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    The obesity eraAs the American people got fatter, so did marmosets, vervet monkeys and

    mice. The problem may be bigger than any of us

    by David Berreby 4,700 words Read later or Kindle

    The previous belief of many lay people and health professionals that obesity is simply the result of a lack of

    willpower and an inability to discipline eating habits is no longer defensible. Photo by Karen Kasmauski

    David Berreby is a

    science writer and the

    author of Us and Them:

    The Science of Identity

    (2008). He lives in New

    York.

    19 Comments

    75

    ShareShare 4

    Years ago, after a plane trip spent reading Fyodor DostoyevskysNotes from

    theUndergroundand Weight Watchers magazine, Woody Allen melded the

    two experiences into a single essay. I am fat, it began. I am disgustingly fat. I

    am the fattest human I know. I have nothing but excess poundage all over my

    body. My fingers are fat. My wrists are fat. My eyes are fat. (Can you imaginefat eyes?). It was 1968, when most of the worlds people were more or less

    height-weight proportional and millions of the rest were starving. Weight

    Watchers was a new organisation for an exotic new problem. The notion that

    being fat could spur Russian-novel anguish was good for a laugh.

    That, as we used to say during my Californian adolescence, was then. Now,

    1968s joke has become 2013s truism. For the first time in human history,

    overweight people outnumber the underfed, and obesity is widespread in

    wealthy and poor nations alike. The diseases that obesity makes more likely

    diabetes, heart ailments, strokes, kidney failure are rising fast across the

    world, and the World Health Organisation predicts that they will be the leading

    causes of death inallcountries, even the poorest, within a couple of years.

    What's more, the long-term illnesses of the overweight are far more expensive

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    to treat than the infections and accidents for which modern health systems were

    designed. Obesity threatens individuals with long twilight years of sickness,

    and health-care systems with bankruptcy.

    And so the authorities tell us, ever more loudly, that we are fat disgustingly,

    world-threateningly fat. We must take ourselves in hand and address our

    weakness. After all, its obvious who is to blame for this frightening global

    blanket of lipids: its us, choosing over and over again, billions of times a day,to eat too much and exercise too little. What else could it be? If youre

    overweight, it must be because you are not saying no to sweets and fast food

    and fried potatoes. Its because you take elevators and cars and golf carts

    where your forebears nobly strained their thighs and calves. How could

    you dothis to yourself, and to society?

    Moral panic about the depravity of the heavy has seeped into many aspects of

    life, confusing even the erudite. Earlier this month, for example, the American

    evolutionary psychologist Geoffrey Miller expressed the zeitgeist in this tweet:

    Dear obese PhD applicants: if you dont have the willpower to stop eatingcarbs, you wont have the willpower to do a dissertation. #truth. Businesses

    are moving to profit on the supposed weaknesses of their customers.

    Meanwhile, governments no longer presume that their citizens know what they

    are doing when they take up a menu or a shopping cart. Yesterdays fringe

    notions are becoming todays rules for living such as New York Citys

    recent attempt to ban large-size cups for sugary soft drinks, or Denmarks short-

    lived tax surcharge on foods that contain more than 2.3 per cent saturated fat, or

    Samoa Airs 2013 ticket policy, in which a passengers fare is based on his

    weight because: You are the master of your air fair, you decide how much

    (or how little) your ticket will cost.

    Several governments now sponsor jauntily named pro-exercise programmes

    such as Lets Move! (US), Change4Life (UK) and actionsant (Switzerland).

    Less chummy approaches are spreading, too. Since 2008, Japanese law

    requires companies to measure and report the waist circumference of all

    employees between the ages of 40 and 74 so that, among other things, anyone

    over the recommended girth can receive an email of admonition and advice.

    Hand-in-glove with the authorities that promote self-scrutiny are the businesses

    that sell it, in the form of weight-loss foods, medicines, services, surgeries and

    new technologies. A Hong Kong company named Hapilabs offers an electronic

    fork that tracks how many bites you take per minute in order to prevent hasty

    eating: shovel food in too fast and it vibrates to alert you. A report by the

    consulting firm McKinsey & Co predicted in May 2012 that health and

    wellness would soon become a trillion-dollar global industry. Obesity is

    expensive in terms of health-care costs, it said before adding, with a

    consultantly chuckle, dealing with it is also a big, fat market.

