copyright © 2007 by the mcgraw-hill companies, inc. all rights reserved. mcgraw-hill /irwin 6-1...
TRANSCRIPT
Copyright © 2007 by The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights reserved.McGraw-Hill /Irwin 6-1
Chapter SixBond Markets
Copyright © 2007 by The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights reserved.McGraw-Hill /Irwin 6-2
Chapter Outline
1. Overview
2. Treasury Notes & Bonds
3. Munis
4. Corporate Bonds
5. Bond Rating
6. International Bond Markets
1. Overview
2. Treasury Notes & Bonds
3. Munis
4. Corporate Bonds
5. Bond Rating
6. International Bond Markets
Copyright © 2007 by The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights reserved.McGraw-Hill /Irwin 6-3
1. Overview of the Bond Markets
• A bond is a promise to make periodic coupon payments and to repay principal at maturity; breech of this promise is an event of default
• Bonds carry original maturities greater than one year so bonds are instruments of the capital markets
• Issuers are corporations and government units
• A bond is a promise to make periodic coupon payments and to repay principal at maturity; breech of this promise is an event of default
• Bonds carry original maturities greater than one year so bonds are instruments of the capital markets
• Issuers are corporations and government units
Copyright © 2007 by The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights reserved.McGraw-Hill /Irwin 6-4
Bond Market Participants
• The major issuers of debt market securities are federal, state and local governments and corporations
• The major purchasers of capital market securities are households, businesses, government units and foreign investors
• Businesses and financial firms (e.g., banks, insurance companies, mutual funds) are the major suppliers of funds for all three types of bonds
• The major issuers of debt market securities are federal, state and local governments and corporations
• The major purchasers of capital market securities are households, businesses, government units and foreign investors
• Businesses and financial firms (e.g., banks, insurance companies, mutual funds) are the major suppliers of funds for all three types of bonds
Copyright © 2007 by The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights reserved.McGraw-Hill /Irwin 6-5
Bond Market Instruments Outstanding, 1994-2004 ($Bn)
0
2000
4000
6000
8000
10000
1994 1997 2000 2004
Treas. bonds Muni. securities Corp. bonds Total
0
2000
4000
6000
8000
10000
1994 1997 2000 2004
Treas. bonds Muni. securities Corp. bonds Total
Copyright © 2007 by The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights reserved.McGraw-Hill /Irwin 6-6
2. Treasury Notes and Bonds
• T-notes and T-bonds issued by the U.S. Treasury to finance the national debt and other federal government expenditures
• Backed by the full faith and credit of the U.S. government and are default risk free
• Pay relatively low rates of interest (yields to maturity)• Given their longer maturity, not entirely risk free due
to interest rate fluctuations• Pay coupon interest (semiannually): notes have
maturities from 1-10 years; bonds 10-30 years
• T-notes and T-bonds issued by the U.S. Treasury to finance the national debt and other federal government expenditures
• Backed by the full faith and credit of the U.S. government and are default risk free
• Pay relatively low rates of interest (yields to maturity)• Given their longer maturity, not entirely risk free due
to interest rate fluctuations• Pay coupon interest (semiannually): notes have
maturities from 1-10 years; bonds 10-30 years
Copyright © 2007 by The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights reserved.McGraw-Hill /Irwin 6-7
Composition of the U.S. National Debt ($Bn)
0
500
1000
1500
2000
2500
3000
3500
1994 1997 2000 2004
T-bills T-notes and bonds Govt. acc. sec. Other
0
500
1000
1500
2000
2500
3000
3500
1994 1997 2000 2004
T-bills T-notes and bonds Govt. acc. sec. Other
Copyright © 2007 by The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights reserved.McGraw-Hill /Irwin 6-8
Primary Market in Treasury Notes & Bonds
Similar to the primary market T-bill sales, the Treasury sells T-notes and bonds through competitive and noncompetitive auctions Auction Pattern for Treasury Notes and bonds
Security Purchase Minimum General Auction Schedule
2-year note $1,000 Monthly 5-year note $1,000 Feb, May-Aug, Nov10-year note $1,000 Feb, May-Aug, Nov
Similar to the primary market T-bill sales, the Treasury sells T-notes and bonds through competitive and noncompetitive auctions Auction Pattern for Treasury Notes and bonds
Security Purchase Minimum General Auction Schedule
2-year note $1,000 Monthly 5-year note $1,000 Feb, May-Aug, Nov10-year note $1,000 Feb, May-Aug, Nov
Copyright © 2007 by The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights reserved.McGraw-Hill /Irwin 6-9
Secondary Market in Treasury Notes & Bonds
• Most secondary market trading occurs directly through brokers and dealers
• Wall Street Journal shows full list of Treasury securities that trade daily
• Most secondary market trading occurs directly through brokers and dealers
