cost-effectiveness analysis of antiepileptic drugs in the treatment of lennox–gastaut syndrome

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Cost-effectiveness analysis of antiepileptic drugs in the treatment of LennoxGastaut syndrome Karen M. Clements , Michelle Skornicki, Amy K. O'Sullivan OptumInsight, Cambridge, MA, USA abstract article info Article history: Received 12 April 2013 Revised 10 July 2013 Accepted 12 July 2013 Available online 22 August 2013 Keywords: LennoxGastaut syndrome Clobazam Cost effectiveness Antiepileptic drug Epilepsy Budget impact modeling Pharmacoeconomics An economic model evaluated the costs and outcomes of adjunctive clobazam therapy for LennoxGastaut syn- drome (LGS) compared with adjunctive lamotrigine, runamide, and topiramate. Clinical data were used to es- timate baseline frequency and the percentage of drop-seizure reductions over 3 months (all comparators) and 2 years (runamide). Claims data from a large US health care plan were employed to estimate costs. After 3 months, 21.5% of those receiving clobazam were drop-seizurefree. Over a 3-month horizon, clobazam was more effective and less expensive than comparators, with the assumption that N 0.77% of drop seizures required medical care. Below this threshold, topiramate was less costly than clobazam. With the base-case assumption that 2.3% of drop seizures were medically attended, costs for patients receiving clobazam totaled $30,147 versus $34,223$35,378 for comparators. Clobazam was more efcacious and less costly than runamide over a 2-year horizon. The percentage of medically attended drop seizures was a driver of results. Clobazam treatment may be cost-saving. © 2013 The Authors. Published by Elsevier Inc. All rights reserved. 1. Introduction LennoxGastaut syndrome (LGS) is a debilitating form of childhood epilepsy. The onset of LGS typically occurs between ages 1 and 7, and LGS is estimated to account for up to 10% of childhood epilepsies [1,2]. Though no specic characteristics are diagnostic of LGS, it is associated with frequent tonic or atonic falls (drop attacks) and cognitive impair- ment [3]. Patients with LGS have an increased risk of mortality [4,5], and nearly half of all patients with LGS experience sudden drop attacks, which can lead to serious physical injury [1]. LennoxGastaut syndrome has considerable economic impact. Seizures attributed to LGS are often refractory to treatment and, therefore, increase the likelihood of patient hospitalization. A resource utilization study found that seizures accounted for 16.9% of hospital admissions in 2006 [6], with an estimated annual cost per patient of $4,553 [7]. A survey-based analysis found that annual US medical costs were notably greater for children with epilepsy than for children without epilepsy ($6,379 vs. $1,976, respectively, adjusted for 2004 prices) [8]. In another survey-based analysis of adult patients, the annual cost of epilepsy was projected to be $12.5 billion, including both direct costs (e.g., medical services, diagnostic procedures, emergency room visits) and indirect costs (e.g., lost wages for caregivers), adjusted to 1995 prices [9]. Approximately 80% of these costs were attributed to patients who had intractable seizures. Four antiepileptic drugs (AEDs: felbamate, lamotrigine, topiramate, and runamide) had been approved by the US Food and Drug Adminis- tration (FDA) for the treatment of LGS. Clobazam (On) became the fth when it was approved in October 2011 as an adjunctive treatment for seizures associated with LGS for patients 2 years and older. Although information about the economic prole of AEDs for the treatment of LGS is limited, recent analyses have reported the cost effectiveness of runamide in the United Kingdom. Adjunctive therapy with runamide was more costly than topiramate and lamotrigine but resulted in re- duced frequency of total seizures and drop attacks [10] and greater quality-adjusted life-years (QALYs) [11]. Runamide was cost-effective at a £30,000 per QALY gained threshold (e.g., compared with topiramate but not lamotrigine). With the approval of clobazam as an adjunctive treatment for LGS in the United States, the current analysis was conducted to estimate the short- and long-term cost effectiveness of clobazam as adjunctive therapy for LGS from a US payer perspective. 2. Methods A trial-based economic model was developed to evaluate the cost effectiveness and outcomes of clobazam versus competitor AEDs in the treatment of LGS over 3-month and 2-year time frames. Epilepsy & Behavior 29 (2013) 184189 This is an open-access article distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial-No Derivative Works License, which permits non-commercial use, distribution, and reproduction in any medium, provided the original author and source are credited. Corresponding author at: Health Economics & Outcomes Research Life Sciences, OptumInsight, One Main Street, 10th Floor, Cambridge, MA 02142, USA. Fax: +1 617 475 2491. E-mail address: [email protected] (K.M. Clements). 1525-5050/$ see front matter © 2013 The Authors. Published by Elsevier Inc. All rights reserved. http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.yebeh.2013.07.011 Contents lists available at ScienceDirect Epilepsy & Behavior journal homepage: www.elsevier.com/locate/yebeh