    And so we appear to have a public consensus that excess body weight (defined

    as a Body Mass Index of 25 or above) and obesity (BMI of 30 or above) are

    consequences of individual choice. It is undoubtedly true that societies are

    spending vast amounts of time and money on this idea. It is also true that the

    masters of the universe in business and government seem attracted to it, perhaps

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    because stern self-discipline is how many of them attained their status. What

    we dontknow is whether the theory is actually correct.

    Higher levels of female obesity correlated with higher

    levels of gender inequality in each nation

    Of course, thats not the impression you will get from the admonishments of

    public-health agencies and wellness businesses. They are quick to assure usthat science says obesity is caused by individual choices about food and

    exercise. As the Mayor of New York, Michael Bloomberg, recently put it,

    defending his proposed ban on large cups for sugary drinks: If you want to lose

    weight, dont eat. This is not medicine, its thermodynamics. If you take in more

    than you use, you store it. (Got that? Its not complicated medicine, its

    simplephysics, the most sciencey science of all.)

    Yet the scientists who study the biochemistry of fat and the epidemiologists

    who track weight trends are not nearly as unanimous as Bloomberg makes out.

    In fact, many researchers believe that personal gluttony and laziness cannotbe

    the entire explanation for humanitys global weight gain. Which means, of

    course, that they think at least some of the official focus on personal conduct is

    a waste of time and money. As Richard L Atkinson, Emeritus Professor of

    Medicine and Nutritional Sciences at the University of Wisconsin and editor of

    theInternational Journal of Obesity, put it in 2005: The previous belief of

    many lay people and health professionals that obesity is simply the result of a

    lack of willpower and an inability to discipline eating habits is no longer

    defensible.

    onsider, for example, this troublesome fact, reported in 2010 by

    the biostatistician David B Allison and his co-authors at the

    University of Alabama in Birmingham: over the past 20 years or

    more, as the American people were getting fatter, so were

    Americas marmosets. As were laboratory macaques, chimpanzees, vervet

    monkeys and mice, as well as domestic dogs, domestic cats, and domestic and

    feral rats from both rural and urban areas. In fact, the researchers examined

    records on those eight species and found that average weight for every one had

    increased. The marmosets gained an average of nine per cent per decade. Lab

    mice gained about 11 per cent per decade. Chimps, for some reason, are doingespecially badly: their average body weight had risen 35 per cent per decade.

    Allison, who had been hearing about an unexplained rise in the average weight

    of lab animals, was nonetheless surprised by the consistency across so many

    species. Virtually in every population of animals we looked at, that met our

    criteria, there was the same upward trend, he told me.

    It isnt hard to imagine that people who are eating more themselves are giving

    more to their spoiled pets, or leaving sweeter, fattier garbage for street cats and

    rodents. But such results dont explain why the weight gain is also occurring in

    species that human beings dont pamper, such as animals in labs, whose dietsare strictly controlled. In fact, lab animals lives are so precisely watched and

    measured that the researchers can rule out accidental human influence: records

    show those creatures gained weight over decades without any significant

    change in their diet or activities. Obviously, if animals are getting heavier along

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    with us, it cant just be that theyre eating more Snickers bars and driving to

    work most days. On the contrary, the trend suggests some widely shared cause,

    beyond the control of individuals, which is contributing to obesity across many

    species.

    Such a global hidden factor (or factors) might help to explain why most people

    gain weight gradually, over decades, in seeming contradiction of Bloombergs

    thermodynamics. This slow increase in fat stores would suggest that they areeating only a tiny bit more each month than they use in fuel. But if that were so,

    as Jonathan C K Wells, professor of child nutrition at University College

    London, has pointed out, it would be easy to lose weight. One recent model

    estimated that eating a mere 30 calories a day more than you use is enough to

    lead to serious weight gain. Given what each person consumes in a day (1,500

    to 2,000 calories in poorer nations; 2,500 to 4,000 in wealthy ones), 30

    calories is a trivial amount: by my calculations, thats just two or three peanut

    M&Ms. If eliminating that little from the daily diet were enough to prevent

    weight gain, then people should have no trouble losing a few pounds. Instead,

    as we know, they find it extremely hard.

