•Daily Operations Briefing Tuesday, June 10, 2014

8:30 a.m. EDT

Significant Activity: June 9 – 10 Significant Events: Two Bulls Fire – Bend (Deschutes County), Oregon

Tropical Activity:

• Atlantic – No tropical cyclones expected during next 48 hours

• Eastern Pacific – Tropical Storm Cristina

• Central Pacific – No tropical cyclones expected through Thursday morning

• Indian Ocean – Tropical Cyclone 02A

Significant Weather:

• Slight risk of severe thunderstorms – Central Gulf Coast to Tennessee/Ohio Valleys

• Scattered showers & thunderstorms – Eastern U.S.

• Space Weather: Past 24 hours – Strong (R3) Radio Blackouts; Next 24 hours – Minor (R1) Radio Blackouts

• Red Flag Warnings: WA, OR, CA, & UT; Elevated Fire Weather / Dry Thunderstorms: CA, AZ, NV, & UT

FEMA Readiness: National–IMAT Blue available for deployment

Declaration Activity: No activity

Two Bulls Fire – Oregon Fire

Name Location

Acres

burned

%

Contained

Est. Full

Containment FMAG

Structures Lost /

Threatened

Fatalities /

Injuries

Two Bulls Bend, OR

(Deschutes County)

6,833

(+646)

25%

(+20%)

N/A FEMA-5056-FM-OR

June 8, 2014 0 / 50 (-210) 0 / 1 (+1)

Situation

• Began June 7, approximately 10 miles west of Bend, Oregon (pop. 78k)

▲ Two fires burning on Federal & private land, being managed as one incident

• Road closures and water service restrictions in effect

▲ Mandatory evacuation orders remain in effect for 50 homes

▲ All shelters closed

▲ One firefighter injured

Response

▲ IMT-2 & 1,018 (+318) personnel supporting the firefight

• OR EOC at Normal Operations; no unmet needs

• FEMA Region X remains at Watch/Steady State

Deschutes County, OR

Tropical Outlook – Atlantic

Tropical Outlook – Eastern Pacific

Eastern Pacific – Tropical Storm Cristina

As of 5:00 a.m. EDT

• Located 155 miles SSW of Zihuatanejo Mexico

• Moving W at 3 mph

• Continued westerly motion, with increase in

forward speed, expected next day or so

• Maximum sustained winds of 40 mph

• Could become a hurricane by Thursday

• No coastal watches or warnings in effect

• No threat to the U.S.

Tropical Outlook – Central Pacific

Indian Ocean – Tropical Cyclone 02A

As of 2:00 a.m. EDT

• Located 636 miles S of Karachi, Pakistan

• Moving NNW at 9 mph

• Forecast to turn WNW next few days

• Gradual intensification expected

• Maximum sustained winds currently at 45 mph

• Winds expected to reach 87 mph

Declaration Requests in Process Requests

APPROVED (since last report)

Requests DENIED

(since last report)

3 Date Requested 0 0

NH – DR Severe Storms & Flooding

May 21, 2014

VT – DR Flooding May 21, 2014

NE – DR Severe Storms, Tornadoes, Straight-line Winds, &

Flooding June 5, 2014

Disaster Requests & Declarations

Joint Preliminary Damage Assessments

Region State /

Location Event IA/PA

Number of Counties Start – End

Requested Complete

II NY Wind & Flooding

May 16-17 PA 10 10 5/28 – 6/9

IV FL Big Bend Rain Event

April 2014

IA 2 2 5/30 – 6/5

PA 7 3 5/27 – TBD

Open Field Offices as of June 10, 2014

http://www.hpc.ncep.noaa.gov/national_forecast/natfcst.php

National Weather Forecast

Day 2

Day 1

Day 1 Day 1

Active Watches/Warnings

http://www.nws.noaa.gov/largemap.php

Precipitation Forecast – 3 Day

Day 1

Day 2

Day 3

River Forecast

Convective Outlook, Day 1 – 3

Day 1 Day 2

Day 3

Critical Fire Weather Areas – Days 1-8

Days 3-8

Day 1 Day 2

http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/predictions/threats/threats_ie.php

