coupled fire-atmosphere research modeling and observations · diagnostics. comparison with previous...

123
Main contributors: Janice Coen, NCAR Boulder Morwenna Griffiths,Monash Australia Bill Hall, NCAR Boulder Mary Ann Jenkins,York U. Toronto Don Latham, USFS Missoula Montana Don Middleton,NCAR Boulder David Packham, Monash Australia Larry Radke,NCAR Æ Rhode Island Michael Reeder,Monash Australia Coupled Fire-Atmosphere Research Modeling and Observations by Terry L. Clark NCARÆUniversity of British ColumbiaÆ Comox

Upload: others

Post on 01-Aug-2020

2 views

Category:

Documents


0 download

TRANSCRIPT

Page 1: Coupled Fire-Atmosphere Research Modeling and Observations · Diagnostics. Comparison with previous memory shared code:-useful only for legacy codes. ... •Near Fort Providence NWT

Main contributors:

Janice Coen, NCAR BoulderMorwenna Griffiths,Monash Australia Bill Hall, NCAR BoulderMary Ann Jenkins,York U. Toronto Don Latham, USFS Missoula Montana Don Middleton,NCAR BoulderDavid Packham, Monash AustraliaLarry Radke,NCAR Rhode IslandMichael Reeder,Monash Australia

Coupled Fire-Atmosphere ResearchModeling and Observations

by Terry L. Clark

NCAR University of British Columbia Comox

Page 2: Coupled Fire-Atmosphere Research Modeling and Observations · Diagnostics. Comparison with previous memory shared code:-useful only for legacy codes. ... •Near Fort Providence NWT

OUTLINE OF TALK

IR Imagery-overview of IR camera and analysis techniques-some prescribed and wild fire field experiments

Dynamic Model -Overview of nesting,drag etc large range of resolution

Trees Without Fire-Role of Drag

Description of Fire Code-Exp testing effects of canopy drag and heat exchange

Page 3: Coupled Fire-Atmosphere Research Modeling and Observations · Diagnostics. Comparison with previous memory shared code:-useful only for legacy codes. ... •Near Fort Providence NWT

INTRODUCTORYOBSERVATIONS

showingFire Atmosphere Interation

Page 4: Coupled Fire-Atmosphere Research Modeling and Observations · Diagnostics. Comparison with previous memory shared code:-useful only for legacy codes. ... •Near Fort Providence NWT

Onion sage brush fire in Owensvalley, Ca 1985 courtesy of C. George

Page 5: Coupled Fire-Atmosphere Research Modeling and Observations · Diagnostics. Comparison with previous memory shared code:-useful only for legacy codes. ... •Near Fort Providence NWT

Street Patterns observed in Fires

Photo courtesy Brenner -observed in Florida

Page 6: Coupled Fire-Atmosphere Research Modeling and Observations · Diagnostics. Comparison with previous memory shared code:-useful only for legacy codes. ... •Near Fort Providence NWT

Montana Finger of Fire

Or effect of Drag+gusts

Page 7: Coupled Fire-Atmosphere Research Modeling and Observations · Diagnostics. Comparison with previous memory shared code:-useful only for legacy codes. ... •Near Fort Providence NWT

Modelling the Dynamics

Page 8: Coupled Fire-Atmosphere Research Modeling and Observations · Diagnostics. Comparison with previous memory shared code:-useful only for legacy codes. ... •Near Fort Providence NWT

Numerical Model• 3D Non-hydrostatic 2nd order finite-differences• Terrain following - geo-spherical coordinates • Vertical and horizontal grid refinement

– 2-way interaction-

• Vertically stretched grids with grid refinement- Clark (1977,JCP), Clark-Farley(1984,JAS),

Clark-Hall(1991,JCP; 1996,JAM)• Boundary-Initial conditions from NWP• Bulk parameterizations of rain/ice processes• Canopy dynamics and diurnal heat budget

∇2 ∇4 and ∇6 filters for 2 ∇h modes

Page 9: Coupled Fire-Atmosphere Research Modeling and Observations · Diagnostics. Comparison with previous memory shared code:-useful only for legacy codes. ... •Near Fort Providence NWT

Coordinates

z = F (ζ )(1 − h ( x , y ) / H ) + h ( x, y )whereF (0) = 0 F (H ) = Handh ( x, y ) is the height of the orography.Model is cast onto constant Δζ grids .

Δ x represents constant longitude incrementsΔy represents constant latitude increments

Horizontal Coordinates

Vertically Stretched Coordinates

Page 10: Coupled Fire-Atmosphere Research Modeling and Observations · Diagnostics. Comparison with previous memory shared code:-useful only for legacy codes. ... •Near Fort Providence NWT

Vertical Coordinates used in Fire Modelling

• Inconsistencies can lead to numerical artifacts anderroneous vorticity (e.g. Clark and Hall, 1996)

• Example of grid using multiple passes with 1:2:1 filter

Δz versus z 2

2

zJ

∂∂

• Allows smooth transition between multiple vertical nests

z z

Page 11: Coupled Fire-Atmosphere Research Modeling and Observations · Diagnostics. Comparison with previous memory shared code:-useful only for legacy codes. ... •Near Fort Providence NWT

Upscale-Downscale OperatorsMatch mass continuity is matched at all scales

0)()()(______

=++ ωρρρζ

ζδδδ vuy

y

x

x

∑=yzZY

X

etcuxnn

UR_1_

ρ

++++−−= )_

(0)_

(0)_

(_

UREUREUREux XXX

ρ

24/]12)/([2/)1(2)21(0

2/)1(

−ΔΔ=++=+

−−=+−=−

LlEEE

ααεε

αεαεε

where

Variational interpolation Clark-Farley(1984,JAS)

Vector averaging for density weighted velocity terms

Note-Only outermost grid chooses vertical structure-positioning and nesting only flexibility for inner domains

Page 12: Coupled Fire-Atmosphere Research Modeling and Observations · Diagnostics. Comparison with previous memory shared code:-useful only for legacy codes. ... •Near Fort Providence NWT

Example of 3-Domain Vertical Grids- (Clark-Hall,1996)

