daily technical report, 14.02.2013
TRANSCRIPT
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Daily Technical Report
February 14, 2013
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Sensex (19608) / NIFTY (5933)
Yesterday, our benchmark indices opened with a gap and
then moved further higher during the init ial hour of thesession to precisely test the '20-day EMA'. However, markets
pared down most of the early gains due to immense sel l ing
pressure in the second half to eventually close with very
nominal gains. Power, Metals and Reality counters were
among the major losers in yesterday’s trading session.
Whereas IT and Teck stocks were on the gaining side. The
advance to decline ratio was strongly in favor of declining
counters (A= 892 D= 12 29 ) (Source –www.bseindia.com).
Formation
The ’20-day EMA’ and the ’20-week EMA’ are placed at
19 711 / 597 2 an d 19 200 / 58 24 levels, respect ively.
The Nifty has broken down from the ‘Upward Sloping
Trend line’ (as show n in the char t).
The weekly ‘RSI Smoothened’ is now signaling a
neg ative crossover.
Trading strategy:
Tuesday strong closing followed by an optimistic opening
and indices carried this positive momentum throughout the
first half. N evertheless, a s expected, in dices faced
tremendous resistance near '20-da y EM A' placed a t 19 71 1 /
5972. Hence, we witnessed considerable correction post mid
- session. The daily chart now depicts a 'Narrow Range Body'
form ation. The occurrence of said p attern near '20-da y EM A'
indicates uncertainty among market participants. Going
forward, any sustainable move below yesterday's low of
195 74 / 592 2 m ay trigger further pessimism in the market.
In this scenario, indices may slide towards the recent swing
low of 1 941 4 / 58 79. O n the f l ipside, any sustainable move
beyond yesterday's high of 19723 / 5970 would negate the
pattern and indices may then ral ly towards 197 68 - 1 986 5 /
5991 - 6025 .
Exhibit 1: N ifty Daily Chart
Source: Falcon:
Actionable poin ts:
View Bearish Below 5 92 2
Expected Targets 58 79 – 58 40
Resistance Levels 59 53 - 59 79
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Bank N ifty Outlook - (12385)
Yesterday, Bank N ifty opened o n a flat note and traded in a
narro w range d uring first half of the session. However, in
line with the benchmark indices selling pressure in the
second half led the index to close with a marginal loss of
0.16%. The ‘Inside day’ candlestick pattern mentioned in our
previous reports stil l hold it significance and will be negated
if the index closes below 12245 level. Thus going forward,
although the prima ry bias rema ins negative, we believe that
the ongoing consolidation is likely to continue so long as the
122 45 level holds. O n the upside 1250 0 – 1253 3 levels are
