currencies and the fx spot market

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  • 8/11/2019 Currencies and the FX Spot Market

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    Currencies and the FX Spot

    Market

    Week 2: Part I

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    The Major Currencies of the World

    United States Dollar (USD) $

    Euro (EUR)

    Japanese Yen (JPY) United Kingdom Sterling Pound (GBP)

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    Other Major Currencies

    Australian Dollar

    Swiss Franc

    New Zealand Dollar Canadian Dollar

    Hong Kong Dollar

    Singapore Dollar

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    Currency TradingRANK Currency ISO Percent

    1 United States:United States dollar USD ($) 87.00%

    2 European Union:Euro EUR () 33.40%

    3 Japan Japanese: yen JPY () 23.00%

    4 United Kingdom:Pound sterling GBP () 11.80%

    5 Australia:Australian dollar AUD ($) 8.60%

    6 Switzerland:Swiss franc CHF (Fr) 5.20%

    7 Canada:Canadian dollar CAD ($) 4.60%

    8 Mexico:Mexican peso MXN ($) 2.50%

    9 China:Chinese yuan or renminbi CNY/RMB () 2.20%

    10 New Zealand:New Zealand dollar NZD ($) 2.00%

    11 Sweden:Swedish krona SEK (kr) 1.80%

    12 Russia:Russian ruble RUB 1.60%

    13 Hong Kong:Hong Kong dollar HKD ($) 1.40%

    14 Singapore:Singapore dollar SGD ($) 1.40%

    15 Turkey:Turkish lira TRY 1.30%

    Other 12.20%

    Total 200%

    *Multiple Sources

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    Currency Pairs

    The Majors

    EUR/USD: The Fiber

    USD/JPY: Yen or Ninja

    GBP/USD: The Cable

    AUD/USD: Aussie

    USD/CHF: Swissy

    USD/CAD: The Loonie

    Other Major Currency Pairs

    EUR/GBP: The Chunnel

    EUR/JPY: The Yuppie

    NZD/USD: The Kiwi

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    Currency Pairs

    www.finance.yahoo.com

    http://www.finance.yahoo.com/http://www.finance.yahoo.com/
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    Currency Pair Quotations

    Base (or Reference Currency) / Counter

    Currency

    Example 1: EUR/USD

    This Euro vs. the United States Dollar and NOT

    Euro per USD!!!

    Example 2: USD/JPY

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    Currency Pair Quotations

    Priority Ranking

    Euro (EUR)

    Pound (GBP)

    Australian Dollar (AUD) New Zealand Dollar (NZD)

    United States Dollar (USD)

    Canadian Dollar (CAD) Swiss Franc (CHF)

    Japanese Yen (JPY)

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    Direct vs. Indirect Quotes

    Direct vs. Indirect Quotes:

    The direct quote is the local currency priceof one unit of foreign currency. e.g.

    EUR/USD 1.3855

    The indirect quote is the foreign currency

    price of one unit of local currency. e.g.USD/EUR 0.7218

    reciprocal of direct quote.

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    Direct vs. Indirect Quote

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    Cross Rates

    What if you want to trade CHF for JPY?

    Law of One Price

    No Arbitrage

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    Cross Rates

    Example 1:

    EUR/USD = 1.3000

    USD/THB = 33.1000

    What is EUR/THB?

    Example 2:

    USD/JPY = 100.0000

    USD/PHP = 44.0000

    What is JPY/PHP?

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    The Spot Market and Risks

    What you buy is what your counterparty sells

    (and vice versa)

    Settlement Risk

    The Spot Transaction typically closes two days

    after the trade

    Deal could fall through

    One side of the settlement could fail (HerstattRisk)

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    Bid Ask Spreads

    Bid Price: The Price a Market Maker is willing to BUY theBase Currency

    Ask Price: The Price a Market Maker is willing to SELL theBase Currency

    Buy Low / Sell High: The Market Maker is there to makemoney

    Example (Stock Price) PG (Proctor and Gamble) Bid/Ask = 85.01 / 85.03

    Example (Currency) EUR/USD = 1.3141 / 1.3143 Market Maker BUYS Euro cheap ($1.3141) and SELLS Euro at a

    higher price ($1.3143)

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    Bid Ask Spread

    (AskBid) / Ask

    Compute the Bid/Ask Spread for EUR/USD

    EUR/USD 1.3141 / 1.3143

    Pips: Instead of percentages, Bid/Ask Spreads

    are often quoted as 1/100thof a cent

    EUR/USD spread = 2 pips

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    Putting It All Together

    Suppose:

    USD/CAD 1.4874 / 1.4879

    USD/SGD 1.6782 / 1.6792

    What is CAD/SGD?

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    Appreciation / Depreciation

    Currencies go up and down in valuebut byhow much?

    Value Increase (Decrease) is calculated by:

    (New PriceOld Price) / Old Price

    Example: EUR/USD was 1.3400 today and1.4100 one month from today

    How much did the Euro appreciate/depreciate? How much did the $US appreciate/depreciate?

    What was the change in Pips?

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    Calculating Profit and Loss (P&L)

    How does a trader make a profit (buy low /

    sell high)

    Example: EUR/USD is 1.3500

    You sell $10mil

    EUR/USD is now 1.3800

    What is your P&L? In USD? In EUR?

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    Quiz For Next Time

    Normally take home quiz, but not this time

    Visit www.xe.com(or any other website with

    FX quotes)

    I will ask you three exchange rates from EUR,

    JPY, AUD, NZD, CAD, GBP, CHF against the USD

    http://www.xe.com/http://www.xe.com/