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AN INVESTIGATION INTO THE RISK FACTORS CONTRIBUTING TO STREPTOCOCCUS SUIS OUTBREAKS IN NURSERY PIGLETS Danielle Hopkins Masters Student Population Medicine University of Guelph

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Page 1: CRWAD(1) (2)

AN INVESTIGATION INTO THE RISK FACTORS CONTRIBUTING TO STREPTOCOCCUS SUIS OUTBREAKS IN NURSERY PIGLETS

Danielle HopkinsMasters StudentPopulation MedicineUniversity of Guelph

Page 2: CRWAD(1) (2)

What is Streptococcus suis? • Considered to be one of the most important post weaning

pathogens• 35 serotypes identified currently• Opportunistic in nature• Causes sporadic outbreaks in the nursery (0-5%)

• Typically following clinical signs associated with acute meningitis• Occasionally causes severe outbreaks (>10%)

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The Data: • 300 sow farrow-to-finish • All cause mortality recorded from

October 2011 to March 2012

Outbreak data set

Full Data Set• 2779 Observations• (TAR) Time at risk= 63 days

Sow Data• 297 sows• 15 removed

(missing data)

Pig Data• 483 pigs died• 107 removed

(died past TAR)

Figure 1: Farm experiencing outbreak of. S. suis

Photo by: Danielle Hopkins

Merged + Expanded Data

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Objective Outbreak DataI) Determine sow- and litter- level factors that were

associated with the hazard of dying due to S. suis within the nursery

Figure 1: Outbreak data set demonstrating overall cause of mortality within the nursery

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Factors of interest

S. suis mortality within the nursery

Nursery mortality within the same litter

Previous litter

mortality

Parity

Number of piglets

weaned Age of weaning

Pre-weaning mortality

Seasonal effects

Page 6: CRWAD(1) (2)

Factors of interest

S. suis mortality within the nursery

Nursery mortality within the same litter

Previous litter

mortality

Parity

Number of piglets

weaned Age of weaning

Pre-weaning mortality

Seasonal effects

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Final model based on Cox’s regressionCovariate HR P-value

Age of weaning 1.077 0.001

Age*TVC 0.996 0.001

Nursery mortality in the same litter

9.21 0.001

Previous litter mortality

0.337 0.024

Seasonal effects** (October to referent)

0.349 0.001

Number of piglets weaned

0.913 0.001

*TVC- time vary coefficient**January is referent category

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Final model based on Cox’s regressionCovariate HR P-value

Age of weaning 1.077 0.001

Age*TVC 0.996 0.001

Nursery mortality in the same litter

9.21 0.001

Previous litter mortality

0.337 0.024

Seasonal effects** (October to referent)

0.349 0.001

Number of piglets weaned

0.913 0.001

*TVC- time vary coefficient**January is referent category

1

2

3

4

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Age of weaning

1 4 7 10 13 16 19 22 25 28 31 34 37 40 43 46 49 52 55 58 61 640

0.2

0.4

0.6

0.8

1

1.2

1.4

1.6

1.8

Figure 1: Hazard ratio estimate if a hypothetical piglet's weaning age was increased by 7 days controlling for the time varying af-

fects of age

Haza

rd R

atio

s (lo

g_t)

Time in the nursery (days)

Page 10: CRWAD(1) (2)

Age of weaning

1 4 7 10 13 16 19 22 25 28 31 34 37 40 43 46 49 52 55 58 61 640

0.2

0.4

0.6

0.8

1

1.2

1.4

1.6

1.8

Figure 1: Hazard ratio estimate if a hypothetical piglet's weaning age was increased by 7 days controlling for the time varying af-

fects of age

Haza

rd R

atio

s (lo

g_t)

Time in the nursery (days)

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Figure 2: Graphical representation of overall mortality within litters organized by the week of death upon entering the nursery--- prior to vaccination trial

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Figure 2: Graphical representation of overall mortality within litters organized by the week of death upon entering the nursery--- prior to vaccination trial

>70% mortality occurrences in 1st 4 weeks

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Nursery mortality within the same litter

Legend

Blue line: No other pig within that litter died

Red Line: At least one additional pig died within a litter

Recall:HR=9.21P=0.001

Initial thoughts-within pen transmission?-similar passive immunity?-similar pathogen exposure?

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Previous litter mortality Legend

Blue line: Sow with previous litter having 0% mortality

Red Line: Sow with previous litter having>0% mortality

Recall:HR=0.337P=0.024

Initial thoughts-Build up of immunity?

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Seasonal effects

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Conclusions1. In this farm, nursery pigs experiencing increasing

levels of mortality until week 4 when the mortality rates dramatically drop

• Similar pattern of mortality with S. suis? Serotype specific?

2. Pigs are more likely to have mortality if at least one other pig from the litter died

• Similar exposure characteristics, within litter spread of S. suis?

3. Pigs are less likely to have mortality if a sow had mortality associated with S. suis in their previous litter

• Build up of immunity?

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Limitations• 483 mortalities were experienced during the 6-month

duration of the trial• 13 of those were submitted for post-mortem analysis and

confirmation of S. suis infection• Confirmation via clinical signs may not have been 100% accurate?

• 5% of sows didn’t have information on parity or pre-weaning mortality• Beneficial to explored these risk factors further

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Future Steps• Steps to reduce clinical cases of S. suis• Isolate and treat sick pigs/

remove dead pigs from pen • All-in-all-out to reduce

pathogen load • Decrease stress within the

nursery• Reduce overcrowding• Maintain constant temperature

• **Vaccinate sows or piglets ***Vaccine efficacy against S. suis still under debate

Figure 2: “Future Steps” pigletRetrieved from: https://www.culturecraze.com

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Acknowledgements

Advisory CommitteeDr. Robert FriendshipDr. Zvonimir Poljak Dr. Vahab Farzan

The farm and farmers that participated in the study

Funding via Swine Improvement Porc, and the University of Guelph/OMAFRA Research Partnership

Photo credit and fellow Streptococcus suis masters student: Emily Arndt