corporate - alfa · diversified portfolio of businesses with leading industry positions 8 out of 10...
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CORPORATEPRESENTATIONFourth Quarter 2019
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Safe Harbor
This presentation contains forward-looking information based on numerous
variables and assumptions that are inherently uncertain. They involve
judgments with respect to, among other things, future economic,
competitive and financial market conditions and future business decisions,
all of which are difficult or impossible to predict accurately. Accordingly,
results are likely to vary from those set forth in this presentation. Copyright©
2020 ALFA, S.A.B. de C.V. All rights reserved. Reproduction and distribution is
forbidden without the prior written consent of ALFA, S.A.B. de C.V.
4Q19-v1.22
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Index
ALFA Overview
ALFA Fourth Quarter Results
Appendix
Alpek – Petrochemicals
Sigma – Food Products
Nemak – Aluminum Autoparts
Axtel – IT & Telecom
Newpek – Oil & Gas
Other Information
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Investment Highlights
1. Global company with operations in 28 countries; ~70% of revenues outside Mexico
2. Diversified portfolio of businesses with leading industry positions
3. Value-enhancing initiatives and subsidiary-driven investments/divestments
4. Strong corporate governance and experienced management team
5. Dollar-denominated dividend supported by strong cash generation
6. Solid balance sheet with investment-grade rating
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ALFA has grown to become a global company
Manuf. Presence(Countries)
SalesOutside Mexico
Employees
2009 16 52% ~47,000
2019 29 67% ~83,000
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Diversified portfolio of businesses with leading industry positions
8 out of 10Mexican Corporates use Axtel’s
IT and Telecom services
#1 in the production ofPTA, PET and EPSin the Americas
11 Sigma brandssell more than
US $100 Million a year each
1 out every 4 new carssold in the world contains
at least one Nemak product
728 production wellsoperated by Newpek
in U.S. and Mexico
Petrochemicals Food Products Aluminum Autoparts IT + Telecom Oil & Gas
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Alpek, Sigma and Nemak are ALFA’s three largest businesses
Revenues 20191
US $17.5 BillionEBITDA 20191
US $2.3 Billion
35%
37%
23%
4%
37%
31%
27%
12%
71. Does not include Newpek and others
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Ownership
Petrochemicals
Food Products
Aluminum Autoparts
IT + Telecom
Oil & Gas
82%
100%
75%
53%
100%
Public company since 2012
Public company since 2015Ford Motor Co. owns 5.4%
Public company since 2005
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Bottom-up strategy aimed at driving long-term shareholder value
CORPORATE STRATEGY
Bottom-up strategy,driven by subsidiaries
Strategic investmentsand divestments
Enhance operational excellence
Long-term view
Long-standing independent Board of Directors
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M&A is an important element of our strategy
2010Sigma
Bar-S
2011Alpek
Columbia siteEastman Chemical
2011Alpek
Wellman
2013Sigma
CampofrioFood Group
2016Alestra
Axtel merger
2018Alpek
Petroquímica Suapeand Citepe
2007Nemak
Teksid & HydroCasting assets
2005ALFA
DivestedHylsamex
2001Alpek
DAK Americas
10
2020Alpek
Lotte UK PET Plant
Wilton, UK
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Strong management team and solid corporate governance
• C - Suite average tenure of 29 years generating cohesion, consistency, trust and alignment
• The average tenure of our top 174 Executives is of 21 years developing decision-making, consistent operations and accountability
• Strong Corporate Governance with 85% of Independent Board of Directors
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Experienced Management Team
Rolando ZubiránAxtel PresidentTenure 21 years
Rodrigo FernándezSigma PresidentTenure 21 years
Armando TamezNemak PresidentTenure 36 years
José de Jesús ValdezAlpek PresidentTenure 43 years
Paulino RodríguezVP Human CapitalTenure 16 years
Armando GarzaChairman of the BoardTenure 41 years
Álvaro FernándezPresidentTenure 29 years
Eduardo EscalanteCFOTenure 32 years
Carlos JiménezLegal CounselTenure 41 years
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Board of Directors
• JOSE CALDERON ROJAS (2A)Chairman of the Board and Chief Executive Officerof Franca Industrias, S.A. de C.V. and Franca Servicios, S.A. de C.V.
• ENRIQUE CASTILLO SANCHEZ MEJORADA (1A)Managing Partner of Ventura Capital Privado, S.A. de C.V.
• FRANCISCO JAVIER FERNANDEZ CARBAJAL (1C)President of Servicios Administrativos Contry, S.A. de C.V.
• ALVARO FERNANDEZ GARZA (3C)President of ALFA, S.A.B. de C.V.
• ARMANDO GARZA SADA (3C)Chairman of the Board of ALFA, S.A.B. de C.V.
• CLAUDIO X. GONZALEZ LAPORTE (1B)Chairman of the Board of Kimberly-Clark de México, S.A.B. de C.V.
• DAVID MARTINEZ GUZMAN (1C)Chairman of the Board and Special Advisor of Fintech Advisory Inc.
• JOSE ANTONIO MEADE KURIBREÑA (1C)Board member since February 2019
• ALEJANDRO RAMIREZ MAGAÑA (1)President of Cinépolis, S.A. de C.V.