Page 13: Coupled Fire-Atmosphere Research Modeling and Observations · Diagnostics. Comparison with previous memory shared code:-useful only for legacy codes. ... •Near Fort Providence NWT

3-Domain vertical grids continueda) b)

Page 14: Coupled Fire-Atmosphere Research Modeling and Observations · Diagnostics. Comparison with previous memory shared code:-useful only for legacy codes. ... •Near Fort Providence NWT

Canopy Drag

j

ijii x

uVzadCnudtd

∂∂

+−=τρρ ||)(L

First order formulation, e.g. Wilson et al. (1998)

Where a(z) [m-1] is the one sided leaf area index (LAI)

In numerical experiments presented

a ( z ) dz0

h∫ = 4 . 5 , 7 and ∞

and Cnd = 0.0,.15, .30, .60 and .90

Page 15: Coupled Fire-Atmosphere Research Modeling and Observations · Diagnostics. Comparison with previous memory shared code:-useful only for legacy codes. ... •Near Fort Providence NWT

Canopy Drag for Obstacle Flow

SO2 study in Taylor, BC Canada-flow around buildings

-vegetation, bushes and some trees

Page 16: Coupled Fire-Atmosphere Research Modeling and Observations · Diagnostics. Comparison with previous memory shared code:-useful only for legacy codes. ... •Near Fort Providence NWT

View of Taylor BC

Page 17: Coupled Fire-Atmosphere Research Modeling and Observations · Diagnostics. Comparison with previous memory shared code:-useful only for legacy codes. ... •Near Fort Providence NWT

Drag Outline-Red is high buildings-Magenta low buildings-Green is vegetation

Page 18: Coupled Fire-Atmosphere Research Modeling and Observations · Diagnostics. Comparison with previous memory shared code:-useful only for legacy codes. ... •Near Fort Providence NWT

Vertical Vorticity at z= 2 m

Page 19: Coupled Fire-Atmosphere Research Modeling and Observations · Diagnostics. Comparison with previous memory shared code:-useful only for legacy codes. ... •Near Fort Providence NWT

Video- Vertical Vorticity at z=2m

QuickTime™ and aVideo decompressor

are needed to see this picture.

Page 20: Coupled Fire-Atmosphere Research Modeling and Observations · Diagnostics. Comparison with previous memory shared code:-useful only for legacy codes. ... •Near Fort Providence NWT

Multi-Processing Approach

Message Passing Interface (MPI) software is usedfor multi-processing.

Page 21: Coupled Fire-Atmosphere Research Modeling and Observations · Diagnostics. Comparison with previous memory shared code:-useful only for legacy codes. ... •Near Fort Providence NWT

Model Configuration for 3 LayersNVRT=0 (no tiling)

SingleProcessorframework

N=1

N=3

N=2

Page 22: Coupled Fire-Atmosphere Research Modeling and Observations · Diagnostics. Comparison with previous memory shared code:-useful only for legacy codes. ... •Near Fort Providence NWT

Multi-Processing Configuration for 3 Layers

NVRT=1 (with tiling) Layer 1 details

Multi-processorFramework

Four sub-domainsper layerMCPU=4

N=3

N=1

N=4

N=2

Green=lmx1,lmx2lmy1,lmy2

Blue=mi2mo

Page 23: Coupled Fire-Atmosphere Research Modeling and Observations · Diagnostics. Comparison with previous memory shared code:-useful only for legacy codes. ... •Near Fort Providence NWT

Multi-Processing Configuration for 3 Layers

NVRT=1 (with tiling) Layer 2/3 details

N=5 N=6

N=7 N=8

Green=

lmx1,lmx2

lmy1,lmy2

Blue=mi2mo

Multi-processor

Framework

Four sub-domains

per layer

MCPU=4

Page 24: Coupled Fire-Atmosphere Research Modeling and Observations · Diagnostics. Comparison with previous memory shared code:-useful only for legacy codes. ... •Near Fort Providence NWT

Diagnostics

Comparison with previous memory shared code:-useful only for legacy codes

Random symmetry tests:-applicable for all codes-used since early 1980s in code development-eliminates virtually all indexing errors

Comparison among three modes of computation:-NVRT=0 IMPI=0 1 processor-NVRT=1 IMPI=0 1 processor-NVRT=1 IMPI=1 multi-processors

Page 25: Coupled Fire-Atmosphere Research Modeling and Observations · Diagnostics. Comparison with previous memory shared code:-useful only for legacy codes. ... •Near Fort Providence NWT

Grid Refinement Using 5 Domains

Example fromClark et al. 2000, JAS

Grid size ranges from26 km to 200 m(4:1 4:1 4:1 2:1)

CO

Page 26: Coupled Fire-Atmosphere Research Modeling and Observations · Diagnostics. Comparison with previous memory shared code:-useful only for legacy codes. ... •Near Fort Providence NWT

DOMAIN 5 OROGRAPHY

Example fromClark et al. 2000, JAS

Page 27: Coupled Fire-Atmosphere Research Modeling and Observations · Diagnostics. Comparison with previous memory shared code:-useful only for legacy codes. ... •Near Fort Providence NWT

Vs= 55 m/s σq = 10 m/s t=14:10:07

Page 28: Coupled Fire-Atmosphere Research Modeling and Observations · Diagnostics. Comparison with previous memory shared code:-useful only for legacy codes. ... •Near Fort Providence NWT

Video - 3D Vis5d of jet stream and CAT

QuickTime™ and aCinepak decompressor

are needed to see this picture.

Page 29: Coupled Fire-Atmosphere Research Modeling and Observations · Diagnostics. Comparison with previous memory shared code:-useful only for legacy codes. ... •Near Fort Providence NWT

Trees Without Fire

Some results from a forest retention study-Question addressed is “What retention pattern results inleast blowdown after clear cutting?”

-My Answer: There isn’t one.

