creating and ruling block-buster categories fdin, june 2010 presented by david jago
TRANSCRIPT
Creating and ruling block-buster categories
FDIN, June 2010
Presented by David Jago
2© 2010 Mintel International Group. All rights reserved. Confidential to Mintel.
Today’s presentation
Being in the right place at the right time with the right product and the right price
It’s obvious, but…
What should have stood the test of time, but didn’t?
Why, and could it have been saved?
What tracking hundreds and thousands of product launches worldwide has taught us
Good innovation and ongoing product development
You need both, but real innovation is rare…
The winning habits of category creators and rulers
When to innovate, when to develop or change, and when to stick to your guns
3© 2010 Mintel International Group. All rights reserved. Confidential to Mintel.
Looking back, what should have stood the test of time, but didn’t?
Nabisco’s SnackWell’s brand in the USA started life as a range of low fat alternatives
It moved to sugar-free as the market shifted beyond fat-free (and taste-free)
It picked up on the low carb fad with CarbWell extensions
It went back to sugar-free, but too late…
4© 2010 Mintel International Group. All rights reserved. Confidential to Mintel.
Some innovations were just “too clever”
Douwe Egberts launched Café Switch in the UK in autumn 2006
A liquid blend of coffee, milk and sweeteners in a dual-compartment “pod” to be squeezed repeatedly to produce a smooth froth, before mixing with water in the cup
Achieved reasonable distribution and sold when promoted…
5© 2010 Mintel International Group. All rights reserved. Confidential to Mintel.
Others got the timing wrong…
Nescafe Hot When You Want, self-heating canned coffee, launched in the UK in 2001
Problems with package functionality and safety issue…
But also launched into the period of the coffee shop explosion…
6© 2010 Mintel International Group. All rights reserved. Confidential to Mintel.
What should have done better?
What went wrong?
Right place, right time, right product, right price…
Could it have been “saved”?
7© 2010 Mintel International Group. All rights reserved. Confidential to Mintel.
New Covent Garden, juice
Range of apple based juices launched January 2009
Pressed and squeezed from 100% fresh apples with no concentrate or added water
Bottle format offers differentiation
Sales of best-selling varieties peaked after 3 months, since withdrawn
Brand equity didn’t transfer well to juices category?
Entry into a category that was increasingly commoditised, especially with effects of economic downturn
8© 2010 Mintel International Group. All rights reserved. Confidential to Mintel.
Kellogg FrutaBü
Launched April 2008 as the latest attempt to break into the BFY fruit snacks segment
100% fruit and fruit juice in a 29g pouch pack, “helping you get more fruit”
Failed to reach more than 40% distribution at peak in first 6 months
Kellogg’s brand “down-played”
Convenience attributes were clear versus fresh fruit, but the package format was likely to confuse (snack or beverage?)
Targeting not clear?
9© 2010 Mintel International Group. All rights reserved. Confidential to Mintel.
Oxo ready-to-use stock
Launched 2007 as a logical, added value extension to the Oxo brand
Affordable price point: 450ml at 99p
Failed to reach more than 20% distribution, sales fell significantly after about 20 weeks
Oxo brand association with granules and cubes didn’t transfer well to ready to use stock?
A little early to capitalise on ongoing trends towards home cooking?
Competition followed with Knorr Stock Pots, shelf-stable, concentrated premium stock at £1.98 for an 8-pack to make 4 litres
Achieved 80% distribution within 8 weeks, single varieties have average weekly sales of £50,000 each
10© 2010 Mintel International Group. All rights reserved. Confidential to Mintel.
Schwan’s Ugly frozen pizza
Launched June 2008 under the strapline “Looks aren’t everything, taste is”
Focus entirely on quality of ingredients (specific cheeses, mushrooms, olive oil dough, etc.) and bake at home message
Sales fell after initial burst, distribution not much over 20%
Brave proposition… perhaps a little too brave?
Compare and contrast to premium chilled pizza that typically communicates same values, with visibility
11© 2010 Mintel International Group. All rights reserved. Confidential to Mintel.
Tropicana smoothies
Launched February 2008 in 1 litre at £2.99, and 250ml
June 2009, new 750ml carton at £1.99, “smaller pack, better value”
12© 2010 Mintel International Group. All rights reserved. Confidential to Mintel.
Slim-Fast Hunger Shot (Unilever)
Launched February 2008 as a radical development of the Slim-Fast brand
Took the brand from the negatives of slimming into a more positive and inclusive approach, hunger management
Small bottle format was already well established in dairy-based health drinks, and Unilever had experience via Flora products
Sales peaked after about 4 months, at 40% distribution
Price competition in the chill cabinet created an unfavourable environment
Private label (Tesco) present
Market opportunity simply “too small”?
13© 2010 Mintel International Group. All rights reserved. Confidential to Mintel.
