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Credit Conditions Survey Report Third Quarter 2016

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Page 1: Credit Conditions Survey Report - cenbank.gov.ng Q3 CCS... · Changes in spreads between bank rates and MPR ... (Question 6). Due to lenders stance on tightening the credit scoring

Credit Conditions Survey Report

Third Quarter 2016

Page 2: Credit Conditions Survey Report - cenbank.gov.ng Q3 CCS... · Changes in spreads between bank rates and MPR ... (Question 6). Due to lenders stance on tightening the credit scoring

1

Executive Summary

Supply: The availability of secured credit to

households increased in Q3, 2016 but was

expected to decrease in the next quarter.

Changing economic outlook remained a major

factor behind the increase.

Lenders reported that the availability of

unsecured credit to households increased in Q3,

2016 and it was expected to increase further in

Q4, 2016. Lenders reported that changing

appetite for risk contributed to the change in

credit availability in Q3, 2016.

The overall availability of credit to the corporate

sector increased in Q3 2016 and was expected to

increase further in Q4, 2016. The major factors

contributing to increased credit availability were

changing economic outlook, changing liquidity

conditions and changing sector-specific risk.

Demand: Demand for secured lending for

house purchase increased in Q3, 2016, and was

expected to increase further in Q4, 2016. Due to

lenders stance in tightening the credit scoring

criteria in the current quarter, the proportion of

loan applications approved in Q3, 2016

decreased.

Demand for unsecured credit card lending and

overdraft/personal loan from households

increased in the current quarter, and was

expected to further increase in the next quarter.

In spite of the tightening in the credit scoring

criteria, the proportion of approved households

total loan applications decreased in the current

quarter and was expected to decrease further in

the next quarter.

Lenders reported increased demand for

corporate credit across all firm sizes in Q3,

2016 except the OFCs. However, lenders expect

an increase across all firm sizes in the next

quarter. Following the widen spread between

bank rates on all firms’ size businesses and MPR,

the proportion of loan applications approved for

small businesses, medium and large PNFCs

decreased in Q3, 2016.

Defaults: Secured loan performance, as

measured by default rates deteriorated in the

review quarter. However, lenders expect lower

default rates in the next quarter.

Total unsecured loan performance to

households, as measured by default rates

worsened in Q3 2016 but was expected to

improve in the next quarter.

Corporate loan performance worsened across all

firm sized business in the current quarter as

default rates and losses given default on lending

to small, medium and large PNFCs worsened in

the current quarter, and were expected to worsen

further in the next quarter.

Loan pricing: Lenders reported that the

overall spreads on secured lending rates on

approved new loans to households relative to

MPR widened in Q3 2016, and were expected to

widen further in Q4, 2016.

Lenders reported that spreads on credit card

lending widened in Q3, 2016 but were expected

to widen further in the next quarter. Similarly,

spreads on overdrafts/personal loans widened in

Q3, 2016 and were expected to widen further in

the next quarter.

Changes in spreads between bank rates and MPR

on approved new loan applications to small

businesses, medium & large PNFCs and other

financial corporations (OFCs) widen in Q3,

2016. Similarly, spreads on loans to all size

businesses, were expected to widen further in the

next quarter.

Page 3: Credit Conditions Survey Report - cenbank.gov.ng Q3 CCS... · Changes in spreads between bank rates and MPR ... (Question 6). Due to lenders stance on tightening the credit scoring

1

Credit Conditions Survey Report

Introduction

As part of its mission to maintain monetary and financial stability, the Bank needs to understand

trends and developments in credit conditions. This quarterly survey of bank lenders is an input to

this work. Lenders were asked about trends and developments in credit conditions in the current

and next quarters. The survey covers secured and unsecured lending to households, lending to

non-financial corporations, small businesses and non-bank financial firms. Along with various

data sources and discussions between the major lenders and bank staff, this survey serves as an

input into the Monetary Policy documents which presents the CBN assessment of the latest

trends in lending to the Nigerian economy.

This report presents the results of the Q3 2016 survey which was conducted from August 22nd

to

September 2nd 2016. The results are based on lenders’ own responses to the survey. They do not

necessarily reflect the Bank’s views on credit conditions. To calculate aggregate results, each

lender is assigned a score based on his response. Lenders who report that credit conditions have

changed ‘a lot’ are assigned twice the score of those who report that conditions have change ‘a

little’. These scores are then weighted by lenders’ market shares. The results are analyzed by

calculating ‘net percentage balances’ — the difference between the weighted balance of lenders

reporting that, for example, demand was higher versus lower or terms and conditions were

tighter versus looser. The net percentage balances are scaled to lie between ±100.

Page 4: Credit Conditions Survey Report - cenbank.gov.ng Q3 CCS... · Changes in spreads between bank rates and MPR ... (Question 6). Due to lenders stance on tightening the credit scoring

2

Third Quarter 2016 Credit Conditions

In Q3, 2016 relative to the previous quarter, lenders reported increase in secured and unsecured

credit availability to households, small businesses and corporate entities. Spreads on overall

secured and unsecured lending to households widened in Q3, 2016 and was expected to remain

widened in the next quarter. Lenders also reported that households’ demand for house purchase

lending, unsecured credit card lending and unsecured overdraft/personal loans all increased in

Q3, 2016 and were expected to increase in the next quarter. Demand for corporate lending in Q3,

2016 increased across all firm sizes except for OFCs and was expected to increase further in the

next quarter. Corporate loans performance to all businesses deteriorated in Q3, 2016.

Secured lending to households

In Q3 2016 relative to the previous quarter, lenders reported an increase in the availability of

secured credit to households. Lenders noted that brighter economic outlook and changing

appetite for risk were major factors behind the increase. The availability of secured credit was

however expected to decrease in the next quarter with the banks’ “market share objectives” as

the major contributory factor (Question 6).

Due to lenders stance on tightening the credit scoring criteria in Q3 2016 there was a decline in

the proportion of loan applications approved in the quarter. Though lenders expect the credit

scoring criteria to remain tightened in the next quarter, they expect the proportion of households’

loan applications approved in Q4 2016 to increase (Questions 3 & 4).

Maximum Loan to Value (LTV) ratios remained flat in the current and next quarters (Question

5c). Lenders expressed their unwillingness to lend at low LTV ratios (75% or less) in both the

current and next quarters. Similarly, they expressed unwillingness to lend at high LTV (more than

75%) in the current quarter and the next quarter (Question 10). The average credit quality on new

secured lending improved in Q3 2016 and was expected to improve further in Q4 2016 (Question

9).

Lenders reported that the overall spreads on secured lending rates to households relative to MPR

widened in Q3 2016 and was expected to further widen in the next quarter. Widened spreads

were reported for prime, buy to let and other lending in Q3 2016 and were expected to widen

further in the next quarter (Question 5a).

Households demand for lending for house purchase increased in Q3 2016 and was expected to

further increase in the next quarter. Of the total demand, increase in households demand for

prime, buy to let and other lending were reported, but were expected to decrease in the next

quarter except demand for prime lending (Question 1a).

Households demand for consumer loans, mortgage/remortgaging and small businesses rose in Q3

2016 and were expected to rise further in Q4 2016 (Questions 1b, 1c and 2).

Secured loan performance, as measured by default rates worsened in Q3 2016 and but was

expected to improve in Q4 2016. Loss given default deteriorated in the current quarter but was

expected to improve in the next quarter (Questions 7 & 8).

Page 5: Credit Conditions Survey Report - cenbank.gov.ng Q3 CCS... · Changes in spreads between bank rates and MPR ... (Question 6). Due to lenders stance on tightening the credit scoring

3

Unsecured lending to households

The availability of unsecured credit provided to households rose in the current quarter and was

expected to further rise in the next quarter. Lenders reported increased appetite for risk and

banks’ market share objectives as factors that contributed to the increase in Q3 2016 (Question

6).

Due to Lenders’ resolve to tighten the credit scoring criteria for total unsecured loan applications

in Q3 2016, the proportion of approved total loan applications for households decreased in the

quarter. Lenders expect to loosen the credit scoring criteria in the next quarter, but are still of the

opinion that the total loans applications to be approved in Q4 2016 will further decrease

(Questions 3c & 4c).

Similarly, lenders tightened the credit scoring criteria for granting credit card loan applications

and expect the proportion of approved credit card applications to decrease in Q4 2016 (Questions

3a & 4a).

Lenders resolve to tighten the credit scoring criteria in granting overdraft/personal loan

applications in the current quarter decreased the proportion of approved household’s

overdraft/personal loan applications in the current quarter (Questions 3b & 4b).

Lenders reported that spreads on credit card lending widened in Q3 2016 and was expected to

widen further in the next quarter. Similarly, spreads on unsecured overdrafts/personal loans on

approved new loan applications widened in the current quarter and was expected to widen further

in the next quarter (Questions 5a & b).

The limit on unsecured credit cards on approved new loan applications increased in Q3 2016 and

was expected to further increase in the next quarter (Question 5d). The minimum proportion of

credit card balances to be paid on approved new loan applications increased in the review

quarter, but was expected to decrease in the next quarter (Question 5e).

