critical appraisal of (systematic review) meta-analysis 羅政勤 彰化秀傳紀念醫院

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Page 1: Critical appraisal of (Systematic review) Meta-analysis 羅政勤 彰化秀傳紀念醫院

Critical appraisal of Critical appraisal of (Systematic review)(Systematic review)

Meta-analysisMeta-analysis

Critical appraisal of Critical appraisal of (Systematic review)(Systematic review)

Meta-analysisMeta-analysis

羅政勤彰化秀傳紀念醫院

ObjectivesObjectives

1 To understand the different terminology of Meta-analysis systematic review

2 To understand the key criteria for critical appraisal

3 To select an appropriate checklist or other instrument to use for critical appraisal Validity Impact Practicability (CASP)

TerminologyTerminology

Review ≧2 publication synthesise results + conclusionsOverview(systematic literature review) a review strives to comprehensively identify and track down all literature on a given topicMeta-analysis Specific statistical strategy assembling results of several studies into a single estimate

IntroductionIntroduction

Systematic reviews form a potential method for overcoming the barriers faced by clinicians when trying to access and interpret evidence to inform their practice

Systematic reviewsSystematic reviews

Concise summaries of best available evidence that addresses defined questionsscientific tool used to appraise summarise and communicate results and implications of otherwise unmanageable quantities of research

Systematic reviewsSystematic reviews

Defining a questionA good question will have four componentsndashType of person involvedndashType of exposurendashType of controlndashOutcomes

SR and Meta-analysisSR and Meta-analysis

Systematic reviews may or may not include a statistical synthesis called meta-analysiswhether the studies are similar enough so that combining their results is meaningful

Meta-analysisMeta-analysis

Statistical method for combining the results of trialsMost appropriate for randomized trialsMay also be appropriate for observational studies

Results of a meta-Results of a meta-analysisanalysis

Forest plots of a meta-analysis of four randomized trials comparing no adjuvant chemotherapy with adjuvant chemotherapy in early-stage ovarian cancer for overall survival (A) and recurrence free survival (B) JNCI Cancer Spectrum 95(2)105-112

Advantages of meta-Advantages of meta-analysisanalysis

Allows pooling of several studies = increase sample sizeGathers literature in one placeProvides a quantitative summary (possibly less bias than a narrative)Generate hypothesesProvide information for future trials

Disadvantages of Disadvantages of meta-analysismeta-analysis

Even randomized studies often differ significantly in their design outcome exposure measuresPublication biasStudies differ in qualityTime trendsHealth studies tend to be (comparatively) few

Interpreting the results Interpreting the results of a meta-analysisof a meta-analysis

Was process valid (question search strategy reproducible)Are studies comparableAre results similarWhat is the estimate and precision of the estimate

ConclusionConclusion

Systematic reviews top of hierarchy of evidenceCaution before accepting findings of any systematic review without first appraising it

CautiousCautious

Attention paid to patient selection group inter-vention or search strategy SR combined studies in meta-analysis pooled in different intervention or participants included

3 reasons validity 3 reasons validity findingfinding

1) Chance2) Bias3) Confounding

ChanceChance

Random variation Chance statistical analysis (hypothesis testing and estimation)Avoid random variation adequate sample size

BiasBias

Systematic (non-random) error in estimation of population characteristic eg effect of treatment compared to control in a populationSystematic means hellip

Classification of sources Classification of sources of bias in analytical of bias in analytical

studiesstudiesAllocationPerformancePlacebo-effectAttritionDetectionAnalyticalReporting

SelectionMeasurement

Analysis

1 Allocation bias1 Allocation bias

Any treatment allocation method that causes a systematic difference in participant characteristics at the start of a trial (baseline)ndash independent prognostic

characteristics (confounders)ndash failure to plan eg confounding by

indicationndash failure to execute

2 Performance bias2 Performance bias

Systematic differences in the care of the two groups other than the intervention being investigatedndash nursing amp supportive care

ndash monitoring for adverse effects

3 Placebo-effect 3 Placebo-effect biasbias

Placebo-effect - a beneficial effect gained because the participant believes he is receiving effective therapy (includes satisfying pat-doc relationship as well as medicinal intervention)

In trials with a ldquono-treatmentrdquo arm confounding due to a differential placebo-effect may occur if the subjects are aware they are not receiving active therapy

Reasons for bias - Reasons for bias - ConfoundingConfounding

When a non-causal association due to a common cause of both T and H prevents us from quantifying any causal association

Confounding Confounding ndashndash measured measured amp unmeasured common amp unmeasured common

causescausesRandom variation (chance) impreciseSystematic variation (bias) inaccurateConfounder factor prognostically linked to outcome and unevenly distributed btw study groupsKnown confounders stratify results-Unknown confounders randomisation

Confounding Confounding ndashndash measured measured amp unmeasured common amp unmeasured common

causescauses

cancerdrug

SmokingSupportive carePlacebo-effect

Non-causal assoc

4 Attrition bias4 Attrition biasAll clinical trials have a period of follow-up attrition occurs when subjects do not complete the follow-up process (loss to follow-up)

This is harmful because attrition causes loss of information and hence less precise estimates of the treatment effect if too many subjects cannot be analyzed

Systematic differences in the loss of participants to follow up between groups may cause bias if the analysis is improper eg analyzing only participants who had complete follow-up or who were fully compliant (per protocol analysis)

5 Detection bias5 Detection bias

Systematic differences in outcome assessment btw groups ndashmeasurement methodndashfollow-up frequency for outcomes

MY DOCUMENTSlnk

6 Analytical bias6 Analytical bias

Bias arising because of the method of analysisndashchoice of subjects to analyze

the analysis dataset

ndashchoice of statistical estimators

biased amp unbiased estimators

ndashchoice of multivariate models

7 Reporting bias7 Reporting bias

Selective reporting ofndashclinical outcomes eg surrogate subgroups

ndashtime-points eg earlyUse of composite endpointsndashcomponent events not equally significant

What is ApprasialWhat is Apprasial

A technique to increase effectiveness of reading by exclude research studies too poorly designed to inform practice

Why appraisalWhy appraisal

To free time of concentrate on a more systematic evaluation of studies cross quality threshold and extract salient points

How to AppraiseHow to Appraise

Appraising a Secondary studies(Review)

1Validity2Impact(Results)3Practicability(Application)4Instruments tools such as CASP

Critical Appraisal Critical Appraisal Skills Programme Skills Programme

(CASP)(CASP)httpwwwphrunhsukpagesPHDCASPhtm

Appraisal tools for Appraisal tools for Systematic reviewSystematic review

10 questions to help you make sense of reviews Is the study valid What are the results Will the results help locally10 questions adapted from Oxman AD Cook DJ Guyatt GH Usersrsquo guides to medical literature VI How to use an overview JAMA 1994 272 (17) 1367-1371

Screening questionScreening question

First 2 questions Screening questions can be answered quickly Worth proceeding If answer to both is ldquoyesrdquo

Screening questionScreening question1 Did the review ask a clearly-focused question 1048713 Yes 1048713 Canrsquot tell 1048713 No

Focused ndash the population studied ndash the intervention given or exposure ndash the outcomes considered

2 Did the review include the right type of study 1048713 Yes 1048713 Canrsquot tell 1048713 No

included studies ndash address the reviewrsquos question

ndash have an appropriate study designIs it worth continuing

3 Did the reviewers try to identify all relevant studies 1048713 Yes 1048713 Canrsquot tell 1048713 No

Consider ndash which bibliographic databases were usedndash if there was follow-up from reference listsndash if there was personal contact with expertsndashsearched for unpublished studiesndashsearched for non-English-language studies

4 Did the reviewers assess the quality of the 1048713 Yes 1048713 Canrsquot tell 1048713 No

indash if a clear pre-determined strategy was used todetermine which studies were included Look forndash a scoring system ndash more than one assessor

5 If the results of the studies have beencombined was it reasonable to do so Consider ndash the

results of each study are clearly displayedndash the results were similar from study to study(look for tests of heterogeneity) ndash the reasons for any

variations in results are discussed6 How are the results presented and what is the main result Consider ndash how the results are expressed (eg odds ratiorelative risk etc) ndash how large this size of result is and howmeaningful it is ndash how you would sum up the bottom-line result ofthe review in one sentence

7 How precise are these resultsConsiderndash if a confidence interval were reported Wouldyour decision about whether or not to use thisintervention be the same at the upperconfidence limit as at the lower confidencelimitndash if a p-value is reported where confidenceintervals are unavailable

8 Can the results be applied to the local 1048713 Yes 1048713 Canrsquot tell 1048713 NopopulationConsider whetherndash the population sample covered by the reviewcould be different from your population in waysthat would produce different resultsndash your local setting differs much from that of thereviewndash you can provide the same intervention in yoursetting9 Were all important outcomes considered 1048713 Yes 1048713 Canrsquot tell 1048713 NoConsider outcomes from the point of view of thendash individualndash policy makers and professionalsndash familycarersndash wider communityreported can it be filled in from elsewhere

10 Should policy or practice change as a result of 1048713 Yes 1048713 Canrsquot tell 1048713 Nothe evidence contained in this reviewConsiderndash whether any benefit reported outweighs anyharm andor cost If this information is not

Page 2: Critical appraisal of (Systematic review) Meta-analysis 羅政勤 彰化秀傳紀念醫院

ObjectivesObjectives

1 To understand the different terminology of Meta-analysis systematic review

2 To understand the key criteria for critical appraisal

3 To select an appropriate checklist or other instrument to use for critical appraisal Validity Impact Practicability (CASP)

TerminologyTerminology

Review ≧2 publication synthesise results + conclusionsOverview(systematic literature review) a review strives to comprehensively identify and track down all literature on a given topicMeta-analysis Specific statistical strategy assembling results of several studies into a single estimate

IntroductionIntroduction

Systematic reviews form a potential method for overcoming the barriers faced by clinicians when trying to access and interpret evidence to inform their practice

Systematic reviewsSystematic reviews

Concise summaries of best available evidence that addresses defined questionsscientific tool used to appraise summarise and communicate results and implications of otherwise unmanageable quantities of research

Systematic reviewsSystematic reviews

Defining a questionA good question will have four componentsndashType of person involvedndashType of exposurendashType of controlndashOutcomes

SR and Meta-analysisSR and Meta-analysis

Systematic reviews may or may not include a statistical synthesis called meta-analysiswhether the studies are similar enough so that combining their results is meaningful

Meta-analysisMeta-analysis

Statistical method for combining the results of trialsMost appropriate for randomized trialsMay also be appropriate for observational studies

Results of a meta-Results of a meta-analysisanalysis

Forest plots of a meta-analysis of four randomized trials comparing no adjuvant chemotherapy with adjuvant chemotherapy in early-stage ovarian cancer for overall survival (A) and recurrence free survival (B) JNCI Cancer Spectrum 95(2)105-112

Advantages of meta-Advantages of meta-analysisanalysis

Allows pooling of several studies = increase sample sizeGathers literature in one placeProvides a quantitative summary (possibly less bias than a narrative)Generate hypothesesProvide information for future trials

Disadvantages of Disadvantages of meta-analysismeta-analysis

Even randomized studies often differ significantly in their design outcome exposure measuresPublication biasStudies differ in qualityTime trendsHealth studies tend to be (comparatively) few

Interpreting the results Interpreting the results of a meta-analysisof a meta-analysis

Was process valid (question search strategy reproducible)Are studies comparableAre results similarWhat is the estimate and precision of the estimate

ConclusionConclusion

Systematic reviews top of hierarchy of evidenceCaution before accepting findings of any systematic review without first appraising it

CautiousCautious

Attention paid to patient selection group inter-vention or search strategy SR combined studies in meta-analysis pooled in different intervention or participants included

3 reasons validity 3 reasons validity findingfinding

1) Chance2) Bias3) Confounding

ChanceChance

Random variation Chance statistical analysis (hypothesis testing and estimation)Avoid random variation adequate sample size

BiasBias

Systematic (non-random) error in estimation of population characteristic eg effect of treatment compared to control in a populationSystematic means hellip

Classification of sources Classification of sources of bias in analytical of bias in analytical

studiesstudiesAllocationPerformancePlacebo-effectAttritionDetectionAnalyticalReporting

SelectionMeasurement

Analysis

1 Allocation bias1 Allocation bias

Any treatment allocation method that causes a systematic difference in participant characteristics at the start of a trial (baseline)ndash independent prognostic

characteristics (confounders)ndash failure to plan eg confounding by

indicationndash failure to execute

2 Performance bias2 Performance bias

Systematic differences in the care of the two groups other than the intervention being investigatedndash nursing amp supportive care

ndash monitoring for adverse effects

3 Placebo-effect 3 Placebo-effect biasbias

Placebo-effect - a beneficial effect gained because the participant believes he is receiving effective therapy (includes satisfying pat-doc relationship as well as medicinal intervention)

In trials with a ldquono-treatmentrdquo arm confounding due to a differential placebo-effect may occur if the subjects are aware they are not receiving active therapy

Reasons for bias - Reasons for bias - ConfoundingConfounding

When a non-causal association due to a common cause of both T and H prevents us from quantifying any causal association

Confounding Confounding ndashndash measured measured amp unmeasured common amp unmeasured common

causescausesRandom variation (chance) impreciseSystematic variation (bias) inaccurateConfounder factor prognostically linked to outcome and unevenly distributed btw study groupsKnown confounders stratify results-Unknown confounders randomisation

Confounding Confounding ndashndash measured measured amp unmeasured common amp unmeasured common

causescauses

cancerdrug

SmokingSupportive carePlacebo-effect

Non-causal assoc

4 Attrition bias4 Attrition biasAll clinical trials have a period of follow-up attrition occurs when subjects do not complete the follow-up process (loss to follow-up)

This is harmful because attrition causes loss of information and hence less precise estimates of the treatment effect if too many subjects cannot be analyzed

Systematic differences in the loss of participants to follow up between groups may cause bias if the analysis is improper eg analyzing only participants who had complete follow-up or who were fully compliant (per protocol analysis)

5 Detection bias5 Detection bias

Systematic differences in outcome assessment btw groups ndashmeasurement methodndashfollow-up frequency for outcomes

MY DOCUMENTSlnk

6 Analytical bias6 Analytical bias

Bias arising because of the method of analysisndashchoice of subjects to analyze

the analysis dataset

ndashchoice of statistical estimators

biased amp unbiased estimators

ndashchoice of multivariate models

7 Reporting bias7 Reporting bias

Selective reporting ofndashclinical outcomes eg surrogate subgroups

ndashtime-points eg earlyUse of composite endpointsndashcomponent events not equally significant

What is ApprasialWhat is Apprasial

A technique to increase effectiveness of reading by exclude research studies too poorly designed to inform practice

Why appraisalWhy appraisal

To free time of concentrate on a more systematic evaluation of studies cross quality threshold and extract salient points

How to AppraiseHow to Appraise

Appraising a Secondary studies(Review)

1Validity2Impact(Results)3Practicability(Application)4Instruments tools such as CASP

Critical Appraisal Critical Appraisal Skills Programme Skills Programme

(CASP)(CASP)httpwwwphrunhsukpagesPHDCASPhtm

Appraisal tools for Appraisal tools for Systematic reviewSystematic review

10 questions to help you make sense of reviews Is the study valid What are the results Will the results help locally10 questions adapted from Oxman AD Cook DJ Guyatt GH Usersrsquo guides to medical literature VI How to use an overview JAMA 1994 272 (17) 1367-1371

Screening questionScreening question

First 2 questions Screening questions can be answered quickly Worth proceeding If answer to both is ldquoyesrdquo

Screening questionScreening question1 Did the review ask a clearly-focused question 1048713 Yes 1048713 Canrsquot tell 1048713 No

Focused ndash the population studied ndash the intervention given or exposure ndash the outcomes considered

2 Did the review include the right type of study 1048713 Yes 1048713 Canrsquot tell 1048713 No

included studies ndash address the reviewrsquos question

ndash have an appropriate study designIs it worth continuing

3 Did the reviewers try to identify all relevant studies 1048713 Yes 1048713 Canrsquot tell 1048713 No

Consider ndash which bibliographic databases were usedndash if there was follow-up from reference listsndash if there was personal contact with expertsndashsearched for unpublished studiesndashsearched for non-English-language studies

4 Did the reviewers assess the quality of the 1048713 Yes 1048713 Canrsquot tell 1048713 No

indash if a clear pre-determined strategy was used todetermine which studies were included Look forndash a scoring system ndash more than one assessor

5 If the results of the studies have beencombined was it reasonable to do so Consider ndash the

results of each study are clearly displayedndash the results were similar from study to study(look for tests of heterogeneity) ndash the reasons for any

variations in results are discussed6 How are the results presented and what is the main result Consider ndash how the results are expressed (eg odds ratiorelative risk etc) ndash how large this size of result is and howmeaningful it is ndash how you would sum up the bottom-line result ofthe review in one sentence

7 How precise are these resultsConsiderndash if a confidence interval were reported Wouldyour decision about whether or not to use thisintervention be the same at the upperconfidence limit as at the lower confidencelimitndash if a p-value is reported where confidenceintervals are unavailable

8 Can the results be applied to the local 1048713 Yes 1048713 Canrsquot tell 1048713 NopopulationConsider whetherndash the population sample covered by the reviewcould be different from your population in waysthat would produce different resultsndash your local setting differs much from that of thereviewndash you can provide the same intervention in yoursetting9 Were all important outcomes considered 1048713 Yes 1048713 Canrsquot tell 1048713 NoConsider outcomes from the point of view of thendash individualndash policy makers and professionalsndash familycarersndash wider communityreported can it be filled in from elsewhere

10 Should policy or practice change as a result of 1048713 Yes 1048713 Canrsquot tell 1048713 Nothe evidence contained in this reviewConsiderndash whether any benefit reported outweighs anyharm andor cost If this information is not

Page 3: Critical appraisal of (Systematic review) Meta-analysis 羅政勤 彰化秀傳紀念醫院

TerminologyTerminology

Review ≧2 publication synthesise results + conclusionsOverview(systematic literature review) a review strives to comprehensively identify and track down all literature on a given topicMeta-analysis Specific statistical strategy assembling results of several studies into a single estimate

IntroductionIntroduction

Systematic reviews form a potential method for overcoming the barriers faced by clinicians when trying to access and interpret evidence to inform their practice

Systematic reviewsSystematic reviews

Concise summaries of best available evidence that addresses defined questionsscientific tool used to appraise summarise and communicate results and implications of otherwise unmanageable quantities of research

Systematic reviewsSystematic reviews

Defining a questionA good question will have four componentsndashType of person involvedndashType of exposurendashType of controlndashOutcomes

SR and Meta-analysisSR and Meta-analysis

Systematic reviews may or may not include a statistical synthesis called meta-analysiswhether the studies are similar enough so that combining their results is meaningful

Meta-analysisMeta-analysis

Statistical method for combining the results of trialsMost appropriate for randomized trialsMay also be appropriate for observational studies

Results of a meta-Results of a meta-analysisanalysis

Forest plots of a meta-analysis of four randomized trials comparing no adjuvant chemotherapy with adjuvant chemotherapy in early-stage ovarian cancer for overall survival (A) and recurrence free survival (B) JNCI Cancer Spectrum 95(2)105-112

Advantages of meta-Advantages of meta-analysisanalysis

Allows pooling of several studies = increase sample sizeGathers literature in one placeProvides a quantitative summary (possibly less bias than a narrative)Generate hypothesesProvide information for future trials

Disadvantages of Disadvantages of meta-analysismeta-analysis

Even randomized studies often differ significantly in their design outcome exposure measuresPublication biasStudies differ in qualityTime trendsHealth studies tend to be (comparatively) few

Interpreting the results Interpreting the results of a meta-analysisof a meta-analysis

Was process valid (question search strategy reproducible)Are studies comparableAre results similarWhat is the estimate and precision of the estimate

ConclusionConclusion

Systematic reviews top of hierarchy of evidenceCaution before accepting findings of any systematic review without first appraising it

CautiousCautious

Attention paid to patient selection group inter-vention or search strategy SR combined studies in meta-analysis pooled in different intervention or participants included

3 reasons validity 3 reasons validity findingfinding

1) Chance2) Bias3) Confounding

ChanceChance

Random variation Chance statistical analysis (hypothesis testing and estimation)Avoid random variation adequate sample size

BiasBias

Systematic (non-random) error in estimation of population characteristic eg effect of treatment compared to control in a populationSystematic means hellip

Classification of sources Classification of sources of bias in analytical of bias in analytical

studiesstudiesAllocationPerformancePlacebo-effectAttritionDetectionAnalyticalReporting

SelectionMeasurement

Analysis

1 Allocation bias1 Allocation bias

Any treatment allocation method that causes a systematic difference in participant characteristics at the start of a trial (baseline)ndash independent prognostic

characteristics (confounders)ndash failure to plan eg confounding by

indicationndash failure to execute

2 Performance bias2 Performance bias

Systematic differences in the care of the two groups other than the intervention being investigatedndash nursing amp supportive care

ndash monitoring for adverse effects

3 Placebo-effect 3 Placebo-effect biasbias

Placebo-effect - a beneficial effect gained because the participant believes he is receiving effective therapy (includes satisfying pat-doc relationship as well as medicinal intervention)

In trials with a ldquono-treatmentrdquo arm confounding due to a differential placebo-effect may occur if the subjects are aware they are not receiving active therapy

Reasons for bias - Reasons for bias - ConfoundingConfounding

When a non-causal association due to a common cause of both T and H prevents us from quantifying any causal association

Confounding Confounding ndashndash measured measured amp unmeasured common amp unmeasured common

causescausesRandom variation (chance) impreciseSystematic variation (bias) inaccurateConfounder factor prognostically linked to outcome and unevenly distributed btw study groupsKnown confounders stratify results-Unknown confounders randomisation

Confounding Confounding ndashndash measured measured amp unmeasured common amp unmeasured common

causescauses

cancerdrug

SmokingSupportive carePlacebo-effect

Non-causal assoc

4 Attrition bias4 Attrition biasAll clinical trials have a period of follow-up attrition occurs when subjects do not complete the follow-up process (loss to follow-up)

This is harmful because attrition causes loss of information and hence less precise estimates of the treatment effect if too many subjects cannot be analyzed

Systematic differences in the loss of participants to follow up between groups may cause bias if the analysis is improper eg analyzing only participants who had complete follow-up or who were fully compliant (per protocol analysis)

5 Detection bias5 Detection bias

Systematic differences in outcome assessment btw groups ndashmeasurement methodndashfollow-up frequency for outcomes

MY DOCUMENTSlnk

6 Analytical bias6 Analytical bias

Bias arising because of the method of analysisndashchoice of subjects to analyze

the analysis dataset

ndashchoice of statistical estimators

biased amp unbiased estimators

ndashchoice of multivariate models

7 Reporting bias7 Reporting bias

Selective reporting ofndashclinical outcomes eg surrogate subgroups

ndashtime-points eg earlyUse of composite endpointsndashcomponent events not equally significant

What is ApprasialWhat is Apprasial

A technique to increase effectiveness of reading by exclude research studies too poorly designed to inform practice

Why appraisalWhy appraisal

To free time of concentrate on a more systematic evaluation of studies cross quality threshold and extract salient points

How to AppraiseHow to Appraise

Appraising a Secondary studies(Review)

1Validity2Impact(Results)3Practicability(Application)4Instruments tools such as CASP

Critical Appraisal Critical Appraisal Skills Programme Skills Programme

(CASP)(CASP)httpwwwphrunhsukpagesPHDCASPhtm

Appraisal tools for Appraisal tools for Systematic reviewSystematic review

10 questions to help you make sense of reviews Is the study valid What are the results Will the results help locally10 questions adapted from Oxman AD Cook DJ Guyatt GH Usersrsquo guides to medical literature VI How to use an overview JAMA 1994 272 (17) 1367-1371

Screening questionScreening question

First 2 questions Screening questions can be answered quickly Worth proceeding If answer to both is ldquoyesrdquo

Screening questionScreening question1 Did the review ask a clearly-focused question 1048713 Yes 1048713 Canrsquot tell 1048713 No

Focused ndash the population studied ndash the intervention given or exposure ndash the outcomes considered

2 Did the review include the right type of study 1048713 Yes 1048713 Canrsquot tell 1048713 No

included studies ndash address the reviewrsquos question

ndash have an appropriate study designIs it worth continuing

3 Did the reviewers try to identify all relevant studies 1048713 Yes 1048713 Canrsquot tell 1048713 No

Consider ndash which bibliographic databases were usedndash if there was follow-up from reference listsndash if there was personal contact with expertsndashsearched for unpublished studiesndashsearched for non-English-language studies

4 Did the reviewers assess the quality of the 1048713 Yes 1048713 Canrsquot tell 1048713 No

indash if a clear pre-determined strategy was used todetermine which studies were included Look forndash a scoring system ndash more than one assessor

5 If the results of the studies have beencombined was it reasonable to do so Consider ndash the

results of each study are clearly displayedndash the results were similar from study to study(look for tests of heterogeneity) ndash the reasons for any

variations in results are discussed6 How are the results presented and what is the main result Consider ndash how the results are expressed (eg odds ratiorelative risk etc) ndash how large this size of result is and howmeaningful it is ndash how you would sum up the bottom-line result ofthe review in one sentence

7 How precise are these resultsConsiderndash if a confidence interval were reported Wouldyour decision about whether or not to use thisintervention be the same at the upperconfidence limit as at the lower confidencelimitndash if a p-value is reported where confidenceintervals are unavailable

