creating the forecast
DESCRIPTION
fORECASTTRANSCRIPT
Creating the Forecast Profile UseTo run a forecast, a profile needs to be set up. This contains a reference to the key figure corrected historical on which a forecast can be generated and a target key figure where the forecast results can written to. In this configuration guide an automatic forecasting model will be chosen based upon the historical data.Procedure1. To Access the activity, use one of the following navigation option: Transaction code/SAPAPO/MC96B
SAP SCM MenuAdvanced Planning Optimization Demand Planning Environment Maintain Forecast Profiles
1. On the Maintain Forecast Profile screen, choose the Master prfl. tab page and make the following entries:Field nameUser action and valuesComment
Basic Settings
Planning areaYDP_PAYour planning area
Master prflYDP_MFPYour master forecast profile name
DescriptionMaster profileYour profile description
Forecast key figureZY93_BK07The key figure used to keep statistic forecast result
Additional Settings
Period indicatorMMonths
Forecast Horizon
Periods24 Define a time period for your forecast horizon
History Horizon
Periods24Define a time period for your history horizon
Model Selection
Univariate forecastselect checkbox for univariate forecast
Univariate forecast profileYDP_UFP
1. Choose Enter. If the information window with the information the profile does not exist is displayed, ignore by choosing Enter.1. Choose the Univariate prfl tab page and enter the following values:Field nameUser action and valuesComment
Basic Settings
TextUNIVARIATE, WITH AUTO SELECTION
Read historical data
Key figureZY93_BK06Corrected Sales History as base data for forecast
Version001
Model parameters
Forecast strategy56Forecast with automatic model selection 2
Alpha0.35
Beta0.35
Gamma0.35
Sigma1.25
Periods12Then choose Enter
Error MeasureMAD
Alpha Start Value0.15
Alpha End Value0.35
Alpha Increment0.1
Beta Start Value0.15
Beta End Value0.35
Beta Increment0.1
Gamma Start Value0.15
Gamma End Value0.35
Gamma Increment0.1
Control parameters
Outlier CorrectionNone
Forecast Errors
MAD
MSE
RMSE
MAPE
MPE
Error total
Regarding the parameters mentioned in the table above, (that is, Alpha, Beta), here we use dot as decimal point. If you are using comma as decimal point, please replace the dot with comma in the table above, to make sure the input can be accepted by the system.
1. Choose Save single profile, and then choose Adopt. The Univariate profile has been assigned to the master profile. Choose the Mater Prfl. tab page, choose Save. The master forecast profile has been