Maximum maturities on approved unsecured new loan applications were shortened in both the

current and next quarters (Question 5f).

Demand for unsecured credit card lending from households increased in Q3 2016 and was

expected to increase further in Q4 2016 (Question 1a). Also, demand for unsecured

overdraft/personal loans from households increased in Q3 2016 and was expected to increase in

Q4 2016 (Question 1b).

Lenders experienced lower default rate on credit card loans to households in Q3 and Q4 2016.

They expect lower default rates on overdrafts/personal lending to households in the next quarter

but have higher default rates in the current quarter (Questions 7a & b). Losses given default on

total unsecured loans to households improved in Q3 2016 and were expected to improve further

in Q4 2016 (Questions 8c).

Page 6: Credit Conditions Survey Report - cenbank.gov.ng Q3 CCS... · Changes in spreads between bank rates and MPR ... (Question 6). Due to lenders stance on tightening the credit scoring

4

Lending to corporates and small businesses

Credit conditions in the corporate sector vary by the size of business. This survey asked lenders

to report developments in the corporate sector by large and medium-size private non-financial

corporations (PNFCs), other financial corporations (OFCs) and small businesses1.

The overall availability of credit to the corporate sector increased in Q3, 2016 and was expected

to further increase in Q4, 2016 (Question 4a). The major factors contributing to the increase in

credit availability were brighter economic outlook, favorable liquidity conditions, and changing

sector specific risks (Question 4b). Lenders reported that the prevailing commercial property

prices negatively influenced credit availability of the commercial real estate sector in the current

and next quarters. Conversely, it positively influenced secured lending to PNFCs in the current

quarter and was to continue in the next quarter (Questions 4c1 and c2).

Availability of credit increased across all firm sizes in Q3, 2016 except the OFCs, the same trend

is expected in the next quarter (Question 1).

Changes in spreads between bank rates and MPR on approved new loan applications to the small

PNFCs, medium PNFCs, large PNFCs and OFCs widened in Q3 2016. Spreads for all size

business types is expected to follow the same trend in the next quarter (Questions 6a1, 6b1, 6c1

and 6d1).

Following the widened spreads, the proportion of loan applications approved for the small,

medium size and large firms decreased in the current quarter and were expected to decrease

further in the next quarter (Question 5).

Lenders required stronger loan covenants from all sized business in the current and next quarter

(Questions 6a5, 6b5, 6c5 and 6d5).

Fees/commissions on approved new loan applications were mixed across firm sizes. While fees

and commission for small businesses and OFCs fell, fees and commission for the medium and

large PNFCs rose in the current quarter (Questions 6a2, 6b2, 6c2 and 6d2).

All firm sized businesses did not benefit from an increase in maximum credit lines on approved

new loan application in Q3, 2016. Similarly, all firm sizes will not benefit from an increase in

maximum credit lines on approved new loan applications in the next quarter (Questions 6a4, 6b4,

6c4 and 6d4).

Lenders demanded more collateral requirements from all firm sizes on approved new loan

application in Q3, 2016. Similarly, lenders were expected to demand for more collateral from all

firm sizes in the next quarter (Questions 6a3, 6b3, 6c3 and 6d3)

Demand for corporate lending from small, medium & large PNFCs businesses increased in Q3

2016, they were also expected to increase in the next quarter (Question 2c, d & e). Lenders

1 Small businesses are defined as those with an annual turnover of under N5 million. Medium-size corporates are defined as those with an annual

turnover of between N5 million and N100 million. Large corporates are defined as those with an annual turnover of more than N100 million

Page 7: Credit Conditions Survey Report - cenbank.gov.ng Q3 CCS... · Changes in spreads between bank rates and MPR ... (Question 6). Due to lenders stance on tightening the credit scoring

5

reported that demand for overdrafts/personal loans from small businesses in Q3, 2016 were

higher in comparison with other business types (Question 2). The most significant factors that

influenced demand for lending in Q3, 2016 were the increase in inventory finance and capital

investment, which are also expected to remain the main drivers in the next quarter (Question 3).

Corporate loan performance as measured by the default rates deteriorated in the review quarter

and was expected to further deteriorate for all sized businesses in Q4 2016. Similarly, losses

given default on lending to all size businesses deteriorated in Q3 2016 (Questions 7 & 8).

The average credit quality on newly arranged PNFCs borrowing facilities improved in Q3 2016

and was expected to further improve in Q4 2016. The target hold levels2 associated with corporate

lending improved in Q3 2016 and was expected to improve further in Q4 2016. Also, loan tenors

on new corporate loans improved in Q3 2016 and were expected to further improve in the next

quarter. Draw down on committed lines by PNFCs deteriorated in the current quarter, and was

expected to deteriorate further in the next quarter (Question 9).

2 Share of risks that lenders wish to hold of deals that they underwrite in the short term

Page 8: Credit Conditions Survey Report - cenbank.gov.ng Q3 CCS... · Changes in spreads between bank rates and MPR ... (Question 6). Due to lenders stance on tightening the credit scoring

6

Table 1: Secured Lending to Households Questionnaire Results

Q1

Q2

Q3

Q4

Q1

Q2

Q3

Q4

Q1

Q2

Q3

Curr

ent q

uart

er

21.9

8.3

24.3

32.8

33.4

-6.1

1.5

-15.

30.

739

.213

.1

Nex

t qua

rter

34

.121

.041

.132

.821

.726

.029

.4-3

.710

.934

.65.

3

Curr

ent q

uart

er

19.2

3.0

17.1

36.0

36.9

-5.2

6.0

5.8

0.5

39.4

13.0

Nex

t qua

rter

29

.09.

936

.342

.517

.115

.125

.913

.615

.842

.413

.2

Curr

ent q

uart

er

-5.0

-14.

88.

819

.723

.5-2

7.1

-13.

0-2

6.4

-11.

919

.82.

0

Nex

t qua

rter

22

.9-1

1.7

10.3

36.9

16.4

29.1

19.0

-19.

5-6

.135

.3-7

.3

Curr

ent q

uart

er

26.6

30.3

24.6

24.2

24.4

-13.

5-2

0.3

-28.

1-1

1.9

14.1

9.6

Nex

t qua

rter

32

.949

.535

.528

.515

.921

.916

.70.

6-6

.529

.8-4

.0

Curr

ent q

uart

er

37.0

31.6

40.4

38.5

38.8

-2.8

15.0

-1.1

18.3

48.6

21.7

Nex

t qua

rter

53

.049

.057

.547

.421

.531

.238

.411

.09.

743

.216

.2

Curr

ent q

uart

er

20.7

8.6

26.5

29.6

23.7

1.3

1.5

-22.

410

.433

.513

.5

Nex

t qua

rter

32

.314

.233

.729

.822

.320

.929

.40.

61.

733

.53.

4

Curr

ent q

uart

er

28.6

44.6

26.4

46.1

29.2

-7.7

0.5

-7.2

12.1

30.4

23.1

Nex

t qua

rter

42

.838

.134

.643

.820

.826

.128

.06.

125

.627

.530

.0

Curr

ent q

uart

er

0.3

0.0

0.0

-7.0

1.6

1.1

2.3

-24.

43.

811

.911

.9

Nex

t qua

rter

0.

3-0

.3-4

.3-4

.51.

60.

03.

1-1

1.1

0.5

12.8

10.4

Curr

ent q

uart

er

35.9

30.6

29.9

43.4

28.6

-13.

5-5

.1-4

.20.

2-5

.2-1

3.2

Nex

t qua

rter

29

.932

.429

.928

.919

.724

.923

.311

.913

.0-2

.27.

5

Curr

ent q

uart

er

6.4

5.8

7.0

0.0

1.3

0.0

-11.

4-3

.5-0

.512

.5-1

1.5

Nex

t qua

rter

-1

4.8

-1.4

-1.1

0.0

-4.7

0.0

-3.9

-3.5

4.6

0.0

-6.2

Curr

ent q

uart

er

-6.1

6.4

-0.1

-1.9

-1.7

-2.0

-16.

5-4

.0-0

.69.

6-4

.7

Nex

t qua

rter

-1

1.7

-1.5

-1.2

0.0

-5.5

0.0

-4.3

-9.2

5.0

2.6

-0.2

Curr

ent q

uart

er

7.2

6.7

9.1

0.0

0.2

-0.1

-8.8

-3.8

2.8

13.2

-3.4

Nex

t qua

rter

-1

6.5

-0.9

-0.9

0.0

-5.7

0.0

-5.0

-14.

57.

33.

1-0

.2

Curr

ent q

uart

er

9.6

13.4

8.2

0.0

0.2

-0.1

-13.

0-3

.52.

215

.1-4

.1

Nex

t qua

rter

-1

8.7

4.7

-1.3

0.0

-6.0

0.0

-9.7

-3.5

6.2

3.6

-9.2

Curr

ent q

uart

er

2.9

-0.9

-5.2

0.0

2.2

-14.

3-1

9.2

0.0

0.0

0.0

0.0

Nex

t qua

rter

4.

90.

0-4

.20.

0-4

.2-5

.1-3

.80.

00.

00.

0-7

.1

Curr

ent q

uart

er

4.4

0.0

0.0

2.7

-10.