8 Can the results be applied to the local 1048713 Yes 1048713 Canrsquot tell 1048713 NopopulationConsider whetherndash the population sample covered by the reviewcould be different from your population in waysthat would produce different resultsndash your local setting differs much from that of thereviewndash you can provide the same intervention in yoursetting9 Were all important outcomes considered 1048713 Yes 1048713 Canrsquot tell 1048713 NoConsider outcomes from the point of view of thendash individualndash policy makers and professionalsndash familycarersndash wider communityreported can it be filled in from elsewhere

10 Should policy or practice change as a result of 1048713 Yes 1048713 Canrsquot tell 1048713 Nothe evidence contained in this reviewConsiderndash whether any benefit reported outweighs anyharm andor cost If this information is not

Page 4: Critical appraisal of (Systematic review) Meta-analysis 羅政勤 彰化秀傳紀念醫院

IntroductionIntroduction

Systematic reviews form a potential method for overcoming the barriers faced by clinicians when trying to access and interpret evidence to inform their practice

Systematic reviewsSystematic reviews

Concise summaries of best available evidence that addresses defined questionsscientific tool used to appraise summarise and communicate results and implications of otherwise unmanageable quantities of research

Systematic reviewsSystematic reviews

Defining a questionA good question will have four componentsndashType of person involvedndashType of exposurendashType of controlndashOutcomes

SR and Meta-analysisSR and Meta-analysis

Systematic reviews may or may not include a statistical synthesis called meta-analysiswhether the studies are similar enough so that combining their results is meaningful

Meta-analysisMeta-analysis

Statistical method for combining the results of trialsMost appropriate for randomized trialsMay also be appropriate for observational studies

Results of a meta-Results of a meta-analysisanalysis

Forest plots of a meta-analysis of four randomized trials comparing no adjuvant chemotherapy with adjuvant chemotherapy in early-stage ovarian cancer for overall survival (A) and recurrence free survival (B) JNCI Cancer Spectrum 95(2)105-112

Advantages of meta-Advantages of meta-analysisanalysis

Allows pooling of several studies = increase sample sizeGathers literature in one placeProvides a quantitative summary (possibly less bias than a narrative)Generate hypothesesProvide information for future trials

Disadvantages of Disadvantages of meta-analysismeta-analysis

Even randomized studies often differ significantly in their design outcome exposure measuresPublication biasStudies differ in qualityTime trendsHealth studies tend to be (comparatively) few

Interpreting the results Interpreting the results of a meta-analysisof a meta-analysis

Was process valid (question search strategy reproducible)Are studies comparableAre results similarWhat is the estimate and precision of the estimate

ConclusionConclusion

Systematic reviews top of hierarchy of evidenceCaution before accepting findings of any systematic review without first appraising it

CautiousCautious

Attention paid to patient selection group inter-vention or search strategy SR combined studies in meta-analysis pooled in different intervention or participants included

3 reasons validity 3 reasons validity findingfinding

1) Chance2) Bias3) Confounding

ChanceChance

Random variation Chance statistical analysis (hypothesis testing and estimation)Avoid random variation adequate sample size

BiasBias

Systematic (non-random) error in estimation of population characteristic eg effect of treatment compared to control in a populationSystematic means hellip

Classification of sources Classification of sources of bias in analytical of bias in analytical

studiesstudiesAllocationPerformancePlacebo-effectAttritionDetectionAnalyticalReporting

SelectionMeasurement

Analysis

1 Allocation bias1 Allocation bias

Any treatment allocation method that causes a systematic difference in participant characteristics at the start of a trial (baseline)ndash independent prognostic

characteristics (confounders)ndash failure to plan eg confounding by

indicationndash failure to execute

2 Performance bias2 Performance bias

Systematic differences in the care of the two groups other than the intervention being investigatedndash nursing amp supportive care

ndash monitoring for adverse effects

3 Placebo-effect 3 Placebo-effect biasbias

Placebo-effect - a beneficial effect gained because the participant believes he is receiving effective therapy (includes satisfying pat-doc relationship as well as medicinal intervention)

In trials with a ldquono-treatmentrdquo arm confounding due to a differential placebo-effect may occur if the subjects are aware they are not receiving active therapy

Reasons for bias - Reasons for bias - ConfoundingConfounding

When a non-causal association due to a common cause of both T and H prevents us from quantifying any causal association

Confounding Confounding ndashndash measured measured amp unmeasured common amp unmeasured common

causescausesRandom variation (chance) impreciseSystematic variation (bias) inaccurateConfounder factor prognostically linked to outcome and unevenly distributed btw study groupsKnown confounders stratify results-Unknown confounders randomisation

Confounding Confounding ndashndash measured measured amp unmeasured common amp unmeasured common

causescauses

cancerdrug

SmokingSupportive carePlacebo-effect

Non-causal assoc

4 Attrition bias4 Attrition biasAll clinical trials have a period of follow-up attrition occurs when subjects do not complete the follow-up process (loss to follow-up)

This is harmful because attrition causes loss of information and hence less precise estimates of the treatment effect if too many subjects cannot be analyzed

Systematic differences in the loss of participants to follow up between groups may cause bias if the analysis is improper eg analyzing only participants who had complete follow-up or who were fully compliant (per protocol analysis)

5 Detection bias5 Detection bias

Systematic differences in outcome assessment btw groups ndashmeasurement methodndashfollow-up frequency for outcomes

MY DOCUMENTSlnk

6 Analytical bias6 Analytical bias

Bias arising because of the method of analysisndashchoice of subjects to analyze

the analysis dataset

ndashchoice of statistical estimators

biased amp unbiased estimators

ndashchoice of multivariate models

7 Reporting bias7 Reporting bias

Selective reporting ofndashclinical outcomes eg surrogate subgroups

ndashtime-points eg earlyUse of composite endpointsndashcomponent events not equally significant

What is ApprasialWhat is Apprasial

A technique to increase effectiveness of reading by exclude research studies too poorly designed to inform practice

Why appraisalWhy appraisal

To free time of concentrate on a more systematic evaluation of studies cross quality threshold and extract salient points

How to AppraiseHow to Appraise

Appraising a Secondary studies(Review)

1Validity2Impact(Results)3Practicability(Application)4Instruments tools such as CASP

Critical Appraisal Critical Appraisal Skills Programme Skills Programme

(CASP)(CASP)httpwwwphrunhsukpagesPHDCASPhtm

Appraisal tools for Appraisal tools for Systematic reviewSystematic review

10 questions to help you make sense of reviews Is the study valid What are the results Will the results help locally10 questions adapted from Oxman AD Cook DJ Guyatt GH Usersrsquo guides to medical literature VI How to use an overview JAMA 1994 272 (17) 1367-1371

Screening questionScreening question

First 2 questions Screening questions can be answered quickly Worth proceeding If answer to both is ldquoyesrdquo

Screening questionScreening question1 Did the review ask a clearly-focused question 1048713 Yes 1048713 Canrsquot tell 1048713 No

Focused ndash the population studied ndash the intervention given or exposure ndash the outcomes considered

2 Did the review include the right type of study 1048713 Yes 1048713 Canrsquot tell 1048713 No

included studies ndash address the reviewrsquos question

ndash have an appropriate study designIs it worth continuing

3 Did the reviewers try to identify all relevant studies 1048713 Yes 1048713 Canrsquot tell 1048713 No

Consider ndash which bibliographic databases were usedndash if there was follow-up from reference listsndash if there was personal contact with expertsndashsearched for unpublished studiesndashsearched for non-English-language studies

4 Did the reviewers assess the quality of the 1048713 Yes 1048713 Canrsquot tell 1048713 No

indash if a clear pre-determined strategy was used todetermine which studies were included Look forndash a scoring system ndash more than one assessor

5 If the results of the studies have beencombined was it reasonable to do so Consider ndash the

results of each study are clearly displayedndash the results were similar from study to study(look for tests of heterogeneity) ndash the reasons for any

variations in results are discussed6 How are the results presented and what is the main result Consider ndash how the results are expressed (eg odds ratiorelative risk etc) ndash how large this size of result is and howmeaningful it is ndash how you would sum up the bottom-line result ofthe review in one sentence

7 How precise are these resultsConsiderndash if a confidence interval were reported Wouldyour decision about whether or not to use thisintervention be the same at the upperconfidence limit as at the lower confidencelimitndash if a p-value is reported where confidenceintervals are unavailable

8 Can the results be applied to the local 1048713 Yes 1048713 Canrsquot tell 1048713 NopopulationConsider whetherndash the population sample covered by the reviewcould be different from your population in waysthat would produce different resultsndash your local setting differs much from that of thereviewndash you can provide the same intervention in yoursetting9 Were all important outcomes considered 1048713 Yes 1048713 Canrsquot tell 1048713 NoConsider outcomes from the point of view of thendash individualndash policy makers and professionalsndash familycarersndash wider communityreported can it be filled in from elsewhere

10 Should policy or practice change as a result of 1048713 Yes 1048713 Canrsquot tell 1048713 Nothe evidence contained in this reviewConsiderndash whether any benefit reported outweighs anyharm andor cost If this information is not

Page 5: Critical appraisal of (Systematic review) Meta-analysis 羅政勤 彰化秀傳紀念醫院

Systematic reviewsSystematic reviews

Concise summaries of best available evidence that addresses defined questionsscientific tool used to appraise summarise and communicate results and implications of otherwise unmanageable quantities of research

Systematic reviewsSystematic reviews

Defining a questionA good question will have four componentsndashType of person involvedndashType of exposurendashType of controlndashOutcomes

SR and Meta-analysisSR and Meta-analysis

Systematic reviews may or may not include a statistical synthesis called meta-analysiswhether the studies are similar enough so that combining their results is meaningful

Meta-analysisMeta-analysis

Statistical method for combining the results of trialsMost appropriate for randomized trialsMay also be appropriate for observational studies

Results of a meta-Results of a meta-analysisanalysis

Forest plots of a meta-analysis of four randomized trials comparing no adjuvant chemotherapy with adjuvant chemotherapy in early-stage ovarian cancer for overall survival (A) and recurrence free survival (B) JNCI Cancer Spectrum 95(2)105-112

Advantages of meta-Advantages of meta-analysisanalysis

Allows pooling of several studies = increase sample sizeGathers literature in one placeProvides a quantitative summary (possibly less bias than a narrative)Generate hypothesesProvide information for future trials

Disadvantages of Disadvantages of meta-analysismeta-analysis

Even randomized studies often differ significantly in their design outcome exposure measuresPublication biasStudies differ in qualityTime trendsHealth studies tend to be (comparatively) few

Interpreting the results Interpreting the results of a meta-analysisof a meta-analysis

Was process valid (question search strategy reproducible)Are studies comparableAre results similarWhat is the estimate and precision of the estimate

ConclusionConclusion

Systematic reviews top of hierarchy of evidenceCaution before accepting findings of any systematic review without first appraising it

CautiousCautious

Attention paid to patient selection group inter-vention or search strategy SR combined studies in meta-analysis pooled in different intervention or participants included

3 reasons validity 3 reasons validity findingfinding

1) Chance2) Bias3) Confounding

ChanceChance

Random variation Chance statistical analysis (hypothesis testing and estimation)Avoid random variation adequate sample size

BiasBias

Systematic (non-random) error in estimation of population characteristic eg effect of treatment compared to control in a populationSystematic means hellip

Classification of sources Classification of sources of bias in analytical of bias in analytical

studiesstudiesAllocationPerformancePlacebo-effectAttritionDetectionAnalyticalReporting

SelectionMeasurement

Analysis

1 Allocation bias1 Allocation bias

Any treatment allocation method that causes a systematic difference in participant characteristics at the start of a trial (baseline)ndash independent prognostic

characteristics (confounders)ndash failure to plan eg confounding by

indicationndash failure to execute

2 Performance bias2 Performance bias

Systematic differences in the care of the two groups other than the intervention being investigatedndash nursing amp supportive care

ndash monitoring for adverse effects

3 Placebo-effect 3 Placebo-effect biasbias

Placebo-effect - a beneficial effect gained because the participant believes he is receiving effective therapy (includes satisfying pat-doc relationship as well as medicinal intervention)

In trials with a ldquono-treatmentrdquo arm confounding due to a differential placebo-effect may occur if the subjects are aware they are not receiving active therapy

Reasons for bias - Reasons for bias - ConfoundingConfounding

When a non-causal association due to a common cause of both T and H prevents us from quantifying any causal association

Confounding Confounding ndashndash measured measured amp unmeasured common amp unmeasured common

causescausesRandom variation (chance) impreciseSystematic variation (bias) inaccurateConfounder factor prognostically linked to outcome and unevenly distributed btw study groupsKnown confounders stratify results-Unknown confounders randomisation

Confounding Confounding ndashndash measured measured amp unmeasured common amp unmeasured common

causescauses

cancerdrug

SmokingSupportive carePlacebo-effect

Non-causal assoc

4 Attrition bias4 Attrition biasAll clinical trials have a period of follow-up attrition occurs when subjects do not complete the follow-up process (loss to follow-up)

This is harmful because attrition causes loss of information and hence less precise estimates of the treatment effect if too many subjects cannot be analyzed

Systematic differences in the loss of participants to follow up between groups may cause bias if the analysis is improper eg analyzing only participants who had complete follow-up or who were fully compliant (per protocol analysis)

5 Detection bias5 Detection bias

Systematic differences in outcome assessment btw groups ndashmeasurement methodndashfollow-up frequency for outcomes

MY DOCUMENTSlnk

6 Analytical bias6 Analytical bias

Bias arising because of the method of analysisndashchoice of subjects to analyze

the analysis dataset

ndashchoice of statistical estimators

biased amp unbiased estimators

ndashchoice of multivariate models

7 Reporting bias7 Reporting bias

Selective reporting ofndashclinical outcomes eg surrogate subgroups

ndashtime-points eg earlyUse of composite endpointsndashcomponent events not equally significant

What is ApprasialWhat is Apprasial

A technique to increase effectiveness of reading by exclude research studies too poorly designed to inform practice

Why appraisalWhy appraisal

To free time of concentrate on a more systematic evaluation of studies cross quality threshold and extract salient points

How to AppraiseHow to Appraise

Appraising a Secondary studies(Review)

1Validity2Impact(Results)3Practicability(Application)4Instruments tools such as CASP

Critical Appraisal Critical Appraisal Skills Programme Skills Programme

(CASP)(CASP)httpwwwphrunhsukpagesPHDCASPhtm

Appraisal tools for Appraisal tools for Systematic reviewSystematic review

10 questions to help you make sense of reviews Is the study valid What are the results Will the results help locally10 questions adapted from Oxman AD Cook DJ Guyatt GH Usersrsquo guides to medical literature VI How to use an overview JAMA 1994 272 (17) 1367-1371

Screening questionScreening question

First 2 questions Screening questions can be answered quickly Worth proceeding If answer to both is ldquoyesrdquo

Screening questionScreening question1 Did the review ask a clearly-focused question 1048713 Yes 1048713 Canrsquot tell 1048713 No

Focused ndash the population studied ndash the intervention given or exposure ndash the outcomes considered

2 Did the review include the right type of study 1048713 Yes 1048713 Canrsquot tell 1048713 No

included studies ndash address the reviewrsquos question

ndash have an appropriate study designIs it worth continuing

3 Did the reviewers try to identify all relevant studies 1048713 Yes 1048713 Canrsquot tell 1048713 No

Consider ndash which bibliographic databases were usedndash if there was follow-up from reference listsndash if there was personal contact with expertsndashsearched for unpublished studiesndashsearched for non-English-language studies

4 Did the reviewers assess the quality of the 1048713 Yes 1048713 Canrsquot tell 1048713 No

indash if a clear pre-determined strategy was used todetermine which studies were included Look forndash a scoring system ndash more than one assessor

5 If the results of the studies have beencombined was it reasonable to do so Consider ndash the

results of each study are clearly displayedndash the results were similar from study to study(look for tests of heterogeneity) ndash the reasons for any

variations in results are discussed6 How are the results presented and what is the main result Consider ndash how the results are expressed (eg odds ratiorelative risk etc) ndash how large this size of result is and howmeaningful it is ndash how you would sum up the bottom-line result ofthe review in one sentence

7 How precise are these resultsConsiderndash if a confidence interval were reported Wouldyour decision about whether or not to use thisintervention be the same at the upperconfidence limit as at the lower confidencelimitndash if a p-value is reported where confidenceintervals are unavailable

8 Can the results be applied to the local 1048713 Yes 1048713 Canrsquot tell 1048713 NopopulationConsider whetherndash the population sample covered by the reviewcould be different from your population in waysthat would produce different resultsndash your local setting differs much from that of thereviewndash you can provide the same intervention in yoursetting9 Were all important outcomes considered 1048713 Yes 1048713 Canrsquot tell 1048713 NoConsider outcomes from the point of view of thendash individualndash policy makers and professionalsndash familycarersndash wider communityreported can it be filled in from elsewhere

10 Should policy or practice change as a result of 1048713 Yes 1048713 Canrsquot tell 1048713 Nothe evidence contained in this reviewConsiderndash whether any benefit reported outweighs anyharm andor cost If this information is not

Page 6: Critical appraisal of (Systematic review) Meta-analysis 羅政勤 彰化秀傳紀念醫院

Systematic reviewsSystematic reviews

Defining a questionA good question will have four componentsndashType of person involvedndashType of exposurendashType of controlndashOutcomes

SR and Meta-analysisSR and Meta-analysis

Systematic reviews may or may not include a statistical synthesis called meta-analysiswhether the studies are similar enough so that combining their results is meaningful

Meta-analysisMeta-analysis

Statistical method for combining the results of trialsMost appropriate for randomized trialsMay also be appropriate for observational studies

Results of a meta-Results of a meta-analysisanalysis

Forest plots of a meta-analysis of four randomized trials comparing no adjuvant chemotherapy with adjuvant chemotherapy in early-stage ovarian cancer for overall survival (A) and recurrence free survival (B) JNCI Cancer Spectrum 95(2)105-112

Advantages of meta-Advantages of meta-analysisanalysis

Allows pooling of several studies = increase sample sizeGathers literature in one placeProvides a quantitative summary (possibly less bias than a narrative)Generate hypothesesProvide information for future trials

Disadvantages of Disadvantages of meta-analysismeta-analysis

Even randomized studies often differ significantly in their design outcome exposure measuresPublication biasStudies differ in qualityTime trendsHealth studies tend to be (comparatively) few

Interpreting the results Interpreting the results of a meta-analysisof a meta-analysis

Was process valid (question search strategy reproducible)Are studies comparableAre results similarWhat is the estimate and precision of the estimate

ConclusionConclusion

Systematic reviews top of hierarchy of evidenceCaution before accepting findings of any systematic review without first appraising it

CautiousCautious

Attention paid to patient selection group inter-vention or search strategy SR combined studies in meta-analysis pooled in different intervention or participants included

3 reasons validity 3 reasons validity findingfinding

1) Chance2) Bias3) Confounding

ChanceChance

Random variation Chance statistical analysis (hypothesis testing and estimation)Avoid random variation adequate sample size

BiasBias

Systematic (non-random) error in estimation of population characteristic eg effect of treatment compared to control in a populationSystematic means hellip

Classification of sources Classification of sources of bias in analytical of bias in analytical

studiesstudiesAllocationPerformancePlacebo-effectAttritionDetectionAnalyticalReporting

SelectionMeasurement

Analysis

1 Allocation bias1 Allocation bias

Any treatment allocation method that causes a systematic difference in participant characteristics at the start of a trial (baseline)ndash independent prognostic

characteristics (confounders)ndash failure to plan eg confounding by

indicationndash failure to execute

2 Performance bias2 Performance bias

Systematic differences in the care of the two groups other than the intervention being investigatedndash nursing amp supportive care

ndash monitoring for adverse effects

3 Placebo-effect 3 Placebo-effect biasbias

Placebo-effect - a beneficial effect gained because the participant believes he is receiving effective therapy (includes satisfying pat-doc relationship as well as medicinal intervention)

In trials with a ldquono-treatmentrdquo arm confounding due to a differential placebo-effect may occur if the subjects are aware they are not receiving active therapy

Reasons for bias - Reasons for bias - ConfoundingConfounding

When a non-causal association due to a common cause of both T and H prevents us from quantifying any causal association

Confounding Confounding ndashndash measured measured amp unmeasured common amp unmeasured common

causescausesRandom variation (chance) impreciseSystematic variation (bias) inaccurateConfounder factor prognostically linked to outcome and unevenly distributed btw study groupsKnown confounders stratify results-Unknown confounders randomisation

Confounding Confounding ndashndash measured measured amp unmeasured common amp unmeasured common

causescauses

cancerdrug

SmokingSupportive carePlacebo-effect

Non-causal assoc

4 Attrition bias4 Attrition biasAll clinical trials have a period of follow-up attrition occurs when subjects do not complete the follow-up process (loss to follow-up)

This is harmful because attrition causes loss of information and hence less precise estimates of the treatment effect if too many subjects cannot be analyzed

Systematic differences in the loss of participants to follow up between groups may cause bias if the analysis is improper eg analyzing only participants who had complete follow-up or who were fully compliant (per protocol analysis)

5 Detection bias5 Detection bias

Systematic differences in outcome assessment btw groups ndashmeasurement methodndashfollow-up frequency for outcomes

MY DOCUMENTSlnk

6 Analytical bias6 Analytical bias

Bias arising because of the method of analysisndashchoice of subjects to analyze

the analysis dataset

ndashchoice of statistical estimators

biased amp unbiased estimators

ndashchoice of multivariate models

7 Reporting bias7 Reporting bias

Selective reporting ofndashclinical outcomes eg surrogate subgroups

ndashtime-points eg earlyUse of composite endpointsndashcomponent events not equally significant

What is ApprasialWhat is Apprasial

A technique to increase effectiveness of reading by exclude research studies too poorly designed to inform practice

Why appraisalWhy appraisal

To free time of concentrate on a more systematic evaluation of studies cross quality threshold and extract salient points

How to AppraiseHow to Appraise

Appraising a Secondary studies(Review)

1Validity2Impact(Results)3Practicability(Application)4Instruments tools such as CASP

Critical Appraisal Critical Appraisal Skills Programme Skills Programme

(CASP)(CASP)httpwwwphrunhsukpagesPHDCASPhtm

Appraisal tools for Appraisal tools for Systematic reviewSystematic review

10 questions to help you make sense of reviews Is the study valid What are the results Will the results help locally10 questions adapted from Oxman AD Cook DJ Guyatt GH Usersrsquo guides to medical literature VI How to use an overview JAMA 1994 272 (17) 1367-1371

Screening questionScreening question

First 2 questions Screening questions can be answered quickly Worth proceeding If answer to both is ldquoyesrdquo

Screening questionScreening question1 Did the review ask a clearly-focused question 1048713 Yes 1048713 Canrsquot tell 1048713 No

Focused ndash the population studied ndash the intervention given or exposure ndash the outcomes considered

2 Did the review include the right type of study 1048713 Yes 1048713 Canrsquot tell 1048713 No

included studies ndash address the reviewrsquos question

ndash have an appropriate study designIs it worth continuing

3 Did the reviewers try to identify all relevant studies 1048713 Yes 1048713 Canrsquot tell 1048713 No

Consider ndash which bibliographic databases were usedndash if there was follow-up from reference listsndash if there was personal contact with expertsndashsearched for unpublished studiesndashsearched for non-English-language studies

4 Did the reviewers assess the quality of the 1048713 Yes 1048713 Canrsquot tell 1048713 No

indash if a clear pre-determined strategy was used todetermine which studies were included Look forndash a scoring system ndash more than one assessor

5 If the results of the studies have beencombined was it reasonable to do so Consider ndash the

results of each study are clearly displayedndash the results were similar from study to study(look for tests of heterogeneity) ndash the reasons for any

variations in results are discussed6 How are the results presented and what is the main result Consider ndash how the results are expressed (eg odds ratiorelative risk etc) ndash how large this size of result is and howmeaningful it is ndash how you would sum up the bottom-line result ofthe review in one sentence

7 How precise are these resultsConsiderndash if a confidence interval were reported Wouldyour decision about whether or not to use thisintervention be the same at the upperconfidence limit as at the lower confidencelimitndash if a p-value is reported where confidenceintervals are unavailable

8 Can the results be applied to the local 1048713 Yes 1048713 Canrsquot tell 1048713 NopopulationConsider whetherndash the population sample covered by the reviewcould be different from your population in waysthat would produce different resultsndash your local setting differs much from that of thereviewndash you can provide the same intervention in yoursetting9 Were all important outcomes considered 1048713 Yes 1048713 Canrsquot tell 1048713 NoConsider outcomes from the point of view of thendash individualndash policy makers and professionalsndash familycarersndash wider communityreported can it be filled in from elsewhere

10 Should policy or practice change as a result of 1048713 Yes 1048713 Canrsquot tell 1048713 Nothe evidence contained in this reviewConsiderndash whether any benefit reported outweighs anyharm andor cost If this information is not

Page 7: Critical appraisal of (Systematic review) Meta-analysis 羅政勤 彰化秀傳紀念醫院

SR and Meta-analysisSR and Meta-analysis

Systematic reviews may or may not include a statistical synthesis called meta-analysiswhether the studies are similar enough so that combining their results is meaningful

Meta-analysisMeta-analysis

Statistical method for combining the results of trialsMost appropriate for randomized trialsMay also be appropriate for observational studies

Results of a meta-Results of a meta-analysisanalysis

Forest plots of a meta-analysis of four randomized trials comparing no adjuvant chemotherapy with adjuvant chemotherapy in early-stage ovarian cancer for overall survival (A) and recurrence free survival (B) JNCI Cancer Spectrum 95(2)105-112