    Many other aspects of the worldwide weight gain are also difficult to square

    with the its-just-thermodynamics model. In rich nations, obesity is more

    prevalent in people with less money, education and status. Even in some poor

    countries, according to a survey published last year in theInternational

    Journal of Obesity, increases in weight over time have been concentrated

    among the least well-off. And the extra weight is unevenly distributed among

    the sexes, too. In a study published in the Social Science and Medicine journal

    last year, Wells and his co-authors found that, in a sample that spanned 68

    nations, for every two obese men there were three obese women. Moreover, theresearchers found that higher levels of female obesity correlated with higher

    levels of gender inequality in each nation. Why, if body weight is a matter of

    individual decisions about what to eat, should it be affected by differences in

    wealth or by relations between the sexes?

    Chemicals ingested on Tuesday might promote more

    fat retention on Wednesday

    To make sense of all this, the purely thermodynamic model must appeal tocomplicated indirect effects. The story might go like this: being poor is

    stressful, and stress makes you eat, and the cheapest food available is the stuff

    with a lot of empty calories, therefore poorer people are fatter than the better-

    off. These wheels-within-wheels are required because the mantra of the

    thermodynamic model is that a calorie is a calorie is a calorie: who you are

    and what you eat are irrelevant to whether you will add fat to your frame. The

    badness of a bad food such as a Cheeto is that it makes calorie intake easier

    than it would be with broccoli or an apple.

    Yet a number of researchers have come to believe, as Wells himself wroteearlier this year in theEuropean Journal of Clinical Nutrition, that all

    calories are not equal. The problem with diets that are heavy in meat, fat or

    sugar is not solely that they pack a lot of calories into food; it is that they alter

    the biochemistry of fat storage and fat expenditure, tilting the bodys system in

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    favour of fat storage. Wells notes, for example, that sugar, trans-fats and

    alcohol have all been linked to changes in insulin signalling, which affects

    how the body processes carbohydrates. This might sound like a merely

    technical distinction. In fact, its a paradigm shift: if the problem isnt the

    number of calories but rather biochemical influences on the bodys fat-making

    and fat-storage processes, then sheer quantity of food or drink are not the all-

    controlling determinants of weight gain. If candys chemistry tilts you toward

    fat, then the fact that you eat it at all may be as important as the amount of it you

    consume.

    More importantly, things that alter the bodys fat metabolism is a much wider

    category than food. Sleeplessness and stress, for instance, have been linked to

    disturbances in the effects of leptin, the hormone that tells the brain that the

    body has had enough to eat. What other factors might be at work? Viruses,

    bacteria and industrial chemicals have all entered the sights of obesity research.

    So have such aspects of modern life as electric light, heat and air conditioning.

    All of these have been proposed, with some evidence, as directcauses of

    weight gain: the line of reasoning is not that stress causes you to eat more, butrather that it causes you to gain weight by directly altering the activities of your

    cells. If some or all of these factors are indeed contributing to the worldwide

    fattening trend, then the thermodynamic model is wrong.

    We are, of course, surrounded by industrial chemicals. According to Frederick

    vom Saal, professor of biological sciences at the University of Missouri, an

    organic compound called bisphenol-A (or BPA) that is used in many household

    plastics has the property of altering fat regulation in lab animals. And a recent

    study by Leonardo Trasande and colleagues at the New York University School

    of Medicine with a sample size of 2,838 American children and teens foundthat, for the majority, those with the highest levels of BPA in their urine were

    five times more likely to be obese than were those with the lowest levels.

    BPA has been used so widely in everything from childrens sippy cups to

    the aluminium in fizzy drink cans that almost all residents of developed

    nations have traces of it in their pee. This is not to say that BPA is unique. In

    any developed or developing nation there are many compounds in the food

    chain that seem, at the very least, to be worth studying as possible obesogens

    helping to tip the bodys metabolism towards obesity. For example, a study by

    the Environmental Working Group of the umbilical cords of 10 babies born in

    US hospitals in 2004 found 287 different industrial chemicals in their blood.

