coupled fire-atmosphere research modeling and observations · diagnostics. comparison with previous...
TRANSCRIPT
Main contributors:
Janice Coen, NCAR BoulderMorwenna Griffiths,Monash Australia Bill Hall, NCAR BoulderMary Ann Jenkins,York U. Toronto Don Latham, USFS Missoula Montana Don Middleton,NCAR BoulderDavid Packham, Monash AustraliaLarry Radke,NCAR Rhode IslandMichael Reeder,Monash Australia
Coupled Fire-Atmosphere ResearchModeling and Observations
by Terry L. Clark
NCAR University of British Columbia Comox
OUTLINE OF TALK
IR Imagery-overview of IR camera and analysis techniques-some prescribed and wild fire field experiments
Dynamic Model -Overview of nesting,drag etc large range of resolution
Trees Without Fire-Role of Drag
Description of Fire Code-Exp testing effects of canopy drag and heat exchange
INTRODUCTORYOBSERVATIONS
showingFire Atmosphere Interation
Onion sage brush fire in Owensvalley, Ca 1985 courtesy of C. George
Street Patterns observed in Fires
Photo courtesy Brenner -observed in Florida
Montana Finger of Fire
Or effect of Drag+gusts
Modelling the Dynamics
Numerical Model• 3D Non-hydrostatic 2nd order finite-differences• Terrain following - geo-spherical coordinates • Vertical and horizontal grid refinement
– 2-way interaction-
• Vertically stretched grids with grid refinement- Clark (1977,JCP), Clark-Farley(1984,JAS),
Clark-Hall(1991,JCP; 1996,JAM)• Boundary-Initial conditions from NWP• Bulk parameterizations of rain/ice processes• Canopy dynamics and diurnal heat budget
∇2 ∇4 and ∇6 filters for 2 ∇h modes
Coordinates
z = F (ζ )(1 − h ( x , y ) / H ) + h ( x, y )whereF (0) = 0 F (H ) = Handh ( x, y ) is the height of the orography.Model is cast onto constant Δζ grids .
Δ x represents constant longitude incrementsΔy represents constant latitude increments
Horizontal Coordinates
Vertically Stretched Coordinates
Vertical Coordinates used in Fire Modelling
• Inconsistencies can lead to numerical artifacts anderroneous vorticity (e.g. Clark and Hall, 1996)
• Example of grid using multiple passes with 1:2:1 filter
Δz versus z 2
2
zJ
∂∂
• Allows smooth transition between multiple vertical nests
z z
Upscale-Downscale OperatorsMatch mass continuity is matched at all scales
0)()()(______
=++ ωρρρζ
ζδδδ vuy
y
x
x
∑=yzZY
X
etcuxnn
UR_1_
ρ
++++−−= )_
(0)_
(0)_
(_
UREUREUREux XXX
ρ
24/]12)/([2/)1(2)21(0
2/)1(
−ΔΔ=++=+
−−=+−=−
LlEEE
ααεε
αεαεε
where
Variational interpolation Clark-Farley(1984,JAS)
Vector averaging for density weighted velocity terms
Note-Only outermost grid chooses vertical structure-positioning and nesting only flexibility for inner domains
Example of 3-Domain Vertical Grids- (Clark-Hall,1996)
3-Domain vertical grids continueda) b)
Canopy Drag
j
ijii x
uVzadCnudtd
∂∂
+−=τρρ ||)(L
First order formulation, e.g. Wilson et al. (1998)
Where a(z) [m-1] is the one sided leaf area index (LAI)
In numerical experiments presented
a ( z ) dz0
h∫ = 4 . 5 , 7 and ∞
and Cnd = 0.0,.15, .30, .60 and .90
Canopy Drag for Obstacle Flow
SO2 study in Taylor, BC Canada-flow around buildings
-vegetation, bushes and some trees
View of Taylor BC
Drag Outline-Red is high buildings-Magenta low buildings-Green is vegetation
Vertical Vorticity at z= 2 m
Video- Vertical Vorticity at z=2m
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Multi-Processing Approach
Message Passing Interface (MPI) software is usedfor multi-processing.