l ikely to act as resistance and 12337 – 12301 levels are
likely to a ct as sup po rt for the d ay.
Actionable poin ts:
View N eutral
Resistance Levels 12 50 0 – 12 53 3
Support Levels 123 37 – 123 01
Exhibit 2: Bank Ni fty Daily Chart
Source: Falcon:
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Daily Pivot Levels for Nifty 50 Stocks
SCRIPS S2 S1 PIVO T R1 R2
SEN SEX 19 ,486 19 ,547 19 ,635 19 ,696 19 ,784
NIFTY 5 ,895 5 ,914 5 ,942 5 ,961 5 ,988
BANKNIFTY12 ,287 12 ,336 12 ,411 12 ,460 12 ,535
AC C 1,179 1 ,214 1 ,238 1 ,273 1 ,297
AMBUJACEM 1 8 6 1 8 8 1 9 1 1 9 3 1 9 6
ASIANPAINT 4 ,421 4 ,446 4 ,486 4 ,510 4 ,550
AXISBAN K 1,461 1 ,469 1 ,481 1 ,489 1 ,501
BAJAJ-AUTO 1,971 1 ,995 2 ,039 2 ,062 2 ,106
BANKBARO DA 7 4 9 7 5 5 7 6 5 7 7 1 7 8 2
BHARTIARTL 3 1 9 3 2 2 3 2 6 3 3 0 3 3 4
BHEL 2 0 2 2 0 4 2 0 7 2 0 9 2 1 2
BPCL 3 9 0 3 9 6 4 0 4 4 1 0 4 1 8
CAIRN 3 1 0 3 1 2 3 1 6 3 1 9 3 2 2
CIPLA 3 7 9 3 8 4 3 9 0 3 9 4 4 0 0
COALINDIA 3 3 8 3 4 3 3 4 6 3 5 1 3 5 3
D LF 2 4 7 2 5 3 2 6 2 2 6 7 2 7 6
DRREDDY 1,852 1 ,879 1 ,899 1 ,926 1 ,946
GAIL 3 1 9 3 2 4 3 2 9 3 3 4 3 3 9
G RASIM 2 ,997 3 ,021 3 ,039 3 ,063 3 ,081
HCLTECH 6 7 0 6 8 9 7 0 2 7 2 2 7 3 4
HDFC 7 9 7 8 0 6 8 1 2 8 2 1 8 2 6
HDFCBANK 6 5 6 6 6 0 6 6 4 6 6 8 6 7 2
HERO MO TO CO 1,605 1 ,650 1 ,680 1 ,725 1 ,755
HINDALCO 1 0 8 1 0 9 1 1 1 1 1 3 1 1 5
HINDUNILVR 4 5 0 4 5 3 4 5 6 4 5 9 4 6 3
ICICIBANK 1,125 1 ,134 1 ,140 1 ,149 1 ,155IDFC 1 5 5 1 5 6 1 5 8 1 5 9 1 6 1
INFY 2 ,725 2 ,757 2 ,777 2 ,809 2 ,829
ITC 2 9 6 2 9 8 3 0 1 3 0 4 3 0 7
JIND ALSTEL 3 8 0 3 8 4 3 9 1 3 9 6 4 0 2
JPASSO CIA T 67 69 72 74 77
KOTAKBAN K 6 5 7 6 6 2 6 7 0 6 7 6 6 8 4
LT 1 ,458 1 ,470 1 ,490 1 ,502 1 ,522
LUPIN 5 8 3 5 8 9 5 9 8 6 0 3 6 1 2
M &M 8 7 5 8 8 6 8 9 4 9 0 5 9 1 3
MARUTI 1 ,504 1 ,518 1 ,544 1 ,558 1 ,584
N TPC 1 4 7 1 4 7 1 4 8 1 4 9 1 5 0
O N G C 3 1 7 3 2 0 3 2 3 3 2 7 3 3 0
PN B 8 3 4 8 4 2 8 5 6 8 6 4 8 7 8
PO WERG RID 1 0 6 1 0 8 1 1 1 1 1 4 1 1 7
RAN BAXY 4 1 7 4 2 0 4 2 5 4 2 8 4 3 3
RELIAN CE 8 6 4 8 7 2 8 8 0 8 8 7 8 9 5
RELIN FRA 4 6 1 4 7 0 4 8 5 4 9 4 5 0 9
SBIN 2 ,193 2 ,224 2 ,273 2 ,304 2 ,354
SESAG O A 1 6 1 1 6 3 1 6 8 1 7 0 1 7 5
SIEM ENS 5 9 2 5 9 8 6 0 9 6 1 5 6 2 6
SUNPHARMA 7 6 5 7 7 0 7 7 5 7 8 0 7 8 5
TATAMO TORS 2 9 8 3 0 1 3 0 7 3 1 0 3 1 6
TATAPO WER 91 93 95 96 99
TATASTEEL 3 6 7 3 7 2 3 8 0 3 8 4 3 9 2
TC S 1,391 1 ,413 1 ,427 1 ,450 1 ,464
ULTRACEMCO 1,888 1 ,916 1 ,932 1 ,960 1 ,976
WIPRO 4 0 1 4 0 5 4 1 1 4 1 5 4 2 0
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Shard ul Kulkarni - Head – Technicals Sam eet Cha van - Technical Ana lyst
Sacchitana nd Uttekar - Technical Ana lyst
M ehul Kothari - Technical Ana lyst
Anku r Lak hotia - Technical Ana lyst
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