• ADRIAN SADA GONZALEZ (1B)Chairman of the Board of Vitro, S.A.B. de C.V.
• FEDERICO TOUSSAINT ELOSUA (1A)Chairman of the Board and Chief Executive Officer ofGrupo Lamosa, S.A.B. de C.V.
• GUILLERMO F. VOGEL HINOJOSA (1C)Chairman of the Board of Grupo Collado, S.A.B. de C.V., andof Exportaciones IM Promoción, S.A. de C.V.
13Keys: (1) Independent Board Member / (A) Audit Committee (B) Corporate Practices Committee (C) Planning and Finance Committee
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ALFA Sustainability Model is based on four pillars
INTERNAL WELL-BEING
COMMUNITY
ECONOMY
ENVIRONMENT
171 ALFA facilities run on clean and renewable energy sources such as wind and geothermal
US $35 Million invested in funding health, safety and employee development programs
10,845 students from 98 schools were benefited from ALFA´s support
More than 83,400 employees across 28 countries in America, Europe and Asia
In 2019, ALFA continued to deploy a broad program of actions in every aspect of its sustainability strategy
Collaborated with more than 190 institutions of social care
Nemak is the main consumer of recycled aluminum in Mexico, 80% of its aluminum usage comes from recycled sources
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Financial Highlights
17,223 16,315
15,576 16,804
19,055
17,538 17,018
14 15 16 17 18 19 20E
Revenues
2,040
2,420 2,322
2,018
2,858
2,298
2,027
14 15 16 17 18 19 20E
EBITDA
1,422
1,632
1,492
1,148
1,570
920 902
14 15 16 17 18 19 20E
Capex
A. Guidance as of February 12,2020 | B. Includes US $427 Million from extraordinary items
AB
Revenues(US $ Million)
EBITDA(US $ Million)
Capex & Acquisitions(US $ Million)
15
AA
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Financial Highlights
3,473
5,123 4,785
5,844
6,300 6,543
6,276
13 14 15 16 17 18 19
Net Debt
1.8
2.12.0
2.5
3.1
2.3
2.7
13 14 15 16 17 18 19
Net Debt/EBITDA
6.77.2
7.7
6.6
4.6
5.8
5.2
13 14 15 16 17 18 19
Interest CoverageNet Debt(US $ Million)
Net Debt/EBITDA(Times)
Interest Coverage(Times)
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Cash dividends; +11% CAGR 2010 – 2020 (USD denominated)
70
97 104
118
154 154 170 169 168
202
100
10 11 12 13* 14* 15 16 17 18 19 20
* The 2014 dividend was paid early in 2013. The graph shows the approved amounts for each corresponding year.
Paid Dividends(US $ Million)
17
200
To be proposed in Sept ‘20
March100
100
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Index
ALFA Overview
ALFA Fourth Quarter Results
Appendix
Alpek – Petrochemicals
Sigma – Food Products
Nemak – Aluminum Autoparts
Axtel – IT & Telecom
Newpek – Oil & Gas
Other Information
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Revenues(US $ Million)
4Q19 vs 4Q18(US $ Million)
Revenues reflect lower feedstock prices in Alpek and lower volume in Nemak
2019 vs 2018(US $ Million)
19
4,6924,479 4,473 4,319 4,267
4Q18 1Q19 2Q19 3Q19 4Q19
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887
519
595 548
636
4Q18 1Q19 2Q19 3Q19 4Q19
Reported EBITDA(US $ Million)
Extraordinary Items Comparable EBITDA(US $ Million)
4Q19 EBITDA benefited from extraordinary items; full year in line with guidance
20
EBITDA Margin4Q19 vs 4Q18: -28%4Q19 vs 3Q19: 16%
4Q18 1Q19 2Q19 3Q19 4Q19
ALPEK 188 (8) (28) (19) 184
SIGMA - - - - -
NEMAK - - 8 - -
AXTEL 139 - 39 - (4)
NEWPEK 22 (1) (1) (4) (58)
TOTAL 322 (8) 18 (23) 122
565528
577 571514
12.0%11.8%
12.9%13.2%
12.1%
4Q18 1Q19 2Q19 3Q19 4Q19
4Q19 vs 4Q18: -9%4Q19 vs 3Q19: -10%
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4Q19 Comparable EBITDA down y-o-y due primarily to Nemak amid GM strike
Comparable EBITDA 2019 vs 2018(US $ Million)
21
-10.0%
Comparable EBITDA 4Q19 vs 4Q18(US $ Million)
-9.0%
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ALFA Net Debt(US $ Million)
Net Debt 4Q19 vs 4Q18(US $ Million)
Leverage Ratio (Net Debt/EBITDA)
ALFA Net Debt down vs. 3Q19 and 4Q18 supported non-core asset monetizationsand solid operating cash generation
22
6,543
7,194 7,122 7,032
6,276
4Q18 1Q19 2Q19 3Q19 4Q19
2.3
2.62.7
2.82.7
4Q18 1Q19 2Q19 3Q19 4Q19
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4Q19 results supported by sale of Cogeneration plants
Paraxylene vs Brent Crude Oil Price (Base=100)
Margin: Asia PET to Px/MEG (US $ / Ton)
23
4Q19 Highlights
• Highest quarterly EBITDA year-to-date in 4Q19
• Sold the cogeneration plants for U.S. $801 million, paid down debt, leverage at 1.6x EBITDA
• Acquired 350 kton PET facility in Wilton, UK; only PET producer in the UK, first plant outside America
• Paraxylene price disconnection vs. crude oil due to new capacity in China
• Asian reference polyester margins decreased below expectations; recovered in January
• Paid an extraordinary dividend of US $143 million in January 2020
60
100
140
dec-18 jan-19 feb-19 mar-19 apr-19 may-19 jun-19 jul-19 ago-19 sept-19 oct-19 nov-19 dec-19
Brent Px
240276 263 284
342
478
377333 323
370304
227
1Q17 2Q17 3Q17 4Q17 1Q18 2Q18 3Q18 4Q18 1Q19 2Q19 3Q19 4Q19
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0.0
0.5
1.0
1.5
2.0
2.5
3.0
0
0.2
0.4
0.6
0.8
1
1.2
13.5
12.1
9.0
7.2
14 14.4
9.6
5.8
Mexico USA LatAm Europe
EBITDA Margin By Region4Q19 Highlights
Sigma posted solid results throughout the year, despite raw material prices pressure
• EBITDA up y-o-y in 4Q19 and 2019 driven primarily by the U.S. and Mex.
