reimbursed will vary from year to year and unit to unit depending on their
involvement in these operations.
Finally, within the operations and maintenance category, “construction and maintenance
of installations and facilities” is included. Renovation of old facilities, often with energy-
saving upgrades, and construction of new barracks and training grounds can be seen
throughout China. While the total cost of these projects is not known, in late 2005,
statistics from the General Logistics Department stated that 30 percent of barracks areas
had reached the standard of “new-concept barracks,” and “50 to 80 percent of Chinese
military barracks will be transformed in the next 10 years.”39
BUDGET CATEGORY THREE: EQUIPMENT
Of the three components of the Chinese defense budget, the Chinese government has
made public the least amount of detail about the equipment sector. No information has
been released about costs for weapons and equipment produced by the Chinese defense
industries. And little has been officially acknowledged about the specifics of foreign
weapons purchases, most of which are assumed to be funded by special state funds and
not from the PLA’s own budget. In particular, little is known about how research and
development funds are allotted to the military, COSTIND, and the civilian defense
industrial base.
The PLA has several armament research institutes that participate in the R&D for
weapons and equipment, as well as a number of weapons testing ranges and bases. Some
amount of PLA R&D funding is directed toward these institutes and bases; additional
R&D money is provided to the various elements of the civilian defense industrial base,
most of which probably comes from COSTIND, though some might also originate from
the Ministry of Science and Technology.
The Chinese space program is a joint military-civilian effort, presumably funded in large
part by R&D monies. Although the director of the General Armaments Department,
General Chen Bingde, is the “commander-in-chief of China’s space program,” within the
38
“PRC Regulations on Military Participation in Disaster Relief,” Jiefangjun bao, 7 June 2005.39
Liaowang Article Discusses 'New-Concept' Military Barracks CPP20060105058002 Shanghai Liaowang
Dongfang Zhoukan in Chinese 17 Nov 05 No 46, pp 35-39, translated by OSC.
Defense-Related Spending in China
28
program itself, the GAD manages only three systems (launch, tracking, and recovery
systems), with COSTIND’s China National Space Agency managing the rest.40
One final note as to how complicated the PLA budget can be, based on interviews in
Beijing, the salaries of some civilians who work at depot-level maintenance facilities and
technicians in R&D functions are paid out of the equipment budget, not the personnel
budget.41
CONCLUSION
In summary, the series of Chinese White Papers provide an elementary foundation of data
about China’s defense expenditures. When considered together, they provide a larger
body of data and information than any one single edition. Important trends and changes
can be discerned by comparing the White Papers with each other. Unfortunately,
discussion of defense expenditures in the White Papers is not as detailed or complete as is
needed to judge objectively the full scope of China’s defense modernization. Moreover,
many basic questions about the PLA remain unanswered officially, such as the size of the
individual services or numbers of officers, wenzhi ganbu, NCOs, conscripts, and civilian
workers on the payroll or the numbers of PLA and PAP troops who perform border
security duties every day of the year. Hints to the answers of many of these and
additional questions can be found by close examination of other Chinese sources, but
very few official sources provide answers at the level of detail required to build the
confidence in many foreign governments and analysts. Nevertheless, the Chinese
government’s publication of the White Papers on a regular schedule is a welcome
development and is to be encouraged. The Track II dialogue between the PLA and the
United States – China Policy Foundation is another positive step along this path.
While the White Papers are a good place to start in the quest to understand total Chinese
defense-related spending, many questions remain about the extrabudgetary sources of
income available to the PLA, People’s Armed Police, and militia. Many of these
unknown, unquantified sources have been mentioned in the paragraphs above and come
from a variety of central government sources, as well as local governments, commercial
enterprises, and the activities of military units themselves. (See Table 5 for a summary.)
Others likely exist.
More official data from the PLA or the Chinese government in answer to some of the
questions raised above would help foreigners better understand China’s military
capabilities and thus shed light on Beijing’s strategic intentions. The amount of resources
dedicated to China’s military modernization should be considered in light of other
national priorities. For example, though the announced defense budget in 2006 finally
amounted to nearly 300 billion RMB, in the same year 339.7 billion RMB from the
central government was spent on “the three rural issues” (agriculture, peasants, and rural
40
USCPF delegation conversations with senior retired PLA officers, November 2006. See “Shenzhou-6 a
milestone in China's space program: Chinese top legislator,” in People’s Daily, October 17, 2005, for
identification of Chen Bingde as “commander-in-chief of China’s space program.”41
USCPF delegation conversations with senior retired PLA officers, November 2006.
Chinese Defense Budget Structure
29
areas) and total R&D spending for the country also was reported at 300 billion RMB
(within this total R&D figure is an unknown amount applied to military projects).42
Table 5. Summary of Extrabudgetary Sources of Defense-Related Spending
Central Government
Foreign equipment purchases (from a special State
Council fund?)
Some/most military R&D from COSTIND (or Ministry of
Science and Technology?)
Some demobilization expenses from Ministry of Civil
Affairs
Some retirement expenses for soldiers from Ministry of
Civil Affairs (shared responsibility along with some
retirees supported by defense budget)
Some advanced education expenses for officers from the
Ministry of Education
Some military-related infrastructure construction (roads,
railroads, ports, air fields, etc)
Some reimbursement for expenses in disaster relief efforts
PAP expenses
Local Governments
(provinces, cities,
counties, etc)
Operational/training funding for PLA reserve units and
militia (some funding for reserve and militia is included in
the defense budget and additional support also comes from
enterprises in which militia units are organized)
Some demobilization expenses
Some military-related infrastructure construction in their
areas
Salaries for the "local civilian cadre" at village and
township level who man grassroots People's Armed
Forces Departments
Subsidies for electricity, water, coal etc supplied to PLA
barracks?
