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DAB panel study – a short introduction Educational decisions on the transition from school to work: Determinants of training choice and career opportunities University of Bern, Department of Sociology of Education www.dab.edu.unibe.ch Second Swiss Longitudinal Data Fair, February 14, 2019 DAB 14.02.2019 1 / 12

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  • DAB panel study – a short introduction

    Educational decisions on the transition from school to work:Determinants of training choice and career opportunities

    University of Bern, Department of Sociology of Education

    www.dab.edu.unibe.ch

    Second Swiss Longitudinal Data Fair, February 14, 2019

    DAB 14.02.2019 1 / 12

    http://www.dab.edu.unibe.ch

  • Project overview & timeline

    2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018

    t1 (Jan./Feb.)

    t2 (Aug./Oct.)

    t3 (Mai/Jun.)

    t4a (Jul.)School graduation

    t4b (Oct./Nov.)

    t5(Jun.)

    t6(Mai)

    t7 (Mai)

    Phase I: lower sec. educ. Phase II: upper secondary educationPhase III: further qualification / labor market entry

    I DAB-I Classroom survey (online; parents: online / PAPI)I DAB-II Individual survey; Mixed-Mode-Design (online / CATI)I DAB-III Individual survey; Mixed-Mode-Design (online / CATI / PAPI)

    DAB 14.02.2019 2 / 12

  • DAB-I: t1 – t3

    1 Determinants of pupils’ educational aspirations, process of career choiceand educational choice

    • subjective cost-benefit perceptions,• idealistic and realistic educational aspirations (of pupils and parents),• academic performance, attended school track at compulsory level, language

    proficiency• personality traits (self-efficacy, locus of control, motivation, time preferences,

    Gender role orientation, anticipated discrimination, etc.)• ascriptive characteristics (gender, social origin [education, ISCO, ISEI, etc.],

    migration background [juveniles, parents, grand-parents], Infos about familysituation and siblings)

    2 When and which decisions are taken during the last one and a half yearbefore leaving compulsory education?

    3 How stable are educational aspirations? Which young people are able torealize their aspirations?

    DAB 14.02.2019 3 / 12

  • DAB-I: t1 – t3

    1 Determinants of pupils’ educational aspirations, process of career choiceand educational choice

    • subjective cost-benefit perceptions,• idealistic and realistic educational aspirations (of pupils and parents),• academic performance, attended school track at compulsory level, language

    proficiency• personality traits (self-efficacy, locus of control, motivation, time preferences,

    Gender role orientation, anticipated discrimination, etc.)• ascriptive characteristics (gender, social origin [education, ISCO, ISEI, etc.],

    migration background [juveniles, parents, grand-parents], Infos about familysituation and siblings)

    2 When and which decisions are taken during the last one and a half yearbefore leaving compulsory education?

    3 How stable are educational aspirations? Which young people are able torealize their aspirations?

    DAB 14.02.2019 3 / 12

  • DAB-I: t1 – t3

    1 Determinants of pupils’ educational aspirations, process of career choiceand educational choice

    • subjective cost-benefit perceptions,• idealistic and realistic educational aspirations (of pupils and parents),• academic performance, attended school track at compulsory level, language

    proficiency• personality traits (self-efficacy, locus of control, motivation, time preferences,

    Gender role orientation, anticipated discrimination, etc.)• ascriptive characteristics (gender, social origin [education, ISCO, ISEI, etc.],

    migration background [juveniles, parents, grand-parents], Infos about familysituation and siblings)

    2 When and which decisions are taken during the last one and a half yearbefore leaving compulsory education?

    3 How stable are educational aspirations? Which young people are able torealize their aspirations?

    DAB 14.02.2019 3 / 12

  • DAB-I: t1 – t3

    1 Determinants of pupils’ educational aspirations, process of career choiceand educational choice

    • subjective cost-benefit perceptions,• idealistic and realistic educational aspirations (of pupils and parents),• academic performance, attended school track at compulsory level, language

    proficiency• personality traits (self-efficacy, locus of control, motivation, time preferences,