• Higher EBITDA margin y-o-y in Mexico, U.S. and LatAm despite ASF
• Launched +270 products through its innovation platform in 2019
• Launched “Tastech by Sigma”, its first worldwide acceleration program to collaborate with high-impact startups and scaleups
2018
2019
6.5
24
Pork Ham Price
Jan. Mar. Jun. Sept. Dec.
2018
U.S. ($/lb)
2019Europe (€/kg)
* Excluding a net extraordinary gain of US $6 million in 3Q18 (Reported EBITDA Margin: 7.9)
*
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EBITDA per Equivalent Unit (USD/Equivalent Unit)
2018
2019
4Q19 Highlights Volume 4Q19 vs 4Q18(Million Equivalent Units)
4Q19 Sales and EBITDA reflect lower volume amid GM strike
• 4Q19 Volume impacted by:
• GM strike in the US
• Phase-out of production of certain models among Detroit customers
• Lower OEM prod. in Europe and China
• 2019 EBITDA in line with expectations
• Supplied EV/SC components for 16 vehicles of 6 customers worldwide
• Completed construction of facility in NA dedicated to the production of e-mobility applications
25
15.015.8
13.0
14.914.5
15.5
13.1 13.1
1Q 2Q 3Q 4Q
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4Q19 Highlights
4Q19 EBITDA from Continuing operations up 11% Y-o-Y
• Better than expected EBITDA driven by operating efficiencies
• Monetized 3 data centers in strategic agreement with Equinix for US $175 million
• 2019 EBITDA was US $232 million, up 7% versus 2018 (adjusting for discont. ops. & ext. items)
• Started operations under two specialized business units: Services and Infrastructure
51%49%
Service Infrastructure
Continuing EBITDA by Business Unit(Total 2019: US $232 million)
EBITDA (US $ Million)
55 56 57 57 62
13 21
-4
138
39
-44Q18 1Q19 2Q19 3Q19 4Q19
Continuing
Discontinued
Extraordinary
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Progress on value-enhancing initiatives to further strengthen balance sheet and increase return on invested capital
27
• Finalized the sale of two cogeneration power plants for US $801 million
Petrochemicals
• Monetized three Data Centers in a strategic agreement with Equinix for US $175 million
• Began to operate under two specialized business units: Infrastructure and Services
• Ongoing process with financial advisors to evaluate strategic alternatives
IT & Telecom Oil & Gas
• Evaluating strategic alternatives for assets outside of Mexico
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Index
ALFA Overview
ALFA Fourth Quarter Results
Appendix
Alpek – Petrochemicals
Sigma – Food Products
Nemak – Aluminum Autoparts
Axtel – IT & Telecom
Newpek – Oil & Gas
Other Information
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Leading Petrochemical company
Leading position across product portfolio:
• #1 PTA-PET producer in America
• #2 PET producer Worldwide
• #1 EPS producer in America
• Only PP producer in Mexico
2019
Revenues
US $6.2 Billion
EBITDA
US $0.9 Billion
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Business Segments
Polyester chain
2019
Revenues US $4.7 Billion (77%)
EBITDA US $428 Million (50%)
Products
Purified Terephthalic Acid (PTA)
Polyethylene Terephthalate (PET)
Polyester fibers
Plastics & chemicals
2019
Revenues US $1.4 Billion (23%)
EBITDA US $218 Million (26%)
Products
Polypropylene (PP)
Expandable Polystyrene (EPS)
Caprolactam (CPL)
Fertilizers and other chemicals
312019 EBITDA includes a Cogeneration Sale Gain of US $188 M
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Products are widely used for food packaging and consumer end-markets
Beverage
Food
Personal care
Sample end users by industry
Volume 2019 By Industry(4,384 Kta)
Construction4%Textiles
7%
ConsumerGoods
35%
Food and Beverages55%
Sales 2019 Geography(US $6,216 Million)
Asia & others0%
Europe3%
Mexico29%
U.S./CAN 44%
SA24%
Textiles
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Installed capacity amounts to 7.0 Million tons
~5,900 employees
27 Production facilities
Source: Alpek estimate| Kta: Thousand tons per year | (1) Includes industrial and specialty chemicals and recycled PET capacities
Installed Capacity Breakdown (Kta)
SITE PTA PET rPET FIBERS PP EPS CPL OTHER
Mexico
(3,030 Kta)
Monterrey 160
Altamira 1,000 640 240
Salamanca 85
Ocotlán 10
Cosoleacaque 610 185
Lerma 100
U.S.
