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Deborah Cox at NADO's 2012 Executive Directors Leadership Forum.TRANSCRIPT
NATIONAL ASSOCIATION OF DEVELOPMENT ORGANIZATIONSREGIONAL STRATEGIES. PARTNERSHIPS. SOLUTIONS
June 8, 2012 ● Executive Directors Leadership Forum ● Park City, Utah
Federal Legislative Report:Politics, Budget, and Policy
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Strengthen local governments,
communities and economies
through the regional
strategies, partnerships, and
solutions of the nation’s
regional development
organizations
About NADO
Jobs and Sustained Economic Growth. Modern Infrastructure Assets.
Workforce Readiness. Quality of Life. Vibrant Communities.
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NADO Federal Policy Agenda
White House and Hill Review of Regional Development Programs
EDA Appropriations and Reauthorization
SAFETEA-LU Reauthorization, with MPO and RPO Provisions
HUD Community Development Block Grant (CDBG) Funding
Key programs such as Fed-State Commissions, WIA, SBA and EPA
FEMA Support for State and Local Preparedness and Response
HUD-DOT-EPA Sustainable Development Initiative
USDA Rural Development in 2012 Farm Bill
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A Sense of Politics…
“Politics is the art of postponing decisions
until they are no longer relevant.”
~ Henri Queuille
The Political Landscape
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Congressional approval has fallen to its lowest point in history
Do you approve or disapprove of the way Congress is handling its job?
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
9082%
Approve Disapprove
National Gallup survey (March 27, 2012)
12%
House Elections
U.S. HOUSE: 2012 ELECTION CYCLE
DEM GOP OUTLOOK
Partisan Breakdown
190(+3 Vacancies) 242 +24 Margin
Seats up in 2012 435 218 is magic #
TOSS UP 10 14 TOSS UPLEAN D 8 3 LEAN RLEAN R 4 15 LEAN D
LIKELY D 13 25 LIKELY RSOLID D 153 181 SOLID R
Source: Cook Political Report, March 8, 2012
U.S. SENATE: 2012 ELECTION CYCLE
Source: Cook Political Report, March 1, 2012
DEM GOP OUTLOOK
Partisan Breakdown 51 + 2 Is 47
Seats up in 2012 3323 10
TOSS UP 7 3 TOSS UP
LEAN D 3 0 LEAN R
LEAN R 1 0 LEAN D
LIKELY D 4 2 LIKELY R
SOLID D 8 5 SOLID R
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Democratic Races – Toss
Up Hawaii Open (Akaka)
McCaskill (MO)
Nebraska Open (Nelson)
New Mexico Open (Bingaman)
Tester (MT)
North Dakota Open (Conrad)
Virginia Open (Webb)
Wisconsin Open (Kohl)
U.S. Senate: 2012 Election Cycle
GOP Races – Toss Up Brown (MA)
Heller (NV)
Maine Open (Snowe)
Presidential Election
12 KEY PRESIDENTIAL BATTLEGROUND STATES
USA Today May 5, 2012
12 KEY PRESIDENTIAL BATTLEGROUND STATES
USA Today May 5, 2012
In the first USA Today/Gallup swing-state poll conducted since Mitt
Romney became the presumptive Republican nominee, Romney and
President Barack Obama are nearly tied -- 45% vs.
47%, respectively -- among registered voters in the 12 battleground
states that make up the poll.
Republican Candidates Delegate Tally
Politico: May 16, 2012
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Presidential Campaign
President Obama
Base remains strong BUT
Major anxiety with job
market and economy,
especially GAS prices
Independents are key,
especially women
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Presidential Benchmark: What Direction Is the Nation Headed?
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Economic Concerns Continue to Be Cited as Most Important Problem
Gallup: Jan. 2012
What is the most important problem facing our country today?
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Standing President
No Primary
Fundraising Capability
The Obama Advantage
Presidential Approval Rating Average: 48%
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Key Take Away Points
The focus by the American public on government spending is unprecedented
Voters are angrier now than 2006, 2008 or 2010. It will be another very turbulent election
A majority of Americans believe the country has been on the wrong track– with no end in sight
Simply based on his ability to fundraise, President Obama will be a formidable candidate no matter the state of the economy
Context for Federal Policy and Budget Debates
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Debt Ceiling: Hit $15 Trillion in November 2011Fed govt. borrows 40 cents of every dollar spent now
Today, national debt is now 69% of GDP vs. 2008 was 40%
CBO estimates rise to 109% by 2023 if no change – the record
set in WWII
Federal Budget Picture
FEDERAL BUDGET TRENDS FY2000-2012
Outlays FY2000 FY2005 FY2010 FY2012Estimate
FY00-12 Change
Appropriations
Defense / Security $278B $443B $815B $881B + $603B
Non-Security $339B $487B $491B $462B + $123B
Mandatory
Medicare $199B $290B $446B $468B + $269B
Medicaid $117B $194B $273B $269B + $152B
Other Mandatory $123B $337B $644B $598B +$ 475B
Debt Interest $220B $178B $196B $240B + $20B
TOTAL OUTLAYS $1.790T $2.479T $3.456T $3.729T +$ 1.939T
ABSENT REFORMS, DEBT IS SET TO SKYROCKET IN THE COMING DECADES
Sources: Congressional Budget Office (January 2012) and Bipartisan Policy Center
Budget Control Act of 2011 (S. 365)August 1
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Debt Deal: Overview of Major Components
Debt Ceiling Increase With Required Reductions in Deficit$2.1 to $2.4 trillion
Discretionary Spending Caps$900 billion in spending reductions over 10 years
Joint Select Committee on Deficit Reduction (Super Committee)
Goal: Find $1.5 trillion in additional deficit reductionOr else…automatic sequestration
UNDERSTANDING THE BREAKDOWN OF SEQUESTRATION LEVELS
Total “triggered” cut$1.2 trillion
Distribute remaining$984 billion
evenly among fiscal years
2013 to 2021
Evenly split each year’s cut
between defense and non-defense
accounts
Subtract 18 percent in debt service savings
$109.3 billion per year
Defense$54.7 billion
Non-defense$54.7 billion
SEQUESTRATION LEVELS
FY13 FEDERAL
APPROPRIATIONS
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FY2013 Federal Budget & Appropriations
Senate FY13 discretionary spending level: $1.043 trillion
House FY13 discretionary spending level: $1.028 trillion
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EDA: Budget Background
President’s FY2013 request: $219M
$38M below FY12 enacted level ($257.5M) = 15% cut
$64.43M below FY11 enacted level ($283.43M) = 23% cut
$74M below FY10 enacted level ($293M) = 25% cut
EDA’s final FY12 funding total of $457.5M included $200M for
disaster assistance and $257.5M for programs and operations
Since FY2001, funding for EDA’s core economic development
assistance programs has decreased by approximately 50 percent!