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Epilepsy & Behavior 29 (2013) 184–189

Contents lists available at ScienceDirect

Epilepsy & Behavior

j ourna l homepage: www.e lsev ie r .com/ locate /yebeh

Cost-effectiveness analysis of antiepileptic drugs in the treatment ofLennox–Gastaut syndrome☆

Karen M. Clements ⁎, Michelle Skornicki, Amy K. O'SullivanOptumInsight, Cambridge, MA, USA

☆ This is an open-access article distributed under the tAttribution-NonCommercial-NoDerivativeWorks License,use, distribution, and reproduction in anymedium, provideare credited.⁎ Corresponding author at: Health Economics & Out

OptumInsight, One Main Street, 10th Floor, Cambridge,475 2491.

E-mail address: [email protected] (K.M. Cle

1525-5050/$ – see front matter © 2013 The Authors. Pubhttp://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.yebeh.2013.07.011

a b s t r a c t

a r t i c l e i n f o

Article history:Received 12 April 2013Revised 10 July 2013Accepted 12 July 2013Available online 22 August 2013

Keywords:Lennox–Gastaut syndromeClobazamCost effectivenessAntiepileptic drugEpilepsyBudget impact modelingPharmacoeconomics

An economic model evaluated the costs and outcomes of adjunctive clobazam therapy for Lennox–Gastaut syn-drome (LGS) compared with adjunctive lamotrigine, rufinamide, and topiramate. Clinical data were used to es-timate baseline frequency and the percentage of drop-seizure reductions over 3 months (all comparators) and2 years (rufinamide). Claims data from a large US health care plan were employed to estimate costs. After3 months, 21.5% of those receiving clobazam were drop-seizure–free. Over a 3-month horizon, clobazam wasmore effective and less expensive than comparators, with the assumption that N0.77% of drop seizures requiredmedical care. Below this threshold, topiramate was less costly than clobazam. With the base-case assumptionthat 2.3% of drop seizures were medically attended, costs for patients receiving clobazam totaled $30,147 versus$34,223–$35,378 for comparators. Clobazam was more efficacious and less costly than rufinamide over a 2-yearhorizon. The percentage of medically attended drop seizures was a driver of results. Clobazam treatmentmay becost-saving.

© 2013 The Authors. Published by Elsevier Inc. All rights reserved.

1. Introduction

Lennox–Gastaut syndrome (LGS) is a debilitating form of childhoodepilepsy. The onset of LGS typically occurs between ages 1 and 7, andLGS is estimated to account for up to 10% of childhood epilepsies [1,2].Though no specific characteristics are diagnostic of LGS, it is associatedwith frequent tonic or atonic falls (“drop attacks”) and cognitive impair-ment [3]. Patientswith LGS have an increased risk ofmortality [4,5], andnearly half of all patients with LGS experience sudden drop attacks,which can lead to serious physical injury [1].

Lennox–Gastaut syndrome has considerable economic impact.Seizures attributed to LGS are often refractory to treatment and, therefore,increase the likelihood of patient hospitalization. A resource utilizationstudy found that seizures accounted for 16.9% of hospital admissions in2006 [6], with an estimated annual cost per patient of $4,553 [7].A survey-based analysis found that annual USmedical costs were notablygreater for children with epilepsy than for children without epilepsy($6,379 vs. $1,976, respectively, adjusted for 2004 prices) [8]. In anothersurvey-based analysis of adult patients, the annual cost of epilepsy was

erms of the Creative Commonswhichpermits non-commerciald the original author and source

comes Research Life Sciences,MA 02142, USA. Fax: +1 617

ments).

lished by Elsevier Inc. All rights reser

projected to be $12.5 billion, including both direct costs (e.g., medicalservices, diagnostic procedures, emergency room visits) and indirectcosts (e.g., lost wages for caregivers), adjusted to 1995 prices [9].Approximately 80% of these costs were attributed to patients who hadintractable seizures.