Hazard Outlook: June 12 - 16

http://www.swpc.noaa.gov/drap/global.html

NOAA Scales Activity (Range: 1/minor to 5/extreme)

Past

24 Hours Current

Next

24 Hours

Space Weather Activity: Strong Strong None

• Geomagnetic Storms None None None

• Solar Radiation Storms None None None

• Radio Blackouts R3 R3 None

Space Weather

Sunspot Activity

http://spaceweather.com/

HF Communication Impact

30

Public Assistance Grant Program

PA Highlights

• On 6/5 $7.9 million was obligated to the Louisiana

Department of Emergency Preparedness for State

Management costs (Cat. Z) as a result of Hurricane

Isaac DR-4080

PA Project Worksheets Obligated

in past week, as of June 9, 2014 at 1400 EDT Emergency Work Permanent Work

PA Category A - Debris

Removal

B -

Protective

Measures

C - Roads &

Bridges

D - Water

Control

Facilities

E - Public

Buildings

F - Public

Utilities

G -

Recreational

or Other

H - Fire

Management

Z - State

Management Total

Number Of

PWs Obligated 39 55 56 14 28 20 20 0 2 234

This Week $2,766,571 $5,406,056 $2,208,165 $2,123,390 $2,803,774 $2,779,558 $2,098,742 $0 $8,116,563 $28,302,820

Public Assistance Obligated per Category In the Past 2 Weeks – 5/27/2014 through 6/9/2014

$0

$5,000,000

$10,000,000

$15,000,000

$20,000,000

$25,000,000

$30,000,000

$35,000,000

$40,000,000Z - State Management

H - Fire Management

G - Recreational or Other

F - Public Utilities

E - Public Buildings

D - Water Control Facilities

C - Roads & Bridges

B - Protective Measures

A - Debris Removal

Last Week This Week$33,728,114 $28,302,820

31

0

50

100

150

200

250

300

350

400

450

500

4175-MS 4145-CO 4086-NJ 4080-LA 4030-PA

4020-NY 1981-ND 1980-MO 1972-MS 1971-AL

Total Households in FEMA Direct Housing per State Past Year per Week, June 10, 2013 – June 9, 2014, Projected to Dec 8, 2014

There are currently 62 Households in Temporary Housing

Direct Housing

AL

States with Currently

Occupied Units

NJ

* Housing Program has been extended

** NJ - Includes 10 (-2) households in MHUs; 14 (-1) households in Ft Monmouth

apartments † Units are under authority of Department of Justice

CO

MS

NY

DR IA Declaration

Date

Program End

Date

Current # of

Households in

Direct Housing

(Weekly Change)

4175-MS 04/30/2014 10/30/2015 3 (+2)

4145-CO 09/14/2013 03/14/2015 31 (-4)

4086-NJ* ** 10/30/2012 08/31/2014 24 (-2)

4020-NY† 08/31/2011 06/01/2013 1 (-1)

1972-MS† 04/29/2011 10/29/2012 1 (0)

1971-AL† 04/28/2011 10/28/2012 2 (0)

Based On Projected Move

Outs per DR

06/09/2014

12/8/2014

62 (-5) 23 (+2)

