cyp plan needs analysis navigational presentation helping focus priorities

CYP Plan Needs Analysis Navigational Presentation

Helping focus priorities

• Welcome to the Bromley CYP Plan Needs Analysis Navigational Presentation. This is an overview summary of the Needs Analysis Report that accompanies the CYP Plan 2011-14.

• The Presentation is hyperlinked from the main menu onwards to enable the user to navigate it like a website jumping to relevant slides via menus rather than simply viewing slides sequentially.

• The information is aligned to Bromley’s CYP Plan 2011-14 priorities, a site map following this slide outlines where different areas sit.

• Sources are given where appropriate. This presentation gives the overarching information, please refer to the full Needs Analysis Report where further details are held.

• Please also note this presentation is based on data available at July 2010 and that projections are subject to change.

Introduction and DisclaimerCYP Research & Statistics

‘Site Map’CYP Research & Statistics

General Demographics Attainment and Achievement for All

Ensuring the Health and Wellbeing of Children, Young People and their Families

Keeping Children Safe Promoting Positive Behaviour of Children and Young people

Supporting Young People through Transition to Adulthood

Vulnerable Groups

Summary Summary 2009 Health Profile Summary Summary Summary Looked After Children

Strategic Planning Areas Achievement Lifestyle Safer Transport Team Attendance Employment in Bromley Gypsy and Travellers

Population Estimates and Projections

Foundation Stage Play Outside School Travel Plans Absence Earnings Young Carers

Births Key Stage 1 Air Quality Police Initiatives Truancy Unemployment Figures Children with Disabilities and Special Education Needs

Ethnic Population Change Key Stage 2 Infant and Perinatal Mortality

Police Statistics Exclusions Not in Education, Employment or Training

Black and Minority Ethnic

Families and Dependents Key Stage 4 Low Birth Weight Road Safety Youth Offending Labour Force Predictions Children in Poverty and Free School Meals

Deprivation Post 16: Level 3 Breastfeeding Domestic Violence Reoffending Childcare English as an Additional Language

Key Messages for Bromley Male Role Models Obesity and Healthy Eating Safeguarding Referrals Substance Misuse Unsuitable Housing

Satisfaction with Parks and Play Areas

Immunisation Key Messages for Bromley Bullying Key Messages for Bromley

Youth Elections and Youth Council

Sexual Health Key Messages for Bromley

Key Messages for Bromley Teenage Conceptions and Terminations of Pregnancy

Emotional Health

Child and Adolescent Mental Health Services

Key Messages for Bromley

Needs Assessment Themes

Please note this presentation has been hyperlinked and can be navigated like a website.

Bromley at a glance and Bromley in 2015


Keeping Children Safe

General Demographics

Attainment and Achievement for All

Promoting Positive Behaviour of Children and Young People

Ensuring the Health and Wellbeing of Children, Young People and their Families

Vulnerable Groups TellUs 4 Summ

ary

Contact Details

CYP Research & Statistics

Sources

General Demographics

• Summary• Strategic Planning Areas• Population Estimates and Projections• Births• Ethnic Population Changes• Families and Dependents• Deprivation• Key Messages for Bromley

Back to Needs Assessment Themes


Summary

• The London Borough of Bromley is an Outer London borough, located in the south-eastern corner of Greater London.

• Bromley is the largest of the 32 London Boroughs covering over 58 square miles, over half of which is green belt.

• There is a population is over 300,000 people, of which around 71,000 (~24%) are under the age of 19, the 0-19 population has remained stable for the last five years, but is projected to begin a slow decline in overall numbers over the next five, which will continue over the following 10-20 years.

• The borough has a contrast of an urban north-west and a rural south-east and has the

highest car ownership of the London Boroughs.

• Just under 90% of Bromley is White-British, but there has been and continues to be a slow and steady increase in the numbers of ethnic minorities, the largest increases predicted for Black African and Black Caribbean, predominately in the north-west of the borough.

• Broadly speaking Bromley has two main areas of deprivation: Penge & Anerley and The Crays, although there are small pockets elsewhere in the borough, namely Mottingham and Bromley Common.

Back to General Demographics


Strategic Planning Areas

• There are nine Strategic Planning Areas (SPAs) within Bromley. Strategic Planning Areas are a grouping of two or three adjacent wards, to help plan need and services for areas within the borough. The SPAs are comprised as follows:

Bromley Ward SPA

Clockhouse 1

Crystal Palace 1

Penge & Cator 1

Copers Cope 2

Kelsey & Eden Park 2

Hayes & Coney Hall 3

Shortlands 3

West Wickham 3

Bickley 4

Bromley Town 4

Plaistow & Sundridge 4

Bromley Common & Keston 5

Farnborough & Crofton 5

Petts Wood & Knoll 5

Chislehurst 6

Mottingham & Chislehurst North 6

Cray Valley East 7

Cray Valley West 7

Chelsfield & Pratts Bottom 8

Orpington 8

Biggin Hill 9

Darwin 9




• The Greater London Authority population estimates of 2009 show a small growth in the overall population of Bromley, before steadily declining over the next fifteen to twenty years. Within the age groupings, most follow the trend of small growth in numbers before declining, although there are fluctuations within that. The age ranges of 90+ is set to show continual increase over the coming years.

• Males, by and large, tend to outnumber females by a small degree across the age ranges of 0-24, with women outnumbering men in Bromley within all other age brackets. The male/female ratio is of is decidedly more marked in the later years of 70+.

• Looking at the near future and a projected population structure pyramid for 2013 shows a fairly balanced split of male to female, with the skew towards females from around the age groups of 50 onwards.

Next



• 2009 Round GLA Demographic Projections: Low

• Projected population structure of Bromley, 2013

2008 2013 2018

Age Males Females Persons Males Females Persons Males Females Persons

0-4 9,635 9,076 18,711 9,675 9,118 18,793 8,846 8,336 17,182

5-9 8,462 8,516 16,978 9,082 9,124 18,206 9,009 9,069 18,078

10-14 8,924 8,692 17,616 8,126 8,160 16,286 8,856 8,872 17,728

15-19 9,202 8,980 18,182 8,658 8,439 17,097 7,818 7,845 15,663

20-24 8,056 7,789 15,845 8,418 8,164 16,582 8,098 7,793 15,891

25-29 9,859 10,502 20,361 9,574 9,380 18,954 9,613 9,264 18,877

30-34 11,603 11,764 23,367 10,508 10,957 21,465 9,945 9,532 19,477

35-39 11,590 11,661 23,251 11,651 11,735 23,386 10,256 10,575 20,831

40-44 11,942 12,373 24,315 11,288 11,310 22,598 11,305 11,389 22,694

45-49 10,479 11,264 21,743 11,392 11,971 23,363 10,919 10,978 21,897

50-54 8,941 9,343 18,284 9,940 10,810 20,750 10,899 11,515 22,414

55-59 8,211 8,848 17,059 8,325 8,769 17,094 9,331 10,218 19,549

60-64 8,180 8,814 16,994 7,397 8,091 15,488 7,633 8,151 15,784

65-69 5,617 6,434 12,051 7,165 7,981 15,146 6,627 7,479 14,106

70-74 4,857 6,032 10,889 4,806 5,860 10,666 6,268 7,373 13,641

75-79 4,331 5,636 9,967 3,989 5,204 9,193 4,070 5,179 9,249

80-84 2,924 4,456 7,380 3,178 4,525 7,703 3,082 4,337 7,419

85-89 1,665 3,220 4,885 1,756 3,056 4,812 2,048 3,279 5,327

90+ 650 1,848 2,498 996 2,401 3,397 1,332 2,867 4,199

Total 145,128 155,248 300,376 145,924 155,055 300,979 145,955 154,051 300,006

9,118

9,124

8,160

8,439

8,164

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45-49

50-54

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60-64

65-69

70-74

75-79

80-84

85-89

90+

Males Females


© GLA 2009 Round Population Projections


• After a dip in the number of births within Bromley between the late 1990s and early 2000s, the number of births has been increasing, substantially in 2006, 2007 and 2008. The birth rate was set to begin decreasing again (although still remain above the levels of 1998-2003), but the latest birth statistics do not show the predicted decline in projected 2009 births.

• A similar, if less pronounced, trend can be seen in comparison with neighbouring boroughs and the pan-London figures.

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3,500

3,600

3,700

3,800

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2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013

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Births 2

• The increases in births in 2006-2008 has a potential knock-on effect; with the population projection for under 24s showing that while overall numbers are declining over time, there are distinct peaks as the large birth cohort gets older. This will have an impact on services and planning, as at various times a larger number of children will need to factored into school places planning, after school activity provision. The high numbers will also have a statistically likely increase in number of children in care, or with disabilities.

• The projected peaks are:

0-4s peaking in 2011 5-9s peaking in 2016 10-14s peaking in 2020 15-19s peaking in 2025 20-24s peaking in 2031

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16,000

18,000

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2002

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2004

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2006

2007

2008

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Births 3

• Using a combination of actual school roll data for 2007-10 and the GLA 2009 Round Population Projections to generate a projection of the school roll shows that the births peak hasn’t reached reception age yet. School years 2010/11 and 2011/12 will continue to see a rise in reception numbers peaking in 2012/13 – with possibly more than 200 more pupils than now, before falling back to current (2009/10) levels for 2017/18 and beyond.

• For secondary schools, the current Year 7 numbers of around 3,500 are likely to be maintained until 2015 before the rise starts: 3,600 by 2016, 3,800 by 2018, and 4,000 by 2020. This would give a total age 11-15 school population in 2020 of 19,000 compared with the 17,350 presently. Back to General Demographics

Pupil Age

Year 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18

2007 3,165 3,186 3,232 3,305 3,295 3,385 3,343 3,536 3,560 3,590 3,531 3,420 2,594 1,965 69

2008 3,300 3,157 3,171 3,221 3,288 3,301 3,365 3,468 3,540 3,513 3,523 3,442 2,638 2,068 45

2009 3,399 3,330 3,154 3,186 3,202 3,293 3,303 3,565 3,466 3,515 3,474 3,447 2,817 2,174 25

2010 3,442 3,423 3,307 3,149 3,194 3,196 3,272 3,498 3,563 3,438 3,491 3,358 2,935 2,310 55

2011 3,545 3,480 3,409 3,311 3,147 3,195 3,190 3,467 3,510 3,549 3,417 3,374 2,859 2,407 41

2012 3,675 3,584 3,466 3,413 3,308 3,151 3,188 3,386 3,481 3,503 3,536 3,303 2,874 2,345 43

2013 3,817 3,716 3,570 3,470 3,410 3,310 3,146 3,382 3,405 3,474 3,496 3,417 2,817 2,357 42

2014 3,704 3,859 3,700 3,573 3,465 3,412 3,303 3,340 3,399 3,404 3,468 3,378 2,922 2,311 42

2015 3,630 3,745 3,843 3,703 3,568 3,466 3,406 3,504 3,357 3,396 3,403 3,351 2,894 2,399 42

2016 3,566 3,670 3,729 3,846 3,698 3,569 3,459 3,616 3,521 3,357 3,393 3,289 2,872 2,378 44

2017 3,506 3,605 3,655 3,732 3,841 3,699 3,561 3,671 3,636 3,518 3,356 3,279 2,823 2,360 44

2018 3,439 3,545 3,590 3,657 3,727 3,841 3,691 3,780 3,690 3,635 3,514 3,243 2,813 2,321 43

2019 3,366 3,477 3,530 3,592 3,652 3,727 3,832 3,918 3,799 3,689 3,634 3,396 2,783 2,312 43

2020 3,296 3,403 3,462 3,532 3,588 3,652 3,718 4,068 3,938 3,798 3,687 3,512 2,913 2,288 43

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Ethnic Population Changes

• Bromley currently has a resident ethnic population (across all ages) of around 12%, this is set to steadily rise over time to approximately 16% by 2031.

• Within that increase, the biggest predicted rise is in Black Caribbean and Black African residents.

• The ethnic minority ratio is slightly higher than the overall ration in the resident under 25 age population, but schools within the borough are open to children outside of the borough. Comparing the percentage of ethnicity of school age children within Bromley against the percentage ethnicity spread from the School Censuses 2006-2010 shows that the schools have a significantly higher proportion of ethnic pupils – around 10% larger.

• Like the resident ethnic population, the ethnic population within schools has been steadily increasing over recent years, increasing by around 6% in both primary and secondary schools between 2006 and 2010.

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Ethnic Population Changes

• Looking geographically at the School Census 2010 data shows that schools in the Strategic Planning Areas in the North of the borough bordering on Lewisham, Southwark, Greenwich and Lambeth (SPA1; SPA2; SPA4; and SPA6) have a higher proportion than others, particularly at Primary School level which would suggest an increase in ethnic families with young children using Bromley schools.

• Strategic Planning Area 1, comprising of Crystal Palace, Penge and Cator and Clock House wards, has an almost equal ratio ethnic/white school population, with the proportion of ethnic pupils actually slightly greater than white pupils.


Primary Schools

Ethnic Pop. In Schools Ethnic Pop. In Borough

NumberPercentag

eNumber

Percentage

2006 5068 22.0% 3737 14.3%

2007 5368 23.7% 3902 15.1%

2008 5759 26.0% 4092 15.9%

2009 6294 27.9% 4329 16.9%

2010 6572 28.5% 4569 17.8%

Secondary Schools

Ethnic Pop. In Schools Ethnic Pop. In Borough

NumberPercentag

eNumber

Percentage

2006 4014 18.9% 3810 14.2%

2007 4313 20.1% 3900 14.5%

2008 4699 21.8% 3956 14.8%

2009 5030 23.1% 3997 15.0%

2010 5418 24.5% 3860 14.7%

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SPA1 SPA2 SPA3 SPA4 SPA5 SPA6 SPA7 SPA8 SPA9

White Pupil% Ethnic Pupil%

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Ethnic Population of Primary Schools by Strategic

Planning Area – Source: School CensusEthnic Population of Secondary Schools by Strategic Planning Area– Source: School Census

Based on 2006-2010 School Censuses and estimates taken from 5-year age groupings of GLA 2008 Round Ethnic Group Projections.