Four antiepileptic drugs (AEDs: felbamate, lamotrigine, topiramate,and rufinamide) had been approved by the US Food and Drug Adminis-tration (FDA) for the treatment of LGS. Clobazam(Onfi) became thefifthwhen it was approved in October 2011 as an adjunctive treatment forseizures associated with LGS for patients 2 years and older. Althoughinformation about the economic profile of AEDs for the treatment ofLGS is limited, recent analyses have reported the cost effectiveness ofrufinamide in the United Kingdom. Adjunctive therapywith rufinamidewas more costly than topiramate and lamotrigine but resulted in re-duced frequency of total seizures and drop attacks [10] and greaterquality-adjusted life-years (QALYs) [11]. Rufinamide was cost-effectiveat a £30,000 per QALY gained threshold (e.g., comparedwith topiramatebut not lamotrigine). With the approval of clobazam as an adjunctivetreatment for LGS in the United States, the current analysis wasconducted to estimate the short- and long-term cost effectiveness ofclobazam as adjunctive therapy for LGS from a US payer perspective.

2. Methods

A trial-based economic model was developed to evaluate the costeffectiveness and outcomes of clobazam versus competitor AEDs inthe treatment of LGS over 3-month and 2-year time frames.

ved.

Table 2Decreases in drop-seizure frequency following treatment with clobazam or rufinamideover a 2-year horizon.

Patients per seizure decreasecategory, %

Month

3 6 9 12 15 18 21 24

Clobazam [13]b50% decrease 38% 30% 32% 31% 36% 40% 44% 47%50–b75% decrease 14% 21% 13% 13% 13% 14% 8% 2%75–b100% decrease 19% 22% 27% 27% 23% 19% 22% 24%Drop-seizure freedom 29% 28% 27% 29% 28% 26% 27% 27%Mean % decrease 62% 65% 64% 64% 60% 56% 54% 52%

Rufinamide [17]b50% decrease 72% 67% 63% 71% 67% 69% 70% 71%50–b75% decrease 7% 8% 9% 7% 8% 8% 8% 7%75–b100% decrease 16% 18% 20% 16% 18% 17% 17% 16%Drop-seizure freedom 6% 7% 7% 6% 6% 6% 6% 6%Mean % decrease 42% 42% 43% 37% 38% 35% 34% 33%

185K.M. Clements et al. / Epilepsy & Behavior 29 (2013) 184–189

2.1. Patient population

The model patient population comprised individuals with LGSwith characteristics similar to patients who had enrolled in the pivotalstudy OV-1012 (also known as the CONTAIN trial) [12]. Key patientcharacteristics included the following: 1) an LGS diagnosis, 2) 2 to54 years of age with LGS onset before 11 years of age, 3) ≥2 drop sei-zures per week, and 4) treatment with 1–3 concomitant AEDs.

2.2. Model overview and structure

At model initiation, patients were assumed to have had the same av-erage number of drop seizures permonth as patients in clobazam clinicaltrials at baseline, depending on the model time horizon: 128 drop sei-zures/month for the 3-month horizon (CONTAIN) [12] and 132 drop sei-zures/month for the 2-year horizon (OV-1004 clobazam open-labelextension [OLE] trial) [13]. Model assumptions were that patients hadthe midpoint number of drop seizures in their seizure-reduction catego-ries and that change in drop seizureswas linear between time points. Theaverage cost per drop seizure was multiplied by the number of dropseizures occurring each month. Utility values were assigned based ondrop-seizure reduction category each month. The model assumed atarget clobazam dosage of 1.0 mg/kg/day for both the 3-month and2-year time frame analyses.

After short-term treatment in the 3-month model, patients wereclassified by their percentage decreases in drop-seizure frequency frombaseline (i.e., 128/month): 0%–b50%, 50%–b100%, and 100% (seizure-free). Model comparators for the 3-month analysis included rufinamide(maximum dosage of 45 mg/kg/day), topiramate (target dosage of6 mg/kg/day), and lamotrigine (maximum dosage of 5 mg/kg/day forpatients also receiving valproate; 15 mg/kg/day for patients not receiv-ing valproate). Since no head-to-head comparison trials of these AEDshave been reported, efficacy estimates were adjusted for study differ-ences using an indirect comparison of relative efficacy versus a commoncomparator (Table 1) [12,14–16]. Definitions of drop seizures differedslightly between trials (e.g., rufinamide and topiramate trials: drop sei-zures included tonic–atonic seizures; lamotrigine and clobazam trials:drop seizures included atonic, tonic, and myoclonic seizures thatresulted in falls).