98.

1-3

.8-1

1.4

0.0

0.0

0.0

Nex

t qua

rter

-0

.60.

0-4

.50.

0-6

.60.

0-3

.8-1

1.4

0.0

0.0

0.0

Curr

ent q

uart

er

4.0

0.5

-1.6

-4.8

0.0

-4.6

-3.8

-4.1

3.6

0.0

0.0

Nex

t qua

rter

-1

.10.

0-4

.5-2

.4-4

.5-5

.1-3

.8-2

.0-3

.00.

00.

0

2016

1(a)

. H

ow h

as d

eman

d fo

r sec

ured

lend

ing

for H

ouse

purc

hase

from

HO

USE

HO

LDS

chan

ged?

of w

hich

: Dem

and

for

prim

e le

ndin

g

QU

ESTI

ON

2014

2015

of

wh

ich

: D

eman

d fo

r bu

y to

let

lend

ing

of

wh

ich

: Dem

and

for

othe

r le

ndin

g

1(b)

. H

ow h

as d

eman

d fo

r sec

ured

lend

ing

for C

onsu

mer

Loan

s fr

om H

OU

SEH

OLD

S ch

ange

d?

1(c)

. H

ow h

as d

eman

d fo

r sec

ured

lend

ing

for

Mor

tgag

e/re

-mor

tgat

e f

rom

HO

USE

HO

LDS

chan

ged?

3. H

ow h

ave

cred

it s

cori

ng c

rete

ria

for g

rant

ing

loan

appl

icat

ions

by

HO

USE

HO

LDS

chan

ged?

5(d)

. H

ow h

ave

the

max

imum

loan

to in

com

e ra

tios

chan

ged?

2. H

ow h

as d

eman

d fo

r sec

ured

lend

ing

for s

mal

l

busi

ness

es f

rom

HO

USE

HO

LDS

chan

ged?

4. H

ow h

as th

e pr

opor

tion

of H

OU

SEH

OLD

loa

n

appl

icat

ions

bei

ng a

ppro

ved

cha

nged

? 5(

a).

How

hav

e th

e ov

eral

l sec

ured

lend

ing

spre

ads

chan

ged?

of w

hich

: Spr

eads

on

prim

e le

ndin

g

5(c)

. H

ow h

ave

the

max

imum

loan

to v

alue

rati

os

chan

ged?

of

wh

ich

: S

prea

ds o

n ot

her

lend

ing

5(b)

. H

ow h

ave

fees

on

secu

red

lend

ing

chan

ged?

of

wh

ich

: Spr

eads

on

buy

to le

t le

ndin

g

Page 9: Credit Conditions Survey Report - cenbank.gov.ng Q3 CCS... · Changes in spreads between bank rates and MPR ... (Question 6). Due to lenders stance on tightening the credit scoring

7

Table 1: Secured Lending to Households Questionnaire Results (Cont’d)

Q1

Q2

Q3

Q4

Q1

Q2

Q3

Q4

Q1

Q2

Q3

Curr

ent q

uart

er

-21.

3-1

6.2

-20.

0-3

2.5

2.6

-22.

618

.0-1

3.1

-36.

9-2

2.4

-0.5

Nex

t qua

rter

-1

1.8

-17.

3-1

0.9

-27.

9-2

.6-2

2.5

-16.

2-2

5.8

-17.

3-3

3.3

9.1

Fact

ors c

ontr

ibut

ing

to ch

ange

s in

cred

it av

aila

bilit

yCu

rren

t qua

rter

-1

4.4

-11.

2-2

.6-3

8.2

2.6

-43.

8-1

6.2

-57.

0-5

4.1

-40.

3-5

5.0

Nex

t qua

rter

-1

1.3

-9.3

-6.3

-35.

5-1

3.2

-30.

4-2

5.2

-47.

2-1

8.0

-21.

8-2

4.8

Curr

ent q

uart

er

-29.

8-2

3.4

-20.

0-2

4.5

-12.

6-3

0.7

-4.0

-35.

3-3

0.4

-19.

3-2

2.7

Nex

t qua

rter

-2

3.4

-18.

9-2

1.4

-23.

4-1

1.0

-21.

6-2

2.7

-29.

5-1

9.8

-31.

33.

0

Curr

ent q

uart

er

-7.4

-7.4

-17.

7-1

6.5

-14.

2-5

1.0

-22.

2-4

7.0

-28.

2-3

5.1

-33.

7

Nex

t qua

rter

-7

.7-1

0.9

-18.

2-2

7.3

-4.5

-39.

1-1

9.2

-35.

1-1

0.6

-21.

2-6

.5

Curr

ent q

uart

er

-4.0

-17.

9-9

.8-1

1.6

6.3

-24.

4-4

.4-3

8.3

-19.

3-1

7.3

-24.

7

Nex

t qua

rter

-7

.8-6

.4-2

.3-1

0.9

0.6

-12.

32.

7-2

2.9

-6.3

-18.

4-1

9.9

Curr

ent q

uart

er

-9.2

-22.

9-5

.5-2

9.5

15.3

-27.

65.

8-3

3.7

-22.

9-2

3.2

-30.

7

Nex

t qua

rter

-2

4.6

-13.

0-0

.5-2

7.9

8.1

-19.

7-8

.6-2

4.9

-12.

6-1

9.8

-21.

2

Curr

ent q

uart

er

-31.

9-2

3.9

-21.

1-2

3.7

-25.

55.

20.

1-9

.0-5

.022

.910

.9

Nex

t qua

rter

-4

6.0

-27.

0-2

5.7

-26.

4-2

4.3

-19.

2-1

2.5

-15.

5-1

8.0

18.8

-4.9

Curr

ent q

uart

er

-23.

4-2

4.1

-11.

4-2

5.9

-18.

7-8

.6-7

.7-2

1.0

-7.6

6.5

3.0

Nex

t qua

rter

-2

3.1

-16.

1-7

.9-2

0.9

-24.

1-1

3.0

-11.

5-2

5.8

-23.

2-0

.4-1

2.4

Curr

ent q

uart

er

33.8

33.7

35.3

22.3

26.6

30.5

25.2

30.9

25.3

22.7

20.9

Nex

t qua

rter

38

.936

.943

.437

.328

.232

.429

.220

.528

.517

.911

.4

Curr

ent q

uart

er

14.4

18.6

13.4

3.9

-8.2

11.7

20.0

-17.

19.

3-1

2.1

-13.

5

Nex

t qua

rter

10

.46.

94.

910

.7-1

2.6

6.5

16.7

-20.

812

.3-1

3.3

-22.

3

Curr

ent q

uart

er

-5.5

-3.0

-12.

712

.7-9

.20.

0-0

.1-9

.712

.9-1

5.0

-5.0

Nex

t qua

rter

-2

.1-9

.2-1

0.4

1.9

-9.2

-8.5

-2.3

-6.2

-2.6

-17.

1-7

.7

2016

QU

ESTI

ON

2014

2015

10. H

ow h

as th

e av

aila

bilit

y of

hou

seho

lds s

ecur

ed cr

edit

to th

e fo

llow

ing

type

s of b

orro

wer

s cha

nged

:

6. H

ow h

as th

e av

aila

bilit

y of

secu

red

cred

it pr

ovid

ed to

hous

ehol

ds ch

ange

d?

Econ

omic

out

look

Mar

ket s

hare

obj

ectiv

es

Appe

tite

for r

isk

Borr

ower

s with

low

loan

to v

alue

ratio

s (75

% o

r

less

)

Borr

ower

s with

hig

h lo

an to

val

ue ra

tios (

mor

e

than

75%

)

Who

lesa

le fu

ndin

g co

nditi

ons

Lliq

uidi

ty p

ositi

ons

7. H

as th

e de

faul

t rat

e on

secu

red

loan

s to

hous

ehol

ds

chan

ged?

8. H

ow h

ave

loss

es g

iven

def

ault

to h

ouse

hold

s cha

nged

?

9. H

ow h

as th

e av

erag

e cr

edit

qual

ity o

f new

secu

red

lend

ing

to H

OUS

EHO

LDS

chan

ged?

Page 10: Credit Conditions Survey Report - cenbank.gov.ng Q3 CCS... · Changes in spreads between bank rates and MPR ... (Question 6). Due to lenders stance on tightening the credit scoring

8

Table 2: Unsecured Lending to Households Questionnaire Results

Q1

Q2

Q3

Q4

Q1

Q2

Q3

Q4

Q1

Q2

Q3

Cu

rren

t q

ua

rter

20

.3-1

9.7

30.4

30.3

11.5

11.1

18.9

23.6

10.2

33.9

20.4

Nex

t q

ua

rter

19

.6-2

5.0

47.7

29.4

16.7

28.7

27.4

46.4

26.4

28.0

23.7

Cu

rren

t q

ua

rter

-1

.3-1

0.2

28.0

39.4

29.4

14.0

14.3

22.6

3.2

27.7

17.6

Nex

t q

ua

rter

7.

5-0

.138

.017

.421

.933

.412

.850

.116

.418

.724

.3

Cu

rren

t q

ua

rter

1.