Families and Dependents

• Looking at the Bromley Household Survey 2009, just under a third (30.5%) of all the households in Bromley have children.

• The last census showed a very clear distinction in terms of where couple families and lone parent families were located within the borough.

• In a direct inversion to the proportion of couple families by ward, the 2001 Census shows lone parent families are predominately located in the Crystal Palace, Penge and Cator and Mottingham and Chislehurst North wards, and also in Clock House, Plaistow and Sundridge, Bromley Common and Keston, Cray Valley East and Cray Valley West.

• Although the time elapsed since the 2001 Census means we have to treat this information with a little caution, the spread does tally up with areas of deprivation within the borough.

Household Types In Bromley - Source: Bromley Household Survey 2009


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Deprivation

• The Government Office for London IMD (Index of Multiple Deprivation) measures deprivation based on the following seven domains:

income deprivation employment deprivation health deprivation and disability education, skills and training deprivation barriers to housing and services living environment deprivation, and crime

• Bromley ranks at 228th place out of 354 Councils for the levels of disadvantage (where 1 is the most deprived and 354 the least deprived).

• However, the positive mean figure hides some stark contrasts between areas within the borough. One of Bromley’s wards, Penge and Cator, ranks among the top 10% of wards in England experiencing areas of high child poverty, whilst five others of Bromley’s 22 wards contain areas ranked among the 20% most deprived in England. These wards are: Crystal Palace; Mottingham and Chislehurst North; Bromley Common and Keston; Cray Valley East; and Cray Valley West.

• The main areas of deprivation are clustered together in the north-west and north-east corners of the borough. Next

Index of Multiple Deprivation 2007 (Source: DCLG)

Data shown at lower level super output area. Higher levels of deprivation shown in darker

shading.


Deprivation 2

• Meanwhile, Petts Wood and Knoll, Shortlands and West Wickham are among the least deprived in London.

• It is worth noting that the areas showing as most deprived are also the areas with the greatest volume of social housing in the borough which is where we might expect a higher concentration of the issues associated with deprivation. They are therefore more likely to register as more deprived in relation to other areas of the borough.

• Comparing the multiple indices of deprivation scores of 2004 and 2007 provides a change over time. The map on the next slide shows that change, with the red and orange areas experiencing an increase in their level of deprivation, and the blue areas a decrease in their deprivation.

• The map broadly shows that the northern half of the borough (much of which were the most deprived areas already) has suffered from an increase in deprivation, with the biggest increases in the areas noted before: Penge and Cator; Crystal Palace; Mottingham and Chislehurst North; Bromley Common and Keston; Cray Valley East; and Cray Valley West.

• For a few selected areas (numbered 1-7), a breakdown of the deprivation indices to show what aspects have changed have been included. Chart 6 shows an area where there has been improvement across all the deprivations domains except income. Conversely, chart 5, shows a decline in all domains except crime.

• It should be noted that differences in how information was collected between the 2004 and 2007 deprivation scores means that we must view the changes with that in mind, however comparing future scores would be invaluable in identifying any trends. Next


Deprivation 3


Change in Index of Multiple Deprivation 2004-2007 (Source DCLG)

Data shown at lower-level super output area.


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• A spike in number of births in 2008/09 (a 12% increase from 2005) and a ‘rolling’ peak in the age ranges following over the next twenty years (despite overall 0-19 population declining).

• The 15-19 age group population is projected to fall by around 12% until 2018 before returning to just above current numbers in 2025.

• A steady projected increase in the borough ethnic population, and continued increase in school ethnic population especially in north-west corner.

• Increased levels of deprivation in Penge, Crystal Palace, The Crays, and several pockets around the borough, such as Bromley Common and Biggin Hill.

Actions for Bromley

• The ‘rolling’ population peak will impact on all services as it moves through the age ranges: school place planning, extended school services, youth service, post-16 services. We would also expect the birth rate peak to bring with it a potential increase in SEN numbers and referrals to Social Care.

• Increased deprivation is likely to increase service needs within those areas and may negatively impact on associated deprivation problems. Back to General Demographics


Attainment and Achievement for All

• Summary• Achievement• Foundation Stage• Key Stage 1• Key Stage 2 • Key Stage 4• Post 16: Level 3• Male Role Models• Satisfaction with Park and Play Areas• Youth Elections and Youth Council• Key Messages for Bromley



Summary

• Bromley has nearly 47,000 pupils attending its 95 schools (74 primary, 17 secondary, and 4 special)

• In addition there are 796 Early Years providers with 6,415 part-time equivalent free early years education places for 3 and 4 year olds.

• Attainment across all stages of the national curriculum is equal or above the national average and higher than neighbouring boroughs.

• 64% of the pupils surveyed in the TellUs 4 survey thought they would go onto university or higher education, more than the 62% nationally and the 61% in statistical neighbours.

• Attainment for SEN pupils in Bromley is just above the national average, but just below our statistical neighbours.

• However Bromley scored noticeably lower in those Years 8 and 10 pupils surveyed in receiving help and advice from their teachers, college teachers, Connexions and the online prospectus in planning what to do after Year 11 (which was the biggest worry in those years).Back to Attainment and Achievement for All


Achievement

• Bromley has good attainment ratings, with scores either comparable or above the national average. There is considerable interest in Bromley Schools, particularly at secondary level from out of Borough, In fact out of Borough represent 20% of pupils in Bromley’s secondary schools.

• Against statistical neighbours Bromley performs a little less favourably, ranking in the bottom half at Key Stage 2 (2009 results) - in comparison with ten other local authorities.

• Performance was notably improved at Key Stage 4 (in comparison with the statistical neighbours again) being among the top scorers, and middling at A-level.

• Please see the Vulnerable Groups categories at the last section for data on attainment by ethnicity, Special Education Needs and Looked After Children.

• Please note with regard to the following tables that National average scores are shown in brackets.


Back to Attainment and Achievement for All

Foundation Stage

2007 2008 2009 2007 2008 2009 2007 2008 2009

% 6+ Points % 6+ Points % 6+ Points % 8+ Points % 8+ Points % 8+ Points % 9 Points % 9+ Points% 9+ Point

s

Dispositions and Attitudes87 86 89 47 45 43 9 8 8

(87) (88) (89) (49) (-) (-) (15) (13) (12)

Social Development83 81 83 32 28 27 8 5 4

(80) (82) (83) (35) (-) (-) (13) (11) (10)

Emotional Development78 78 79 42 40 39 9 6 6

(76) (77) (79) (43) (-) (-) (12) (11) (9)

Language for Communication and Thinking

80 79 81 36 32 32 8 6 6

(78) (79) (82) (36) (-) (-) (11) (10) (9)

Linking Sounds and Letters66 67 72 29 29 28 10 10 8

(65) (71) (74) (29) (-) (-) (13) (13) (12)

Reading71 71 73 28 26 26 7 6 6

(69) (70) (72) (29) (-) (-) (9) (8) (7)

Writing62 60 65 24 21 19 4 3 3

(58) (61) (62) (23) (-) (-) (6) (6) (5)

Numbers as Labels and for Counting90 88 89 42 39 35 16 15 11

(87) (88) (88) (43) (-) (-) (18) (17) (15)

Calculating74 72 73 28 25 23 7 4 4

(70) (72) (73) (28) (-) (-) (7) (6) (6)

Shape, Space and Measures82 82 84 33 29 23 8 6 5

(80) (81) (82) (32) (-) (-) (10) (8) (7)

Knowledge and Understanding of the World

79 78 82 38 32 32 4 2 1

(77) (79) (81) (36) (-) (-) (4) (4) (3)

Physical Development89 89 89 53 48 43 8 5 5

(88) (89) (90) (50) (-) (-) (10) (9) (7)

Creative Development79 78 82 27 25 25 4 2 2

(78) (79) (80) (29) (-) (-) (5) (4) (4)

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Foundation Stage Results – All LA Maintained Schools and Private, Voluntary and Independent Settings

Foundation Stage 2

• At the Early Years Foundation Stage, Bromley performed better in the key indicators (percentage of children achieving 78 points or more including at least 6 points in Personal, Social and Emotional Development and Communication, Language and Literacy; narrowing the gap), than national and outer London. However, Bromley is slightly below average when compared with its statistical neighbours.


Bromley Hertford-shire Trafford SuttonStockport

Bedford Borough Bracknell Forest Solihull West Sussex Hamp-shireBath & North East

Somerset

Outer London

National

percentage gap between lowest

achieving 20% in the

FSP

33.7 31.4 31.3 32.0 30.7 35.9 28.6 30.1 34.1 32.5 32.4 34.2 33.9

% 6+ points Bromley Hertford-shire Trafford SuttonStockport

Bedford Borough Bracknell Forest Solihull West Sussex Hamp-shireBath & North East

Somerset

Outer London

National

DA 89 92 94 93 90 89 91 93 89 91 89 90 89

SD 83 87 91 90 86 84 85 89 82 85 86 84 83

ED 79 83 86 87 80 76 80 86 77 79 80 80 79

LCT 81 86 89 88 86 83 82 90 82 85 84 81 82

LSL 72 82 82 79 77 77 79 83 72 73 79 73 74

R 73 79 82 82 78 72 73 84 72 73 77 71 72

W 65 70 71 72 66 62 62 74 61 61 67 64 62

NLC 89 92 92 93 92 89 91 94 88 90 90 89 88

C 73 80 80 82 78 74 79 83 75 76 79 73 73

SSM 84 88 90 86 86 84 85 89 84 84 85 80 82

KU 82 85 88 90 85 80 80 89 80 83 82 80 81

PD 89 92 94 94 91 89 93 93 88 89 89 91 90

CD 82 84 87 90 86 78 81 90 80 82 83 81 80

SUM 1041 1100 1126 1126 1081 1037 1061 1137 1030 1051 1070 1037 1035

Source: CYP Research & Statistics

NI 92: Narrowing the gap between the lowest achieving 20% in the Early Years Foundation Stage Profile


DA Disposition and Attitudes NLC Numbers as labels for counting

SD Social Development C Calculating

ED Emotional Development SSM Shape Space and measures

LCT Language for communication and thinking KU Knowledge and Understanding

LSL Linking sounds and letters PD Physical Development

R Reading CD Creative Development

W Writing SUM Sum of Percentages

Key Stage 1

• At Key Stage 1, Bromley is above the national and outer London averages in all subjects, at the expected and higher levels. When compared with the statistical neighbours, Bromley has slightly lower average results than most.

Average Point Score 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009

Reading 16.0 16.3 16 15.9 16.0 15.9 16.1

(15.7) (15.8) (16) (15.6) (15.6) (15.6) (15.7)

Writing 14.8 15.1 15 14.6 14.5 14.5 14.6

(14.6) (14.6) (15) (14.4) (14.2) (14.2) (14.3)

Mathematics 16.5 16.3 16 16.0 16.1 16.0 16.1

(16.3) (16.2) (16) (15.8) (15.8) (15.8) (15.7)

Overall APS N/A N/A16 15.5 15.6 15.5 15.7

(16) (15.4 (15.3) (15.3) (15.3)

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% Level 2+ Bromley Hertford-shire Trafford Sutton Stock-port Bedford Borough Bracknell Forest Solihull West Sussex Hamp-shireBath & North East

Somerset

Outer London

National Bromley Rank (/11)

Reading 87 89 89 88 87 87 86 91 86 88 88 85 84 7

Writing 83 86 85 85 84 84 82 88 84 85 84 81 81 10

Mathematics 91 92 92 93 91 91 92 94 91 92 92 90 89 8

% Level 3+ Bromley Hertford-shire Trafford Sutton Stock-port Bedford Borough Bracknell Forest Solihull West Sussex Hamp-shireBath & North East

SomersetOuter

LondonNational

Bromley Rank (/11)

Reading 29 35 31 34 29 31 27 42 28 34 31 25 26 8

Writing 14 20 16 17 14 17 10 24 15 14 14 12 12 7

Mathematics 24 29 26 31 24 24 20 36 25 26 26 21 21 8


Average Point Score at Key Stage 1

2009 Key Stage 1 – Statistical Neighbours


Key Stage 2

• At Key Stage 2, Bromley is again above the national and outer London averages in all subjects, at the expected and higher levels. Bromley is in line with its statistical neighbours at the excepted level and slightly above at the higher level (level 5).


% Level 4+ Bromley Hertford- shire Trafford Sutton Stock-port Bedford Borough Bracknell Forest Solihull West Sussex Hamp-shire Bath & North East SomersetOuter

LondonNational

English 83 85 87 84 84 76 83 85 80 82 86 81 80

Mathematics 80 82 85 82 82 75 77 84 78 81 85 80 79

Science 89 91 92 91 92 84 90 93 88 91 92 88 88

English & Mathematics 75 77 81 77 77 67 72 79 71 75 79 73 72

%Level 5 BromleyHertford-

shireTrafford Sutton

Stock-port

BedfordBorough

BracknellForest

SolihullWest

SussexHamp-shire

Bath &North

East Somerset

Outer London

National

English 34 33 38 36 34 24 29 35 29 32 37 30 29

Mathematics 39 40 45 42 39 29 34 41 33 37 37 38 35

Science 47 49 53 48 49 40 44 52 42 47 48 44 43

English & Mathematics 25 24 29 27 25 15 20 26 19 23 24 22 20

Average Point Score

2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009

English 28.0 27.6 28 28.2 28.1 28.0 27.8

Mathematics 27.6 27.7 27 27.8 27.6 27.8 28.0

Science 29.3 29.2 29 29.3 29.2 29.0 29.1

English, Mathematics &

Science

28.3 28.2 28 28.4 28.3 28.3 28.3

(27.4) (27.5) (28) (27.8) (27.9) (27.9) (27.9)


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Average Point Score at Key Stage 2


Key Stage 4

• At Key Stage 4, Bromley is also above the national and outer London averages. When compared with statistical neighbours, Bromley is ranked second out of 11 local authorities with similar characteristics in the 5 A*-C measure and third out of 11 in terms of the Average Points Score.

