corporate finance: creating value
TRANSCRIPT
Copyright ©1998 Ian H. Giddy Corporate Finance 4
What the Module is About...
Corporate finance: shareholder value can be affected by financial decisions: investment, financing choices, debt design & risk managementCorporate investment decisionsCorporate financing choicesDesigning debtRisk management
Copyright ©1998 Ian H. Giddy Corporate Finance 8
The Decisions that Create Shareholder Value
CREATINGCORPORATEECONOMICVALUE
CORPORATEINVESTMENTDECISIONS
CORPORATEFINANCINGCHOICES
CORPORATEPAYOUTPOLICIES
CORPORATERISKMANAGEMENT
Copyright ©1998 Ian H. Giddy Corporate Finance 9
The Goal of Financial Management
What are firm decision-makers hired to do?“General Motors is not in the business of making
automobiles. General Motors is in the business of making money.”
Alfred P. Sloan Possible goals: Size, market share, profits Three equivalent goals of financial
management:Maximize shareholder wealthMaximize share priceMaximize firm value
Copyright ©1998 Ian H. Giddy Corporate Finance 10
The Goal of Financial Management
Value-based management drives our performance targets and incentives. We have set ambitious short and medium-term financial and operating targets and, to help meet these, have aligned the interests of management and employees with those of our shareholders and customers. Our incentive systems are linked to key aspects of shareholder value, such as margins and asset productivity. Our strategic focus is centred on profitable growth, better margins through innovation and higher productivity, improved asset management, and turnarounds in operations whose past performance has not been world class.
Onecompany’sstatement
Copyright ©1998 Ian H. Giddy Corporate Finance 11
First Principles
Invest in projects that yield a return greater than the minimum acceptable hurdle rate. The hurdle rate should be higher for riskier projects and reflect the
financing mix used - owners’ funds (equity) or borrowed money (debt) Returns on projects should be measured based on cash flows
generated and the timing of these cash flows; they should also consider both positive and negative side effects of these projects.
Choose a financing mix that minimizes the hurdle rate and matches the assets being financed.
If there are not enough investments that earn the hurdle rate, return the cash to stockholders. The form of returns - dividends and stock buybacks - will depend upon
the stockholders’ characteristics Minimize unnecessary financial risks.
Objective: Maximize the Value of the Firm
Copyright ©1998 Ian H. Giddy Corporate Finance 12
The Objective in Decision Making
In traditional corporate finance, the objective in decision making is to maximize the value of the firm.
A narrower objective is to maximize stockholder wealth. When the stock is traded and markets are viewed to be efficient, the objective is to maximize the stock price.
All other goals of the firm are intermediate ones leading to firm value maximization, or operate as constraints on firm value maximization.
Copyright ©1998 Ian H. Giddy Corporate Finance 13
The Criticism of Firm Value Maximization
Maximizing stock price is not incompatible with meeting employee needs/objectives. In particular: - Employees are often stockholders in many firms - Firms that maximize stock price generally are firms that
have treated employees well. Maximizing stock price does not mean that
customers are not critical to success. In most businesses, keeping customers happy is the route to stock price maximization.
Maximizing stock price does not imply that a company has to be a social outlaw.
Copyright ©1998 Ian H. Giddy Corporate Finance 14
Why Maximize Stockholder Wealth?
Stock price is easily observable and constantly updated (unlike other measures of performance, which may not be as easily observable, and certainly not updated as frequently).
If investors are rational (are they?), stock prices reflect the wisdom of decisions, short term and long term, instantaneously.
The objective of stock price performance provides some very elegant theory on: how to pick projects how to finance them how much to pay in dividends
Copyright ©1998 Ian H. Giddy Corporate Finance 15
The Classical Objective Function
STOCKHOLDERSMaximizestockholder wealth
Hire & fire managers- Board- Annual Meeting
BONDHOLDERS
Lend MoneyProtectbondholderInterests
FINANCIAL MARKETS
SOCIETYManagers
Reveal information honestly and on time
Markets are efficient and assess effect on value
No Social CostsCosts can betraced to firm
Copyright ©1998 Ian H. Giddy Corporate Finance 16
The Agency Problem
The agency relationship Will managers work in the
shareholders’ best interests?Agency costsCorporate governanceIncentive issues
Control of the firm -- there is a market for corporate control
Shareholders
Board ofDirectors
Managers
Allocationof Resources
Copyright ©1998 Ian H. Giddy Corporate Finance 17
What Can Go Wrong?
STOCKHOLDERSManagers put their interests over shareholders’
Have little control over managers
BONDHOLDERS
Lend Money
Bondholders can get ripped off
FINANCIAL MARKETS
SOCIETYManagers
Delay bad news or provide misleading information
Markets make mistakes and can overreact
Significant Social CostsSome costs cannot betraced to firm
Copyright ©1998 Ian H. Giddy Corporate Finance 18
I. Stockholder Interests vs. Management Interests
Theory: The stockholders have significant control over management. The mechanisms for disciplining management are the annual meeting and the board of directors.