    Gender role orientation, anticipated discrimination, etc.)• ascriptive characteristics (gender, social origin [education, ISCO, ISEI, etc.],

    migration background [juveniles, parents, grand-parents], Infos about familysituation and siblings)

    2 When and which decisions are taken during the last one and a half yearbefore leaving compulsory education?

    3 How stable are educational aspirations? Which young people are able torealize their aspirations?

    DAB 14.02.2019 3 / 12

  • Project overview & timeline

    2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018

    t1 (Jan./Feb.)

    t2 (Aug./Oct.)

    t3 (Mai/Jun.)

    t4a (Jul.)School graduation

    t4b (Oct./Nov.)

    t5(Jun.)

    t6(Mai)

    t7 (Mai)

    Phase I: lower sec. educ. Phase II: upper secondary educationPhase III: further qualification / labor market entry

    I DAB-I Classroom survey (online; parents: online / PAPI)I DAB-II Individual survey; Mixed-Mode-Design (online / CATI)I DAB-III Individual survey; Mixed-Mode-Design (online / CATI / PAPI)

    DAB 14.02.2019 4 / 12

  • DAB-II/III: t3 – t6

    1 Educational situation after leaving compulsory education• Certifying tracks (VET, vocational baccalaureate school (BMS1),

    baccalaureate school, specialized middle schools)• Non-mandatory bridge year courses; not in education and training (NEET)

    2 Adjustment & Revision of educational aspirations,• Successful apprenticeship search: number of applications and replies• Satisfaction with training decision and future plans• Discontinuous educational pathways

    3 Influence of different contexts on educational attainment , i.e.,• Individual constraints• Institutional setting• Regional opportunity structures

    DAB 14.02.2019 5 / 12

  • DAB-II/III: t3 – t6

    1 Educational situation after leaving compulsory education• Certifying tracks (VET, vocational baccalaureate school (BMS1),

    baccalaureate school, specialized middle schools)• Non-mandatory bridge year courses; not in education and training (NEET)

    2 Adjustment & Revision of educational aspirations,• Successful apprenticeship search: number of applications and replies• Satisfaction with training decision and future plans• Discontinuous educational pathways

    3 Influence of different contexts on educational attainment , i.e.,• Individual constraints• Institutional setting• Regional opportunity structures

    DAB 14.02.2019 5 / 12

  • DAB-II/III: t3 – t6

    1 Educational situation after leaving compulsory education• Certifying tracks (VET, vocational baccalaureate school (BMS1),

    baccalaureate school, specialized middle schools)• Non-mandatory bridge year courses; not in education and training (NEET)

    2 Adjustment & Revision of educational aspirations,• Successful apprenticeship search: number of applications and replies• Satisfaction with training decision and future plans• Discontinuous educational pathways

    3 Influence of different contexts on educational attainment , i.e.,• Individual constraints• Institutional setting• Regional opportunity structures

    DAB 14.02.2019 5 / 12

  • DAB-II/III: t3 – t6

    1 Educational situation after leaving compulsory education• Certifying tracks (VET, vocational baccalaureate school (BMS1),

    baccalaureate school, specialized middle schools)• Non-mandatory bridge year courses; not in education and training (NEET)

    2 Adjustment & Revision of educational aspirations,• Successful apprenticeship search: number of applications and replies• Satisfaction with training decision and future plans• Discontinuous educational pathways

    3 Influence of different contexts on educational attainment , i.e.,• Individual constraints• Institutional setting• Regional opportunity structures

    DAB 14.02.2019 5 / 12

  • Project overview & timeline

    2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018

    t1 (Jan./Feb.)

    t2 (Aug./Oct.)

    t3 (Mai/Jun.)

    t4a (Jul.)School graduation

    t4b (Oct./Nov.)

    t5(Jun.)

    t6(Mai)

    t7 (Mai)

    Phase I: lower sec. educ. Phase II: upper secondary educationPhase III: further qualification / labor market entry

    I DAB-I Classroom survey (online; parents: online / PAPI)I DAB-II Individual survey; Mixed-Mode-Design (online / CATI)I DAB-III Individual survey; Mixed-Mode-Design (online / CATI / PAPI)

    DAB 14.02.2019 6 / 12

  • DAB-III: t5 – t71 Completion of upper secondary education programmes

    • Who successfully completes which training; who fails?• Are attained degrees in line with aspirations?