Some reimbursement for expenses in disaster relief efforts
PLA
Value of food (grain, vegetables, pigs, etc) produced by
PLA units in sideline production and consumed by
themselves
Value of food (grain, vegetables, pigs, etc) produced by
PLA units in sideline production and sold by units on the
local market for extra income
Value of excess land (or other property/equipment)
authorized to be sold by PLA units
42
Text of Government Work Report Delivered by Wen Jiabao at NPC Session 5 Mar 07
CPP20070305050001 Beijing CCTV-1 in Mandarin 0100 GMT 05 Mar 07, translated by OSC, and
“China's R&D investment up 22% in 2006,” in PLA Daily 2007-01-30 at
http://english.chinamil.com.cn/site2/news-channels/2007-01/30/content_720810.htm.
Defense-Related Spending in China
30
•
•
•
•
•
•
•
•
••
•
•
•
•
•
•
•
SECTION 3. INSIGHTS INTO CHINESE DEFENSE BUDGET ORGANIZATION AND
PROCESS
DEFENSE BUDGET ORGANIZATION
In addition to breaking the defense budget down into its constituent elements, it is
important to understand both the budget organizations themselves and the processes they
use to develop the budget, as both can provide further insights into the overall budget
itself.
The Defense Budget Organizational System
Figure 2 (see page 32) summarizes the overall PLA budget organization. At the top of the
chart is the Party leadership in the Politburo Standing Committee, followed by the
Politburo and the Central Committee, all of which set the country’s overall strategic
direction. Civilian governmental organs, headed by the State Council, comprise the right
side of the figure. Though many government bodies have responsibility over parts of the
financial and economic system, the Ministry of Finance is responsible for developing the
national budget, which includes defense spending below the national level. Civilian
government units at the provincial, municipal, county, township, and village levels
provide supplementary funding to the military units and organizations within their
jurisdictions.43
On the military side of the chart, the CMC is the highest command organization for the
military and is also the highest policymaking organization for PLA finance, where it
“manages defense outlays and assets jointly with the State Council.”44
It determines the
PLA’s modernization priorities, the direction of military development, and it is also
responsible for the level of total military expenditure. As part of this mandate, the CMC
provides unified leadership over the military’s entire financial dealings. The CMC is
responsible for examining and approving Five-year Plans (FYP) for military expenditure,
the annual general budgets for the PLA, general accounting, and large expenditures. The
CMC also approves and issues military-wide regulations on military financial work and
expenditure standards.45
The GLD is subordinate to the CMC and is responsible for allocating funds for all
budgetary items; working out the Five-year Plan for military expenditures and the annual
military budget as well as implementing general accounting for the military; drafting
military-wide financial regulations, arranging the military-wide system of finance
43
James Mulvenon, “China’s Military Expenditures,” in Keith Crane, et al, Modernizing China’s Military:
Opportunities and Constraints, Santa Monica, CA: RAND, MG-260-1-AF, 2005, pp. 91-134.44
Information Office of the State Council of the People’s Republic of China, “Chapter III: National
Defense Construction,” China’s National Defense, July 1998, accessed at http://www.china.org.cn/e-
white/5/5.3.htm#3 on March 27, 2006.45
Sun Zhiqiang, ed., Practical Encyclopedia of Chinese Military Finance (Zhongguo Junshi Caiwu
Shiyong Daquan), Beijing: PLA Publishing House, 1993; hereafter referred to as ZJCSD, pp. 10-11. In
2006, this book was in its 13th
edition, strongly suggesting its continued relevance.
Chinese Defense Budget Organization and Process
31
standards, and organizing the implementation of the total budget.46
Though the CMC
heads the entire PLA financial process, the military finance system is technically
subordinate to the GLD, with the GLD’s Finance Department specifically responsible for
financial affairs. Each subordinate logistics department at every level of the system has,
in turn, a subordinate finance department, division, office, or branch under the joint
direction of the logistics departments and the logistics finance departments at higher
levels. Below regimental level, lower level units do not necessarily have logistics finance
departments, but they will have established their own equivalent financial organizations
or finance cadres.
Figure 2. The Chinese Defense Budgeting Organizational System
Grassroots Units
Finance Office
Regimental
Finance Branch
Division/Brigade
Finance Offices
Corps Level
Finance Division
Military Region
Joint Logistics Dept
Finance Depts
Military Region
Finance Depts
GLD Finance
Department
General Logistics
Department
Central Military
Commission
Ministry of
Finance
Ministry of
Education
Ministry of
Civil Affairs
Ministry of
Public Security
COSTIND
Villages
Townships
Counties
Provinces,
Municipalities
State Council
Party Leadership
The GLD Finance Department is the highest organization within the PLA finance system,
and it administers the entirety of the military’s financial work.47
Most important among
its responsibilities is drafting the mid-to-long term financial revenue and expenditure
plans for the PLA. Additionally, it manages the PLA’s annual budget and general
accounting, carries out assessments and revisions of the military-wide system of finance
standards, ensures the overall balance of the budget, and adjusts and manages all
46
ZJCSD, pp. 10-11.47
ZJCSD, pp. 10-11.
Defense-Related Spending in China
32
military-wide revenue and expenditure plans. Specifically, the logistics finance
departments are responsible for:
Managing the military’s financial affairs
Planning and balancing expenditure items
Managing transfers, receipts, and payments
Settling accounts
Reporting expenses
Examining product pricing from military enterprises
Reporting on budget and financial supervision48
To facilitate the budgeting process, the GLD Finance Department manages a vertical
system of subordinate logistics finance departments at every level of the military. The
budgeting process also includes operating departments. These operating departments are
under the control of their functional chains of command, while the system of finance
departments exercises oversight of their budgets. At each level, operating and logistics
finance departments exercise shared management over budgetary expenditures. While the
logistics finance departments are concerned with the management of military finances,
the operating departments are focused on spending these finances.49
Party committees are
also involved at all three management levels and are responsible for examining and
approving annual budgets and large projects for their work units.50
A final role the GLD
Finance Department performs is that it directs the account settlement centers.51
Sitting below the GLD are the military regions and armed services. The MR joint
logistics finance departments are responsible for examining and approving budgets and
deciding on large expenditures for ground force, Navy and Air Force units subordinate to
the headquarters. They are also responsible for ensuring a balanced budget, drafting
supplementary regulations, implementing rules and regulations, handling funds transfers,
receiving funds for each budgetary item, and organizing and directing financial work for
the departments they supply with funding.52
The armed services logistics finance
departments have essentially the same functions; however, their main duty is to manage
the finances of those units directly subordinate to them.
