csw broadband at the intelligent cities conference 19th june 2013

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Mobile Innovation for a Connected World Getting it right first time – Demand analysis and cost modelling for Superfast Broadband at CSW Broadband Chris Page [email protected] Jeff Bygrave [email protected] m

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Getting it right first time round. Better planning and mapping for digital networks, cutting costs and raising demand. This case study from the Coventry, Solihull and Warwickshire partnership shows how local authorities get vastly better value from broadband investment by challenging the assumptions.

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Page 1: CSW Broadband at the Intelligent Cities Conference 19th June 2013

1SYNCHRONOSS PROPRIETARY

Mobile Innovation for a Connected World

Getting it right first time –

Demand analysis and cost modelling for Superfast Broadband at CSW Broadband

Chris Page

[email protected]

Jeff Bygrave

[email protected]

Page 2: CSW Broadband at the Intelligent Cities Conference 19th June 2013

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Agenda

Agenda

Addressing the issue…

Planning for success

Visualising the results

Q&A

Page 3: CSW Broadband at the Intelligent Cities Conference 19th June 2013

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Synchronoss helps the customer manage content at the device, and helps the operator achieve true end-to-end visibility from subscriber content on the device and in the cloud, to network planning, construction, and management.

About Synchronoss

Page 4: CSW Broadband at the Intelligent Cities Conference 19th June 2013

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About Coventry, Solihull and Warwick (CSW) Broadband

These areas make up the CSW Region:• Coventry City• North Warwickshire Borough• Nuneaton and Bedworth Borough• Rugby Borough• Solihull Metropolitan Borough• Stratford-on-Avon District• Warwick District

Needed to deliver the Government’s 2015 targets, that everyone should be able to access broadband at speeds of at least 2Mbps and that superfast broadband should be available to 90% of premises in each authority.

Page 5: CSW Broadband at the Intelligent Cities Conference 19th June 2013

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CSW Broadband Project Aims

Benefit the maximum number of citizens 

Remove the barrier of connectivity for businesses to do business in the sub-region 

Ensure a network deployment that contributes the most to the underlying fibre infrastructure across the sub-region

cswBroadband.org.uk

Page 6: CSW Broadband at the Intelligent Cities Conference 19th June 2013

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Timeline

3rd March 2012 – Local Broadband Plan approved

26th October – Open Market Review completed

20th January 2013 – Public Consultation completed

28th January 2013 – ITT Issued

9th April – responses received

10th - 24th April – responses evaluated

May 2013 – Contract with BT, negotiations & signature

6th June – Project launch

March 2014 – target date for first connections

Page 7: CSW Broadband at the Intelligent Cities Conference 19th June 2013

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How has the data and mapping analysis helped CSW Broadband?

Some examples

“As a result of our pre-procurement discussions with the broadband providers we have received updated Open Market Review data that shows an extra 44,690 properties now being brought into the commercial roll-out, meaning that the money within the CSW Broadband project will go that much further.”

“Thanks to the information provided by our local communities through their Local Broadband Champions and the surveys on our website, our team has been in discussions with BT about areas that have been omitted from their commercial roll-out plans.”

“At both Warwick Gates and Coton Park we were able to show that there were sufficient potential subscribers for superfast broadband services to make a clear business case for BT to invest in these areas.”

“Through the data that we have collected over the past couple of years we have good knowledge of our area and so were able to apply to BDUK for additional funding. This means that with match funding an additional £750,000 has been brought to the project, which has yet to be allocated to the rollout programme.”

Page 8: CSW Broadband at the Intelligent Cities Conference 19th June 2013

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State Aid Categories

White, Grey and Black classifications

From Open Market Review data:

White - no broadband infrastructure exists or is unlikely to be developed in the near term – intervention areas

Grey - only one broadband network operator is present

Black - at least two or more broadband network providers are present

Page 9: CSW Broadband at the Intelligent Cities Conference 19th June 2013

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Outcome

Amber – subject to survey, White – 2+ Mbps Original OMR map

Page 10: CSW Broadband at the Intelligent Cities Conference 19th June 2013

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NGA: Coventry 92%, Solihull 96%, Warwickshire 91% (Stratford 75%)

Page 11: CSW Broadband at the Intelligent Cities Conference 19th June 2013

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Page 13: CSW Broadband at the Intelligent Cities Conference 19th June 2013

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How did Synchronoss help?