3-1

6.4

29.4

27.6

16.7

14.0

10.7

11.9

1.2

19.6

15.1

Nex

t q

ua

rter

-1

.3-1

6.4

30.4

13.0

9.0

33.4

9.1

39.9

7.2

22.3

24.3

Cu

rren

t q

ua

rter

-8

.1-9

.221

.413

.3-4

.111

.113

.6-1

2.6

22.6

28.3

10.9

Nex

t q

ua

rter

-1

3.8

-4.0

7.6

-2.2

15.6

10.8

19.3

15.2

17.4

22.4

19.0

Cu

rren

t q

ua

rter

-4

.67.

28.

618

.81.

26.

62.

4-3

.128

.028

.317

.3

Nex

t q

ua

rter

-1

.711

.410

.94.

517

.0-1

.87.

419

.326

.627

.516

.5

Cu

rren

t q

ua

rter

-0

.6-5

.07.

415

.6-1

.6-1

.62.

6-5

.323

.227

.510

.5

Nex

t q

ua

rter

-2

.9-7

.43.

04.

117

.7-1

.88.

211

.623

.329

.816

.5

Cu

rren

t q

ua

rter

-2

.9-4

.8-2

.5-5

.60.

013

.88.

01.

14.

813

.820

.8

Nex

t q

ua

rter

-9

.0-3

.0-5

.3-4

.70.

813

.820

.7-1

2.9

7.6

14.7

-4.8

Cu

rren

t q

ua

rter

10

.511

.11.

5-2

.20.

012

.46.

80.

93.

813

.922

.7

Nex

t q

ua

rter

7.

60.

0-2

.7-4

.51.

612

.417

.7-1

0.9

6.8

14.9

-3.7

Cu

rren

t q

ua

rter

13

.412

.31.

50.

00.

012

.419

.43.

13.

815

.422

.7

Nex

t q

ua

rter

8.

00.

0-2

.80.

0-0

.512

.419

.4-9

.111

.916

.4-3

.7

Cu

rren

t q

ua

rter

3.

820

.937

.228

.628

.78.

511

.81.

4-1

3.2

11.1

-15.

0

Nex

t q

ua

rter

12

.617

.925

.925

.74.

828

.517

.11.

41.

711

.13.

5

Cu

rren

t q

ua

rter

6.

018

.733

.312

.129

.8-6

.3-1

.0-4

.3-2

2.7

13.2

-18.

9

Nex

t q

ua

rter

5.

8-2

.318

.9-4

.5-0

.5-0

.8-6

.2-1

2.7

-15.

912

.7-1

.7

Cu

rren

t q

ua

rter

-3

.33.

325

.910

.516

.5-7

.9-1

1.2

-6.3

-26.

010

.0-1

8.9

Nex

t q

ua

rter

5.

8-2

.318

.9-4

.5-0

.5-0

.8-6

.2-1

2.7

-15.

912

.7-1

.7

Cu

rren

t q

ua

rter

9.

06.

21.

96.

9-3

.1-1

4.4

-15.

5-8

.2-1

2.9

-1.0

-8.1

Nex

t q

ua

rter

6.

25.

0-0

.56.

90.

80.

0-2

.7-8

.4-2

.914

.2-3

.7

Cu

rren

t q

ua

rter

2.

43.

5-2

.52.

4-1

0.3

-10.

5-1

9.9

-13.

3-5

.74.

3-2

.8

Nex

t q

ua

rter

5.

43.

71.

85.

60.

7-0

.5-2

.3-1

8.5

-3.1

9.0

-9.2

Cu

rren

t q

ua

rter

7.

44.

43.

72.

8-6

.9-1

5.0

-21.

8-1

8.7

-4.9

10.1

-2.8

Nex

t q

ua

rter

5.

65.

7-0

.25.

7-3

.6-5

.2-7

.5-1

9.2

-2.3

15.3

-9.2

Cu

rren

t q

ua

rter

-6

.7-0

.2-3

.60.

0-3

.1-0

.6-1

4.3

0.0

3.8

11.5

-3.7

Nex

t q

ua

rter

0.

0-1

.20.

00.

00.

0-0

.60.

011

.810

.916

.6-1

1.6

Cu

rren

t q

ua

rter

-2

.912

.8-1

.91.

71.

60.

00.

0-0

.52.

311

.40.

4

Nex

t q

ua

rter

0.

6-0

.61.

22.

11.

60.

00.

021

.36.

311

.4-6

.1

Cu

rren

t q

ua

rter

-1

.24.

8-0

.52.

05.

112

.910

.913

.62.

311

.63.

0

Nex

t q

ua

rter

1.

214

.21.

92.

06.

120

.213

.86.

52.

316

.73.

1

5(c)

. H

ow

hav

e s

pre

ads

on

ove

rall

un

secu

red

le

nd

ing

chan

ged

? 5(

d).

Ho

w h

ave

un

secu

red

cre

dit

car

d li

mit

s c

han

ged

?

5(e

). H

ow

has

th

e m

inim

um

pro

po

rtio

n o

f cr

ed

it c

ard

s b

alan

ces

to b

e p

aid

ch

ange

d?

5(f)

. H

ow

hav

e m

axim

um

mat

uri

tie

s o

n lo

ans

chan

ged

?

3(c)

. H

ow

hav

e c

red

it s

cori

ng

cre

teri

a fo

r gr

anti

ng

tota

l

un

secu

red

loan

ap

pli

cati

on

s b

y H

OU

SEH

OLD

S ch

ange

d?

4(a)

. H

ow

has

th

e p

rop

ort

ion

of

HO

USE

HO

LD c

red

it c

ard

lo

an

app

lica

tio

ns

be

ing

app

rove

d c

han

ged

? 4(

b).

Ho

w h

as t

he

pro

po

rtio

n o

f H

OU

SEH

OLD

ove

rdra

ft/p

ers

on

al

loan

ap

pli

cati

on

s b

ein

g ap

pro

ved

ch

ange

d?

4(c)

. H

ow

has

th

e p

rop

ort

ion

of

HO

USE

HO

LD t

ota

l lo

an

app

lica

tio

ns

be

ing

app

rove

d c

han

ged

?

5(a)

. H

ow

hav

e s

pre

ads

on

cre

dit

car

ds

chan

ged

?

5(b

). H

ow

hav

e s

pre

ads

on

ove

rdra

ft/p

ers

on

al lo

ans

chan

ged

?

1(c)

. H

ow

has

de

man

d f

or

tota

l un

secu

red

len

din

g fr

om

HO

USE

HO

LDS

chan

ged

? 2(

a).

Ho

w h

as d

em

and

fo

r u

nse

cure

d c

red

it c

ard

s le

nd

ing

fro

m

SMA

LL B

USI

NES

SES

chan

ged

? 2(

b).

Ho

w h

as d

em

and

fo

r u

nse

cure

d o

verd

raft

/ p

ers

on

al lo

ans

fro

m S

MA

LL B

USI

NES

SES

chan

ged

? 2(

c).

Ho

w h

as d

em

and

fo

r to

tal u

nse

cure

d le

nd

ing

fro

m S

MA

LL

BU

SIN

ESSE

S ch

ange

d?

3(a)

. H

ow

hav

e c

red

it s

cori

ng

cre

teri

a fo

r gr

anti

ng

cre

dit

car

d

loan

ap

pli

cati

on

s b

y H

OU

SEH

OLD

S ch

ange

d?

3(b

). H

ow

hav

e c

red

it s

cori

ng

cre

teri

a fo

r gr

anti

ng

ove

rdra

ft/p

ers

on

al lo

an a

pp

lica

tio

ns

by

HO

USE

HO

LDS

chan

ged

?

1(a)

. H

ow

has

de

man

d f

or

un

secu

red

cre

dit

car

ds

len

din

g f

rom

HO

USE

HO

LDS

chan

ged

? 1(

b).

Ho

w h

as d

em

and

fo

r u

nse

cure

d o

verd

raft

/ p

ers

on

al lo

ans

fro

m H

OU

SEH

OLD

S ch

ange

d?

QU

ESTI

ON

S20

1420

1520

16

Page 11: Credit Conditions Survey Report - cenbank.gov.ng Q3 CCS... · Changes in spreads between bank rates and MPR ... (Question 6). Due to lenders stance on tightening the credit scoring

9

Table 2: Unsecured Lending to Households Questionnaire Results (Cont’d)

Q1

Q2

Q3

Q4

Q1

Q2

Q3

Q4

Q1

Q2

Q3

Curr

ent q

uart

er

-11.

7-8

.3-1

2.7

-2.3

-13.

9-1

8.6

-11.

7-2

6.6

-13.

5-3

3.1

-11.

3

Nex

t qua

rter

-7

.0-1

5.5

-10.

6-6

.9-9

.7-1

7.8

-13.

0-1

0.6

-9.2

-27.

9-1

4.5

Fact

ors

cont

ribut

ing

to c

hang

es in

cre

dit a

vaila

bilit

yCu

rren

t qua

rter

-1

0.4

-9.9

-15.

1-3

3.2

-2.6

-5.2

-15.

8-4

2.2

-25.

7-4

5.8

-10.