32

0

500

1,000

1,500

2,000

2,500

3,000

Forecast RIActual RIForecast HLActual HL

NPSC Call Forecasting and Actual Calls Over the Past 4 Weeks

5/11/2014 through 6/7/2014

NPSC Activity NPSC Call Activity in the Past Week

6/1/2014 through 6/7/2014

Call Type Forecasted

Calls Number of Calls

Average Answer

Time

Maximum Answer

Time

Minimum Answer

Time

Registration Intake (RI) 4,039 3,275 :14 2:15 :09

Helpline (HL) 10,374 9,697 :14 5:35 :09

All Calls 14,413 12,972 :14 5:35 :09

4 Disasters

with Open

Registration

Period

33

IHP Approved per Category In the Past 2 Weeks – 5/27/2014 through 6/9/2014

Individual Assistance Activity

$0

$500,000

$1,000,000

$1,500,000

$2,000,000

$2,500,000

$3,000,000

$3,500,000

$4,000,000

$4,500,000

Housing - Rental

Housing -Repair/Replace

Housing - Other

Other Needs -Personal Property

Other Needs -Medical/Dental

Other Needs -Transportation

Other Needs - Other

Last Week This Week

$4,122,244 $3,222,620

Individuals and Households Program Activity as of 6/9/2014

In Past 7 Days Cumulative

Applicants

Approved

Amount

Approved

Applicants

Approved

Amount

Approved

DR-4174-Arkansas | Dec. - 4/29/14 | End of Reg. Period - 6/30/14

Housing Assistance 11 $49,353 285 $2,050,972

Other Needs Assistance 11 $51,622 103 $598,578

Total IHP $100,976 $2,649,549

DR-4175-Mississippi | Dec. - 4/30/14 | End of Reg. Period - 6/30/14

Housing Assistance 26 $171,870 730 $3,579,660

Other Needs Assistance 21 $71,571 380 $1,171,301

Total IHP $243,440 $4,750,961

DR-4176-Alabama | Dec. - 5/2/14 | End of Reg. Period - 7/1/14

Housing Assistance 510 $1,222,349 4,664 $14,133,914

Other Needs Assistance 400 $353,295 2,793 $3,003,224

Total IHP $1,575,644 $17,137,138

DR-4177-Florida | Dec. - 5/6/14 | End of Reg. Period - 7/7/14

Housing Assistance 340 $907,258 5,330 $24,865,297

Other Needs Assistance 203 $395,302 2,402 $4,734,298

Total IHP $1,302,560 $29,599,595

Grand Total $3,222,620 $54,137,243

FEMA Readiness – Deployable Teams/Assets

Deployable Teams/Assets

Resource Status Total Available Partially

Available

Not

Available

Detailed

Deployed

Activated

Comments Rating Criterion

FCO 39 10 26% 0 1 28 OFDC Readiness:

FCO Green Yellow Red

Type 1 3+ 2 1

Type 2 4+ 3 2

Type 3 4 3 2

FDRC 3 2 1 FDRC

10 4 40% 0 0 6

US&R

28 27 96% 0 1 0 • NM-TF1 (Red for personnel shortages)

• Green = Available/FMC

• Yellow = Available/PMC

• Red = Out-of-Service

• Blue = Assigned/Deployed

National IMAT

3 2 67% 0 0 1 • National-IMAT West deployed to DC (NRCC)

• Green: 3 avail

• Yellow: 1 avail

• Red: 0 avail (Individual N-IMAT red if

50% of Section Chiefs and/or Team

Leader is unavailable for deployment.)

Regional

IMAT

13 5 38% 1 3 4

Deployed:

• Region IV - MS

• Region VI (IMAT1) – AR; (IMAT2) – Thunderbolt

• Region X - WA

Partially Mission Capable (PMC):

• Region II (Team I) PMC

Not Mission Capable (NMC):

• Region V, VII, IX NMC for Personnel shortages

• Green: 7 or more avail

• Yellow: 4 - 6 teams available

• Red: > 8 teams deployed/unavailable

R-IMAT also red if TL Ops/Log Chief is

unavailable and has no qualified

replacement.

MCOV

55 49 89% 0 5 1 • 1 deployed 4174-AR

• Green = 80 – 100% avail

• Yellow = 60 – 79% avail

• Red = 59% or below avail

• Readiness remains 95%

FEMA Readiness – National/Regional Teams

National/Regional Teams

Resource Status Total Available Partially

Available

Not

Available

Deployed/

Activated Comments Rating Criterion

NWC

5 5 100% 0 0 24/7 Enhanced Watch (dayshift)

• Green = FMC

• Yellow = PMC

• Red = NMC

NRCC

2 353 93% 0 26 Not Activated

HLT

1 N/A N/A 0 1 Activated Activated

DEST

Not Activated

RRCCs

10 10 100% 0 0 Not Activated

RWCs/MOCs

10 10 100% 0 0 24/7