(2,385 Kta)
Cedar Creek 170 55
Cooper River 170 150
Columbia 640 725
Pearl River 430
Richmond 45
Canada Selenis 144
Argentina
(225 Kta)
Zárate 190
Pacheco 15
General Lagos 19
Brazil
(1,226 kta)
Guaratingueta 46
Ipojuca 640 450 90
Chile
(27 Kta)
Santiago 5
Puerto Montt 2
Concon 20
Total Capacity: 7,036 Kta 2,890 2,464 115 400 640 325 85 117
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Strategy
Strengthen Core Business
Growth
ProductSustainability
Strengthen Core Business
• Improve cost competitiveness in existing plants
• Enhance position in the Americas
• Ensure competitive feedstock/power supply
Growth
• Deliver returns on recent investments
• Growth into adjacent markets / Vertical integration
• Strategic and opportunistic M&A
ProductSustainability
• Expand PET recycling capacity
• Support growth of circular economy initiatives
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57
16
PET Other Plastics
37
182 187
GlassPET Aluminum ’00 ’15 ’19E’05 ’10
115
PET
Glass
Aluminum
27
90
#1 Recycling Collection Rate% Worldwide
Carbon Footprint Over Lifecycle1
(gr. CO2 Eq. / 355 mL Bottle)#1 Beverage Packaging MaterialBillion beverages (USA)
PET Fundamental Advantages
Source: Wood Mackenzie, McKinsey Co., PET Resin Association and SBAcci.35(1) Data from EPA and PET Resin Association considering bottle weight of containers. Includes emissions calculation for energy on processing and transportation, and non-energy related emissions; considers that material is
recycled once.
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Multinational food company dedicated to bringing local favorite foods to communities everywhere
• +640,000 points of sale
• 11% of its sales came from innovation
2019
Revenues
US $6.5 Billion
EBITDA
US $703 Million
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Highly recognized branded foods in Mexico, U.S., Central & South America and Europe
Region % Sales
LatAm8%
U.S.15%
Europe36%
Mexico41%
• Broad geographic footprint: 70 manufacturing facilities and operations in 18 countries
• Offers quality food at a wide range of price points and across diverse categories
Cooked meats 60%
Dairy 19%
Dry meats 16%
Other categories 5%
Categories products
Mexico
United States
Dominican Rep.
El Salvador
Guatemala
Ecuador
Italy
Belgium
Germany
Netherlands
Spain
France
Peru
Honduras
Nicaragua
Costa Rica
Portugal
Romania
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Diversified and strong brand portfolio in each market
PACKAGED MEATS DAIRY OTHER THIRD PARTY
MEXICO
EUROPE
U.S.
LATAM
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Broad supply chain network
Reach, service, efficiency and knowledge
• Global processes
• Benchmarks
• Best practice implementation
• Production sharing capabilities
Safety & quality throughout the supply chain
• Sourcing development programs and
certifications
• In-store quality checks
• Customer development programs
• Certified facilities
70
Production
facilities
25 Europe
13 Latam
26 Mexico
6 USA210
Distribution
centers
18 Europe
39 Latam
139 Mexico
14 USA640,000
Points of sale
62,000 Europe
111,000 Latam
345,000 Mexico
105,000 USA
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Consumer oriented innovation
41
Health & Nutrition
Origin & Tradition
Indulgence
Convenience
Sustainability & Trust
Innovation Platforms
• Based on “Design Thinking”
• Consumer research (260K contacts/year)
• 2 Research & Development Centers (+200 specialists)
• Innovations represent 11% of sales
• +270 new products launchedin 2019
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Growth strategy
Strengthen Core Business
• Continue consolidating recent acquisitions while implementing best practices
• Reinforce brand equity through innovation and differentiated marketing
• Increase distribution to improve market share
Expand the Core
• Capture greater market share in the foodservice market
• Fully leverage assets through distribution of third-party leading brands
• Achieve fair-share in relevant markets / categories
• M&A in packaged meats and dairy
• Grow exports of heritage products
Invest in the Future
• Explore new categories
• Enter new geographies
• Complement innovation capabilities through open innovation / venture capital
• Continue developing world class talent
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Leading provider of lightweighting solutions for the automotive industry
• Global footprint, cost competitiveness, R&D, skilled labor force
• One out of every four new vehicles sold worldwide has at least one Nemak component
• Sole supplier in ~90% of sales volume
2019
Revenues
US $4.0 Billion
EBITDA
US $621 Million
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Focused on broad portfolio of highly-engineered solutions
Combustion Engine• Heads
• Blocks
• Transmissions
Electric Vehicles• Battery Housings
• E-Motor Housings
Vehicle Structures• Longitudinal Members
• Sub-Frames
• Pillars & others
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Diversified customer base
• More than 50 customers worldwide
• Nemak supplies ~650 out of ~1,300 vehicle
platforms worldwide
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28%
19%
14%
13%
6%
5%
4%4%
3% 4%
Solid customer relationships; diversified revenue stream
North
America
56%
Europe
35%
Others
9%
2019Volume distributionBy Customer
2019Revenue distributionBy Region
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Otros
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Global footprint with facilities close to customers
16Countries
Russia
Slovakia
Spain
38Manufacturing facilities• North America (18)
• Europe (14)
• South America (3)
• Asia (3)
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Combustion Engine Hybrid Pure Electric
US $450 – 500 US $480 – 580 US $550 – 700
Heads, Blocks & Trans Heads & Blocks E-Motor Housings