• Wall Street Journal shows full list of Treasury securities that trade daily
Copyright © 2007 by The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights reserved.McGraw-Hill /Irwin 6-10
• Coupon rate set at time of auction and fixed for life
• Par value adjusted for inflation based on the Consumer Price Index
• Semi-annual coupon payments are based on the inflation adjusted par value
• At maturity investor receives the inflation adjusted par value
• Coupon rate set at time of auction and fixed for life
• Par value adjusted for inflation based on the Consumer Price Index
• Semi-annual coupon payments are based on the inflation adjusted par value
• At maturity investor receives the inflation adjusted par value
(TIPS) Treasury Inflation Protected Securities
Copyright © 2007 by The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights reserved.McGraw-Hill /Irwin 6-11
Treasury STRIPS
Separate Trading of Registered Interest and Principal Securities
• A treasury security in which the individual interest payments are separated from the principal payment
• Effectively creates sets of securities--one for each semiannual interest payment one one for the final principal payment
• Often referred to as “Treasury zero-coupon bonds”• Created by U.S. Treasury in response to separate trading
of treasury security principal and interest developed by securities firms; only available through FIs and government securities brokers
Separate Trading of Registered Interest and Principal Securities
• A treasury security in which the individual interest payments are separated from the principal payment
• Effectively creates sets of securities--one for each semiannual interest payment one one for the final principal payment
• Often referred to as “Treasury zero-coupon bonds”• Created by U.S. Treasury in response to separate trading
of treasury security principal and interest developed by securities firms; only available through FIs and government securities brokers
Copyright © 2007 by The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights reserved.McGraw-Hill /Irwin 6-12
3. Municipal Bonds (Munis)
• Securities issued by state and local governments to fund either temporary imbalances between operating expenditures and receipts or to finance long-term capital outlays for activities such as school construction, public utility construction or transportation systems
• Tax receipts or revenues generated are the source of repayment
• Attractive to household investors because interest (but not capital gains) are tax exempt
• Securities issued by state and local governments to fund either temporary imbalances between operating expenditures and receipts or to finance long-term capital outlays for activities such as school construction, public utility construction or transportation systems
• Tax receipts or revenues generated are the source of repayment
• Attractive to household investors because interest (but not capital gains) are tax exempt
Copyright © 2007 by The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights reserved.McGraw-Hill /Irwin 6-13
Types of Municipal Bonds
• General Obligation Bonds– bonds backed by the full faith and credit of the
issuer
• Revenue Bonds– bonds sold to finance a specific revenue
generating project and are backed by cash flows from that project
• General Obligation Bonds– bonds backed by the full faith and credit of the
issuer
• Revenue Bonds– bonds sold to finance a specific revenue
generating project and are backed by cash flows from that project
Copyright © 2007 by The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights reserved.McGraw-Hill /Irwin 6-14
Tax Exemption and Muni Yields
ia = ib(1 - t)
Where: ia = After-tax (equivalent tax exempt) rate of return on a taxable bond ib = Before-tax rate of return on a taxable bond t = Income tax rate of the marginal bond holder
Example: You can invest in taxable corporate bonds that are paying 10% annually. Your marginal tax rate is 28%. The after- tax rate of return on the taxable bond is:
10%(1-.28) = 7.2%
ia = ib(1 - t)
Where: ia = After-tax (equivalent tax exempt) rate of return on a taxable bond ib = Before-tax rate of return on a taxable bond t = Income tax rate of the marginal bond holder
Example: You can invest in taxable corporate bonds that are paying 10% annually. Your marginal tax rate is 28%. The after- tax rate of return on the taxable bond is:
10%(1-.28) = 7.2%
Copyright © 2007 by The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights reserved.McGraw-Hill /Irwin 6-15
Primary Market Placement Choices for Munis
• General Public Offering– underwriter is selected either by negotiation or
by competitive bidding– the underwriter offers the bonds to the general
public
• Rule 144A Placement– bonds are sold on a semi-private basis to
qualified investors (generally FIs)
• General Public Offering– underwriter is selected either by negotiation or
by competitive bidding– the underwriter offers the bonds to the general
public
• Rule 144A Placement– bonds are sold on a semi-private basis to
qualified investors (generally FIs)