6

Nex

t qua

rter

-9

.9-9

.9-7

.9-3

3.0

-8.4

-9.2

-11.

7-2

8.6

-13.

4-2

4.3

-10.

2

Curr

ent q

uart

er

-31.

1-1

7.0

-26.

0-2

5.3

-10.

1-2

2.5

-7.9

-25.

9-1

5.0

-27.

1-1

8.0

Nex

t qua

rter

-1

8.3

-19.

9-2

3.4

-17.

6-1

7.7

-21.

7-4

.4-1

5.1

-20.

4-2

6.9

-15.

4

Curr

ent q

uart

er

-6.2

2.6

-13.

6-1

9.2

-7.6

-13.

8-1

6.6

-39.

6-2

9.2

-32.

0-2

4.6

Nex

t qua

rter

-5

.2-4

.4-1

0.8

-21.

7-1

8.8

-14.

9-1

0.2

-26.

2-1

7.9

-27.

9-2

4.1

Curr

ent q

uart

er

-25.

6-2

2.7

-27.

6-3

0.5

-22.

8-2

5.3

-11.

2-3

0.5

0.8

-24.

1-8

.2

Nex

t qua

rter

-1

7.7

-25.

6-2

3.5

-30.

3-1

3.6

-23.

9-1

3.0

-28.

2-9

.2-1

8.4

-8.3

Curr

ent q

uart

er

-26.

5-2

1.8

-21.

2-2

9.2

-13.

418

.31.

6-3

1.9

-10.

15.

2-8

.4

Nex

t qua

rter

-2

0.5

-22.

6-2

7.3

-29.

2-5

.83.

5-2

0.3

-29.

9-1

2.5

2.7

-12.

2

Curr

ent q

uart

er

-35.

7-4

.2-1

1.2

-24.

2-2

0.3

26.5

3.9

-18.

83.

112

.91.

3

Nex

t qua

rter

-2

0.3

-27.

9-2

8.3

-34.

9-9

.23.

3-1

9.1

-40.

6-8

.93.

7-7

.0

Curr

ent q

uart

er

-35.

7-7

.4-1

3.2

-21.

7-2

0.6

17.2

4.3

-18.

8-0

.713

.11.

3

Nex

t qua

rter

-2

0.3

-29.

6-2

8.3

-29.

4-8

.83.

1-1

6.0

-40.

6-1

2.7

1.4

-6.7

Curr

ent q

uart

er

-5.8

-6.2

-16.

0-3

3.8

-10.

3-0

.4-1

1.2

-13.

96.

515

.61.

7

Nex

t qua

rter

-2

4.9

-14.

1-2

7.3

-24.

6-2

.0-1

5.8

-11.

4-1

.7-1

4.0

-2.4

-12.

2

Curr

ent q

uart

er

-22.

5-7

.0-1

7.4

-18.

0-1

0.0

0.2

-9.3

-23.

2-7

.68.

9-3

.5

Nex

t qua

rter

-2

8.3

-20.

1-2

7.4

-19.

6-3

.5-1

4.9

-10.

4-1

2.2

-30.

8-8

.7-2

0.5

Curr

ent q

uart

er

-22.

5-7

.4-1

9.1

-18.

0-1

4.8

-2.4

-10.

2-3

4.6

-7.6

8.9

-3.5

Nex

t qua

rter

-2

7.3

-21.

3-2

8.5

-19.

6-7

.7-1

4.2

-6.3

-7.1

-25.

7-3

.6-1

3.6

Curr

ent q

uart

er

-15.

821

.919

.821

.622

.08.

42.

226

.76.

210

.29.

2

Nex

t qua

rter

-9

.216

.626

.95.

324

.416

.414

.113

.212

.320

.76.

9

Curr

ent q

uart

er

-2.1

13.8

19.3

20.6

20.9

1.9

0.6

9.9

13.5

2.2

-4.3

Nex

t qua

rter

-6

.020

.222

.810

.022

.115

.513

.61.

013

.09.

8-5

.2

Curr

ent q

uart

er

-2.2

15.9

19.4

23.8

20.4

-0.8

0.7

14.9

18.7

7.4

2.0

Nex

t qua

rter

-6

.026

.122

.910

.018

.914

.715

.01.

318

.115

.11.

3

8(a)

. H

ow h

ave

loss

es g

iven

def

ault

on

cred

it c

ard

loan

s to

hous

ehol

ds c

hang

ed?

8(b)

. H

ow h

ave

loss

es g

iven

def

ault

on

over

draf

t/pe

rson

al lo

ans

to h

ouse

hold

s ch

ange

d?8(

c).

How

hav

e lo

sses

giv

en d

efau

lt o

n to

tal u

nsec

ured

loan

s to

hous

ehol

ds c

hang

ed?

9(a)

. H

ow h

as th

e av

erag

e c

redi

t qua

lity

of n

ew c

redi

t car

d

lend

ing

to H

OU

SEH

OLD

S ch

ange

d?9(

b).

How

has

the

aver

age

cre

dit q

ualit

y of

new

over

draf

t/pe

rson

al le

ndin

g to

HO

USE

HO

LDS

chan

ged?

9(c)

. H

ow h

as th

e av

erag

e c

redi

t qua

lity

of n

ew to

tal u

nsec

ured

lend

ing

to H

OU

SEH

OLD

S ch

ange

d?

Mar

ket s

hare

obj

ecti

ves

App

etit

e fo

r ri

sk

Cost

/ av

aila

bilit

y of

fund

s

7(a)

. H

ow h

as t

he d

efau

lt ra

te o

n cr

edit

car

d lo

ans

to

hous

ehol

ds c

hang

ed?

7(b)

. H

ow h

as th

e de

faul

t rat

e on

ove

rdra

ft/

pers

onal

loa

ns to

hous

ehol

ds c

hang

ed?

7(c)

. H

ow h

as th

e de

faul

t rat

e on

tot

al u

nsec

ured

loan

s to

hous

ehol

ds c

hang

ed?

6. H

ow h

as th

e av

aila

bilit

y of

uns

ecur

ed c

redi

t pro

vide

d to

hous

ehol

ds c

hang

ed?

Eco

nom

ic o

utlo

ok

QU

ESTI

ON

S20

1420

1520

16

Page 12: Credit Conditions Survey Report - cenbank.gov.ng Q3 CCS... · Changes in spreads between bank rates and MPR ... (Question 6). Due to lenders stance on tightening the credit scoring

10

Table 3: Corporate Lending Questionnaire Results

QU

ESTI

ON

Q1

Q2

Q3

Q4

Q1

Q2

Q3

Q4

Q1

Q2

Q3

Cu

rren

t q

ua

rter

-2

7.4

-40.

1-3

5.2

-35.

7-3

4.2

-32.

4-2

3.0

-14.

125

.0-1

9.7

-5.2

Nex

t q

ua

rter

-3

2.7

-45.

9-2

2.2

-40.

1-1

0.0

-20.

8-2

2.6

-13.

141

.6-2

3.6

-10.

3

Cu

rren

t q

ua

rter

-2

0.5

-28.

7-2

5.5

-31.

7-3

7.5

-28.

9-1

9.8

-10.

014

.9-2

8.2

-3.4

Nex

t q

ua

rter

-2

8.9

-26.

7-2

3.9

-30.

1-2

8.4

-23.

2-2

3.3

-8.9

29.2

-26.

3-1

0.2

Cu

rren

t q

ua

rter

-4

0.1

-36.

8-4

5.4

-41.

2-4

1.7

-32.

6-2

0.1

-5.8

12.2

-26.

0-5

.7

Nex

t q

ua

rter

-3

0.8

-32.

8-2

1.4

-13.

5-2

1.2

-21.

0-1

6.7

-12.

126

.9-2

9.2

-7.7

Cu

rren

t q

ua

rter

-6

.5-1

8.1

-10.

9-2

.8-1

9.2

-10.

6-1

3.9

-16.

54.

0-1

7.2

10.4

Nex

t q

ua

rter

3.

1-1

5.9

-1.4

2.2

13.9

-9.1

-11.

1-4

.122

.3-2

1.1

5.8

Cu

rren

t q

ua

rter

16

.416

.211

.64.

815

.432

.430

.5-1

5.9

3.9

22.7

17.2

Nex

t q

ua

rter

27

.113

.215

.315

.53.

127

.627

.2-2

.017

.625

.324

.4

Cu

rren

t q

ua

rter

31

.450

.542

.829

.134

.425

.342

.226

.724

.232

.721

.8

Nex

t q

ua

rter

27

.636

.617

.526

.06.

333

.244

.220

.924

.924

.725

.3

Cu

rren

t q

ua

rter

33

.852

.441

.539

.933

.120

.326

.224

.19.

729

.015

.3

Nex

t q

ua

rter

31

.635

.612

.740

.17.

227

.434

.515

.726

.534

.025

.8

Cu

rren

t q

ua

rter

19

.338

.533

.237

.527

.518

.630

.98.

311

.012

.814

.2

Nex

t q

ua

rter

24

.524

.29.

933

.82.

934

.423

.35.

617

.421

.09.

2

Cu

rren

t q

ua

rter

30

.529

.636

.439

.817

.924

.430

.913

.30.