Structural Components Structural Components Structural Components
Battery Housings Battery Housings
Hybrid Trans Other EV Components
Driving Nemak content per vehicle
Increased value added to sales
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Sample awarded programs involving electric vehicles and structural components
50
Porsche TaycanVolvo Polestar
BMW X5 Jeep Wrangler Hybrid
Ford Mustang Mach-E
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$2,958 $2,955
$1,950
$2,880
$308 $309$260
$365
$0
$100
$200
$300
$400
$500
$600
$700
$800
$0
$500
$1,000
$1,500
$2,000
$2,500
$3,000
$3,500
2007 2008 2009 2010
Revenues
EBITDA
Headcount rightsizing
Optimization of work shifts
Increase equipment output
Volume reallocation
Key InitiativesSales vs. EBITDA
Revenues 2009 vs 2008: -34%EBITDA 2009 vs 2008: -16%
EBITDA Margin 10.4% 10.5% 13.3% 12.7%
Strong track record of agile cost structure adjustments and operating efficiencies to maximize profitability
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Differentiated approach by business segment
Maximize combustion engine business
• Operational efficiencies
• Cash flow generation
• Capacity utilization & consolidation
• Margin expansion through increased secondary processes (e.g. machining)
Capture growth in structural & EV components
• Greater margins & value added
• New competencies
• Assembly
• Design engineering
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IT and Telecom services for the enterprise and government segments
Main Services
Services:
• Managed networks
• System integration
• Collaboration
• Cloud solutions
• Cybersecurity
Infrastructure:
• Fiber to the Tower
• Fiber to the Data Center
• Spectrum
• Wholesale access
2019
Revenues
US $680 Million
EBITDA
US $265 Million
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Sales and EBITDA Breakdown by Business Unit
80%Services
20%Infrastructure
1. Excludes Mass Market
EBITDASales 1
55
49%Services
51%Infrastructure
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Strategic evolution
• Start up local Mass Market «Fixed Wireless»
• Avantel acquisition (´06)
• Broad band Mass Market
• Vertical markets
• Cloud services
• App management
• Data center
• Enterprise strategy
• Value added services – Data IP
• Start up LD services
ALESTRA CONVERGENCE
• Unified communications
• Managed networks
• Security
• Large Scale Solutions
• Systems integration
• Data center
• IPTV (´13)
• Cloud services & managed IT
1997
1999
2000
2008
2011
2008
2011
• Value added services Mass Market– Wimax
• Enterprise integration Telco / IT
• FTH
2015 2015
TELECOMM MARKET OPENED
IP PROTOCOL, INTERNET BUBBLE
VOICE AND DATA NET CONVERGENCE LAN/WAN
TELECOM / IT CONVERGENCE
DATA CENTER CONVERGENCE
MEGER 2016
56
2018
2019
• Sale of mass-market FTTH
business to Televisa and
Megacable • Data Center Partnership
REALIGNMENT PROCESS
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Strategy: Strong Positioning in IT & Telecom
MISSIONEnable organizations to become more productive through digitalization
Provide world-class IT & Telecom managed solutions to enterprise and government customers
Multi-cloud solutions partnering with AWS & Microsoft Azure
Multi-platform Mobility Solution to complementICT services
Strategic Alliance with Global Data Center operator
Maximize value from non-strategic assets: Mass Market segment, alternate network
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Network
Functional separation into two business units
Benefits:
• Accelerate growth – focusing commercial and investment efforts in each business unit
• Increase profitability – maximizing infrastructure utilization
• Better efficiencies - Transparency
Services (Alestra) Infrastructure
Telecom IT
Enterprise & Government
Wholesale/Operators(including Alestra Services)
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Exploration & Production (E&P) operations in the U.S. and Mexico
• Involvement in the E&P industry began in 2006
• Operating mature fields in Mexico since 2013
2019
Revenues
US $76 Million
EBITDA
US $(91) Million1
60 1. 2019 EBITDA Includes US $63 M in non-cash provisions due to lower production outlook in the coming years
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Current U.S. Operations – 613 wells
Technology
• Fracking for horizontal drilling
• Mature fields optimization
• World-class sub-surface analysis
capabilities
Net production(MBOED)
0.9 1.1 1.0
2.7
4.7
6.4
8.2 8.37.2
4.9 4.4
2.5
08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19
Involvement in the E&P industry began
in 2006
• JV with Ensign Natural Resources (8.6%)
• Development of Eagle Ford Shale with 554 wells in production
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Activities in Mexico – 115 wells
• Service contracts in San Andrés and Tierra Blanca fields with Pemex (CIEPs)
• Producing over 3.2 MBOED
• Optimization of existing wells
• Development of new wells in conventional formation
• JV with Verdad Exploration, won contracts to operate two wet gas fields in Tamaulipas, Mexico
• Area of 363 Km2
• Minimum required investment of US $4 Million
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Strategy
• Evaluate strategic alternatives for its assets outside of
Mexico
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Index
ALFA Overview
ALFA Fourth Quarter Results
Appendix
Alpek – Petrochemicals
Sigma – Food Products
Nemak – Aluminum Autoparts
Axtel – IT & Telecom
Newpek – Oil & Gas
Other Information
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1979Nemak is founded
2008Sigma invest in
Perú
ALFA's heritage goes back to 1890
2018Alpek acquires
PQS (Brazil)
1993 1997
ALFA Invest US $3,200 Million in modernization and expansion
2000Nemak invests in Canada
2005Hylsamex is divested
2005Nemak acquiresRautenbach
2007Nemak acquires Teksid and Hydro assets
2001Alpek expands
to the U.S.