Here I want to explain Reason I believeno such patterns exist and the possible relation to wildfires

As corroboration: Foresters working in the field see almostAll retention pattern logging fail, i.e. Aggregates also blow down

Page 30: Coupled Fire-Atmosphere Research Modeling and Observations · Diagnostics. Comparison with previous memory shared code:-useful only for legacy codes. ... •Near Fort Providence NWT

Wind Tunnel SimulationsExperiment Cnd Cd Δt (s) Δx, Δy, Δz (cm) NX,NY,NZ LAI

WTA3D3 .30 .01 .0015/.0005 (3,3,3)/(1,1,1) (12,1090,52) /(32,1634,41)

4.5

WTA3D4 .60 .01 4.5

WTA3D5 .90 .01 4.5

Cross-stream (x-direction) cyclic, Lx = .3 m, Ly = 32.64 m and 16.32 m and Lz = 1.5 m, V0= 8 m s-1

Page 31: Coupled Fire-Atmosphere Research Modeling and Observations · Diagnostics. Comparison with previous memory shared code:-useful only for legacy codes. ... •Near Fort Providence NWT

Video:UZ cross stream avg WTA3D3approx 4h

QuickTime™ and aCinepak decompressor

are needed to see this picture.

Page 32: Coupled Fire-Atmosphere Research Modeling and Observations · Diagnostics. Comparison with previous memory shared code:-useful only for legacy codes. ... •Near Fort Providence NWT

Video:UZ cross stream avg WTA3D4approx 4h

QuickTime™ and aCinepak decompressor

are needed to see this picture.

Page 33: Coupled Fire-Atmosphere Research Modeling and Observations · Diagnostics. Comparison with previous memory shared code:-useful only for legacy codes. ... •Near Fort Providence NWT

Video:UZ cross stream avg WTA3D5approx 4h

QuickTime™ and aCinepak decompressor

are needed to see this picture.

Page 34: Coupled Fire-Atmosphere Research Modeling and Observations · Diagnostics. Comparison with previous memory shared code:-useful only for legacy codes. ... •Near Fort Providence NWT

Comment

Note from previous figures how deep effect of tree drag extends above the trees.

-the effect of tree drag that extends above the surface “turns on” for

≈4h

Δx,ΔyandΔz ≤ h/3 to h/4 -I used h/15 in above study-typical surface paramaterizations at low horizontalor vertical resolution miss the physics entirely

-implication for pollution or smoke dispersion modelling

Page 35: Coupled Fire-Atmosphere Research Modeling and Observations · Diagnostics. Comparison with previous memory shared code:-useful only for legacy codes. ... •Near Fort Providence NWT

Retention Modelling

Page 36: Coupled Fire-Atmosphere Research Modeling and Observations · Diagnostics. Comparison with previous memory shared code:-useful only for legacy codes. ... •Near Fort Providence NWT

Video-Vertical Vorticity from RTB1H2

Page 37: Coupled Fire-Atmosphere Research Modeling and Observations · Diagnostics. Comparison with previous memory shared code:-useful only for legacy codes. ... •Near Fort Providence NWT

Adding Single Eddy added at t=1.65

Page 38: Coupled Fire-Atmosphere Research Modeling and Observations · Diagnostics. Comparison with previous memory shared code:-useful only for legacy codes. ... •Near Fort Providence NWT

Video- U at Z=10.5 m

Page 39: Coupled Fire-Atmosphere Research Modeling and Observations · Diagnostics. Comparison with previous memory shared code:-useful only for legacy codes. ... •Near Fort Providence NWT

Video:Vertical Cross-section w

Page 40: Coupled Fire-Atmosphere Research Modeling and Observations · Diagnostics. Comparison with previous memory shared code:-useful only for legacy codes. ... •Near Fort Providence NWT

Video:Vertical Cross-section u

Page 41: Coupled Fire-Atmosphere Research Modeling and Observations · Diagnostics. Comparison with previous memory shared code:-useful only for legacy codes. ... •Near Fort Providence NWT

Video-Torque from RTD1H2

QuickTime™ and aVideo decompressor

are needed to see this picture.

Page 42: Coupled Fire-Atmosphere Research Modeling and Observations · Diagnostics. Comparison with previous memory shared code:-useful only for legacy codes. ... •Near Fort Providence NWT

Aggregate 1 Bending Moment

Page 43: Coupled Fire-Atmosphere Research Modeling and Observations · Diagnostics. Comparison with previous memory shared code:-useful only for legacy codes. ... •Near Fort Providence NWT

Aggregate 2-5 Bending Moments

Page 44: Coupled Fire-Atmosphere Research Modeling and Observations · Diagnostics. Comparison with previous memory shared code:-useful only for legacy codes. ... •Near Fort Providence NWT

Relevance to Fire DynamicsEarly Time Flow Dominated by Potential Flow

-Batchelor Fluid Dynamics 101

Introduction of Time Dependence to Flow-Breaks streamlining though development ofa potential flow component

-This component follows the “drag” boundary-More eddies would only add to effect-Eddy that increases wind would cause much stronger effect

Possible Relevance to Fires-Forward bursts at firebreaks-Effects due to canopy drag variation before and after fire-Flames shooting across ground, i.e. finger of fire inMontana

Page 45: Coupled Fire-Atmosphere Research Modeling and Observations · Diagnostics. Comparison with previous memory shared code:-useful only for legacy codes. ... •Near Fort Providence NWT

Some Further Considerations on how Potential flow might Affect Fire Behaviour

-gusts impinging on a fire front near a drag boundarycause a component of the flow to follow the boundaryi.e. strong downdraft -this effect occurs at speed of sound (rapidly)hot plume being brought to the surface counters withvorticity that makes hot air rise-this effect occurs rather slowly

-changing orientation affects the buoyancy feedback-Wide range of possible paradigmsFIRE BREAK DESIGN?