After long-term treatment in the 2-yearmodel, patients were classi-fied by their percentage decreases in drop-seizure frequency from base-line (i.e., 132/month): 0%–b50%, 50%–b75%, 75%–b100%, and 100%(seizure-free). Over 2 years, 17.9% of patients receiving clobazam and57.3% of patients receiving rufinamide discontinued treatment. Patientswho discontinued at each time point were assumed to have returned totheir baseline drop-seizure rates. The model comparator for the 2-yearanalysis was rufinamide (maximum dosage of 45 mg/kg/day).

Efficacy estimates for the decrease in drop seizures over 24 monthswere derived from open-label studies of clobazam [13] and rufinamide[17] (Table 2). It should be noted that the percentage of rufinamide pa-tients in eachdrop-seizure reduction categorywas reported at 36 monthsonly. Interim efficacy outcomeswere calculated using the fraction of the36-month median reduction that had been achieved at each 3-monthtime point. The fractions of the final percentage reduction at eachtime point were then multiplied by the percentage of patients in eachdrop-seizure reduction category (50%–b75%, 75%–b100%, and 100%)

Table 1Decreases in drop-seizure frequency at 3 months by AED comparator.a

Patients per seizure decreasecategory at 3 months, %

Clobazam[12]

Rufinamide[14]

Topiramate[16]

Lamotrigine[15]

b50% decrease 32% 50% 59% 63%50–b100% decrease 47% 45% 37% 37%Drop-seizure freedom 21% 4% 3% 0%Mean % decrease 64% 51% 46% 44%

a Indirect comparisons were used to adjust estimates.

at the end of the trial to obtain the number of patients in each reductioncategory every 3 months.

2.3. Cost parameters

Mean health care costs for medically attended seizures were identi-fied from a retrospective claims database analysis of patients with LGSvia administrative claims data from a large managed health care plan(January 2007 to September 2010). An algorithm, developed in consul-tationwith a pediatric neurologist (Dr. Deborah Lee, Lundbeck LLC), wasused to identify patients with LGS in the claims database and the cost ofseizure-attributable events (see Appendix A), which was estimated tobe $5,501 in 2013 US dollars [18]. Based on estimates from the literatureand the claims database analysis [10,18], it was assumed that 0.5% ofdrop attacks resulted in hospitalization, representing 21.5% of all sei-zures necessitating any medical costs (e.g., inpatient, outpatient, emer-gency room services). However, this analysis also sought to considerdrop attacks treated in the clinical setting, as well as those treated inthe hospital setting. Therefore, with the algorithm and these assump-tions, 2.3% of drop seizures were assumed to have been medicallyattended.

Daily drug costs (based on 2013 prices) were calculated by ap-plying the average dosages received in clinical trials (titration andmaintenance periods) — $22.41 for clobazam, $31.69 for rufinamide,$0.12 for topiramate, and $0.12 for lamotrigine — to the 2013wholesale acquisition costs (WACs) [19].

2.4. Utility weights

For estimation of the number of QALYs associated with each treat-ment, utility weights (a value that quantifies health-related quality oflife in each health state, ranging from 0 [death] to 1 [perfect health])were assigned to the drop-seizure reduction categories used in themodel. Utility estimates were obtained from a published study of costeffectiveness of rufinamide in the treatment of LGS (Table 3) [20]. Thestudy did not report the utility weight associated with 100% reduction.As a conservative estimate, the 100% reduction group was assumed tohave had the same utility weight as the 75%–b100% seizure-reductiongroup.

Table 3Utility weights by decrease in drop-seizure frequency category.

Category by decrease in drop-seizure frequency Utility [20]

Uncontrolled (0% decrease) 0.393b50% decrease 0.46150–b75% decrease 0.60575–b100% decrease 0.699Drop-seizure freedom (100% decrease) 0.699a

a Assumption.

186 K.M. Clements et al. / Epilepsy & Behavior 29 (2013) 184–189

2.5. Adverse events

Costs and disutility of adverse events were not considered in themodel. The most common adverse effects reported during the clinicaltrials (e.g., somnolence, vomiting, diarrhea, and fever) were consideredto be brief and not associated with a sustained decrease in quality of lifeor medical costs.

