creating a world class supply chain to unlock the galilee basin
DESCRIPTION
James Moutafis, SVP Coal Business Development, QR National delivered this presentation at the Galilee Basin Coal & Energy Conference 2012. This two day event looks at the significant proposed investment in the Galilee area including coal mining, underground coal gasification, coal seam gas, geothermal, shale and much more, bringing together the wide variety of explorers, project developers, service providers and government representatives under the one roof. For more information about the annual industry gathering in Brisbane/Australia please visit the conference website: http://bit.ly/1fvyzHzTRANSCRIPT
James Moutafis SVP Coal Business Development
Creating a World Class Supply Chain to Unlock the Galilee Basin
12th November, 2012
Creating a World Class Supply Chain to Unlock the Galilee Basin
12 November 2012
James Moutafis
SVP Coal Business Development
2
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Presentation is a summary only
This Presentation contains information in a summary form only and does not purport to be complete and is qualified in its
entirety by, and should be read in conjunction with, QR National’s 2012 financial report. Any information or opinions
expressed in this Presentation are subject to change without notice. QR National is not under any obligation to update or
keep current the information contained in this Presentation.
Forward-looking statements
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based on the current beliefs, assumptions, expectations, estimates and projections of QR National. These statements are
not guarantees or predictions of future performance, and involve both known and unknown risks, uncertainties and other
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Disclaimer
3
Coal’s increase in its dominant share of the world’s energy future is driven by urbanisation trends in China and India
Source: United Nations Department of Economic and Social Affairs, IEA WEO 2011, World Bank 2012
Urbanised population Billions of people
2010 (a) 1990 (a)
2.5
5.0
4.5
4.0
2.0
1.5
1.0
0.5
0.0
3.5
+30%
Rest of
World
China
India
2025 (f)
3.0
4.1%
1.9%
1.9%
2.8%
3.0%
CAGR
2009-2030
0
5,000
10,000
15,000
20,000
25,000
30,000
35,000
40,000
21%
16%
13%
8%
2.8%
Coal
Gas
Hydro
Nuclear
Other
42%
2030 (f)
43%
22%
14%
11%
11%
21%
15%
12%
10%
2009 (a) 2020 (f)
41%
Global electricity generation TWh
4
Australian miners are pursuing cost savings and productivity improvements to regain competitiveness
Source: ABS, CSLS, Minerals Council of Australia, MCA PJP “Opportunity at Risk”, Sept 2012, QRC 31 May 2012.
Australian Mining Productivity vs Industry
Appreciating Australian Dollar
Increased labour, energy and transport costs
Rising capital costs
Development approval delays
e.g. 18 months in 2005 to 3 years currently
Multifactor productivity index (index, 1997 = 100)
2004 2002 2000 2010 1996
100
Australia
Canada
80
100
90
110
120
70
140
130
2012
0
2006 2008 1998
5
*Indicative map only – not to scale
Some of the Galilee Challenges
Alpha Mine (GVK Hancock)
Carmichael Mine
(Adani)
Degulla Mine (Vale)
China Stone Mine
(MacMines)
China First Mine (Waratah)
Kevin’s Corner Mine (GVK)
South Galilee Project Mine
(AMCI Bandanna)
• Rapid volume ramp-up to lower unit costs
• Infrastructure cost which supports
development
Delivery of new port capacity, ie
Dudgeon Point progressing, revised
Abbot Point process imminent
300-500km of rail from mine to port, eg
terrain, hydrology and ground conditions,
landowners, environmental issues
Other services e.g. water, electricity,
roads
• Logistics of remote locations
• Large upfront capital investment in
challenging capital market conditions
The Galilee Opportunity*
The challenges facing the development of the Galilee Basin are well recognised
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180km of new rail
construction
Upgrades to 220km of existing rail
Additional passing loops and
duplications
Level crossing
upgrades
Signalling and communication
upgrades
Technological innovations for
rollingstock and facility
optimisation
~2,500 jobs throughout construction
~750 operational jobs
Alpha Mine (GVK Hancock)
Carmichael Mine
(Adani)
Degulla Mine (Vale)
China Stone Mine
(MacMines)
China First Mine (Waratah)
Kevin’s Corner Mine (GVK)
South Galilee Project Mine
(AMCI Bandanna)
Indicative map only – not to scale
Central Queensland Galilee Rail Project (CQIRP)
QR National’s solution for unlocking the Galilee Basin
7
Y5 Y1
Year
>$1bn
Y0
Ca
pita
l E
xp
en
ditu
re (
$M
)
Y2 Y4 Y3
Greenfield Standard Gauge
CQIRP Narrow Gauge
When compared to greenfield standard gauge rail, CQIRP reduces upfront capital expenditures by >$1bn and provides flexibility in matching below rail capacity to mine ramp-ups
CQIRP reduces upfront capital
expenditures by an estimated
>$1bn
CQIRP matches below rail
capacity to eventual mine
ramp-up tonnages through
staged investments in the
brownfield network
This will ease the
financing requirements
of Galilee Basin projects and
reduce investment risk
Ability to stage investment to
match mine ramp-up volumes
Below Rail Capital Expenditure Comparison for the
Galilee Basin
Source: QR National Team Analysis
8
CQIRP will provide Galilee Basin projects a lower unit cost across a range of production ramp-ups and peak tonnages
Increased train length
4km (Double Goonyella length)
Higher payloads > 20,000t
Flattened ruling grades in
the Newlands corridor
Above and below rail innovations
Lower upfront capex and
staged capacity expansions
Source: QR National Team Analysis
Indicative Rail Unit Cost Comparison
90 60 30
CQIRP Narrow Gauge
Greenfield Standard Gauge
Target Throughput (Mtpa)
Unit C
ost/
To
nn
e
Note: Key variables ramp-up profile, discount rate
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Outstanding safety standards and practices
Independent consolidator incentivised to maximise
throughput
Provide access to all Central
Queensland coal ports
Maximise asset utilisation through existing infrastructure
Innovative technological and operational developments
Reducing capital intensity through staged development aligning
expenditure to ramp up profiles
Long term sustainable economic growth for local communities
145 years of railway design, construction and operational experience
QR
National
CQIRP
Minimises environmental and community impact
QR National offers a coordinated approach to delivering Galilee and Bowen Basin coal to the central Queensland ports
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Capital Expenditure ($m)
7231,139 877
1,030
200
FY11
1,339
296
FY10
307
FY12
Growth
Capex
Sustaining
Capex
1,173
Demonstrated ability to deliver supply chain benefits by leveraging core competencies
-22%
FY12
2.40
FY11
3.08
FY10
6.14
FY09
11.43
Lost Time Injury Frequency Rate
(LTIFR)
• Safety is our core value
• Performance is a reflection of operational discipline
• Winner of “Queensland Safe Work Award 2012”
• A continuing investment in capital growth
• 58% increase in operating cash flow delivered in FY12
• ASX top 50 company with market capitalisation of ~$8bn
Safety performance Experience and expertise Capacity and commitment
to grow
Average cycle time (hrs)
• Evidence of continued operational transformation yielding improved asset utilisation
18
19
20
21
22
23
24
FY12 FY11 FY10
Goonyella
Blackwater/Moura
11
Deliver on-time for first Galilee Basin coal
Efficient, low cost rail operations
Reduce capital intensity
Minimise environmental and community impacts
QR National is committed to growth of the Queensland supply chain with CQIRP a key component of meeting the requirements of Galilee Basin customers
Questions