MAP D-PHASE:

Demonstration of Probabilistic Hydrological and Atmospheric Simulation

of flood Events in the Alpine region

http://www.map.meteoswiss.ch/d-phase

D-PHASE Operations Period (DOP): 1 June – 30 November 2007

www.d-phase.info

Distributed real-time end-to-end forecasting system

End-to-end forecasting system

Atmospheric models: ensembles

• COSMO-LEPS (COSMO)– 10 km; +132h; COSMO-LEPS EFI (MeteoSwiss)

• MOGREPS (Met Office, United Kingdom)

– 25 km; +54h

• SREPS (INM, Spain)– 25 km, +72h

• PEPS (SRNWP)– 7 km, +42h

• COSMO-SREPS (COSMO)– 10 km, +72h

• micro-PEPS (DWD for D-PHASE)– 2 km; +18h

• LAMEPS-AT (ZAMG)– 20 km; fc+72h

End-to-end forecasting system

Atmospheric models: high resolution

• MM5 (University of Hohenheim)– 2 km; +24h

• COSMO-models (COSMO)– 2.2 km; +18h– 2.8 km; +30h, +48h, +21h

• AROME (Météo-France)– 4 km (output grid); +30h

• MOLOCH (ISAC-CNR, Italy)– 2.2 km; +39h

• GEM-LAM (EC, Canada)– 2.5 km; +24h

• MOLOCH, MM5, and WRF outside of COPS domain• ALADIN and QBOLAM at coarser resolution

End-to-end forecasting system

Hydrological catchments

Some numbers about D-PHASE

Organisation

• Steering Committee– Dorninger, Staudinger (A), Rotach, Schär (CH), Volkert,

Wulfmeyer (D), Bouttier, Richard (F), Buzzi, Frustaci, Ranzi, Rossa (I), Mylne (UK)

• Working Groups– WG-DI: Data interface

chair: Andrea Montani, ARPA-SIM (I)– WG-HEU: Hydrology and end users

co-chairs: Roberto Ranzi, U Brescia (I), Christoph Hegg, WSL (CH)

– WG-VER: Verificationchair: Manfred Dorninger, U Vienna (A)

– WG-DP: Data policychair Mathias Rotach, MeteoSwiss (CH)

• Project Coordinator: marco.arpagaus [at] meteoswiss.ch

• http://www.map.meteoswiss.ch/d-phase

Common (centralised) platforms

Visualisation Platform (VP): • to visualise (display) all products and

all alerts;main source of information for forecasters and end users (used also for COPS mission planning team);

• interface for (some of) the users to submit their feedback on the available products and alerts, respectively,

• realised by Next Generation Software (Salzburg).

• www.d-phase.info

Common (centralised) platforms

Data Archive (DA)• to archive all data, alerts, and feedbacks;

mainly for verification purposes• also stores all COPS and GOP data• physically based at the MPI in Hamburg• model data in GRIB1 format (GRIB1-details

);• obs in netCDF format

Timetable

D-PHASE Operations Period (DOP): 1 June – 30 November 2007

Next Scientific Meeting:19 – 22 May 2008 in Bologna (Italy)for info,

www.smr.arpa.emr.it/dphase-cost