The finances for all other PLAN and PLAAF units are managed by joint logistics
department finance departments, which comprise the third level of the finance system.
The JLD finance departments are responsible for supplying funds and managing the
finances for all ground, naval, and air force units that fall within their respective military
regions.
48
ZJCSD, pp. 10, 13, 132-133.49
ZJCSD, pp. 5, 11.50
ZJCSD, p. 10.51
ZJCSD, pp. 11-12. The PLA’s system of account settlement centers (ASCs) has both banking and
financial control functions. These centers manage capital, supervise the financial activities of operating
departments, and manage accounting. In particular, the ASCs are responsible for centralizing the financial
management (especially account settlements and expense reports) of operating departments under the
General Departments, military, regions, services, and lower-level units.52
ZJCSD, pp. 10-12, 132-133.
Chinese Defense Budget Organization and Process
33
•••••••
The fourth level consists of units at the corps/army-level and below that have party
committees. Organizations at this level are responsible for developing specific
implementation methods for supplementary regulations developed at the above level.
Like the level above, these units are responsible for overseeing budgets and large
expenditures.53
Grassroots spending units include companies, dining facilities, the officer cadet corps,
and management departments. Units at this level are primarily responsible for their direct
revenue and expenditure on personnel, maintenance, operating, and other expenses.
Generally, these units do not supply funds to other work units.
An Alternate Framework for Understanding Chinese Defense Budget Organization
POLICYMAKING UNITS
Policymaking work units are responsible for the system of financial regulations, the
formulation of management methods, the allocation of funding, and the organization of
and policymaking for major financial activities. Policymaking units include a variety of
high-level organizations, which are categorized according to their responsibilities within
the following four management levels:
1) CMC and General Departments
2) Military regions and armed services
3) Joint logistics departments
4) Units below the corps/army level
MANAGEMENT ORGANIZATIONS
Management units include military region air forces, naval bases, Second Artillery Corps
bases, group armies, provincial military districts, garrison commands, and logistics sub-
departments. These units organize, examine, and implement all financial work for the
units they fund.
IMPLEMENTING ORGANIZATIONS
Implementing work units include divisions, brigades, regiments, and equivalent units.
These units are primarily engaged in implementing the military finance system, ensuring
the completion of financial work ordered by upper levels, and dealing with revenue and
expenditure tasks.
53
ZJCSD, pp. 10-11, 132-133.
Defense-Related Spending in China
34
OTHER DEPARTMENTS
Operating departments are responsible for financially managing operating tasks. These
departments include hospitals, warehouses, military schools and universities, scientific
research organizations, military transport representative offices, military affairs
representative offices, and other financial management units. This group of organizations
is responsible for managing operating finances and income for their subordinate work
units and departments.
CHINESE DEFENSE BUDGET PROCESS54
The Chinese military budgeting process provides an important window into PLA
institutional equities and priorities. Interestingly, it is also one of the few areas of regular,
standardized interaction with the rest of the Chinese bureaucracy, and thus offers unique
insight into the military’s role within the system. As described in this section, the PLA
budget process includes formulating the budget, supplying funds to military units from
the budget, adjusting unit budgets during the year, and settling all year-end account
discrepancies.
At a macro-level, sources have documented the existence of three military budget
processes that operate more or less simultaneously. The first, known as the centralized
process, predominates and involves direct allocations from the state to the PLA’s central,
military region, and military district levels. The second, the decentralized process,
complements the centralized process with funds contributed by civilian government units.
A third system relevant to certain budgetary items is a combination of the centralized and
decentralized processes. 55
The 2006 White Paper for the first time included a brief discussion of the process of
formulating the defense budget.
China practices a strict system of financial appropriation of defense funds. The
PLA's budgeting is based on the defense development strategy, military building
objectives and annual military tasks set by the state. Budgeting units at each level
carry out studies to decide on their budget items, make calculations of their
requests for funds and then report to the next-higher authorities. The General
Logistics Department, working with the relevant departments of other general
headquarters/departments, analyzes, calculates and verifies the annual budget
requests submitted by all the military area commands, the Navy, Air Force and
Second Artillery Force, and draws up the defense budget. After being reviewed
54
This section is adapted from, Mulvenon, “China’s Military Expenditures,” pp. 97-100. Also see ZJCSD,
p. 142 and Modernizing China’s Military: Progress, Problems, and Prospects, p 205.55
Modernizing China’s Military: Progress, Problems, and Prospects, p. 205.
Chinese Defense Budget Organization and Process
35
and approved by the CMC, the defense budget is submitted to the Ministry of
Finance. The latter, on the basis of medium- and long-term fiscal plans and the
estimated revenue of the year, puts forward a plan for military expenditure
appropriations after consultation with the General Logistics Department, and then
incorporates it into the annual financial budget draft of the central government.
Upon approval by the State Council, the annual financial budget is submitted to
the Budget Work Committee of the NPC Standing Committee and the Finance
and Economic Committee of the NPC for review before it is submitted to the NPC
for review. After the budget of the central government is approved by the NPC,
the Ministry of Finance informs in writing the General Logistics Department of
the approved defense budget. The defense budget is then implemented down to
troops at different levels through prescribed procedures.
Financial departments are instituted at the General Logistics Department, military
area commands, Navy, Air Force and Second Artillery Force, and units at the
levels of corps, division (brigade) and regiment. These departments are
responsible for the appropriation, management and supervision of the defense
funds. The auditing offices of the state and the PLA conduct strict supervision of
the defense budget.