D ξDt

= g ∂ B∂ x

Page 46: Coupled Fire-Atmosphere Research Modeling and Observations · Diagnostics. Comparison with previous memory shared code:-useful only for legacy codes. ... •Near Fort Providence NWT

OBSERVATIONS

A. Infrared Camera- Inframetrics PM380- 3 to 5 m- 256 by 256 array - Sterling cooler

μ

Page 47: Coupled Fire-Atmosphere Research Modeling and Observations · Diagnostics. Comparison with previous memory shared code:-useful only for legacy codes. ... •Near Fort Providence NWT

Image Flow Analysis Applications• Understand fire behavior• Calculate combustion zone winds

and their statistics• Use derived data to validate

numerical models

Page 48: Coupled Fire-Atmosphere Research Modeling and Observations · Diagnostics. Comparison with previous memory shared code:-useful only for legacy codes. ... •Near Fort Providence NWT

Image Flow Analysis

Assumptions– IR camera sees incandescent soot particles– Motion is on a distorted two-dimensional surface – Local features can be followed for short periods– We can fit data to simple types of motions, i.e.

translation, rotation, dilation and shear

. .

Page 49: Coupled Fire-Atmosphere Research Modeling and Observations · Diagnostics. Comparison with previous memory shared code:-useful only for legacy codes. ... •Near Fort Providence NWT

Image Registration1. Reduce image resolution (e.g. 7:1 in x and 5:1 in y)

2. Align image using IR intensity center of mass

3. Refine alignment using correlation analysis

Λ = Σ (φn+1(x + Δx, y +Δy) − φn(x,y))2

Minimize Λ to estimate Δx and Δy.

4. Extract linear trends in Δx (t) and Δy(t).

5. Registered IR images:

- used in image flow analysis to estimate winds within the combustion zone

Page 50: Coupled Fire-Atmosphere Research Modeling and Observations · Diagnostics. Comparison with previous memory shared code:-useful only for legacy codes. ... •Near Fort Providence NWT

Image Flow AnalysisGradient Approach (Helmholtz theorem):Two-dimensional motions can be represented as the sum of six components.

Translation

. .

)( 210 −=∇fdtd

)()( 3022 =+ yfxfdtd

Rotation

)(40=+ yfdtdyfxf

dtdxf

Uniform expansion

And two shear components which most researchers ignore.

Page 51: Coupled Fire-Atmosphere Research Modeling and Observations · Diagnostics. Comparison with previous memory shared code:-useful only for legacy codes. ... •Near Fort Providence NWT

Robust StatisticsUsing the two components of translation,

0=∇fdtd

⎟⎟⎠

⎞⎜⎜⎝

⎛−−

=⎟⎟⎠

⎞⎜⎜⎝

⎛⎟⎟⎠

⎞⎜⎜⎝

ztfxtf

wu

zzfxzfxzfxxf

we obtain the matrix equation

which we solve at each pixel for u and w. If |u2 + w2| > S2 thenwe flag that pixel as an outlier and avoid considering it in the calculations. Typically, S= 20 to 40 m/s.

Page 52: Coupled Fire-Atmosphere Research Modeling and Observations · Diagnostics. Comparison with previous memory shared code:-useful only for legacy codes. ... •Near Fort Providence NWT

Least Squares Minimization

⎟⎟⎠

⎞⎜⎜⎝

−=⎟⎟

⎞⎜⎜⎝

⎛⎟⎟⎠

⎞⎜⎜⎝

∑∑

∑∑∑∑

ztfxtf

wu

zzfxzfxzfxxf

After identifying outliers we sum over a patch of data as

We typically use 7 by 7 pixels.Outlier points are not included in any of the summations.

This simplest approach requires the inversion of a second order matrix to estimate u and w..

Page 53: Coupled Fire-Atmosphere Research Modeling and Observations · Diagnostics. Comparison with previous memory shared code:-useful only for legacy codes. ... •Near Fort Providence NWT

International Crown Fire Modelling Exp

Cameras on 50fttower

•Canadian and US Forest Services •Near Fort Providence NWT Canada• Prescribed crown fires•150 by 150 m plots•June – July 1997•Tower based IR measurements•Plot 6–9 July 1997

Page 54: Coupled Fire-Atmosphere Research Modeling and Observations · Diagnostics. Comparison with previous memory shared code:-useful only for legacy codes. ... •Near Fort Providence NWT

Workshop at the Site

Page 55: Coupled Fire-Atmosphere Research Modeling and Observations · Diagnostics. Comparison with previous memory shared code:-useful only for legacy codes. ... •Near Fort Providence NWT

Plot 5 Fire Whirl

Page 56: Coupled Fire-Atmosphere Research Modeling and Observations · Diagnostics. Comparison with previous memory shared code:-useful only for legacy codes. ... •Near Fort Providence NWT

Plot 6 Ignition

Page 57: Coupled Fire-Atmosphere Research Modeling and Observations · Diagnostics. Comparison with previous memory shared code:-useful only for legacy codes. ... •Near Fort Providence NWT

Plot 6 at 2:08

Page 58: Coupled Fire-Atmosphere Research Modeling and Observations · Diagnostics. Comparison with previous memory shared code:-useful only for legacy codes. ... •Near Fort Providence NWT

Plot 6 at 2:09

Page 59: Coupled Fire-Atmosphere Research Modeling and Observations · Diagnostics. Comparison with previous memory shared code:-useful only for legacy codes. ... •Near Fort Providence NWT

Plot 6 at 2:10

Page 60: Coupled Fire-Atmosphere Research Modeling and Observations · Diagnostics. Comparison with previous memory shared code:-useful only for legacy codes. ... •Near Fort Providence NWT

Plot 6 at 2:10 plus

Page 61: Coupled Fire-Atmosphere Research Modeling and Observations · Diagnostics. Comparison with previous memory shared code:-useful only for legacy codes. ... •Near Fort Providence NWT

Plot 6 at 2:11

Page 62: Coupled Fire-Atmosphere Research Modeling and Observations · Diagnostics. Comparison with previous memory shared code:-useful only for legacy codes. ... •Near Fort Providence NWT

Forward Burst Sequence

Page 63: Coupled Fire-Atmosphere Research Modeling and Observations · Diagnostics. Comparison with previous memory shared code:-useful only for legacy codes. ... •Near Fort Providence NWT

Video: Plot 6 Visual

QuickTime™ and aCinepak decompressor

are needed to see this picture.