    Beatrice Golomb, professor of medicine at the University of California, San

    Diego, has proposed a long list of candidates all chemicals that, she has

    written, disrupt the normal process of energy storage and use in cells. Her

    suspects include heavy metals in the food supply, chemicals in sunscreens,

    cleaning products, detergents, cosmetics and the fire retardants that infuse

    bedclothes and pyjamas.

    Chemicals and metals might promote obesity in the short term by altering the

    way that energy is made and stored within cells, or by changing the signals in

    the fat-storage process so that the body makes more fat cells, or larger fat cells.

    They could also affect the hormones that spur or tamp down the appetite. In

    other words, chemicals ingested on Tuesday might promote more fat retention

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    on Wednesday.

    Its also possible that chemical disrupters could affect peoples body chemistry

    on longertimescales starting, for instance, before their birth. Contrary to its

    popular image of serene imperturbability, a developing foetus is in fact acutely

    sensitive to the environment into which it will be born, and a key source of

    information about that environment is the nutrition it gets via the umbilical cord.

    As David J P Barker, professor of clinical epidemiology of the University ofSouthampton, noted some 20 years ago, where mothers have gone hungry, their

    offspring are at a greater risk of obesity. The prenatal environment, Barker

    argued, tunes the childrens metabolism for a life of scarcity, preparing them to

    store fat whenever they can, to get them through periods of want. If those spells

    of scarcity never materialise, the childs proneness to fat storage ceases to be

    an advantage. The 40,000 babies gestated during Hollands Hunger Winter of

    1944-1945 grew up to have more obesity, more diabetes and more heart trouble

    than their compatriots who developed without the influence of war-induced

    starvation.

    Its possible that widespread electrification is

    promoting obesity by making humans eat at night,

    when our ancestors were asleep

    Just to double down on the complexity of the question, a number of researchers

    also think that industrial compounds might be affecting these signals. For

    example, Bruce Blumberg, professor of developmental and cell biology at the

    University of California, Irvine, has found that pregnant mice exposed to

    organotins (tin-based chemical compounds that are used in a wide variety ofindustries) will have heavier offspring than mice in the same lab who were not

    so exposed. In other words, the chemicals might be changing the signal that the

    developing foetus uses to set its metabolism. More disturbingly, there is

    evidence that this foetal programming could last more than one generation. A

    good predictor of your birth weight, for instance, is your mothers weight

    at herbirth.

    urking behind these prime suspects, there are the fugitive

    possibilities what David Allison and another band of co-

    authors recently called the roads less travelled of obesityresearch. For example, consider the increased control civilisation

    gives people over the temperature of their surroundings. There is a

    thermoneutral zone in which a human body can maintain its normal internal

    temperature without expending energy. Outside this zone, when its hot enough

    to make you sweat or cold enough to make you shiver, the body has to expend

    energy to maintain homeostasis. Temperatures above and below the neutral

    zone have been shown to cause both humans and animals to burn fat, and hotter

    conditions also have an indirect effect: they make people eat less. A restaurant

    on a warm day whose air conditioning breaks down will see a sharp decline in

    sales (yes, someone did a study). Perhaps we are getting fatter in part becauseour heaters and air conditioners are keeping us in the thermoneutral zone.

    And what about light? A study by Laura Fonken and colleagues at the Ohio

    State University in Columbus, published in 2010 in theProceedings of the

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    National Academy of Sciences, reported that mice exposed to extra light

    (experiencing either no dark at all or a sort of semidarkness instead of total

    night) put on nearly 50 per cent more weight than mice fed the same diet who

    lived on a normal night-day cycle of alternating light and dark. This effect might

    be due to the constant light robbing the rodents of their natural cues about when

    to eat. Wild mice eat at night, but night-deprived mice might have been eating

    during the day, at the wrong time physiologically. Its possible that

    widespread electrification is promoting obesity by making humans eat at night,

    when our ancestors were asleep.

