corporate governance and agency
TRANSCRIPT
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April 2007
PED401. Applications and Cases in International Development
Teaching Notes
1
Corporate governance and agencyproblems consequences forefficiency and equity
This case concerns questions of the organization of the corporate sector. In the past, wehave often focused on how credit and insurance market failures can be particularly costly
for smaller-scale and poorer groups, and how this can lead to adverse efficiency, equity
and poverty effects. For example, microfinance uses a set of contractual and
organizational innovations to deal with market failures. But this focus on the bottom of
the firm (or firm-household) distribution does not imply that all is well at the top of the
distribution. In fact, there are a whole set of issues around how the corporate sector is
organized and how this interacts with both capital and insurance market failures.
As in other areas we have looked at, theory helps analyze the nature of the potential
problems, including insights from contract theory. A central focus of the session will be
on the potential costs of family-controlled and pyramidal corporate structures. A stark
example of an agency problem is tunneling, the transfer of resources between firms in
the pyramid that favors controlling groups at the expense of minority shareholders. This
is a form of moral hazard (see below.) But note that theory is often ambiguous. For
example, the net effects on efficiency of a pyramidal structure depend on the balance
between incentives to expropriate minority shareholders, and the potential of such
pyramidal structures to compensate for credit and insurance market failures.
This topic will also illustrate two other themes of the course: how there can be
interactions between inefficiency and inequity; and how unequal power can shape
institutional design. In particular, the potential for economic entrenchment ofcorporate elites is a potentially pernicious source of inefficient and inequitable
development paths.
1These notes were prepared by Michael Walton and are solely for teaching purposes.
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Finally the case discusses how design of legal and regulatory systems can countervail
concentrated corporate power, and shape corporate structures. This will focus on a
contrast between the Czech Republic and Poland in the 1990s that it is suggested has
features of a natural experiment. These were not cases of entrenched economic elites, but
are of interest precisely because of the fluidity of institution in their transitions.
Analytical context
Agency theory is relevant to many aspects of corporations, from the fundamental
question of why firms exist at all to questions of corporate structure.
The boundaries of the firm
If markets are such efficient mechanisms for allocating resources, why do firms exist at
all? The huge amount of market activity in mergers and acquisitions and in spinning off
parts of complex firms suggest that this is an issue of genuine economic importance, withcontinual experimentation in finding out what boundaries are most profitable. This is not
the primary concern of this case, but we highlight a few of the points in Holmstrn and
Roberts (1998) to provide some broader context.
Coases classic answer to why so much economic activity occurs within organizations is
in terms of transactions costs in a world of imperfect information. Where the costs of
transactions are high, it can be optimal to undertake those within an organization rather
than at arms-length. This was later developed in the work of Williamson, who structured
the issue of the frequency, uncertainty and asset specificity of transactions: with higher
levels of uncertainty and asset specificity, contracting is more complex, and hierarchical
management within a company can be more efficient.
A related argument in the property rights school is based on the classic hold-up problem.
Where a transaction involves relationship-specific investments, one party can hold up the
other after the investment has been made, this will be anticipated and the level of
investment will be suboptimal. This would predict that transactions for which hold-up is
potentially large would occur inside firms; others would occur at arms-length, exploiting
the efficiency gains from the market.
As in many areas we have looked at, this is only part of the story. A theme of Holmstrn
and Roberts survey is that we need a richer account of the reasons to understand why
boundaries form in particular ways. For example:
! In some cases inter-firm transactions with high levels of relationship-specificinvestment appear to successfully avoid hold-up problems. An example is the
traditional relationship between Japanese automobile manufacturers and their parts
suppliers. Firms such as Toyota developed relationships with small numbers of
suppliers that form one element of their very high levels of efficiency. Hold-up
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problems are attenuated by the repeated nature of the interaction, substantial
information-sharing and (for Toyota) the possibility of benchmark competition by
having more than one supplier.
! There are also other reasons for boundaries forming along particular lines, that canalso be illuminated by agency theory. An example is the optimal level for
incentives for cost control. Garages commonly involve franchises, for whichoperators pay a rent, and so are residual claimants of profits. Supermarkets are
more commonly run by the owners. An explanation for this is that the primary
margin for better cost control and service for garages lies within the garage itself,
whereas for supermarkets it is primarily in inventory management and
warehousing. Firm boundaries are associated with the role of organizational
knowledge and learning.