Model Configuration for 3 LayersNVRT=0 (no tiling)
SingleProcessorframework
N=1
N=3
N=2
Multi-Processing Configuration for 3 Layers
NVRT=1 (with tiling) Layer 1 details
Multi-processorFramework
Four sub-domainsper layerMCPU=4
N=3
N=1
N=4
N=2
Green=lmx1,lmx2lmy1,lmy2
Blue=mi2mo
Multi-Processing Configuration for 3 Layers
NVRT=1 (with tiling) Layer 2/3 details
N=5 N=6
N=7 N=8
Green=
lmx1,lmx2
lmy1,lmy2
Blue=mi2mo
Multi-processor
Framework
Four sub-domains
per layer
MCPU=4
Diagnostics
Comparison with previous memory shared code:-useful only for legacy codes
Random symmetry tests:-applicable for all codes-used since early 1980s in code development-eliminates virtually all indexing errors
Comparison among three modes of computation:-NVRT=0 IMPI=0 1 processor-NVRT=1 IMPI=0 1 processor-NVRT=1 IMPI=1 multi-processors
Grid Refinement Using 5 Domains
Example fromClark et al. 2000, JAS
Grid size ranges from26 km to 200 m(4:1 4:1 4:1 2:1)
CO
DOMAIN 5 OROGRAPHY
Example fromClark et al. 2000, JAS
Vs= 55 m/s σq = 10 m/s t=14:10:07
Video - 3D Vis5d of jet stream and CAT
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Trees Without Fire
Some results from a forest retention study-Question addressed is “What retention pattern results inleast blowdown after clear cutting?”
-My Answer: There isn’t one.
Here I want to explain Reason I believeno such patterns exist and the possible relation to wildfires
As corroboration: Foresters working in the field see almostAll retention pattern logging fail, i.e. Aggregates also blow down
Wind Tunnel SimulationsExperiment Cnd Cd Δt (s) Δx, Δy, Δz (cm) NX,NY,NZ LAI
WTA3D3 .30 .01 .0015/.0005 (3,3,3)/(1,1,1) (12,1090,52) /(32,1634,41)
4.5
WTA3D4 .60 .01 4.5
WTA3D5 .90 .01 4.5
Cross-stream (x-direction) cyclic, Lx = .3 m, Ly = 32.64 m and 16.32 m and Lz = 1.5 m, V0= 8 m s-1
Video:UZ cross stream avg WTA3D3approx 4h
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Video:UZ cross stream avg WTA3D4approx 4h
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Video:UZ cross stream avg WTA3D5approx 4h
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Comment
Note from previous figures how deep effect of tree drag extends above the trees.
-the effect of tree drag that extends above the surface “turns on” for
≈4h
Δx,ΔyandΔz ≤ h/3 to h/4 -I used h/15 in above study-typical surface paramaterizations at low horizontalor vertical resolution miss the physics entirely
-implication for pollution or smoke dispersion modelling
Retention Modelling
Video-Vertical Vorticity from RTB1H2
Adding Single Eddy added at t=1.65
Video- U at Z=10.5 m
Video:Vertical Cross-section w
Video:Vertical Cross-section u
Video-Torque from RTD1H2
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Aggregate 1 Bending Moment
Aggregate 2-5 Bending Moments
Relevance to Fire DynamicsEarly Time Flow Dominated by Potential Flow
-Batchelor Fluid Dynamics 101
Introduction of Time Dependence to Flow-Breaks streamlining though development ofa potential flow component
-This component follows the “drag” boundary-More eddies would only add to effect-Eddy that increases wind would cause much stronger effect
Possible Relevance to Fires-Forward bursts at firebreaks-Effects due to canopy drag variation before and after fire-Flames shooting across ground, i.e. finger of fire inMontana
Some Further Considerations on how Potential flow might Affect Fire Behaviour
-gusts impinging on a fire front near a drag boundarycause a component of the flow to follow the boundaryi.e. strong downdraft -this effect occurs at speed of sound (rapidly)hot plume being brought to the surface counters withvorticity that makes hot air rise-this effect occurs rather slowly
-changing orientation affects the buoyancy feedback-Wide range of possible paradigmsFIRE BREAK DESIGN?
