darfur peacekeepers cannot replace aid groups: undarfur peacekeepers cannot replace aid groups: un...

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Page 1: Darfur peacekeepers cannot replace aid groups: UNDarfur peacekeepers cannot replace aid groups: UN AFP - Mar 31, 2009 EL-FASHER, Sudan (AFP) UN and
Page 2: Darfur peacekeepers cannot replace aid groups: UNDarfur peacekeepers cannot replace aid groups: UN AFP - Mar 31, 2009 EL-FASHER, Sudan (AFP) UN and
Page 3: Darfur peacekeepers cannot replace aid groups: UNDarfur peacekeepers cannot replace aid groups: UN AFP - Mar 31, 2009 EL-FASHER, Sudan (AFP) UN and
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Darfur peacekeepers cannot replace aid groups: UN AFP - Mar 31, 2009 EL-FASHER, Sudan (AFP) — UN and African peacekeepers can reassure people in war-ravaged Darfur but cannot replace foreign aid workers expelled by the ...

AU Welcomes UN Debate to Bolster Peacekeeping Missions Across Africa Voice of America - Mar 18, 2009 -- Onyejekwe described as unfortunate the failure of some countries to commitment funds in support of the African Union's peacekeeping operations. ...

African Union beefs up Somali peacekeeping force Reuters - Mar 24, 2009 -- ADDIS ABABA, March 24 (Reuters) - Uganda has sent a third battalion of troops to Somalia to beef up the African Union peacekeeping force in the Horn of ...

Peacekeepers-for-Hire? Not so Fast, Critics Warn Inter Press Service - Mar 30, 2009 -- But some analysts and observers hold that in the future, the privatisation of peacekeeping may be accepted as an international norm. ...

OSCE may replace Russia peacekeepers in Moldova Reuters - Mar 18, 2009 -- MOSCOW, March 18 (Reuters) - Russia's peacekeeping force in Moldova's breakaway Transdniestria region may be replaced by an international mission after a ...

Page 5: Darfur peacekeepers cannot replace aid groups: UNDarfur peacekeepers cannot replace aid groups: UN AFP - Mar 31, 2009 EL-FASHER, Sudan (AFP) UN and
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Baseball AnalogyHarnessing the Power of the Crowd

OSINT

HUMINT

SIGINT

IMINT

MASINT

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Level of Analysis Threat Grade CommentStrategic Sustainability

LOW (2.0) Not sustainable for more than two weeks.

Operational Availability

MEDIUM (3.0)

Many of them scattered around.

Tactical Reliability

LOW (2.0) Cannibalized parts, stored in open, poorly trained crews.

Technical Lethality

HIGH (4.0) Best tanks money could buy at the time from Russia.US IC Official Threat on Worst Case Basis

General Threat Factor

<MEDIUM (2.75)

Proper analysis differentiated threat at each level which means each level commander is individually informed.

Military Difference

1.25 (31%) Being wrong by 31% is significant—nuances matter. On balance, at two of four levels, threat is a LOW threat.

Threat (or Factor Being Evaluated) Changes at Each Level of Analysis

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Overt SME

Covert “Hides”

Clandestine HUMINTCovert Action HUMINTOffensive CounterintelligenceDefensive Counterintelligence

50% $50% $

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Reminder• www.oss.net/Peace Many useful items

• www.oss.net/PIG Annotated bibliography

• www.oss.net 30,000 pages

• www.oss.net/BASIC One page of core links

• www.oss.net/COMMUNITIES Directory to all pages

• www.oss.net/GNOME Open Everything Brief

• www.oss.net/AMAZON World Brain Concepts

• www.oss.net/OSINT-S Strategic view

• www.oss.net/OSINT-O Operational view

• www.earth-intelligence.net In the Public Interest