The overall message from Holmstrn and Roberts is that we need a more complex
account of boundaries, that would include, but go beyond the relationship between hold-
up and investment.
Corporate structure: dispersed ownership and pyramidal structures
The traditional analysis of firm behavior is concerned with potential principal-agent
problems between managers and owners, with the latter typified by individual and family
shareholders. In this view, a corporation is widely held, in that its ownership is
dispersed across a large number of small public shareholders, and freestanding, in that
listed companies generally do not control other listed companies. (Morck, Wolfenzon
and Yeung, henceforth MWY, p.660). In fact, this ownership pattern, characteristics of
the UK and the US, is relatively rare in the world. Of particular interest is who controls a
firm, and control is often conferred by levels of ownership of 10 or 20 percent of votingstakes. A number of studies have sought to categorize whether the major corporations in
countries are widely held or family controlled: Table 1, taken from MWY provides a
summary. Note that in the developing countries family-held firms are typically much
more important than widely held companies, including in Argentina, Indonesia, Korea,
Mexico, the Philippines, Taiwan, and Thailand. And this also applies to many developed
countries, such as France, Germany (on some definitions) and Sweden.
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Table 1 Patterns of control of corporations in various countries.
Source: Morck, Wolfenzon and Yeung, 2005
Family ownership is one feature of the corporate sectors of much of the world. But of
perhaps greater importance is that this is typically associated with pyramidal structures of
ownership. In its simplest form this means that an apex firm owns shares with second
tier firms, that in turn own shares in third tier firms, and so on. This is illustrated inFigure 1. In practice this will be more complex, with cross-holdings of shares within the
pyramidal structure. What is interesting about this is that controlover lower-tier firms by
the apex family group can be conferred with substantially lower levels of underlying
cashflow rights. Thus even if we assume that control requires more than 50% of shares,
the family controls the fourth tier firms in Figure 1 with only 12.5% ownership. Where
control is conferred by 20% or even 10% of ownershipor via crossholdingsthe
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divergence between ownership and control can be much greater. In many countries a
relatively small number of wealth families control a substantial part of the large-scale
corporate sector.
Figure 1 A schematic account of a pyramidal ownership structure.
Source: Morck, Wolfenzon and Yeung, 2005
While the most common form of extensive control is via the family-based pyramidalstructure, there are also other forms of business group. In Germany, banksthemselves
widely heldown shares in a wide range of corporations with extensive control rights.
German banks play an important role in monitoring corporate performance. In Japan,
there are extensive cross-holdings within business groups known askeiretsu, that confers
substantial control the managers of the group.
Potential consequences
The general principal-agent problem
Why should we care about the family-held pyramidal structure? Because agencyproblems are likely to be significantly different from a freestanding family firm. For
freestanding family-owned firms, the classical agency problem emphasized in the
literature (of divergence of interests between utility-maximizing managers and dispersed
owners) is likely to be reduced or eliminatedthe interests of owners and managers will
be aligned. But this is unlikely to be the case with pyramidal structures. There is likely
to be a divergence of interest between the minority shareholders (here the principals) and
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controlling interests (as their agents), in any area where there are private benefits of
control. A particular concern is that of entrenchment, where controlling interests can
maintain in power their favored managers, often from the family: this can include honest
but inept insiders as well as clever self-serving insiders an egregiously incompetent,
but power-hungry son or even the most efficient thief, who is willing to pay most for a
control block (MWY pps. 677-678)
Tunneling.
Tunneling is an important example of the agency problems created in a control
pyramid. This termcoined in the context of interpretations of the experience in the
Czech Republic that we will discuss in classmeans the transfer of resources between
related firms that benefit individuals or groups with control rights. It can be illegal or
legal (Johnson et al. 2000, document a number of individual cases that occurred legally in
developed countries.) Note that tunneling is (often) a form of moral hazard. Given the
divergence between control and cash flow rights, it is optimal for controlling owners to
(partially) expropriate the minority public shareholdersin a pyramid typically from a
lower tier to higher tier firm. This can take many forms: value can be transferred
between controlled firms via transfer pricing, the provision of capital at artificial prices;
or via inflated payments for intangibles, brand names, and insurance (MWY p. 678).