GCSE 2007 2008 2009

5 A* - C71 73 78

(60) (65) (70)

5 A*-C inc English and Mathematics

55 60 63

(46) (48) (51)

Average Points Score (uncapped) New Points

408.7 413.5 442.4

(374.3) (392.8) (419.8)

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Bromley

Hertford-shire

Trafford Sutton StockportBedford Borough

Bracknell Forest

SolihullWest

SussexHamp- shire

Bath & North East

Somerset

Outer London

National

% 5+ A* to C

78 74 80 85 69 68 64 78 68 70 76 73 70

% 5+ A* to G

94 95 96 96 94 94 96 96 94 95 96 95 94

Capped average point score

442.4 432.8 454.5 482.0 390.8 437.4 393.0 441.8 401.9 424.6 431.6 426.3 419.8

Source: CYP Research & Statistics - *Maintained Schools only - All Pupils

Key Stage 4 Results

2009 Key Stage 4 - Statistical Neighbours


Post 16: Level 3

• At Level 3 (post 16), Bromley is below the National average for points scores, but above outer London. Bromley is ranked sixth out of 11 when compared with its statistical neighbours.

2006 2007 2008 2009

Boys683.6 680.6 678.0 701.2

(694.5) (706.6) (719.2) (720.2)

Girls728.2 741.5 748.6 733.8

(735.5) (743.0) (757.9) (755.7)

All pupils707.6 713.5 715.2 718.6

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BromleyHertford-

shireTrafford Sutton Stockport

Bedford Borough

Bracknell Forest

SolihullWest

SussexHamp-shire

Bath & North East

Somerset

Outer London

National

2006 714.5 695.3 825.0 816.2 690.5 n/a 633.2 625.2 679.0 766.3 671.3 n/a 721.5

2007 717.4 713.6 817.2 829.1 701.9 n/a 671.7 648.5 685.0 783.0 684.5 n/a 731.1

2008 715.2 732.4 859.8 837.5 741.9 n/a 684.3 670.5 693.0 796.4 712.9 704.2 739.8

2009 718.6 730.9 832.0 865.5 736.6 697.5 700.4 662.4 697.0 787.0 694.5 709.5 739.1


2006-2009 Post 16: Level 3 results (or equivalent) - statistical neighbours

Post 16: Level 3 Results



Male Role Models

• A survey in 2008 by the Training and Development Agency of boys aged 5 to 11 showed that 51% thought that having a male teacher would make them better behaved, and 42% said it would make them work harder. Although no formal research to correlate the data has been done, it is thought that a lack of male role models in primary school could result in disciplinary problems for boys later in life, and possible higher risk of crime and drug abuse in their teens.

• Across Bromley primary schools, 11.6% of teachers are men and of Bromley’s 78 primary schools, 18 have no male teachers, while two have no male member of staff at any level. Another 18 of the primary schools have only one male primary school teacher.

• Although the number of males in Bromley primary schools is below the national average, it is comparable with statistical neighbours and similar authorities. Croydon, Kingston and Sutton with fewer males than Bromley, however Southwark is higher at 18.3% than both Bromley and the national average.

• In the 14 of Bromley’s secondary schools the percentage of male to female teachers was 34% - below the national average of 42%.

• There was variation between same sex and mixed schools however:

In mixed schools – average of 41% male teachers In boys’ schools – average of 50% male teachers In girls’ schools – average of 22% male teachers

8.5%9.0%

10.0%11.6%

16.0%

18.3%

0.0%

5.0%

10.0%

15.0%

20.0%

Southwark England Bromley Croydon Kingston Sutton

Percentage of male primary school teachers

Source: CYP PDS Report 26 February 2009; The Balance of Males and Females in the Teaching

Workforce



Satisfaction with Park and Play Areas

• There are 66 council managed playgrounds based within parks in Bromley. Park and play areas are seen as key areas for social interaction with other children, a contributing aspect to exercise and healthy living and a place for community cohesion.

• Safe, stimulating play facilities are seen as a way of encouraging these outcomes and the satisfaction of those play areas is measured from a question in the TellUs survey.

• Bromley scored 53.2% satisfaction, which equalled the pan-London average. Although this is significantly greater than the England average of 44.7%, and scored better than statistical neighbours, Bromley, often considered a leafy, green borough ranked behind a number of Inner London boroughs such as Southwark, Lambeth and Camden.

Next

Area% Children and Young People’s Satisfaction

with parks and play areas (NI 199)

Barnet 56.3%

Bexley 44.0%

Bromley 53.2%

Croydon 46.8%

Greenwich 48.7%

Kingston upon Hull 41.4%

Lewisham 54.3%

Reading 46.1%

Richmond-upon-Thames 64.9%

Southwark 54.8%

Sutton 50.0%

Trafford 47.6%

London 53.2%

England 44.7%

Satisfaction with Park and Play Areas – 2009

Source: Centre for Excellence and Outcomes in CYP


Satisfaction with Park and Play Areas 2

• Elements of this appears to be reflected in the 2008 More Place Survey of Bromley where the top mention under issues that need the most improvement locally was activities for teenagers at 48%, higher than the 39% Outer London average.

• Conversely parks and open spaces were not seen as in need of much improvement locally.

• For those respondents with children, 40% felt parks and open spaces were important as opposed to 32% of those without children.

• It would suggest that while the parks themselves are not an issue, activities and how those parks are used to provide satisfactory play areas for young people is in need of development.

• Teenagers hanging around the streets was seen to be a greater issue in Community Area 4 (incorporating Chislehurst and Mottingham & Chislehurst North), with 55% rating it a problem as opposed to 44% in Bromley generally.

44.7%53.2%

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Youth Elections and Youth Council

• Youth Elections are promoted to schools for approximately 4 months, and all schools are encouraged to sign up to participate.

• The Youth Council currently has 52 members, with representative for four portfolios: Children & Young People; Safety; Environment; and Leisure.

• The elections take part place in schools and local youth centres. In 2010, 7,077 young people (aged between 11-19) in the borough voted in elections for Bromley Youth Council and 9 schools took part in the elections (the proportion of voters being between the ages of 12 and 15).

• 2010 is the second year of borough based youth elections and there has been an increase in participation by schools.

• A manifesto event took place in March 2010, attended by 38 young people from 7 secondary schools in Bromley. Three issues were identified at the manifesto day for the Youth Council to focus its work upon:

Youth Democracy Youth Crime Lack of activities for young people

• The Youth Council have a political ‘Speed-dating’ event with elected Bromley Councillors planned for June and a debate with the Councillors planned for October.

• The TellUs 4 survey showed only 4% of pupils surveyed used their youth council or youth parliament as a means to communicate ideas that are important to them. This is in line with both national and statistical neighbours but shows ample scope to champion that route.





• Addressing how to narrow the gap in attainment between the top performing pupils and lowest, particularly in reference to the attainment of vulnerable groups.

• Attendance is not hitting the targets Bromley has set itself consistently.

• The birth rate spike of 2008/09 will impact on school place provision planning, with the increased numbers entering primary school in 2011 and secondary school in 2020.

• Low number of male teachers at primary school level and a lack of male role models.

• School, Connexions and College support for Years 8 and 10 in helping them plan for post Year-11 was not viewed favourable in the TellUs 4 survey.

Actions for Bromley

• A need to look at the current support mechanisms for helping young people plan to achieve their ambitions and a look into the positive impacts that support can have on teenage conceptions and anti-social behaviour.

• A plan to narrow the gap in attainment, particularly with vulnerable groups will impact positively upon life opportunities.

• There is a need to develop research into specific groups such as young carers and travellers.

• There is a need to focus on delivering constant attendance.



Ensuring the Health and Wellbeing of Children Young People and their Families

• 2009 Health Profile• Lifestyle• Play Outside• Air Quality• Infant and Perinatal Mortality• Low Birth Weight• Breastfeeding• Obesity and Healthy Eating• Immunisation• Sexual Health• Teenage Conceptions and Terminations of Pregnancy• Emotional Health• Child and Adolescent Mental Health Services• Key Messages for Bromley



2009 Health Profile

• Bromley’s Health Profile 2009, gives a snapshot of health within the borough.

• The health of Bromley residents is overall better than the England average:

Over the last ten years, rates of early deaths from cancer, heart disease and stroke have all declined and remained significantly better than the England average.

Infant mortality and teenage pregnancy rates are lower than the England average.

Healthy eating among adults higher than England average and Bromley has low childhood obesity rates.

Life expectancy for both men and women being higher than the England average.

Terminations of pregnancy are under the London average for under-18, but are higher for the under-16s.

TellUs 4 indicates that emotional health for Bromley children and young people has improved and is inline with national and statistical neighbours.

• However, for the 7% of Bromley residents who live in areas classified as being in the most deprived fifth of areas in England, life expectancy is substantially lower than for those living in the least deprived areas; with the difference in male life expectancy being almost nine years.

Back to Ensuring Health and Wellbeing


Lifestyle

• The results from the TellUs 4 survey, while a small sample population across all children and young people, give an indication into the lifestyle with regards to health for Bromley with:

53% of pupils surveyed walking to school

The majority of pupils surveyed felt their school was helpful in providing information and advice on healthy food and lifestyles, alcohol, drugs and smoking. Although their schools were not seen to be as helpful on the issue of sex and relationships.

52% of pupils surveyed had never had an alcoholic drink.

77% of pupils surveyed had never smoked, and a further 10% had only ever tried smoking once.

88% of pupils surveyed had never taken drugs.

Only 8% did not eat any of the recommended ‘five a day’ fruit and vegetables.



Play Outside

• Looking at the 2007/08 data for percentage of school children who spend a minimum of two hours each week on high quality physical education and school sport within and beyond the curriculum, Bromley scores 89.7% which is just shy of the England average of 90%, but in comparison with other London Boroughs, Bromley is ahead of the London average and positioned in the middle.

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Air Quality

• As we would expect with a urban and densely populated north and a rural south, air quality with the Borough of Bromley is split into bands, with the urban north significantly worse that the southern rural regions.

• A report on the estimation of mortality impacts of particulate air pollution in London, commissioned by the Mayor of London and released in July 2010 looked at the pollution levels of all the wards in the London Boroughs.

• The study looked at pollutant concentration within each ward, and calculated the potential increase in deaths attributable to pollution per year, based on their population and death rate.

• Bromley had both the lowest score (3 in Darwin ward) and the highest (with three of the four 12s recorded across Greater London). With the exception of the London Borough of Havering, no other borough has such a consistently high number of premature deaths attributable to pollution across its wards.

• Despite being an outer London borough with large areas of parkland, Bromley has the highest car ownership of all London Boroughs which may well account for the high figures.



Bromley WardAttributa

ble Deaths

Bickley 10

Biggin Hill 7

Bromley Common & Keston 10

Bromley Town 11

Chelsfield & Pratts Bottom 11

Chislehurst 11

Clockhouse 12

Copers Cope 11

Cray Valley East 11

Cray Valley West 12

Crystal Palace 8

Darwin 3

Farnborough & Crofton 10

Hayes & Coney Hall 11

Kelsey & Eden Park 11

Mottingham & Chislehurst North

7

Orpington 11

Penge & Cator 12

Petts Wood & Knoll 10

Plaistow & Sundridge 11

Shortlands 7

West Wickham 10

Total 217

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Index of Deprivation 2007 – Combined Air Quality Index

© Crown Copyright. All rights reserved. London Borough of Bromley

Lic. No. 100017661 2008.

Infant and Perinatal Mortality

• Infant deaths are deaths under 1 year, per 1000 live births. Perinatal deaths are deaths occurring after 22 weeks of pregnancy, during childbirth and up to 7 complicated days of life.

• The table shows that infant mortality in Bromley has generally been lower than other outer London Boroughs, and the table below shows that Bromley has a lower perinatal mortality rate than outer London.

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Rate of Infant Mortality per 1000 live births

Source: ONS (London DataStore)

Rate of Perinatal Mortality per 1000 live births

Source: ONS (London DataStore)



Low Birth Weight

• Low birth weight is known to be linked to potential future physical and mental health issues in later childhood and adulthood.

• Low birth weight is defined in this dataset as less than 2,500 grams and the percentage is the percentage of live births under this weight for all births where the birth weight was stated.

• Not smoking during pregnancy and good nutrition help to reduce the number of low birth weight babies.

0%

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1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007

1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007

Bexley 7.5% 6.3% 7.1% 6.8% 8.2% 7.2% 7.8% 7.3% 6.3%

Bromley 6.7% 6.5% 7.1% 6.7% 7.7% 7.9% 7.2% 7.1% 6.7%

Croydon 7.6% 8.9% 8.8% 8.1% 9.1% 7.8% 8.5% 8.6% 8.1%

Greenwich 7.8% 10.0% 8.4% 8.6% 8.2% 7.4% 6.9% 7.5% 6.5%

Lewisham 9.4% 8.1% 8.6% 9.0% 8.8% 8.6% 9.3% 8.2% 8.0%

Southwark 9.5% 9.3% 9.8% 9.7% 9.4% 8.2% 7.9% 8.2% 8.3%

London 8.0% 8.2% 8.1% 8.2% 8.1% 7.9% 8.0% 7.9% 7.5%

England 7.6% 7.6% 7.6% 7.7% 7.7% 7.6% 7.5% 7.6% 7.2%



Source: Vital Statistics Output Branch (VSOB), Office for National Statistics

Breastfeeding

• Research has shown that breastfeeding has a positive effect on a child’s health, and can provide a good early start in life.

• It must be noted in looking at the table below that there is an issue in accurately recording the prevalence of breastfeeding in Bromley. Improvements in capturing the information accounts for the dramatic increase over the time period shown, and continual monitoring of that recording process is required.