    There is also the possibility that obesity could quite literally be contagious. A

    virus called Ad-36, known for causing eye and respiratory infections in people,

    also has the curious property of causing weight gain in chickens, rats, mice and

    monkeys. Of course, it would be unethical to test for this effect on humans, but it

    is now known that antibodies to the virus are found in a much higher percentage

    of obese people than in people of normal weight. A research review by

    Tomohide Yamada and colleagues at the University of Tokyo in Japan,

    published last year in the journalPLoS One, found that people who had beeninfected with Ad-36 had significantly higher BMI than those who hadnt.

    As with viruses, so with bacteria. Experiments by Lee Kaplan and colleagues at

    Massachusetts General Hospital in Boston earlier this year found that bacteria

    from mice that have lost weight will, when placed in other mice, apparently

    cause those mice to lose weight, too. And a study in humans by Ruchi Mathur

    and colleagues at the Cedars-Sinai Medical Center in Los Angeles, published

    in theJournal of Clinical Endocrinology and Metabolism earlier this year,

    found that those who were overweight were more likely than others to have

    elevated populations of a gut bacteria called Methanobrevibacter smithii. Theresearchers speculated that the bacteria might in fact be especially good at

    digesting food, yielding up more nutrients and thus contributing to weight gain.

    The researcher who first posited a viral connection in 1992 he had noticed

    that the chickens in India that were dead of an adenovirus infection were plump

    instead of gaunt was Nikhil Dhurandhar, now a professor at the Pennington

    Biomedical Research Centre in Louisiana. He has proposed a catchy term for

    the spread of excess weight via bugs and viruses: infectobesity.

    o one has claimed, or should claim, that any of these roads less

    taken is the one true cause of obesity, to drive out the false idol

    of individual choice. Neither should we imagine that the

    existence of alternative theories means that governments can stop

    trying to forestall a major public-health menace. These theories are important

    for a different reason. Their very existence the fact that they are plausible,

    with some supporting evidence and suggestions for further research gives the

    lie to the notion that obesity is a closed question, on which science has

    pronounced its final word. It might be that every one of the roads lesstravelled contributes to global obesity; it might be that some do in some places

    and not in others. The openness of the issue makes it clear that obesity isnta

    simple school physics experiment.

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    We are increasingly understanding that attributing

    obesity to personal responsibility is very simplistic

    This is the theme of perhaps the most epic of the alternative theories of obesity,

    put forward by Jonathan C K Wells. As I understand his view, obesity is like

    poverty, or financial booms and busts, or war a large-scale development that

    no one deliberately intends, but which emerges out of the millions of separate

    acts that together make human history. His model suggests that the best Russiannovelist to invoke when thinking about obesity isnt Dostoyevsky, with his self-

    punishing anguish, but Leo Tolstoy, with his vast perspective on the forces of

    history.

    In Wellss theory, the claim that individual choice drives worldwide weight

    gain is an illusion like the illusion that individuals can captain their fates

    independent of history. In reality, Tolstoy wrote at the end ofWar and

    Peace (1869), we are moved by social forces we do not perceive, just as the

    Earth moves through space, driven by physical forces we do not feel. Such is

    the tenor of Wellss explanation for modern obesity. Its root cause, he proposed

    last year in theAmerican Journal of Human Biology, is nothing less than the

    history of capitalism.

    I will paraphrase Wellss intricate argument (the only one Ive ever read that

    references both receptor pathways for leptin and data on the size of the Indian

    economy in the 18th century). It is a saga spanning many generations. Let's start

    with a poor farmer growing food crops in a poor country in Africa or Asia. In a

    capitalistic quest for new markets and cheap materials and labour, Europeans

    take control of the economy in the late 18th or early 19th century. With taxes,

    fees and sometimes violent repression, their new system strongly encourages

    the farmer and his neighbours to stop growing their own food and start

    cultivating some more marketable commodity instead coffee for export,

    perhaps. Now that they arent growing food, the farmers must buy it. But since

    everyone is out to maximise profit, those who purchase the coffee crop strive to

    pay as little as possible, and so the farmers go hungry. Years later, when the

    farmers children go to work in factories, they confront the same logic: they too

    are paid as little as possible for their labour. By changing the farming system,

    capitalism first removes traditional protections against starvation, and then

    pushes many previously self-sufficient people into an economic niche where

    they aren't paid enough to eat well.