D ξDt
= g ∂ B∂ x
OBSERVATIONS
A. Infrared Camera- Inframetrics PM380- 3 to 5 m- 256 by 256 array - Sterling cooler
μ
Image Flow Analysis Applications• Understand fire behavior• Calculate combustion zone winds
and their statistics• Use derived data to validate
numerical models
Image Flow Analysis
Assumptions– IR camera sees incandescent soot particles– Motion is on a distorted two-dimensional surface – Local features can be followed for short periods– We can fit data to simple types of motions, i.e.
translation, rotation, dilation and shear
. .
Image Registration1. Reduce image resolution (e.g. 7:1 in x and 5:1 in y)
2. Align image using IR intensity center of mass
3. Refine alignment using correlation analysis
Λ = Σ (φn+1(x + Δx, y +Δy) − φn(x,y))2
Minimize Λ to estimate Δx and Δy.
4. Extract linear trends in Δx (t) and Δy(t).
5. Registered IR images:
- used in image flow analysis to estimate winds within the combustion zone
Image Flow AnalysisGradient Approach (Helmholtz theorem):Two-dimensional motions can be represented as the sum of six components.
Translation
. .
)( 210 −=∇fdtd
)()( 3022 =+ yfxfdtd
Rotation
)(40=+ yfdtdyfxf
dtdxf
Uniform expansion
And two shear components which most researchers ignore.
Robust StatisticsUsing the two components of translation,
0=∇fdtd
⎟⎟⎠
⎞⎜⎜⎝
⎛−−
=⎟⎟⎠
⎞⎜⎜⎝
⎛⎟⎟⎠
⎞⎜⎜⎝
⎛
ztfxtf
wu
zzfxzfxzfxxf
we obtain the matrix equation
which we solve at each pixel for u and w. If |u2 + w2| > S2 thenwe flag that pixel as an outlier and avoid considering it in the calculations. Typically, S= 20 to 40 m/s.
Least Squares Minimization
⎟⎟⎠
⎞⎜⎜⎝
⎛
−
−=⎟⎟
⎠
⎞⎜⎜⎝
⎛⎟⎟⎠
⎞⎜⎜⎝
⎛
∑∑
∑∑∑∑
ztfxtf
wu
zzfxzfxzfxxf
After identifying outliers we sum over a patch of data as
We typically use 7 by 7 pixels.Outlier points are not included in any of the summations.
This simplest approach requires the inversion of a second order matrix to estimate u and w..