Advantages of meta-Advantages of meta-analysisanalysis

Allows pooling of several studies = increase sample sizeGathers literature in one placeProvides a quantitative summary (possibly less bias than a narrative)Generate hypothesesProvide information for future trials

Disadvantages of Disadvantages of meta-analysismeta-analysis

Even randomized studies often differ significantly in their design outcome exposure measuresPublication biasStudies differ in qualityTime trendsHealth studies tend to be (comparatively) few

Interpreting the results Interpreting the results of a meta-analysisof a meta-analysis

Was process valid (question search strategy reproducible)Are studies comparableAre results similarWhat is the estimate and precision of the estimate

ConclusionConclusion

Systematic reviews top of hierarchy of evidenceCaution before accepting findings of any systematic review without first appraising it

CautiousCautious

Attention paid to patient selection group inter-vention or search strategy SR combined studies in meta-analysis pooled in different intervention or participants included

3 reasons validity 3 reasons validity findingfinding

1) Chance2) Bias3) Confounding

ChanceChance

Random variation Chance statistical analysis (hypothesis testing and estimation)Avoid random variation adequate sample size

BiasBias

Systematic (non-random) error in estimation of population characteristic eg effect of treatment compared to control in a populationSystematic means hellip

Classification of sources Classification of sources of bias in analytical of bias in analytical

studiesstudiesAllocationPerformancePlacebo-effectAttritionDetectionAnalyticalReporting

SelectionMeasurement

Analysis

1 Allocation bias1 Allocation bias

Any treatment allocation method that causes a systematic difference in participant characteristics at the start of a trial (baseline)ndash independent prognostic

characteristics (confounders)ndash failure to plan eg confounding by

indicationndash failure to execute

2 Performance bias2 Performance bias

Systematic differences in the care of the two groups other than the intervention being investigatedndash nursing amp supportive care

ndash monitoring for adverse effects

3 Placebo-effect 3 Placebo-effect biasbias

Placebo-effect - a beneficial effect gained because the participant believes he is receiving effective therapy (includes satisfying pat-doc relationship as well as medicinal intervention)

In trials with a ldquono-treatmentrdquo arm confounding due to a differential placebo-effect may occur if the subjects are aware they are not receiving active therapy

Reasons for bias - Reasons for bias - ConfoundingConfounding

When a non-causal association due to a common cause of both T and H prevents us from quantifying any causal association

Confounding Confounding ndashndash measured measured amp unmeasured common amp unmeasured common

causescausesRandom variation (chance) impreciseSystematic variation (bias) inaccurateConfounder factor prognostically linked to outcome and unevenly distributed btw study groupsKnown confounders stratify results-Unknown confounders randomisation

Confounding Confounding ndashndash measured measured amp unmeasured common amp unmeasured common

causescauses

cancerdrug

SmokingSupportive carePlacebo-effect

Non-causal assoc

4 Attrition bias4 Attrition biasAll clinical trials have a period of follow-up attrition occurs when subjects do not complete the follow-up process (loss to follow-up)

This is harmful because attrition causes loss of information and hence less precise estimates of the treatment effect if too many subjects cannot be analyzed

Systematic differences in the loss of participants to follow up between groups may cause bias if the analysis is improper eg analyzing only participants who had complete follow-up or who were fully compliant (per protocol analysis)

5 Detection bias5 Detection bias

Systematic differences in outcome assessment btw groups ndashmeasurement methodndashfollow-up frequency for outcomes

MY DOCUMENTSlnk

6 Analytical bias6 Analytical bias

Bias arising because of the method of analysisndashchoice of subjects to analyze

the analysis dataset

ndashchoice of statistical estimators

biased amp unbiased estimators

ndashchoice of multivariate models

7 Reporting bias7 Reporting bias

Selective reporting ofndashclinical outcomes eg surrogate subgroups

ndashtime-points eg earlyUse of composite endpointsndashcomponent events not equally significant

What is ApprasialWhat is Apprasial

A technique to increase effectiveness of reading by exclude research studies too poorly designed to inform practice

Why appraisalWhy appraisal

To free time of concentrate on a more systematic evaluation of studies cross quality threshold and extract salient points

How to AppraiseHow to Appraise

Appraising a Secondary studies(Review)

1Validity2Impact(Results)3Practicability(Application)4Instruments tools such as CASP

Critical Appraisal Critical Appraisal Skills Programme Skills Programme

(CASP)(CASP)httpwwwphrunhsukpagesPHDCASPhtm

Appraisal tools for Appraisal tools for Systematic reviewSystematic review

10 questions to help you make sense of reviews Is the study valid What are the results Will the results help locally10 questions adapted from Oxman AD Cook DJ Guyatt GH Usersrsquo guides to medical literature VI How to use an overview JAMA 1994 272 (17) 1367-1371

Screening questionScreening question

First 2 questions Screening questions can be answered quickly Worth proceeding If answer to both is ldquoyesrdquo

Screening questionScreening question1 Did the review ask a clearly-focused question 1048713 Yes 1048713 Canrsquot tell 1048713 No

Focused ndash the population studied ndash the intervention given or exposure ndash the outcomes considered

2 Did the review include the right type of study 1048713 Yes 1048713 Canrsquot tell 1048713 No

included studies ndash address the reviewrsquos question

ndash have an appropriate study designIs it worth continuing

3 Did the reviewers try to identify all relevant studies 1048713 Yes 1048713 Canrsquot tell 1048713 No

Consider ndash which bibliographic databases were usedndash if there was follow-up from reference listsndash if there was personal contact with expertsndashsearched for unpublished studiesndashsearched for non-English-language studies

4 Did the reviewers assess the quality of the 1048713 Yes 1048713 Canrsquot tell 1048713 No

indash if a clear pre-determined strategy was used todetermine which studies were included Look forndash a scoring system ndash more than one assessor

5 If the results of the studies have beencombined was it reasonable to do so Consider ndash the

results of each study are clearly displayedndash the results were similar from study to study(look for tests of heterogeneity) ndash the reasons for any

variations in results are discussed6 How are the results presented and what is the main result Consider ndash how the results are expressed (eg odds ratiorelative risk etc) ndash how large this size of result is and howmeaningful it is ndash how you would sum up the bottom-line result ofthe review in one sentence

7 How precise are these resultsConsiderndash if a confidence interval were reported Wouldyour decision about whether or not to use thisintervention be the same at the upperconfidence limit as at the lower confidencelimitndash if a p-value is reported where confidenceintervals are unavailable

8 Can the results be applied to the local 1048713 Yes 1048713 Canrsquot tell 1048713 NopopulationConsider whetherndash the population sample covered by the reviewcould be different from your population in waysthat would produce different resultsndash your local setting differs much from that of thereviewndash you can provide the same intervention in yoursetting9 Were all important outcomes considered 1048713 Yes 1048713 Canrsquot tell 1048713 NoConsider outcomes from the point of view of thendash individualndash policy makers and professionalsndash familycarersndash wider communityreported can it be filled in from elsewhere

10 Should policy or practice change as a result of 1048713 Yes 1048713 Canrsquot tell 1048713 Nothe evidence contained in this reviewConsiderndash whether any benefit reported outweighs anyharm andor cost If this information is not

Page 8: Critical appraisal of (Systematic review) Meta-analysis 羅政勤 彰化秀傳紀念醫院

Meta-analysisMeta-analysis

Statistical method for combining the results of trialsMost appropriate for randomized trialsMay also be appropriate for observational studies

Results of a meta-Results of a meta-analysisanalysis

Forest plots of a meta-analysis of four randomized trials comparing no adjuvant chemotherapy with adjuvant chemotherapy in early-stage ovarian cancer for overall survival (A) and recurrence free survival (B) JNCI Cancer Spectrum 95(2)105-112

Advantages of meta-Advantages of meta-analysisanalysis

Allows pooling of several studies = increase sample sizeGathers literature in one placeProvides a quantitative summary (possibly less bias than a narrative)Generate hypothesesProvide information for future trials

Disadvantages of Disadvantages of meta-analysismeta-analysis

Even randomized studies often differ significantly in their design outcome exposure measuresPublication biasStudies differ in qualityTime trendsHealth studies tend to be (comparatively) few

Interpreting the results Interpreting the results of a meta-analysisof a meta-analysis

Was process valid (question search strategy reproducible)Are studies comparableAre results similarWhat is the estimate and precision of the estimate

ConclusionConclusion

Systematic reviews top of hierarchy of evidenceCaution before accepting findings of any systematic review without first appraising it

CautiousCautious

Attention paid to patient selection group inter-vention or search strategy SR combined studies in meta-analysis pooled in different intervention or participants included

3 reasons validity 3 reasons validity findingfinding

1) Chance2) Bias3) Confounding

ChanceChance

Random variation Chance statistical analysis (hypothesis testing and estimation)Avoid random variation adequate sample size

BiasBias

Systematic (non-random) error in estimation of population characteristic eg effect of treatment compared to control in a populationSystematic means hellip

Classification of sources Classification of sources of bias in analytical of bias in analytical

studiesstudiesAllocationPerformancePlacebo-effectAttritionDetectionAnalyticalReporting

SelectionMeasurement

Analysis

1 Allocation bias1 Allocation bias

Any treatment allocation method that causes a systematic difference in participant characteristics at the start of a trial (baseline)ndash independent prognostic

characteristics (confounders)ndash failure to plan eg confounding by

indicationndash failure to execute

2 Performance bias2 Performance bias

Systematic differences in the care of the two groups other than the intervention being investigatedndash nursing amp supportive care

ndash monitoring for adverse effects

3 Placebo-effect 3 Placebo-effect biasbias

Placebo-effect - a beneficial effect gained because the participant believes he is receiving effective therapy (includes satisfying pat-doc relationship as well as medicinal intervention)

In trials with a ldquono-treatmentrdquo arm confounding due to a differential placebo-effect may occur if the subjects are aware they are not receiving active therapy

Reasons for bias - Reasons for bias - ConfoundingConfounding

When a non-causal association due to a common cause of both T and H prevents us from quantifying any causal association

Confounding Confounding ndashndash measured measured amp unmeasured common amp unmeasured common

causescausesRandom variation (chance) impreciseSystematic variation (bias) inaccurateConfounder factor prognostically linked to outcome and unevenly distributed btw study groupsKnown confounders stratify results-Unknown confounders randomisation

Confounding Confounding ndashndash measured measured amp unmeasured common amp unmeasured common

causescauses

cancerdrug

SmokingSupportive carePlacebo-effect

Non-causal assoc

4 Attrition bias4 Attrition biasAll clinical trials have a period of follow-up attrition occurs when subjects do not complete the follow-up process (loss to follow-up)

This is harmful because attrition causes loss of information and hence less precise estimates of the treatment effect if too many subjects cannot be analyzed

Systematic differences in the loss of participants to follow up between groups may cause bias if the analysis is improper eg analyzing only participants who had complete follow-up or who were fully compliant (per protocol analysis)

5 Detection bias5 Detection bias

Systematic differences in outcome assessment btw groups ndashmeasurement methodndashfollow-up frequency for outcomes

MY DOCUMENTSlnk

6 Analytical bias6 Analytical bias

Bias arising because of the method of analysisndashchoice of subjects to analyze

the analysis dataset

ndashchoice of statistical estimators

biased amp unbiased estimators

ndashchoice of multivariate models

7 Reporting bias7 Reporting bias

Selective reporting ofndashclinical outcomes eg surrogate subgroups

ndashtime-points eg earlyUse of composite endpointsndashcomponent events not equally significant

What is ApprasialWhat is Apprasial

A technique to increase effectiveness of reading by exclude research studies too poorly designed to inform practice

Why appraisalWhy appraisal

To free time of concentrate on a more systematic evaluation of studies cross quality threshold and extract salient points

How to AppraiseHow to Appraise

Appraising a Secondary studies(Review)

1Validity2Impact(Results)3Practicability(Application)4Instruments tools such as CASP

Critical Appraisal Critical Appraisal Skills Programme Skills Programme

(CASP)(CASP)httpwwwphrunhsukpagesPHDCASPhtm

Appraisal tools for Appraisal tools for Systematic reviewSystematic review

10 questions to help you make sense of reviews Is the study valid What are the results Will the results help locally10 questions adapted from Oxman AD Cook DJ Guyatt GH Usersrsquo guides to medical literature VI How to use an overview JAMA 1994 272 (17) 1367-1371

Screening questionScreening question

First 2 questions Screening questions can be answered quickly Worth proceeding If answer to both is ldquoyesrdquo

Screening questionScreening question1 Did the review ask a clearly-focused question 1048713 Yes 1048713 Canrsquot tell 1048713 No

Focused ndash the population studied ndash the intervention given or exposure ndash the outcomes considered

2 Did the review include the right type of study 1048713 Yes 1048713 Canrsquot tell 1048713 No

included studies ndash address the reviewrsquos question

ndash have an appropriate study designIs it worth continuing

3 Did the reviewers try to identify all relevant studies 1048713 Yes 1048713 Canrsquot tell 1048713 No

Consider ndash which bibliographic databases were usedndash if there was follow-up from reference listsndash if there was personal contact with expertsndashsearched for unpublished studiesndashsearched for non-English-language studies

4 Did the reviewers assess the quality of the 1048713 Yes 1048713 Canrsquot tell 1048713 No

indash if a clear pre-determined strategy was used todetermine which studies were included Look forndash a scoring system ndash more than one assessor

5 If the results of the studies have beencombined was it reasonable to do so Consider ndash the

results of each study are clearly displayedndash the results were similar from study to study(look for tests of heterogeneity) ndash the reasons for any

variations in results are discussed6 How are the results presented and what is the main result Consider ndash how the results are expressed (eg odds ratiorelative risk etc) ndash how large this size of result is and howmeaningful it is ndash how you would sum up the bottom-line result ofthe review in one sentence

7 How precise are these resultsConsiderndash if a confidence interval were reported Wouldyour decision about whether or not to use thisintervention be the same at the upperconfidence limit as at the lower confidencelimitndash if a p-value is reported where confidenceintervals are unavailable

8 Can the results be applied to the local 1048713 Yes 1048713 Canrsquot tell 1048713 NopopulationConsider whetherndash the population sample covered by the reviewcould be different from your population in waysthat would produce different resultsndash your local setting differs much from that of thereviewndash you can provide the same intervention in yoursetting9 Were all important outcomes considered 1048713 Yes 1048713 Canrsquot tell 1048713 NoConsider outcomes from the point of view of thendash individualndash policy makers and professionalsndash familycarersndash wider communityreported can it be filled in from elsewhere

10 Should policy or practice change as a result of 1048713 Yes 1048713 Canrsquot tell 1048713 Nothe evidence contained in this reviewConsiderndash whether any benefit reported outweighs anyharm andor cost If this information is not

Page 9: Critical appraisal of (Systematic review) Meta-analysis 羅政勤 彰化秀傳紀念醫院

Results of a meta-Results of a meta-analysisanalysis

Forest plots of a meta-analysis of four randomized trials comparing no adjuvant chemotherapy with adjuvant chemotherapy in early-stage ovarian cancer for overall survival (A) and recurrence free survival (B) JNCI Cancer Spectrum 95(2)105-112

Advantages of meta-Advantages of meta-analysisanalysis

Allows pooling of several studies = increase sample sizeGathers literature in one placeProvides a quantitative summary (possibly less bias than a narrative)Generate hypothesesProvide information for future trials

Disadvantages of Disadvantages of meta-analysismeta-analysis

Even randomized studies often differ significantly in their design outcome exposure measuresPublication biasStudies differ in qualityTime trendsHealth studies tend to be (comparatively) few

Interpreting the results Interpreting the results of a meta-analysisof a meta-analysis

Was process valid (question search strategy reproducible)Are studies comparableAre results similarWhat is the estimate and precision of the estimate

ConclusionConclusion

Systematic reviews top of hierarchy of evidenceCaution before accepting findings of any systematic review without first appraising it

CautiousCautious

Attention paid to patient selection group inter-vention or search strategy SR combined studies in meta-analysis pooled in different intervention or participants included

3 reasons validity 3 reasons validity findingfinding

1) Chance2) Bias3) Confounding

ChanceChance

Random variation Chance statistical analysis (hypothesis testing and estimation)Avoid random variation adequate sample size

BiasBias

Systematic (non-random) error in estimation of population characteristic eg effect of treatment compared to control in a populationSystematic means hellip

Classification of sources Classification of sources of bias in analytical of bias in analytical

studiesstudiesAllocationPerformancePlacebo-effectAttritionDetectionAnalyticalReporting

SelectionMeasurement

Analysis

1 Allocation bias1 Allocation bias

Any treatment allocation method that causes a systematic difference in participant characteristics at the start of a trial (baseline)ndash independent prognostic

characteristics (confounders)ndash failure to plan eg confounding by

indicationndash failure to execute

2 Performance bias2 Performance bias

Systematic differences in the care of the two groups other than the intervention being investigatedndash nursing amp supportive care

ndash monitoring for adverse effects

3 Placebo-effect 3 Placebo-effect biasbias

Placebo-effect - a beneficial effect gained because the participant believes he is receiving effective therapy (includes satisfying pat-doc relationship as well as medicinal intervention)

In trials with a ldquono-treatmentrdquo arm confounding due to a differential placebo-effect may occur if the subjects are aware they are not receiving active therapy

Reasons for bias - Reasons for bias - ConfoundingConfounding

When a non-causal association due to a common cause of both T and H prevents us from quantifying any causal association

Confounding Confounding ndashndash measured measured amp unmeasured common amp unmeasured common

causescausesRandom variation (chance) impreciseSystematic variation (bias) inaccurateConfounder factor prognostically linked to outcome and unevenly distributed btw study groupsKnown confounders stratify results-Unknown confounders randomisation

Confounding Confounding ndashndash measured measured amp unmeasured common amp unmeasured common

causescauses

cancerdrug

SmokingSupportive carePlacebo-effect

Non-causal assoc

4 Attrition bias4 Attrition biasAll clinical trials have a period of follow-up attrition occurs when subjects do not complete the follow-up process (loss to follow-up)

This is harmful because attrition causes loss of information and hence less precise estimates of the treatment effect if too many subjects cannot be analyzed

Systematic differences in the loss of participants to follow up between groups may cause bias if the analysis is improper eg analyzing only participants who had complete follow-up or who were fully compliant (per protocol analysis)

5 Detection bias5 Detection bias

Systematic differences in outcome assessment btw groups ndashmeasurement methodndashfollow-up frequency for outcomes

MY DOCUMENTSlnk

6 Analytical bias6 Analytical bias

Bias arising because of the method of analysisndashchoice of subjects to analyze

the analysis dataset

ndashchoice of statistical estimators

biased amp unbiased estimators

ndashchoice of multivariate models

7 Reporting bias7 Reporting bias

Selective reporting ofndashclinical outcomes eg surrogate subgroups

ndashtime-points eg earlyUse of composite endpointsndashcomponent events not equally significant

What is ApprasialWhat is Apprasial

A technique to increase effectiveness of reading by exclude research studies too poorly designed to inform practice

Why appraisalWhy appraisal

To free time of concentrate on a more systematic evaluation of studies cross quality threshold and extract salient points

How to AppraiseHow to Appraise

Appraising a Secondary studies(Review)

1Validity2Impact(Results)3Practicability(Application)4Instruments tools such as CASP

Critical Appraisal Critical Appraisal Skills Programme Skills Programme

(CASP)(CASP)httpwwwphrunhsukpagesPHDCASPhtm

Appraisal tools for Appraisal tools for Systematic reviewSystematic review

10 questions to help you make sense of reviews Is the study valid What are the results Will the results help locally10 questions adapted from Oxman AD Cook DJ Guyatt GH Usersrsquo guides to medical literature VI How to use an overview JAMA 1994 272 (17) 1367-1371

Screening questionScreening question

First 2 questions Screening questions can be answered quickly Worth proceeding If answer to both is ldquoyesrdquo

Screening questionScreening question1 Did the review ask a clearly-focused question 1048713 Yes 1048713 Canrsquot tell 1048713 No

Focused ndash the population studied ndash the intervention given or exposure ndash the outcomes considered

2 Did the review include the right type of study 1048713 Yes 1048713 Canrsquot tell 1048713 No

included studies ndash address the reviewrsquos question

ndash have an appropriate study designIs it worth continuing

3 Did the reviewers try to identify all relevant studies 1048713 Yes 1048713 Canrsquot tell 1048713 No

Consider ndash which bibliographic databases were usedndash if there was follow-up from reference listsndash if there was personal contact with expertsndashsearched for unpublished studiesndashsearched for non-English-language studies

4 Did the reviewers assess the quality of the 1048713 Yes 1048713 Canrsquot tell 1048713 No

indash if a clear pre-determined strategy was used todetermine which studies were included Look forndash a scoring system ndash more than one assessor

5 If the results of the studies have beencombined was it reasonable to do so Consider ndash the

results of each study are clearly displayedndash the results were similar from study to study(look for tests of heterogeneity) ndash the reasons for any

variations in results are discussed6 How are the results presented and what is the main result Consider ndash how the results are expressed (eg odds ratiorelative risk etc) ndash how large this size of result is and howmeaningful it is ndash how you would sum up the bottom-line result ofthe review in one sentence

7 How precise are these resultsConsiderndash if a confidence interval were reported Wouldyour decision about whether or not to use thisintervention be the same at the upperconfidence limit as at the lower confidencelimitndash if a p-value is reported where confidenceintervals are unavailable

8 Can the results be applied to the local 1048713 Yes 1048713 Canrsquot tell 1048713 NopopulationConsider whetherndash the population sample covered by the reviewcould be different from your population in waysthat would produce different resultsndash your local setting differs much from that of thereviewndash you can provide the same intervention in yoursetting9 Were all important outcomes considered 1048713 Yes 1048713 Canrsquot tell 1048713 NoConsider outcomes from the point of view of thendash individualndash policy makers and professionalsndash familycarersndash wider communityreported can it be filled in from elsewhere

10 Should policy or practice change as a result of 1048713 Yes 1048713 Canrsquot tell 1048713 Nothe evidence contained in this reviewConsiderndash whether any benefit reported outweighs anyharm andor cost If this information is not

Page 10: Critical appraisal of (Systematic review) Meta-analysis 羅政勤 彰化秀傳紀念醫院

Advantages of meta-Advantages of meta-analysisanalysis

Allows pooling of several studies = increase sample sizeGathers literature in one placeProvides a quantitative summary (possibly less bias than a narrative)Generate hypothesesProvide information for future trials

Disadvantages of Disadvantages of meta-analysismeta-analysis

Even randomized studies often differ significantly in their design outcome exposure measuresPublication biasStudies differ in qualityTime trendsHealth studies tend to be (comparatively) few

Interpreting the results Interpreting the results of a meta-analysisof a meta-analysis

Was process valid (question search strategy reproducible)Are studies comparableAre results similarWhat is the estimate and precision of the estimate

ConclusionConclusion

Systematic reviews top of hierarchy of evidenceCaution before accepting findings of any systematic review without first appraising it

CautiousCautious

Attention paid to patient selection group inter-vention or search strategy SR combined studies in meta-analysis pooled in different intervention or participants included

3 reasons validity 3 reasons validity findingfinding

1) Chance2) Bias3) Confounding

ChanceChance

Random variation Chance statistical analysis (hypothesis testing and estimation)Avoid random variation adequate sample size

BiasBias

Systematic (non-random) error in estimation of population characteristic eg effect of treatment compared to control in a populationSystematic means hellip

Classification of sources Classification of sources of bias in analytical of bias in analytical

studiesstudiesAllocationPerformancePlacebo-effectAttritionDetectionAnalyticalReporting

SelectionMeasurement

Analysis

1 Allocation bias1 Allocation bias

Any treatment allocation method that causes a systematic difference in participant characteristics at the start of a trial (baseline)ndash independent prognostic

characteristics (confounders)ndash failure to plan eg confounding by

indicationndash failure to execute

2 Performance bias2 Performance bias

Systematic differences in the care of the two groups other than the intervention being investigatedndash nursing amp supportive care

ndash monitoring for adverse effects

3 Placebo-effect 3 Placebo-effect biasbias

Placebo-effect - a beneficial effect gained because the participant believes he is receiving effective therapy (includes satisfying pat-doc relationship as well as medicinal intervention)

In trials with a ldquono-treatmentrdquo arm confounding due to a differential placebo-effect may occur if the subjects are aware they are not receiving active therapy

Reasons for bias - Reasons for bias - ConfoundingConfounding

When a non-causal association due to a common cause of both T and H prevents us from quantifying any causal association

Confounding Confounding ndashndash measured measured amp unmeasured common amp unmeasured common

causescausesRandom variation (chance) impreciseSystematic variation (bias) inaccurateConfounder factor prognostically linked to outcome and unevenly distributed btw study groupsKnown confounders stratify results-Unknown confounders randomisation

Confounding Confounding ndashndash measured measured amp unmeasured common amp unmeasured common

causescauses

cancerdrug

SmokingSupportive carePlacebo-effect

Non-causal assoc

4 Attrition bias4 Attrition biasAll clinical trials have a period of follow-up attrition occurs when subjects do not complete the follow-up process (loss to follow-up)

This is harmful because attrition causes loss of information and hence less precise estimates of the treatment effect if too many subjects cannot be analyzed

Systematic differences in the loss of participants to follow up between groups may cause bias if the analysis is improper eg analyzing only participants who had complete follow-up or who were fully compliant (per protocol analysis)

5 Detection bias5 Detection bias

Systematic differences in outcome assessment btw groups ndashmeasurement methodndashfollow-up frequency for outcomes