We think of moral hazard as involving unobservable action, and this is indeed often the
case and is highly relevant to the policy discussion below. Note, however, that this is not
necessarily so: in some cases, including those documented in Johnson et al (2000), the
transfers were carefully documented, but still judged to be legal.
Interactions with capital markets and dynamic processespotential positive
and negative effects of pyramids
While we are emphasizing the agency problems and associated adverse efficiency (and
equity) effects of pyramids, note that in theory pyramids can have either positive or
negative effects. Where credit and insurance markets are imperfect, a pyramid can help
solve financing problems through inter-firm transfers, both for investment purposes and
to help otherwise efficient firms manage shocks. MWY cite work by Tarun Khanna that
argues that Indias Tata group has been an important source of relatively efficient internal
investment finance, compensating for highly imperfect credit markets.
But there can also be negative effects on capital allocation: even if there is more efficient
capital allocation within a business group, there is a wedge between the internal costs ofcapital and that of outsider firms. This wedge is likely to be increased when relationship-
based lending with banks is salientand especially when banks form part of the business
groups.
There are also likely to be effects on innovation. Pyamidal structures may resist the
Schumpeterian process of creation and destruction that is central to innovation, when this
new activities hurt the profits of other firms within the group. On the other hand they
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may be able to use the rents they enjoy to finance innovationespecially if markets for
venture capital are weak in a country.
Political economy
A broader, and potentially more important, concern, concerns the role of concentrated
corporate wealth in the shaping of policies and institutions. MWY argue that under
oligarchic capitalism, typified by widespread corporate control by relative few wealthy
families, the oligarchs will have an interest in lobbying for limited public investors
rights, restrictions on entry, less international competition and a narrower capital market.
This, for example, was a feature of the analysis of Mexico discussed in an earlier case,
where the resolution of the credibility problem was via theselectiveprovision of property
rights to a narrow group of insiders. This helped solve the investment problem, but at the
cost of efficiency, dynamism and innovation. It is still seen today in the widespread
regulatory capture and legacy of a narrow, concentrated banking system in Mexico (as in
many countries.)
The role of judicial and regulatory approaches: Coase versus the Coasians
Can regulation make a difference? Glaeser, Johnson and Shleifer (2001, henceforth GJS)
argue that it can. They distinguish between a Coasian view of the world (though not
one held by Coase himself), that has high levels of confidence that securities transactions
can be efficiently managed using the wide range of contracting possibilities open to the
sophisticated buyers and sellers, which can then be adjudicated in the courts. By contrast
advocates of greater regulation emphasize the market failures (noted above), that could
allow issuers of securities to expropriate investors, and so increase the cost of external
funds. This implies the need for specialized laws and regulators are needed.GJS develop a model that that explores the contrast between an active regulatory
approach to securities markets, and a Coasian view that relies on the normal working of
the judicial system. Underlying this are two sets of considerations:
! The zeal of the enforcer, that is judged to be greater for a (non-captured) specializedregulator than for a judgeone who has higher powered incentives for finding and
punishing offenders.
! The extent of specialized information and investor protection requirementsespecially for minority shareholdersthat is embodied in company and securities
laws.
There is a tradeoff here: a zealous regulator will more vigorously protect minority
shareholder rights, but at a cost for the corporate system, in terms of punishing the
innocent and the cost of information provision. Greater information requirements will
lower the search costs for the investigator, and so make more observable the actions of
agents, reducing moral hazard. Where a country wants to locate itself on this tradeoff
depends on the depth of the agency problems. GJS argue that active regulation backed by
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specialized laws protecting minority shareholders is desirableand use the comparison
between the Czech Republic and Poland to support this.
Of course, if the political economy view of the world sees all policies and institutions as
endogenous to the underlying structure of power, then this is not very interesting. In
practice, power structures and potential coalitions typically provide some room formanoeuvre. Assessing what is politically feasible in policy and institutional design, is
central to the art of development practice!
Some illustrative empirical patterns
Control pyramids effectively entrust the corporate governance of the greater part of the
corporate sectors of many countries to a handful of elite, established families, who can
quite reasonably be described as oligarchs. (MWY p.693) To the extent this is true,
does it matter? As noted in the selected review of theory, effects of pyramidal corporate
structures are theoretically ambiguous, so the issue is empirical. While there is not thespace to review the literature here (see MWY), we highlight a few results.