514

.914

.2

Nex

t q

ua

rter

40

.322

.515

.122

.83.

834

.922

.220

.511

.114

.48.

8

Cu

rren

t q

ua

rter

4.

612

.57.

86.

411

.50.

418

.74.

4-1

7.8

-0.7

-9.5

Nex

t q

ua

rter

13

.99.

41.

213

.0-7

.927

.318

.14.

94.

69.

49.

2

3. W

hat

hav

e b

ee

n t

he

mai

n f

acto

rs c

on

trib

uti

ng

to

chan

ges

in d

em

and

fo

r le

nd

ing?

Cu

rren

t q

ua

rter

-1

1.7

-12.

4-1

.86.

2-1

5.3

-13.

9-8

.2-3

.0-5

8.7

7.2

-26.

4

Nex

t q

ua

rter

-1

3.1

4.5

-19.

7-1

0.1

-21.

2-6

.90.

0-3

.0-8

.87.

50.

0

Cu

rren

t q

ua

rter

39

.250

.937

.147

.748

.838

.931

.223

.18.

416

.816

.4

Nex

t q

ua

rter

35

.639

.914

.242

.018

.729

.833

.313

.019

.427

.324

.9

Cu

rren

t q

ua

rter

41

.037

.332

.259

.942

.047

.948

.524

.635

.023

.732

.3

Nex

t q

ua

rter

42

.139

.932

.746

.919

.035

.746

.223

.820

.124

.930

.7

Cu

rren

t q

ua

rter

-9

.34.

27.

027

.2-1

2.6

-5.6

-7.1

-13.

9-7

.0-1

4.0

-20.

4

Nex

t q

ua

rter

6.

715

.13.

028

.2-1

1.1

14.4

8.1

-2.2

7.1

-8.6

-8.3

Cu

rren

t q

ua

rter

7.

6-1

6.1

1.8

10.3

7.1

10.0

6.4

-13.

20.

17.

5-1

0.0

Nex

t q

ua

rter

7.

6-1

6.1

1.8

10.3

7.1

10.0

6.4

-13.

20.

17.

5-1

0.0

Cu

rren

t q

ua

rter

-3

7.0

-26.

2-2

8.0

-43.

1-3

7.2

-22.

3-5

.3-8

.7-4

7.6

-8.0

-9.3

Nex

t q

ua

rter

-3

2.2

-19.

0-2

3.5

-35.

8-1

3.1

-4.0

-11.

7-2

.6-2

9.4

-25.

0-1

4.6

Cu

rren

t q

ua

rter

-4

.61.

7-2

.5-2

3.3

-9.6

16.3

-12.

50.

5-4

0.5

8.8

-23.

8

Nex

t q

ua

rter

-1

5.9

-3.8

-5.0

-24.

523

.4-4

.1-1

5.3

8.5

-28.

1-1

1.7

-25.

3

(a4

) B

ala

nce

sh

eet

rest

ruct

uri

ng

1(c)

. H

ow

has

ava

ilab

ilit

y o

f c

red

it p

rovi

de

d t

o la

rge

PN

FCs

ch

ange

d?

2(b

). H

ow

has

de

man

d f

or

ove

rdra

ft/

pe

rso

nal

loan

s

fro

m S

MA

LL B

USI

NES

SES

chan

ged

?

1(d

). H

ow

has

ava

ilab

ilit

y o

f c

red

it p

rovi

de

d t

o O

FCs

chan

ged

?

2014

2015

2016

1(b

). H

ow

has

ava

ilab

ilit

y o

f c

red

it p

rovi

de

d t

o

me

diu

m P

NFC

s c

han

ged

?

4(a)

. H

ow

has

th

e o

vera

ll a

vail

abil

ity

of

cre

dit

to

th

e

corp

ora

te s

ect

or

ch

ange

d?

2(a)

. H

ow

has

de

man

d f

or

cre

dit

car

ds

len

din

g f

rom

SMA

LL B

USI

NES

SES

chan

ged

?

(a2

)C

ap

ita

l In

vest

men

ts

2(f)

. H

ow

has

de

man

d f

or

len

din

g fr

om

OFC

s c

han

ged

?

(a1

)M

erg

er a

nd

acq

uis

itio

n

Of

wh

ich

: Co

mm

erci

al r

eal e

sta

te s

ecto

r

2(e

). H

ow

has

de

man

d f

or

len

din

g f

rom

Lar

ge P

NFC

s

chan

ged

?

(a3

) In

ven

tory

Fin

an

ce

(a5

) C

om

mer

cia

l R

eal E

sta

te

1(a)

. H

ow

has

ava

ilab

ilit

y o

f c

red

it p

rovi

de

d t

o s

mal

l

bu

sin

ess

es

ch

ange

d?

2(c)

. H

ow

has

de

man

d f

or

secu

red

len

din

g f

rom

SM

ALL

BU

SIN

ESSE

S ch

ange

d?

2(d

). H

ow

has

de

man

d f

or

len

din

g f

rom

Me

diu

m P

NFC

s

chan

ged

?

Page 13: Credit Conditions Survey Report - cenbank.gov.ng Q3 CCS... · Changes in spreads between bank rates and MPR ... (Question 6). Due to lenders stance on tightening the credit scoring

11

Table 3: Corporate Lending Questionnaire Results (Cont’d)

Q1

Q2

Q3

Q4

Q1

Q2

Q3

Q4

Q1

Q2

Q3

4(b

). F

acto

rs c

on

trib

uti

ng

to c

han

ges

in c

red

it a

vail

abil

ity.

Cu

rren

t q

ua

rter

-3

2.8

-38.

3-3

7.9

-44.

9-2

5.3

-59.

1-6

5.0

-65.

4-6

5.8

-55.

5-5

8.2

Nex

t q

ua

rter

-2

3.5

-17.

1-2

3.6

-38.

6-1

5.1

-50.

6-5

5.9

-62.

2-5

7.0

-40.

2-4

7.1

Cu

rren

t q

ua

rter

-2

9.4

-32.

0-3

0.2

-33.

2-2

5.6

-61.

6-5

4.5

-60.

0-5

6.4

-57.

8-5

0.7

Nex

t q

ua

rter

-2

6.0

-26.

1-2

9.6

-40.

2-2

5.4

-48.

5-5

5.5

-58.

4-3

1.6

-40.

3-4

4.3

Cu

rren

t q

ua

rter

-3

2.6

-27.

9-2

7.7

-35.

0-1

9.2

-34.

1-2

4.1

-43.

8-3

2.3

-40.

6-3

7.4

Nex

t q

ua

rter

-2

0.7

-22.

0-2

2.4

-31.

5-9

.1-6

.3-2

3.7

-22.

3-2

8.4

-31.

8-2

0.9

Cu

rren

t q

ua

rter

12

.617

.918

.816

.930

.524

.620

.223

.5-2

3.4

-17.

2-1

7.0

Nex

t q

ua

rter

12

.010

.518

.812

.825

.724

.05.

40.

4-2

6.2

-4.2

-14.

3

Cu

rren

t q

ua

rter

-1

4.2

-10.

1-2

5.3

-23.

1-1

8.8

-40.

8-3

2.3

-47.

2-3

1.6

-36.

8-2

8.2

Nex

t q

ua

rter

-5

.6-1

0.5

-13.

4-2

7.0

-5.3

-31.

0-2

3.4

-53.

1-3

2.9

-31.

2-3

9.9

Cu

rren

t q

ua

rter

-2

4.5

-13.

9-1

2.2

-35.

0-1

4.1

-17.

4-3

3.5

-36.

7-3

6.2

-25.

0-3

5.8

Nex

t q

ua

rter

-1

7.2

-18.

1-1

8.3

-37.

9-4

.5-3

1.1

-27.

3-3

9.3

-29.

8-2

9.8

-39.

9

Cu

rren

t q

ua

rter

-4

0.3

-24.

7-3

9.7

-35.

1-1

5.9

-35.

1-4

1.9

-45.

3-4

1.9

-45.

3-3

8.1

Nex

t q

ua

rter

-3

6.2

-35.

3-3

4.5

-38.

9-1

0.9

-38.

4-3

4.0

-37.

6-3

0.9

-32.

7-5

0.8

Cu

rren

t q

ua

rter

-6

.99.

60.

30.

4-5

.0-1

.1-3

.4-6

.67.

2-1

3.8

10.1

Nex

t q

ua

rter

-1

7.2

3.4

6.7

-3.9

-1.1

-9.6

-15.

5-7

.42.

7-1

3.8

0.7

Cu

rren

t q

ua

rter

-2

0.7

-11.

7-2

3.1

-11.

6-1

9.4

-16.

8-1

4.9

-23.

0-1

4.3

-13.

9-5

.7

Nex

t q

ua

rter

-2

4.0

-11.

8-1

0.3

-13.

5-2

.8-1

2.3

-14.

5-1

3.1

-14.

3-1

3.9

-14.

1

Cu

rren

t q

ua

rter

24

.641

.324

.334

.527

.423

.37.

6-1

4.4

0.2

26.1

-12.

7

Nex

t q

ua

rter

35

.332

.89.

036

.97.

