deep value investing - valuewalk · deep value investing: ... case study: popular holdings ......

30
Deep Value Investing: How The World's Best Investors Beat The Market Tay Jun Hao LLB Law (Hons) theasiareport.com

Upload: ngophuc

Post on 03-May-2018

220 views

Category:

Documents


3 download

TRANSCRIPT

Deep Value Investing:How The World's Best Investors Beat The Market

Tay Jun Hao LLB Law (Hons)theasiareport.com

BP PLC

Copyright 2015 @ The Asia Report

BP PLC

Copyright 2015 @ The Asia Report

Copyright 2015 @ The Asia Report

Why not learn adopt the strategies and habits of people

who’ve already succeeded?

Off to the Race Tracks

Copyright 2015 @ The Asia Report

• Leon Cooperman $3.7 Billion

• Edward Lampert $2.9 Billion

• Bill Ackman $2.5 Billion

• Howard Marks $2.0 Billion

• David Einhorn $1.9 Billion

• Seth Klarman $1.5 Billion

The Timeless Value Approach

Copyright 2015 @ The Asia Report

Copyright 2015 @ The Asia Report

Is it better to buy cheap companies at good prices, or wonderful

companies at fair prices?

What is Deep Value?

Copyright 2015 @ The Asia Report Image Source; Tweedy Brown, What Has Worked in Value Investing

Results of Deep Value

Copyright 2015 @ The Asia Report

Deep Value in Emerging Markets

Copyright 2015 @ The Asia Report

We must have earned an average of some 20 per cent per year from this source....

- Graham on buying stocks selling below liquidation value

Results of Deep Value

Copyright 2015 @ The Asia Report

Results of Deep Value

Copyright 2015 @ The Asia Report

Is Buffett a Deep Value Investor?

“You have to turn over a lot of

rocks to find those little

anomalies.

You have to find the

companies that are off the

map – way off the map.

You may find local

companies that have

nothing wrong with them at

all…

Copyright 2015 @ The Asia Report

Is Buffett a Deep Value Investor?

Having a lot of money to

invest forced Berkshire to buy

those that were less

attractive.

With less capital, I

could have put all my

money into the most

attractive issues and

really creamed it.”

If we avoid the losers, the winners will take care

of themselves.- Howard Marks, Oaktree Capital

Annualized Gains of Funds – 19% per annum net fees

The Heart of Deep Value Investing

Copyright 2015 @ The Asia Report

Case Study: Popular Holdings

Copyright 2015 @ The Asia Report

Case Study: Popular Holdings

Copyright 2015 @ The Asia Report

Case Study: Popular Holdings

Copyright 2015 @ The Asia Report

• Suffered a "loss" in 2009, mainly non cash charge

• Deleveraged balance sheet since 2009

• Core business was producing significant free cash flow

Case Study: Popular Holdings

Copyright 2015 @ The Asia Report

What’s Our Downside? – 2010 Annual Report

• Market Capitalization at 2011:

$130 Million, $0.16 per ShareCopyright 2015 @ The Asia Report

Case Study: Popular Holdings

Copyright 2015 @ The Asia Report

Copyright 2015 @ The Asia Report

Where’s the fear?

Copyright 2015 @ The Asia Report

Investing is simple, but never easy.

- Warren Buffett

Copyright 2015 @ The Asia Report

This is neither a recommendation to purchase or sell any of the shares, securities or other instruments mentioned in this document or referred to; nor can this course material and/or document be treated as professional advice to buy, sell or take a position in any shares, securities or other instruments.

Legal Disclaimer

Copyright 2015 @ The Asia Report

• Market cap: $32.5 mil

• Book Value: $46.9 mil

Case Study

Copyright 2015 @ The Asia Report

Case Study

Copyright 2015 @ The Asia Report

Case Study

Copyright 2015 @ The Asia Report

• Book Value: $62.3 mil

• Real P/B: 0.5

• Dividend Yield: 5.3%+

Case Study

Copyright 2015 @ The Asia Report

Deep Value cont.

Copyright 2015 @ The Asia Report

Deep value cont.

Copyright 2015 @ The Asia Report

theasiareport.com