    Eighty years later, the farmers descendants have risen out of the ranks of the

    poor and joined the fast-growing ranks of the worlds 21st-century middle-

    class consumers, thanks to globalisation and outsourcing. Capitalism welcomes

    them: these descendants are now prime targets to live the obesogenic life (the

    chemicals, the stress, the air conditioning, the elevators-instead-of-stairs) and

    to buy the kinds of foods and beverages that are metabolic disturbers.

    But thats not the worst of it. As Ive mentioned, the human bodys response toits nutrition can last a lifetime, and even be passed on to the next generation. If

    you or your parents or their parents were undernourished, youre more

    likely to become obese in a food-rich environment. Moreover, obese people,

    when they have children, pass on changes in metabolism that can predispose

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    the nextgeneration to obesity as well. Like the children of underfed people, the

    children of the overfed have their metabolism set in ways that tend to promote

    obesity. This means that a past ofundernutrition, combined with a present

    ofovernutrition, is an obesity trap.

    Wells memorably calls this double-bind the metabolic ghetto, and you cant

    escape it just by turning poor people into middle-class consumers: that turn to

    prosperity is precisely what triggers the trap. Obesity, he writes, likeundernutrition, is thus fundamentally a state of malnutrition, in each case

    promoted by powerful profit-led manipulations of the global supply and quality

    of food.

    The trap is deeper than that, however. The unifying logic of capitalism, Wells

    continues, requires that food companies seek immediate profit and long-term

    success, and their optimal strategy for that involves encouraging people to

    choose foods that are most profitable to produce and sell both at the

    behavioural level, through advertising, price manipulations and restriction of

    choice, and at the physiological level through the enhancement of addictiveproperties of foods (by which he means those sugars and fats that make

    metabolic disturber foods so habit-forming). In short, Wells told me via

    email, We need to understand that we have not yet grasped how to address this

    situation, but we are increasingly understanding that attributing obesity to

    personal responsibility is very simplistic. Rather than harping on personal

    responsibility so much, Wells believes, we should be looking at the global

    economic system, seeking to reform it so that it promotes access to nutritious

    food for everyone. That is, admittedly, a tall order. But the argument is worth

    considering, if only as a bracing critique of our individual-responsibility

    ideology of fatness.

    hat are we onlookers non-activists, non-scientists to

    make of these scientific debates? One possible response, of

    course, is to decide that no obesity policy is possible,

    because science is undecided. But this is a morons

    answer: science is never completely decided; it is always in a state of change

    and self-questioning, and it offers no final answers. There is never a moment in

    science when all doubts are gone and all questions settled, which is why wait

    for settled science is an argument advanced by industries that want no

    interference with their status quo.

    Making policy, as the British politician Wayland Young once said, is the art of

    taking good decisions on insufficient evidence. Faced with signs of a massive

    public-health crisis in the making, governments are right to seek to

    dosomething, using the best information that science can render, in the full

    knowledge that science will have different information to offer in 10 or 20

    years.

    The issue, rather, is whether the government policies and corporate business

    plans are in fact doing their best with the evidence they already have. Does the

    science justify assuming that obesity is a simple matter of individuals letting

    themselves eat too much? To the extent that it is, policies such as Japans

    mandatory waist-measuring and products like the Hapifork will be effective. If,

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    on the other hand, there is more to obesity than simple thermodynamics, some of

    the billions spent on individual-centred policies and products may be being

    wasted. Time, in that case, to try some alternative policies based on alternative

    theories, and see how they fare.

    Todays priests of obesity prevention proclaim with confidence and authority

    that they have the answer. So did Bruno Bettelheim in the 1950s, when he

    blamed autism on mothers with cold personalities. So, for that matter, did theclerics of 18th-century Lisbon, who blamed earthquakes on peoples sinful

    ways. History is not kind to authorities whose mistaken dogmas cause

    unnecessary suffering and pointless effort, while ignoring the real causes of

    trouble. And the history of the obesity era has yet to be written.

    Published on 19 June 2013

    Article topics:Food,Health,Individualism

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