The winning habits of category creators and rulers
Category creation is rare… in recent years
Many category rulers are “unique”, long-established, and have stayed largely through factors other than (product) innovation:
Marmite, Ribena, Coca-Cola, Hovis, Heinz soup, Nescafé…
But Red Bull, New Covent Garden Soup, Innocent smoothies, Bottle Green elderflower pressé, Snack-a-Jacks… all could be said to be category creators and maintain a strong position despite imitators and lower-priced alternatives
14© 2010 Mintel International Group. All rights reserved. Confidential to Mintel.
What do they have in common?
Winning factors include, but are not restricted to:
Specialism – brands that are indelibly tied to a category
A focus on categories that are not commoditised, where private label is (relatively) weak
Heavyweight support
Significant differentiation in key brand/product attributes
Development of package/flavour formats in tune with trends, while remaining very loyal to core attributes (not stretching too far)
Cautious innovation
Knowing when to innovate, when to develop or change, and when to stick to your guns
15© 2010 Mintel International Group. All rights reserved. Confidential to Mintel.
Wrigley = chewing gum
Heritage
Authenticity
Specialism
Small number of strong brands that appeal to distinct segments
Strong, steady rather than spectacular NPD that can draw on development in other markets esp USA
Strong flavour and packaging development
A category that has virtually no private label and just one other strong player
16© 2010 Mintel International Group. All rights reserved. Confidential to Mintel.
Wrigley product development 2005-2007
2005 2006 2007
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Wrigley product development 2008-2010
2008 2009 2010
Flavour extensions
?
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Hellmann’s = mayonnaise
Focus on “real food” values
Authenticity
Specialism
Brand development has focused on increased consumption occasions, rather than short-term flavour appeal
Small number of SKUs, each with appeal to a distinct segment, but all in line with core brand attributes
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Hellmann’s product development 2007-2009
2007 2008 2009
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Heinz = tomato ketchup
Enjoys very strong position of trust
Authenticity and real food values
Consistency, tradition
Brand development has focused primarily on convenience (pro and con), as well as appeal to distinct segments in line with ongoing trends
Flavour developments have been cautious…
21© 2010 Mintel International Group. All rights reserved. Confidential to Mintel.
Heinz ketchup product development, 2005-2009
2005 2007 20092006 2008
22© 2010 Mintel International Group. All rights reserved. Confidential to Mintel.
Ruling brands are “loved”
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And are entrenched in everyday consumer behaviour
24© 2010 Mintel International Group. All rights reserved. Confidential to Mintel.
Ruling brands are reliable, traditional, authentic…
The antithesis of new and innovative?
Brands remain loyal to core attributes, and rely on existing mechanisms of trust…
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
Reliable Traditional Authentic Comforting Healthy Fun
Hellmanns Heinz Average
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Conclusions
Fundamental consumer attitudes are consistent:
Health, convenience, authenticity and provenance remain key drivers
Balance and compromise are important key words, especially now
Brands' mechanisms of trust are in still in place
Transparency, authenticity, authority…
Emotional attachment is critical
Real engagement can draw the consumer to premium segments, to trade up as an affordable treat
Provided it offers value for money (important at the top and the bottom end of the market)
Right now, it’s about value with values…
Attitudes towards changing own-label grocery
purchases in the last 12 months, December 2009 Base: 1,000 internet users aged 16+
27
3
4
5
18
37
39
41
0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40 45
None of these
When the economy recovers I w ill buy moreow n-label products
When the economy recovers I w ill buy lessow n-label products
I’ve sw itched from branded to ow n-label but w illsw itch back w hen I have more money
I’ve sw itched from branded to ow n label but w illkeep buying ow n label w hen I have more money
When the economy recovers I w ill keep buyingthe same amount of ow n-label
The recession has encouraged me to try moreow n-label products
The recession has made me think hard aboutw hether brands are w orth paying more for
%
Source: Toluna/ Mintel
Brands struggle to maintain relevance
Consumer attitudes towards branded and own-label products, December 2009
Source: Toluna/ Mintel
Base: 1,000 internet users aged 16+
6
15
22
26
28
29
34
44
46
0 10 20 30 40 50
None of these
I am suspicious of ow n-label products dueto the low price
Branded products are better but not w orthpaying more for
I think branded food products are betterquality
There is no difference in quality betw eenbranded and ow n-label products
When it comes to some foods I w ill alw aysbuy branded
It's w orth paying more for branded goodsin some areas
Buying ow n-label instead of branded is aneasy w ay to save money
There are some food products w here it'snot w orth paying more for brands
%
But higher cost perceptions still a challenge
28© 2010 Mintel International Group. All rights reserved. Confidential to Mintel.
And bear in mind:
Great concepts can fail for a variety of reasons
What didn’t work then might work now
Don’t overdo flavour/line extensions
New flavours should maintain consumer interest in the category, not create additional sales via a separate brand equity!
Steal with pride
Copy and improve
Consumers seem to have a narrow tolerance for new things—you can’t make it too much of a disconnect
The end result has to have real, tangible benefits