creating the forecast

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Creating the Forecast Profile Use To run a forecast, a profile needs to be set up. This contains a reference to the key figure corrected historical on which a forecast can be generated and a target key figure where the forecast results can written to. In this configuration guide an automatic forecasting model will be chosen based upon the historical data. Procedure 1. To Access the activity, use one of the following navigation option: Transaction code /SAPAPO/MC96B SAP SCM Menu Advanced Planning Optimization Demand Planning Environment Maintain Forecast Profiles 2. On the Maintain Forecast Profile screen, choose the Master prfl. tab page and make the following entries: Field name User action and values Comment Basic Settings Planning area YDP_PA Your planning area Master prfl YDP_MFP Your master forecast profile name Description Master profile Your profile description Forecast key figure ZY93_BK07 The key figure used to keep statistic forecast result Additional Settings Period indicator M Months Forecast Horizon Periods 24 Define a time period for your forecast horizon

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fORECAST

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Creating the Forecast Profile UseTo run a forecast, a profile needs to be set up. This contains a reference to the key figure corrected historical on which a forecast can be generated and a target key figure where the forecast results can written to. In this configuration guide an automatic forecasting model will be chosen based upon the historical data.Procedure1. To Access the activity, use one of the following navigation option: Transaction code/SAPAPO/MC96B

SAP SCM MenuAdvanced Planning Optimization Demand Planning Environment Maintain Forecast Profiles

1. On the Maintain Forecast Profile screen, choose the Master prfl. tab page and make the following entries:Field nameUser action and valuesComment

Basic Settings

Planning areaYDP_PAYour planning area

Master prflYDP_MFPYour master forecast profile name

DescriptionMaster profileYour profile description

Forecast key figureZY93_BK07The key figure used to keep statistic forecast result

Additional Settings

Period indicatorMMonths

Forecast Horizon

Periods24 Define a time period for your forecast horizon

History Horizon

Periods24Define a time period for your history horizon

Model Selection

Univariate forecastselect checkbox for univariate forecast

Univariate forecast profileYDP_UFP

1. Choose Enter. If the information window with the information the profile does not exist is displayed, ignore by choosing Enter.1. Choose the Univariate prfl tab page and enter the following values:Field nameUser action and valuesComment

Basic Settings

TextUNIVARIATE, WITH AUTO SELECTION

Read historical data

Key figureZY93_BK06Corrected Sales History as base data for forecast

Version001

Model parameters

Forecast strategy56Forecast with automatic model selection 2

Alpha0.35

Beta0.35

Gamma0.35

Sigma1.25

Periods12Then choose Enter

Error MeasureMAD

Alpha Start Value0.15

Alpha End Value0.35

Alpha Increment0.1

Beta Start Value0.15

Beta End Value0.35

Beta Increment0.1

Gamma Start Value0.15

Gamma End Value0.35

Gamma Increment0.1

Control parameters

Outlier CorrectionNone

Forecast Errors

MAD

MSE

RMSE

MAPE

MPE

Error total

Regarding the parameters mentioned in the table above, (that is, Alpha, Beta), here we use dot as decimal point. If you are using comma as decimal point, please replace the dot with comma in the table above, to make sure the input can be accepted by the system.

1. Choose Save single profile, and then choose Adopt. The Univariate profile has been assigned to the master profile. Choose the Mater Prfl. tab page, choose Save. The master forecast profile has been