1996Alestra is founded
(Telecom)
2004Sigma expands in cheese
2007Alpek acquires Eastman PET Mexico & Argentina
2010Sigma
acquires Bas-S
2013Sigma
acquires Campofrio
2016Alestra/Axtel
merger
2011Alpek acquires
Eastman Columbia and
Wellman
1890Brewery is founded
1974Grupo Monterrey
Splits
1975First investment in
petrochem
1980ALFA invest
in food
1982Mexican crisis and
financial restructuring
65
2019Alpek acquires a PET facility (UK)
& rPET plant (USA)
2019Alpek sells its Cogeneration Power Plants
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ALFA Guidance 2020
(US $ Millions) Revenues EBITDA CAPEX
2019 2020e 2019 2020e 2019 A 2020e
ALFA 17,538 17,018 2,298 2,027 920 902
Alpek 6,216 5,677 850 547B 270 277
Sigma 6,463 6,780 703 650 186 180
Nemak 4,017 3,800 621 565 344 290
Axtel 680 638 265 322C 94 129
Newpek 76 33 -91 -7 14 14
Assumptions:
• Mx GDP growth: 1.2%• USA GDP growth: 1.7%• Eurozone GDP growth: 1.0%• Avg. exchange rate Mx Peso to USD: $20.20• Avg. exchange rate Euro to USD: $1.11• Avg. oil price (Brent): US $59/barrel.
A. CAPEX for 2019 includes acquisitions| B. Includes a US $30 million gain from U.K. plant acquisition announced in 4Q19| C. Includes a US $107 million gain from the sale of 3 Data Centers announced in 4Q1966
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2020 Guidance Highlights
67
• All businesses actively engaged in efficiency initiatives to mitigate headwinds
• Consolidated sales reflect lower prices in Alpek and lower volume in Nemak
• EBITDA reflects:• Lower polyester and polypropylene margins (Alpek)
• Soft auto industry conditions (Nemak)
• Raw material price pressure due to ASF (Sigma)
• Consolidated CAPEX to remain above US $900 million• Investments in efficiencies, high-growth businesses and expansion
• Expected to enhance demonstrated EBITDA generation capacity in the upcycle
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ALFA Guidance 2020 – Revenue
68
17,538 317-539 -217 -81 17,018
Δ vs. 2019
Key Assumptions
Alpek -539• Volume up 6% vs. 2019• Lower oil and feedstock prices
Sigma +317• Sales up in all regions driven by price
and volume
Nemak -217 • Volume down 5% vs. 2019
Axtel -42• Sales up 3% adjusting for currency and
discontinued operations
Newpek -43 • Lower production and prices
AlpekRevenue 2019
Sigma Nemak Revenue 2020e
Others*
*Axtel, Newpek and other businesses
-3%(US $ Millions)
(US $ Millions)
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ALFA Guidance 2020 - EBITDA
69
Comparable EBITDA 2019
EBITDA 2019
Comparable EBITDA Var.
Comparable EBITDA 2020
EBITDA 2020e
2,298
-300
2,190
1,8902,027
Δ vs. 20191 Key Assumptions
Alpek -205• Decrease in polyester and PP margins• US $40 million less due to Cogen sale
Sigma -53• Pressure on raw material costs due to
ASF
Nemak -47 • Lower volume (soft industry conditions)
Axtel -15• EBITDA up 2% adjusting for currency
and discontinued operations
Newpek +21• Lower comparable loss vs. 2019 due to
adjusted cost structure
10730
Axtel – Gain from sale of 3 D.C. announced in 4Q19 (+107)
Alpek – Gain from UK acquisition announced in 4Q19 (+30)
1,890
108
-12%
Net extraord.