A significant revelation in the paragraphs above is the acknowledgement that “all the
military area commands [i.e., the seven military regions], the Navy, Air Force and
Second Artillery Force” each have their own budgets and submit their requests to the
General Logistics Department. Additionally, the Central Military Commission, the
Ministry of National Defense, the four General Departments, the Academy of Military
Science, National Defense University, and National University of Defense Technology
each have their own budgets.56
For financial purposes, these organizations are known as
“budget units” and are treated as equals.57
The relationship among these organizations is
seen at Appendix 1.
The Budget Calendar
The PLA fiscal year is the calendar year, starting in January and ending in December.
Little is known about the exact methods used to determine the topline of the budget each
year, since most of the available information on the macro-budgeting process is from pre-
zero based budgeting sources. Nevertheless, working from the calculated assumption that
the PLA’s centralized budgeting system still operates according to a down-up-down
dynamic, it is believed that the GLD works with the Ministry of Finance and the Central
Military Commission to establish total expenditure levels. The first “down” stage in this
procedure begins with the announcement of the annual military expenditure level in
March at the NPC.
Next is the “up” process commences each April and activates three additional steps. First,
all of the major PLA units – the MRs, service branches, military units at all levels,
56
USCPF delegation conversations with senior retired PLA officers, November 2006.57
USCPF delegation conversations with senior retired PLA officers, November 2006.
Defense-Related Spending in China
36
operating departments, and each of the General Departments – collects the following
budget materials and information:
Materials on the previous year’s general budget, itemized budgets, and related
earmarked expenditures
Information on how much of the current year’s finances can be devoted to
spending
How much the state plans to allocate for military expenditure (announced at the
NPC in March)
Expenditure targets from the CMC and General Departments
Current finance and economic policies and standards related to the military
budget
Reports justifying the military expenditure requests
In the second step, these work units calculate their funding needs, or the amount of
funding required for each item in the PLA’s budget.
The third step is to create drafts of the annual budgets for each work unit and the
operating departments’ itemized budgets. These drafts depend on the overall level of
military funding from the state, their specific allocations, and the tasks determined by the
CMC and General Departments. Using these factors, each unit’s draft lays out a detailed
expenditure plan and includes additional information, such as a budget statement, an
explanation of budget allocations, and steps for implementing the budget. After the
budget plan has been formed, the draft undergoes a process of examination and approval
that involves soliciting views from related departments, higher level departments, and
party committees. Drafts are completed by June.
These proposed budgets are then sent upwards through the system of logistics finance
departments and reach the military district logistics finance departments in July. The
military districts assemble the proposed budgets they receive and send them to their
respective MRs in August/September. The MRs then send the plans to the GLD Finance
Department. The USCPF delegation’s interlocutors in Beijing asserted that the PLA also
receive the defense budget ceiling from the Ministry of Finance by 10 November.58
Once
all of the estimates have reached the GLD (sometime in early fall) and the PLA has its
topline, an “All Army Logistics Conference” is held in Beijing in November to construct
the final budget.
After the conference concludes, the GLD sends the proposed budgets to the CMC, along
with the final accounts for that year. Once the CMC receives these bids and final
accounts, it compares the final accounts with the total expenditure level and allocations
proposed in the upcoming year’s PLA budget. The recommendations must then sent to
the Ministry of Finance by 10 December,59
the act of which then closes the books on that
year’s final accounts and sets in motion the next year’s military expenditure level
58
USCPF delegation conversations with senior retired PLA officers, November 2006.59
USCPF delegation conversations with senior retired PLA officers, November 2006.
Chinese Defense Budget Organization and Process
37
•
•
•
••
•
consultations among the state councilors, the Premier’s Office, and certain Politburo
leadership small groups.
Because the PLA's fiscal year is based on the calendar year and the National People’s
Congress is not held until March, each major command manages a "revolving fund" used
in the early months of each year (January through April), until the budget is finalized by
the Ministry of Finance.
In the final “down” step, the total military expenditure level is announced, along with the
total central budget, at the NPC in March. Final decisions on allocations are sent at this
time from the Ministry of Finance to the CMC, and down to lower levels through the
system of logistics finance departments. (See Figure 3).
Figure 3. The PLA Budget Process60
The PLA Budget CalendarApr MayApr May June July Aug Sept Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr
GLD Finance Bureaus down to division level assemble bids from ground, air, navy
Bids passed to MDs in July
Bids passed to MRs in August-September
“All-Army Logistics Conference” in Nov-Dec
Final accounts unit bids passed to CMC
CMC forwards recs to MinFin
MinFin closes books,announces new MilEx at NPC
Apr MayApr May June July Aug Sept Oct Nov Dec Jan Feb Mar Apr
Budget Process: Categories of Budgets and Funds
The overall expenditure level of the PLA’s general budget is determined in part (but not
entirely) by three lesser types of budgets:
Annual budgets from work units
Itemized budgets
Earmarked expenditures
Annual work unit budgets include the budgets of military regions, service branches, and
all levels of military units. From the military region/services level down to the regiment,
60
Mulvenon, “China’s Military Expenditures,” p. 99.
Defense-Related Spending in China
38
•••
as well as work units at equivalent levels, units draft and execute their own annual
budgets. The content of these budgets determines how lower-level units formulate their
budgets. Work unit budgets are structured much like the general PLA budget, although
variations do occur depending on the type and level of the work unit. During the annual
PLA budgeting process, these budgets are sent to the GLD Finance Department, which
then collates and sends them to the CMC.61
Itemized budgets are annual revenue and expenditure plans for itemized spending that are
formulated by “operating departments” at every level. Itemized budgets include the
budgetary funding and extrabudgetary income for that year and war reserve materials that
will be used to supplement budgetary funds.62
Operating departments formulate itemized
budgets once a year based on their allocations from the general PLA budget and their
operating tasks.63
Earmarked budgets are revenue and expenditure plans that cover certain specially
designated expenditures. Earmarked expenditures include equipment procurement,
logistics equipment procurement, capital construction, fuel, scientific research, combat
readiness and operations, horses, and CMC reserve funds. Earmarked budgets are
formulated by either the relevant department or the finance departments and must then be
reported to the GLD or military regions for examination and approval.