MY DOCUMENTSlnk

6 Analytical bias6 Analytical bias

Bias arising because of the method of analysisndashchoice of subjects to analyze

the analysis dataset

ndashchoice of statistical estimators

biased amp unbiased estimators

ndashchoice of multivariate models

7 Reporting bias7 Reporting bias

Selective reporting ofndashclinical outcomes eg surrogate subgroups

ndashtime-points eg earlyUse of composite endpointsndashcomponent events not equally significant

What is ApprasialWhat is Apprasial

A technique to increase effectiveness of reading by exclude research studies too poorly designed to inform practice

Why appraisalWhy appraisal

To free time of concentrate on a more systematic evaluation of studies cross quality threshold and extract salient points

How to AppraiseHow to Appraise

Appraising a Secondary studies(Review)

1Validity2Impact(Results)3Practicability(Application)4Instruments tools such as CASP

Critical Appraisal Critical Appraisal Skills Programme Skills Programme

(CASP)(CASP)httpwwwphrunhsukpagesPHDCASPhtm

Appraisal tools for Appraisal tools for Systematic reviewSystematic review

10 questions to help you make sense of reviews Is the study valid What are the results Will the results help locally10 questions adapted from Oxman AD Cook DJ Guyatt GH Usersrsquo guides to medical literature VI How to use an overview JAMA 1994 272 (17) 1367-1371

Screening questionScreening question

First 2 questions Screening questions can be answered quickly Worth proceeding If answer to both is ldquoyesrdquo

Screening questionScreening question1 Did the review ask a clearly-focused question 1048713 Yes 1048713 Canrsquot tell 1048713 No

Focused ndash the population studied ndash the intervention given or exposure ndash the outcomes considered

2 Did the review include the right type of study 1048713 Yes 1048713 Canrsquot tell 1048713 No

included studies ndash address the reviewrsquos question

ndash have an appropriate study designIs it worth continuing

3 Did the reviewers try to identify all relevant studies 1048713 Yes 1048713 Canrsquot tell 1048713 No

Consider ndash which bibliographic databases were usedndash if there was follow-up from reference listsndash if there was personal contact with expertsndashsearched for unpublished studiesndashsearched for non-English-language studies

4 Did the reviewers assess the quality of the 1048713 Yes 1048713 Canrsquot tell 1048713 No

indash if a clear pre-determined strategy was used todetermine which studies were included Look forndash a scoring system ndash more than one assessor

5 If the results of the studies have beencombined was it reasonable to do so Consider ndash the

results of each study are clearly displayedndash the results were similar from study to study(look for tests of heterogeneity) ndash the reasons for any

variations in results are discussed6 How are the results presented and what is the main result Consider ndash how the results are expressed (eg odds ratiorelative risk etc) ndash how large this size of result is and howmeaningful it is ndash how you would sum up the bottom-line result ofthe review in one sentence

7 How precise are these resultsConsiderndash if a confidence interval were reported Wouldyour decision about whether or not to use thisintervention be the same at the upperconfidence limit as at the lower confidencelimitndash if a p-value is reported where confidenceintervals are unavailable

8 Can the results be applied to the local 1048713 Yes 1048713 Canrsquot tell 1048713 NopopulationConsider whetherndash the population sample covered by the reviewcould be different from your population in waysthat would produce different resultsndash your local setting differs much from that of thereviewndash you can provide the same intervention in yoursetting9 Were all important outcomes considered 1048713 Yes 1048713 Canrsquot tell 1048713 NoConsider outcomes from the point of view of thendash individualndash policy makers and professionalsndash familycarersndash wider communityreported can it be filled in from elsewhere

10 Should policy or practice change as a result of 1048713 Yes 1048713 Canrsquot tell 1048713 Nothe evidence contained in this reviewConsiderndash whether any benefit reported outweighs anyharm andor cost If this information is not

Page 11: Critical appraisal of (Systematic review) Meta-analysis 羅政勤 彰化秀傳紀念醫院

Disadvantages of Disadvantages of meta-analysismeta-analysis

Even randomized studies often differ significantly in their design outcome exposure measuresPublication biasStudies differ in qualityTime trendsHealth studies tend to be (comparatively) few

Interpreting the results Interpreting the results of a meta-analysisof a meta-analysis

Was process valid (question search strategy reproducible)Are studies comparableAre results similarWhat is the estimate and precision of the estimate

ConclusionConclusion

Systematic reviews top of hierarchy of evidenceCaution before accepting findings of any systematic review without first appraising it

CautiousCautious

Attention paid to patient selection group inter-vention or search strategy SR combined studies in meta-analysis pooled in different intervention or participants included

3 reasons validity 3 reasons validity findingfinding

1) Chance2) Bias3) Confounding

ChanceChance

Random variation Chance statistical analysis (hypothesis testing and estimation)Avoid random variation adequate sample size

BiasBias

Systematic (non-random) error in estimation of population characteristic eg effect of treatment compared to control in a populationSystematic means hellip

Classification of sources Classification of sources of bias in analytical of bias in analytical

studiesstudiesAllocationPerformancePlacebo-effectAttritionDetectionAnalyticalReporting

SelectionMeasurement

Analysis

1 Allocation bias1 Allocation bias

Any treatment allocation method that causes a systematic difference in participant characteristics at the start of a trial (baseline)ndash independent prognostic

characteristics (confounders)ndash failure to plan eg confounding by

indicationndash failure to execute

2 Performance bias2 Performance bias

Systematic differences in the care of the two groups other than the intervention being investigatedndash nursing amp supportive care

ndash monitoring for adverse effects

3 Placebo-effect 3 Placebo-effect biasbias

Placebo-effect - a beneficial effect gained because the participant believes he is receiving effective therapy (includes satisfying pat-doc relationship as well as medicinal intervention)

In trials with a ldquono-treatmentrdquo arm confounding due to a differential placebo-effect may occur if the subjects are aware they are not receiving active therapy

Reasons for bias - Reasons for bias - ConfoundingConfounding

When a non-causal association due to a common cause of both T and H prevents us from quantifying any causal association

Confounding Confounding ndashndash measured measured amp unmeasured common amp unmeasured common

causescausesRandom variation (chance) impreciseSystematic variation (bias) inaccurateConfounder factor prognostically linked to outcome and unevenly distributed btw study groupsKnown confounders stratify results-Unknown confounders randomisation

Confounding Confounding ndashndash measured measured amp unmeasured common amp unmeasured common

causescauses

cancerdrug

SmokingSupportive carePlacebo-effect

Non-causal assoc

4 Attrition bias4 Attrition biasAll clinical trials have a period of follow-up attrition occurs when subjects do not complete the follow-up process (loss to follow-up)

This is harmful because attrition causes loss of information and hence less precise estimates of the treatment effect if too many subjects cannot be analyzed

Systematic differences in the loss of participants to follow up between groups may cause bias if the analysis is improper eg analyzing only participants who had complete follow-up or who were fully compliant (per protocol analysis)

5 Detection bias5 Detection bias

Systematic differences in outcome assessment btw groups ndashmeasurement methodndashfollow-up frequency for outcomes

MY DOCUMENTSlnk

6 Analytical bias6 Analytical bias

Bias arising because of the method of analysisndashchoice of subjects to analyze

the analysis dataset

ndashchoice of statistical estimators

biased amp unbiased estimators

ndashchoice of multivariate models

7 Reporting bias7 Reporting bias

Selective reporting ofndashclinical outcomes eg surrogate subgroups

ndashtime-points eg earlyUse of composite endpointsndashcomponent events not equally significant

What is ApprasialWhat is Apprasial

A technique to increase effectiveness of reading by exclude research studies too poorly designed to inform practice

Why appraisalWhy appraisal

To free time of concentrate on a more systematic evaluation of studies cross quality threshold and extract salient points

How to AppraiseHow to Appraise

Appraising a Secondary studies(Review)

1Validity2Impact(Results)3Practicability(Application)4Instruments tools such as CASP

Critical Appraisal Critical Appraisal Skills Programme Skills Programme

(CASP)(CASP)httpwwwphrunhsukpagesPHDCASPhtm

Appraisal tools for Appraisal tools for Systematic reviewSystematic review

10 questions to help you make sense of reviews Is the study valid What are the results Will the results help locally10 questions adapted from Oxman AD Cook DJ Guyatt GH Usersrsquo guides to medical literature VI How to use an overview JAMA 1994 272 (17) 1367-1371

Screening questionScreening question

First 2 questions Screening questions can be answered quickly Worth proceeding If answer to both is ldquoyesrdquo

Screening questionScreening question1 Did the review ask a clearly-focused question 1048713 Yes 1048713 Canrsquot tell 1048713 No

Focused ndash the population studied ndash the intervention given or exposure ndash the outcomes considered

2 Did the review include the right type of study 1048713 Yes 1048713 Canrsquot tell 1048713 No

included studies ndash address the reviewrsquos question

ndash have an appropriate study designIs it worth continuing

3 Did the reviewers try to identify all relevant studies 1048713 Yes 1048713 Canrsquot tell 1048713 No

Consider ndash which bibliographic databases were usedndash if there was follow-up from reference listsndash if there was personal contact with expertsndashsearched for unpublished studiesndashsearched for non-English-language studies

4 Did the reviewers assess the quality of the 1048713 Yes 1048713 Canrsquot tell 1048713 No

indash if a clear pre-determined strategy was used todetermine which studies were included Look forndash a scoring system ndash more than one assessor

5 If the results of the studies have beencombined was it reasonable to do so Consider ndash the

results of each study are clearly displayedndash the results were similar from study to study(look for tests of heterogeneity) ndash the reasons for any

variations in results are discussed6 How are the results presented and what is the main result Consider ndash how the results are expressed (eg odds ratiorelative risk etc) ndash how large this size of result is and howmeaningful it is ndash how you would sum up the bottom-line result ofthe review in one sentence

7 How precise are these resultsConsiderndash if a confidence interval were reported Wouldyour decision about whether or not to use thisintervention be the same at the upperconfidence limit as at the lower confidencelimitndash if a p-value is reported where confidenceintervals are unavailable

8 Can the results be applied to the local 1048713 Yes 1048713 Canrsquot tell 1048713 NopopulationConsider whetherndash the population sample covered by the reviewcould be different from your population in waysthat would produce different resultsndash your local setting differs much from that of thereviewndash you can provide the same intervention in yoursetting9 Were all important outcomes considered 1048713 Yes 1048713 Canrsquot tell 1048713 NoConsider outcomes from the point of view of thendash individualndash policy makers and professionalsndash familycarersndash wider communityreported can it be filled in from elsewhere

10 Should policy or practice change as a result of 1048713 Yes 1048713 Canrsquot tell 1048713 Nothe evidence contained in this reviewConsiderndash whether any benefit reported outweighs anyharm andor cost If this information is not

Page 12: Critical appraisal of (Systematic review) Meta-analysis 羅政勤 彰化秀傳紀念醫院

Interpreting the results Interpreting the results of a meta-analysisof a meta-analysis

Was process valid (question search strategy reproducible)Are studies comparableAre results similarWhat is the estimate and precision of the estimate

ConclusionConclusion

Systematic reviews top of hierarchy of evidenceCaution before accepting findings of any systematic review without first appraising it

CautiousCautious

Attention paid to patient selection group inter-vention or search strategy SR combined studies in meta-analysis pooled in different intervention or participants included

3 reasons validity 3 reasons validity findingfinding

1) Chance2) Bias3) Confounding

ChanceChance

Random variation Chance statistical analysis (hypothesis testing and estimation)Avoid random variation adequate sample size

BiasBias

Systematic (non-random) error in estimation of population characteristic eg effect of treatment compared to control in a populationSystematic means hellip

Classification of sources Classification of sources of bias in analytical of bias in analytical

studiesstudiesAllocationPerformancePlacebo-effectAttritionDetectionAnalyticalReporting

SelectionMeasurement

Analysis

1 Allocation bias1 Allocation bias

Any treatment allocation method that causes a systematic difference in participant characteristics at the start of a trial (baseline)ndash independent prognostic

characteristics (confounders)ndash failure to plan eg confounding by

indicationndash failure to execute

2 Performance bias2 Performance bias

Systematic differences in the care of the two groups other than the intervention being investigatedndash nursing amp supportive care

ndash monitoring for adverse effects

3 Placebo-effect 3 Placebo-effect biasbias

Placebo-effect - a beneficial effect gained because the participant believes he is receiving effective therapy (includes satisfying pat-doc relationship as well as medicinal intervention)

In trials with a ldquono-treatmentrdquo arm confounding due to a differential placebo-effect may occur if the subjects are aware they are not receiving active therapy

Reasons for bias - Reasons for bias - ConfoundingConfounding

When a non-causal association due to a common cause of both T and H prevents us from quantifying any causal association

Confounding Confounding ndashndash measured measured amp unmeasured common amp unmeasured common

causescausesRandom variation (chance) impreciseSystematic variation (bias) inaccurateConfounder factor prognostically linked to outcome and unevenly distributed btw study groupsKnown confounders stratify results-Unknown confounders randomisation

Confounding Confounding ndashndash measured measured amp unmeasured common amp unmeasured common

causescauses

cancerdrug

SmokingSupportive carePlacebo-effect

Non-causal assoc

4 Attrition bias4 Attrition biasAll clinical trials have a period of follow-up attrition occurs when subjects do not complete the follow-up process (loss to follow-up)

This is harmful because attrition causes loss of information and hence less precise estimates of the treatment effect if too many subjects cannot be analyzed

Systematic differences in the loss of participants to follow up between groups may cause bias if the analysis is improper eg analyzing only participants who had complete follow-up or who were fully compliant (per protocol analysis)

5 Detection bias5 Detection bias

Systematic differences in outcome assessment btw groups ndashmeasurement methodndashfollow-up frequency for outcomes

MY DOCUMENTSlnk

6 Analytical bias6 Analytical bias

Bias arising because of the method of analysisndashchoice of subjects to analyze

the analysis dataset

ndashchoice of statistical estimators

biased amp unbiased estimators

ndashchoice of multivariate models

7 Reporting bias7 Reporting bias

Selective reporting ofndashclinical outcomes eg surrogate subgroups

ndashtime-points eg earlyUse of composite endpointsndashcomponent events not equally significant

What is ApprasialWhat is Apprasial

A technique to increase effectiveness of reading by exclude research studies too poorly designed to inform practice

Why appraisalWhy appraisal

To free time of concentrate on a more systematic evaluation of studies cross quality threshold and extract salient points

How to AppraiseHow to Appraise

Appraising a Secondary studies(Review)

1Validity2Impact(Results)3Practicability(Application)4Instruments tools such as CASP

Critical Appraisal Critical Appraisal Skills Programme Skills Programme

(CASP)(CASP)httpwwwphrunhsukpagesPHDCASPhtm

Appraisal tools for Appraisal tools for Systematic reviewSystematic review

10 questions to help you make sense of reviews Is the study valid What are the results Will the results help locally10 questions adapted from Oxman AD Cook DJ Guyatt GH Usersrsquo guides to medical literature VI How to use an overview JAMA 1994 272 (17) 1367-1371

Screening questionScreening question

First 2 questions Screening questions can be answered quickly Worth proceeding If answer to both is ldquoyesrdquo

Screening questionScreening question1 Did the review ask a clearly-focused question 1048713 Yes 1048713 Canrsquot tell 1048713 No

Focused ndash the population studied ndash the intervention given or exposure ndash the outcomes considered

2 Did the review include the right type of study 1048713 Yes 1048713 Canrsquot tell 1048713 No

included studies ndash address the reviewrsquos question

ndash have an appropriate study designIs it worth continuing

3 Did the reviewers try to identify all relevant studies 1048713 Yes 1048713 Canrsquot tell 1048713 No

Consider ndash which bibliographic databases were usedndash if there was follow-up from reference listsndash if there was personal contact with expertsndashsearched for unpublished studiesndashsearched for non-English-language studies

4 Did the reviewers assess the quality of the 1048713 Yes 1048713 Canrsquot tell 1048713 No

indash if a clear pre-determined strategy was used todetermine which studies were included Look forndash a scoring system ndash more than one assessor

5 If the results of the studies have beencombined was it reasonable to do so Consider ndash the

results of each study are clearly displayedndash the results were similar from study to study(look for tests of heterogeneity) ndash the reasons for any

variations in results are discussed6 How are the results presented and what is the main result Consider ndash how the results are expressed (eg odds ratiorelative risk etc) ndash how large this size of result is and howmeaningful it is ndash how you would sum up the bottom-line result ofthe review in one sentence

7 How precise are these resultsConsiderndash if a confidence interval were reported Wouldyour decision about whether or not to use thisintervention be the same at the upperconfidence limit as at the lower confidencelimitndash if a p-value is reported where confidenceintervals are unavailable

8 Can the results be applied to the local 1048713 Yes 1048713 Canrsquot tell 1048713 NopopulationConsider whetherndash the population sample covered by the reviewcould be different from your population in waysthat would produce different resultsndash your local setting differs much from that of thereviewndash you can provide the same intervention in yoursetting9 Were all important outcomes considered 1048713 Yes 1048713 Canrsquot tell 1048713 NoConsider outcomes from the point of view of thendash individualndash policy makers and professionalsndash familycarersndash wider communityreported can it be filled in from elsewhere

10 Should policy or practice change as a result of 1048713 Yes 1048713 Canrsquot tell 1048713 Nothe evidence contained in this reviewConsiderndash whether any benefit reported outweighs anyharm andor cost If this information is not

Page 13: Critical appraisal of (Systematic review) Meta-analysis 羅政勤 彰化秀傳紀念醫院

ConclusionConclusion

Systematic reviews top of hierarchy of evidenceCaution before accepting findings of any systematic review without first appraising it

CautiousCautious

Attention paid to patient selection group inter-vention or search strategy SR combined studies in meta-analysis pooled in different intervention or participants included

3 reasons validity 3 reasons validity findingfinding

1) Chance2) Bias3) Confounding

ChanceChance

Random variation Chance statistical analysis (hypothesis testing and estimation)Avoid random variation adequate sample size

BiasBias

Systematic (non-random) error in estimation of population characteristic eg effect of treatment compared to control in a populationSystematic means hellip

Classification of sources Classification of sources of bias in analytical of bias in analytical

studiesstudiesAllocationPerformancePlacebo-effectAttritionDetectionAnalyticalReporting

SelectionMeasurement

Analysis

1 Allocation bias1 Allocation bias

Any treatment allocation method that causes a systematic difference in participant characteristics at the start of a trial (baseline)ndash independent prognostic

characteristics (confounders)ndash failure to plan eg confounding by

indicationndash failure to execute

2 Performance bias2 Performance bias

Systematic differences in the care of the two groups other than the intervention being investigatedndash nursing amp supportive care

ndash monitoring for adverse effects

3 Placebo-effect 3 Placebo-effect biasbias

Placebo-effect - a beneficial effect gained because the participant believes he is receiving effective therapy (includes satisfying pat-doc relationship as well as medicinal intervention)

In trials with a ldquono-treatmentrdquo arm confounding due to a differential placebo-effect may occur if the subjects are aware they are not receiving active therapy

Reasons for bias - Reasons for bias - ConfoundingConfounding

When a non-causal association due to a common cause of both T and H prevents us from quantifying any causal association

Confounding Confounding ndashndash measured measured amp unmeasured common amp unmeasured common

causescausesRandom variation (chance) impreciseSystematic variation (bias) inaccurateConfounder factor prognostically linked to outcome and unevenly distributed btw study groupsKnown confounders stratify results-Unknown confounders randomisation

Confounding Confounding ndashndash measured measured amp unmeasured common amp unmeasured common

causescauses

cancerdrug

SmokingSupportive carePlacebo-effect

Non-causal assoc

4 Attrition bias4 Attrition biasAll clinical trials have a period of follow-up attrition occurs when subjects do not complete the follow-up process (loss to follow-up)

This is harmful because attrition causes loss of information and hence less precise estimates of the treatment effect if too many subjects cannot be analyzed

Systematic differences in the loss of participants to follow up between groups may cause bias if the analysis is improper eg analyzing only participants who had complete follow-up or who were fully compliant (per protocol analysis)

5 Detection bias5 Detection bias

Systematic differences in outcome assessment btw groups ndashmeasurement methodndashfollow-up frequency for outcomes

MY DOCUMENTSlnk

6 Analytical bias6 Analytical bias

Bias arising because of the method of analysisndashchoice of subjects to analyze

the analysis dataset

ndashchoice of statistical estimators

biased amp unbiased estimators

ndashchoice of multivariate models

7 Reporting bias7 Reporting bias

Selective reporting ofndashclinical outcomes eg surrogate subgroups

ndashtime-points eg earlyUse of composite endpointsndashcomponent events not equally significant

What is ApprasialWhat is Apprasial

A technique to increase effectiveness of reading by exclude research studies too poorly designed to inform practice

Why appraisalWhy appraisal

To free time of concentrate on a more systematic evaluation of studies cross quality threshold and extract salient points

How to AppraiseHow to Appraise

Appraising a Secondary studies(Review)

1Validity2Impact(Results)3Practicability(Application)4Instruments tools such as CASP

Critical Appraisal Critical Appraisal Skills Programme Skills Programme

(CASP)(CASP)httpwwwphrunhsukpagesPHDCASPhtm

Appraisal tools for Appraisal tools for Systematic reviewSystematic review

10 questions to help you make sense of reviews Is the study valid What are the results Will the results help locally10 questions adapted from Oxman AD Cook DJ Guyatt GH Usersrsquo guides to medical literature VI How to use an overview JAMA 1994 272 (17) 1367-1371

Screening questionScreening question

First 2 questions Screening questions can be answered quickly Worth proceeding If answer to both is ldquoyesrdquo

Screening questionScreening question1 Did the review ask a clearly-focused question 1048713 Yes 1048713 Canrsquot tell 1048713 No

Focused ndash the population studied ndash the intervention given or exposure ndash the outcomes considered

2 Did the review include the right type of study 1048713 Yes 1048713 Canrsquot tell 1048713 No

included studies ndash address the reviewrsquos question

ndash have an appropriate study designIs it worth continuing

3 Did the reviewers try to identify all relevant studies 1048713 Yes 1048713 Canrsquot tell 1048713 No

Consider ndash which bibliographic databases were usedndash if there was follow-up from reference listsndash if there was personal contact with expertsndashsearched for unpublished studiesndashsearched for non-English-language studies

4 Did the reviewers assess the quality of the 1048713 Yes 1048713 Canrsquot tell 1048713 No

indash if a clear pre-determined strategy was used todetermine which studies were included Look forndash a scoring system ndash more than one assessor

5 If the results of the studies have beencombined was it reasonable to do so Consider ndash the

results of each study are clearly displayedndash the results were similar from study to study(look for tests of heterogeneity) ndash the reasons for any

variations in results are discussed6 How are the results presented and what is the main result Consider ndash how the results are expressed (eg odds ratiorelative risk etc) ndash how large this size of result is and howmeaningful it is ndash how you would sum up the bottom-line result ofthe review in one sentence

7 How precise are these resultsConsiderndash if a confidence interval were reported Wouldyour decision about whether or not to use thisintervention be the same at the upperconfidence limit as at the lower confidencelimitndash if a p-value is reported where confidenceintervals are unavailable

8 Can the results be applied to the local 1048713 Yes 1048713 Canrsquot tell 1048713 NopopulationConsider whetherndash the population sample covered by the reviewcould be different from your population in waysthat would produce different resultsndash your local setting differs much from that of thereviewndash you can provide the same intervention in yoursetting9 Were all important outcomes considered 1048713 Yes 1048713 Canrsquot tell 1048713 NoConsider outcomes from the point of view of thendash individualndash policy makers and professionalsndash familycarersndash wider communityreported can it be filled in from elsewhere

10 Should policy or practice change as a result of 1048713 Yes 1048713 Canrsquot tell 1048713 Nothe evidence contained in this reviewConsiderndash whether any benefit reported outweighs anyharm andor cost If this information is not

Page 14: Critical appraisal of (Systematic review) Meta-analysis 羅政勤 彰化秀傳紀念醫院

CautiousCautious

Attention paid to patient selection group inter-vention or search strategy SR combined studies in meta-analysis pooled in different intervention or participants included

3 reasons validity 3 reasons validity findingfinding

1) Chance2) Bias3) Confounding

ChanceChance

Random variation Chance statistical analysis (hypothesis testing and estimation)Avoid random variation adequate sample size

BiasBias

Systematic (non-random) error in estimation of population characteristic eg effect of treatment compared to control in a populationSystematic means hellip

Classification of sources Classification of sources of bias in analytical of bias in analytical

studiesstudiesAllocationPerformancePlacebo-effectAttritionDetectionAnalyticalReporting

SelectionMeasurement

Analysis

1 Allocation bias1 Allocation bias

Any treatment allocation method that causes a systematic difference in participant characteristics at the start of a trial (baseline)ndash independent prognostic

characteristics (confounders)ndash failure to plan eg confounding by

indicationndash failure to execute

2 Performance bias2 Performance bias

Systematic differences in the care of the two groups other than the intervention being investigatedndash nursing amp supportive care

ndash monitoring for adverse effects

3 Placebo-effect 3 Placebo-effect biasbias

Placebo-effect - a beneficial effect gained because the participant believes he is receiving effective therapy (includes satisfying pat-doc relationship as well as medicinal intervention)

In trials with a ldquono-treatmentrdquo arm confounding due to a differential placebo-effect may occur if the subjects are aware they are not receiving active therapy

Reasons for bias - Reasons for bias - ConfoundingConfounding

When a non-causal association due to a common cause of both T and H prevents us from quantifying any causal association