Geospatial network analysis and processing

CSW wanted to get a more definitive answers to the following questions:

− How do FTTP and FTTC solutions compare in their region

− How many premises are suitable for intervention

− How accurate is the 3rd party data provided, e.g. cabinet locations

For the ‘White area’ premises:

− Which were likely to achieve Superfast Broadband speeds after intervention

− Which premises would be the cheapest to connect via FTTP

Page 14: CSW Broadband at the Intelligent Cities Conference 19th June 2013

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Addressing the issue…

Page 15: CSW Broadband at the Intelligent Cities Conference 19th June 2013

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Demographics of Demand

Building block for additional analysis

AddressBase© Premium data

− Rich, complex & comprehensive address dataset

− Part of the PSMA suite of data

Defining an ‘address’

− Is the delivery point the same as the geographical address?

− Streets can be vertical… hard to visualise.

Demand registration, Benefit Index

− Is a tennis court, monument, farm outbuilding or school generator building a candidate for broadband?

Data stewardship

− Ownership lies between OS, BDUK, LA, etc.

Page 16: CSW Broadband at the Intelligent Cities Conference 19th June 2013

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Joining the dots…

Finding the common reference

Address Base

− Full and standardised address record and GPS coordinates

− Contains Residential & Business categories

− Contains Multiple Occupancy codes

BT

− Provide Copper Cabinet to Postcode lists

Commercial providers

− Provide postcodes/cabinets planned for future SFB deployment

Link them all together via Postcode to provide

− Full premise list for ‘White’, Grey and Black areas

− Classification for each address as Business demand, Residential demand or No demand

− Relationship between each premise and feeding cabinet

Page 17: CSW Broadband at the Intelligent Cities Conference 19th June 2013

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A picture tells a thousand words, Deep Zoom maps

Map data and sources

Ordnance Survey Master Map

− OnDemand service

Road and path details

− Connected data routes

Open Street Map

− Community mapping data

Google StreetView

Map provides the Base for visualisation of address records

Page 18: CSW Broadband at the Intelligent Cities Conference 19th June 2013

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Local Broadband plan

Extract from the CSW Local Broadband Plan*

“Given their significant presence, understanding the likely footprint of BT’s rollout of superfast broadband is key to ensuring that our interventions are targeted on the areas of greatest need”

“This [BT] data will underpin the advice and guidance we provide to ensure community efforts and activities are as fully informed as possible”

* http://www.cswbroadband.org.uk/documents/CSW-LBP-Submitted-20120301-REDACTED-20120501.pdf

Page 19: CSW Broadband at the Intelligent Cities Conference 19th June 2013

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Community Engagement

Page 20: CSW Broadband at the Intelligent Cities Conference 19th June 2013

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Local Broadband champions

Community engagement

200 Local broadband champions

Over 10,000 online Survey responses:

− Validate supplier broadband speed

− Register demand

Providing hard copies of the surveys to those who are unable to access them online

Presenting project information to local community groups

Page 21: CSW Broadband at the Intelligent Cities Conference 19th June 2013

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BT Cabinet locations

BT supplied list not 100% accurate

Some BT cabinet locations not correct…

Essential for estimating BB speeds from FTTC based solutions

Crowdsourcing of BT cabinet locations

Community involvement informs solution requirement

Page 22: CSW Broadband at the Intelligent Cities Conference 19th June 2013

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Updated Exchange and Cabinet locations

More accurate straight line distance diagram for each cabinet

* Exchange names altered

Cabinet

Exchange

Page 23: CSW Broadband at the Intelligent Cities Conference 19th June 2013

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Planning for success…

Page 24: CSW Broadband at the Intelligent Cities Conference 19th June 2013

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Plan for success

Why would a LA want to plan a network?

