cost comparison of higher parking orbit scale up for arbitrary payload

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AAE450 Spring 2009 Cost Comparison of Higher Parking Orbit Scale up for Arbitrary Payload [Levi Brown] [Mission Ops] February 26, 2009 1

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February 26, 2009. Cost Comparison of Higher Parking Orbit Scale up for Arbitrary Payload. 1. Raising Departure Orbit. 1. Depart from higher circular parking orbit Decrease lunar transfer/Increase launch 2. Determine total cost effects Limitations in launch vehicle capability - PowerPoint PPT Presentation

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Page 1: Cost Comparison of Higher Parking Orbit Scale up for Arbitrary Payload

AAE450 Spring 2009

Cost Comparison of Higher Parking Orbit

Scale up for Arbitrary Payload

[Levi Brown] [Mission Ops]

February 26, 2009

1

Page 2: Cost Comparison of Higher Parking Orbit Scale up for Arbitrary Payload

AAE450 Spring 2009 [Levi Brown] [Mission Ops]

Raising Departure Orbit

2

1. Depart from higher circular parking orbit

• Decrease lunar transfer/Increase launch

2. Determine total cost effects

• Limitations in launch vehicle capability

3. Investigate eccentric orbits

• Create curve of launch vehicle performance with

orbit energy

4. Determine mass and power for varying altitudes

• Use sizing code from propulsion

5. Best fit curve relationships

6. Cost with varying orbit energy

Result:

• Launch from lowest altitude (400 km)

• Use longest time of flight (1 year)

0 2000 4000 6000 8000 10000 120004

6

8

10

12

14

16

18

Dnepr Cost Comparisons for351

Days

Apoapsis Altitude (400 x ra) km

Tot

al c

ost

(Mill

ion

$)

mdot=5.6 and Cheap Power

mdot=5.6 and Expensive Powermdot=7.1 and Cheap Power

mdot=7.1 and Expensive Power

Page 3: Cost Comparison of Higher Parking Orbit Scale up for Arbitrary Payload

AAE450 Spring 2009 [Levi Brown] [Mission Ops] 3

Scale Up for Arbitrary Payload

Launch Vehicle Relative Cost to LLO (Thousand $/kg)

Relative Cost to LEO (Thousand $/kg)

Falcon 9 (Loaded) 16.1 3.7

Dnepr 16.8 4.4

Falcon 9 (Partial) 20.2 6.1

Rockot 22.0 74

Soyuz 22.3 7.5

Delta IV 27.2 10.7

Delta II 40.6 17.9

Assume OTV is deliverable mass to 400 km for that launch vehicle

Sized OTV using same code as previously

Determined Power required, payload mass to lunar orbit (LLO) and relative cost to LLO

• Note: Assumed used same

thruster as for the small

payload

• Looking into higher thrust and

more efficient engines

Result: Minimize relative cost by minimizing relative cost to LEO

Page 4: Cost Comparison of Higher Parking Orbit Scale up for Arbitrary Payload

AAE450 Spring 2009

Back-up Slides

[Levi Brown] [Mission Ops] 4

Page 5: Cost Comparison of Higher Parking Orbit Scale up for Arbitrary Payload

AAE450 Spring 2009 [Levi Brown] [Mission Ops] 5

Initial Analysis ResultsUsing a circular departure orbit

Departure Altitude

(km)

Initial Mass (kg)

ThrustRequired

(mN)

Power(kW)

Solar ArrayMass (kg)

Power Cost (Million $)

200 650 123 2.2 14.6 2.2

2000 630 102 1.7 11.3 1.7

15000 600 55 0.7 4.7 0.4

36000 580 31 0.4 2.7 0.4

Note: Analysis performed for a mass flow rate of 7.1 mg/s and 150 day time of flight

This analysis was performed prior to the change of using a minimum Parking orbit of 400 km

Page 6: Cost Comparison of Higher Parking Orbit Scale up for Arbitrary Payload

AAE450 Spring 2009 [Levi Brown] [Mission Ops]

Dnepr Launch Vehicle Capability

6

Dnepr ($ 15 million)

Circular Altitude

(km)

Deliverable Mass (kg)

200 4400

300 3700

400 3400

500 2750

600 1900

700 1200

800 650

900 300

Apoapsis Altitude

(km)

Semi-Major Axis (km)

Energy (km^2/s^2)

400 6778.14 -29.4034500 6828.14 -29.1881750 6953.14 -28.6633

1000 7078.14 -28.15712000 7578.14 -26.29945000 9078.14 -21.9539

10000 11578.14 -17.2135

Eccentric OrbitEnergy Levels

Note:Periapsis is at an altitude of 400 km

Page 7: Cost Comparison of Higher Parking Orbit Scale up for Arbitrary Payload

AAE450 Spring 2009 [Levi Brown] [Mission Ops] 7

Launch Vehicle Capability Curve

Page 8: Cost Comparison of Higher Parking Orbit Scale up for Arbitrary Payload

AAE450 Spring 2009 [Levi Brown] [Mission Ops] 8

TOF (days) mdot (mg/s) Apoapsis Altitude a (km) Energy Mo (kg) Power (Kw)

351 5.6

400 6778.14 -29.4033792 679.8 2.5846500 6828.14 -29.1880689 679.6 2.5646750 6953.14 -28.6633407 679.3 2.5209