Page 64: Coupled Fire-Atmosphere Research Modeling and Observations · Diagnostics. Comparison with previous memory shared code:-useful only for legacy codes. ... •Near Fort Providence NWT

Derived Winds for file=7004

Page 65: Coupled Fire-Atmosphere Research Modeling and Observations · Diagnostics. Comparison with previous memory shared code:-useful only for legacy codes. ... •Near Fort Providence NWT

Video: Plot 6 Image Analyzed Fire WindsFrame 13000 to 14300

QuickTime™ and aCinepak decompressor

are needed to see this picture.

Page 66: Coupled Fire-Atmosphere Research Modeling and Observations · Diagnostics. Comparison with previous memory shared code:-useful only for legacy codes. ... •Near Fort Providence NWT

Fig 10a Clark et al. 1999, JAM

Page 67: Coupled Fire-Atmosphere Research Modeling and Observations · Diagnostics. Comparison with previous memory shared code:-useful only for legacy codes. ... •Near Fort Providence NWT

Half Time

Page 68: Coupled Fire-Atmosphere Research Modeling and Observations · Diagnostics. Comparison with previous memory shared code:-useful only for legacy codes. ... •Near Fort Providence NWT

Wild Fire Experiment

• NCAR• Sept 1998, Montana, Colorado and California • Infrared Camera mounted on NSF/NCAR C-130• Wildfires were the target of opportunity• First case was in Glacier National Park

-Challenge Fire Complex 4 Sept 98-100 m long hairpin vortex observed with IR-fire about 2 km away from camera

Page 69: Coupled Fire-Atmosphere Research Modeling and Observations · Diagnostics. Comparison with previous memory shared code:-useful only for legacy codes. ... •Near Fort Providence NWT

IR Imagery from C-130Fire Finger

Finger shot outabout 100 m in1-2 sec

Indications of burning fuel on sfc after finger retreats

Hairpin or Turbulent BurstOR effect of drag variationwith strong gust

Page 70: Coupled Fire-Atmosphere Research Modeling and Observations · Diagnostics. Comparison with previous memory shared code:-useful only for legacy codes. ... •Near Fort Providence NWT

Video: IR Observations over Glacier National Park - 4 Sept 1998

QuickTime™ and aCinepak decompressor

are needed to see this picture.

Page 71: Coupled Fire-Atmosphere Research Modeling and Observations · Diagnostics. Comparison with previous memory shared code:-useful only for legacy codes. ... •Near Fort Providence NWT

Northern Territory Grass Fire Experiment- Australia

• Spear grass burns 40 km South of Darwin• Kerosene grass burns near Batchelor• Used 19 m high cherry-picker as platform• Platform motion requires apparent motion treatment

Page 72: Coupled Fire-Atmosphere Research Modeling and Observations · Diagnostics. Comparison with previous memory shared code:-useful only for legacy codes. ... •Near Fort Providence NWT

Viny’s Cherry Picker

Page 73: Coupled Fire-Atmosphere Research Modeling and Observations · Diagnostics. Comparison with previous memory shared code:-useful only for legacy codes. ... •Near Fort Providence NWT

Fuel Type - Australian Spear Grass (Sorgum_Intrans)

Page 74: Coupled Fire-Atmosphere Research Modeling and Observations · Diagnostics. Comparison with previous memory shared code:-useful only for legacy codes. ... •Near Fort Providence NWT

Litchfield Park Kerosene Grass

Page 75: Coupled Fire-Atmosphere Research Modeling and Observations · Diagnostics. Comparison with previous memory shared code:-useful only for legacy codes. ... •Near Fort Providence NWT

Litchfield Kerosene Grass (19 m up)

Page 76: Coupled Fire-Atmosphere Research Modeling and Observations · Diagnostics. Comparison with previous memory shared code:-useful only for legacy codes. ... •Near Fort Providence NWT

Video: IR Data Hughes plot 3Camera ≅ 200 m

from fire

giving ≅ 30 cm pixels

QuickTime™ and aCinepak decompressor

are needed to see this picture.

Page 77: Coupled Fire-Atmosphere Research Modeling and Observations · Diagnostics. Comparison with previous memory shared code:-useful only for legacy codes. ... •Near Fort Providence NWT

Video: Unprocessed Images Plot-3a Hughes Airfield

QuickTime™ and aCinepak decompressor

are needed to see this picture.

Page 78: Coupled Fire-Atmosphere Research Modeling and Observations · Diagnostics. Comparison with previous memory shared code:-useful only for legacy codes. ... •Near Fort Providence NWT

Video: Fire Winds using least squareswith registration

QuickTime™ and aCinepak decompressor

are needed to see this picture.

Page 79: Coupled Fire-Atmosphere Research Modeling and Observations · Diagnostics. Comparison with previous memory shared code:-useful only for legacy codes. ... •Near Fort Providence NWT

Velocity Statistics – Least Squares

Black point valuesRed mean+5sigma

1/2 secrunningaverage

Umax/min Wmax/min

Page 80: Coupled Fire-Atmosphere Research Modeling and Observations · Diagnostics. Comparison with previous memory shared code:-useful only for legacy codes. ... •Near Fort Providence NWT

FROSTFIRE

• Permafrost burn near Fairbanks Alaska• 2000 ha prescribed burn • Black spruce and hardwoods• Studying fire behavior and fire ecology• June 1999• NCAR team – airborne observations• CU team – ground based

Page 81: Coupled Fire-Atmosphere Research Modeling and Observations · Diagnostics. Comparison with previous memory shared code:-useful only for legacy codes. ... •Near Fort Providence NWT

Frostfire site map

ObservationPost

Page 82: Coupled Fire-Atmosphere Research Modeling and Observations · Diagnostics. Comparison with previous memory shared code:-useful only for legacy codes. ... •Near Fort Providence NWT

Vista Geo-monitoring 10 July-escape

Page 83: Coupled Fire-Atmosphere Research Modeling and Observations · Diagnostics. Comparison with previous memory shared code:-useful only for legacy codes. ... •Near Fort Providence NWT

Video: Registered images from 10 July 1999A Short Sequence Viewing North

Arrow shows Camera direction

8 times real time

QuickTime™ and aCinepak decompressor

are needed to see this picture.