Confounding Confounding ndashndash measured measured amp unmeasured common amp unmeasured common

causescausesRandom variation (chance) impreciseSystematic variation (bias) inaccurateConfounder factor prognostically linked to outcome and unevenly distributed btw study groupsKnown confounders stratify results-Unknown confounders randomisation

Confounding Confounding ndashndash measured measured amp unmeasured common amp unmeasured common

causescauses

cancerdrug

SmokingSupportive carePlacebo-effect

Non-causal assoc

4 Attrition bias4 Attrition biasAll clinical trials have a period of follow-up attrition occurs when subjects do not complete the follow-up process (loss to follow-up)

This is harmful because attrition causes loss of information and hence less precise estimates of the treatment effect if too many subjects cannot be analyzed

Systematic differences in the loss of participants to follow up between groups may cause bias if the analysis is improper eg analyzing only participants who had complete follow-up or who were fully compliant (per protocol analysis)

5 Detection bias5 Detection bias

Systematic differences in outcome assessment btw groups ndashmeasurement methodndashfollow-up frequency for outcomes

MY DOCUMENTSlnk

6 Analytical bias6 Analytical bias

Bias arising because of the method of analysisndashchoice of subjects to analyze

the analysis dataset

ndashchoice of statistical estimators

biased amp unbiased estimators

ndashchoice of multivariate models

7 Reporting bias7 Reporting bias

Selective reporting ofndashclinical outcomes eg surrogate subgroups

ndashtime-points eg earlyUse of composite endpointsndashcomponent events not equally significant

What is ApprasialWhat is Apprasial

A technique to increase effectiveness of reading by exclude research studies too poorly designed to inform practice

Why appraisalWhy appraisal

To free time of concentrate on a more systematic evaluation of studies cross quality threshold and extract salient points

How to AppraiseHow to Appraise

Appraising a Secondary studies(Review)

1Validity2Impact(Results)3Practicability(Application)4Instruments tools such as CASP

Critical Appraisal Critical Appraisal Skills Programme Skills Programme

(CASP)(CASP)httpwwwphrunhsukpagesPHDCASPhtm

Appraisal tools for Appraisal tools for Systematic reviewSystematic review

10 questions to help you make sense of reviews Is the study valid What are the results Will the results help locally10 questions adapted from Oxman AD Cook DJ Guyatt GH Usersrsquo guides to medical literature VI How to use an overview JAMA 1994 272 (17) 1367-1371

Screening questionScreening question

First 2 questions Screening questions can be answered quickly Worth proceeding If answer to both is ldquoyesrdquo

Screening questionScreening question1 Did the review ask a clearly-focused question 1048713 Yes 1048713 Canrsquot tell 1048713 No

Focused ndash the population studied ndash the intervention given or exposure ndash the outcomes considered

2 Did the review include the right type of study 1048713 Yes 1048713 Canrsquot tell 1048713 No

included studies ndash address the reviewrsquos question

ndash have an appropriate study designIs it worth continuing

3 Did the reviewers try to identify all relevant studies 1048713 Yes 1048713 Canrsquot tell 1048713 No

Consider ndash which bibliographic databases were usedndash if there was follow-up from reference listsndash if there was personal contact with expertsndashsearched for unpublished studiesndashsearched for non-English-language studies

4 Did the reviewers assess the quality of the 1048713 Yes 1048713 Canrsquot tell 1048713 No

indash if a clear pre-determined strategy was used todetermine which studies were included Look forndash a scoring system ndash more than one assessor

5 If the results of the studies have beencombined was it reasonable to do so Consider ndash the

results of each study are clearly displayedndash the results were similar from study to study(look for tests of heterogeneity) ndash the reasons for any

variations in results are discussed6 How are the results presented and what is the main result Consider ndash how the results are expressed (eg odds ratiorelative risk etc) ndash how large this size of result is and howmeaningful it is ndash how you would sum up the bottom-line result ofthe review in one sentence

7 How precise are these resultsConsiderndash if a confidence interval were reported Wouldyour decision about whether or not to use thisintervention be the same at the upperconfidence limit as at the lower confidencelimitndash if a p-value is reported where confidenceintervals are unavailable

8 Can the results be applied to the local 1048713 Yes 1048713 Canrsquot tell 1048713 NopopulationConsider whetherndash the population sample covered by the reviewcould be different from your population in waysthat would produce different resultsndash your local setting differs much from that of thereviewndash you can provide the same intervention in yoursetting9 Were all important outcomes considered 1048713 Yes 1048713 Canrsquot tell 1048713 NoConsider outcomes from the point of view of thendash individualndash policy makers and professionalsndash familycarersndash wider communityreported can it be filled in from elsewhere

10 Should policy or practice change as a result of 1048713 Yes 1048713 Canrsquot tell 1048713 Nothe evidence contained in this reviewConsiderndash whether any benefit reported outweighs anyharm andor cost If this information is not

Page 15: Critical appraisal of (Systematic review) Meta-analysis 羅政勤 彰化秀傳紀念醫院

3 reasons validity 3 reasons validity findingfinding

1) Chance2) Bias3) Confounding

ChanceChance

Random variation Chance statistical analysis (hypothesis testing and estimation)Avoid random variation adequate sample size

BiasBias

Systematic (non-random) error in estimation of population characteristic eg effect of treatment compared to control in a populationSystematic means hellip

Classification of sources Classification of sources of bias in analytical of bias in analytical

studiesstudiesAllocationPerformancePlacebo-effectAttritionDetectionAnalyticalReporting

SelectionMeasurement

Analysis

1 Allocation bias1 Allocation bias

Any treatment allocation method that causes a systematic difference in participant characteristics at the start of a trial (baseline)ndash independent prognostic

characteristics (confounders)ndash failure to plan eg confounding by

indicationndash failure to execute

2 Performance bias2 Performance bias

Systematic differences in the care of the two groups other than the intervention being investigatedndash nursing amp supportive care

ndash monitoring for adverse effects

3 Placebo-effect 3 Placebo-effect biasbias

Placebo-effect - a beneficial effect gained because the participant believes he is receiving effective therapy (includes satisfying pat-doc relationship as well as medicinal intervention)

In trials with a ldquono-treatmentrdquo arm confounding due to a differential placebo-effect may occur if the subjects are aware they are not receiving active therapy

Reasons for bias - Reasons for bias - ConfoundingConfounding

When a non-causal association due to a common cause of both T and H prevents us from quantifying any causal association

Confounding Confounding ndashndash measured measured amp unmeasured common amp unmeasured common

causescausesRandom variation (chance) impreciseSystematic variation (bias) inaccurateConfounder factor prognostically linked to outcome and unevenly distributed btw study groupsKnown confounders stratify results-Unknown confounders randomisation

Confounding Confounding ndashndash measured measured amp unmeasured common amp unmeasured common

causescauses

cancerdrug

SmokingSupportive carePlacebo-effect

Non-causal assoc

4 Attrition bias4 Attrition biasAll clinical trials have a period of follow-up attrition occurs when subjects do not complete the follow-up process (loss to follow-up)

This is harmful because attrition causes loss of information and hence less precise estimates of the treatment effect if too many subjects cannot be analyzed

Systematic differences in the loss of participants to follow up between groups may cause bias if the analysis is improper eg analyzing only participants who had complete follow-up or who were fully compliant (per protocol analysis)

5 Detection bias5 Detection bias

Systematic differences in outcome assessment btw groups ndashmeasurement methodndashfollow-up frequency for outcomes

MY DOCUMENTSlnk

6 Analytical bias6 Analytical bias

Bias arising because of the method of analysisndashchoice of subjects to analyze

the analysis dataset

ndashchoice of statistical estimators

biased amp unbiased estimators

ndashchoice of multivariate models

7 Reporting bias7 Reporting bias

Selective reporting ofndashclinical outcomes eg surrogate subgroups

ndashtime-points eg earlyUse of composite endpointsndashcomponent events not equally significant

What is ApprasialWhat is Apprasial

A technique to increase effectiveness of reading by exclude research studies too poorly designed to inform practice

Why appraisalWhy appraisal

To free time of concentrate on a more systematic evaluation of studies cross quality threshold and extract salient points

How to AppraiseHow to Appraise

Appraising a Secondary studies(Review)

1Validity2Impact(Results)3Practicability(Application)4Instruments tools such as CASP

Critical Appraisal Critical Appraisal Skills Programme Skills Programme

(CASP)(CASP)httpwwwphrunhsukpagesPHDCASPhtm

Appraisal tools for Appraisal tools for Systematic reviewSystematic review

10 questions to help you make sense of reviews Is the study valid What are the results Will the results help locally10 questions adapted from Oxman AD Cook DJ Guyatt GH Usersrsquo guides to medical literature VI How to use an overview JAMA 1994 272 (17) 1367-1371

Screening questionScreening question

First 2 questions Screening questions can be answered quickly Worth proceeding If answer to both is ldquoyesrdquo

Screening questionScreening question1 Did the review ask a clearly-focused question 1048713 Yes 1048713 Canrsquot tell 1048713 No

Focused ndash the population studied ndash the intervention given or exposure ndash the outcomes considered

2 Did the review include the right type of study 1048713 Yes 1048713 Canrsquot tell 1048713 No

included studies ndash address the reviewrsquos question

ndash have an appropriate study designIs it worth continuing

3 Did the reviewers try to identify all relevant studies 1048713 Yes 1048713 Canrsquot tell 1048713 No

Consider ndash which bibliographic databases were usedndash if there was follow-up from reference listsndash if there was personal contact with expertsndashsearched for unpublished studiesndashsearched for non-English-language studies

4 Did the reviewers assess the quality of the 1048713 Yes 1048713 Canrsquot tell 1048713 No

indash if a clear pre-determined strategy was used todetermine which studies were included Look forndash a scoring system ndash more than one assessor

5 If the results of the studies have beencombined was it reasonable to do so Consider ndash the

results of each study are clearly displayedndash the results were similar from study to study(look for tests of heterogeneity) ndash the reasons for any

variations in results are discussed6 How are the results presented and what is the main result Consider ndash how the results are expressed (eg odds ratiorelative risk etc) ndash how large this size of result is and howmeaningful it is ndash how you would sum up the bottom-line result ofthe review in one sentence

7 How precise are these resultsConsiderndash if a confidence interval were reported Wouldyour decision about whether or not to use thisintervention be the same at the upperconfidence limit as at the lower confidencelimitndash if a p-value is reported where confidenceintervals are unavailable

8 Can the results be applied to the local 1048713 Yes 1048713 Canrsquot tell 1048713 NopopulationConsider whetherndash the population sample covered by the reviewcould be different from your population in waysthat would produce different resultsndash your local setting differs much from that of thereviewndash you can provide the same intervention in yoursetting9 Were all important outcomes considered 1048713 Yes 1048713 Canrsquot tell 1048713 NoConsider outcomes from the point of view of thendash individualndash policy makers and professionalsndash familycarersndash wider communityreported can it be filled in from elsewhere

10 Should policy or practice change as a result of 1048713 Yes 1048713 Canrsquot tell 1048713 Nothe evidence contained in this reviewConsiderndash whether any benefit reported outweighs anyharm andor cost If this information is not

Page 16: Critical appraisal of (Systematic review) Meta-analysis 羅政勤 彰化秀傳紀念醫院

ChanceChance

Random variation Chance statistical analysis (hypothesis testing and estimation)Avoid random variation adequate sample size

BiasBias

Systematic (non-random) error in estimation of population characteristic eg effect of treatment compared to control in a populationSystematic means hellip

Classification of sources Classification of sources of bias in analytical of bias in analytical

studiesstudiesAllocationPerformancePlacebo-effectAttritionDetectionAnalyticalReporting

SelectionMeasurement

Analysis

1 Allocation bias1 Allocation bias

Any treatment allocation method that causes a systematic difference in participant characteristics at the start of a trial (baseline)ndash independent prognostic

characteristics (confounders)ndash failure to plan eg confounding by

indicationndash failure to execute

2 Performance bias2 Performance bias

Systematic differences in the care of the two groups other than the intervention being investigatedndash nursing amp supportive care

ndash monitoring for adverse effects

3 Placebo-effect 3 Placebo-effect biasbias

Placebo-effect - a beneficial effect gained because the participant believes he is receiving effective therapy (includes satisfying pat-doc relationship as well as medicinal intervention)

In trials with a ldquono-treatmentrdquo arm confounding due to a differential placebo-effect may occur if the subjects are aware they are not receiving active therapy

Reasons for bias - Reasons for bias - ConfoundingConfounding

When a non-causal association due to a common cause of both T and H prevents us from quantifying any causal association

Confounding Confounding ndashndash measured measured amp unmeasured common amp unmeasured common

causescausesRandom variation (chance) impreciseSystematic variation (bias) inaccurateConfounder factor prognostically linked to outcome and unevenly distributed btw study groupsKnown confounders stratify results-Unknown confounders randomisation

Confounding Confounding ndashndash measured measured amp unmeasured common amp unmeasured common

causescauses

cancerdrug

SmokingSupportive carePlacebo-effect

Non-causal assoc

4 Attrition bias4 Attrition biasAll clinical trials have a period of follow-up attrition occurs when subjects do not complete the follow-up process (loss to follow-up)

This is harmful because attrition causes loss of information and hence less precise estimates of the treatment effect if too many subjects cannot be analyzed

Systematic differences in the loss of participants to follow up between groups may cause bias if the analysis is improper eg analyzing only participants who had complete follow-up or who were fully compliant (per protocol analysis)

5 Detection bias5 Detection bias

Systematic differences in outcome assessment btw groups ndashmeasurement methodndashfollow-up frequency for outcomes

MY DOCUMENTSlnk

6 Analytical bias6 Analytical bias

Bias arising because of the method of analysisndashchoice of subjects to analyze

the analysis dataset

ndashchoice of statistical estimators

biased amp unbiased estimators

ndashchoice of multivariate models

7 Reporting bias7 Reporting bias

Selective reporting ofndashclinical outcomes eg surrogate subgroups

ndashtime-points eg earlyUse of composite endpointsndashcomponent events not equally significant

What is ApprasialWhat is Apprasial

A technique to increase effectiveness of reading by exclude research studies too poorly designed to inform practice

Why appraisalWhy appraisal

To free time of concentrate on a more systematic evaluation of studies cross quality threshold and extract salient points

How to AppraiseHow to Appraise

Appraising a Secondary studies(Review)

1Validity2Impact(Results)3Practicability(Application)4Instruments tools such as CASP

Critical Appraisal Critical Appraisal Skills Programme Skills Programme

(CASP)(CASP)httpwwwphrunhsukpagesPHDCASPhtm

Appraisal tools for Appraisal tools for Systematic reviewSystematic review

10 questions to help you make sense of reviews Is the study valid What are the results Will the results help locally10 questions adapted from Oxman AD Cook DJ Guyatt GH Usersrsquo guides to medical literature VI How to use an overview JAMA 1994 272 (17) 1367-1371

Screening questionScreening question

First 2 questions Screening questions can be answered quickly Worth proceeding If answer to both is ldquoyesrdquo

Screening questionScreening question1 Did the review ask a clearly-focused question 1048713 Yes 1048713 Canrsquot tell 1048713 No

Focused ndash the population studied ndash the intervention given or exposure ndash the outcomes considered

2 Did the review include the right type of study 1048713 Yes 1048713 Canrsquot tell 1048713 No

included studies ndash address the reviewrsquos question

ndash have an appropriate study designIs it worth continuing

3 Did the reviewers try to identify all relevant studies 1048713 Yes 1048713 Canrsquot tell 1048713 No

Consider ndash which bibliographic databases were usedndash if there was follow-up from reference listsndash if there was personal contact with expertsndashsearched for unpublished studiesndashsearched for non-English-language studies

4 Did the reviewers assess the quality of the 1048713 Yes 1048713 Canrsquot tell 1048713 No

indash if a clear pre-determined strategy was used todetermine which studies were included Look forndash a scoring system ndash more than one assessor

5 If the results of the studies have beencombined was it reasonable to do so Consider ndash the

results of each study are clearly displayedndash the results were similar from study to study(look for tests of heterogeneity) ndash the reasons for any

variations in results are discussed6 How are the results presented and what is the main result Consider ndash how the results are expressed (eg odds ratiorelative risk etc) ndash how large this size of result is and howmeaningful it is ndash how you would sum up the bottom-line result ofthe review in one sentence

7 How precise are these resultsConsiderndash if a confidence interval were reported Wouldyour decision about whether or not to use thisintervention be the same at the upperconfidence limit as at the lower confidencelimitndash if a p-value is reported where confidenceintervals are unavailable

8 Can the results be applied to the local 1048713 Yes 1048713 Canrsquot tell 1048713 NopopulationConsider whetherndash the population sample covered by the reviewcould be different from your population in waysthat would produce different resultsndash your local setting differs much from that of thereviewndash you can provide the same intervention in yoursetting9 Were all important outcomes considered 1048713 Yes 1048713 Canrsquot tell 1048713 NoConsider outcomes from the point of view of thendash individualndash policy makers and professionalsndash familycarersndash wider communityreported can it be filled in from elsewhere

10 Should policy or practice change as a result of 1048713 Yes 1048713 Canrsquot tell 1048713 Nothe evidence contained in this reviewConsiderndash whether any benefit reported outweighs anyharm andor cost If this information is not

Page 17: Critical appraisal of (Systematic review) Meta-analysis 羅政勤 彰化秀傳紀念醫院

BiasBias

Systematic (non-random) error in estimation of population characteristic eg effect of treatment compared to control in a populationSystematic means hellip

Classification of sources Classification of sources of bias in analytical of bias in analytical

studiesstudiesAllocationPerformancePlacebo-effectAttritionDetectionAnalyticalReporting

SelectionMeasurement

Analysis

1 Allocation bias1 Allocation bias

Any treatment allocation method that causes a systematic difference in participant characteristics at the start of a trial (baseline)ndash independent prognostic

characteristics (confounders)ndash failure to plan eg confounding by

indicationndash failure to execute

2 Performance bias2 Performance bias

Systematic differences in the care of the two groups other than the intervention being investigatedndash nursing amp supportive care

ndash monitoring for adverse effects

3 Placebo-effect 3 Placebo-effect biasbias

Placebo-effect - a beneficial effect gained because the participant believes he is receiving effective therapy (includes satisfying pat-doc relationship as well as medicinal intervention)

In trials with a ldquono-treatmentrdquo arm confounding due to a differential placebo-effect may occur if the subjects are aware they are not receiving active therapy

Reasons for bias - Reasons for bias - ConfoundingConfounding

When a non-causal association due to a common cause of both T and H prevents us from quantifying any causal association

Confounding Confounding ndashndash measured measured amp unmeasured common amp unmeasured common

causescausesRandom variation (chance) impreciseSystematic variation (bias) inaccurateConfounder factor prognostically linked to outcome and unevenly distributed btw study groupsKnown confounders stratify results-Unknown confounders randomisation

Confounding Confounding ndashndash measured measured amp unmeasured common amp unmeasured common

causescauses

cancerdrug

SmokingSupportive carePlacebo-effect

Non-causal assoc

4 Attrition bias4 Attrition biasAll clinical trials have a period of follow-up attrition occurs when subjects do not complete the follow-up process (loss to follow-up)

This is harmful because attrition causes loss of information and hence less precise estimates of the treatment effect if too many subjects cannot be analyzed

Systematic differences in the loss of participants to follow up between groups may cause bias if the analysis is improper eg analyzing only participants who had complete follow-up or who were fully compliant (per protocol analysis)

5 Detection bias5 Detection bias

Systematic differences in outcome assessment btw groups ndashmeasurement methodndashfollow-up frequency for outcomes

MY DOCUMENTSlnk

6 Analytical bias6 Analytical bias

Bias arising because of the method of analysisndashchoice of subjects to analyze

the analysis dataset

ndashchoice of statistical estimators

biased amp unbiased estimators

ndashchoice of multivariate models

7 Reporting bias7 Reporting bias

Selective reporting ofndashclinical outcomes eg surrogate subgroups

ndashtime-points eg earlyUse of composite endpointsndashcomponent events not equally significant

What is ApprasialWhat is Apprasial

A technique to increase effectiveness of reading by exclude research studies too poorly designed to inform practice

Why appraisalWhy appraisal

To free time of concentrate on a more systematic evaluation of studies cross quality threshold and extract salient points

How to AppraiseHow to Appraise

Appraising a Secondary studies(Review)

1Validity2Impact(Results)3Practicability(Application)4Instruments tools such as CASP

Critical Appraisal Critical Appraisal Skills Programme Skills Programme

(CASP)(CASP)httpwwwphrunhsukpagesPHDCASPhtm

Appraisal tools for Appraisal tools for Systematic reviewSystematic review

10 questions to help you make sense of reviews Is the study valid What are the results Will the results help locally10 questions adapted from Oxman AD Cook DJ Guyatt GH Usersrsquo guides to medical literature VI How to use an overview JAMA 1994 272 (17) 1367-1371

Screening questionScreening question

First 2 questions Screening questions can be answered quickly Worth proceeding If answer to both is ldquoyesrdquo

Screening questionScreening question1 Did the review ask a clearly-focused question 1048713 Yes 1048713 Canrsquot tell 1048713 No

Focused ndash the population studied ndash the intervention given or exposure ndash the outcomes considered

2 Did the review include the right type of study 1048713 Yes 1048713 Canrsquot tell 1048713 No

included studies ndash address the reviewrsquos question

ndash have an appropriate study designIs it worth continuing

3 Did the reviewers try to identify all relevant studies 1048713 Yes 1048713 Canrsquot tell 1048713 No

Consider ndash which bibliographic databases were usedndash if there was follow-up from reference listsndash if there was personal contact with expertsndashsearched for unpublished studiesndashsearched for non-English-language studies

4 Did the reviewers assess the quality of the 1048713 Yes 1048713 Canrsquot tell 1048713 No

indash if a clear pre-determined strategy was used todetermine which studies were included Look forndash a scoring system ndash more than one assessor

5 If the results of the studies have beencombined was it reasonable to do so Consider ndash the

results of each study are clearly displayedndash the results were similar from study to study(look for tests of heterogeneity) ndash the reasons for any

variations in results are discussed6 How are the results presented and what is the main result Consider ndash how the results are expressed (eg odds ratiorelative risk etc) ndash how large this size of result is and howmeaningful it is ndash how you would sum up the bottom-line result ofthe review in one sentence

7 How precise are these resultsConsiderndash if a confidence interval were reported Wouldyour decision about whether or not to use thisintervention be the same at the upperconfidence limit as at the lower confidencelimitndash if a p-value is reported where confidenceintervals are unavailable

8 Can the results be applied to the local 1048713 Yes 1048713 Canrsquot tell 1048713 NopopulationConsider whetherndash the population sample covered by the reviewcould be different from your population in waysthat would produce different resultsndash your local setting differs much from that of thereviewndash you can provide the same intervention in yoursetting9 Were all important outcomes considered 1048713 Yes 1048713 Canrsquot tell 1048713 NoConsider outcomes from the point of view of thendash individualndash policy makers and professionalsndash familycarersndash wider communityreported can it be filled in from elsewhere

10 Should policy or practice change as a result of 1048713 Yes 1048713 Canrsquot tell 1048713 Nothe evidence contained in this reviewConsiderndash whether any benefit reported outweighs anyharm andor cost If this information is not

Page 18: Critical appraisal of (Systematic review) Meta-analysis 羅政勤 彰化秀傳紀念醫院

Classification of sources Classification of sources of bias in analytical of bias in analytical

studiesstudiesAllocationPerformancePlacebo-effectAttritionDetectionAnalyticalReporting

SelectionMeasurement

Analysis

1 Allocation bias1 Allocation bias

Any treatment allocation method that causes a systematic difference in participant characteristics at the start of a trial (baseline)ndash independent prognostic

characteristics (confounders)ndash failure to plan eg confounding by

indicationndash failure to execute

2 Performance bias2 Performance bias

Systematic differences in the care of the two groups other than the intervention being investigatedndash nursing amp supportive care

ndash monitoring for adverse effects

3 Placebo-effect 3 Placebo-effect biasbias

Placebo-effect - a beneficial effect gained because the participant believes he is receiving effective therapy (includes satisfying pat-doc relationship as well as medicinal intervention)

In trials with a ldquono-treatmentrdquo arm confounding due to a differential placebo-effect may occur if the subjects are aware they are not receiving active therapy

Reasons for bias - Reasons for bias - ConfoundingConfounding

When a non-causal association due to a common cause of both T and H prevents us from quantifying any causal association

Confounding Confounding ndashndash measured measured amp unmeasured common amp unmeasured common

causescausesRandom variation (chance) impreciseSystematic variation (bias) inaccurateConfounder factor prognostically linked to outcome and unevenly distributed btw study groupsKnown confounders stratify results-Unknown confounders randomisation

Confounding Confounding ndashndash measured measured amp unmeasured common amp unmeasured common

causescauses

cancerdrug

SmokingSupportive carePlacebo-effect

Non-causal assoc

4 Attrition bias4 Attrition biasAll clinical trials have a period of follow-up attrition occurs when subjects do not complete the follow-up process (loss to follow-up)

This is harmful because attrition causes loss of information and hence less precise estimates of the treatment effect if too many subjects cannot be analyzed

Systematic differences in the loss of participants to follow up between groups may cause bias if the analysis is improper eg analyzing only participants who had complete follow-up or who were fully compliant (per protocol analysis)

5 Detection bias5 Detection bias

Systematic differences in outcome assessment btw groups ndashmeasurement methodndashfollow-up frequency for outcomes