2008 Q1 2008 Q2 2008 Q3 2008 Q4 2009 Q1

Barnet 28.1% 43.9% 62.4% 87.7% 72.0%

Bedford Borough 70.8% 82.3% 80.6% 93.1% N/A

Bromley 17.9% 33.0% 43.3% 62.8% 64.4%

Croydon 90.2% 87.5% 96.7% 99.3% 99.6%

Greenwich 28.5% 71.5% 73.1% 99.0% 86.9%

Kingston upon Hull 84.8% 94.8% 99.9% 84.8% 99.5%

Lewisham N/A 87.4% 97.6% 88.9% 95.5%

Reading 50.1% 50.0% 55.8% 55.1% 52.8%

Richmond-upon-Thames N/A 16.3% 77.3% 88.4% 62.8%

Southwark 85.0% 82.9% 76.6% 86.3% 92.0%

Sutton 80.7% 63.8% N/A 64.3% 73.6%

Trafford 99.4% 99.7% 100% 99.7% 99.1%

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Obesity and Healthy Eating

• Obesity in children is linked to a number of serious health problems including asthma and joint problems and further health complications later in life such as heart disease, cancer, high blood pressure, type-2 diabetes and severely obese individuals are likely to die on average 11 years earlier.

• There are also emotional health consequences such as low self-esteem, low educational attainment and possible social exclusion.

• Bromley has made tackling childhood obesity a target and in recent years the percentage of children aged 4-5 (R) considered to be obese has been falling, from 8.4% in 2007 to 7.3% in 2008.

• In comparison to other London Boroughs, Bromley has the second lowest percentage of reception year children considered to be obese with only Richmond-upon-Thames having lower percentage. Bromley is also considerably lower than both the London and England averages. Nationally, urban areas have higher rates of obesity than rural areas, and London has the highest rate at Strategic Health Authority level.

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Obesity and Healthy Eating 2

• In 2007/2008 the overall rate of obesity in children in Reception Year in Bromley was 7.9% compared to 10.9% for London and the national average of 9.6%.

• In 2008/09, the Year 6 rate of obesity for Bromley is 16%, compared to 21.3% in London and 18.3% nationally.

• Bromley has lower levels of obesity in both Year 1 and Year 6 compared to London as the table above shows, however prevalence remains higher in Bromley for overweight (not obese) children in Year 6 than London and England levels.

• Part of ensuring healthy eating and contributing to reducing obesity is the national scheme to encourage families to have school lunches. School lunch provision now has to follow strict criteria with regards to serving meals that have a high nutrition value. The following table shows that Bromley is very successful compared to most comparative authorities for take up at secondary school level. Further work needs to be done at primary school level.



Primary Schools Secondary Schools

Barnet 46.1% 36.0%

Bromley 37.0% 43.4%

Croydon 33.5% 21.7%

Greenwich N/A 48.2%

Southwark 58.7% N/A

Sutton 38.8% 37.1%

Reading N/A 41.4%

England 39.3% 35.1%

Associated National Indicator

NI 55 NI 56

Category% Overweight

Yr1% Obese Yr1

% Overweight Yr6

% ObeseYr6

Bromley 12.3% 7.3% 15.5% 16%

London 12.4% 11.2% 14.7% 21.3%

England 13.2% 9.6% 14.3% 18.3%

Source: National Child Measurement Programme

National Child Measurement Programme 2008/09 Results

Take-up of school lunches 2009

Source: Centre for Excellence and Outcomes In CUP

Immunisation

• Immunising children against infectious diseases is one of the most important and effective Public Health interventions that can be made. In order to maximise this protection, it is essential to achieve and maintain a high level of vaccine uptake (coverage).

• The World Health Organisation recommends 95% coverage for all childhood vaccination. Uptake rates for childhood immunisation in Bromley are not currently at this level.

• A health equity audit aimed to identify how fairly services or other resources in Bromley are distributed in relation to the health needs of different groups and areas.

Uptake rates by ward showed that the lowest rates could be found in Penge and Cator, Mottingham and Chislehurst North.

The 5 highest deprivation scores were found in Cray Valley East, Mottingham and Chislehurst North, Penge and Cator, Cray Valley West, and Crystal Palace.

• The conclusions of the audit highlight a geographical variation in childhood vaccination uptake rates across wards in Bromley. This variation becomes more prominent for some of the later childhood vaccinations such as the 4 in 1 booster and Pneumococcal vaccinations.

• In addition to looking at ways of improving data collection and recording on the Child health database, the findings of the health equity audit will be incorporated into a demand and capacity exercise to help focus further activity to improve immunisation uptake.

• Plans are underway to target children missing the 4 in 1 booster and PCV vaccinations. Initiatives include detailed work on “call and recall” activity in General Practices (which has already started), and looking at immunisation campaigns in more deprived areas.

Average immunisation rates across vaccines for Bromley

Source: Department Of Health (London DataStore)

Vaccination2009-10 Immunisation

Coverage

Immunisation rate for children aged 1 who have completed immunisation for diphtheria, tetanus, polio, pertussis, Haemophilus influenzae type b (Hib) - (i.e. all 3 doses of DTaP/IPV/Hib)

85.9%

Immunisation rate for children aged 2 who have completed immunisation for pneumococcal infection (i.e. received Pneumococcal booster) (PCV)

91.5%

Immunisation rate for children aged 2 who have completed immunisation for Haemophilus influenzae type b (Hib), meningitis C (MenC) - (i.e. received Hib/MenC booster) -

82.9%

Immunisation rate for children aged 2 who have completed immunisation for measles, mumps and rubella (MMR) - (i.e. 2 doses of MMR

81.2%

Immunisation rate for children aged 5 who have completed immunisation for diphtheria, tetanus, polio, pertussis (DTaP/IPV) (i.e. all 4 doses)

73%

Immunisation rate for children aged 5 who have completed immunisation for measles, mumps and rubella (MMR) (i.e. 2 doses

70.7%

Immunisation rate for girls aged around 12-13 years who have completed immunisation for human papillomavirus vaccine (HPV) (i.e. all 3 doses)

* Data available Sept 2010

Immunisation rate for children aged 13 to 18 who have been immunised with a booster dose of tetanus, diphtheria and polio (Td/IPV

* Data available Sept 2010



Source: Bromley PCT

Sexual Health

• Chlamydia is the most commonly diagnosed sexually transmitted infection in the UK, affecting both men and women. Most people who have Chlamydia will have no symptoms and without a test probably not know anything is wrong.

• Left untreated Chlamydia can cause infertility and long term pelvic pain and there has been a nationwide push to have regular annual tests for under 25s who are sexually active.

• Bromley has been performing comparatively in the screening of under 25 years for Chlamydia and even has the second highest level of testing in Quarter 2, 2009 in comparison with neighbouring boroughs and statistical neighbours.



Area Q01 2008 Q02 2008 Q03 2008 Q04 2008 Q01 2009 Q02 2009

Barnet 2.2 2.7 4.0 17.8 5.9 11.4

Bedford Borough 2.2 1.4 3.6 16.3 - 8.1

Bexley 2.3 2.6 5.7 16.4 6.7 14.6

Bromley 2.6 3.9 4.0 16.8 5.8 16.4

Croydon 2.1 2.3 3.6 17.5 3.3 7.3

Greenwich 3.9 5.5 10.4 25.9 7.0 13.3

Kingston upon Hull 5.2 4.9 5.6 22.0 5.4 11.0

Lewisham 8.0 8.6 8.5 35.2 9.0 18.8

Reading 2.7 1.9 1.9 8.9 2.3 5.1

Richmond-upon-Thames 2.0 2.0 5.3 17.9 4.5 10.5

Southwark 5.0 5.4 5.6 22.2 5.2 13.5

Sutton 0.8 1.1 3.9 12.3 3.2 5.8

Trafford 3.2 3.8 5.0 18.7 5.1 10.6

England - - - - - 8.1

Source: Centre for Excellence and Outcomes In CUP

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Teenage Conceptions and Terminations of Pregnancy

• Teenage conception rates in Bromley are lower than both the national and London average, however teenage pregnancy rates within the borough over time not improving.

• The rate (number of conceptions per 1000 females in the age 15-17 group) for quarter 2 of 2008 is 42.0 compared to 36.6 in the same period in 2007. Of these conceptions, 46% of them ended in termination (based on local data sources) – newer statistics from the performance report show 58% in under-18 terminations.

Next

1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008

Bexley 37.2 42.7 34.7 43.9 40.1 41.2 38.3 35.7 36.9 37.6 45.0

Bromley 32.1 33.8 35.1 33.5 35.3 39.3 31.1 36.1 30.9 34.0 39.2

Croydon 59.1 58.2 56.9 54.3 58.6 52.7 55.9 56.1 56.9 54.6 55.5

Greenwich 62.6 71.8 56.1 67.8 62.8 70.6 66.0 65.7 57.0 65.2 66.7

Lewisham 80.0 75.4 67.3 65.4 75.7 74.4 70.6 71.0 68.2 70.6 68.7

Southwark 87.2 84.3 83.0 83.8 82.5 89.6 86.7 71.8 75.0 76.7 68.0

Inner London 66.8 65.4 66.2 65.5 68.7 65.3 60.3 55.7 56.0 56.4 52.5

Outer London 42.2 42.1 41.5 41.9 44.1 44.5 43.1 40.8 40.3 40.3 40.7

England and Wales 47.1 45.1 44 42.7 42.9 42.4 41.8 41.4 40.9 41.9 40.6 Bor

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Teenage Conceptions and Terminations of Pregnancy

• Some of the main risk factors associated with teenage conceptions are as follows: early onset of sexual activity, poor contraceptive use, alcohol and substance misuse, low educational attainment, disengagement from school and leaving school at 16 with no qualifications.

• There are ‘hotspots’ within the borough where more intense targeted work is required. The local data has been divided into postcode areas and the highest teenage conception rates are in BR1, BR5, BR6 and SE20. These postcodes cover central Bromley, Orpington, The Cray’s and Penge; combined these areas account for over 63% of the total conceptions for the borough.

• The conception rate for under 16’s in Bromley has seen a slow but steady decrease since 2004 when the aggregated rate was 6.9 per 1000. This rate was 5.6 per 1000 in 2007 which is the latest under 16 data available.

• Likewise looking at terminations of pregnancies by postcode, BR5 and SE20, The Cray’s and Penge have twice as many terminations as other parts of the borough. It is worth noting at this stage however that The Cray’s and Penge are where a large portion of social housing is in Bromley, and therefore likely areas for a single teenage mother to be housed. The information on postcodes does not therefore reflect where in the borough the girl may have first originated from.

Termination of Pregnancy by Postcode April 2008/December 2008

Source: Commissioning Termination of Pregnancy Service – Bromley PCT, 2009



Emotional Health

• A child’s emotional well being, and the quality of their relationships with significant others is known to have an effect later in life. National Indicator 50 looks to gauge an indication of this broad theme through four questions/statements included into the TellUs surveys

• The four statement are: I have one or more good friends When I’m worried about something I can talk to my mum

or dad When I’m worried about something I can talk to my friends When I’m worried about something I can talk to an adult other

than my mum or dad

• The National Indicator is based on the percentage of children with good relationships, defined as answering ‘true’ to having one or more good friends AND answering ‘true’ to at least two of the statements about being able to talk to their parents, friends or another adult.

• Bromley has a low value under this indicator, significantly lower than both neighbouring boroughs and statistical neighbours, and below both the London and National averages.

Area% Emotionally healthy children (NI

50)

Barnet 62.6%

Bexley 63.0%

Bromley 56.5%

Croydon 61.3%

Greenwich 60.2%


Lewisham 57.8%

Reading 62.3%


Southwark 60.3%

Sutton 58.5%

Trafford 62.1%

London 61.1%

England 63.3%

Emotional Health – 2009




Child and Adolescent Mental Health

• The skills and attributes associated with positive mental health lead to improved physical health, a better quality of life, reduced crime, higher educational attainment and economic wellbeing. Conversely poor mental health is associated with a range of health damaging behaviours such as smoking, drug and alcohol use, unwanted pregnancy and poor diet.

• A survey carried out in 2004 by the Office for National Statistics reported that nationally one in ten children aged between 5-16 had a clinically recognisable mental disorder. Four percent of children had an emotional disorder (3% anxiety and 1% depression) and six percent had a conduct disorder.

• Higher rates of mental health and behaviour problems have been shown to be linked to areas of greatest deprivation and in lone parent, low income and low educational qualification families.

• Mental health problems are also shown to affect boys to a greater degree than girls.5-16 years 17-19 years

Any disorder 4,360 880

Emotional disorders (4%) 1,750 350

Conduct disorders (6%) 2,620 530

Hyperkinetic disorders (2%) 870 180

Estimated prevalence of mental health problems in Bromley

Source: CAMHS Health Needs Assessment (2007-2010)





• Inequality in life expectancy and potentially other health issues exist between areas of affluence and areas of deprivation.

• Communicating and collecting breastfeeding and immunisation information and data has been improving but still has scope for further improvement.

• Having began with a comparatively low baseline, under-18 conception rates have not made very little improvement over time, and suggest that is little that can be done to further reduce this rate.

• Under-16 pregnancy termination rates while decreasing still remain high relative to London Boroughs.

• Bromley has low rates of obesity at both Reception Year and Year 6, however Bromley does have a higher rate of overweight children at Year 6 than the London or National average which could develop into weight related health problems in the years following.

• TellUs 4 indicated that Bromley children and young people were not getting enough support at school with regards to sex and relationships.

Actions for Bromley

• A need to look into the underlying issues affecting areas of deprivation.

• With the lose of the TellUs survey Bromley will have to identify a new way to monitor and obtain the state of children and young people’s motional well being. Without this it will be very hard to measure performance against this priority.

• There is a need to build on the existing relationship with the CAMHS team to further explore where issues occur both geographically and demographically, and to aid early intervention and targeting hard to reach groups.