International Crown Fire Modelling Exp
Cameras on 50fttower
•Canadian and US Forest Services •Near Fort Providence NWT Canada• Prescribed crown fires•150 by 150 m plots•June – July 1997•Tower based IR measurements•Plot 6–9 July 1997
Workshop at the Site
Plot 5 Fire Whirl
Plot 6 Ignition
Plot 6 at 2:08
Plot 6 at 2:09
Plot 6 at 2:10
Plot 6 at 2:10 plus
Plot 6 at 2:11
Forward Burst Sequence
Video: Plot 6 Visual
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Derived Winds for file=7004
Video: Plot 6 Image Analyzed Fire WindsFrame 13000 to 14300
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Fig 10a Clark et al. 1999, JAM
Half Time
Wild Fire Experiment
• NCAR• Sept 1998, Montana, Colorado and California • Infrared Camera mounted on NSF/NCAR C-130• Wildfires were the target of opportunity• First case was in Glacier National Park
-Challenge Fire Complex 4 Sept 98-100 m long hairpin vortex observed with IR-fire about 2 km away from camera
IR Imagery from C-130Fire Finger
Finger shot outabout 100 m in1-2 sec
Indications of burning fuel on sfc after finger retreats
Hairpin or Turbulent BurstOR effect of drag variationwith strong gust
Video: IR Observations over Glacier National Park - 4 Sept 1998
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Northern Territory Grass Fire Experiment- Australia
• Spear grass burns 40 km South of Darwin• Kerosene grass burns near Batchelor• Used 19 m high cherry-picker as platform• Platform motion requires apparent motion treatment
Viny’s Cherry Picker
Fuel Type - Australian Spear Grass (Sorgum_Intrans)
Litchfield Park Kerosene Grass
Litchfield Kerosene Grass (19 m up)
Video: IR Data Hughes plot 3Camera ≅ 200 m
from fire
giving ≅ 30 cm pixels
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Video: Unprocessed Images Plot-3a Hughes Airfield
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Video: Fire Winds using least squareswith registration
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Velocity Statistics – Least Squares
Black point valuesRed mean+5sigma
1/2 secrunningaverage
Umax/min Wmax/min
FROSTFIRE
• Permafrost burn near Fairbanks Alaska• 2000 ha prescribed burn • Black spruce and hardwoods• Studying fire behavior and fire ecology• June 1999• NCAR team – airborne observations• CU team – ground based
Frostfire site map
ObservationPost
Vista Geo-monitoring 10 July-escape
Video: Registered images from 10 July 1999A Short Sequence Viewing North
Arrow shows Camera direction
8 times real time
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Summary Comments on Observations
• IR Image flow analysis useful to assess statistics of combustion zone winds.
- NWT case (crown fire) estimates between 30 to 40 m/s updrafts - NT case (grass fire) estimates 10 to 15 m/s updrafts
• IR analysis can be used as part of a model validation procedure- model data can be used to mimic what IR camera views.
Wildfire Modeling
Rational for Wildfire Modeling• Wildfire propagation physics is poorly understood• FS spread models use empirical fits from
– Low intensity small fires– Laboratory fire tunnels– Neither can hope to represent the vast parameter space of intense fires
• Understanding fire behavior involves– Combustion winds interacting with the fire and ambient flow– Fire-atmosphere heat exchange– Fire-fuel heat exchange – Chemical release and transport by the convection
• Some Applications of Coupled Fire-Atmosphere Models – Study burn paradigms – Understand fire related sources/sinks to atmospheric budgets-- Understand and help improve design of fire breaks– Develop suppression techniques
NCAR FIRE CODE
Only aspects used in the current fire model.-spread rate treatment-contour advection scheme (I didn’t know aboutlevel-set method at the time!).
Spread Rate Treatment01 RwspS )( φφ ++=
)( nvww φφ =
φs is the slope coefficientis the wind coefficient
nv is the wind normal to the fire front
R0 depends on fuel type and moisture content.A BURNUP type curve is used to describethe rate of mass loss for each fuel cell.
BEHAVE formulation
• Strong need for improved spread rate parametrizations appropriate for coupled fire-atmosphere models
Fire Line Propagation Scheme
•Contour advection scheme•Avoids assuming shape such as ellipse•We want the physics to determine shape
Schematic of tracer and fire line
Tracer Code
• Area inside tracers designates ignited fuel•The Δx and Δy of fire model range from 1 to 3 m • Fuel cell Δxf and Δyf range from .5 to 1 m
•Grid point method used to track fuel and fire
• Four particles (or tracers) for each fuel cell
•Local contour advection scheme used to move tracers
Fig3 Normal Vectors
Video: Animation of six tests
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Weather Fire Integrated System(WFIS) FIRE CODE
•Multi-fluid approach similar to bulk microphysics parameterizations.
•Physical parameterization of fire at the level of sophistication where we can begin to compare with the natural event.
•True parameterization in the sense that model does not converge to physical equations as resolution is increased.(i.e. not a poorly resolved treatment of the physical eqns)
Clark, Griffiths, Reeder and Latham, 2003: J. Geophysical Research, 42, 970-983.Clark, Griffiths,Reeder,Packham,Krusel, 2004:Meteor. & Atmos Phys.