431

.616

.410

.817

.823

.9-2

.5

Cu

rren

t q

ua

rter

23

.733

.223

.036

.229

.416

.21.

7-0

.4-2

.321

.0-6

.9

Nex

t q

ua

rter

24

.221

.2-0

.539

.0-1

9.4

10.6

5.8

2.4

3.5

12.4

-16.

4

Cu

rren

t q

ua

rter

30

.940

.639

.030

.225

.49.

7-3

.6-0

.5-6

.315

.1-1

2.6

Nex

t q

ua

rter

26

.527

.110

.737

.3-1

.814

.1-1

.3-7

.5-6

.57.

1-1

6.5

Cu

rren

t q

ua

rter

-8

.8-6

.51.

3-2

.45.

0-5

.2-9

.5-2

1.2

-2.2

1.5

-9.0

Nex

t q

ua

rter

-0

.1-5

.40.

4-4

.2-3

.81.

6-3

.3-3

.1-6

.63.

6-1

1.9

Cu

rren

t q

ua

rter

-5

.5-9

.9-4

.10.

0-2

.40.

00.

0-2

1.2

-5.5

6.5

3.1

Nex

t q

ua

rter

0.

3-3

.90.

0-1

.8-1

0.0

-6.5

-6.3

-1.4

-5.2

-0.3

-5.0

Cu

rren

t q

ua

rter

-1

3.3

-20.

5-1

4.1

-0.8

-6.2

-11.

0-6

.6-1

8.9

-41.

6-1

0.7

-21.

1

Nex

t q

ua

rter

-2

.2-7

.60.

0-1

.8-1

7.0

-6.7

-6.6

-9.1

-20.

8-1

0.4

-26.

1

Cu

rren

t q

ua

rter

-1

1.1

-6.4

-0.1

-10.

0-1

8.4

-5.3

-7.0

-3.3

9.9

-5.0

7.7

Nex

t q

ua

rter

-8

.2-1

5.2

-7.1

-10.

0-1

3.2

-7.4

-7.5

-6.6

4.6

-4.0

7.6

Cu

rren

t q

ua

rter

-9

.2-1

4.6

-15.

8-2

.4-1

0.6

-4.0

-14.

517

.219

.9-1

8.3

-16.

7

Nex

t q

ua

rter

-3

.0-4

.4-0

.4-4

.2-8

.4-5

.6-5

.7-4

.718

.4-1

4.7

-17.

9

Ap

pet

ite

for

risk

Wh

ole

sale

fun

din

g c

on

dit

ion

s

Liq

uid

ity

con

dit

ion

s

Eco

no

mic

ou

tlo

ok

Sect

or

spec

ific

ris

ks

Ma

rket

sh

are

ob

ject

ives

Ma

rket

pre

ssu

res

fro

m c

ap

ita

l ma

rket

s

QU

ESTI

ON

4(c1

). H

ow

hav

e c

om

me

rcia

l pro

pe

rty

pri

ces

affe

cte

d c

red

it

ava

ilab

ility

to

th

e co

mm

erci

al r

eal e

sta

te s

ecto

r?

6(a3

). H

ow

hav

e c

oll

atar

al r

eq

uir

em

en

ts f

or

loan

s to

sm

all

bu

sin

ess

es

chan

ged

?

2016

2015

2014

6(a2

). H

ow

hav

e f

ee

s/co

mm

issi

on

s o

n lo

ans

to s

mal

l

bu

sin

ess

es

chan

ged

?

6(a4

). H

ow

hav

e m

axim

um

cre

dit

lin

es

for

loan

s to

sm

all

bu

sin

ess

es

chan

ged

?

6(a5

). H

ow

hav

e L

oan

co

nve

nan

ts f

or

loan

s to

sm

all

bu

sin

ess

es

chan

ged

?

4(c2

). H

ow

hav

e c

om

me

rcia

l pro

pe

rty

pri

ces

affe

cte

d

secu

red

len

din

g to

PN

FCs?

5(a)

. H

ow

has

th

e p

rop

ort

ion

of

loan

ap

pli

cati

on

s fr

om

smal

l bu

sin

ess

es

be

ing

app

rove

d c

han

ged

?

5(b

). H

ow

has

th

e p

rop

ort

ion

of

loan

ap

pli

cati

on

s fr

om

me

diu

m P

NFC

s b

ein

g ap

pro

ved

ch

ange

d?

5(c)

. H

ow

has

th

e p

rop

ort

ion

of

loan

ap

pli

cati

on

s fr

om

larg

e

PN

FCs

be

ing

app

rove

d c

han

ged

?

6(a1

). H

ow

hav

e s

pre

ads

on

loan

s to

sm

all b

usi

ne

sse

s

chan

ged

?

Page 14: Credit Conditions Survey Report - cenbank.gov.ng Q3 CCS... · Changes in spreads between bank rates and MPR ... (Question 6). Due to lenders stance on tightening the credit scoring

12

Table 3: Corporate Lending Questionnaire Results (cont’d)

Q1

Q2

Q3

Q4

Q1

Q2

Q3

Q4

Q1

Q2

Q3

Cu

rren

t q

ua

rter

-4

.9-8

.8-7

.10.

0-9

.2-3

.6-1

.0-2

5.3

-8.6

-0.3

-13.

5

Nex

t q

ua

rter

1.

54.

74.

5-2

.2-9

.1-1

.1-2

.5-1

1.5

-8.5

-4.1

-12.

2

Cu

rren

t q

ua

rter

-4

.5-1

4.3

-10.

70.

0-8

.3-8

.6-1

.9-1

1.2

-11.

1-3

.8-3

.7

Nex

t q

ua

rter

0.

34.

64.

70.

0-3

.6-2

.6-6

.2-1

1.8

-20.

3-1

5.5

1.3

Cu

rren

t q

ua

rter

-1

0.2

-11.

0-9

.24.

9-1

3.6

-14.

5-1

0.8

-27.

8-2

3.7

-10.

5-2

1.8

Nex

t q

ua

rter

-1

.50.

00.

0-0

.5-1

4.0

-6.9

-8.9

-8.7

-20.

2-1

0.9

-21.

8

Cu

rren

t q

ua

rter

-1

.1-1

4.6

-7.2

-1.5

-8.5

-3.5

-8.1

-6.3

15.5

-12.

95.

3

Nex

t q

ua

rter

-2

.5-7

.8-3

.8-0

.5-7

.2-5

.7-5

.4-3

.15.

1-4

.36.

4

Cu

rren

t q

ua

rter

-1

.8-9

.8-9

.3-2

.4-4

.2-8

.5-1

7.0

9.0

31.6

-16.

4-1

9.9

Nex

t q

ua

rter

-1

.7-9

.0-1

.0-1

.9-5

.4-5

.1-6

.4-4

.613

.8-1

4.2

-15.

4

Cu

rren

t q

ua

rter

5.

26.

97.

10.

0-5

.33.

30.

3-1

0.7

-5.0

1.0

-6.3

Nex

t q

ua

rter

1.

5-0

.4-1

.0-0

.5-7

.30.

0-1

.1-1

1.1

-3.5

1.2

-10.

1

Cu

rren

t q

ua

rter

7.

76.

48.

70.

0-2

.4-8

.5-8

.1-1

7.7

-17.

81.

6-4

.8

Nex

t q

ua

rter

-5

.6-5

.4-5

.31.

70.

3-2

.10.

0-4

.4-5

.91.

3-4

.9

Cu

rren

t q

ua

rter

4.

2-1

.4-2

.9-1

.4-1

0.5

-8.3

-0.6

-24.

5-1

6.1

-12.

2-1

4.3

Nex

t q

ua

rter

-2

.5-1

.0-0

.9-3

.6-1

0.7

-3.5

1.3

-3.6

-15.

0-5

.0-1

8.8

Cu

rren

t q

ua

rter

-6

.0-1

1.1

-5.3

-0.2

-19.

4-5

.01.

10.

4-6

.0-1

.26.

2

Nex

t q

ua

rter

-7

.5-9

.0-0

.4-2

.4-1

.6-2

.2-2

.51.

77.

3-2

.614

.7

Cu

rren

t q

ua

rter

-2

.4-9

.2-2

.9-1

.0-1

.8-8

.0-1

.616

.8-1

5.5

-16.

9-9

.6

Nex

t q

ua

rter

-2

.8-8

.5-0

.9-3

.6-4

.4-5

.6-1

.1-3

.313

.3-1

2.7

-5.2

Cu

rren

t q

ua

rter

5.

78.

69.

30.

00.

14.

80.

8-1

.4-5

.91.

5-5

.4

Nex

t q

ua

rter

1.

20.

00.

0-0

.5-8

.40.

0-2

.2-1

3.8

-5.0

1.5

-12.

2

Cu

rren

t q

ua

rter

1.

3-1

.90.

20.

00.

0-3

.4-2

.1-1

.5-1

0.5

-2.5

3.2

Nex

t q

ua

rter

0.

80.

00.

0-0

.6-1

.4-2

.30.

0-6

.1-7

.5-2

.5-6

.8

Cu

rren

t q

ua

rter

-9

.6-0

.41.