Figure 4. The Structure of Chinese Military Finance
61
ZJCSD, pp. 133-134, 221.62
It is unknown how war material reserves supplement the budget. Two possible reasons are that excess
stock is counted as additional budgetary revenue or that excess stock can be sold.63
ZJCSD, pp. 133-134, 221.
Chinese Defense Budget Organization and Process
39
Types of Military Finance Funds
As emphasized above, Chinese defense-related spending is distributed across more than
just the PLA budget. Reports on of the Chinese defense budget have thus far only
provided top-level analysis of the PLA budget and have barely mentioned defense-related
budgets outside the scope of the PLA budget proper. The following section goes beyond
the current literature and not only provides extensive details on the PLA budget but also
describes other defense-related budgets that fall under what the Chinese term “military
finance.”
Internal Chinese military sources provide more detailed insights into the key components
of military finance. Unlike the descriptions in the White Papers, according to these
sources military finance is divided into four types of funds, descriptions of which are
listed below:64
1) Budgetary funds: These funds are allocated from the state to the military and serve
as the basis for military finances. These funds compose the PLA budget.
2 ) Extrabudgetary funds: these are composed of the military’s self-generated
income, supplementary income for the General Departments, profits from
military-run production, income from business development, and miscellaneous
income. These funds work in tandem with regular financing to units from the PLA
budget.
3) Earmarked military construction funds:65
these funds are used for People’s Armed
Forces Departments and national defense scientific research.
4) Interagency funding: these funds are appropriated by the state, local governments,
or related organizations. The management of these funds is entrusted to military
work units. This funding category covers expenses for militia operating tasks,
conscripts, foreign aid, local military training, project funds managed for the state,
people’s air-defense projects, mobilization preparation,66
and militia equipment
acquisition.
From this description, it is clear that Chinese defense-related spending includes inputs
from other central government agencies (such as the various ministries), local
governments, and contributions from units themselves.
At township and village level, the salaries for zhuanwu ganbu in the People's Armed
Forces Departments are paid by the local governments. These personnel are considered
local civilian cadre and are responsible for conscription and command of militia units. At
county-level and above, active duty officers man People's Armed Forces Departments
and are funded by the PLA budget.
64
ZJCSD., pp. 4-5, 132.65
Construction in this sense means all the measures required to build and maintain an effective force and
national defense science and research structure.66
Mobilization preparation funds are earmarked funds used for ensuring there are adequate numbers of
reserve and active duty troops. See Qian Shugen, ed., The Encyclopedia of Chinese War Mobilization,
Beijing: Military Scientific Publishing House, 2001, p. 174.
Defense-Related Spending in China
40
Some funds for demobilization are provided by local governments and the Ministry of
Civil Affairs, but those funds are not reported to the PLA, and rather any reports that are
made go to the State Council.
The General PLA Budget
The PLA budget is comprised of only the first funding category (“budgetary funds”),
with the three other funds categories defined as part of other, non-PLA budgets. The PLA
budget – also called the “general PLA budget” or the annual military budget – plans
funding allocations for the entire military, controls and directs the budgets for each
military level, and controls earmarked expenditures. It is itself divided into 15 functional
components:67
1) Personnel expenses
2) Official business expenses
3) Operating expenses
4) Education and training expenses
5) Equipment acquisition expenses
6) Logistics equipment acquisition and maintenance management
7) Equipment maintenance management expenses
8) Petroleum expenses
9) Capital construction expenses
10) Scientific research expenses
11) Operational readiness and operational expenses
12) Other expenses
13) Central Military Commission reserve management funds
14) Militia construction expenses
15) People’s Air Defense expenses
Table 6. Notional Mapping of Functional Budget Components Onto
White Paper Categories
PERSONNEL O&M EQUIPMENT UNKNOWN
Personnel expenses Official business expenses
Operating expenses
Education and training
expenses
Petroleum expenses
Capital construction expenses
Operational readiness and
operational expenses
Militia construction expenses
People’s Air Defense expenses
Equipment acquisition
expenses
Logistics equipment
acquisition and maintenance
management
Equipment maintenance
management expenses
Scientific research expenses
Other expenses
Central Military Commission
reserve management funds
67
ZJCSD, pp. 133-134.
Chinese Defense Budget Organization and Process
41
Supplying Budgetary Funds68
Previous analyses on PLA budget processes have focused on how the annual budget is
created. Less attention has been paid to how budgetary funds are distributed through the
military hierarchy. This distribution occurs through the military’s funding system, which
dictates how budgetary funds make their way from the CMC to military units at every
level of the PLA.
The military funding system operates according to the military’s hierarchical structure.69
At present, the GLD directly funds military regions, the Navy and Air Force, Second
Artillery Corps, and other large units. These units, in turn, fund their respective
subordinate units. In January 2000, the PLA established joint logistics departments at the
MR level to supply and fund the ground forces, Air Force, and Navy. Joint logistics
departments’ finance departments allocate funding to operational units through MR-level
service logistics departments finance departments. The Second Artillery Corps,
technically a service arm rather than a full service, is still directly funded through the
GLD. Looking at the funding organizations for each of these units (also see Appendix A):
Military regions: subordinate units in the MR are funded through the joint
logistics department finance department
Ground forces: the joint logistics finance departments fund the corps in their MR,
who in turn fund a system of divisions, brigades, regiments, companies, and other
work units at equivalent levels.
PLAN: the joint logistics finance departments fund the MR’s Navy logistics
finance department. This department then transmits funding through a system of
bases, naval garrisons, and ships
PLAAF: the joint logistics finance departments fund the MR’s Air Force logistics
finance department. This department then funds subordinate units through a
system of military region air forces (MRAF), corps and command posts, airfields,
ground regiment level work units, and grassroots food work units.
Second Artillery Corps: the Second Artillery Corps headquarters funds all
subordinate units through a system of bases, brigades and regiments, and
grassroots work units.