Fire Model Variables
Mf(x,y,z,t) - mixing ratio of combusting materialTb (x,y,z,t) - temperature of combusting materialMb(x,y,z,t) - mixing ratio of smoke
τb - Time scale for combustion e.g. 1-2 s.μ f - Volume mixing ratio of Mflf - Effective volume/area ratiols - Interfacial diffusion length scaleSb - Conversion rate for MfSf - Conversion rate of pyrolysis Sv - Conversion rate for water vapour
Field Variables
Parametersτ
μf - volume mixing ratio of combusting material
Assumptions1. Assume a time scale for combustion τb, e.g. 1-2 s.2. Assume combusting material and air are two
interacting fluids3. lf determined so that Tb (max) = 1200k. 4. Exchange of heat between the combusting fluid and
air 1/(ls lf )5. H20 and CO2 absorption contribute to heating of air
Above assumptions designed for models using Δx Δy and Δz 1 to 3 m.
∝
≈
Governing Equations
)( fMKbSfSzfM
dtd
∇⋅∇+−∂∂
−= ρρ
S b = ρ M f / τ b
Sf = S o exp( −z / λ s )
ρ ddt
Mb = Sb − Sv+ ∇⋅(ρK∇Mb)
Sv = 0.56Sb = 0.56ρMf / τb
Conservation equation for Mb (smoke)
Conservation equation for the mixing ratio of combusting material, Mf
Governing Equations (cont.)
)(
)(42
*
bTKpc
airTbTfs
pcbSbCf
bTbT
dtd
pc
∇⋅∇+
−−⎟⎟⎠
⎞⎜⎜⎝
⎛+
−=
ρ
ρνσερρρ
lll
)()( θρρνθρ ∇⋅∇+ℜ+−= KairTbTfsdt
dll
Thermodynamic equation for temperature of combusting material,Tb.
Conservation equation for θ showing fire - atmosphereexchange terms
Governing Equations (cont. again)
Effective buoyancy that drives updrafts is now defined as
bTfffef μθμθ +−= )1(
where
μf is the volume mixing ratio oUsing heat flux arguemenburnoff raμfis expected to be in the ra
A Numerical ConsiderationThe diagnostic equation for Tb withoutconduction and eddy mixing reveals the timescale
τf =300cpτb
CbMf
meaning that without taking any avoidance measuresΔt /τf ≤1In the present grass fire caseτf is about .1 to .05 s.
Figure 8.Horizontal and vertical cross sections from experiment CFA. (a) is at the surface, (b) is at x = 150 m, (c) is a section through
y = 150 m, and (d) is taken at a height of 1 m.
Figure 4.Maximum and minimum u, v, w and maximum
versus time for experiment CFA.
Figure 5.Vertical cross-sections of u (a) and w (c) for experiment CFA at t = 1.4 min. Panel (b) shows the variation of u at z = 1 m,
panel (d) shows the variation of w at z = 1 m.
Figure 6.Plan view of fire line at t = 1.4 min showing the wind vectors
at z = 2m above ground and plotted every 2 m for experiment CFA. The bold line marks the position of the fire front. Only a section of
the domain is shown to highlight the variations along the fire.
Figure 7.(a) Maximum combustion temperature, (K), (b) spread rate (ms-1), (c) heat flux (MWm-2) and (d) total sensible heat flux (GW) from
the fire versus time for experiment CFA.
Figure 9.Horizontal cross section of heat flux at z = 3 m above the surface for experiment CFA
Video showing Isosurface of W (1 m/s)(yellow) with Tb (600K) in blue shown near surface
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Effect of Atmospheric Heating
ls small so that
)( airb TTfs
−ll
ρν
has a significant effect Two-Dimensional Framework
Two-Dimensional Test Experiments
All experiments used a specified spread rate of 1 m/sSpecified fire width of 7 m
ls sensitivity exps - used four settings 1, .5, .25, .125 cmRepresenting small to strong heat exchanges.