items
(US $ Millions)
(US $ Millions)
1Comparable 2019 vs. Comparable 2020e
2,190
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ALFA Guidance 2020 - CAPEX
70
-6920 7 -54 35 902
AlpekCAPEX 2019
Sigma Nemak CAPEX 2020e
Others*
Δ vs. 2019
Key Assumptions
Alpek +7 • Expand PET recycling capacity
Sigma -6 • Investments across all regions
Nemak -54• Support product launches in e-mobility
and structural applications
Axtel +35• Frequency renovation and expand
infrastructure capabilities
Newpek 0 • Focus on Mexican operations
*Axtel, Newpek and other businesses
(US $ Millions)
(US $ Millions)
-2%
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13
9
6
12
6
2015 2016 2017 2018 2019
ROIC 2015 - 2019
ROIC = NOPAT / Invested Capital | NOPAT = EBIT – Taxes | Invested Capital = Stockholder’s Equity + Debt 71
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Breakdown by Region
Mexico
33%
U.S. & Canada
31%
Europe
22%
South & Central America
12%
Asia & Others
2%
Revenues 2019US $17.5 Billion
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Debt Profile and maturities
Rate (%)Currency (%)
Var.
10%
Fix
90%
U.S.
73%
EUR
18%
MXN
6%
Other
3%
Debt maturities(US $ Million)
1,365
268115
824
421
2,311
780
1,064
94
614 559 506
CASH 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030+
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Debt maturities – 4Q19
Cash 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030+
Alfa Holding Alpek Nemak Sigma Axtel Newpek Other
US $ Million Cash 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030+
ALFA Holding 26 - - - 50 500 - - - - - 500
Alpek 386 70 37 693 319 17 16 16 16 16 499 2
Nemak 327 127 34 28 22 592 543 24 31 50 60 5
Sigma 518 38 20 18 16 689 202 999 0 500 - -
Axtel 46 23 15 84 14 513 19 26 47 48 - -
Newpek - - - - - - - - - - - -
TOTAL* 1,365 268 115 824 421 2,311 780 1,064 94 614 559 506
Total Gross Debt plus interest:US $7,641 MillionAvg. Life of Debt 6.4 years
*Includes other entities74
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Outstanding bonds - ALFA
75
Val
ue
90
95
100
105
110
115
120
125
31
/12
/20
18
14
/01
/20
19
28
/01
/20
19
11
/02
/20
19
25
/02
/20
19
11
/03
/20
19
25
/03
/20
19
08
/04
/20
19
22
/04
/20
19
06
/05
/20
19
20
/05
/20
19
03
/06
/20
19
17
/06
/20
19
01
/07
/20
19
15
/07
/20
19
29
/07
/20
19
12
/08
/20
19
26
/08
/20
19
09
/09
/20
19
23
/09
/20
19
07
/10
/20
19
21
/10
/20
19
04
/11
/20
19
18
/11
/20
19
02
/12
/20
19
16
/12
/20
19
30
/12
/20
19
2044
2024
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Outstanding bonds – ALFA Subsidiaries
Val
ue
Val
ue
76
Sigma
Axtel
Alpek
Nemak
90
92
94
96
98
100
102
104
106
31
/12
/20
18
14
/01
/20
19
28
/01
/20
19
11
/02
/20
19
25
/02
/20
19
11
/03
/20
19
25
/03
/20
19
08
/04
/20
19
22
/04
/20
19
06
/05
/20
19
20
/05
/20
19
03
/06
/20
19
17
/06
/20
19
01
/07
/20
19
15
/07
/20
19
29
/07
/20
19
12
/08
/20
19
26
/08
/20
19
09
/09
/20
19
23
/09
/20
19
07
/10
/20
19
21
/10
/20
19
04
/11
/20
19
18
/11
/20
19
02
/12
/20
19
16
/12
/20
19
30
/12
/20
19
2024
2025
9092949698
100102104106108110
31
/12
/20
18
14
/01
/20
19
28
/01
/20
19
11
/02
/20
19
25
/02
/20
19
11
/03
/20
19
25
/03
/20
19
08
/04
/20
19
22
/04
/20
19
06
/05
/20
19
20
/05
/20
19
03
/06
/20
19
17
/06
/20
19
01
/07
/20
19
15
/07
/20
19
29
/07
/20
19
12
/08
/20
19
26
/08
/20
19
09
/09
/20
19
23
/09
/20
19
07
/10
/20
19
21
/10
/20
19
04
/11
/20
19
18
/11
/20
19
02
/12
/20
19
16
/12
/20
19
30
/12
/20
19
2028
2024
2026
9092949698
100102104106108110
31
/12
/20
18
14
/01
/20
19
28
/01
/20
19
11
/02
/20
19
25
/02
/20
19
11
/03
/20
19
25
/03
/20
19
08
/04
/20
19
22
/04
/20
19
06
/05
/20
19
20
/05
/20
19
03
/06
/20
19
17
/06
/20
19
01
/07
/20
19
15
/07
/20
19
29
/07
/20
19
12
/08
/20
19
26
/08
/20