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Economic Development Administration
Budget figures are in millions. Final FY2012FY2013
President’s Request
FY2013 Senate FY2013 House
Economic Development Administration
457.50 *
219.71
237.71
219.00
Planning Grants 29.00 27.00 29.00 27.00Public Works 111.64 65.50 62.20 85.50
Economic Adjustment Grants 50.06 65.20 56.50 40.20Technical Assistance 12.00 12.00 12.00 12.00
Research & Evaluation 1.50 1.50 1.50 1.50Trade Adjustment & Assistance 15.80 15.80 15.80 15.80
Regional Innovation Program 0.00 25.00 25.00 0.00Disaster Assistance 200.00 * 0.00 0.00 0.00
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Economic Development Administration
¨ Michaud Amendment: to restore a $38 million cut to EDA with a $38 million funding offset from the Census Bureau’s periodic census account
The Michaud amendment was defeated by a 190-218 vote
¨ Pompeo Amendment: to eliminate EDA The Pompeo amendment was defeated by a bipartisan vote of 129-279
¨ Scalise Amendment: to reduce the salaries and expense line items for three U.S. Department of Commerce accounts, including EDA’s operations account by $7.5 million
The Scalise amendment was defeated by a vote of 174-233
Amendments to H.R. 5326House FY13 Commerce-Justice-Science Appropriations Bill
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HUD CDBG Program
Agency Program FY10 FY11 FY12FY12
President’s Plan
HUDCommunity
Development Block Grants (CDBG),
Entitlement Program$3.99 B $3.34 B $2.94 B $2.94 B
FY13 Senate Draft T-HUD Appropriations Bill= $3.1 B
FY13 House Draft T-HUD Appropriations Bill =$3.34 B
SAFETEA-LU
TRANSPORTATIONREAUTHORIZATION BILL
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NADO Priorities for Transportation Reauthorization:
Strengthen role of rural local officials in the statewide transportation planning and investment process by establishing and giving federal recognition to RTPOs for areas outside the boundaries of MPOs
MPO Threshold IssueMore than 200 of the nation's 382 MPO's would
lose their MPO designation if threshold was changed
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Transportation: Senate
Senate’ s Moving Ahead for Progress in the 21st Century (S. 1813)▪ Passed floor on March 14 as two-year, $109 billion bill (FY2012-2013)▪ Maintains existing funding levels, adjusted for inflation
RTPO Language: ▪ Establishes rural local official consultation process “separate and
discrete” from the general public
MPO Issues:▪ Sets threshold for new MPOs at 200,000 ▪ Existing MPOs 50,000 - 200,000 - new multi-step process to maintain
MPO status
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Transportation: House House reauthorization bill:
American Energy and Infrastructure Jobs Act of 2012 (H.R. 7)
Five-year, $262.9 billion bill
House passed 90-day extension and authorized the Keystone XL pipeline on May 18
RTPO Language: Includes NADO-championed language
State DOTs may establish RTPOs for areas outside of MPOs
Elevates local official role from “consultation” to “cooperation” for long-range transportation plan, STIP, and project selection
If state does not recognize RTPOs, the state shall continue to “consult” with locals
MPO Issue:
Sets threshold for new MPOs at 100,000
Existing MPOs 50,000- 200,000 are grandfathered
PROBLEM: When MPO and state disagree on project of state-wide significance, Governor can override MPO
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Transportation: Key Players
47 House and Senate Conferees have been named
14 Senate Conferees 8 Democrats, 6 Republicans ½ of Senate conferees negotiated 2005 SAFETEA-LU
33 House Conferees 20 Republicans, 13 Democrats 8 of the 20 Republicans are Freshmen (7 from the T&I Committee) 14 of the 33 House conferees negotiated 2005 SAFETEA-LU
2012 NADO Annual Training ConferenceOctober 13 – 16 | The Mirage | Las Vegas, NV
National Association of Development Organizations (NADO)
and the NADO Research Foundation
400 North Capitol Street, NW | Suite 390 | Washington, DC 20001
NADO.org | Ruraltransportation.org | Knowyourregion.org
Regionalcouncilguide.org
202.624.7806 | [email protected]
Regional Strategies. Solutions. Partnerships.