2.6. Model outputs and analyses

The model produced estimates of the total number of QALYs, num-ber of drop seizures, the percentage of patients who achieved drop-seizure freedom, and total costs. To calculate quality-adjusted life-years, the percentage of the sample in each drop-seizure reductioncategory each month was multiplied by the utility value associatedwith the category and summed over the model horizon.

2.6.1. Cost-effectiveness analysisThe cost effectiveness of clobazamwasmeasured using incremental

cost-effectiveness ratios (ICERs). These ICERs were estimated by rank-ordering treatment strategies by increasing cost and comparing morecostly strategies with less costly strategies by dividing the additionalcost by the additional benefit. A more costly strategy that provided noadditional benefit was said to be “dominated.” Cost effectiveness wasexpressed as cost per QALY gained, cost per drop seizure avoided, andcost per drop-seizure–free patient.

2.6.2. Deterministic sensitivity analysesDeterministic (i.e., one-way) sensitivity analyses were performed

to assess the sensitivity of the cost-effectiveness analysis results tochanges in the values of input parameters. To perform these analy-ses, we varied each parameter one at a time over the 95% confidenceinterval of the base-case values.When 95% confidence intervals werenot available, parameters were varied by ±25% of the base-casevalues.

2.6.3. Probabilistic sensitivity analysisA second-order probabilistic Monte Carlo sensitivity analysis

assessed uncertainty around the following base-case parameter values:transition probabilities, treatment-related adverse events, utilities, andtreatment costs. Each parameterwas characterized by probability distri-butions around their midpoint estimates. A random number generatorwas used to “draw” values from each distribution to generate estimatesof cost effectiveness for each treatment strategy. This process wasrepeated 1000 times, and the incremental results are presentedgraphically. The Monte Carlo simulation estimated the likelihoodthat clobazam was the dominant strategy.

Fig. 1.Mean numbers of drop seizures per patient for clobazam and AED comparators over(A) 3-month and (B) 2-year horizons.

2.6.4. Additional sensitivity and alternative scenario analysesWhen underlying model assumptions were uncertain, additional

sensitivity and alternative scenario analyses were conducted to testthe impact of alternative plausible assumptions. Analysis 1 presentedmodel results for a range of values for the assumption of the percentageof seizures requiring medical attention. First, we calculated the param-eter value at which the clobazam regimen was no longer the dominantregimen. Next, for all values below the threshold, we calculated ICERscomparing clobazam to the less costly regimen. In Analysis 2, an alterna-tive scenario was performed in which discontinuers were assumed tohave maintained seizure control and retained their average percentagedecreases in drop seizures for the remaining horizon in the 2-yearmodel.

3. Results

3.1. Base case: 3-month model

The adjusted percentage decreases of drop seizures per patient over3 months for clobazam, rufinamide, topiramate, and lamotrigine were64%, 51%, 46%, and 44%, respectively. The mean numbers of drop sei-zures per patient over 3 months are shown in Fig. 1A. Per-patientdrop-seizure costs were 93.3%, 91.9%, 99.9%, and 99.9% of the total treat-ment costs for the clobazam, rufinamide, topiramate, and lamotriginegroups, respectively (Table 4). Themodel suggests that, over 3 months,patientswho received clobazamexperienced fewer drop-seizure eventsthan thosewho received AED comparators (clobazam, 220; rufinamide,254; topiramate, 267; lamotrigine, 273), resulting in greater quality-adjusted life-years gained. Moreover, 21.5% of patients who receivedclobazam were free of drop seizures, compared with b5% for the AEDcomparators. Clobazam dominated all comparators (i.e., it was lessexpensive and more effective) in QALYs gained, decreases in drop-seizure events, and percentage of patients who had attained drop-seizure freedom over the 3-month horizon (Table 5).