MY DOCUMENTSlnk

6 Analytical bias6 Analytical bias

Bias arising because of the method of analysisndashchoice of subjects to analyze

the analysis dataset

ndashchoice of statistical estimators

biased amp unbiased estimators

ndashchoice of multivariate models

7 Reporting bias7 Reporting bias

Selective reporting ofndashclinical outcomes eg surrogate subgroups

ndashtime-points eg earlyUse of composite endpointsndashcomponent events not equally significant

What is ApprasialWhat is Apprasial

A technique to increase effectiveness of reading by exclude research studies too poorly designed to inform practice

Why appraisalWhy appraisal

To free time of concentrate on a more systematic evaluation of studies cross quality threshold and extract salient points

How to AppraiseHow to Appraise

Appraising a Secondary studies(Review)

1Validity2Impact(Results)3Practicability(Application)4Instruments tools such as CASP

Critical Appraisal Critical Appraisal Skills Programme Skills Programme

(CASP)(CASP)httpwwwphrunhsukpagesPHDCASPhtm

Appraisal tools for Appraisal tools for Systematic reviewSystematic review

10 questions to help you make sense of reviews Is the study valid What are the results Will the results help locally10 questions adapted from Oxman AD Cook DJ Guyatt GH Usersrsquo guides to medical literature VI How to use an overview JAMA 1994 272 (17) 1367-1371

Screening questionScreening question

First 2 questions Screening questions can be answered quickly Worth proceeding If answer to both is ldquoyesrdquo

Screening questionScreening question1 Did the review ask a clearly-focused question 1048713 Yes 1048713 Canrsquot tell 1048713 No

Focused ndash the population studied ndash the intervention given or exposure ndash the outcomes considered

2 Did the review include the right type of study 1048713 Yes 1048713 Canrsquot tell 1048713 No

included studies ndash address the reviewrsquos question

ndash have an appropriate study designIs it worth continuing

3 Did the reviewers try to identify all relevant studies 1048713 Yes 1048713 Canrsquot tell 1048713 No

Consider ndash which bibliographic databases were usedndash if there was follow-up from reference listsndash if there was personal contact with expertsndashsearched for unpublished studiesndashsearched for non-English-language studies

4 Did the reviewers assess the quality of the 1048713 Yes 1048713 Canrsquot tell 1048713 No

indash if a clear pre-determined strategy was used todetermine which studies were included Look forndash a scoring system ndash more than one assessor

5 If the results of the studies have beencombined was it reasonable to do so Consider ndash the

results of each study are clearly displayedndash the results were similar from study to study(look for tests of heterogeneity) ndash the reasons for any

variations in results are discussed6 How are the results presented and what is the main result Consider ndash how the results are expressed (eg odds ratiorelative risk etc) ndash how large this size of result is and howmeaningful it is ndash how you would sum up the bottom-line result ofthe review in one sentence

7 How precise are these resultsConsiderndash if a confidence interval were reported Wouldyour decision about whether or not to use thisintervention be the same at the upperconfidence limit as at the lower confidencelimitndash if a p-value is reported where confidenceintervals are unavailable

8 Can the results be applied to the local 1048713 Yes 1048713 Canrsquot tell 1048713 NopopulationConsider whetherndash the population sample covered by the reviewcould be different from your population in waysthat would produce different resultsndash your local setting differs much from that of thereviewndash you can provide the same intervention in yoursetting9 Were all important outcomes considered 1048713 Yes 1048713 Canrsquot tell 1048713 NoConsider outcomes from the point of view of thendash individualndash policy makers and professionalsndash familycarersndash wider communityreported can it be filled in from elsewhere

10 Should policy or practice change as a result of 1048713 Yes 1048713 Canrsquot tell 1048713 Nothe evidence contained in this reviewConsiderndash whether any benefit reported outweighs anyharm andor cost If this information is not

Page 19: Critical appraisal of (Systematic review) Meta-analysis 羅政勤 彰化秀傳紀念醫院

1 Allocation bias1 Allocation bias

Any treatment allocation method that causes a systematic difference in participant characteristics at the start of a trial (baseline)ndash independent prognostic

characteristics (confounders)ndash failure to plan eg confounding by

indicationndash failure to execute

2 Performance bias2 Performance bias

Systematic differences in the care of the two groups other than the intervention being investigatedndash nursing amp supportive care

ndash monitoring for adverse effects

3 Placebo-effect 3 Placebo-effect biasbias

Placebo-effect - a beneficial effect gained because the participant believes he is receiving effective therapy (includes satisfying pat-doc relationship as well as medicinal intervention)

In trials with a ldquono-treatmentrdquo arm confounding due to a differential placebo-effect may occur if the subjects are aware they are not receiving active therapy

Reasons for bias - Reasons for bias - ConfoundingConfounding

When a non-causal association due to a common cause of both T and H prevents us from quantifying any causal association

Confounding Confounding ndashndash measured measured amp unmeasured common amp unmeasured common

causescausesRandom variation (chance) impreciseSystematic variation (bias) inaccurateConfounder factor prognostically linked to outcome and unevenly distributed btw study groupsKnown confounders stratify results-Unknown confounders randomisation

Confounding Confounding ndashndash measured measured amp unmeasured common amp unmeasured common

causescauses

cancerdrug

SmokingSupportive carePlacebo-effect

Non-causal assoc

4 Attrition bias4 Attrition biasAll clinical trials have a period of follow-up attrition occurs when subjects do not complete the follow-up process (loss to follow-up)

This is harmful because attrition causes loss of information and hence less precise estimates of the treatment effect if too many subjects cannot be analyzed

Systematic differences in the loss of participants to follow up between groups may cause bias if the analysis is improper eg analyzing only participants who had complete follow-up or who were fully compliant (per protocol analysis)

5 Detection bias5 Detection bias

Systematic differences in outcome assessment btw groups ndashmeasurement methodndashfollow-up frequency for outcomes

MY DOCUMENTSlnk

6 Analytical bias6 Analytical bias

Bias arising because of the method of analysisndashchoice of subjects to analyze

the analysis dataset

ndashchoice of statistical estimators

biased amp unbiased estimators

ndashchoice of multivariate models

7 Reporting bias7 Reporting bias

Selective reporting ofndashclinical outcomes eg surrogate subgroups

ndashtime-points eg earlyUse of composite endpointsndashcomponent events not equally significant

What is ApprasialWhat is Apprasial

A technique to increase effectiveness of reading by exclude research studies too poorly designed to inform practice

Why appraisalWhy appraisal

To free time of concentrate on a more systematic evaluation of studies cross quality threshold and extract salient points

How to AppraiseHow to Appraise

Appraising a Secondary studies(Review)

1Validity2Impact(Results)3Practicability(Application)4Instruments tools such as CASP

Critical Appraisal Critical Appraisal Skills Programme Skills Programme

(CASP)(CASP)httpwwwphrunhsukpagesPHDCASPhtm

Appraisal tools for Appraisal tools for Systematic reviewSystematic review

10 questions to help you make sense of reviews Is the study valid What are the results Will the results help locally10 questions adapted from Oxman AD Cook DJ Guyatt GH Usersrsquo guides to medical literature VI How to use an overview JAMA 1994 272 (17) 1367-1371

Screening questionScreening question

First 2 questions Screening questions can be answered quickly Worth proceeding If answer to both is ldquoyesrdquo

Screening questionScreening question1 Did the review ask a clearly-focused question 1048713 Yes 1048713 Canrsquot tell 1048713 No

Focused ndash the population studied ndash the intervention given or exposure ndash the outcomes considered

2 Did the review include the right type of study 1048713 Yes 1048713 Canrsquot tell 1048713 No

included studies ndash address the reviewrsquos question

ndash have an appropriate study designIs it worth continuing

3 Did the reviewers try to identify all relevant studies 1048713 Yes 1048713 Canrsquot tell 1048713 No

Consider ndash which bibliographic databases were usedndash if there was follow-up from reference listsndash if there was personal contact with expertsndashsearched for unpublished studiesndashsearched for non-English-language studies

4 Did the reviewers assess the quality of the 1048713 Yes 1048713 Canrsquot tell 1048713 No

indash if a clear pre-determined strategy was used todetermine which studies were included Look forndash a scoring system ndash more than one assessor

5 If the results of the studies have beencombined was it reasonable to do so Consider ndash the

results of each study are clearly displayedndash the results were similar from study to study(look for tests of heterogeneity) ndash the reasons for any

variations in results are discussed6 How are the results presented and what is the main result Consider ndash how the results are expressed (eg odds ratiorelative risk etc) ndash how large this size of result is and howmeaningful it is ndash how you would sum up the bottom-line result ofthe review in one sentence

7 How precise are these resultsConsiderndash if a confidence interval were reported Wouldyour decision about whether or not to use thisintervention be the same at the upperconfidence limit as at the lower confidencelimitndash if a p-value is reported where confidenceintervals are unavailable

8 Can the results be applied to the local 1048713 Yes 1048713 Canrsquot tell 1048713 NopopulationConsider whetherndash the population sample covered by the reviewcould be different from your population in waysthat would produce different resultsndash your local setting differs much from that of thereviewndash you can provide the same intervention in yoursetting9 Were all important outcomes considered 1048713 Yes 1048713 Canrsquot tell 1048713 NoConsider outcomes from the point of view of thendash individualndash policy makers and professionalsndash familycarersndash wider communityreported can it be filled in from elsewhere

10 Should policy or practice change as a result of 1048713 Yes 1048713 Canrsquot tell 1048713 Nothe evidence contained in this reviewConsiderndash whether any benefit reported outweighs anyharm andor cost If this information is not

Page 20: Critical appraisal of (Systematic review) Meta-analysis 羅政勤 彰化秀傳紀念醫院

2 Performance bias2 Performance bias

Systematic differences in the care of the two groups other than the intervention being investigatedndash nursing amp supportive care

ndash monitoring for adverse effects

3 Placebo-effect 3 Placebo-effect biasbias

Placebo-effect - a beneficial effect gained because the participant believes he is receiving effective therapy (includes satisfying pat-doc relationship as well as medicinal intervention)

In trials with a ldquono-treatmentrdquo arm confounding due to a differential placebo-effect may occur if the subjects are aware they are not receiving active therapy

Reasons for bias - Reasons for bias - ConfoundingConfounding

When a non-causal association due to a common cause of both T and H prevents us from quantifying any causal association

Confounding Confounding ndashndash measured measured amp unmeasured common amp unmeasured common

causescausesRandom variation (chance) impreciseSystematic variation (bias) inaccurateConfounder factor prognostically linked to outcome and unevenly distributed btw study groupsKnown confounders stratify results-Unknown confounders randomisation

Confounding Confounding ndashndash measured measured amp unmeasured common amp unmeasured common

causescauses

cancerdrug

SmokingSupportive carePlacebo-effect

Non-causal assoc

4 Attrition bias4 Attrition biasAll clinical trials have a period of follow-up attrition occurs when subjects do not complete the follow-up process (loss to follow-up)

This is harmful because attrition causes loss of information and hence less precise estimates of the treatment effect if too many subjects cannot be analyzed

Systematic differences in the loss of participants to follow up between groups may cause bias if the analysis is improper eg analyzing only participants who had complete follow-up or who were fully compliant (per protocol analysis)

5 Detection bias5 Detection bias

Systematic differences in outcome assessment btw groups ndashmeasurement methodndashfollow-up frequency for outcomes

MY DOCUMENTSlnk

6 Analytical bias6 Analytical bias

Bias arising because of the method of analysisndashchoice of subjects to analyze

the analysis dataset

ndashchoice of statistical estimators

biased amp unbiased estimators

ndashchoice of multivariate models

7 Reporting bias7 Reporting bias

Selective reporting ofndashclinical outcomes eg surrogate subgroups

ndashtime-points eg earlyUse of composite endpointsndashcomponent events not equally significant

What is ApprasialWhat is Apprasial

A technique to increase effectiveness of reading by exclude research studies too poorly designed to inform practice

Why appraisalWhy appraisal

To free time of concentrate on a more systematic evaluation of studies cross quality threshold and extract salient points

How to AppraiseHow to Appraise

Appraising a Secondary studies(Review)

1Validity2Impact(Results)3Practicability(Application)4Instruments tools such as CASP

Critical Appraisal Critical Appraisal Skills Programme Skills Programme

(CASP)(CASP)httpwwwphrunhsukpagesPHDCASPhtm

Appraisal tools for Appraisal tools for Systematic reviewSystematic review

10 questions to help you make sense of reviews Is the study valid What are the results Will the results help locally10 questions adapted from Oxman AD Cook DJ Guyatt GH Usersrsquo guides to medical literature VI How to use an overview JAMA 1994 272 (17) 1367-1371

Screening questionScreening question

First 2 questions Screening questions can be answered quickly Worth proceeding If answer to both is ldquoyesrdquo

Screening questionScreening question1 Did the review ask a clearly-focused question 1048713 Yes 1048713 Canrsquot tell 1048713 No

Focused ndash the population studied ndash the intervention given or exposure ndash the outcomes considered

2 Did the review include the right type of study 1048713 Yes 1048713 Canrsquot tell 1048713 No

included studies ndash address the reviewrsquos question

ndash have an appropriate study designIs it worth continuing

3 Did the reviewers try to identify all relevant studies 1048713 Yes 1048713 Canrsquot tell 1048713 No

Consider ndash which bibliographic databases were usedndash if there was follow-up from reference listsndash if there was personal contact with expertsndashsearched for unpublished studiesndashsearched for non-English-language studies

4 Did the reviewers assess the quality of the 1048713 Yes 1048713 Canrsquot tell 1048713 No

indash if a clear pre-determined strategy was used todetermine which studies were included Look forndash a scoring system ndash more than one assessor

5 If the results of the studies have beencombined was it reasonable to do so Consider ndash the

results of each study are clearly displayedndash the results were similar from study to study(look for tests of heterogeneity) ndash the reasons for any

variations in results are discussed6 How are the results presented and what is the main result Consider ndash how the results are expressed (eg odds ratiorelative risk etc) ndash how large this size of result is and howmeaningful it is ndash how you would sum up the bottom-line result ofthe review in one sentence

7 How precise are these resultsConsiderndash if a confidence interval were reported Wouldyour decision about whether or not to use thisintervention be the same at the upperconfidence limit as at the lower confidencelimitndash if a p-value is reported where confidenceintervals are unavailable

8 Can the results be applied to the local 1048713 Yes 1048713 Canrsquot tell 1048713 NopopulationConsider whetherndash the population sample covered by the reviewcould be different from your population in waysthat would produce different resultsndash your local setting differs much from that of thereviewndash you can provide the same intervention in yoursetting9 Were all important outcomes considered 1048713 Yes 1048713 Canrsquot tell 1048713 NoConsider outcomes from the point of view of thendash individualndash policy makers and professionalsndash familycarersndash wider communityreported can it be filled in from elsewhere

10 Should policy or practice change as a result of 1048713 Yes 1048713 Canrsquot tell 1048713 Nothe evidence contained in this reviewConsiderndash whether any benefit reported outweighs anyharm andor cost If this information is not

Page 21: Critical appraisal of (Systematic review) Meta-analysis 羅政勤 彰化秀傳紀念醫院

3 Placebo-effect 3 Placebo-effect biasbias

Placebo-effect - a beneficial effect gained because the participant believes he is receiving effective therapy (includes satisfying pat-doc relationship as well as medicinal intervention)

In trials with a ldquono-treatmentrdquo arm confounding due to a differential placebo-effect may occur if the subjects are aware they are not receiving active therapy

Reasons for bias - Reasons for bias - ConfoundingConfounding

When a non-causal association due to a common cause of both T and H prevents us from quantifying any causal association

Confounding Confounding ndashndash measured measured amp unmeasured common amp unmeasured common

causescausesRandom variation (chance) impreciseSystematic variation (bias) inaccurateConfounder factor prognostically linked to outcome and unevenly distributed btw study groupsKnown confounders stratify results-Unknown confounders randomisation

Confounding Confounding ndashndash measured measured amp unmeasured common amp unmeasured common

causescauses

cancerdrug

SmokingSupportive carePlacebo-effect

Non-causal assoc

4 Attrition bias4 Attrition biasAll clinical trials have a period of follow-up attrition occurs when subjects do not complete the follow-up process (loss to follow-up)

This is harmful because attrition causes loss of information and hence less precise estimates of the treatment effect if too many subjects cannot be analyzed

Systematic differences in the loss of participants to follow up between groups may cause bias if the analysis is improper eg analyzing only participants who had complete follow-up or who were fully compliant (per protocol analysis)

5 Detection bias5 Detection bias

Systematic differences in outcome assessment btw groups ndashmeasurement methodndashfollow-up frequency for outcomes

MY DOCUMENTSlnk

6 Analytical bias6 Analytical bias

Bias arising because of the method of analysisndashchoice of subjects to analyze

the analysis dataset

ndashchoice of statistical estimators

biased amp unbiased estimators

ndashchoice of multivariate models

7 Reporting bias7 Reporting bias

Selective reporting ofndashclinical outcomes eg surrogate subgroups

ndashtime-points eg earlyUse of composite endpointsndashcomponent events not equally significant

What is ApprasialWhat is Apprasial

A technique to increase effectiveness of reading by exclude research studies too poorly designed to inform practice

Why appraisalWhy appraisal

To free time of concentrate on a more systematic evaluation of studies cross quality threshold and extract salient points

How to AppraiseHow to Appraise

Appraising a Secondary studies(Review)

1Validity2Impact(Results)3Practicability(Application)4Instruments tools such as CASP

Critical Appraisal Critical Appraisal Skills Programme Skills Programme

(CASP)(CASP)httpwwwphrunhsukpagesPHDCASPhtm

Appraisal tools for Appraisal tools for Systematic reviewSystematic review

10 questions to help you make sense of reviews Is the study valid What are the results Will the results help locally10 questions adapted from Oxman AD Cook DJ Guyatt GH Usersrsquo guides to medical literature VI How to use an overview JAMA 1994 272 (17) 1367-1371

Screening questionScreening question

First 2 questions Screening questions can be answered quickly Worth proceeding If answer to both is ldquoyesrdquo

Screening questionScreening question1 Did the review ask a clearly-focused question 1048713 Yes 1048713 Canrsquot tell 1048713 No

Focused ndash the population studied ndash the intervention given or exposure ndash the outcomes considered

2 Did the review include the right type of study 1048713 Yes 1048713 Canrsquot tell 1048713 No

included studies ndash address the reviewrsquos question

ndash have an appropriate study designIs it worth continuing

3 Did the reviewers try to identify all relevant studies 1048713 Yes 1048713 Canrsquot tell 1048713 No

Consider ndash which bibliographic databases were usedndash if there was follow-up from reference listsndash if there was personal contact with expertsndashsearched for unpublished studiesndashsearched for non-English-language studies

4 Did the reviewers assess the quality of the 1048713 Yes 1048713 Canrsquot tell 1048713 No

indash if a clear pre-determined strategy was used todetermine which studies were included Look forndash a scoring system ndash more than one assessor

5 If the results of the studies have beencombined was it reasonable to do so Consider ndash the

results of each study are clearly displayedndash the results were similar from study to study(look for tests of heterogeneity) ndash the reasons for any

variations in results are discussed6 How are the results presented and what is the main result Consider ndash how the results are expressed (eg odds ratiorelative risk etc) ndash how large this size of result is and howmeaningful it is ndash how you would sum up the bottom-line result ofthe review in one sentence

7 How precise are these resultsConsiderndash if a confidence interval were reported Wouldyour decision about whether or not to use thisintervention be the same at the upperconfidence limit as at the lower confidencelimitndash if a p-value is reported where confidenceintervals are unavailable

8 Can the results be applied to the local 1048713 Yes 1048713 Canrsquot tell 1048713 NopopulationConsider whetherndash the population sample covered by the reviewcould be different from your population in waysthat would produce different resultsndash your local setting differs much from that of thereviewndash you can provide the same intervention in yoursetting9 Were all important outcomes considered 1048713 Yes 1048713 Canrsquot tell 1048713 NoConsider outcomes from the point of view of thendash individualndash policy makers and professionalsndash familycarersndash wider communityreported can it be filled in from elsewhere

10 Should policy or practice change as a result of 1048713 Yes 1048713 Canrsquot tell 1048713 Nothe evidence contained in this reviewConsiderndash whether any benefit reported outweighs anyharm andor cost If this information is not

Page 22: Critical appraisal of (Systematic review) Meta-analysis 羅政勤 彰化秀傳紀念醫院

Reasons for bias - Reasons for bias - ConfoundingConfounding

When a non-causal association due to a common cause of both T and H prevents us from quantifying any causal association

Confounding Confounding ndashndash measured measured amp unmeasured common amp unmeasured common

causescausesRandom variation (chance) impreciseSystematic variation (bias) inaccurateConfounder factor prognostically linked to outcome and unevenly distributed btw study groupsKnown confounders stratify results-Unknown confounders randomisation

Confounding Confounding ndashndash measured measured amp unmeasured common amp unmeasured common

causescauses

cancerdrug

SmokingSupportive carePlacebo-effect

Non-causal assoc

4 Attrition bias4 Attrition biasAll clinical trials have a period of follow-up attrition occurs when subjects do not complete the follow-up process (loss to follow-up)

This is harmful because attrition causes loss of information and hence less precise estimates of the treatment effect if too many subjects cannot be analyzed

Systematic differences in the loss of participants to follow up between groups may cause bias if the analysis is improper eg analyzing only participants who had complete follow-up or who were fully compliant (per protocol analysis)

5 Detection bias5 Detection bias

Systematic differences in outcome assessment btw groups ndashmeasurement methodndashfollow-up frequency for outcomes

MY DOCUMENTSlnk

6 Analytical bias6 Analytical bias

Bias arising because of the method of analysisndashchoice of subjects to analyze

the analysis dataset

ndashchoice of statistical estimators

biased amp unbiased estimators

ndashchoice of multivariate models

7 Reporting bias7 Reporting bias

Selective reporting ofndashclinical outcomes eg surrogate subgroups

ndashtime-points eg earlyUse of composite endpointsndashcomponent events not equally significant

What is ApprasialWhat is Apprasial

A technique to increase effectiveness of reading by exclude research studies too poorly designed to inform practice

Why appraisalWhy appraisal

To free time of concentrate on a more systematic evaluation of studies cross quality threshold and extract salient points

How to AppraiseHow to Appraise

Appraising a Secondary studies(Review)

1Validity2Impact(Results)3Practicability(Application)4Instruments tools such as CASP

Critical Appraisal Critical Appraisal Skills Programme Skills Programme

(CASP)(CASP)httpwwwphrunhsukpagesPHDCASPhtm

Appraisal tools for Appraisal tools for Systematic reviewSystematic review

10 questions to help you make sense of reviews Is the study valid What are the results Will the results help locally10 questions adapted from Oxman AD Cook DJ Guyatt GH Usersrsquo guides to medical literature VI How to use an overview JAMA 1994 272 (17) 1367-1371

Screening questionScreening question

First 2 questions Screening questions can be answered quickly Worth proceeding If answer to both is ldquoyesrdquo

Screening questionScreening question1 Did the review ask a clearly-focused question 1048713 Yes 1048713 Canrsquot tell 1048713 No

Focused ndash the population studied ndash the intervention given or exposure ndash the outcomes considered

2 Did the review include the right type of study 1048713 Yes 1048713 Canrsquot tell 1048713 No

included studies ndash address the reviewrsquos question

ndash have an appropriate study designIs it worth continuing

3 Did the reviewers try to identify all relevant studies 1048713 Yes 1048713 Canrsquot tell 1048713 No

Consider ndash which bibliographic databases were usedndash if there was follow-up from reference listsndash if there was personal contact with expertsndashsearched for unpublished studiesndashsearched for non-English-language studies

4 Did the reviewers assess the quality of the 1048713 Yes 1048713 Canrsquot tell 1048713 No

indash if a clear pre-determined strategy was used todetermine which studies were included Look forndash a scoring system ndash more than one assessor

5 If the results of the studies have beencombined was it reasonable to do so Consider ndash the

results of each study are clearly displayedndash the results were similar from study to study(look for tests of heterogeneity) ndash the reasons for any

variations in results are discussed6 How are the results presented and what is the main result Consider ndash how the results are expressed (eg odds ratiorelative risk etc) ndash how large this size of result is and howmeaningful it is ndash how you would sum up the bottom-line result ofthe review in one sentence

7 How precise are these resultsConsiderndash if a confidence interval were reported Wouldyour decision about whether or not to use thisintervention be the same at the upperconfidence limit as at the lower confidencelimitndash if a p-value is reported where confidenceintervals are unavailable

8 Can the results be applied to the local 1048713 Yes 1048713 Canrsquot tell 1048713 NopopulationConsider whetherndash the population sample covered by the reviewcould be different from your population in waysthat would produce different resultsndash your local setting differs much from that of thereviewndash you can provide the same intervention in yoursetting9 Were all important outcomes considered 1048713 Yes 1048713 Canrsquot tell 1048713 NoConsider outcomes from the point of view of thendash individualndash policy makers and professionalsndash familycarersndash wider communityreported can it be filled in from elsewhere

10 Should policy or practice change as a result of 1048713 Yes 1048713 Canrsquot tell 1048713 Nothe evidence contained in this reviewConsiderndash whether any benefit reported outweighs anyharm andor cost If this information is not

Page 23: Critical appraisal of (Systematic review) Meta-analysis 羅政勤 彰化秀傳紀念醫院

Confounding Confounding ndashndash measured measured amp unmeasured common amp unmeasured common

causescausesRandom variation (chance) impreciseSystematic variation (bias) inaccurateConfounder factor prognostically linked to outcome and unevenly distributed btw study groupsKnown confounders stratify results-Unknown confounders randomisation