Page 84: Coupled Fire-Atmosphere Research Modeling and Observations · Diagnostics. Comparison with previous memory shared code:-useful only for legacy codes. ... •Near Fort Providence NWT

Summary Comments on Observations

• IR Image flow analysis useful to assess statistics of combustion zone winds.

- NWT case (crown fire) estimates between 30 to 40 m/s updrafts - NT case (grass fire) estimates 10 to 15 m/s updrafts

• IR analysis can be used as part of a model validation procedure- model data can be used to mimic what IR camera views.

Page 85: Coupled Fire-Atmosphere Research Modeling and Observations · Diagnostics. Comparison with previous memory shared code:-useful only for legacy codes. ... •Near Fort Providence NWT

Wildfire Modeling

Page 86: Coupled Fire-Atmosphere Research Modeling and Observations · Diagnostics. Comparison with previous memory shared code:-useful only for legacy codes. ... •Near Fort Providence NWT

Rational for Wildfire Modeling• Wildfire propagation physics is poorly understood• FS spread models use empirical fits from

– Low intensity small fires– Laboratory fire tunnels– Neither can hope to represent the vast parameter space of intense fires

• Understanding fire behavior involves– Combustion winds interacting with the fire and ambient flow– Fire-atmosphere heat exchange– Fire-fuel heat exchange – Chemical release and transport by the convection

• Some Applications of Coupled Fire-Atmosphere Models – Study burn paradigms – Understand fire related sources/sinks to atmospheric budgets-- Understand and help improve design of fire breaks– Develop suppression techniques

Page 87: Coupled Fire-Atmosphere Research Modeling and Observations · Diagnostics. Comparison with previous memory shared code:-useful only for legacy codes. ... •Near Fort Providence NWT

NCAR FIRE CODE

Only aspects used in the current fire model.-spread rate treatment-contour advection scheme (I didn’t know aboutlevel-set method at the time!).

Page 88: Coupled Fire-Atmosphere Research Modeling and Observations · Diagnostics. Comparison with previous memory shared code:-useful only for legacy codes. ... •Near Fort Providence NWT

Spread Rate Treatment01 RwspS )( φφ ++=

)( nvww φφ =

φs is the slope coefficientis the wind coefficient

nv is the wind normal to the fire front

R0 depends on fuel type and moisture content.A BURNUP type curve is used to describethe rate of mass loss for each fuel cell.

BEHAVE formulation

• Strong need for improved spread rate parametrizations appropriate for coupled fire-atmosphere models

Page 89: Coupled Fire-Atmosphere Research Modeling and Observations · Diagnostics. Comparison with previous memory shared code:-useful only for legacy codes. ... •Near Fort Providence NWT

Fire Line Propagation Scheme

•Contour advection scheme•Avoids assuming shape such as ellipse•We want the physics to determine shape

Page 90: Coupled Fire-Atmosphere Research Modeling and Observations · Diagnostics. Comparison with previous memory shared code:-useful only for legacy codes. ... •Near Fort Providence NWT

Schematic of tracer and fire line

Page 91: Coupled Fire-Atmosphere Research Modeling and Observations · Diagnostics. Comparison with previous memory shared code:-useful only for legacy codes. ... •Near Fort Providence NWT

Tracer Code

• Area inside tracers designates ignited fuel•The Δx and Δy of fire model range from 1 to 3 m • Fuel cell Δxf and Δyf range from .5 to 1 m

•Grid point method used to track fuel and fire

• Four particles (or tracers) for each fuel cell

•Local contour advection scheme used to move tracers

Page 92: Coupled Fire-Atmosphere Research Modeling and Observations · Diagnostics. Comparison with previous memory shared code:-useful only for legacy codes. ... •Near Fort Providence NWT

Fig3 Normal Vectors

Page 93: Coupled Fire-Atmosphere Research Modeling and Observations · Diagnostics. Comparison with previous memory shared code:-useful only for legacy codes. ... •Near Fort Providence NWT

Video: Animation of six tests

QuickTime™ and aCinepak decompressor

are needed to see this picture.

Page 94: Coupled Fire-Atmosphere Research Modeling and Observations · Diagnostics. Comparison with previous memory shared code:-useful only for legacy codes. ... •Near Fort Providence NWT

Weather Fire Integrated System(WFIS) FIRE CODE

•Multi-fluid approach similar to bulk microphysics parameterizations.

•Physical parameterization of fire at the level of sophistication where we can begin to compare with the natural event.

•True parameterization in the sense that model does not converge to physical equations as resolution is increased.(i.e. not a poorly resolved treatment of the physical eqns)

Clark, Griffiths, Reeder and Latham, 2003: J. Geophysical Research, 42, 970-983.Clark, Griffiths,Reeder,Packham,Krusel, 2004:Meteor. & Atmos Phys.

Page 95: Coupled Fire-Atmosphere Research Modeling and Observations · Diagnostics. Comparison with previous memory shared code:-useful only for legacy codes. ... •Near Fort Providence NWT

Fire Model Variables

Mf(x,y,z,t) - mixing ratio of combusting materialTb (x,y,z,t) - temperature of combusting materialMb(x,y,z,t) - mixing ratio of smoke

τb - Time scale for combustion e.g. 1-2 s.μ f - Volume mixing ratio of Mflf - Effective volume/area ratiols - Interfacial diffusion length scaleSb - Conversion rate for MfSf - Conversion rate of pyrolysis Sv - Conversion rate for water vapour

Field Variables

Parametersτ

μf - volume mixing ratio of combusting material

Page 96: Coupled Fire-Atmosphere Research Modeling and Observations · Diagnostics. Comparison with previous memory shared code:-useful only for legacy codes. ... •Near Fort Providence NWT

Assumptions1. Assume a time scale for combustion τb, e.g. 1-2 s.2. Assume combusting material and air are two

interacting fluids3. lf determined so that Tb (max) = 1200k. 4. Exchange of heat between the combusting fluid and

air 1/(ls lf )5. H20 and CO2 absorption contribute to heating of air

Above assumptions designed for models using Δx Δy and Δz 1 to 3 m.

