credible assurance to the international community

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Credible Assurance to the International Community Jill N. Cooley Director, Division of Concepts and Planning Department of Safeguards Special Symposium for the IAEA 50 th Anniversary Global Challenges for the Future of Nuclear Energy and the IAEA 11 April 2007

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Page 1: Credible Assurance to the International Community

Credible Assurance to the International Community

Jill N. CooleyDirector, Division of Concepts and Planning

Department of Safeguards

Special Symposium for the IAEA 50th AnniversaryGlobal Challenges for the Future of Nuclear Energy and the IAEA

11 April 2007

Page 2: Credible Assurance to the International Community

IAEA Safeguards• Purpose - To provide assurance about

the exclusively peaceful use of nuclear material and facilities

• Objectives - Timely detection of diversion and deterrence through risk of early detection

• Task - To verify correctness and completeness of declarations made by States

Page 3: Credible Assurance to the International Community

IAEA Safeguards• Purpose - To provide assurance about

the exclusively peaceful use of nuclear material and facilities

• Objectives - Timely detection of diversion and deterrence through risk of early detection

• Task - To verify correctness and completeness of declarations made by States

Page 4: Credible Assurance to the International Community

Waste StorageWaste Storage

Nuclear Fuel Cycle

Page 5: Credible Assurance to the International Community

Waste StorageWaste Storage

Safeguards coverage under a ComprehensiveSafeguards Agreement

Nuclear Fuel Cycle

Page 6: Credible Assurance to the International Community

Nuclear Material Accountancy

Inspectors counting and identifying fresh fuel at a power reactor

Verification of UF6 cylinders

Page 7: Credible Assurance to the International Community

Containment and Surveillance

Surveillance cameras being servicedSealing of a spent fuel rack

Page 8: Credible Assurance to the International Community

Strengthening the Safeguards System

Right of Special Inspections reaffirmed; Early provision of DI

Voluntary Reporting Scheme (VRS)

BOG EndorsesPart I Measures: e.g.,Remote Monitoring

Environmental Sampling Broader Information

BOG Approves ModelAdditional Protocol

Np/Am MonitoringScheme

1994 19981996 2000 2001 2003 20041992 1993 1995 1997 1999 2002 20051991

Programme 93 + 2

Development of Conceptual Framework for Integrated Safeguards

Discovery of Iraq’sClandestine Nuclear Weapons Programme

Page 9: Credible Assurance to the International Community

Waste StorageWaste Storage

Safeguards coverage under a ComprehensiveSafeguards Agreement

New Legal Authority

Page 10: Credible Assurance to the International Community

Expanded coverage with an Additional ProtocolWaste Storage

Waste StorageSafeguards coverage under a Comprehensive

Safeguards Agreement

New Legal Authority

Page 11: Credible Assurance to the International Community

Advanced Technologies

Environmental Sampling

Site

Telephone

Satellite dish

Telephone

Remote Monitoring

Satellite Imagery

Page 12: Credible Assurance to the International Community

Broader Information Sources

Nuclear material accountancy; facility design information

Voluntaryreporting

Additional protocoldeclarations

State-suppliedinformation

Inspection

Design informationverification (DIV)

Complementaryaccess

Resultsof verification

activitiesOpen and

other sources

Otherinformation

Page 13: Credible Assurance to the International Community

State Level Approach to Safeguards• Use of all information about a State’s nuclear programme to

plan, implement and evaluate safeguards activities in a State (“information driven”).

• A comprehensive State evaluation, conducted to provide as complete a picture as possible of a State’s nuclear programme, used as basis for drawing safeguards conclusions.

• For a State with a comprehensive safeguards agreement (CSA) and an additional protocol (AP) in force, the objective is to draw the broader safeguards conclusion.

• With a broader conclusion, it is possible to optimize safeguards implementation under CSAs and APs –Integrated Safeguards.

Page 14: Credible Assurance to the International Community

Challenges to Safeguards Implementation

• Implementing additional protocols in more States

• Drawing the broader safeguards conclusion and moving to integrated safeguards

• Safeguarding complicated and different types of facilities

Page 15: Credible Assurance to the International Community

Major Safeguards Implementation Efforts

• Rokkasho Reprocessing Plant• JMOX Project• Chernobyl• Enrichment plants in U.S. and France• India• DPRK

Page 16: Credible Assurance to the International Community

Development of New ApproachesDecommissioning

Pebble bed reactors

Geological Repository

Page 17: Credible Assurance to the International Community

Further Strengthening of Safeguards• Conclusion and full implementation of existing safeguards instruments–All NNWS NPT parties to conclude CSAs–States to fulfill all legal obligations under safeguards agreements and APs

–All States to conclude APs• Expanding technical capabilities (expanding the NWAL; broadening satellite imagery; use of novel technologies)

• Broader information

Page 18: Credible Assurance to the International Community

Some Implementation Statistics for 2005• Number of facilities under safeguards 925

(in 72 States)• Nuclear material under safeguards 140 000 SQs (90 t Pu; 845 t Pu in spent fuel; 30 t HEU; 57 t LEU)

• Number of Inspections 2 150• Number of complementary accesses 160• Metal seals (detached and verified) 17 500• Other seals (verified in situ) 9 700• Nuclear material samples 800• Environmental samples 800

Regular Budget: $109 M; Extrabudgetary: $13M