    2 Labor market entry• open-ended contract, adequate employment, continued employment within

    training firm, duration until stable employment status, income, occupationalstatus, etc.

    3 Professional further training• Vocational Baccalaureate School (BMS 2), professional education and

    training (PET), . . .

    4 Higher Education (tertiary level)• Who starts which study programme at which type of university?• Reason to refrain from HE?

    5 Life and Career Satisfaction & Goals6 Political Attitude and Activity

    DAB 14.02.2019 7 / 12

  • DAB-III: t5 – t71 Completion of upper secondary education programmes

    • Who successfully completes which training; who fails?• Are attained degrees in line with aspirations?

    2 Labor market entry• open-ended contract, adequate employment, continued employment within

    training firm, duration until stable employment status, income, occupationalstatus, etc.

    3 Professional further training• Vocational Baccalaureate School (BMS 2), professional education and

    training (PET), . . .

    4 Higher Education (tertiary level)• Who starts which study programme at which type of university?• Reason to refrain from HE?

    5 Life and Career Satisfaction & Goals6 Political Attitude and Activity

    DAB 14.02.2019 7 / 12

  • DAB-III: t5 – t71 Completion of upper secondary education programmes

    • Who successfully completes which training; who fails?• Are attained degrees in line with aspirations?

    2 Labor market entry• open-ended contract, adequate employment, continued employment within

    training firm, duration until stable employment status, income, occupationalstatus, etc.

    3 Professional further training• Vocational Baccalaureate School (BMS 2), professional education and

    training (PET), . . .

    4 Higher Education (tertiary level)• Who starts which study programme at which type of university?• Reason to refrain from HE?

    5 Life and Career Satisfaction & Goals6 Political Attitude and Activity

    DAB 14.02.2019 7 / 12

  • DAB-III: t5 – t71 Completion of upper secondary education programmes

    • Who successfully completes which training; who fails?• Are attained degrees in line with aspirations?

    2 Labor market entry• open-ended contract, adequate employment, continued employment within

    training firm, duration until stable employment status, income, occupationalstatus, etc.

    3 Professional further training• Vocational Baccalaureate School (BMS 2), professional education and

    training (PET), . . .

    4 Higher Education (tertiary level)• Who starts which study programme at which type of university?• Reason to refrain from HE?

    5 Life and Career Satisfaction & Goals6 Political Attitude and Activity

    DAB 14.02.2019 7 / 12

  • DAB-III: t5 – t71 Completion of upper secondary education programmes

    • Who successfully completes which training; who fails?• Are attained degrees in line with aspirations?

    2 Labor market entry• open-ended contract, adequate employment, continued employment within

    training firm, duration until stable employment status, income, occupationalstatus, etc.

    3 Professional further training• Vocational Baccalaureate School (BMS 2), professional education and

    training (PET), . . .

    4 Higher Education (tertiary level)• Who starts which study programme at which type of university?• Reason to refrain from HE?

    5 Life and Career Satisfaction & Goals6 Political Attitude and Activity

    DAB 14.02.2019 7 / 12

  • DAB-III: t5 – t71 Completion of upper secondary education programmes

    • Who successfully completes which training; who fails?• Are attained degrees in line with aspirations?

    2 Labor market entry• open-ended contract, adequate employment, continued employment within

    training firm, duration until stable employment status, income, occupationalstatus, etc.

    3 Professional further training• Vocational Baccalaureate School (BMS 2), professional education and

    training (PET), . . .