First, to motivate interest, there are some suggestive associations between billionaire
wealth and various measures of development performance. Billionaire wealth is
measured by the ratio of Forbes estimates of total wealth to GDP. When this is added to
simple cross-country growth regressions, measures of self-made billionaire wealth have
a positive relationship with growth in per capita income, while measures of inherited
billionaire wealth have a negative relationship (Table 2). This holds for a variety of
definitions of whether billionaires are self-made or rich because of inheritance or political
connections. It is not possible to infer causation, for all the usual reasons, and there may
in particular be problems of omitted variables: something about a societys economic or
political institutions may be good for both major business entrepreneurs and overall
growth, and vice versa. But it is at least consistent with the view that entrenched familial
wealth may be associated with structures that are bad for growth. (Similar associations
hold for other development outcomes, such as health status.)
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Table 2. The association between growth in real per capita GDP and self-made andinherited billionaire wealth
Source: Morck, Wolfenzon and Yeung, 2005
A rather different and also highly suggestive result comes from measures of the premium
the market grants to the value of control rights. It is possible to distinguish purchases that
confer control over a firm, such as blocks of shares. These often have a higher price than
regular purchases, indicated that the market attributes private value to controls.
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Table 3. Some evidence on the value of control rights
Source: Morck, Wolfenzon and Yeung, 2005
A number of studies have found evidence of tunneling, in countries ranging from Korea,
Central and Eastern Europe, India and in Europe, and this is a growing area of empirical
research.
But it is also true that pyramidal/familial structures have existed in countries that have by
most standards of economic development been extraordinarily successful: Korea and
Sweden are examples, as are many of the East Asian miracle countries. How do we
interpret this? Is it because the gains from pyramidal structures (from solving creditmarket failures) offset the costs? Did other parts of the institutional context offset the
worse costs of pyramidal structures in these cases? Or would the pattern of growth been
more efficient and equitable than actually occurred? These are important questions for
future work and policy design.
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The Czech Republic and Poland
Czech Republics Vaclav Klaus: We knew we had to liberalize, deregulate, privatize ata very early stage in the transformation process, even if we might be confronted withweak and ..not fully efficient markets.Conceptually...all you had to do was apply the
economic philosophy of the University of Chicago. 1995
Polands Leszek Balcerowitz. The capacity of the state to deal with various problemsvaries, mainly because of varying informational requirements 1995
(cited in Glaeser, Johnson and Shleifer. 2001)
A natural experiment in institutional design?
The discussion of theory has emphasized the potential for entrenchment of patterns of
control via both economic and political channels. The case we will look involves a very
different setting, of the Czech Republic and Poland, both societies in an unusually highdegree of flux, owing to the ruptures associated with the political transition from
communist control. Apart from the intrinsic interest of their experiences, they illuminate
the issues we are concerned with, both because of the institutional fluidity, and because
contrasting policy and institutional changes were adopted in a form of natural
experiment.
As has been discussed in the quantitative courses, to assess the effect of an intervention,
we want to compare the effect of the treatment on an individual, household, community
or country with what would have happened if everything else was the same except the
treatment. This can never be observed, and so we are always looking for information that
is close to this structure. Well-designed randomized experiments are about as good asyou can get, and quasi-experimental methods seek to approximate the ideal, with varying
degrees of success. When the comparison is between just two countries, there is of
course no possibility of undertaking any statistical tests, but it is worth thinking of the
structure of the problem through a similar prism.
The hypothesis is that the Czech Republic and Poland were similar in relevant respects
except choices over institutional design that we are interested in, so this allows us to
explore the consequences of the design choices. In 1989 both led the transition from
communism in Central and Eastern Europe, after 40 years under communist rule. Both
were fully industrialized under Soviet-style central planned. The Czech Republic wassomewhat richer in 1989, and Poland had a larger agricultural sector. Then both
undertook a quite rapid process of liberalization. To quote Glaeser, Johnson and Shleifer
(2001):
Both countries initiated economic reforms immediately after shedding
communism. In Poland critical legislation on liberalization was passed in the fall
of 1989, and the key measures came into effect on January 1, 1990. Small-scale
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privatization began in May 1990, although large-scale privatization started with a
whisper in 1991, ran into political obstacles, and spread over most of the 1990s.