3.2. Base case: 2-year model

Over 2 years, patients receiving clobazam had a 53% reduction indrop seizures, compared with a 33% reduction for patients receivingrufinamide (Fig. 1B). The total per-patient drug and drop-seizure costswere $177,068 for patients receiving clobazam and $265,814 for pa-tients receiving rufinamide (Table 4). Cost of treating drop seizurescomprised 92.1% and 94.0% of total costs in clobazam and rufinamidearms, respectively. The model suggests that patients who receivedclobazam experienced fewer drop seizures compared with patientswho received rufinamide (1,312 drop seizures vs. 2,010 drop seizures,respectively). Drop-seizure freedom was achieved by 26.7% of patientswho received clobazam versus 5.7% of those who received rufinamide(Table 5). Clobazam dominated rufinamide based on QALYs gained,

Table 4Base-case analysis: costs for clobazam and AED comparators (3-month and 2-year horizons).

Treatment Drop-seizure costs Drug costs Total costs

3-month horizonClobazam $28,130 $2,017 $30,147Rufinamide $32,526 $2,852 $35,378Topiramate $34,212 $11 $34,223Lamotrigine $34,960 $11 $34,970

2-year horizonClobazam $163,015 $14,053 $177,068Rufinamide $249,768 $16,046 $265,814

Fig. 2. Probabilistic sensitivity analysis of the (A) 3-month and (B) 2-year models.

187K.M. Clements et al. / Epilepsy & Behavior 29 (2013) 184–189

drop-seizure events avoided, and percentage of drop-seizure–free pa-tients over a 2-year horizon.

3.3. Deterministic sensitivity analysis

When model parameters were varied one at a time through a rangeof values, clobazam remained the dominant strategy (i.e., moreeffective and less expensive) versus comparators in all scenariosover the 3-month and 2-year time horizons.

3.4. Probabilistic sensitivity analysis

Incremental costs and outcomes of clobazam compared withrufinamide over the 3-month and 2-year time horizons showed thatclobazam was dominant in 100% of iterations (Figs. 2A and B).

3.5. Alternative scenarios

3.5.1. Scenario-1 analysisOver the 3-month horizon, clobazamwas dominant for all values of

the percentage of seizures medically attended that were greater than0.77%. Below this threshold, topiramate was less costly than clobazam.ICERs comparing clobazamwith topiramate ranged fromapproximately$2,300 per QALY gained, with an assumption that 0.76% of seizures re-quire medical care, to $196,200 per QALY gained, with an assumptionthat 0.05% of drop seizures require medical care. With the assumptionthat 0.5% of seizures require medical care (the percentage of seizuresresulting in hospitalization reported in Verdian et al. [11]), clobazamcost approximately $73,300 per QALY gained (Table 6). Over the 2-year time horizon, clobazamwas dominant for all values of the percent-age of seizures medically attended.

3.5.2. Scenario-2 analysis (clobazam vs. rufinamide)With the assumption that discontinuers retained their average

percentage drop-seizure decreases for the remaining horizon over the2-year time frame, clobazam dominated rufinamide as the latter wasboth more expensive and less effective (Table 7).

Table 5Base-case analysis: costs, QALYs, and drop-seizure events for clobazam and AED comparators (

Treatment Cost/patient QALYs Drop-seizureevents

Proportion ofdrop-seizure–fpatients

3-month horizonClobazam $30,147 0.129 219.5 0.215Topiramate $34,223 0.120 266.9 0.031Lamotrigine $34,970 0.119 272.7 0Rufinamide $35,378 0.122 253.8 0.044

2-year horizonClobazam $177,068 1.127 1,312 0.267Rufinamide $265,814 0.986 2,010 0.057

AED = antiepileptic drug; QALYs = quality-adjusted life-years.

4. Discussion

In this study, costs andoutcomes associatedwith adjunctive clobazamtreatment in patients with LGS were compared with adjunctive treat-ment with rufinamide, topiramate, and lamotrigine over a 3-monthhorizon and with rufinamide over a 2-year horizon. The time horizonswere based on the availability of trial-based, short- and long-termdata. In base-case analyses, clobazam was more efficacious and less ex-pensive (i.e., greater drop-seizure reduction and number of QALYsgained) than the comparator AEDs over both time horizons. Resultsfrom deterministic sensitivity analyses revealed that the base-case pa-rameter estimates were robust to reasonable variations across the 95%confidence interval range. Clobazam was also the dominant treatmentstrategy in 100% of the iterations of the probabilistic sensitivity analysis.Overall, patients treated with comparators had greater medical coststhan patients treated with clobazam, and this difference was drivenby reductions in medically attended drop seizures in patients treatedwith clobazam.