Logistics sub-departments: military region logistics departments receive funding
from the joint logistics finance departments in their respective MRs. These sub-
departments are not only responsible for funding hospitals, warehouses, and other
subordinate units, they are also responsible for funding units specified by their
military region.
Adjusting the Budget
Budgets or allocations sometimes need to be adjusted during the course of the year. This
is usually due to modifications of resources, tasks, or prices after the budget has already
68
ZJCSD, p. 134.69
That is, units that are directly under their chain of command. This type of funds supply is also termed
“organic supply”. See ZJCSD, p. 134.
Defense-Related Spending in China
42
•
•
•
•
•
•
been implemented.70
The July 2006 pay raise, which was implemented half way through
the fiscal year, appears to be the most significant recent example of a budget adjustment.
Account Settlement and Final Accounting71
At the end of each year, units are required to settle their budgetary accounts and draft
final accounting reports, which summarize how their military budgets were implemented.
Final accounting follows specific procedures depending on the type of funding. In
general, each operating and logistics finance department works out its own final accounts.
These reports must be verified and approved before making their way through the finance
system. The GLD Finance Department compiles these final accounting reports into one
report for the entire PLA budget, which is then sent to the GLD for examination. The
GLD, in turn, sends the report to the CMC for approval, which also reports the final
accounting to the Ministry of Finance.
70
ZJCSD, p. 225.71
ZJCSD, pp. 143, 225, 227.
Chinese Defense Budget Organization and Process
43
SECTION 4. CONCLUSIONS
WHAT DID WE ACCOMPLISH?
Our meetings with the PLA and the resulting data provided in this report generated two
major insights relevant to improving our understanding of the Chinese defense budget –
as well as improving the quality of U.S.-China dialogues on sensitive military questions.
First, the delegation’s conversation with the PLA initiated a process of bilateral defense
budget consultations, albeit of the Track II variety, that could grow into a more
substantive and formal interactions. The PLA’s willingness to engage in this process with
the USCPF delegation indicated that the Chinese view bilateral defense budget
consultations as an area potentially worthy of discussion. Our delegation sensed a nascent
and growing Chinese recognition that national defense budget information serves as an
important signal to other nations of China’s national strategic intentions, priorities and
policies. Thus, a new avenue for bilateral military consultations may be opening.
It is critical that any formal bilateral defense budget dialogue include the deceptively
simple task of proposing national definitions of defense spending (i.e., what is in and
what is out) in an effort to agree upon a common definition that can then be used to
generate numbers that facilitate comparison. Although likely to be a complex task, it is a
necessary part of a process of military-to-military interactions that gradually reduces
suspicions through the channel of gradual and selective transparency. It may also provide
the PLA with the time and opportunity to create an internal process for gathering this data
from within their disparate bureaucracy.
Third, the delegation’s discussions in China helped both sides to identify the precise
scope of the differences between the U.S. and the Chinese defense budgets. The
remaining differences are myriad and are the source of enduring concerns about China
among U.S. strategists and defense planners. The data in China’s official defense budget
is limited and highly aggregated, constraining the ability to compare it to international
standards. Some of the most basic information on the budget and budget processes is
lacking:
Contributions to the PLA budget by civilian government units
Extrabudgetary expenditures, such as foreign arms acquisitions
Expenditures by service branch
Expenditures by functional category
Conclusions
45
••••
Second, our discussions revealed the importance of developing a common method for
assessing and comparing national defense budgets – an insight that should directly inform
future bilateral defense budget consultations. Perhaps the single greatest finding from our
trip was that the U.S. and Chinese use drastically different baselines and related methods
for counting the defense budget; this makes comparison a very challenging task. To
address this structural constraint, this report puts forward the concept of “total defense-related spending,” drawing from multiple international definitions, to facilitate such
comparison.
How funding allocations are determined
Further complicating the task facing Chinese military budget analysts is that China’s
official defense budget is so enormously disaggregated within different Chinese ministry
budgets that the PLA itself may not even know the total figure. The result is that some
defense spending usually included in Western budgets is not included in the PLA budget.
Defense budget items not listed in the PLA budget that are usually included in Western
budgets are:
Arms imports, especially large imported weapons systems
PAP expenses
Some demobilization and military pension costs
Some RDT&E expenses
Some extrabudgetary revenue
Funding from provincial and local governments
Some capital construction expenses for defense projects
Some elements of the nuclear weapons and strategic rocket programs
Overall, through this effort we now have 1) a better understanding of the composition of
the officially announced Chinese defense budget, 2) a more detailed listing of the types of
extrabudgetary inputs that augment the resources available to the Chinese armed forces,
and 3) a general knowledge of the process by which the military budget is formulated and
executed. Nonetheless, at this time, we do not have enough information to make a
reasonable estimate of the total amount of Chinese “defense-related spending.” There is
little data available to even guess at the size of many elements of extrabudgetary input –
the single exception is the foreign estimate of 2-3 billion dollars (U.S.) annually over the
past several years that have been allocated to the purchase of Russian weapons and
equipment. If data were available to calculate the size of other extrabudgetary funds
available to the PLA, it would also be necessary to determine an analytically sound
methodology to adjust the total sum to account for the differences in exchange rates
and/or the purchasing power of the RMB in the Chinese domestic economy. Moreover, as
the Chinese government provides more money to the PLA and slowly explains more of
this process, some of the assumptions of the past may no longer be operative, especially
as the value of the Chinese currency is gradually adjusted. In fact, some former
“extrabudgetary” sources of income may now be incorporated into the announced budget.
In the meantime, in order to be credible, any foreign estimate that attempts to gauge the
size of the “real” Chinese defense budget must delineate exactly what extrabudgetary
factors are included in their calculations, what amount of money goes to each factor, and
how currency conversion rates have been accommodated. Because of the imprecision of
these computations, a foreign estimate of “actual” Chinese defense spending should be
stated within a range of numbers, admitting that this range is only a guess, and not focus
only on the high end number in this range.