Practice: Neither mechanism is as effective in disciplining management as theory posits.
Copyright ©1998 Ian H. Giddy Corporate Finance 21
Illustration:Overpaying on Takeovers
The quickest and perhaps the most decisive way to impoverish stockholders is to overpay on a takeover.
The stockholders in acquiring firms do not seem to share the enthusiasm of the managers in these firms. Stock prices of bidding firms decline on the takeover announcements a significant proportion of the time.
Many mergers do not work, as evidenced by a number of measures. The profitability of merged firms relative to their peer groups,
does not increase significantly after mergers. An even more damning indictment is that a large number of
mergers are reversed within a few years, which is a clear admission that the acquisitions did not work.
Copyright ©1998 Ian H. Giddy Corporate Finance 22
II. Stockholders' Objectives vs. Lenders' Objectives
In theory: there is no conflict of interests between stockholders and lenders, including bondholders.
In practice: Stockholders may maximize their wealth at the expense of debtholders.Increasing leverage dramaticallyIncreasing dividends significantlyTaking riskier projects than those agreed to.
Copyright ©1998 Ian H. Giddy Corporate Finance 23
1. Increasing leverage dramatically and making existing bonds less valuable
Copyright ©1998 Ian H. Giddy Corporate Finance 24
2. Increasing Dividends Significantly
-2
-1.5
-1
-0.5
0
0.5
t:-15
-12 -9 -6 -3 0 3 6 9 12 15CAR (Div Up)CAR (Div down)
EXCESS RETURNS ON STRAIGHT BONDS AROUND DIVIDEND CHANGES
Day (0: Announcement date)
CAR
Copyright ©1998 Ian H. Giddy Corporate Finance 25
The Modified Objective Function
For publicly traded firms in reasonably efficient markets, where bondholders (lenders) are protected: Maximize Stock Price: This will also maximize firm value
For publicly traded firms in inefficient markets, where bondholders are protected: Maximize stockholder wealth: This will also maximize firm
value, but might not maximize the stock price For publicly traded firms in inefficient markets, where
bondholders are not fully protected Maximize firm value, though stockholder wealth and stock
prices may not be maximized at the same point. For private firms, maximize stockholder wealth (if
lenders are protected) or firm value (if they are not)
Copyright ©1998 Ian H. Giddy Corporate Finance 26
Finance in the Corporation
Chairman of the Board andChief Executive Officer (CEO)
Board of Directors
President and ChiefOperations Officer (COO)
Vice PresidentMarketing
Vice PresidentFinance (CFO)
Vice PresidentProduction
Treasurer Controller
Cash Manager Credit Manager Tax ManagerCost AccountingManager
CapitalExpenditures
FinancialPlanning
FinancialAccountingManager
Data ProcessingManager
Copyright ©1998 Ian H. Giddy Corporate Finance 27
“Internalization”: Is an activity best done within the company, or outside it?
Issue: why are certain economic activities conducted within firms rather than between firms?
As a rule, it is more costly to build than to buy—markets make better decisions than bureaucrats
Hence there must be some good reason, some synergy, that makes an activity better if done within a firm
Eg: the production of proprietary information Often, these synergies are illusory
Copyright ©1998 Ian H. Giddy Corporate Finance 28
Takeovers as a Solution to “Agency Problems”
There is a conflict of interest between shareholders and managers of a target company—Eg poison pill defenses
Individual owners do not have suffcient incentive to monitor managers
Corporate takeover specialists, Eg KKR, monitor the firm's environment and keep themselves aware of the potential value of the firm under efficient management
The threat of a takeover helps to keep managers on their toes—often precipitates restructuring.
Copyright ©1998 Ian H. Giddy Corporate Finance 29
Who Gains What?
Target firm shareholders? Bidding firm shareholders? Lawyers and bankers? Are there overall gains?
Changes in corporate control increase the combined market value of assets of the bidding and target firms. The average is a 10.5% increase in total value.
Copyright ©1998 Ian H. Giddy Corporate Finance 30
The Price: Who Gets What?
Daimler Chrysler Combined
Market value before dealleaked
$52.8 $29.4 $82.2
Value added by merger $18.0
Merged Value $100.2
Shareholders get 57.2% 42.8% 100%
Which is now worth $57.3 $42.9 $100.2
Shareholders' shares ofthe gain
$4.5 $13.5 $18
Premium, as % 9% 46%
Copyright ©1998 Ian H. Giddy Corporate Finance 31
A Case Study: Kodak - Sterling Drugs
Eastman Kodak’s Great Victory
Copyright ©1998 Ian H. Giddy Corporate Finance 32
Earnings and Revenues at Sterling Drugs
Sterling Drug under Eastman Kodak: Where is the synergy?