Confounding Confounding ndashndash measured measured amp unmeasured common amp unmeasured common

causescauses

cancerdrug

SmokingSupportive carePlacebo-effect

Non-causal assoc

4 Attrition bias4 Attrition biasAll clinical trials have a period of follow-up attrition occurs when subjects do not complete the follow-up process (loss to follow-up)

This is harmful because attrition causes loss of information and hence less precise estimates of the treatment effect if too many subjects cannot be analyzed

Systematic differences in the loss of participants to follow up between groups may cause bias if the analysis is improper eg analyzing only participants who had complete follow-up or who were fully compliant (per protocol analysis)

5 Detection bias5 Detection bias

Systematic differences in outcome assessment btw groups ndashmeasurement methodndashfollow-up frequency for outcomes

MY DOCUMENTSlnk

6 Analytical bias6 Analytical bias

Bias arising because of the method of analysisndashchoice of subjects to analyze

the analysis dataset

ndashchoice of statistical estimators

biased amp unbiased estimators

ndashchoice of multivariate models

7 Reporting bias7 Reporting bias

Selective reporting ofndashclinical outcomes eg surrogate subgroups

ndashtime-points eg earlyUse of composite endpointsndashcomponent events not equally significant

What is ApprasialWhat is Apprasial

A technique to increase effectiveness of reading by exclude research studies too poorly designed to inform practice

Why appraisalWhy appraisal

To free time of concentrate on a more systematic evaluation of studies cross quality threshold and extract salient points

How to AppraiseHow to Appraise

Appraising a Secondary studies(Review)

1Validity2Impact(Results)3Practicability(Application)4Instruments tools such as CASP

Critical Appraisal Critical Appraisal Skills Programme Skills Programme

(CASP)(CASP)httpwwwphrunhsukpagesPHDCASPhtm

Appraisal tools for Appraisal tools for Systematic reviewSystematic review

10 questions to help you make sense of reviews Is the study valid What are the results Will the results help locally10 questions adapted from Oxman AD Cook DJ Guyatt GH Usersrsquo guides to medical literature VI How to use an overview JAMA 1994 272 (17) 1367-1371

Screening questionScreening question

First 2 questions Screening questions can be answered quickly Worth proceeding If answer to both is ldquoyesrdquo

Screening questionScreening question1 Did the review ask a clearly-focused question 1048713 Yes 1048713 Canrsquot tell 1048713 No

Focused ndash the population studied ndash the intervention given or exposure ndash the outcomes considered

2 Did the review include the right type of study 1048713 Yes 1048713 Canrsquot tell 1048713 No

included studies ndash address the reviewrsquos question

ndash have an appropriate study designIs it worth continuing

3 Did the reviewers try to identify all relevant studies 1048713 Yes 1048713 Canrsquot tell 1048713 No

Consider ndash which bibliographic databases were usedndash if there was follow-up from reference listsndash if there was personal contact with expertsndashsearched for unpublished studiesndashsearched for non-English-language studies

4 Did the reviewers assess the quality of the 1048713 Yes 1048713 Canrsquot tell 1048713 No

indash if a clear pre-determined strategy was used todetermine which studies were included Look forndash a scoring system ndash more than one assessor

5 If the results of the studies have beencombined was it reasonable to do so Consider ndash the

results of each study are clearly displayedndash the results were similar from study to study(look for tests of heterogeneity) ndash the reasons for any

variations in results are discussed6 How are the results presented and what is the main result Consider ndash how the results are expressed (eg odds ratiorelative risk etc) ndash how large this size of result is and howmeaningful it is ndash how you would sum up the bottom-line result ofthe review in one sentence

7 How precise are these resultsConsiderndash if a confidence interval were reported Wouldyour decision about whether or not to use thisintervention be the same at the upperconfidence limit as at the lower confidencelimitndash if a p-value is reported where confidenceintervals are unavailable

8 Can the results be applied to the local 1048713 Yes 1048713 Canrsquot tell 1048713 NopopulationConsider whetherndash the population sample covered by the reviewcould be different from your population in waysthat would produce different resultsndash your local setting differs much from that of thereviewndash you can provide the same intervention in yoursetting9 Were all important outcomes considered 1048713 Yes 1048713 Canrsquot tell 1048713 NoConsider outcomes from the point of view of thendash individualndash policy makers and professionalsndash familycarersndash wider communityreported can it be filled in from elsewhere

10 Should policy or practice change as a result of 1048713 Yes 1048713 Canrsquot tell 1048713 Nothe evidence contained in this reviewConsiderndash whether any benefit reported outweighs anyharm andor cost If this information is not

Page 24: Critical appraisal of (Systematic review) Meta-analysis 羅政勤 彰化秀傳紀念醫院

Confounding Confounding ndashndash measured measured amp unmeasured common amp unmeasured common

causescauses

cancerdrug

SmokingSupportive carePlacebo-effect

Non-causal assoc

4 Attrition bias4 Attrition biasAll clinical trials have a period of follow-up attrition occurs when subjects do not complete the follow-up process (loss to follow-up)

This is harmful because attrition causes loss of information and hence less precise estimates of the treatment effect if too many subjects cannot be analyzed

Systematic differences in the loss of participants to follow up between groups may cause bias if the analysis is improper eg analyzing only participants who had complete follow-up or who were fully compliant (per protocol analysis)

5 Detection bias5 Detection bias

Systematic differences in outcome assessment btw groups ndashmeasurement methodndashfollow-up frequency for outcomes

MY DOCUMENTSlnk

6 Analytical bias6 Analytical bias

Bias arising because of the method of analysisndashchoice of subjects to analyze

the analysis dataset

ndashchoice of statistical estimators

biased amp unbiased estimators

ndashchoice of multivariate models

7 Reporting bias7 Reporting bias

Selective reporting ofndashclinical outcomes eg surrogate subgroups

ndashtime-points eg earlyUse of composite endpointsndashcomponent events not equally significant

What is ApprasialWhat is Apprasial

A technique to increase effectiveness of reading by exclude research studies too poorly designed to inform practice

Why appraisalWhy appraisal

To free time of concentrate on a more systematic evaluation of studies cross quality threshold and extract salient points

How to AppraiseHow to Appraise

Appraising a Secondary studies(Review)

1Validity2Impact(Results)3Practicability(Application)4Instruments tools such as CASP

Critical Appraisal Critical Appraisal Skills Programme Skills Programme

(CASP)(CASP)httpwwwphrunhsukpagesPHDCASPhtm

Appraisal tools for Appraisal tools for Systematic reviewSystematic review

10 questions to help you make sense of reviews Is the study valid What are the results Will the results help locally10 questions adapted from Oxman AD Cook DJ Guyatt GH Usersrsquo guides to medical literature VI How to use an overview JAMA 1994 272 (17) 1367-1371

Screening questionScreening question

First 2 questions Screening questions can be answered quickly Worth proceeding If answer to both is ldquoyesrdquo

Screening questionScreening question1 Did the review ask a clearly-focused question 1048713 Yes 1048713 Canrsquot tell 1048713 No

Focused ndash the population studied ndash the intervention given or exposure ndash the outcomes considered

2 Did the review include the right type of study 1048713 Yes 1048713 Canrsquot tell 1048713 No

included studies ndash address the reviewrsquos question

ndash have an appropriate study designIs it worth continuing

3 Did the reviewers try to identify all relevant studies 1048713 Yes 1048713 Canrsquot tell 1048713 No

Consider ndash which bibliographic databases were usedndash if there was follow-up from reference listsndash if there was personal contact with expertsndashsearched for unpublished studiesndashsearched for non-English-language studies

4 Did the reviewers assess the quality of the 1048713 Yes 1048713 Canrsquot tell 1048713 No

indash if a clear pre-determined strategy was used todetermine which studies were included Look forndash a scoring system ndash more than one assessor

5 If the results of the studies have beencombined was it reasonable to do so Consider ndash the

results of each study are clearly displayedndash the results were similar from study to study(look for tests of heterogeneity) ndash the reasons for any

variations in results are discussed6 How are the results presented and what is the main result Consider ndash how the results are expressed (eg odds ratiorelative risk etc) ndash how large this size of result is and howmeaningful it is ndash how you would sum up the bottom-line result ofthe review in one sentence

7 How precise are these resultsConsiderndash if a confidence interval were reported Wouldyour decision about whether or not to use thisintervention be the same at the upperconfidence limit as at the lower confidencelimitndash if a p-value is reported where confidenceintervals are unavailable

8 Can the results be applied to the local 1048713 Yes 1048713 Canrsquot tell 1048713 NopopulationConsider whetherndash the population sample covered by the reviewcould be different from your population in waysthat would produce different resultsndash your local setting differs much from that of thereviewndash you can provide the same intervention in yoursetting9 Were all important outcomes considered 1048713 Yes 1048713 Canrsquot tell 1048713 NoConsider outcomes from the point of view of thendash individualndash policy makers and professionalsndash familycarersndash wider communityreported can it be filled in from elsewhere

10 Should policy or practice change as a result of 1048713 Yes 1048713 Canrsquot tell 1048713 Nothe evidence contained in this reviewConsiderndash whether any benefit reported outweighs anyharm andor cost If this information is not

Page 25: Critical appraisal of (Systematic review) Meta-analysis 羅政勤 彰化秀傳紀念醫院

4 Attrition bias4 Attrition biasAll clinical trials have a period of follow-up attrition occurs when subjects do not complete the follow-up process (loss to follow-up)

This is harmful because attrition causes loss of information and hence less precise estimates of the treatment effect if too many subjects cannot be analyzed

Systematic differences in the loss of participants to follow up between groups may cause bias if the analysis is improper eg analyzing only participants who had complete follow-up or who were fully compliant (per protocol analysis)

5 Detection bias5 Detection bias

Systematic differences in outcome assessment btw groups ndashmeasurement methodndashfollow-up frequency for outcomes

MY DOCUMENTSlnk

6 Analytical bias6 Analytical bias

Bias arising because of the method of analysisndashchoice of subjects to analyze

the analysis dataset

ndashchoice of statistical estimators

biased amp unbiased estimators

ndashchoice of multivariate models

7 Reporting bias7 Reporting bias

Selective reporting ofndashclinical outcomes eg surrogate subgroups

ndashtime-points eg earlyUse of composite endpointsndashcomponent events not equally significant

What is ApprasialWhat is Apprasial

A technique to increase effectiveness of reading by exclude research studies too poorly designed to inform practice

Why appraisalWhy appraisal

To free time of concentrate on a more systematic evaluation of studies cross quality threshold and extract salient points

How to AppraiseHow to Appraise

Appraising a Secondary studies(Review)

1Validity2Impact(Results)3Practicability(Application)4Instruments tools such as CASP

Critical Appraisal Critical Appraisal Skills Programme Skills Programme

(CASP)(CASP)httpwwwphrunhsukpagesPHDCASPhtm

Appraisal tools for Appraisal tools for Systematic reviewSystematic review

10 questions to help you make sense of reviews Is the study valid What are the results Will the results help locally10 questions adapted from Oxman AD Cook DJ Guyatt GH Usersrsquo guides to medical literature VI How to use an overview JAMA 1994 272 (17) 1367-1371

Screening questionScreening question

First 2 questions Screening questions can be answered quickly Worth proceeding If answer to both is ldquoyesrdquo

Screening questionScreening question1 Did the review ask a clearly-focused question 1048713 Yes 1048713 Canrsquot tell 1048713 No

Focused ndash the population studied ndash the intervention given or exposure ndash the outcomes considered

2 Did the review include the right type of study 1048713 Yes 1048713 Canrsquot tell 1048713 No

included studies ndash address the reviewrsquos question

ndash have an appropriate study designIs it worth continuing

3 Did the reviewers try to identify all relevant studies 1048713 Yes 1048713 Canrsquot tell 1048713 No

Consider ndash which bibliographic databases were usedndash if there was follow-up from reference listsndash if there was personal contact with expertsndashsearched for unpublished studiesndashsearched for non-English-language studies

4 Did the reviewers assess the quality of the 1048713 Yes 1048713 Canrsquot tell 1048713 No

indash if a clear pre-determined strategy was used todetermine which studies were included Look forndash a scoring system ndash more than one assessor

5 If the results of the studies have beencombined was it reasonable to do so Consider ndash the

results of each study are clearly displayedndash the results were similar from study to study(look for tests of heterogeneity) ndash the reasons for any

variations in results are discussed6 How are the results presented and what is the main result Consider ndash how the results are expressed (eg odds ratiorelative risk etc) ndash how large this size of result is and howmeaningful it is ndash how you would sum up the bottom-line result ofthe review in one sentence

7 How precise are these resultsConsiderndash if a confidence interval were reported Wouldyour decision about whether or not to use thisintervention be the same at the upperconfidence limit as at the lower confidencelimitndash if a p-value is reported where confidenceintervals are unavailable

8 Can the results be applied to the local 1048713 Yes 1048713 Canrsquot tell 1048713 NopopulationConsider whetherndash the population sample covered by the reviewcould be different from your population in waysthat would produce different resultsndash your local setting differs much from that of thereviewndash you can provide the same intervention in yoursetting9 Were all important outcomes considered 1048713 Yes 1048713 Canrsquot tell 1048713 NoConsider outcomes from the point of view of thendash individualndash policy makers and professionalsndash familycarersndash wider communityreported can it be filled in from elsewhere

10 Should policy or practice change as a result of 1048713 Yes 1048713 Canrsquot tell 1048713 Nothe evidence contained in this reviewConsiderndash whether any benefit reported outweighs anyharm andor cost If this information is not

Page 26: Critical appraisal of (Systematic review) Meta-analysis 羅政勤 彰化秀傳紀念醫院

5 Detection bias5 Detection bias

Systematic differences in outcome assessment btw groups ndashmeasurement methodndashfollow-up frequency for outcomes

MY DOCUMENTSlnk

6 Analytical bias6 Analytical bias

Bias arising because of the method of analysisndashchoice of subjects to analyze

the analysis dataset

ndashchoice of statistical estimators

biased amp unbiased estimators

ndashchoice of multivariate models

7 Reporting bias7 Reporting bias

Selective reporting ofndashclinical outcomes eg surrogate subgroups

ndashtime-points eg earlyUse of composite endpointsndashcomponent events not equally significant

What is ApprasialWhat is Apprasial

A technique to increase effectiveness of reading by exclude research studies too poorly designed to inform practice

Why appraisalWhy appraisal

To free time of concentrate on a more systematic evaluation of studies cross quality threshold and extract salient points

How to AppraiseHow to Appraise

Appraising a Secondary studies(Review)

1Validity2Impact(Results)3Practicability(Application)4Instruments tools such as CASP

Critical Appraisal Critical Appraisal Skills Programme Skills Programme

(CASP)(CASP)httpwwwphrunhsukpagesPHDCASPhtm

Appraisal tools for Appraisal tools for Systematic reviewSystematic review

10 questions to help you make sense of reviews Is the study valid What are the results Will the results help locally10 questions adapted from Oxman AD Cook DJ Guyatt GH Usersrsquo guides to medical literature VI How to use an overview JAMA 1994 272 (17) 1367-1371

Screening questionScreening question

First 2 questions Screening questions can be answered quickly Worth proceeding If answer to both is ldquoyesrdquo

Screening questionScreening question1 Did the review ask a clearly-focused question 1048713 Yes 1048713 Canrsquot tell 1048713 No

Focused ndash the population studied ndash the intervention given or exposure ndash the outcomes considered

2 Did the review include the right type of study 1048713 Yes 1048713 Canrsquot tell 1048713 No

included studies ndash address the reviewrsquos question

ndash have an appropriate study designIs it worth continuing

3 Did the reviewers try to identify all relevant studies 1048713 Yes 1048713 Canrsquot tell 1048713 No

Consider ndash which bibliographic databases were usedndash if there was follow-up from reference listsndash if there was personal contact with expertsndashsearched for unpublished studiesndashsearched for non-English-language studies

4 Did the reviewers assess the quality of the 1048713 Yes 1048713 Canrsquot tell 1048713 No

indash if a clear pre-determined strategy was used todetermine which studies were included Look forndash a scoring system ndash more than one assessor

5 If the results of the studies have beencombined was it reasonable to do so Consider ndash the

results of each study are clearly displayedndash the results were similar from study to study(look for tests of heterogeneity) ndash the reasons for any

variations in results are discussed6 How are the results presented and what is the main result Consider ndash how the results are expressed (eg odds ratiorelative risk etc) ndash how large this size of result is and howmeaningful it is ndash how you would sum up the bottom-line result ofthe review in one sentence

7 How precise are these resultsConsiderndash if a confidence interval were reported Wouldyour decision about whether or not to use thisintervention be the same at the upperconfidence limit as at the lower confidencelimitndash if a p-value is reported where confidenceintervals are unavailable

8 Can the results be applied to the local 1048713 Yes 1048713 Canrsquot tell 1048713 NopopulationConsider whetherndash the population sample covered by the reviewcould be different from your population in waysthat would produce different resultsndash your local setting differs much from that of thereviewndash you can provide the same intervention in yoursetting9 Were all important outcomes considered 1048713 Yes 1048713 Canrsquot tell 1048713 NoConsider outcomes from the point of view of thendash individualndash policy makers and professionalsndash familycarersndash wider communityreported can it be filled in from elsewhere

10 Should policy or practice change as a result of 1048713 Yes 1048713 Canrsquot tell 1048713 Nothe evidence contained in this reviewConsiderndash whether any benefit reported outweighs anyharm andor cost If this information is not

Page 27: Critical appraisal of (Systematic review) Meta-analysis 羅政勤 彰化秀傳紀念醫院

6 Analytical bias6 Analytical bias

Bias arising because of the method of analysisndashchoice of subjects to analyze

the analysis dataset

ndashchoice of statistical estimators

biased amp unbiased estimators

ndashchoice of multivariate models

7 Reporting bias7 Reporting bias

Selective reporting ofndashclinical outcomes eg surrogate subgroups

ndashtime-points eg earlyUse of composite endpointsndashcomponent events not equally significant

What is ApprasialWhat is Apprasial

A technique to increase effectiveness of reading by exclude research studies too poorly designed to inform practice

Why appraisalWhy appraisal

To free time of concentrate on a more systematic evaluation of studies cross quality threshold and extract salient points

How to AppraiseHow to Appraise

Appraising a Secondary studies(Review)

1Validity2Impact(Results)3Practicability(Application)4Instruments tools such as CASP

Critical Appraisal Critical Appraisal Skills Programme Skills Programme

(CASP)(CASP)httpwwwphrunhsukpagesPHDCASPhtm

Appraisal tools for Appraisal tools for Systematic reviewSystematic review

10 questions to help you make sense of reviews Is the study valid What are the results Will the results help locally10 questions adapted from Oxman AD Cook DJ Guyatt GH Usersrsquo guides to medical literature VI How to use an overview JAMA 1994 272 (17) 1367-1371

Screening questionScreening question

First 2 questions Screening questions can be answered quickly Worth proceeding If answer to both is ldquoyesrdquo

Screening questionScreening question1 Did the review ask a clearly-focused question 1048713 Yes 1048713 Canrsquot tell 1048713 No

Focused ndash the population studied ndash the intervention given or exposure ndash the outcomes considered

2 Did the review include the right type of study 1048713 Yes 1048713 Canrsquot tell 1048713 No

included studies ndash address the reviewrsquos question

ndash have an appropriate study designIs it worth continuing

3 Did the reviewers try to identify all relevant studies 1048713 Yes 1048713 Canrsquot tell 1048713 No

Consider ndash which bibliographic databases were usedndash if there was follow-up from reference listsndash if there was personal contact with expertsndashsearched for unpublished studiesndashsearched for non-English-language studies

4 Did the reviewers assess the quality of the 1048713 Yes 1048713 Canrsquot tell 1048713 No

indash if a clear pre-determined strategy was used todetermine which studies were included Look forndash a scoring system ndash more than one assessor

5 If the results of the studies have beencombined was it reasonable to do so Consider ndash the

results of each study are clearly displayedndash the results were similar from study to study(look for tests of heterogeneity) ndash the reasons for any

variations in results are discussed6 How are the results presented and what is the main result Consider ndash how the results are expressed (eg odds ratiorelative risk etc) ndash how large this size of result is and howmeaningful it is ndash how you would sum up the bottom-line result ofthe review in one sentence

7 How precise are these resultsConsiderndash if a confidence interval were reported Wouldyour decision about whether or not to use thisintervention be the same at the upperconfidence limit as at the lower confidencelimitndash if a p-value is reported where confidenceintervals are unavailable

8 Can the results be applied to the local 1048713 Yes 1048713 Canrsquot tell 1048713 NopopulationConsider whetherndash the population sample covered by the reviewcould be different from your population in waysthat would produce different resultsndash your local setting differs much from that of thereviewndash you can provide the same intervention in yoursetting9 Were all important outcomes considered 1048713 Yes 1048713 Canrsquot tell 1048713 NoConsider outcomes from the point of view of thendash individualndash policy makers and professionalsndash familycarersndash wider communityreported can it be filled in from elsewhere

10 Should policy or practice change as a result of 1048713 Yes 1048713 Canrsquot tell 1048713 Nothe evidence contained in this reviewConsiderndash whether any benefit reported outweighs anyharm andor cost If this information is not

Page 28: Critical appraisal of (Systematic review) Meta-analysis 羅政勤 彰化秀傳紀念醫院

7 Reporting bias7 Reporting bias

Selective reporting ofndashclinical outcomes eg surrogate subgroups

ndashtime-points eg earlyUse of composite endpointsndashcomponent events not equally significant

What is ApprasialWhat is Apprasial

A technique to increase effectiveness of reading by exclude research studies too poorly designed to inform practice

Why appraisalWhy appraisal

To free time of concentrate on a more systematic evaluation of studies cross quality threshold and extract salient points

How to AppraiseHow to Appraise

Appraising a Secondary studies(Review)

1Validity2Impact(Results)3Practicability(Application)4Instruments tools such as CASP

Critical Appraisal Critical Appraisal Skills Programme Skills Programme

(CASP)(CASP)httpwwwphrunhsukpagesPHDCASPhtm

Appraisal tools for Appraisal tools for Systematic reviewSystematic review

10 questions to help you make sense of reviews Is the study valid What are the results Will the results help locally10 questions adapted from Oxman AD Cook DJ Guyatt GH Usersrsquo guides to medical literature VI How to use an overview JAMA 1994 272 (17) 1367-1371

Screening questionScreening question

First 2 questions Screening questions can be answered quickly Worth proceeding If answer to both is ldquoyesrdquo

Screening questionScreening question1 Did the review ask a clearly-focused question 1048713 Yes 1048713 Canrsquot tell 1048713 No

Focused ndash the population studied ndash the intervention given or exposure ndash the outcomes considered

2 Did the review include the right type of study 1048713 Yes 1048713 Canrsquot tell 1048713 No

included studies ndash address the reviewrsquos question

ndash have an appropriate study designIs it worth continuing

3 Did the reviewers try to identify all relevant studies 1048713 Yes 1048713 Canrsquot tell 1048713 No

Consider ndash which bibliographic databases were usedndash if there was follow-up from reference listsndash if there was personal contact with expertsndashsearched for unpublished studiesndashsearched for non-English-language studies

4 Did the reviewers assess the quality of the 1048713 Yes 1048713 Canrsquot tell 1048713 No

indash if a clear pre-determined strategy was used todetermine which studies were included Look forndash a scoring system ndash more than one assessor

5 If the results of the studies have beencombined was it reasonable to do so Consider ndash the

results of each study are clearly displayedndash the results were similar from study to study(look for tests of heterogeneity) ndash the reasons for any

variations in results are discussed6 How are the results presented and what is the main result Consider ndash how the results are expressed (eg odds ratiorelative risk etc) ndash how large this size of result is and howmeaningful it is ndash how you would sum up the bottom-line result ofthe review in one sentence

7 How precise are these resultsConsiderndash if a confidence interval were reported Wouldyour decision about whether or not to use thisintervention be the same at the upperconfidence limit as at the lower confidencelimitndash if a p-value is reported where confidenceintervals are unavailable

8 Can the results be applied to the local 1048713 Yes 1048713 Canrsquot tell 1048713 NopopulationConsider whetherndash the population sample covered by the reviewcould be different from your population in waysthat would produce different resultsndash your local setting differs much from that of thereviewndash you can provide the same intervention in yoursetting9 Were all important outcomes considered 1048713 Yes 1048713 Canrsquot tell 1048713 NoConsider outcomes from the point of view of thendash individualndash policy makers and professionalsndash familycarersndash wider communityreported can it be filled in from elsewhere

10 Should policy or practice change as a result of 1048713 Yes 1048713 Canrsquot tell 1048713 Nothe evidence contained in this reviewConsiderndash whether any benefit reported outweighs anyharm andor cost If this information is not

Page 29: Critical appraisal of (Systematic review) Meta-analysis 羅政勤 彰化秀傳紀念醫院

What is ApprasialWhat is Apprasial

A technique to increase effectiveness of reading by exclude research studies too poorly designed to inform practice

Why appraisalWhy appraisal

To free time of concentrate on a more systematic evaluation of studies cross quality threshold and extract salient points

How to AppraiseHow to Appraise

Appraising a Secondary studies(Review)

1Validity2Impact(Results)3Practicability(Application)4Instruments tools such as CASP