19
09
/09
/20
19
23
/09
/20
19
07
/10
/20
19
21
/10
/20
19
04
/11
/20
19
18
/11
/20
19
02
/12
/20
19
16
/12
/20
19
30
/12
/20
19
2023
2022
2029
90
92
94
96
98
100
102
104
106
31
/12
/20
18
14
/01
/20
19
28
/01
/20
19
11
/02
/20
19
25
/02
/20
19
11
/03
/20
19
25
/03
/20
19
08
/04
/20
19
22
/04
/20
19
06
/05
/20
19
20
/05
/20
19
03
/06
/20
19
17
/06
/20
19
01
/07
/20
19
15
/07
/20
19
29
/07
/20
19
12
/08
/20
19
26
/08
/20
19
09
/09
/20
19
23
/09
/20
19
07
/10
/20
19
21
/10
/20
19
04
/11
/20
19
18
/11
/20
19
02
/12
/20
19
16
/12
/20
19
30
/12
/20
19
2024
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ALFA & Subsidiaries Outstanding Bonds
CompanyAmount(M US)
RateYTM
(29/Feb/2020)Maturity
Ratings
S&P Fitch Moody’s
Alfa 500 5.250% 2.971% March 25, 2024 BBB- ; SO BBB- ; SO Baa3 ; SO
Alfa 500 6.875% 4.892% March 25, 2044 BBB- ; SO BBB- ; SO Baa3 ; SO
Alpek 650 4.500% 2.678% November 20, 2022 BBB- ; SO BBB- ; SO Baa3 ; SO
Alpek 300 5.375% 2.951% August 08, 2023 BBB- ; SO BBB- ; SO Baa3 ; SO
Alpek 500 4.250% 3.810% September 10, 2029 BBB- ; SO BBB- ; SO Baa3 ; SO
Sigma €600 2.625% 0.719% February 02, 2024 BBB ; SO BBB ; SO Baa3 ; SO
Sigma 1,000 4.125% 3.069% May 02, 2026 BBB ; SO BBB ; SO Baa3 ; SO
Sigma 500 4.875% 3.362% March 22, 2028 BBB ; SO BBB ; SO Baa3 ; SO
Nemak 500 4.750% 2.521% January 11, 2025 BB+ ; SO BBB- ; SO Ba1 ; SO
Nemak €500 3.250% 4.168% February 28, 2024 BB+ ; SO BBB- ; SO Ba1 ; SO
Axtel 500 6.375% 5.529% November 14, 2024 BB ; PO BB- ; SO Ba3 ; SO
77
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Stock Highlights (BMV: ALFAA)
78
Daily Average Traded Shares & Value
Daily Stock Price (MXN)
3
12
00
8
2
10
64
15
6 9
F M AJ A M J J A S O N SD J F M A J JM
2019
20
10
15
30
JunDecJan Jun Jan Dec
(M Shares) (US$ M)
2018 2019
Valuation 2017 2018 2019 Feb ‘20
Market Cap. (US$ B) 6,637 6,056 4,875 4,875
Net Debt (US$ M) 6,300 6,543 6,276 6,276
EBITDA LTM (US$ M) 2,018 2,858 2,298 2,298
Enterprise Value /
EBITDA7.0 4.8 5.4 5.4
Price / Earnings N/A 8.9 16.2 12.0
Price per Share
(MXN)24.7 23.0 18.6 13.4
Exchange Rate
(MXN/USD)18.9 19.2 19.3 18.7
2018
25
O N D
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US 49%
EUR43%
Other 9%
US99%
MXN 0%
US100%
Debt by Currency
US61%EUR
29%
MXN 7%
US 65%
MXN35%
US $1,048 Million US $1,700 Million US $2,482 Million
US $1,515 Million US $789 Million
*Includes currency hedging
Other 2%
79
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Debt by Fixed and Variable Interest Rate
Fix69%
Var31%Fix
87%
Var13%
Fix96%
Var4%
Fix95%
Var 5%
US $1,048 Million US $1,700 Million
US $1,515 Million US $789 Million
*Includes currency hedging80
Fix93%
Var7%
US $2,482 Million
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Brent Crude Oil
120
100
80
60
40
202014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019
US $/Bbl
Brent Crude Oil
99 $/bbl
53 $/bbl
44 $/bbl
54 $/bbl 71 $/bbl
64 $/bbl
81
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201
74 71 69 63 59 71 64 63 60 72 80 81104
133 135 118 110155 140
PET Margin (Asia)
PTA
PET
2011
210
2012 3Q2015
258
2013 2014 1Q
260
4Q 1Q 2Q 3Q 4Q
478
4Q1Q2Q 3Q 1Q
394
270
2Q
230210
284
212240
276 263
342
377
324333
370
2Q
China
2016 2017 2018 2019
Margin: Asia PET to Px/MEG (US $/Ton)
250304
3Q
82
4Q
227
82
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Pork Ham Price in Europe and U.S.
€/kgPork Ham Price in Europe
US $/lbPork Ham Price in U.S.
2018
2019
Feb. Mar. Jun. Aug. Sept. Dec.
83
0.0
0.5
1.0
1.5
2.0
2.5
3.0
3.5
Feb.
0
0.2
0.4
0.6
0.8
1
1.2
Feb. Mar. Jun. Aug. Sept. Dec. Feb.
2019
2020
2018
2019
2019
2020
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Contact
Hernán F. LozanoV.P. of Investor Relations & Corporate Communications
T. +52 (81) 8748 [email protected]