0500
1,0001,5002,0002,5003,0003,5004,0004,5005,000
1988 1989 1990 1991 1992
Revenue Operating Earnings
Copyright ©1998 Ian H. Giddy Corporate Finance 33
Kodak Says Drug Unit Is Not for Sale (NYTimes, 8/93)
Eastman Kodak officials say they have no plans to sell Kodak’s Sterling Winthrop drug unit.
Louis Mattis, Chairman of Sterling Winthrop, dismissed the rumors as “massive speculation, which flies in the face of the stated intent of Kodak that it is committed to be in the health business.”
Copyright ©1998 Ian H. Giddy Corporate Finance 34
Sanofi to Get Part of Kodak Drug Unit (6/94)
Taking a long stride on its way out of the drug business, Eastman Kodak said yesterday that the Sanofi Group, a French pharmaceutical company, had agreed to buy the prescription drug business of Sterling Winthrop, a Kodak subsidiary, for $1.68 billion. Shares of Eastman Kodak rose 75 cents yesterday, closing
at $47.50 on the New York Stock Exchange. Samuel D. Isaly an analyst , said the announcement was
“very good for Sanofi and very good for Kodak.” “When the divestitures are complete, Kodak will be entirely
focused on imaging,” said George M. C. Fisher, the company's chairman and chief executive.
Copyright ©1998 Ian H. Giddy Corporate Finance 35
Smithkline to Buy Kodak’s Drug Business for $2.9 Billion
Smithkline Beecham agreed to buy Eastman Kodak’s Sterling Winthrop Inc. for $2.9 billion.
For Kodak, the sale almost completes a restructuring intended to refocus the company on its photography business.
Kodak’s stock price rose $1.25 to $50.625, the highest price since December.
Copyright ©1998 Ian H. Giddy Corporate Finance 36
Goals of Acquisitions
Rationale: Firm A should merge with Firm B if [Value of AB > Value of A + Value of B + Cost
of transaction] Synergy Gain market power Discipline Taxes Financing
Example:Ciba-Geigy/Sandoz
Copyright ©1998 Ian H. Giddy Corporate Finance 37
Most Value is Created on the Asset Side (Operational Restructuring)
Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) analysis for project evaluation
Value-Based Management for performance evaluation
?
Wärtsilä NSD (from Wärtsilä Diesel & New Sulzer Diesel
Copyright ©1998 Ian H. Giddy Corporate Finance 38
Wärtsilä NSD now has the world’s most extensive portfolio of heavy duty engines. Its 4-stroke engines are mainly Wärtsilä design, while the 2-stroke engines are based on Sulzer design. The engine range consists of lean burn gas engines, dual fuel engines and gas diesels. Market share is strong and production is being consolidated or out-sourced, particularly for low-speed engine technologies.
Wärtsilä NSD: Consolidating Production and Distribution
Copyright ©1998 Ian H. Giddy Corporate Finance 40
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BBV ACQUISITION
SANTANDER ACQUISITION
Peruvian Banks: Market Share by Deposits, %
Sometimes, Too Late is Too Little
Copyright ©1998 Ian H. Giddy Corporate Finance 41
Framework for Assessing Restructuring Opportunities
RestructuringFramework
1
2
CurrentMarketValue
3
Totalrestructuredvalue
Potentialvalue withinternal+ externalimprovements
Potentialvalue withinternalimprovements
Company’sDCF value
Maximumrestructuringopportunity
Financialstructureimprovements
4
Disposal/Acquisitionopportunities
Operatingimprovements
Current marketoverpricing orunderpricng
5
(Eg Increase D/E)
Copyright ©1998 Ian H. Giddy Corporate Finance 42
Using The Restructuring Framework($ Millions of Value)
RestructuringFramework
1
2
CurrentMarketPrice
3
Optimalrestructuredvalue
Potentialvalue withinternaland externalimprovements
Potentialvalue withinternalimprovements
Companyvalue as is
Maximumrestructuringopportunity
Financialengineeringopportunities
4
Disposal/Acquisitionopportunities
Strategicand operatingopportunities
CurrentperceptionsGap: “Premium”
5
$ 25
$ 975
$ 300
$ 1,275$ 350
$ 1,625
$ 10
$ 1,635
$ 635
$1,000
Eg Increase D/E
Copyright ©1998 Ian H. Giddy Corporate Finance 43
First Principles of Corporate Finance
Invest in projects that yield a return greater than the minimum acceptable hurdle rate. The hurdle rate should be higher for riskier projects and
reflect the financing mix used - owners’ funds (equity) or borrowed money (debt)
Returns on projects should be measured based on cash flows generated and the timing of these cash flows; they should also consider both positive and negative side effects of these projects.
Choose a financing mix that minimizes the hurdle rate and matches the assets being financed.
If there are not enough investments that earn the hurdle rate, return the cash to stockholders. The form of returns - dividends and stock buybacks - will depend
upon the stockholders’ characteristics. Manage financial risk
Copyright ©1998 Ian H. Giddy Corporate Finance 47
www.giddy.org
Ian GiddyNYU Stern School of BusinessTel 212-998-0332; Fax [email protected]://www.giddy.org