Understand the likely costs for each supplier proposal

− or at least the quantities of work and materials required

Share proposed solutions and engage further with the community

Validate supplier assumptions or 3rd party data during tender process

Demonstrate value for money

Sometimes the ‘law of averages’ just isn’t good enough…

Page 25: CSW Broadband at the Intelligent Cities Conference 19th June 2013

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FTTC Network Modelling

Overview of data processing

BT/local champion provided X,Y coordinates for Exchange and Cabinet

− Easy to find straight line distances between cabinet/exchange and Postcode

…but, straight line distances are the shortest possible path between two points - implies being closer to the cabinet than in reality

− Better to use road network to find a path between each premise and cabinet locations

Ideally BT would (know?) share the route data or loop length

− However, data not part of supplier provided information

Significant differences between direct and road distances

− Some premises connect to direct to the Exchange (EO DP) some homes are connected via intermediate cabinets

Page 26: CSW Broadband at the Intelligent Cities Conference 19th June 2013

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Limitations of straight line cabinet distances

2km more via the road than as a straight line distance

Straight line distance:~ 60Mbps

Indirect line distance:<24Mbps

Page 27: CSW Broadband at the Intelligent Cities Conference 19th June 2013

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FTTP Network Modelling

Summary of processing

Plan a 100% Fibre to the Premise network for whole region

− Define rule set for potential network architecture (PON, P2P)

− Input typical/actual/estimated costs

Calculate quantities of trenching, fibre & equipment required.

Estimate cost per home passed for all 400,000 premises

Use cost data to analyse cost v demand

− Select premise for inclusion in project

Page 28: CSW Broadband at the Intelligent Cities Conference 19th June 2013

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Synchronoss and Comsof software tools used to simulate networks

Creating a FTTP configuration

Trench costs

Splice costs

Page 29: CSW Broadband at the Intelligent Cities Conference 19th June 2013

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Generate Bill of Materials for each sub-region

Quantities are accurate, costs are indicative

Page 30: CSW Broadband at the Intelligent Cities Conference 19th June 2013

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Visualising the results

Page 31: CSW Broadband at the Intelligent Cities Conference 19th June 2013

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End results, calculated distances from feeding location

Distances from feeding Exchange or Cabinet -

Page 32: CSW Broadband at the Intelligent Cities Conference 19th June 2013

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Sample FTTP plan

Fully automated and connected FTTP network

Cable quantities

Page 33: CSW Broadband at the Intelligent Cities Conference 19th June 2013

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Drilling down into the detail

Make decisions at a macro or micro scale

Understand local cost variation

− Engage with community

− Confirm network design

− Propose alternative solutions

Page 34: CSW Broadband at the Intelligent Cities Conference 19th June 2013

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Finding sweet spots

Page 35: CSW Broadband at the Intelligent Cities Conference 19th June 2013

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Identifying premises within reach of FTTC

Page 36: CSW Broadband at the Intelligent Cities Conference 19th June 2013

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Analysis of local community solution - Tysoe

Page 37: CSW Broadband at the Intelligent Cities Conference 19th June 2013

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Summary

Page 38: CSW Broadband at the Intelligent Cities Conference 19th June 2013

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Wrap up – key messages

Recap of presentation

Address records fundamental to engagement with suppliers and data analysis

Local engagement stimulates community interest and improves data quality

Synchronoss provide tools to model network options

− Estimate costs

− Validate 3rd party data, such as cabinet distances

Use of data, processing and local knowledge can make a difference…

Page 39: CSW Broadband at the Intelligent Cities Conference 19th June 2013

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Community Engagement in action

Making the money go further…

“As a result of our pre-procurement discussions with the broadband providers we have received updated Open Market Review data that shows an extra 44,690 properties now being brought into the commercial roll-out, meaning that the money within the CSW Broadband project will go that much further.”

“Thanks to the information provided by our local communities through their Local Broadband Champions and the surveys on our website, our team has been in discussions with BT about areas that have been omitted from their commercial roll-out plans.”

“At both Warwick Gates and Coton Park we were able to show that there were sufficient potential subscribers for superfast broadband services to make a clear business case for BT to invest in these areas.”

“Through the data that we have collected over the past couple of years we have good knowledge of our area and so were able to apply to BDUK for additional funding. This means that with match funding an additional £750,000 has been brought to the project, which has yet to be allocated to the rollout programme.”