WHERE DO WE GO FROM HERE?
We assess that there is an opportunity to both further expand existing Track II dialogues
and to create a distinct defense budget working group under the framework of the
Defense-Related Spending in China
46
••••••••
•
existing U.S.-China Defense Consultative Talks. We propose that such a working group
could have the four part format detailed below. The goals would be two-fold: to develop
a common baseline for analysis and comparison, and to narrow misunderstandings about
each other’s national defense intentions, priorities and plans.
Strategy and Policy -- This could address three general issues: secrecy versus
openness, national budget priorities, and understanding U.S. and Chinese defense
budget priorities. Such an approach is premised on a negotiating approach that begins
with general topics and moves to increasingly specific ones.
Towards a Common Definition -- A second major activity could be negotiating a
common definition of defense spending. This report’s definition of “total defense-related spending” is one place to begin, as it incorporates elements of other major
international standards. This negotiation should be pursued with the intention of
creating a model that China could apply to bilateral military dialogues with other
nations.
The Content of the PLA’s Budget -- Given our limited information about so many
aspects of the PLA’s budget, there are at least five sets of questions (and various sub-
questions) that need to be addressed, including:
o How are local government contributions to “defense-related spending”
determined and how are they reported back to Beijing?
o What is the breakdown of defense-related spending by military region, PLAN,
PLAAF, Second Artillery, reserves, militia, PAP?
o How was the recent pay raise distributed among the ranks?
o How is defense-related research and development funded?
Understanding PLA Budget Processes -- A final part of this dialogue should focus on
the defense budget formation process and related reforms. Understanding this process
in China may help us to understand the types of budget information that China can
and can not provide as well as how the budget formulation process impacts other PLA
decisions unrelated to budgeting, such as its exercise and training schedule.
The USCPF assesses that these four categories of topics could provide fertile ground for
either furthering Track II defense budget dialogues with the PLA or to create a working
group with the formal DCT process that current exists.
Conclusions
47
•
•
•
•
APPENDICES
Appendix1
Source: PLA Daily website at
http://english.pladaily.com.cn/special/stength/content/index.htm.
Appendices
49
Du
ty P
osit
ion
Ran
k
(Grad
e)
Mil
itary R
an
kR
eti
rem
en
t
Age
Un
it L
evel
(Arm
y)
Un
it L
evel
(Navy)
Un
it L
evel
(Air
Force)
Un
it L
evel
(Secon
d
Arti
llery)
1. C
MC
Chair
man/V
ice
Chair
man
None
None
2. C
MC
Vic
e C
hair
man
or
Mem
ber
Genera
lG
enera
l H
Qs D
epts
(GS
D,G
PD
,GL
D,G
AD
)
3. M
ilit
ary
Regio
nG
enera
l/
Lie
ute
nant
Genera
l
65
Mil
itary
Regio
nH
Qs
HQ
sH
Qs
4. D
eputy
Mil
itary
Regio
n
Lie
ute
nant
Genera
l/M
ajo
r
Genera
l
63
Fle
et
Mil
itary
Regio
n
Air
Forc
e
5. A
rmy/C
orp
sM
ajo
r G
enera
l/ L
ieute
nant
Genera
l
55
Gro
up A
rmy/
Mil
itary
Dis
tric
t
Support
Base
Regio
nal
Com
mand
Post
Base
6. D
eputy
Arm
y/C
orp
sM
ajo
r G
enera
l/
Senio
r C
olo
nel
53
7. D
ivis
ion
Senio
r C
olo
nel/
Majo
r G
enera
l
50
Div
isio
n/
Mil
itary
Subdis
tric
t
Garr
ison/
Flo
till
a
Div
isio
n
8. D
eputy
Div
isio
nC
olo
nel/
Senio
r C
olo
nel
48
Bri
gade
Bri
gade
Bri
gade
9. R
egim
ent
Colo
nel/
Lie
ute
nant
Colo
nel
45
Regim
ent/
Gro
up/
People
’s A
rmed F
orc
es
Depart
ments
(county
)
Gro
up
Regim
ent
10. D
eputy
Regim
ent
Lie
ute
nant
Colo
nel/
Majo
r
43
11. B
att
ali
on
Majo
r/
Lie
ute
nant
Colo
nel
40
Batt
ali
on
Squadro
nB
att
ali
on/
Gro
up
Batt
ali
on
12. D
eputy
Batt
ali
on
Capta
in/M
ajo
r38
13. C
om
pany
Capta
in/
Fir
st
Lie
ute
nant
35
Com
pany
Com
pany/
Squadro
n
Com
pany
14. D
eputy
Com
pany
Fir
st
Lie
ute
nant/
Capta
in
33
15. P
lato
on
Second L
ieute
nant/
Fir
st
Lie
ute
nant
30
Pla
toon
Pla
toon/
Fli
ght
Pla
toon
App
en
dix
2
Defense-Related Spending in China
50
Delegation Members
Dennis J. Blasko, Lieutenant Colonel, U.S. Army (Retired), served 23 years as a
Military Intelligence Officer and Foreign Area Officer specializing in China. Mr. Blasko
was an army attaché in Beijing from 1992-1995 and in Hong Kong from 1995-1996. He
also served in infantry units in Germany, Italy, and Korea and in Washington at the
Defense Intelligence Agency, Headquarters Department of the Army (Office of Special
Operations), and the National Defense University War Gaming and Simulation Center.
Mr. Blasko is a graduate of the United States Military Academy and the Naval
Postgraduate School. He has written numerous articles and chapters on the Chinese
military and defense industries and is the author of the book, The Chinese Army Today:
Tradition and Transformation for the 21st Century (Routledge, 2006).
Ambassador Chas W. Freeman, Jr. is Co-Chair of the United States-China Policy
Foundation, Chairman of Projects International, Inc., a Washington-based business
development corporation, President of the Middle East Policy Council, Vice Chair of the
Atlantic Council of the United States, a trustee of the Institute for Defense Analyses, and
a member of the boards of directors of the American Academy of Diplomacy, the
Association for Diplomatic Studies and Training, and the World Affairs Council of
Washington, DC.