Copyright © 2007 by The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights reserved.McGraw-Hill /Irwin 6-16
Top Municipal Bond Underwriters
Principal Amount Market No. ofUnderwriter (in millions $$) Share Issues
UBS Financial Services $35,811.6 13.5% 631Citigroup 30,092.8 11.3% 476Lehman Brothers 22,021.1 8.3% 170Merrill Lynch 18,708.8 7.1% 208Goldman Sachs 18,081.6 6.8% 132J.P. Morgan Securities 17,685.0 6.7% 324Bear, Stearns 15,464.1 5.8% 133Morgan Stanley 14,695.8 5.5% 179RBC Dain Rauscher 11,157.6 4.2% 533Banc of America Securities 10,403.2 3.9% 327
Industry totals $265.5 billion
Principal Amount Market No. ofUnderwriter (in millions $$) Share Issues
UBS Financial Services $35,811.6 13.5% 631Citigroup 30,092.8 11.3% 476Lehman Brothers 22,021.1 8.3% 170Merrill Lynch 18,708.8 7.1% 208Goldman Sachs 18,081.6 6.8% 132J.P. Morgan Securities 17,685.0 6.7% 324Bear, Stearns 15,464.1 5.8% 133Morgan Stanley 14,695.8 5.5% 179RBC Dain Rauscher 11,157.6 4.2% 533Banc of America Securities 10,403.2 3.9% 327
Industry totals $265.5 billion
Copyright © 2007 by The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights reserved.McGraw-Hill /Irwin 6-17
Contracting Choices with the Underwriter
• Firm commitment underwriting– the issue of securities in which the investment bank
guarantees the corp. a price for newly issued securities by buying the whole issue at a fixed price from the corporate issuer then seeks to resell to suppliers of funds (investors) at a higher price
• Best efforts underwriting– the issue of securities in which the underwriter does not
guarantee a price to the issuer and acts more as a placing or distribution agent, bank acts as agent on a fee basis related to its success in placing the issue
• Firm commitment underwriting– the issue of securities in which the investment bank
guarantees the corp. a price for newly issued securities by buying the whole issue at a fixed price from the corporate issuer then seeks to resell to suppliers of funds (investors) at a higher price
• Best efforts underwriting– the issue of securities in which the underwriter does not
guarantee a price to the issuer and acts more as a placing or distribution agent, bank acts as agent on a fee basis related to its success in placing the issue
Copyright © 2007 by The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights reserved.McGraw-Hill /Irwin 6-18
Secondary Market for Munis
• Secondary market is thin (i.e. trades are relatively infrequent) due to a lack of information on bond issuers, who are generally much smaller than corporate bond issuers
• Secondary market is thin (i.e. trades are relatively infrequent) due to a lack of information on bond issuers, who are generally much smaller than corporate bond issuers
Copyright © 2007 by The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights reserved.McGraw-Hill /Irwin 6-19
4. Corporate Bonds
• All long-term bonds issued by corporations
• Minimum denominations publicly traded corporate bonds is $1,000
• Generally pay interest semiannually
• Bond indenture– legal contract that specifies the rights and
obligations of the bond issuer and the bond holder
• All long-term bonds issued by corporations
• Minimum denominations publicly traded corporate bonds is $1,000
• Generally pay interest semiannually
• Bond indenture– legal contract that specifies the rights and
obligations of the bond issuer and the bond holder
Copyright © 2007 by The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights reserved.McGraw-Hill /Irwin 6-20
Types of Corporate Bonds
• Bearer bonds– coupons attached that are presented by the holder to
the issuer for interest payments when due• Registered bonds
– the owner of the bond is recorded by the issuer and coupon payments are mailed to the registered owner
• Term bonds– entire issue matures on a single date
• Serial bonds– mature on a series of dates (continued)
• Bearer bonds– coupons attached that are presented by the holder to
the issuer for interest payments when due• Registered bonds
– the owner of the bond is recorded by the issuer and coupon payments are mailed to the registered owner
• Term bonds– entire issue matures on a single date
• Serial bonds– mature on a series of dates (continued)
Copyright © 2007 by The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights reserved.McGraw-Hill /Irwin 6-21
Types of Corporate Bonds
• Mortgage bonds– issued to finance specific projects which are pledged as
collateral
• Equipment Trust Certificates– bonds collateralized with tangible non-real estate property
• Debentures– backed solely by the general credit of the issuing firm and
unsecured by specific assets or collateral
• Subordinated debentures– unsecured debentures that are junior in their rights to
mortgage bonds and regular debentures (continued)
• Mortgage bonds– issued to finance specific projects which are pledged as
collateral
• Equipment Trust Certificates– bonds collateralized with tangible non-real estate property
• Debentures– backed solely by the general credit of the issuing firm and
unsecured by specific assets or collateral
• Subordinated debentures– unsecured debentures that are junior in their rights to