• There is a need to closely monitor cross-cutting issues such as exposure to Domestic Violence, bullying and children and young people as victims of crime, all of which contribute to emotional well-being.



Keeping Children Safe

• Summary• Safer Transport Team• School Travel Plans• Police Initiatives• Police Statistics• Road Safety• Domestic Violence• Safeguarding Referrals• Key Messages for Bromley



Summary

• The Bromley pupils surveyed in the TellUs 4 survey were less worried about being bullied than the National result, but were more worried about being a victim of crime and additionally fewer pupils felt safe travelling to and from school.

• Bromley launched its second Volunteer Police Cadet Unit for 14-to-19 year olds in April 2010 taking the number of cadets on the borough to 102, the highest in London.

• There has been an increase in young people as victims of crime from 2008/09 to 2009/10 but a large reduction in the number of young people accused of perpetrating incidents.

• Safeguarding referrals have increased dramatically since 2007 (higher than National figures) and are set to continue at the higher rate.

• Numbers of Child Protection Plans and Looked After Children have also increased alongside this.

Back to Keeping Children Safe


Safer Transport Team

• Associated with the Police Safer Neighbourhood Teams, the Bromley Safer Transport Team (STT) has been heavily involved in educating young people and tackling youth Anti-Social Behaviour (ASB) on the transport network since its infancy in February 2006.

• The STT have used the CCTV on buses to work with schools in identifying any individuals involved in ASB so they can be targeted directly with parental letters and logged onto the STT ‘traffic light database’. Repeat offenders may have their free travel privileged removed.

• Between April 2009 and June 2010, the Safer Transport Team dealt with 170 youths. 20 of these came to notice a 2nd time and 10 of which a 3rd time. These latter 10 would have been put forward for consideration of Acceptable Behaviour Contracts (ABCs).

• The STT has directly targeted schools that bus drivers have identified as troublesome, particularly those near the border in the north-east of the borough.

• The STT has worked with over 6,000 pupils as part of their Junior Citizenship programme to educate them on issues of personal travel safety and crime.

• The STT have also worked with Bromley Mencap to gain a better understanding of children and young people with learning disabilities and have taken part in developing a ‘safety card’ for special needs students to present to a bus driver or officer if they become or fear becoming a victim.



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Safer Transport Team ‘Traffic Light’ Offenders April 2009 to June 2010

Source: Bromley Safer Transport Team

School Travel Plans

• A school travel plan is a package of measures put together to reduce congestion and increase safety on the school run. This is done by encouraging pupils and parents to consider more sustainable alternatives such as walking, car sharing, public transport or cycling to school. This can include lots of different “soft” and “hard” measures such as walking incentive schemes such as the Walk on Wednesday Scheme, Walking Buses, car sharing initiatives and engineering measures.

• Two studies have been completed: one at the Hawes Down schools and one at the Highfield schools where the average car journey to school is ¾ mile.

• In the first year of operation of the walking bus scheme, an estimated 5254 car trips and 3940 miles were saved at Hawes Down and an estimated 2,840 car trips and 1,870 miles at Highfield.

• Since school travel plans were introduced in 2004 there has been a 15% reduction in car use, a figure that is growing term on term.



Police Initiatives

• There are a number of initiatives in place by the Police in Bromley focussing on supporting young people including Safer Schools Officers attached to all Bromley Secondary Schools and both Further Education Colleges. Other initiatives include MetTrack, KICKZ and PUNCHZ, where disenfranchised young people are diverted from crime and encouraged to participate in athletics, football or boxing.

• The Bromley Volunteer Police Cadets are now the largest in London, with 102 cadets. Part of the recruitment process identifies young people who may be involved in unlawful activity and would benefit from the scheme. The VPC also links in with other uniformed youth organisations such as: Sea Cadets; Army Cadet Force; Boys and Girls Brigade etc…

• Cop Trumps is a recent initiative piloted at Hayes Primary School where children are to collect a set of 30 cards featuring pictures and descriptions of the officers from the Safer Neighbourhood Team.

• Each officer will carry their own card and children will be encouraged to find and speak to officers - either when out patrolling the ward or when visiting the school - to collect their card.



Police Statistics

• Knife Crime involving youths (under 18) made up 1.2% of all offences in 2009. After previously seeing a rise in the number of recorded youth knife crime offences, this has fallen between 2008/09 and 2009/10 by the magnitude of around 25%.

• Youth Violence made up 2.8% of all offences in 2009 and have seen rates fall between 2008/09 and 2009/10 by approximately 10%.

• Serious Youth Violence made up 0.9% of all offences in 2009 and between 2008/09 and 2009/10 has seen a very slight increase of approximately 5%.

• Youth on youth crime where both the victim and the suspect were under-18 accounted for 14.4% of offences in 2009/10 involving young people.

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2008/09 Youth Victim Total: 1,679

2009/10 Youth Victim Total: 1,862 (an increase of 10.9%)

2008/09 Youth Accused Total: 887

2009/10 Youth Accused Total: 598 (a reduction of 32.6%)

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Road Safety

• Young people represent a large proportion of those involved in road traffic incidents. The 10-14 year old age range is showing the greatest numbers across the age bands with regard to pedestrian casualties and injuries. The age group also has the second highest rate of injuries and casualties in cycle related incidences.

• Younger, less experienced, drivers are another high risk group and it is the age ranges of 15-19 and 20-24 that also show among the highest rate of casualties and injuries in motorcycle and car incidents.

Pedestrian casualties by age LBB 2004-06

Source: Bromley’s Road Safety Plan for 2008/09

Motorcyclist casualties by age, LBB 2004-06


Age of Drivers involved in Serious or Fatal Accidents, LBB 2006




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Domestic Violence

• Research has shown that domestic violence has many negative impacts beyond the immediate act of violence towards women. Children in households where domestic violence occurs may be more at risk to abuse themselves and may develop emotional or behavioural issues and find it hard to form meaningful relationships in the future.

• The Equality and Human Rights Commission’s map of gaps, showing the number of Violence Against Women services serving areas of the UK, indicate that Bromley is in line with vast swaths of the country but provides less services than some other London boroughs – particularly the Inner London boroughs.

• While reported Domestic Violence incidences have fallen by 12% in the last year (1,837 reports in 09/10 compared to 2,089 reports in 08/09) Police data shows that, in Bromley, between May 2007 and May 2010 there were 930 Domestic Violence incidents where a young person (under the age of 18) was present. The figures also show a steady increase in those incidents over the 3 year period.

• The increase can not be viewed on face value as one aspect for the increase in the increase in and accuracy of recording children and young people since the Baby P incident.

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Safeguarding Referrals

• The death of Baby Peter in August 2007 has led to a marked increase in the number of referrals made to Childrens’ Social Services across the UK and Bromley is no exception.

The number of Initial Contacts to social services increased from 4,990 in 2007 to 6,109 in 2009. (An increase of 22.4%)

The number of assessments covering child protection (S47 assessment) increased from 428 in 2007 to 504 in 2009 (an increase of 17.8%).

The number of children subject to a Child Protection Plan increased from 141 in 2007 to 167 in 2009 (an increase of 18.4%).

There were 182 new Child Protection Plans issued during 2008/09, compared to 141 in each of the previous 2 years (an increase of 29.1%).


Next

Safeguarding Referrals 2

• The following graphs illustrate the trend of increasing numbers across safeguarding of children services.



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Monthly number of referrals to CYP over 2007-2010

Number of children subject to a child protection plan each month 2007-2010

Number of children looked after in each month 2007-2010



• Increased numbers of young people as victims may require an increase in promoting safety among children and looking at the support system for young victims of crime.

• Perception of violence and crime for children and young people is greater than actual crime, but highlights again the cross-cutting nature of emotional well-being.

• The number of children present at incidents of domestic violence in Bromley has increased over the past 3 years, this is partly due to improved recording but highlights an area where closer monitoring of this would be required.

• Ensure that agencies work effectively together to support safeguarding.

• An above average ethnic minority cohort present in Bromley Looked After Children

• A sustained increase in the number of safeguarding referrals, assessments and child protection plans since 2007. • The birth spike and rolling peak in the age groups will mean that statistically we can potentially expect an further increase in the

number of safeguarding referrals, protection plans and entering care.

Actions for Bromley

• There will be a need to manage the consequences of increased referrals and assessments prompted by a greater public awareness of the issue of safeguarding.

• Planning and preparation will be required to deal with the projected increase the birth spike will bring to the number of children who enter the safeguarding system.

• There will be a need to monitor the effectiveness of early intervention through processes such as the Common Assessment Framework (CAF), and to breakdown the numbers and origin of referrals for measuring incidents such as Domestic Violence.



Promoting Positive Behaviour of Children and Young People

• Summary• Attendance• Absence• Truancy• Exclusions• Youth Offending• Reoffending• Substance Misuse• Bullying• Key Messages for Bromley



Summary

• Bullying was less of an issue for the Bromley pupils responding to the TellUs 4 survey than both nationally and for statistical neighbours; 59% stating they had not been bullied, and 21% worry about being bullied, however 41% of a pupil population of 47,000 is a large number of pupils experiencing bullying in real terms.

• A high number of pupils did not feel that their schools were good at dealing with bullying. Furthermore, the TellUs 4 survey indicated that those Bromley pupils surveyed did not feel their school had listened their ideas over what was important to them, with Bromley below both national and statistical neighbours on the issue.

• Absence rates in Bromley continue to improve but are behind target; however persistent absence in secondary schools is on target.

• Bromley has made progress on reducing the level of permanent exclusions.

• First time entrants to the youth justice system in Bromley over 2008 and 2009 has fallen by almost half, but reoffending rates are slightly higher than the target rate.

• Young Offenders in Education, Employment or Training remains short of the 90% target.

• Bromley Drug Action Team has seen an increased take up of treatment services particularly among targeted ethnic minorities.

• TellUs 4 indicates that participation by Bromley pupils in positive activities is at the national average, but behind our statistical neighbours.

Back to Promoting Positive Behaviour


Attendance

• Attendance has been pretty constant across 2003 -2008 in both Primary and Secondary school. Special schools however have shown a decrease in attendance.

2003/04 2004/05 2005/06 2006/07 2007/08

Primary Attendance 95% 94% 94% 95% 95%

Secondary Attendance 92% 92% 92% 92% 93%

Special Attendance 90% 86% 87% 82% -

Total Attendance 93% 93% 93% 93% 94%




Bromley Attendance

Absence

• Absence rates still remain an issue for Bromley, with Primary, Secondary and Special all showing increased absence rates before rates for the academic year 2008/09 fall back to about the same as the 2003/04 figures, showing there has been very little progress over the past six years.

2003/04 2004/05 2005/06 2006/07 2007/08 2008/09

Primary Authorised4.90 5.39 5.42 4.81 4.60 4.55

(5.08) (5.00) (5.30) (4.66) (4.69)

Primary Unauthorised0.60 0.53 0.68 0.67 0.71 0.71

(0.41) (0.43) (0.45) (0.52) (0.57)

Primary Total Absence5.50 5.93 6.10 5.48 5.31 5.27

(5.49) (5.43) (5.76) (5.18) (5.26)

Secondary Authorised6.80 7.04 6.85 6.75 6.00 5.89

(6.92) (6.58) (6.82) (6.36) (5.87)

Secondary Unauthorised1.00 1.13 1.16 1.46 1.33 1.27

(1.13) (1.23) (1.42) (1.50) (1.47)

Secondary Total Absence7.83 8.17 8.01 8.21 7.32 7.17

(8.05) (7.81) (8.24) (7.86) (7.34)

Special Authorised9.40 11.50 10.54 13.88 9.96

(8.64) (8.61) (8.79) (8.55) (8.41)

Special Unauthorised0.60 2.40 2.20 3.64 2.10

(1.86) (1.87) (1.80) (2.07) (2.16)

Special Total Absence10.00 13.88 12.74 17.52 12.06

(10.50) (10.48) (10.59) (10.62) (10.57)

Bromley Authorised Absence5.80 6.20 6.12 5.79 5.31 5.24

(5.96) (5.77) (6.05) (5.49) (5.28)

Bromley Unauthorised Absence0.78 0.94 0.91 1.03 1.02 0.99

(0.76) (0.81) (0.92) (1.00) (1.01)

Bromley Total Absence6.58 7.14 7.03 6.82 6.32 6.23

(6.72) (6.58) (6.96) (6.49) (6.29)




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TruancyCYP Research & Statistics


Description Number

Number of patrols 40

Number of pupils stopped 292

Number of those attending Bromley schools 202 (69.2%)

Number of those attending out of Borough schools 90 (30.8%)

Primary aged pupils 44 (15.1%)

Secondary aged pupils 248 (84.9%)

Of those stopped, number considered to have authorised absences 59 (20.2%)

Of those stopped, number considered to have unauthorised absences (true truants)

233 (79.8%)


Truancy Initiative: patrols undertaken between September 2008 – July 2009

Exclusions



Fixed Exclusions 2003/04 2004/05 2005/06 2006/07 2007/08

Primary Fixed0.52 0.68

* see notes0.93 1.26

(0.97) (1.04) (1.11) (1.06)

Secondary Fixed7.54 7.50 4.13 4.02 4.55

(8.66) (9.94) (10.40) (10.83) (9.78)

Special Fixed35.67 24.41

* see notes77.41 46.67

(17.45) (18.91) (18.56) (18.31)

Total Bromley Fixed4.19 4.17

* see notes3.17 3.28

(4.49) (5.12) (5.66) (5.14)

Permanent Exclusions 2003/04 2004/05 2005/06 2006/07 2007/08

Primary Permanent0.03 0.02 0.03 # 0.07

(0.03) (0.03) (0.02) (0.02) (0.02)

Secondary Permanent0.39 0.23 0.35 0.20 0.36

(0.25) (0.24) (0.24) (0.23) (0.21)

Special Permanent0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 #

(0.33) (0.31) (0.23) (0.20) (0.19)

Total Bromley Permanent0.20 0.12 0.18 0.10 0.22

(0.13) (0.13) (0.12) (0.12) (0.11)

# A rate based on less than 5.

* Termly collection of data also signified an extension to the scope of exclusions data collected via School Census. From the 2005/06 school year, the SC collected information on fixed period exclusions and the reasons for exclusion. Previously this information had been collated via the Termly Exclusions Survery which was discontinued after the collection of data relating to the 2004/05 school year. This change to the collection does present a gap in the information collected from Primary and Special Schools for Fixed Period Exclusions. Data for the year 2005/06 school year is not available for these schools.