The estimate for the percentage of medically attended drop seizures(2.3%) could not be identified directly from the literature or databaseanalysis but was derived from the results of a survey of physicians inthe United Kingdom of the percentage of seizures that required hospi-talization [10] and a US-based retrospective claims database analysis[18]. The survey encompassed all types of epilepsy andwas not targetedsolely or specifically at a catastrophic epilepsy syndrome such as LGS.Unlike the Verdian et al. analysis, which considered only seizures

3-month and 2-year horizons).

reeCost/QALY gained Cost/drop seizure

avoidedCost/drop-seizure–freepatient

Reference Reference ReferenceDominated Dominated DominatedDominated Dominated DominatedDominated Dominated Dominated

Reference Reference ReferenceDominated Dominated Dominated

Table 6Alternative Scenario-1 analysis: costs, QALYs, and drop-seizure events for clobazam and AED comparators (3-month and 2-year horizons).a

Treatment Cost/patient QALYs Drop-seizureevents

Proportion ofdrop-seizure–freepatients

Cost/QALY gained Cost/drop seizureavoided

Cost/drop-seizure–freepatient

3-month horizonTopiramate $7,353 0.120 266.9 0.031 Reference Reference ReferenceLamotrigine $7,513 0.119 272.7 0.000 Dominated Dominated DominatedClobazam $8,054 0.129 219 0.215 $73,324 $15 $3,813Rufinamide $9,832 0.122 254 0.044 Dominated Dominated Dominated

2-year horizonClobazam $42,776 1.127 1312 0.267 Reference Reference ReferenceRufinamide $65,929 0.986 2010 0.057 Dominated Dominated Dominated

AED = antiepileptic drug; QALYs = quality-adjusted life-years.a Alternative Scenario 1 assumed that 0.5% of drop seizures were medically attended (vs. 2.3% in the base case).

188 K.M. Clements et al. / Epilepsy & Behavior 29 (2013) 184–189

attended in the hospital setting, we considered a percentage that wouldreflect seizures treated in both the hospital and clinical settings. Theclaims analysis was also used to estimate medical costs associated witheach seizure [10,18]. Interpretation of the claims analysis is subject tothe following limitations: 1) An ICD-9 code specific to the LGS form ofepilepsy does not exist, therefore an algorithm was used to identify thepatient population (algorithm has not been validated); 2) The studywas conducted in a managed care population and may not be indicativeof patients in a non-managed care setting; 3) Although claims areexcellent for understanding patterns of health care utilization, they aresubject to possible coding errors, such as coding for the purpose of“ruling out” rather than actual disease coding and undercoding; and4) Certain clinical and disease-specific parameters that could have aneffect on study outcomes are not readily available in claims data.

Given the uncertainty in the estimate of medically attended dropseizures, we performed additional sensitivity analyses to evaluate theresults, following a range of assumptions. Results demonstrated thatover a 3-month horizon, clobazam was still the dominant regimen atall values greater than 0.77%. Moreover, clobazam remained dominantwhen compared with rufinamide in the 2-year model at all values. Inaddition, our alternative scenario and sensitivity analyses were broadenough to encompass the percentage of medically attenuated seizuresreported in the hospital setting in the Verdian et al. analysis (0.5%) [10].

When data were not available, the following assumptions in thebase-case analysis were used to provide estimates. Patients were as-sumed to have had the midpoint number of drop seizures in eachdrop-seizure category and a linear change in drop seizures duringeach 3-month interval for which data were reported. In addition,the percentage of patients achieving each drop-seizure category ateach 3-month interval was not reported in the rufinamide open-labelstudy [17], and, therefore, the percentage of patients reaching eachdrop-seizure category was assumed to have been proportional to themedian seizure reduction at that time point.

In the base-case analysis, it was also assumed that patients whodiscontinued treatment returned to their baseline drop-seizure rates. Asecond alternative analysis assumed that patients whohad discontinuedtreatment maintained seizure control. The results from the secondalternative analysis did not alter the conclusion that clobazam wasthe dominant treatment.

Table 7Alternative Scenario-2 analysis: costs, QALYs, and drop-seizure events for clobazam and rufina

Treatment Cost/patient QALYs Drop-seizureevents

Proportion ofdrop-seizure–fpatients

Clobazam $164,421 1.144 1206 0.267Rufinamide $247,083 1.012 1853 0.057

QALYs = quality-adjusted life-years.a Alternative Scenario 2 assumed that patients who had discontinued treatment maintained

discontinuation).