1000 7078.14 -28.1571459 678.9 2.46962000 7578.14 -26.2993585 677.7 2.31095000 9078.14 -21.9538607 675.1 1.9507

10000 11578.14 -17.2134921 672 1.5236

196 5.6

400 6778.14 -29.4033792 621.5 6.5534500 6828.14 -29.1880689 621.1 6.5007750 6953.14 -28.6633407 620.2 6.3709

1000 7078.14 -28.1571459 619.2 6.23732000 7578.14 -26.2993585 615.9 5.78015000 9078.14 -21.9538607 608.1 4.727

10000 11578.14 -17.2134921 600.3 3.6605

Sizing Results

Note: This analysis was performed using previous payload mass of 320 kg

Page 9: Cost Comparison of Higher Parking Orbit Scale up for Arbitrary Payload

AAE450 Spring 2009 [Levi Brown] [Mission Ops] 9

Initial OTV Mass with Varied Orbit Energymdot=5.6 mg/s

Page 10: Cost Comparison of Higher Parking Orbit Scale up for Arbitrary Payload

AAE450 Spring 2009 [Levi Brown] [Mission Ops] 10

Power Required with Varied Orbit Energymdot=5.6 mg/s

Page 11: Cost Comparison of Higher Parking Orbit Scale up for Arbitrary Payload

AAE450 Spring 2009 [Levi Brown] [Mission Ops] 11

Cost Model

ms/c = spacecraft mass required to reach LLO

CLaunch Vehicle = Total cost of launch vehicle (LV)

mLV Capability = mass LV can put into orbit

Ps/c = power required to reach LLO

Prate = $1000/Watt

Mprop= propellant mass required to reach LLO

Xerate = Cost of Xe ($1200/kg)

Page 12: Cost Comparison of Higher Parking Orbit Scale up for Arbitrary Payload

AAE450 Spring 2009 [Levi Brown] [Mission Ops] 12

0 2000 4000 6000 8000 10000 120004

5

6

7

8

9

10

Falcon 9 Cost Comparisons for196

Days

Apoapsis Altitude (400 x ra) km

Tot

al c

ost

(Mill

ion

$)

mdot=5.6 and Cheap Power

mdot=5.6 and Expensive Power

mdot=7.1 and Cheap Power

mdot=7.1 and Expensive Power

Falcon 9 Total Cost for Varying Apoapsis 196 and 351 Day TOF

0 2000 4000 6000 8000 10000 120003

4

5

6

7

8

9

10

Falcon 9 Cost Comparisons for351

Days

Apoapsis Altitude (400 x ra) km

Tot

al c

ost

(Mill

ion

$)

mdot=5.6 and Cheap Power

mdot=5.6 and Expensive Powermdot=7.1 and Cheap Power

mdot=7.1 and Expensive Power

Page 13: Cost Comparison of Higher Parking Orbit Scale up for Arbitrary Payload

AAE450 Spring 2009 [Levi Brown] [Mission Ops] 13

Confirmation of ResultsLowest cost at 400 km Orbit and 351 days

350 350.2 350.4 350.6 350.8 351 351.2 351.4 351.6 351.8 3525

6

7

8

9

10

11

12

13

14Launch Cost with TOF

Time of Flight (days)

Tot

al c

ost

(Mill

ion

$)

Delta 4

Falcon 9

DneprRockot

Taurus

399 399.5 400 400.5 401 401.55

6

7

8

9

10

11

12

13

14Launch Vehicle Minimum Cost Comparisons

Apoapsis Altitude (400 x ra) (km)

Tot

al c

ost

(Mill

ion

$)

Delta 4

Falcon 9

DneprRockot

Taurus

Page 14: Cost Comparison of Higher Parking Orbit Scale up for Arbitrary Payload

AAE450 Spring 2009 [Levi Brown] [Mission Ops] 14

Scale up for Arbitrary Payload Results

Launch Vehicle

Mass to 400 km (kg)

Thrust (mN)

Number of Thrusters

Mpay (kg)

Power Required (kW)

Mprop (kg)

Dnepr 3400 680 3 2130.5 20.3 509.4

Falcon 9 9953 2001 9 6060.6 59 1528.4

Falcon 9 6000 1205 5 3717.9 37.6 849.1

Rockot 1825 357 2 1038.9 9.03 339.7

Delta II 3065 606 3 1780.4 16.7 509.5

Soyuz 5025 1000 4 3143 32.05 679.3

Delta IV 23757 4760 20 14853.5 147.3 3397

Page 15: Cost Comparison of Higher Parking Orbit Scale up for Arbitrary Payload

AAE450 Spring 2009 [Levi Brown] [Mission Ops] 15

More Notes1. Increasing to 15000 km circular orbit saved 50 kg and 1.5 kW

2. It was hoped that using a larger launch vehicle with higher capability would decrease overall cost. The cost/kg would only increase slightly, but it would allow a significant decrease in power costs.

3. 1 Year TOF: 10000 km depart vs 400 km saved approximately 1 kW 196 days TOF: 10000 km depart vs 400 km saved approximately 3 kW

For this reason, the minimum total cost for shorter TOF occurred at a median altitude ofAround 4000 km vs the minimum total for longer TOF occurred at low altitudes

However the increase in power to have the shorter TOF still outweighs the savingsSo the minimum cost still occurs at long TOF with at low altitudes