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Youth Offending

• Youth offending and attendance is a category with links to many other aspects: deprivation levels, school attainment, anti-social and criminal behaviour later in life and there is a strong drive to tackle youth offending.

• Behaviour in school can often be an indicator as studies show a high number of pupils who have been permanently excluded go onto become young offenders.

• In Bromley, youth offending in predominately around the offences of; theft and handling, violence against the person, criminal damage, drugs, motoring and breach of statutory order.

• The vast majority (over 80%) of youth offenders known to the Bromley youth Offending Team are white, followed by mixed race, Black or Black British then Asian or Asian British.

• The number of First Time Entrants has been fallen over the last seven quarters.

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Youth Offending 2

• There is a target of 90% of young offenders supervised by Youth Offending Teams to be in suitable full-time education, training or employment. This has varied up and down over the past year a half, but is performing well in comparison with London and national figures.

• There has been greater success with offenders of statutory school age, as one might expect, and varied success with those above statutory school age.

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Of Statutory School Age Above Statutory School Age Total in EET

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Reoffending

• The frequency is the rate of reoffences per 100 offenders (the number of reoffences divided by the cohort). As individuals can commit multiple offences the rate can increase to over 100.

• The Jan-Mar 2008 rate of proven reoffences is 1.42 reoffences per person

Number in

cohort

Reoffences within 3 months

Frequency after 3 months





Reoffences within

12 months


Target

Jan-Mar 08

166 53 32 120 72 184 111 236 142 110

Jan-Mar 09

149 65 44 - - - - - - 108

Source: Bromley Youth Offending Team



NI 19: Rate of proven reoffending by young people who offend

Substance Misuse

• The Bromley Drug Action Team, a partnership responsible for implementing the recommendations for the National Strategy for Substance Misuse at a local level, have produced a needs assessment around substance misuse for young people in Bromley.

• Of the Young People in Treatment in 2008/09, 64% were male and 36% were female, a ratio identical to the London-wide figure and similar to the national figure.

• Progress has been made in forging links with the ethnic groups by the Drug Actions Team reflected by an increased engagement in treatment by young Black people.

• Bromley’s age profile for Young People under the age of 18 in treatment is higher than the London and national age profiles with the number of 13 and 14 year olds.

Ethnic group In treatment 2007-08 In treatment 2008-09

White 85% 80%

Asian or Asian British 4% 4%

Black or Black British 0% 5%

Other 11% 11%

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

Bromley

London

National

Bromley 3% 13% 24% 21% 19% 19%

London 3% 7% 16% 22% 24% 28%

National 2% 6% 14% 23% 26% 29%

Under 13 13 yrs old 14 yrs old 15 yrs old 16 yrs old 17 yrs old

Ethnicity of Young People in Treatment 2007-08 & 2008-09

Source: Bromley DAT: NDTMS, 2009

Age Profile 2008-09

Source: Bromley DAT: NDTMS, 2009



Bullying

• The TellUs 4 survey results gave a positive response on the issue of bullying with 59% of pupils surveyed stating they had never been bullied (better than national and statistical neighbour rates). However, 41% of Bromley’s pupil population represents a large number in real terms of young people who are experiencing bullying.

• Of those who had been bullied, 49% were bullied more than a year prior to the survey and for 50% of those bullied the incidents were infrequent, noted as a few times within the year, although 20% of that group were experiencing bullying most days.

• 85% stated they had not been bullied on their journey to school (better than the national figure of 79%).

• Bullying was also less of a worry for the Bromley pupils surveyed, with 21% worried about being bullied (compared to 25% nationally).

• However schools did not fare as well in the perception of how they dealt with bullying, only 19% thinking the school dealt very well with the issue (25% nationally) and 16% feeling the school dealt badly with the issue (only 11% nationally).





• Continued monitoring of absence to ensure levels continue to decrease.

• Schools were not seen as dealing particularly well with the issue of bullying.

• Further focus on meeting the 90% target for young offender in EET and the reoffending rate.

• Promoting positive behaviour has many cross-cutting issues and links with emotional health and well-being.

Actions for Bromley

• A need to improve support and communication around the issue of Bullying.

• A need to identify and establish where early intervention around emotional well-being can have a beneficial outcome, promoting positive behaviour.




• Summary• Employment in Bromley• Earnings• Unemployment Figures• Not In Education, Employment or Training• Labour Force Predictions• Childcare• Unsuitable Housing• Key Messages for Bromley



Summary

• Bromley is an affluent borough, looking back to the 2001 Census, Bromley had a low number (13.88%) of households with dependent children and no employed adults, well below the London average and lower than the England and Wales rate.

• 33% of pupils surveyed in the TellUs 4 survey noted costs as being the biggest obstacle to preventing them doing the activities they would have liked, higher than nationally.

• 31% of pupils surveyed listed money as a source of frequent worry, again this was higher than national and statistical neighbours.

• Bromley has a low proportion of young people Not in Education, Employment or Training (NEET).

• Bromley’s proportion of care leavers in employment, education or training has been increasing and above the London and National average 0f 2009.

• Around 90% of Bromley’s care leavers are placed within suitable accommodation, in line with statistical neighbours.

• Bromley is performing well for care leavers in Employment, Education or Training, and inline with the percentage of care leavers living in suitable accommodation.Back to Transition to Adulthood


Employment in Bromley

• The 2001 Census indicates that the range of occupations of Bromley residents differs to those of London. There are proportionately fewer people employed in professional and technical occupations and more managers and senior officials and those in administrative and skilled trades.

• Looking at type of industry people are employed in, it is clear that construction, financial intermediation and wholesale & retail trade make up a substantial part of the industry type.

• Another measure of the nature of residents in an area is the National Statistics Socio-economic Classifications (NS-SeC). Looking at the NS-SeC Class recorded via the Census shows a higher proportion of lower managerial and intermediate classes in Bromley, in addition to the high proportion of administrative and secretarial employment, this would suggest that despite being a generally affluent borough, it does in fact have more employees in relatively

low paying jobs than in comparison to the London average.


Back to Transition to AdulthoodSource: Housing Requirements Assessments 2009, taken from the 2001 Census

Occupation, National Statistics – Socio-economic Class and Industry of Employment for Bromley Compared to London & England

Earnings

• The chart below shows the gross household income levels in Bromley. Gross household income includes income from all sources such as earnings, pensions, interest on savings, rent from property and state benefits, but does not include housing benefit.

• This measure of income is different from individual earnings and household income is often used as a guide to how much a household can afford to spend on housing.

• The chart indicates that 40% of Bromley households have an income of over £40,000 and 28% of households have an annual income of less than £15,000. The fact that nearly a third of household income is at this low level will place a greater demand for affordable housing and for the private rented properties.

• The map shows how average household incomes vary across Bromley (darker shading indicating a higher average) with areas to the north of the borough typically being associated with higher incomes. Back to Transition to Adulthood


Source: Bromley Household Survey 2009

Household Income in Bromley

Unemployment Figures

• There has been a continuing increase in unemployment within Bromley over the past year. This is in keeping with what is being experienced nationwide as a result of the recession. Comparatively however, the increase in unemployment has been significantly lower than the London average and neighbouring boroughs.

Next

Ward

January 2009 January 2010 Difference

Number Rate % Number Rate % Number Rate %

Bickley 147 1.7 194 2.3 47 0.6

Biggin Hill 106 1.7 162 2.6 56 0.9

Bromley Common and Keston 235 2.7 301 3.5 66 0.8

Bromley Town 261 2.6 301 3.0 40 0.4

Chelsfield and Pratts Bottom 144 1.7 175 2.0 31 0.3

Chislehurst 134 1.6 170 2.0 36 0.4

Clock House 261 2.5 345 3.3 84 0.8

Copers Cope 230 2.4 270 2.8 40 0.4

Cray Valley East 375 4.3 460 5.3 85 1.0

Cray Valley West 354 3.8 444 4.8 90 1.0

Crystal Palace 361 4.4 482 5.9 121 1.5

Darwin 40 1.5 52 1.9 12 0.4

Farnborough and Crofton 130 1.6 155 1.9 25 0.3

Hayes and Coney Hall 160 1.8 234 2.6 74 0.8

Kelsey and Eden Park 174 1.9 239 2.6 65 0.7

Mottingham and Chislehurst North 234 3.8 301 4.9 67 1.1

Orpington 273 3.1 307 3.5 34 0.4

Penge and Cator 481 4.3 582 5.2 101 0.9

Petts Wood and Knoll 130 1.6 140 1.8 10 0.2

Plaistow and Sundridge 276 3.0 361 3.9 85 0.9

Shortlands 102 1.9 102 1.9 0 0.0

West Wickham 136 1.6 151 1.8 15 0.2

Bromley 4,728 2.6 5,910 3.2 1,182 0.6

Bexley 3,851 2.8 4,847 3.6 996 0.8

Croydon 6,908 3.2 9,635 4.4 2,727 1.2

Greenwich 6,120 4.2 7,493 5.2 1,373 1.0

Southwark 7,408 3.7 9,844 4.9 2,436 1.2

Sutton 2,615 2.2 3,783 3.2 1,168 1.0

London 169,355 3.3 225,965 4.4 56,610 1.1

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Unemployment Figures 2

• Those wards with the highest rate of difference (the greatest increase in unemployment) are the wards that had the highest rate of unemployment back in January 2009, with the five wards with the highest rate of claimants have the highest increase in claimants over the year. Similarly the five wards with the lowest rate of unemployment were all among the lowest six wards in rising unemployment, indicating a growing disparity among those areas of deprivation.

• It should be noted that measuring unemployment figures solely from Jobseeker Allowance claimants will not give a truly accurate picture as there could be people who do not claim benefits even though they are not working.

• According to the unemployment figures for February 2010, of the 5,930 Jobseekers Allowance claimants, 1,460 (24.6%) were by 16-24 year olds. Breaking that down further into an age split, the majority of claimants 66.10% are between 20 and 24. There are roughly equal proportions of 18 and 19 year olds claiming with a small and very small proportion of 17 and under 17 year olds respectively.

• In comparison with London, Bromley is in the middle, matching the London-wide figure for 16-24 year old claimants.

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Percentage of Jobseekers Allowance claimants aged between 16-24

Source: Office for National Statistics (Jobcentre Plus administrative system) & GLA estimates

Age split for Jobseekers Allowance claimants in Bromley Feb 2010: Under 17-24

Source: Office for National Statistics (Jobcentre Plus administrative system) & GLA estimates


Back to Transition to Adulthood

Not in Education Employment or Training

• NEET refers to those aged between 16 and 18 who are not in any form of education, employment or training.

2005 2006 2007 2008

Barnet 6.20 4.80 4.60 4.10

Bexley 8.20 6.90 6.50 5.30

Bromley 5.50 5.00 4.70 4.60

Croydon 9.20 8.10 7.60 7.10

Greenwich 12.20 12.00 9.60 9.50

Kingston upon Hull 3.90 14.10 11.30 10.60

Lewisham 9.10 6.70 6.10 5.50

Reading 10.70 7.30 8.40 8.60

Richmond-upon-Thames 4.30 4.00 2.60 3.40

Southwark 14.50 11.70 10.00 8.80

Sutton 5.30 4.80 4.60 4.40

Trafford 6.20 7.30 6.60 6.30

London 8.00 7.50 6.40 5.80

England 10.90 7.70 6.70 6.70 Per

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Labour Force Predictions

• The Greater London Authority Labour Force predictions show a very small reduction in the percentage of both male and female and 16-17 and 18-24 economically active population over the next eight years. Given the small nature of the change against the margin of error in projections we can assume the proportions to remain constant at this time.

2008 2010 2012 2014 2016 2018

Males

16-17 35.4% 34.2% 33.1% 32.1% 31.1% 30.1%

18-24 82.0% 81.8% 81.7% 81.5% 81.2% 81.0%

Females

16-17 42.4% 41.5% 40.6% 39.7% 39.0% 38.3%

18-24 75.2% 75.3% 75.3% 75.4% 75.4% 75.5%

Total

16-17 38.9% 37.8% 36.8% 36.0% 35.1% 34.2%

18-24 78.7% 78.6% 78.5% 78.4% 78.3% 78.2% Per

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Childcare

• Formal childcare for low-income families is seen to bring several benefits: it has a positive effect on a child’s social and emotional development and gives young children a head start in life. It is seen as a key indicator in closing the gap in attainment between children from low income families and their more affluent peers.

• Bromley has shown constant and strong improvement in the take-up of formal childcare by low-income working families.

• Costs in London are higher than the national regional average, and in Bromley significantly more so.

Nursery (Under 2) Nursery (2 and over) Childminder (Under 2) Childminder (2 and over) Out of School Club

Bromley £224 £204 £210 £210 £44

Inner London £198 £174 £177 £175 £27

Outer London £202 £186 £184 £170 £47

England Regional Average £159 £149 £144 £142 £43

Area 2005 2006 2007 2008 Change

Barnet 13.6% 14.3% 14.1% 14.1% +0.5%

Bedford Borough 16.3% 16.8% 17.4% 17.5% +1.2%

Bexley 13.8% 15.6% 17.0% 18.8% +5%

Bromley 16.3% 17.8% 19.4% 20.4% +4.1%

Croydon 21.4% 23.7% 24.5% 25.0% +3.6%

England 14.5% 15.8% 16.9% 17.8% +3.3%

Greenwich 17.7% 20.0% 20.8% 21.6% +3.9%

Kingston upon Hull 12.0% 13.5% 14.5% 15.6% +3.6%

Lewisham 25.3% 27.0% 27.9% 28.7% +3.4%

Reading 16.6% 18.2% 18.1% 17.9% +1.3%

Richmond-upon-Thames 16.6% 18.1% 20.3% 20.0% +3.4%

Southwark 24.2% 26.8% 28.3% 28.7% +4.5%

Sutton 16.6% 18.1% 18.7% 19.5% +2.9%Take up of formal Childcare by low-income working families

Source: Centre for Excellenance and Outcomes in CYP

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• Unsuitable housing is an important issue as it can include overcrowding, with relation to children, Bromley defines the ‘bedroom standard’ by which overcrowding is based on being able to provide a bedroom for each pair of children of the same gender, each pair of children aged under 10, and each remaining child that has been paired.