Critical Appraisal Critical Appraisal Skills Programme Skills Programme

(CASP)(CASP)httpwwwphrunhsukpagesPHDCASPhtm

Appraisal tools for Appraisal tools for Systematic reviewSystematic review

10 questions to help you make sense of reviews Is the study valid What are the results Will the results help locally10 questions adapted from Oxman AD Cook DJ Guyatt GH Usersrsquo guides to medical literature VI How to use an overview JAMA 1994 272 (17) 1367-1371

Screening questionScreening question

First 2 questions Screening questions can be answered quickly Worth proceeding If answer to both is ldquoyesrdquo

Screening questionScreening question1 Did the review ask a clearly-focused question 1048713 Yes 1048713 Canrsquot tell 1048713 No

Focused ndash the population studied ndash the intervention given or exposure ndash the outcomes considered

2 Did the review include the right type of study 1048713 Yes 1048713 Canrsquot tell 1048713 No

included studies ndash address the reviewrsquos question

ndash have an appropriate study designIs it worth continuing

3 Did the reviewers try to identify all relevant studies 1048713 Yes 1048713 Canrsquot tell 1048713 No

Consider ndash which bibliographic databases were usedndash if there was follow-up from reference listsndash if there was personal contact with expertsndashsearched for unpublished studiesndashsearched for non-English-language studies

4 Did the reviewers assess the quality of the 1048713 Yes 1048713 Canrsquot tell 1048713 No

indash if a clear pre-determined strategy was used todetermine which studies were included Look forndash a scoring system ndash more than one assessor

5 If the results of the studies have beencombined was it reasonable to do so Consider ndash the

results of each study are clearly displayedndash the results were similar from study to study(look for tests of heterogeneity) ndash the reasons for any

variations in results are discussed6 How are the results presented and what is the main result Consider ndash how the results are expressed (eg odds ratiorelative risk etc) ndash how large this size of result is and howmeaningful it is ndash how you would sum up the bottom-line result ofthe review in one sentence

7 How precise are these resultsConsiderndash if a confidence interval were reported Wouldyour decision about whether or not to use thisintervention be the same at the upperconfidence limit as at the lower confidencelimitndash if a p-value is reported where confidenceintervals are unavailable

8 Can the results be applied to the local 1048713 Yes 1048713 Canrsquot tell 1048713 NopopulationConsider whetherndash the population sample covered by the reviewcould be different from your population in waysthat would produce different resultsndash your local setting differs much from that of thereviewndash you can provide the same intervention in yoursetting9 Were all important outcomes considered 1048713 Yes 1048713 Canrsquot tell 1048713 NoConsider outcomes from the point of view of thendash individualndash policy makers and professionalsndash familycarersndash wider communityreported can it be filled in from elsewhere

10 Should policy or practice change as a result of 1048713 Yes 1048713 Canrsquot tell 1048713 Nothe evidence contained in this reviewConsiderndash whether any benefit reported outweighs anyharm andor cost If this information is not

Page 30: Critical appraisal of (Systematic review) Meta-analysis 羅政勤 彰化秀傳紀念醫院

Why appraisalWhy appraisal

To free time of concentrate on a more systematic evaluation of studies cross quality threshold and extract salient points

How to AppraiseHow to Appraise

Appraising a Secondary studies(Review)

1Validity2Impact(Results)3Practicability(Application)4Instruments tools such as CASP

Critical Appraisal Critical Appraisal Skills Programme Skills Programme

(CASP)(CASP)httpwwwphrunhsukpagesPHDCASPhtm

Appraisal tools for Appraisal tools for Systematic reviewSystematic review

10 questions to help you make sense of reviews Is the study valid What are the results Will the results help locally10 questions adapted from Oxman AD Cook DJ Guyatt GH Usersrsquo guides to medical literature VI How to use an overview JAMA 1994 272 (17) 1367-1371

Screening questionScreening question

First 2 questions Screening questions can be answered quickly Worth proceeding If answer to both is ldquoyesrdquo

Screening questionScreening question1 Did the review ask a clearly-focused question 1048713 Yes 1048713 Canrsquot tell 1048713 No

Focused ndash the population studied ndash the intervention given or exposure ndash the outcomes considered

2 Did the review include the right type of study 1048713 Yes 1048713 Canrsquot tell 1048713 No

included studies ndash address the reviewrsquos question

ndash have an appropriate study designIs it worth continuing

3 Did the reviewers try to identify all relevant studies 1048713 Yes 1048713 Canrsquot tell 1048713 No

Consider ndash which bibliographic databases were usedndash if there was follow-up from reference listsndash if there was personal contact with expertsndashsearched for unpublished studiesndashsearched for non-English-language studies

4 Did the reviewers assess the quality of the 1048713 Yes 1048713 Canrsquot tell 1048713 No

indash if a clear pre-determined strategy was used todetermine which studies were included Look forndash a scoring system ndash more than one assessor

5 If the results of the studies have beencombined was it reasonable to do so Consider ndash the

results of each study are clearly displayedndash the results were similar from study to study(look for tests of heterogeneity) ndash the reasons for any

variations in results are discussed6 How are the results presented and what is the main result Consider ndash how the results are expressed (eg odds ratiorelative risk etc) ndash how large this size of result is and howmeaningful it is ndash how you would sum up the bottom-line result ofthe review in one sentence

7 How precise are these resultsConsiderndash if a confidence interval were reported Wouldyour decision about whether or not to use thisintervention be the same at the upperconfidence limit as at the lower confidencelimitndash if a p-value is reported where confidenceintervals are unavailable

8 Can the results be applied to the local 1048713 Yes 1048713 Canrsquot tell 1048713 NopopulationConsider whetherndash the population sample covered by the reviewcould be different from your population in waysthat would produce different resultsndash your local setting differs much from that of thereviewndash you can provide the same intervention in yoursetting9 Were all important outcomes considered 1048713 Yes 1048713 Canrsquot tell 1048713 NoConsider outcomes from the point of view of thendash individualndash policy makers and professionalsndash familycarersndash wider communityreported can it be filled in from elsewhere

10 Should policy or practice change as a result of 1048713 Yes 1048713 Canrsquot tell 1048713 Nothe evidence contained in this reviewConsiderndash whether any benefit reported outweighs anyharm andor cost If this information is not

Page 31: Critical appraisal of (Systematic review) Meta-analysis 羅政勤 彰化秀傳紀念醫院

How to AppraiseHow to Appraise

Appraising a Secondary studies(Review)

1Validity2Impact(Results)3Practicability(Application)4Instruments tools such as CASP

Critical Appraisal Critical Appraisal Skills Programme Skills Programme

(CASP)(CASP)httpwwwphrunhsukpagesPHDCASPhtm

Appraisal tools for Appraisal tools for Systematic reviewSystematic review

10 questions to help you make sense of reviews Is the study valid What are the results Will the results help locally10 questions adapted from Oxman AD Cook DJ Guyatt GH Usersrsquo guides to medical literature VI How to use an overview JAMA 1994 272 (17) 1367-1371

Screening questionScreening question

First 2 questions Screening questions can be answered quickly Worth proceeding If answer to both is ldquoyesrdquo

Screening questionScreening question1 Did the review ask a clearly-focused question 1048713 Yes 1048713 Canrsquot tell 1048713 No

Focused ndash the population studied ndash the intervention given or exposure ndash the outcomes considered

2 Did the review include the right type of study 1048713 Yes 1048713 Canrsquot tell 1048713 No

included studies ndash address the reviewrsquos question

ndash have an appropriate study designIs it worth continuing

3 Did the reviewers try to identify all relevant studies 1048713 Yes 1048713 Canrsquot tell 1048713 No

Consider ndash which bibliographic databases were usedndash if there was follow-up from reference listsndash if there was personal contact with expertsndashsearched for unpublished studiesndashsearched for non-English-language studies

4 Did the reviewers assess the quality of the 1048713 Yes 1048713 Canrsquot tell 1048713 No

indash if a clear pre-determined strategy was used todetermine which studies were included Look forndash a scoring system ndash more than one assessor

5 If the results of the studies have beencombined was it reasonable to do so Consider ndash the

results of each study are clearly displayedndash the results were similar from study to study(look for tests of heterogeneity) ndash the reasons for any

variations in results are discussed6 How are the results presented and what is the main result Consider ndash how the results are expressed (eg odds ratiorelative risk etc) ndash how large this size of result is and howmeaningful it is ndash how you would sum up the bottom-line result ofthe review in one sentence

7 How precise are these resultsConsiderndash if a confidence interval were reported Wouldyour decision about whether or not to use thisintervention be the same at the upperconfidence limit as at the lower confidencelimitndash if a p-value is reported where confidenceintervals are unavailable

8 Can the results be applied to the local 1048713 Yes 1048713 Canrsquot tell 1048713 NopopulationConsider whetherndash the population sample covered by the reviewcould be different from your population in waysthat would produce different resultsndash your local setting differs much from that of thereviewndash you can provide the same intervention in yoursetting9 Were all important outcomes considered 1048713 Yes 1048713 Canrsquot tell 1048713 NoConsider outcomes from the point of view of thendash individualndash policy makers and professionalsndash familycarersndash wider communityreported can it be filled in from elsewhere

10 Should policy or practice change as a result of 1048713 Yes 1048713 Canrsquot tell 1048713 Nothe evidence contained in this reviewConsiderndash whether any benefit reported outweighs anyharm andor cost If this information is not

Page 32: Critical appraisal of (Systematic review) Meta-analysis 羅政勤 彰化秀傳紀念醫院

Critical Appraisal Critical Appraisal Skills Programme Skills Programme

(CASP)(CASP)httpwwwphrunhsukpagesPHDCASPhtm

Appraisal tools for Appraisal tools for Systematic reviewSystematic review

10 questions to help you make sense of reviews Is the study valid What are the results Will the results help locally10 questions adapted from Oxman AD Cook DJ Guyatt GH Usersrsquo guides to medical literature VI How to use an overview JAMA 1994 272 (17) 1367-1371

Screening questionScreening question

First 2 questions Screening questions can be answered quickly Worth proceeding If answer to both is ldquoyesrdquo

Screening questionScreening question1 Did the review ask a clearly-focused question 1048713 Yes 1048713 Canrsquot tell 1048713 No

Focused ndash the population studied ndash the intervention given or exposure ndash the outcomes considered

2 Did the review include the right type of study 1048713 Yes 1048713 Canrsquot tell 1048713 No

included studies ndash address the reviewrsquos question

ndash have an appropriate study designIs it worth continuing

3 Did the reviewers try to identify all relevant studies 1048713 Yes 1048713 Canrsquot tell 1048713 No

Consider ndash which bibliographic databases were usedndash if there was follow-up from reference listsndash if there was personal contact with expertsndashsearched for unpublished studiesndashsearched for non-English-language studies

4 Did the reviewers assess the quality of the 1048713 Yes 1048713 Canrsquot tell 1048713 No

indash if a clear pre-determined strategy was used todetermine which studies were included Look forndash a scoring system ndash more than one assessor

5 If the results of the studies have beencombined was it reasonable to do so Consider ndash the

results of each study are clearly displayedndash the results were similar from study to study(look for tests of heterogeneity) ndash the reasons for any

variations in results are discussed6 How are the results presented and what is the main result Consider ndash how the results are expressed (eg odds ratiorelative risk etc) ndash how large this size of result is and howmeaningful it is ndash how you would sum up the bottom-line result ofthe review in one sentence

7 How precise are these resultsConsiderndash if a confidence interval were reported Wouldyour decision about whether or not to use thisintervention be the same at the upperconfidence limit as at the lower confidencelimitndash if a p-value is reported where confidenceintervals are unavailable

8 Can the results be applied to the local 1048713 Yes 1048713 Canrsquot tell 1048713 NopopulationConsider whetherndash the population sample covered by the reviewcould be different from your population in waysthat would produce different resultsndash your local setting differs much from that of thereviewndash you can provide the same intervention in yoursetting9 Were all important outcomes considered 1048713 Yes 1048713 Canrsquot tell 1048713 NoConsider outcomes from the point of view of thendash individualndash policy makers and professionalsndash familycarersndash wider communityreported can it be filled in from elsewhere

10 Should policy or practice change as a result of 1048713 Yes 1048713 Canrsquot tell 1048713 Nothe evidence contained in this reviewConsiderndash whether any benefit reported outweighs anyharm andor cost If this information is not

Page 33: Critical appraisal of (Systematic review) Meta-analysis 羅政勤 彰化秀傳紀念醫院

Appraisal tools for Appraisal tools for Systematic reviewSystematic review

10 questions to help you make sense of reviews Is the study valid What are the results Will the results help locally10 questions adapted from Oxman AD Cook DJ Guyatt GH Usersrsquo guides to medical literature VI How to use an overview JAMA 1994 272 (17) 1367-1371

Screening questionScreening question

First 2 questions Screening questions can be answered quickly Worth proceeding If answer to both is ldquoyesrdquo

Screening questionScreening question1 Did the review ask a clearly-focused question 1048713 Yes 1048713 Canrsquot tell 1048713 No

Focused ndash the population studied ndash the intervention given or exposure ndash the outcomes considered

2 Did the review include the right type of study 1048713 Yes 1048713 Canrsquot tell 1048713 No

included studies ndash address the reviewrsquos question

ndash have an appropriate study designIs it worth continuing

3 Did the reviewers try to identify all relevant studies 1048713 Yes 1048713 Canrsquot tell 1048713 No

Consider ndash which bibliographic databases were usedndash if there was follow-up from reference listsndash if there was personal contact with expertsndashsearched for unpublished studiesndashsearched for non-English-language studies

4 Did the reviewers assess the quality of the 1048713 Yes 1048713 Canrsquot tell 1048713 No

indash if a clear pre-determined strategy was used todetermine which studies were included Look forndash a scoring system ndash more than one assessor

5 If the results of the studies have beencombined was it reasonable to do so Consider ndash the

results of each study are clearly displayedndash the results were similar from study to study(look for tests of heterogeneity) ndash the reasons for any

variations in results are discussed6 How are the results presented and what is the main result Consider ndash how the results are expressed (eg odds ratiorelative risk etc) ndash how large this size of result is and howmeaningful it is ndash how you would sum up the bottom-line result ofthe review in one sentence

7 How precise are these resultsConsiderndash if a confidence interval were reported Wouldyour decision about whether or not to use thisintervention be the same at the upperconfidence limit as at the lower confidencelimitndash if a p-value is reported where confidenceintervals are unavailable

8 Can the results be applied to the local 1048713 Yes 1048713 Canrsquot tell 1048713 NopopulationConsider whetherndash the population sample covered by the reviewcould be different from your population in waysthat would produce different resultsndash your local setting differs much from that of thereviewndash you can provide the same intervention in yoursetting9 Were all important outcomes considered 1048713 Yes 1048713 Canrsquot tell 1048713 NoConsider outcomes from the point of view of thendash individualndash policy makers and professionalsndash familycarersndash wider communityreported can it be filled in from elsewhere

10 Should policy or practice change as a result of 1048713 Yes 1048713 Canrsquot tell 1048713 Nothe evidence contained in this reviewConsiderndash whether any benefit reported outweighs anyharm andor cost If this information is not

Page 34: Critical appraisal of (Systematic review) Meta-analysis 羅政勤 彰化秀傳紀念醫院

Screening questionScreening question

First 2 questions Screening questions can be answered quickly Worth proceeding If answer to both is ldquoyesrdquo

Screening questionScreening question1 Did the review ask a clearly-focused question 1048713 Yes 1048713 Canrsquot tell 1048713 No

Focused ndash the population studied ndash the intervention given or exposure ndash the outcomes considered

2 Did the review include the right type of study 1048713 Yes 1048713 Canrsquot tell 1048713 No

included studies ndash address the reviewrsquos question

ndash have an appropriate study designIs it worth continuing

3 Did the reviewers try to identify all relevant studies 1048713 Yes 1048713 Canrsquot tell 1048713 No

Consider ndash which bibliographic databases were usedndash if there was follow-up from reference listsndash if there was personal contact with expertsndashsearched for unpublished studiesndashsearched for non-English-language studies

4 Did the reviewers assess the quality of the 1048713 Yes 1048713 Canrsquot tell 1048713 No

indash if a clear pre-determined strategy was used todetermine which studies were included Look forndash a scoring system ndash more than one assessor

5 If the results of the studies have beencombined was it reasonable to do so Consider ndash the

results of each study are clearly displayedndash the results were similar from study to study(look for tests of heterogeneity) ndash the reasons for any

variations in results are discussed6 How are the results presented and what is the main result Consider ndash how the results are expressed (eg odds ratiorelative risk etc) ndash how large this size of result is and howmeaningful it is ndash how you would sum up the bottom-line result ofthe review in one sentence

7 How precise are these resultsConsiderndash if a confidence interval were reported Wouldyour decision about whether or not to use thisintervention be the same at the upperconfidence limit as at the lower confidencelimitndash if a p-value is reported where confidenceintervals are unavailable

8 Can the results be applied to the local 1048713 Yes 1048713 Canrsquot tell 1048713 NopopulationConsider whetherndash the population sample covered by the reviewcould be different from your population in waysthat would produce different resultsndash your local setting differs much from that of thereviewndash you can provide the same intervention in yoursetting9 Were all important outcomes considered 1048713 Yes 1048713 Canrsquot tell 1048713 NoConsider outcomes from the point of view of thendash individualndash policy makers and professionalsndash familycarersndash wider communityreported can it be filled in from elsewhere

10 Should policy or practice change as a result of 1048713 Yes 1048713 Canrsquot tell 1048713 Nothe evidence contained in this reviewConsiderndash whether any benefit reported outweighs anyharm andor cost If this information is not

Page 35: Critical appraisal of (Systematic review) Meta-analysis 羅政勤 彰化秀傳紀念醫院

Screening questionScreening question1 Did the review ask a clearly-focused question 1048713 Yes 1048713 Canrsquot tell 1048713 No

Focused ndash the population studied ndash the intervention given or exposure ndash the outcomes considered

2 Did the review include the right type of study 1048713 Yes 1048713 Canrsquot tell 1048713 No

included studies ndash address the reviewrsquos question

ndash have an appropriate study designIs it worth continuing

3 Did the reviewers try to identify all relevant studies 1048713 Yes 1048713 Canrsquot tell 1048713 No

Consider ndash which bibliographic databases were usedndash if there was follow-up from reference listsndash if there was personal contact with expertsndashsearched for unpublished studiesndashsearched for non-English-language studies

4 Did the reviewers assess the quality of the 1048713 Yes 1048713 Canrsquot tell 1048713 No

indash if a clear pre-determined strategy was used todetermine which studies were included Look forndash a scoring system ndash more than one assessor

5 If the results of the studies have beencombined was it reasonable to do so Consider ndash the

results of each study are clearly displayedndash the results were similar from study to study(look for tests of heterogeneity) ndash the reasons for any

variations in results are discussed6 How are the results presented and what is the main result Consider ndash how the results are expressed (eg odds ratiorelative risk etc) ndash how large this size of result is and howmeaningful it is ndash how you would sum up the bottom-line result ofthe review in one sentence

7 How precise are these resultsConsiderndash if a confidence interval were reported Wouldyour decision about whether or not to use thisintervention be the same at the upperconfidence limit as at the lower confidencelimitndash if a p-value is reported where confidenceintervals are unavailable

8 Can the results be applied to the local 1048713 Yes 1048713 Canrsquot tell 1048713 NopopulationConsider whetherndash the population sample covered by the reviewcould be different from your population in waysthat would produce different resultsndash your local setting differs much from that of thereviewndash you can provide the same intervention in yoursetting9 Were all important outcomes considered 1048713 Yes 1048713 Canrsquot tell 1048713 NoConsider outcomes from the point of view of thendash individualndash policy makers and professionalsndash familycarersndash wider communityreported can it be filled in from elsewhere

10 Should policy or practice change as a result of 1048713 Yes 1048713 Canrsquot tell 1048713 Nothe evidence contained in this reviewConsiderndash whether any benefit reported outweighs anyharm andor cost If this information is not

Page 36: Critical appraisal of (Systematic review) Meta-analysis 羅政勤 彰化秀傳紀念醫院

3 Did the reviewers try to identify all relevant studies 1048713 Yes 1048713 Canrsquot tell 1048713 No

Consider ndash which bibliographic databases were usedndash if there was follow-up from reference listsndash if there was personal contact with expertsndashsearched for unpublished studiesndashsearched for non-English-language studies

4 Did the reviewers assess the quality of the 1048713 Yes 1048713 Canrsquot tell 1048713 No

indash if a clear pre-determined strategy was used todetermine which studies were included Look forndash a scoring system ndash more than one assessor

5 If the results of the studies have beencombined was it reasonable to do so Consider ndash the

results of each study are clearly displayedndash the results were similar from study to study(look for tests of heterogeneity) ndash the reasons for any

variations in results are discussed6 How are the results presented and what is the main result Consider ndash how the results are expressed (eg odds ratiorelative risk etc) ndash how large this size of result is and howmeaningful it is ndash how you would sum up the bottom-line result ofthe review in one sentence

7 How precise are these resultsConsiderndash if a confidence interval were reported Wouldyour decision about whether or not to use thisintervention be the same at the upperconfidence limit as at the lower confidencelimitndash if a p-value is reported where confidenceintervals are unavailable

8 Can the results be applied to the local 1048713 Yes 1048713 Canrsquot tell 1048713 NopopulationConsider whetherndash the population sample covered by the reviewcould be different from your population in waysthat would produce different resultsndash your local setting differs much from that of thereviewndash you can provide the same intervention in yoursetting9 Were all important outcomes considered 1048713 Yes 1048713 Canrsquot tell 1048713 NoConsider outcomes from the point of view of thendash individualndash policy makers and professionalsndash familycarersndash wider communityreported can it be filled in from elsewhere

10 Should policy or practice change as a result of 1048713 Yes 1048713 Canrsquot tell 1048713 Nothe evidence contained in this reviewConsiderndash whether any benefit reported outweighs anyharm andor cost If this information is not

Page 37: Critical appraisal of (Systematic review) Meta-analysis 羅政勤 彰化秀傳紀念醫院

5 If the results of the studies have beencombined was it reasonable to do so Consider ndash the

results of each study are clearly displayedndash the results were similar from study to study(look for tests of heterogeneity) ndash the reasons for any

variations in results are discussed6 How are the results presented and what is the main result Consider ndash how the results are expressed (eg odds ratiorelative risk etc) ndash how large this size of result is and howmeaningful it is ndash how you would sum up the bottom-line result ofthe review in one sentence

7 How precise are these resultsConsiderndash if a confidence interval were reported Wouldyour decision about whether or not to use thisintervention be the same at the upperconfidence limit as at the lower confidencelimitndash if a p-value is reported where confidenceintervals are unavailable

8 Can the results be applied to the local 1048713 Yes 1048713 Canrsquot tell 1048713 NopopulationConsider whetherndash the population sample covered by the reviewcould be different from your population in waysthat would produce different resultsndash your local setting differs much from that of thereviewndash you can provide the same intervention in yoursetting9 Were all important outcomes considered 1048713 Yes 1048713 Canrsquot tell 1048713 NoConsider outcomes from the point of view of thendash individualndash policy makers and professionalsndash familycarersndash wider communityreported can it be filled in from elsewhere

10 Should policy or practice change as a result of 1048713 Yes 1048713 Canrsquot tell 1048713 Nothe evidence contained in this reviewConsiderndash whether any benefit reported outweighs anyharm andor cost If this information is not

Page 38: Critical appraisal of (Systematic review) Meta-analysis 羅政勤 彰化秀傳紀念醫院

7 How precise are these resultsConsiderndash if a confidence interval were reported Wouldyour decision about whether or not to use thisintervention be the same at the upperconfidence limit as at the lower confidencelimitndash if a p-value is reported where confidenceintervals are unavailable

8 Can the results be applied to the local 1048713 Yes 1048713 Canrsquot tell 1048713 NopopulationConsider whetherndash the population sample covered by the reviewcould be different from your population in waysthat would produce different resultsndash your local setting differs much from that of thereviewndash you can provide the same intervention in yoursetting9 Were all important outcomes considered 1048713 Yes 1048713 Canrsquot tell 1048713 NoConsider outcomes from the point of view of thendash individualndash policy makers and professionalsndash familycarersndash wider communityreported can it be filled in from elsewhere

10 Should policy or practice change as a result of 1048713 Yes 1048713 Canrsquot tell 1048713 Nothe evidence contained in this reviewConsiderndash whether any benefit reported outweighs anyharm andor cost If this information is not

Page 39: Critical appraisal of (Systematic review) Meta-analysis 羅政勤 彰化秀傳紀念醫院

8 Can the results be applied to the local 1048713 Yes 1048713 Canrsquot tell 1048713 NopopulationConsider whetherndash the population sample covered by the reviewcould be different from your population in waysthat would produce different resultsndash your local setting differs much from that of thereviewndash you can provide the same intervention in yoursetting9 Were all important outcomes considered 1048713 Yes 1048713 Canrsquot tell 1048713 NoConsider outcomes from the point of view of thendash individualndash policy makers and professionalsndash familycarersndash wider communityreported can it be filled in from elsewhere

10 Should policy or practice change as a result of 1048713 Yes 1048713 Canrsquot tell 1048713 Nothe evidence contained in this reviewConsiderndash whether any benefit reported outweighs anyharm andor cost If this information is not

Page 40: Critical appraisal of (Systematic review) Meta-analysis 羅政勤 彰化秀傳紀念醫院

10 Should policy or practice change as a result of 1048713 Yes 1048713 Canrsquot tell 1048713 Nothe evidence contained in this reviewConsiderndash whether any benefit reported outweighs anyharm andor cost If this information is not