Canopy drag experimentsExp Cnd ls (cm) Canopy Sp (m/s) Comments
B1 0.15 0.5 36 m break 1.0 35 k heating
B2 0.0 0.5 36 m break 1.0 35 k heating
B3 0.15 0.5 continuous 1.0 35 k heating
B4 0.0 500.0 36 m break 1.0 No heating
B5 0.15 500.0 36 m break 1.0 No heating
Figure 2. at t = 24 s from a series of Australian grass fire experiments. The values of are 1., .5, .25 and .125 cm, respectively. The contour
interval of is 8 K.
l
ls =1 cm ls =.5 cm
ls =.25 cm ls =.125 cm
Observations Needed to Estimate ls
Canopy DragExperiments
in 2D
FireB1-B5 comparisons t= 18 and 37 sCanopy Drag ( ls) = 0.5 & 500 cm Uo=3m/s
t = 18 sls = 0.5Cnd=.15heating
t = 18 sls = 500.Cnd=.15no heating
t = 37 sls = 0.5Cnd=.15heating
t = 37 sls = 500.Cnd=.15no heating
FireB1-B5 comparisons t= 56 and 75 sCanopy Drag ( ls) = 0.5 & 500 cm Uo=3m/s
t = 56 sls = 0.5Cnd=.15heating
t = 75 sls = 0.5Cnd=.15heating
t = 56 sls = 500.Cnd=.15no heating
t = 75 sls = 500.Cnd=.15no heating
FireB1-B2 comparisons t= 18 and 37 sCanopy Drag (Cnd) = 0.0 & .15 Uo=3m/s
t = 18 sls = 0.5Cnd=.15heating
t = 18 sls = 0.5Cnd=0.0heating
t = 37 sls = 0.5Cnd=.15heating
t = 37 sls = 0.5Cnd=0.0heating
FireB1-B2 comparisons t= 56 and 75 sCanopy Drag (Cnd) = 0.0 & 0.15 Uo =3m/s
t = 56 sls = 0.5Cnd=.15heating
t = 75 sls = 0.5Cnd=.15heating
t = 56 sls = 0.5Cnd=.0.0heating
t = 75 sls = 0.5Cnd=.0.0heating
AVI FIREB1 Cnd = .15 ls =.5 cm
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AVI FIREB1 Cnd = .15 ls =.5 cm
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AVI FIREB2 Cnd = 0.0 ls =.5 cm
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AVI FIREB2 Cnd = 0.0 ls =.5 cm
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Summary Comments on Modelling
• Coupled dynamics and thermodynamics works well in the MPI environment.
• New Parameterization is proving useful to test physical concepts• Field variables easily added
-treat transport of chemical species. -treat additional physical effects, e.g.
• split Mf to consider flashover effects• firebrands for spotting
• Canopy drag has a significant impact on fire behaviour - case treated suggests wind driven to plume type conversion
• Need to validate approach and parameter setting using observations• Model ready to consider fire-to-fuel heat exchange
Conclusions
• High Vertical and Horizontal Grid Resolution-Important to capture fire dynamics-Important to have tree drag physics “turn-on”-Capture local variations in topography
• Importance of Tree and other Drag -Can cause regime change from wind driven to convectivelydriven
-Can capture drag boundary effects affected by time dependantflow, i.e. forward bursts, extruding surface fire fingers etc.-Can be used to approximate flow around buildings
Conclusions (cont.)•IR Imagery
-Bargain at only $70k for 3-5micron camera-Image flow analysis good for winds and thermal structures-Comparison with simulations helps model verification-Some questions about what are we really looking at
•Fire Parameterization-Captures a range of important fire effects-Robust enough to add further physical effects
-fire brands,fire to fuel heat exchange
• Role of Potential Flow In Wildfire-This component follows the drag boundary-Largely ignored?-Important in considering fire break design-Interplay between the two components of flow may help explainflapping like fire behaviour during spread