In Czechoslovakia reforms were also initiated in early 1990, with the devaluation
of the currency, budget cuts, and banking reform. The formal reform package,
including price increases, started on January 1, 1991. The law on large-scale
privatization was adopted on February 1, 1991. Privatization through voucherstook place in two waves: in 1992 (completed in mid-1993) and 1993 (completed
in 1994). Most rules of privatization, including those on Investment Privatization
Funds, were developed in 1991 Moreover, both countries were virtually
finished with these basic reforms by 1994. They received virtually identical scores
on every World Bank indicator of the pace of transition.. (pp. 865-866)
Table 4 Comparative indicators for the Czech Republic and Poland
Czech Republic Poland
Years under communism 40 40
Transition 1989 1989
Per capita income, 1989 (1995US$)
5730 3045
Private sector share of GDP,1997
75% 65%
Privatization indicesLarge-scaleSmall-scale
44+
3+4+
Price liberalization index 3 3
Banking reform/liberalization 3 3
Legal environment 4 4
Source: Glaeser, Johnson and Shleifer. 2001
Some of the similarities are given in Table 4. However, there were also differences in
both the approach to privatization and the choice of regulatory regime for the newly
created corporate sector. The Czech Republic was more Coasian in the sense that it
chose to rapidly transfer state-owned property to private citizens, and then chose a lighterregulatory regime, trusting more in the newly created property rights, private contracting
and the judicial system. Poland selected a more gradual approach to privatization of
large-scale enterprises, using a variety of methods, including direct sales and share
transfers to mutual funds. It backed this with a more active regulatory regime, with
stronger protections to minority shareholders. Now the classic evaluation question is
whether this policy difference was driven by some unobservable characteristics that
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would also explain subsequent differences in outcomes. Here the hypothesis is that the
primary driver was differences in the ideology and preferences of the leadership, captured
in the quotes at the beginning of this section. Both had strong economic leaders
committed to the transition to capitalism, but while the Czech Republics Vaclav Klaus
was a fierce proponent of the power of free markets, Polands Leszek Balcerowitz was
more concerned with the need to nurture the states capacity to manage capitaliststructures in the context of market failures.
The differences in design choices
The first difference concerned the design of privatization. The Czech Republics
privatization gave all Czech citizens rights to purchase booklets of voucher points at a
modest prices; these could then be used exclusively for purchase of shares in state owned
companies put up for sale. There was, however, awareness that atomistic owners would
be in a weak position to monitor the performance of their firms (in what was referred to
above as the classic agency problem under dispersed ownership). So free entry was
allowed to Investment Privatization Funds (IPFs) as both a means of providing
information to citizens and aggregating bids, and as a mechanism of corporate
governance of the newly formed private firms (Coffee, 1996). As already noted, Poland
chose a more gradual and managed route.
Note that voucher privatization had apparently attractive efficiency, equity and political
economy characteristics: it could swiftly transfer ownership to true owners; gave rights
to participate to all citizens; and could lock in the transition swiftly vis--vis either old
state managers or new insiders.
The second difference concerned the regulatory stance. Here the Czech Republics
legislation on company and securities was much laxer than Polands with respect to a
whole series of requirements on protections for minority shareholders and information
disclosure (see examples in Tables 5 and 6, all from GJS). Moreover, regulatory action
in the Czech Republic resided in a division within the Ministry of Finance, while Poland
created a powerful, independent regulator.
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Table 5. Indicators of differences in policy stance
Czech Republic Poland
Company law: degreeof protection against
expropriation ofminority shareholders
Moderate to low:overall rating of 2 out
of 6 on
Moderate protection:overall rating of 3 out
of 6
Securities law Supervision in anoffice within theMinistry of Finance
Weak licensing, anddisclosurerequirements
IndependentSecuritiesCommission
Strong licensing anddisclosurerequirements
Source: Glaeser, Johnson and Shleifer. 2001
Table 5. Indicators of differences in securities laws
Czech Republic Poland
Required to engage in honesttrading
No Yes
Brokerage enterprises:Regulator has right ofinspection of brokers
Must report who has more than5% of voting rights
No
No
Yes
Yes
Investment advisersLicensed by regulator No Yes
Stock marketsTrading must take place on astock exchange
No Yes
Source: Glaeser, Johnson and Shleifer. 2001
Outcomes
What were the outcomes? The Czech Republics privatization was much more rapid.