    4 Higher Education (tertiary level)• Who starts which study programme at which type of university?• Reason to refrain from HE?

    5 Life and Career Satisfaction & Goals6 Political Attitude and Activity

    DAB 14.02.2019 7 / 12

  • DAB-III: t5 – t71 Completion of upper secondary education programmes

    • Who successfully completes which training; who fails?• Are attained degrees in line with aspirations?

    2 Labor market entry• open-ended contract, adequate employment, continued employment within

    training firm, duration until stable employment status, income, occupationalstatus, etc.

    3 Professional further training• Vocational Baccalaureate School (BMS 2), professional education and

    training (PET), . . .

    4 Higher Education (tertiary level)• Who starts which study programme at which type of university?• Reason to refrain from HE?

    5 Life and Career Satisfaction & Goals6 Political Attitude and Activity

    DAB 14.02.2019 7 / 12

  • Target population & sampling strategy

    I Target population• 8th graders of the 2011/12 school year within German-speaking Switzerland

    • Pupils from public schools («Regelklassen»)

    I Sampling• 10% random sample of classes within 9 municipality types (FSO 9-level)

    • stratified by school type and school migration population.

    DAB 14.02.2019 8 / 12

  • Training and Career Paths

    31%

    30%

    56%

    51%

    10%

    16%

    3%

    3%

    62%

    74%

    69%

    38%

    35%

    10%

    22%

    21%

    23%

    13%

    12%

    5%

    28%

    26%

    44%

    5%

    6%

    8%

    4%

    12%

    3%

    3%

    16%

    3%

    6%

    8%

    11%

    13%

    3%

    0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 80% 90% 100%

    8. Grade

    9. Grade

    after graduation

    Autumn 2014

    Summer 2015

    Summer 2016

    Summer 2017

    Summer 2018

    Basic requirements

    Advanced requirements

    Gymnasium

    Other Sek I

    VET

    School

    Employment

    Further Training

    Tertiary Education

    NEET

    Bridge Course

    Other

    DAB 14.02.2019 9 / 12

  • Response rates t1 – t7

    Wave 1 Wave 2 Wave 3 Wave 4 Wave 5 Wave 6 Wave 7

    Jan./Feb. 12 Aug.-Oct. 12 May/Jun. 13 Oct./Nov. 14 Jun./Aug. 16 May/Jun. 17 May/Jun. 18

    Sample size

    Gross sample (school classes) 296 215 203 - - - -

    Net sample (school classes) 215 203 199 - - - -

    DAB-Sample 4059 4059 4059 4059 4059 4059 4059

    Gross sample (juveniles) 3'854 3'973 3'625 3'510 3'094 2'730 2'494

    Realised interviews

    Juveniles 3'656 3'314 3'257 2'237 2'229 2'062 1'933

    Parents 2'264 - - - - - -

    Response rate in %

    school classes 72.6% 94.4% 98.0% - - - -

    Juveniles 94.9% 83.4% 89.8% 63.7% 72.0% 75.5% 77.5%

    Contactable juveniles - - - 84.4% 77.9% 76.0% 79.2%

    Parents 58.7% - - - - - -

    DAB 14.02.2019 10 / 12

  • Data access & Publications

    Data access – DAB yourself!

    I Via project web page: www.dab.edu.unibe.chI download at FORS: https://forsbase.unil.ch

    . «Catalogue» . search term: «10773»

    I Data release of W5 is planned this spring!

    Publications:

    I See project web page: www.dab.edu.unibe.ch

    DAB 14.02.2019 11 / 12

    http://www.dab.edu.unibe.chhttps://forsbase.unil.chhttp://www.dab.edu.unibe.ch

  • Thank you and please join us for our hands onsession this afternoon!

    DAB panel study - Educational decisions on the transition from school towork: Determinants of training choice and career opportunities

    University of Bern, Department of Sociology of Education

    www.dab.edu.unibe.ch

    DAB 14.02.2019 12 / 12

    http://www.dab.edu.unibe.ch