2-1

.6-1

0.4

-4.0

-5.0

-8.1

-17.

5-7

.9-1

1.4

Nex

t q

ua

rter

-2

.90.

00.

0-1

.6-8

.9-4

.0-4

.4-8

.6-1

4.6

-3.9

-18.

2

Cu

rren

t q

ua

rter

-2

.2-5

.7-1

.7-1

.6-4

.3-1

.23.

8-0

.3-4

.81.

918

.4

Nex

t q

ua

rter

2.

8-4

.40.

0-4

.11.

4-2

.5-1

.6-2

.0-1

.6-2

.38.

2

Cu

rren

t q

ua

rter

-2

.7-4

.7-0

.4-4

.1-4

.2-4

.0-5

.1-3

.5-1

4.3

-15.

2-8

.6

Nex

t q

ua

rter

-3

.2-4

.40.

0-4

.1-6

.9-5

.8-1

.6-4

.0-8

.0-1

5.8

-7.2

QU

ESTI

ON

2016

2015

2014

6(b

1).

Ho

w h

ave

sp

read

s o

n lo

ans

to m

ed

ium

PN

FCs

chan

ged

?

6(b

2).

Ho

w h

ave

fe

es/

com

mis

sio

ns

on

loan

s to

me

diu

m

PN

FCs

chan

ged

?

6(b

3).

Ho

w h

ave

co

llat

aral

re

qu

ire

me

nts

fo

r lo

ans

tom

ed

ium

PN

FCs

chan

ged

?

6(b

4).

Ho

w h

ave

max

imu

m c

red

it li

ne

s fo

r lo

ans

to m

ed

ium

PN

FCs

chan

ged

?

6(b

5).

Ho

w h

ave

Lo

an c

on

ven

ants

fo

r lo

ans

to m

ed

ium

PN

FCs

chan

ged

?

6(c1

). H

ow

hav

e s

pre

ads

on

loan

s to

larg

e P

NFC

s ch

ange

d?

6(c2

). H

ow

hav

e f

ee

s/co

mm

issi

on

s o

n lo

ans

to la

rge

PN

FCs

chan

ged

?

6(c3

). H

ow

hav

e c

oll

atar

al r

eq

uir

em

en

ts f

or

loan

s to

larg

e

PN

FCs

chan

ged

?

6(d

5).

Ho

w h

ave

Lo

an c

on

ven

ants

fo

r lo

ans

toO

FCs

chan

ged

?

6(c4

). H

ow

hav

e m

axim

um

cre

dit

lin

es

for

loan

s to

larg

e

PN

FCs

chan

ged

?

6(c5

). H

ow

hav

e L

oan

co

nve

nan

ts f

or

loan

s to

larg

e P

NFC

s

chan

ged

?

6(d

1).

Ho

w h

ave

sp

read

s o

n lo

ans

to O

FCs

chan

ged

?

6(d

2).

Ho

w h

ave

fe

es/

com

mis

sio

ns

on

loan

s to

OFC

s

chan

ged

?

6(d

3).

Ho

w h

ave

co

llat

aral

re

qu

ire

me

nts

fo

r lo

ans

to O

FCs

chan

ged

?

6(d

4).

Ho

w h

ave

max

imu

m c

red

it li

ne

s fo

r lo

ans

to O

FCs

chan

ged

?

Page 15: Credit Conditions Survey Report - cenbank.gov.ng Q3 CCS... · Changes in spreads between bank rates and MPR ... (Question 6). Due to lenders stance on tightening the credit scoring

13

Table 3: Corporate Lending Questionnaire Results (cont’d)

Q1

Q2

Q3

Q4

Q1

Q2

Q3

Q4

Q1

Q2

Q3

Curr

ent q

uart

er

-11.

514

.3-1

1.8

-21.

0-7

.44.

75.

7-8

.96.

613

.118

.3

Nex

t qua

rter

-1

0.6

-2.7

1.8

-22.

8-1

4.0

-13.

0-6

.9-6

.1-1

.211

.215

.5

Curr

ent q

uart

er

-21.

6-5

.7-2

1.6

-24.

1-1

1.3

-0.8

0.6

1.3

-1.2

12.6

9.6

Nex

t qua

rter

-1

0.6

-2.7

1.8

-27.

7-1

4.0

-17.

4-5

.5-6

.10.

87.

77.

8

Curr

ent q

uart

er

-25.

8-2

1.7

-26.

8-2

3.0

-17.

2-2

1.6

-7.2

-1.1

-6.1

3.1

3.8

Nex

t qua

rter

-1

4.7

-12.

4-3

.9-2

5.8

-15.

5-1

0.4

-0.6

-2.0

-0.8

5.7

5.8

Curr

ent q

uart

er

-16.

9-1

0.9

-13.

9-2

4.1

-10.

3-7

.73.

2-6

.03.

311

.71.

9

Nex

t qua

rter

-1

0.7

-12.

9-3

.9-2

7.7

-14.

2-6

.1-4

.8-3

.40.

57.

82.

5

Curr

ent q

uart

er

-16.

1-3

.4-5

.3-1

6.1

-9.4

-0.6

-1.1

-19.

6-2

.317

.015

.4

Nex

t qua

rter

-1

7.0

-14.

2-2

1.0

-14.

2-1

4.1

-8.6

-13.

3-1

0.2

-22.

1-0

.1-7

.8

Curr

ent q

uart

er

-22.

3-1

5.0

-16.

2-1

5.3

-11.

41.

50.

8-9

.6-1

.715

.69.

6

Nex

t qua

rter

-2

3.3

-11.

7-1

8.0

-15.

2-1

3.4

-6.4

-13.

2-1

0.1

-22.

3-2

.3-7

.0

Curr

ent q

uart

er

-28.

9-1

9.1

-21.

6-1

4.4

-17.

3-1

1.5

-11.

53.

2-9

.48.

01.

4

Nex

t qua

rter

-2

5.7

-16.

3-1

8.7

-15.

8-7

.5-6

.0-1

0.9

-3.6

-14.

34.

2-0

.9

Curr

ent q

uart

er

-19.

0-2

4.3

-13.

4-9

.3-1

.2-0

.6-1

.0-1

.22.

813

.98.

3

Nex

t qua

rter

-1

8.5

-14.

7-7

.9-1

1.5

-1.2

-6.1

-1.6

-5.1

-11.

06.

50.

8

Curr

ent q

uart

er

8.3

10.3

14.5

9.8

10.0

0.1

15.0

0.2

11.3

21.7

11.3

Nex

t qua

rter

15

.113

.72.

112

.17.

26.

09.

815

.216

.813

.88.

1

Curr

ent q

uart

er

12.6

16.2

10.5

3.5

13.9

6.2

14.7

-2.0

14.4

19.7

8.3

Nex

t qua

rter

15

.111

.2-4

.67.

415

.09.

712

.17.

813

.717

.53.

1

Curr

ent q

uart

er

11.1

11.5

6.7

0.7

5.0

5.5

10.7

15.5

-15.

813

.73.

8

Nex

t qua

rter

13

.33.

7-7

.6-0

.29.

82.

510

.74.

7-0

.115

.86.

1

Curr

ent q

uart

er

2.4

7.3

5.0

10.3

6.5

-1.0

6.3

-12.

5-3

.211

.5-1

0.7

Nex

t qua

rter

11

.22.

3-3

.411

.215

.84.

42.

3-0

.10.

19.

8-4

.0

7(a)

. H

ow h

as t

he d

efau

lt ra

te o

n lo

ans

to s

mal

l bus

ines

ses

chan

ged?

7(b)

H

ow h

as th

e de

faul

t rat

e on

loa

ns to

med

ium

PN

FCs

chan

ged?

7(c)

. H

ow h

as th

e de

faul

t rat

e on

loa

ns to

larg

e PN

FCs

chan

ged?

9(d)

. H

as th

ere

been

a c

hang

e in

dra

w d

own

on c

omm

itte

d

lines

by

PNFC

s?

8(a)

. H

ow h

ave

loss

es g

iven

def

ault

on

loan

s to

sm

all

busi

ness

es c

hang

ed?

8(b)

. H

ow h

ave

loss

es g

iven

def

ault

on

loan

s to

med

ium

PNFC

s cha

nged

?

8(c)

. H

ow h

ave

loss

es g

iven

def

ault

on

loan

s to

larg

e PN

FCs

chan

ged?

8(d)

. H

ow h

ave

loss

es g

iven

def

ault

on

loan

s to

OFC

s

chan

ged?

7(d)

. H

ow h

as th

e de

faul

t rat

e on

loa

ns to

OFC

s cha

nged

?

9(a)

. H

as t

here

bee

n a

chan

ged

in a

vera

ge c

redi

t qua

lity

on

new

ly a

rang

ed P

NFC

s bor

row

ing

faci

litie

s?

9(b)

. H

as th

ere

been

any

cha

nge

in ta

rget

hol

d le

vels

asso

ciat

ed w

ith

corp

orat

e le

ndin

g?

9(c)

. H

ow h

ave

loan

teno

rs o

n ne

w c

orpo

rate

loan

s

chan

ged?

QU

ESTI

ON

S20

1620

1520

14