Publications describing cost-effectiveness evaluations of AEDs in apatient population with LGS are limited [10,11,21]. In the only publica-tion presenting a cost–utility analysis, Verdian et al. estimated thatrufinamide costs £20,538 and £154,831 per QALY gained comparedwith topiramate and lamotrigine, respectively, over 3 years in patientswith LGS in the UK [11]. Our study estimated that clobazam was domi-nant comparedwith topiramate and lamotrigine, as well as rufinamide.The differences between our study and the Verdian study were as fol-lows: 1) The lack of published long-term efficacy data for topiramateand lamotrigine limited our study to a 3-month horizon to evaluatecost effectiveness of clobazam relative to all AED comparators. If thelong-term efficacy of topiramate and lamotrigine followed the samepattern as clobazam and rufinamide, clobazam would have remaineddominant relative to these two drugs over the long term; and 2) Intheir study, Verdian et al. included only hospital costs, estimating that0.5% of drop seizures led to hospitalization, whereas our study includedthe costs of hospitalization and outpatient treatment. Althoughwe esti-mated a greater cost per medically attended drop seizure, clobazamdominated rufinamide in the 2-year horizon.

Development of tolerance is a concern with the use of all AEDs, es-pecially the long-term use of benzodiazepines. We could not accountfor tolerance rates of topiramate, lamotrigine, and rufinamide. Some ofthe latest reports for clobazam do not necessarily agree. An inde-pendent, retrospective chart review of 46 patients with LGS at the pedi-atric neurology department of Asan Medical Center in Seoul, Korea(2000–2009), reported tolerance for 12 of 25 patients (48%) [22]. How-ever, several incongruences were reported in this and other analyses:“Despite the development of tolerance, once complete remission hadbeen maintained, a significant proportion of patients were found to re-main seizure-free” [22,23]. Well-controlled data from 188 patients whocompleted a 6-year open-label extension trial [24] found limited devel-opment of tolerance, as suggested by sustained responses over time;stable mean modal clobazam dosages over time; a substantial percent-age (70%) of patients remaining in treatment through study completion,with few discontinuing because of lack of efficacy; and some patientsbeing able to reduce their concomitant AED therapies. Therefore, it isdifficult to speculate on the roles, if any, of tolerance in these analyses.

In summary, this cost-effectiveness analysis suggests that treatmentwith clobazam over the short- and long-term horizon is both less costly

mide over a 2-year horizon.a

reeCost/QALY gained Cost/drop seizure

avoidedCost/drop-seizure–freepatient

Reference Reference ReferenceDominated Dominated Dominated

seizure control (vs. the drop-seizure rate in the base case which returned to baseline after

189K.M. Clements et al. / Epilepsy & Behavior 29 (2013) 184–189

and results in better efficacy outcomes than lamotrigine, rufinamide,and topiramate. The results suggest that treatment with clobazamleads to lower overall health care costs through a reduction in the num-ber of medically attended drop seizures, especially in the long term.Nevertheless, long-term data from patients prescribed clobazam in theclinical setting will be critical to determining true cost effectiveness.

Conflict of interest statement

The analyses reported in this manuscript were performed byOptumInsight (Cambrige, MA, USA) and funded through a contract withLundbeck LLC (Deerfield, IL, USA). Dr. Karen M. Clements is an employeeof OptumInsight. Ms. Michelle Skornicki and Dr. Amy K. O'Sullivan wereemployees of OptumInsight at the time the analyses were conducted.

Acknowledgments

This study was fully funded by Lundbeck LLC (Deerfield, IL, USA).Writing assistance and editorial support duringmanuscript preparationand revision were provided by Apurva Davé, PhD, of Prescott MedicalCommunications Group (Chicago, IL, USA), and Michael A. Nissen, ELS,Lundbeck LLC (Deerfield, IL, USA). This supportwas fundedby LundbeckLLC. The authors thank Jouko Isojarvi, MD, PhD, and Cynthia Mueller,PhD, both of Lundbeck, for their critical reviews of this manuscript, aswell as Deborah Lee, MD, PhD, also of Lundbeck, for providing inputon the algorithm described in Section 2.3 (Methods) and Appendix A.

Appendix A. Supplementary data

Supplementary data to this article can be found online at http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.yebeh.2013.07.011.

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