• According to the Bromley Household Survey 2009, 39.7% of allthe unsuitable housing within the borough of Bromley have children living in them.

• Geographically the highest proportion of unsuitable housing are found in the north west and north east corners of the borough, again relating strongly to the principle areas of deprivation.

Unsuitable Housing

Household TypeNumber of Households

Unsuitably Housed% of All Households in

Unsuitable Housing

Single person 2,277 12.6%

Lone parent 2,999 16.5%

Adult couple 1,370 7.6%

Adult couple with children 3,545 19.6%

Group of adults 2,753 15.2%

Group of adults with children 661 3.6%

All pensioners 4,517 24.9%

Total 18,122 100.0%

Proportion of Established Households in Unsuitable Housing by Household Type

Source: Bromley Household Survey 2009

Proportion of Established Households Living in Unsuitable Housing across Bromley.

Source: Bromley Household Survey 2009 (Note: Data shown at middle-level Super COA)





• Continued monitoring of absence to ensure levels continue to decrease.

• Schools were not seen as dealing particularly well with the issue of bullying.

• Further focus on meeting the 90% target for young offender in EET and the reoffending rate.

• Promoting positive behaviour has many cross-cutting issues and links with emotional health and well-being.

Actions for Bromley

• A need to improve support and communication around the issue of Bullying.

• A need to identify and establish where early intervention around emotional well-being can have a beneficial outcome, promoting positive behaviour.



Vulnerable Groups

• Looked After Children• Gypsy and Travellers• Young Carers• Children with Disabilities and Special Education

Needs• Black and Minority Ethnic• Children in Poverty and Free School Meals• English as an Additional Language



Looked After Children

• The term 'looked after' was introduced by the Children Act in 1989 and refers to children who are subject to care orders and those who are accommodated.

• Looked After Children are a well-established vulnerable group, at higher risk to poor mental health and behavioural problems. They are also at higher risk of low attainment, teenage conceptions and youth offending.

• In July 2010 Bromley had, 293 Looked After Children in Bromley: 167 male (57%) and 126 female (43%).

• The majority of Looked After Children are between 12 and 17 years old, with a relatively balanced split between male and female across the age range. Next

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Looked After Children 2

• The Looked After Children cohort has a higher proportion of ethnic minorities than the resident population across all the groups except Indian and Pakistani groups.

• Looking at the ethnicity of Looked After Children within Bromley, 27.3% are BME compared to 18.4% of the 0-19 year olds resident population in Bromley.

• The largest difference between the resident population and the current Looked After Children cohort is in the Mixed - White/Black Caribbean group.

• 10.5% of Bromley’s LAC have had substance misuse identified in the past 12 months and there are currently 6 LAC mothers.

• Around half of all LAC placements are out of borough.

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Looked After Children 3

• The attainment of Locked After Children over time has varied with both increases and decreases in attainment at all levels. A changing cohort means that performance may be very variable depending on the circumstances of the children concerned, and the small numbers involved mean the percentages are very subject to individual performance, an individual child can account for 10% for example.

• The 2009 results show that Bromley Looked After Children met the target for attainment at Key Stage 2 English and Maths, but fell short of 17% target for five A*-C GCSE or equivalent (including English and Maths) at Key Stage 4.

2005/06 2006/07 2007/08 2008/09

NI 99: Percentage of Children in care reaching level 4 in English at Key Stage 2

48% 55% 71% 40%

NI 100: Percentage of Children in care reaching Level 4 in Maths at Key Stage 2

39% 27% 50% 20%

NI101: Percentage of Children in care achieving 5 A*-C GCSEs (or equivalent) at Key Stage 4 (including English & Maths)

N/A 14% 4% 10%


Back to Vulnerable Groups


Attainment of Looked After Children over time

Gypsy and Travellers

• Bromley has a substantial gypsy and traveller population which is mostly located in the north-east corner of the Borough. They are primarily are static travellers. Obtaining quality information and data about this vulnerable group is very difficult as traditionally the traveller community are a hard to reach group. A lot of information gathered tends to be anecdotal.

• Significant inequalities among gypsy and traveller populations have been shown in a number of national studies: Average life expectancy is 10 years less for men and 12 years less for women than the non – gypsy and

traveller population (Department for Communities and Local Government 2007) 17.6% of Gypsy and Traveller mothers have experienced the death of a child, compared to 0.9% of the settled

population (Department for Communities and Local Government 2007) Gypsies and Travellers suffer significantly more health problems than any other minority ethnic groups in the

UK, and report up to five times more health problems than the general population (Parry et al 2004).

• Needs Assessment work in 2008 identifying several areas where further consultation and exploration was required to identify any issues or service needs in the following areas. Those included; maternal and child health, sexual health and teenage pregnancy.

• Ofsted has reported that Gypsy, Roma and Traveller pupils have the lowest results of any ethnic minority group and are the groups most at risk in the education system.

• Gypsy/Romany ethnic pupils in Bromley reflect this, and although it should be noted that problems in recording the information mean that the figures can not be taken as wholly accurate, the attainment results for the group are significantly lower than all other ethnic groups.

• The 2008 Bromley health and educational needs assessment key findings were that literacy skills were reported to be poorer among gypsy and traveller children compared to the general population. Secondary school education was less valued by the gypsy and traveller community, who felt discriminated against, particularly by other children, and this was reflected in attendance and attainment.

• There was anecdotal evidence of high teenage pregnancy among girls and an expectation on boys to leave school early to work, leading to a lack of qualifications and difficulties in finding employment. Therefore the numbers who are NEET are likely to be high.



Young Carers

• As at the 31st March 2010, Carers Bromley had 611 young carers known to them (525 who access the Carers Bromley services and 86 who have made themselves known but not at this time accessing the support services offered).

• The youngest carer known to Carers Bromley is 4 years old. The split between young carers of primary school age and secondary school age is about even, with slightly more of the current carers known being of secondary school age.

• The male, female split of young carers is pretty equal, with female young carers having a slight majority at 55.2%

• Despite ethnic groups only comprising of around 12% of the borough population, nearly 30% of young carers known to Carers Bromley are non-white. (This is only data on those young carers known, and the reality may be slightly different but it also may suggest a cultural aspect where ethnic groups have a greater tendency to provide care for family members in the family.)

• Looking at the location of where young carers are living, shows a correlation with the areas of deprivation. BR5 covering the Crays, and SE20 the Penge, Crystal Palace area.


White: British, 72.2%

Gypsy/Traveller, 0.2%

Mixed, 8.0%

Asian British, 4.2%

Black British, 9.7%

Other ethnic groups, 0.8%

Unknown, 5.0%

143

7972

5649 47

33

12 10 10 94 1

0

40

80

120

160

BR5 BR2 SE20 BR1 BR3 BR6 SE9 TN16 BR4 SE19 BR7 SE26 TN14

Ethnic Breakdown of Young Carers

Source: Carers Bromley (as of Q4 2009)

Location of Young Carers by postcode

Source: Carers Bromley (as of Q4 2009)


Chislehurst

Bromley Common

and Keston

Cray Valley West

Darw in

Petts Wood and Knoll

Crystal Palace

Copers Cope

Penge and Cator

Clock House

Kelsey and Eden Park

West Wickham

Hayes and Coney Hall Farnborough

and Crof ton

Chelsf ield and Pratts Bottom

Bickley

Biggin Hill

Bromley Tow n

Cray Valley East

Mottingham and Chislehurst North

Orpington

Plaistow and Sundridge

Shortlands

Number of School-aged disabled children

300 to 377 (3)240 to 300 (1)170 to 240 (6)100 to 170 (7)

0 to 100 (5)

Number of School-aged disabled children in Bromley 2006

Children with Disabilities and Special Education Needs

• More babies with birth trauma and congenital disorders are surviving, coupled with increased ascertainment, an ongoing increase is expected in the numbers of people with severe LD and complex needs.

• In 1981, the prevalence of 5 – 14 year olds with severe / complex needs was 0.19%, in 1991 it had risen to 0.21% and in 2001 it was 0.4%, almost doubling in only 10 years. A 16% increase in prevalence is forecast from 2001 to 2011 and a 22% increase from 2001 to 2021 across all age ranges.

• Prevalence often appears higher in 15-19 year olds than in young children due to delay in diagnosis. (Case ascertainment is more complete with increasing age, as milder degrees of impairment care more likely to be identified later).

• As younger, more complex clients require services, the relatively high costs associated with caring for these individuals means that average costs will rise.

• Cautions around estimates of prevalence rates: There is a wide spectrum of disorder. Definitions are not standardised. Severity appears higher, because those with severe impairment are

more likely to use services. Co-existing conditions are under-diagnosed.

Sou

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Children with Disabilities and Special Education Needs 2

• There are currently 17.9% of pupils in Bromley schools with some measure of Special Educational Need. 8.5% have been identified as requiring school action, 6.0% school action plus and 3.4% of the school population has a full statement. Overall there has been little variation in these figures over the last five years. School action plus is the SEN type with the most fluctuation having increased from 5.2% of the school population in 2005 to 6.0%.

• SEN rates are almost identical between BME and non-BME groups although there are a higher proportion of males with SEN than females. In 2009:

9.8% of boys had School Action compared to 7.2% of girls 7.6% of boys had School Action Plus compared to 4.4% of girls 5.1% of boys were Statemented compared to 1.8% of girls

• The number of new statements issued has increased from a low of 152 in 2005 to 250 in 2009. (An increase of 64.5%)

• Bromley now maintains 1797 statements of SEN, the highest since 2005, equating to 2.44% of the 0-19 population.

Total Pupils

Not SEN School Action School Action Plus Statemented

No. % No. % No. % No. %

2005 46,984 38,868 82.7% 4,090 8.7% 2,462 5.2% 1,564 3.3%

2006 46,902 38,601 82.3% 4,071 8.7% 2,657 5.7% 1,573 3.4%

2007 46,314 38,339 82.8% 3,918 8.5% 2,480 5.4% 1,577 3.4%

2008 46,202 38,190 82.7% 3,796 8.2% 2,650 5.7% 1,566 3.4%

2009 46,519 38,179 82.1% 3,947 8.5% 2,791 6.0% 1,602 3.4% SE

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Black and Minority Ethnic

• Minority ethnic groups can sometimes are classed as a vulnerable group as for some with that category may be hard to reach individuals, cultural, social and language barriers can prevent the access of services or impact the effectiveness of delivering services.

• Bromley, as an Outer London Borough, has a relatively low ethnic population of around 37,000 (12%). This ethnic population is predominately located in the north-west of the borough where Bromley borders with boroughs with higher proportions of ethnic populations, as the table showing the difference in ethnic groups by Strategic Planning Area.

• Looking more specifically at children and young people and the 0-19 age range, we can see some differences to the overall population trends.

• 0-19 Ethnicity is increasing in the same trend as overall borough ethnicity but at a greater rate. Looking at the comparison with the borough figures (the dotted lines) shows that the 0-19 population is ahead of the overall borough population in terms of ethnicity.

Strategic Planning Area

% White

% Mixed

% Asian

% Black

% Chinese/Ot

her

SPA1 80.3% 4.0% 3.4% 11.1% 1.2%

SPA2 91.2% 2.1% 3.0% 2.5% 1.2%

SPA3 94.5% 1.4% 2.4% 0.8% 0.9%

SPA4 90.9% 1.9% 3.6% 2.2% 1.4%

SPA5 94.7% 1.2% 2.0% 1.2% 0.8%

SPA6 92.4% 1.5% 3.3% 1.5% 1.3%

SPA7 94.9% 1.4% 1.2% 1.5% 1.0%

SPA8 94.7% 1.3% 1.9% 1.0% 1.1%

SPA9 96.8% 0.9% 1.1% 0.9% 0.3%

0%

20%

40%

60%

80%

100%

2001

2002

2003

2004

2005

2006

2007

2008

2009

2010

2011

2012

2013

2014

2015

2016

2017

2018

2019

2020

2021

2022

2023

2024

2025

2026

2027

2028

2029

2030

2031

All Ages White All Ages BME 0-19 White 0-19 BME

Sou

rce:

GLA

200

8 R

ound

Eth

nic

Gro

up

Pro

ject

ions

Source: 2001 Census


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Ethnicity spread by Strategic Planning Area

Black and Minority Ethnic 2

• Breaking that down further into the age bands, and looking at BME as a percentage of each borough age band, we can clearly see the 0-4 age band is projected to be the biggest percentage of the BME population.

• The overall resident population is increasing but the trend is must more marked in the younger population.

• It is important with regards to the younger ethnic population of Bromley to realise that the school population will have a different demographic to the residential population, with 20% of Bromley’s school population coming from neighbouring boroughs – mainly Lewisham and Croydon.

• Comparing the percentage of ethnicity of school age children within Bromley against the percentage ethnicity spread from the School Censuses 2006-2010 shows that the schools have a significantly higher proportion of ethnic pupils – around 10% larger. Looking geographically at the School Census 2010 data shows that schools in those Strategic Planning Areas in the North of the borough bordering on Lewisham, Southwark, Greenwich and Lambeth (SPA1; SPA2; SPA4; and SPA6).