Page 97: Coupled Fire-Atmosphere Research Modeling and Observations · Diagnostics. Comparison with previous memory shared code:-useful only for legacy codes. ... •Near Fort Providence NWT

Governing Equations

)( fMKbSfSzfM

dtd

∇⋅∇+−∂∂

−= ρρ

S b = ρ M f / τ b

Sf = S o exp( −z / λ s )

ρ ddt

Mb = Sb − Sv+ ∇⋅(ρK∇Mb)

Sv = 0.56Sb = 0.56ρMf / τb

Conservation equation for Mb (smoke)

Conservation equation for the mixing ratio of combusting material, Mf

Page 98: Coupled Fire-Atmosphere Research Modeling and Observations · Diagnostics. Comparison with previous memory shared code:-useful only for legacy codes. ... •Near Fort Providence NWT

Governing Equations (cont.)

)(

)(42

*

bTKpc

airTbTfs

pcbSbCf

bTbT

dtd

pc

∇⋅∇+

−−⎟⎟⎠

⎞⎜⎜⎝

⎛+

−=

ρ

ρνσερρρ

lll

)()( θρρνθρ ∇⋅∇+ℜ+−= KairTbTfsdt

dll

Thermodynamic equation for temperature of combusting material,Tb.

Conservation equation for θ showing fire - atmosphereexchange terms

Page 99: Coupled Fire-Atmosphere Research Modeling and Observations · Diagnostics. Comparison with previous memory shared code:-useful only for legacy codes. ... •Near Fort Providence NWT

Governing Equations (cont. again)

Effective buoyancy that drives updrafts is now defined as

bTfffef μθμθ +−= )1(

where

μf is the volume mixing ratio oUsing heat flux arguemenburnoff raμfis expected to be in the ra

Page 100: Coupled Fire-Atmosphere Research Modeling and Observations · Diagnostics. Comparison with previous memory shared code:-useful only for legacy codes. ... •Near Fort Providence NWT

A Numerical ConsiderationThe diagnostic equation for Tb withoutconduction and eddy mixing reveals the timescale

τf =300cpτb

CbMf

meaning that without taking any avoidance measuresΔt /τf ≤1In the present grass fire caseτf is about .1 to .05 s.

Page 101: Coupled Fire-Atmosphere Research Modeling and Observations · Diagnostics. Comparison with previous memory shared code:-useful only for legacy codes. ... •Near Fort Providence NWT

Figure 8.Horizontal and vertical cross sections from experiment CFA. (a) is at the surface, (b) is at x = 150 m, (c) is a section through

y = 150 m, and (d) is taken at a height of 1 m.

Page 102: Coupled Fire-Atmosphere Research Modeling and Observations · Diagnostics. Comparison with previous memory shared code:-useful only for legacy codes. ... •Near Fort Providence NWT

Figure 4.Maximum and minimum u, v, w and maximum

versus time for experiment CFA.

Page 103: Coupled Fire-Atmosphere Research Modeling and Observations · Diagnostics. Comparison with previous memory shared code:-useful only for legacy codes. ... •Near Fort Providence NWT

Figure 5.Vertical cross-sections of u (a) and w (c) for experiment CFA at t = 1.4 min. Panel (b) shows the variation of u at z = 1 m,

panel (d) shows the variation of w at z = 1 m.

Page 104: Coupled Fire-Atmosphere Research Modeling and Observations · Diagnostics. Comparison with previous memory shared code:-useful only for legacy codes. ... •Near Fort Providence NWT

Figure 6.Plan view of fire line at t = 1.4 min showing the wind vectors

at z = 2m above ground and plotted every 2 m for experiment CFA. The bold line marks the position of the fire front. Only a section of

the domain is shown to highlight the variations along the fire.

Page 105: Coupled Fire-Atmosphere Research Modeling and Observations · Diagnostics. Comparison with previous memory shared code:-useful only for legacy codes. ... •Near Fort Providence NWT

Figure 7.(a) Maximum combustion temperature, (K), (b) spread rate (ms-1), (c) heat flux (MWm-2) and (d) total sensible heat flux (GW) from

the fire versus time for experiment CFA.

Page 106: Coupled Fire-Atmosphere Research Modeling and Observations · Diagnostics. Comparison with previous memory shared code:-useful only for legacy codes. ... •Near Fort Providence NWT

Figure 9.Horizontal cross section of heat flux at z = 3 m above the surface for experiment CFA

Page 107: Coupled Fire-Atmosphere Research Modeling and Observations · Diagnostics. Comparison with previous memory shared code:-useful only for legacy codes. ... •Near Fort Providence NWT

Video showing Isosurface of W (1 m/s)(yellow) with Tb (600K) in blue shown near surface

QuickTime™ and aCinepak decompressor

are needed to see this picture.

Page 108: Coupled Fire-Atmosphere Research Modeling and Observations · Diagnostics. Comparison with previous memory shared code:-useful only for legacy codes. ... •Near Fort Providence NWT

Effect of Atmospheric Heating

ls small so that

)( airb TTfs

−ll

ρν

has a significant effect Two-Dimensional Framework

Page 109: Coupled Fire-Atmosphere Research Modeling and Observations · Diagnostics. Comparison with previous memory shared code:-useful only for legacy codes. ... •Near Fort Providence NWT

Two-Dimensional Test Experiments

All experiments used a specified spread rate of 1 m/sSpecified fire width of 7 m

ls sensitivity exps - used four settings 1, .5, .25, .125 cmRepresenting small to strong heat exchanges.