In 1993-1994 Ambassador Freeman served as Assistant Secretary of Defense for
International Security Affairs. In that position, he earned the highest public service award
of the Department of Defense for his roles in designing a NATO-centered post-Cold War
European security system and in reopening defense dialogue with China. He was U.S.
Ambassador to Saudi Arabia (during Desert Shield and Desert Storm), Principal Deputy
Assistant Secretary of State for African Affairs (during the successful U.S. mediation of
Namibian independence from South Africa and Cuban troop withdrawal from Angola),
and Deputy Chief of Mission at both Bangkok and Beijing. He was Country Director for
China from 1979-1981, a member of the advance team to open the U.S. Liaison Office in
Beijing in 1973, and the principal American interpreter during the late President Nixon’s
path-breaking visit to China in 1972. In addition to his East Asian, Middle Eastern,
African, and European diplomatic experience, Ambassador Freeman served in India.
Ambassador Freeman has a diploma from the Universidad Nacional Autónoma de
México, a BA from Yale University, and a JD from the Harvard Law School as well as
certificates in Chinese language (Mandarin and Taiwanese) and area studies. He was
elected to the American Academy of Diplomacy in 1995. His award-winning book of
quotations on statecraft and diplomacy, the Diplomat’s Dictionary, was published in
1994. A revised edition and a second book on the same subject, Arts of Power: Statecraft
and Diplomacy, were published by the United States Institute of Peace Press in 1997.
Mr. Stanley A. Horowitz is Assistant Director of the Cost Analysis and Research
Division at the Institute for Defense Analysis (IDA). Much of his work involves analysis
of the cost, measurement and enhancement of readiness. For the past few years he has
been analyzing the effectiveness of the Training Transformation Program. Recently he
has presented several papers in Beijing addressing the resource allocation system in the
Delegation Members
51
U.S. Department of Defense, the costs of personnel in the U.S. military, and total U.S.
spending on national security. He has directed studies of reserve component readiness,
reserve training, and reserve volunteerism. Before coming to IDA in 1985 Mr. Horowitz
was in charge of manpower, logistics and readiness research at the Center for Naval
Analyses. Mr. Horowitz was trained as an economist at M.I.T. and the University of
Chicago.
Evan S. Medeiros is currently a senior political scientist at the RAND Corporation in the
Washington, DC office. He specializes in research on Asian security affairs, China’s
foreign and national security policies, U.S.-China relations and Chinese military affairs.
In 2006, Dr. Medeiros was awarded a Council on Foreign Relations International Affairs
Fellowship. In 2005 he was chosen to be a Public Intellectual Fellow by the National
Committee on US-China Relations, the oldest American non-governmental organization
promoting US-China exchanges. This fellowship facilitates community outreach and
education programs on China for the American public.
Prior to joining RAND, Dr. Medeiros was a Senior Research Associate for East Asia at
the Center for Nonproliferation Studies at the Monterey Institute of International Studies,
in Monterey, CA. During 2000, he was a visiting fellow at the Institute of American
Studies at the China Academy of Social Sciences (CASS) in Beijing and an adjunct
lecturer at China’s Foreign Affairs College. Dr. Medeiros conducted research on Asian
security issues at the Carnegie Endowment for International Peace from 1993-1995.
Dr. Medeiros has written on a broad range of Asian security issues. A book on the
evolution of China’s WMD nonproliferation policies will be published in Fall 2007 by
Stanford University Press. His most recent publications are an article in the June 2007
issue of China Quarterly on China’s debate about its “peaceful rise” strategy and a
Washington Quarterly article on U.S. and Chinese “hedging strategies” in Asia. In 2005
and 2006 he published a book chapter titled “China’s Evolving Nuclear Doctrine,” and
three RAND studies called A New Direction for China’s Defense Industry (MG-334-AF);
Chasing the Dragon: Assessing China’s System of Export Controls on WMD-related
Goods and Technologies (MG-353), and Modernizing China’s Military: Opportunities
and Constraints (MG-260-AF). In November 2003, he published (with M. Taylor Fravel)
the lead article in Foreign Affairs called “China’s New Diplomacy” which has received
international attention.
His other publications have appeared in: The China Quarterly, Current History, Foreign
Affairs, Issues and Studies: A Journal of Chinese Studies and International Affairs, The
Nonproliferation Review, The International Herald Tribune, The Washington Post, The
Washington Quarterly, IISS’s Strategic Comments, Jane’s Intelligence Review, The Los
Angeles Times, YaleGlobal, the Christian Science Monitor, The Boston Globe, Defense
News, Asia Times, and the San Diego Union-Tribune.
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He holds a Ph.D. in International Relations from the London School of Economics and
Political Science, an M.Phil in International Relations from the University of Cambridge
(where he was a Fulbright Scholar), an M.A. in China Studies from the University of
London’s School of Oriental and African Studies (SOAS), and a B.A. in analytic
philosophy from Bates College in Lewiston, ME. He travels to Asia frequently and
speaks, reads and writes Mandarin Chinese.
James C. Mulvenon is Director (Acting), Advanced Analysis at DGI’s Center for
Intelligence Research and Analysis. Previously, Dr. Mulvenon was a Political Scientist at
the RAND Corporation in Washington, DC and Deputy Director of RAND's Center for
Asia-Pacific Policy. A specialist on the Chinese military, his current research focuses on
Chinese C4ISR, defense research/development/acquisition organizations and policy,
strategic weapons doctrines (computer network attack and nuclear warfare), patriotic
hackers, and the military and civilian implications of the information revolution in China.
His book Soldiers of Fortune (Armonk, NY: M.E. Sharpe, 2001), examines the Chinese
military’s multi-billion dollar business empire. Dr. Mulvenon received his Ph.D. in
political science from the University of California, Los Angeles.
Delegation Members
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