10%

15%

20%

25%

30%

2001

2002

2003

2004

2005

2006

2007

2008

2009

2010

2011

2012

2013

2014

2015

2016

2017

2018

2019

2020

2021

2022

2023

2024

2025

2026

2027

2028

2029

2030

2031

0 - 4

5 - 9

10 - 14

15 - 19

© GLA 2008 Round Ethnic Group Projections

Change in ethnicity in 0-19 age bands over time

49%

64%76%

69%79%

71% 75% 80%91%

51%

36%24%

31%21%

29% 25% 20%9%

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

80%

90%

100%



44%

69%

87%76% 77%

83%74% 75%

89%

56%

31%

13%24% 23%

17%26% 25%

11%

0%

10%

20%

30%

40%

50%

60%

70%

80%

90%

100%



Ethnic Population of Primary Schools by Strategic

Planning Area – Source: School CensusEthnic Population of Secondary Schools by Strategic Planning Area– Source: School Census

Children in Poverty and Free School Meals

• Free school meals eligibility is often used as a proxy indicator of poverty of deprivation.

Next

2006 2007

Barnet 24.90 25.40

Bedford Borough 19.99 21.42

Bexley 19.50 19.30

Bromley 18.00 18.10

Croydon 27.70 28.30

Greenwich 36.50 36.20

Kingston upon Hull 33.20 34.30

Lewisham 36.00 36.40

Reading 22.30 23.30

Richmond-upon-Thames 12.50 12.20

Southwark 37.50 37.70

Sutton 18.00 18.20

Trafford 16.10 16.40

London 32.69 33.31

England 21.80 22.40

Eligibility for Free School Meals - 2008

Eligibility for Free School Meals - 2009

Primary Schools 10.4% 10.9%

Secondary Schools 8.1% 9.0%

Special Schools 26.8% 28.8%

Overall 9.4% 10.1%

Percentage of children (under 16) in families in receipt of Income Support/Job Seekers Allowance or whose income is <60% of median income.


Free School Meal Eligibility in Primary, Secondary and Special Schools

Source: School Census 2008 & 2009


Children in Poverty and Free School Meals 2

• Comparing the attainment of those pupils eligible for free school meals against one-free school meals shows a lower attainment score for the free-school meal pupils.

• The results over 2007-2009 shows a positive movement in the attainment of Free School Meals pupils, with the gap between the two cohorts narrowing from the 2007 difference to the 2009 difference in all aspects except science.



Key Stage 2

2007 2008 2009

% Level 4+ FSMNon-FSM

Difference FSMNon-FSM

Difference FSMNon-FSM

Difference

English 57 87 -30 66 86 -20 60 86 -26

Reading 67 91 -24 74 90 -16 72 91 -19

Writing 42 75 -33 49 78 -29 44 73 -29

Maths 56 82 -26 57 84 -27 60 83 -23

Science 73 91 -18 73 91 -18 73 92 -19

English and Maths

46 79 -33 50 79 -29 50 79 -29

Next

Bromley Free School Meals versus Non-Free School Meal at Key Stage 2 Level 4+

Children in Poverty and Free School Meals 3

• “The Child Poverty in London: 2007 Update” released by the Greater London Authority indicated that in August 2006 Bromley ranked 206th out of 408 local authorities in Great Britain for child poverty, with 10,900 or 15.5% of children living in families with a relatively low income∗ and receiving key benefits.

• Whilst that means that, in the context of Great Britain, Bromley ranked about midway, out of the 32 London local authorities Bromley has one of the lowest child poverty figures. The extent of child poverty in statistically similar neighbouring boroughs varies: e.g., Bexley ranks 194 (16.6% children in families on key benefits) and Lewisham ranks a high 22 (with 32.5% of children living in families on key benefits. On the whole, however, child poverty in London local authorities ranges from 50.9% in Tower Hamlets (ranked 1 in Great Britain) to 9.2% in Richmond Upon Thames (ranked 339 in Great Britain) in August 2006.



2007

Barnet 21.16%

Bexley 16.21%

Bromley 14.36%

Croydon 21.31%

Greenwich 33.94%


Lewisham 31.04%

Reading 19.30%


Southwark 33.33%

Sutton 13.98%

Trafford 17.33%

Source: Centre for Excellence and Outcomes In CYP

Income Deprivation Affecting Children Index Score

English as an Additional Language

• The proportion of pupils where English is an additional language has increased significantly over the eleven year period 1998 to 2009, a trend that is mirrored in both Primary and Secondary schools.

• It should be noted however that the recording of pupils with EAL has become more rigorous over the years.


Academic Year% of English as an

Additional Language

1998/1999 2.76%

1999/2000 3.50%

2000/2001 3.84%

2001/2002 4.14%

2002/2003 5.88%

2003/2004 5.42%

2004/2005 5.23%

2005/2006 5.45%

2006/2007 5.85%

2007/2008 6.42%

2008/2009 6.82%



Proportion of pupils in Bromley where English is an Additional Language

Bromley at a glance…

• If Bromley consisted of just a 100 Children…

…and if just 100 children accessed Bromley’s services…


Bromley in 2015

Achievement for AllHealth and Well-being

Keeping SafePromoting Positive Behaviour

Transition

*Based on latest figures available. Please note that some figures above do not account for difference between resident population and school pupil population.

0.5 will be Looked

After Children

13 will have been

drunk

2 girls will be

teenage mothers

20 are likely to go onto to

become Managers in

later life

3 will be a victim of

crime over the year

23 will worry about being a

victim of crime

90 will spend at least 2

hours a week playing

18 will eat their ‘5-a-day’ fruits

and vegetables

41 will have been bullied

64 will want to go onto

higher education

5 will be NEET

between 16 and 18

10 will participate

in the Youth

Elections8 will have tried drugs

8 will be obese in reception

year

4 will be persistently

absence from school

33 will smoke at least once

3 will be known to the Youth Justice

System

21 will worry about being

bullied

78 will get 5 A*-C GCSEs

51 would be boys 25 would be aged 15-19 14 will live in deprived families

49 would be girls 82 would be White 1 will becomes a young carer

27 would be aged 0-4 5 would be Asian 6 will be Statemented or at School Action Plus

24 would be aged 5-9 10 would be Black

24 would be aged 10-14 3 would be mixed race

0

1000

2000

3000

4000

5000

Age

0

Age

1

Age

2

Age

3

Age

4

Age

5

Age

6

Age

7

Age

8

Age

9

Age

10

Age

11

Age

12

Age

13

Age

14

Age

15

Age

16

Age

17

Age

18

Age

19

2010 2015

Bromley in 2015*

* All figures present on this slide are estimates based on trends and projections and are subject to change.

Population

2010 0-19 Population: 71,071

2015 0-19 Population: 69,735 ( 2%)

Age Structure:

The ‘rolling’ peak hits 5-9 age band:

2010 5-9 Population: 17,030

2015 5-9 Population: 18,695 ( 10%)

Teenage Pregnancy

The predicted fall in the 13-18 female population would equate to ~6% fewer pregnancies in 2015 at current rate (set to rise again 2020-2025 as ‘rolling’ peak hits 15-19 age band)

Borough 0-19 Ethnic Population

2010: 18% BME Population


The biggest increase being among Black African and Black Caribbean.

School Ethnic Population

2010: 26.5% BME Population


Vulnerable Groups

If referrals, assessments and Protection Plans continue at current higher rate, there will be little change in LAC population.

Provision for Early Years SEN will be impacted by biirth spike.

An increasing older person population may create more Young Carers.


The changing demographics play the largest part in shaping the next five years, the overall slight decline in population among 0-19 year olds mean that as a percentage of the population, service numbers will show a corresponding decrease.

Yet the 2008/09 birth spike creates a ‘rolling’ peak, this has hit the 5-9 age band in 2015, but will impact secondary schools, youth activity, post-16 services with increasing numbers in the years to follow.

Borough ethnicity continues to steadily increase, but it is the school population that will see a real increase in diversity, impacting on English as an Additional Language, BME Attainment, and cultural understanding and support within schools.


TellUs 4 Summary

• Positives

60% of pupils thought that parks and play areas in their area was very or fairly good. (Better than the national average of 54%)

Bromley pupils worried less about being bullied than the national average. (21% compared to 25%) 59% of pupils had never been bullied at school, and 85% had never been bullied when not in school, including

on the journey to and from school. (National figures where 54% and 79%) 41% said there were safe places to go for activities on weekends. (38% nationally) 64% of pupils thought they would go to university/higher education in the future. (62% nationally) The majority of Year 8 and 10 pupils thought they had been given helpful advice in school on healthy eating

and lifestyles, alcohol, smoking, drugs, and staying safe. However, the results for advice on sex and relationships and handling feelings were not as positive.

52% of pupils had never had an alcoholic drink and 77% had never smoked. (In line with national figures)

• Negatives

37% said they felt very safe going to and from school compared to 44% nationally. 31% of pupils said they felt a bit unsafe when using public transport compared to 23% nationally. When asked about barriers to accessing out of school activities, 33% raised cost as an issue compared to 23%

nationally. Bromley pupils worry more about money (31%) and being a victim of crime (23%) than the national average.

(National figures 26% and 16%) 16% thought that their school was bad at dealing with bullying. (11% nationally) When asked how much help they have had to plan what to do after the end of Year 11, Year 8 and 10 pupils

responded more negatively than the national average on the help provided from Connexions, teachers, college teachers and the online prospectus for local courses.

19% said they had done something active every day before school in the last week compared to 24% nationally. 30% said they did something active after school everyday compared to 36% nationally.



Sources

• Bromley Drug Action Team: Young People Needs Assessment Substance Misuse – 2009/10

• Bromley Health Profile• http://www.apho.org.uk/resource/view.aspx?RID=71378

• Bromley Housing Requirements Study 2009• http://onebromley/BA/Pub_AandCS/Pub_H/Team_HandCR/Team_HDandS/Team_HStrat/Team%20Documents/Housing%20requirements

%20study.pdf

• Bromley PCT Datasets

• Bromley Play Strategy 2007-2012• http://onebromley/BA/Pub_CandYP/Pub_SPandC/Team_SandP/Team_RandSS/Needs%20Analysis/BromleyPlayStrategy20072012.pdf

• Bromley Police Datasets

• CAMHS Health Needs Assessment (2007-2010)

• Centre for Excellence and Outcomes in Children and Young People’s Services• http://www.c4eo.org.uk/default.aspx

• Childcare Sufficiency Report for London Borough of Bromley• http://www.bromley.gov.uk/NR/rdonlyres/D14CFDF6-7CD0-43B7-8FF1-B3D46A4865EC/0/ChildcareSufficiencyReport.pdf

• Childcare Sufficiency Research for London Borough of Bromley Children and Young People Services• http://www.bromley.gov.uk/NR/rdonlyres/318AB801-CCFC-4A6E-B897-F1290A36CBA7/0/ChildcareSufficiencyResearch.pdf

• Disability Report for London Borough of Bromley, 2006• http://onebromley/BA/Pub_CandYP/Pub_SPandC/Team_SandP/Team_RandSS/Needs Analysis/Disability report for London Borough of

Bromley.doc

• Improving the Health and Well-Being of Gypsies and Travellers • http://onebromley/BA/Pub_AandCS/Pub_CandP/Team_CandP/Team_HI/Lists/Published Documents/Gypsy and Traveller Strategy version 1.doc


Next

Sources 2

• IOM: Report on estimation of mortality impacts of particulate air pollution in London• http://www.london.gov.uk/sites/default/files/Health_Study_%20Report.pdf

• LBB Children and Young People’s Plan 2009-2011• http://www.bromley.gov.uk/NR/rdonlyres/828BB963-ECFC-443A-8032-C5F5E3B36477/0/ChildrenandYoungPeoplePlan20092011_AmendedFinal.pdf

• LBB Children and Young People Services: Learning and Achievement in Schools; Summary of 2009 Results: Foundation Stage, Key Stage 1, Key Stage 2, GCSE, Post-16.

• LBB CYP Research & Statistics Datasets

• LBB CYP PDS Report: Teenage Pregnancies and Sexually Transmitted Diseases• http://onebromley/BA/Pub_CandYP/Pub_SPandC/Team_SandP/Team_PAP2/Team_IaDM/Committee Reports/DCYP09135_Teenage Pregnancies and

Sexually Transmitted Diseases.doc

• LBB CYP Portfolio Holder Report: The Balance of Males and Females In The Teaching Workforce• http://onebromley/BA/Pub_CandYP/Pub_SPandC/Team_SandP/Team_PAP2/Team_IaDM/Committee Reports/The Balance of Males and Females in the

Teaching Workforce.doc

• LBB Youth Offending Team – Performance Report for Oct – Dec 2009

• London Data Store• http://data.london.gov.uk/

• Making Sense of Bromley: A Statistical Analysis of Community Safety in Bromley• http://onebromley/BA/Pub_CE/Pub_CSandID/Making%20Sense%20of%20Bromley/Making%20Sense%20of%20Bromley%20-%20Community

%20Safety.pdf

• Making Sense of Bromley: A Statistical Analysis of Young People In Bromley• http://onebromley/BA/Pub_CE/Pub_CSandID/Making%20Sense%20of%20Bromley/Making%20sense%20of%20Bromley%20-%20Young

%20people.pdf

• Strategy for Carers 2007• http://www.bromley.gov.uk/NR/rdonlyres/F72FF0B9-C15D-4F4D-A722-034769E453EB/0/CarersStrategyFinal.pdf

• TellUs 4 Survey Results for Bromley 2009 Back to Needs Assessment Themes


Contact Details

• CYP Plan 2011-14 Needs Analysis Report and Navigational Presentation compiled by Jonathan Richards.

• For further details and information please contact the CYP Research & Statistics Team via:

[email protected]



cyp plan needs analysis navigational presentation helping focus priorities

Documents

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bromley slide

bromley cyp plan

wellbeing of children

bromleys cyp plan

priorities slide

needs analysis report

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