Indeed, by end-1994 over 80% of Czech citizens had become shareholders in privatized
companies and 65-90% of all assets had become privately owned (Coffee, 1996). But a
highly concentrated ownership structure was created, with IPFs playing a central role in
holding multiple companies.
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Then, in 1996 and 1997 there was a sequence of scandals, involving asset-stripping, the
collapse of some financial institutions and allegations of embezzlement (ibid.) The term
tunneling was coined in descriptions of this experience. Moreover, ..during the mid-
1990s, the heyday of tunneling in the Czech Republic, the regulators did very little to
stop it. Part of the problem was the weakness of the laws. But equally important was
probably the lack of interest in securities regulators combined with judicialineffectiveness. (GJS)
By contrast when financial scandals occurred in Poland, they were widely reported, and
vigorously pursued by the regulator, making use of the legal rules designed to protect
investors.
There were markedly different effects on the evolution of stock markets. The Czech
stock market initially grew much faster than the Polish market, but then the pattern
reversed: Figure 2 illustrates for stocks listed in the IFC investable index, that is limited
to stocks liquid enough for foreign investors to take positions. Even more striking is the
differing abilities of firms to raise capital. While no Czech company sold equity for cash
in an initial public offering between 1991 and 1998, 136 nonprivatizing companies had
done so in Poland.
Figure 2. Market capitalization of stocks in IFC Investable Index.
Source: Glaeser, Johnson and Shleifer. 2001
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Table 6. Initial public offerings for cash, 1991-1998
Source: Glaeser, Johnson and Shleifer. 2001
The above evidence is only indicative. An alternative interpretation of the Czech
experience is a Darwinian one: it effectively went for an upfront floating of all
companies, and then the market weeded out the least fit firms, with the least market-
friendly charters. GJS argue that this was unlikely to be the case, on the grounds that
the survival of theft-proof firms is not an efficient mechanisms of economic selection.
Tunneling could be used to strip assets of good or bad firms alike. They argue that the
key difference was in the design of regulation, and that well-designed laws and couldindeed have effectively regulated the IPFs and related intermediaries.
Policy questions
It is 1990 in either the Czech Republic or Poland. There is intense interest in the design
of the transition to private ownership. You are part of a planning group assessing
alternative design options. There are debates over the pace and design of privatization
itself, the role and sequencing of regulation, alternative mechanisms for monitoring of
corporate performance and the importance of the overall political context. You are
familiar with debates over corporate governance in rich countries, and the high risk ofagency problems under both dispersed and concentrated forms of ownership. You are
particularly interested in what form of regulatory framework would make sense
conditional on the choice of privatization approach (fast or slow, voucher or managed
etc.) What do you recommend?
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Alternatively, you may wish to consider the question of whether regulatory choices can
be useful to tackle problems of entrenched family-based structures of corporate
ownership in a country with which you are familiar and have information.
References
Coffee, John. 1996. "Institutional Investors in Transitional Economies. Lessons from the
Czech Experience." in Roman Frydman, Cheryl, Gray and Andrzej Rapaczynski
Corporate Governance in Central Europe & Russia: Volume I: Banks, Funds and
Foreign Investors.New York: Oxford University Press.
Cull, Robert, Jana Matesova, and Mary Shirley. 2002. Ownership and the Temptationto Loot: Evidence from Privatized Firms in the Czech Republic. Journal ofComparative Economics,30:1-24.
Glaeser, Edward L., Simon Johnson, and Andrei Shleifer. 2001. "Coase versus the
Coasians." Quarterly Journal of Economics,116(3):85399.
Friedman, Eric, Simon Johnson, and Todd Mitton. 2003. Propping and Tunneling.Journal of Comparative Economics,31(4):732-50.
Holmstrm, Bengt and John Roberts. 1998. The Boundaries of the Firm Revisited.
Journal of Economic Perspectives,12(4): 73-94
Johnson, Simon, Rafael La Porta, Florencio Lopez-de-Silanes, and Andrei Shleifer. 2000.Tunneling. American Economic Review, 90(2):22-7.
Morck, Randall, Daniel Wolfenzon, and Bernard Yeung. 2004. Corporate Governance,
Economic Entrenchment and Growth. Journal of Economic Literature, XLII,
655-720.
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