Canopy drag experimentsExp Cnd ls (cm) Canopy Sp (m/s) Comments

B1 0.15 0.5 36 m break 1.0 35 k heating

B2 0.0 0.5 36 m break 1.0 35 k heating

B3 0.15 0.5 continuous 1.0 35 k heating

B4 0.0 500.0 36 m break 1.0 No heating

B5 0.15 500.0 36 m break 1.0 No heating

Page 110: Coupled Fire-Atmosphere Research Modeling and Observations · Diagnostics. Comparison with previous memory shared code:-useful only for legacy codes. ... •Near Fort Providence NWT

Figure 2. at t = 24 s from a series of Australian grass fire experiments. The values of are 1., .5, .25 and .125 cm, respectively. The contour

interval of is 8 K.

l

ls =1 cm ls =.5 cm

ls =.25 cm ls =.125 cm

Page 111: Coupled Fire-Atmosphere Research Modeling and Observations · Diagnostics. Comparison with previous memory shared code:-useful only for legacy codes. ... •Near Fort Providence NWT

Observations Needed to Estimate ls

Page 112: Coupled Fire-Atmosphere Research Modeling and Observations · Diagnostics. Comparison with previous memory shared code:-useful only for legacy codes. ... •Near Fort Providence NWT

Canopy DragExperiments

in 2D

Page 113: Coupled Fire-Atmosphere Research Modeling and Observations · Diagnostics. Comparison with previous memory shared code:-useful only for legacy codes. ... •Near Fort Providence NWT

FireB1-B5 comparisons t= 18 and 37 sCanopy Drag ( ls) = 0.5 & 500 cm Uo=3m/s

t = 18 sls = 0.5Cnd=.15heating

t = 18 sls = 500.Cnd=.15no heating

t = 37 sls = 0.5Cnd=.15heating

t = 37 sls = 500.Cnd=.15no heating

Page 114: Coupled Fire-Atmosphere Research Modeling and Observations · Diagnostics. Comparison with previous memory shared code:-useful only for legacy codes. ... •Near Fort Providence NWT

FireB1-B5 comparisons t= 56 and 75 sCanopy Drag ( ls) = 0.5 & 500 cm Uo=3m/s

t = 56 sls = 0.5Cnd=.15heating

t = 75 sls = 0.5Cnd=.15heating

t = 56 sls = 500.Cnd=.15no heating

t = 75 sls = 500.Cnd=.15no heating

Page 115: Coupled Fire-Atmosphere Research Modeling and Observations · Diagnostics. Comparison with previous memory shared code:-useful only for legacy codes. ... •Near Fort Providence NWT

FireB1-B2 comparisons t= 18 and 37 sCanopy Drag (Cnd) = 0.0 & .15 Uo=3m/s

t = 18 sls = 0.5Cnd=.15heating

t = 18 sls = 0.5Cnd=0.0heating

t = 37 sls = 0.5Cnd=.15heating

t = 37 sls = 0.5Cnd=0.0heating

Page 116: Coupled Fire-Atmosphere Research Modeling and Observations · Diagnostics. Comparison with previous memory shared code:-useful only for legacy codes. ... •Near Fort Providence NWT

FireB1-B2 comparisons t= 56 and 75 sCanopy Drag (Cnd) = 0.0 & 0.15 Uo =3m/s

t = 56 sls = 0.5Cnd=.15heating

t = 75 sls = 0.5Cnd=.15heating

t = 56 sls = 0.5Cnd=.0.0heating

t = 75 sls = 0.5Cnd=.0.0heating

Page 117: Coupled Fire-Atmosphere Research Modeling and Observations · Diagnostics. Comparison with previous memory shared code:-useful only for legacy codes. ... •Near Fort Providence NWT

AVI FIREB1 Cnd = .15 ls =.5 cm

QuickTime™ and aCinepak decompressor

are needed to see this picture.

Page 118: Coupled Fire-Atmosphere Research Modeling and Observations · Diagnostics. Comparison with previous memory shared code:-useful only for legacy codes. ... •Near Fort Providence NWT

AVI FIREB1 Cnd = .15 ls =.5 cm

QuickTime™ and aCinepak decompressor

are needed to see this picture.

Page 119: Coupled Fire-Atmosphere Research Modeling and Observations · Diagnostics. Comparison with previous memory shared code:-useful only for legacy codes. ... •Near Fort Providence NWT

AVI FIREB2 Cnd = 0.0 ls =.5 cm

QuickTime™ and aCinepak decompressor

are needed to see this picture.

Page 120: Coupled Fire-Atmosphere Research Modeling and Observations · Diagnostics. Comparison with previous memory shared code:-useful only for legacy codes. ... •Near Fort Providence NWT

AVI FIREB2 Cnd = 0.0 ls =.5 cm

QuickTime™ and aCinepak decompressor

are needed to see this picture.

Page 121: Coupled Fire-Atmosphere Research Modeling and Observations · Diagnostics. Comparison with previous memory shared code:-useful only for legacy codes. ... •Near Fort Providence NWT

Summary Comments on Modelling

• Coupled dynamics and thermodynamics works well in the MPI environment.

• New Parameterization is proving useful to test physical concepts• Field variables easily added

-treat transport of chemical species. -treat additional physical effects, e.g.

• split Mf to consider flashover effects• firebrands for spotting

• Canopy drag has a significant impact on fire behaviour - case treated suggests wind driven to plume type conversion

• Need to validate approach and parameter setting using observations• Model ready to consider fire-to-fuel heat exchange

Page 122: Coupled Fire-Atmosphere Research Modeling and Observations · Diagnostics. Comparison with previous memory shared code:-useful only for legacy codes. ... •Near Fort Providence NWT

Conclusions

• High Vertical and Horizontal Grid Resolution-Important to capture fire dynamics-Important to have tree drag physics “turn-on”-Capture local variations in topography

• Importance of Tree and other Drag -Can cause regime change from wind driven to convectivelydriven

-Can capture drag boundary effects affected by time dependantflow, i.e. forward bursts, extruding surface fire fingers etc.-Can be used to approximate flow around buildings

Page 123: Coupled Fire-Atmosphere Research Modeling and Observations · Diagnostics. Comparison with previous memory shared code:-useful only for legacy codes. ... •Near Fort Providence NWT

Conclusions (cont.)•IR Imagery

-Bargain at only $70k for 3-5micron camera-Image flow analysis good for winds and thermal structures-Comparison with simulations helps model verification-Some questions about what are we really looking at

•Fire Parameterization-Captures a range of important fire effects-Robust enough to add further physical effects

-fire brands,fire to fuel heat exchange

• Role of Potential Flow In Wildfire-This component follows the drag boundary-Largely ignored?-Important in considering fire break design-Interplay between the two components of flow may help explainflapping like fire behaviour during spread