mortgage bonds and regular debentures (continued)
Copyright © 2007 by The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights reserved.McGraw-Hill /Irwin 6-22
Types of Corporate Bonds
• Convertible bonds– may be exchanged for another security of the issuing firm at the
discretion of the bond holder
• Stock Warrant– give the bond holder an opportunity to purchase common stock
at a specified price up to a specified date
• Callable bonds– allow the issuer to force the bond holder to sell the bond back
to the issuer at a price above the par value (call price)
• Sinking Fund bonds– bonds that include a requirement that the issuer retire a certain
amount of the bond issue each year
• Convertible bonds– may be exchanged for another security of the issuing firm at the
discretion of the bond holder
• Stock Warrant– give the bond holder an opportunity to purchase common stock
at a specified price up to a specified date
• Callable bonds– allow the issuer to force the bond holder to sell the bond back
to the issuer at a price above the par value (call price)
• Sinking Fund bonds– bonds that include a requirement that the issuer retire a certain
amount of the bond issue each year
Copyright © 2007 by The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights reserved.McGraw-Hill /Irwin 6-23
Primary and Secondary Markets for Corp Bonds
• Primary sales of corp bonds occur through either a public sale (issue) or a private placement similar to municipal bonds
• Two secondary markets– the exchange market (e.g., the NYSE) – the over-the-counter (OTC) market
• OTC electronic market dominates trading in corp bonds
• Primary sales of corp bonds occur through either a public sale (issue) or a private placement similar to municipal bonds
• Two secondary markets– the exchange market (e.g., the NYSE) – the over-the-counter (OTC) market
• OTC electronic market dominates trading in corp bonds
Copyright © 2007 by The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights reserved.McGraw-Hill /Irwin 6-24
5. Bond Ratings
• Bonds are rated by the issuer’s default risk
• Large bond investors, traders and managers evaluate default risk by analyzing the issuer’s financial ratios and security prices
• Two major bond rating agencies are Moody’s and Standard & Poor’s (S&P)
• Bonds assigned a letter grade based on perceived probability of issuer default
• Bonds are rated by the issuer’s default risk
• Large bond investors, traders and managers evaluate default risk by analyzing the issuer’s financial ratios and security prices
• Two major bond rating agencies are Moody’s and Standard & Poor’s (S&P)
• Bonds assigned a letter grade based on perceived probability of issuer default
Copyright © 2007 by The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights reserved.McGraw-Hill /Irwin 6-25
Bond Credit Ratings
Explanation Moody’s S&P
Investment grade categories: Best quality; smallest degree of risk Aaa AAAHigh quality; slightly more long-term Aa1 AA+ risk than top rating Aa2 AA Aa3 AAUpper medium grade; possible A1 AA- impairment in the future A2 A+ A3 A-Medium grade; lack outstanding Baa1 BBB+ investment characteristics Baa2 BBB Baa3 BBB-
Explanation Moody’s S&P
Investment grade categories: Best quality; smallest degree of risk Aaa AAAHigh quality; slightly more long-term Aa1 AA+ risk than top rating Aa2 AA Aa3 AAUpper medium grade; possible A1 AA- impairment in the future A2 A+ A3 A-Medium grade; lack outstanding Baa1 BBB+ investment characteristics Baa2 BBB Baa3 BBB-
(continued)
Copyright © 2007 by The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights reserved.McGraw-Hill /Irwin 6-26
Bond Credit Ratings
Explanation Moody’s S&P
Speculative investment grades:Speculative issues; protection may Ba1 BB+ be very moderate Ba2 BB
Ba3 BB-Very speculative; may have small B1 B+
assurance of interest and principle B2 B payment B3 B-
Issues in poor standing; may be in default Caa CCCSpeculative in a high degree Ca CC Lowest quality; poor prospects of attaining C C real investment standing D
Explanation Moody’s S&P
Speculative investment grades:Speculative issues; protection may Ba1 BB+ be very moderate Ba2 BB
Ba3 BB-Very speculative; may have small B1 B+
assurance of interest and principle B2 B payment B3 B-
Issues in poor standing; may be in default Caa CCCSpeculative in a high degree Ca CC Lowest quality; poor prospects of attaining C C real investment standing D
Copyright © 2007 by The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights reserved.McGraw-Hill /Irwin 6-27
6. International Aspects of Bond Markets
• International bond market– trades bonds that are underwritten by an
international syndicate– offer bonds simultaneously to investors in
several countries– issue bonds outside the jurisdiction of any
single country– offer bonds in unregistered form
• International bond market– trades bonds that are underwritten by an
international syndicate– offer bonds simultaneously to investors in
several countries– issue bonds outside the jurisdiction of any
single country– offer bonds in unregistered form
Copyright © 2007 by The McGraw-Hill Companies, Inc. All rights reserved.McGraw-Hill /Irwin 6-28
Eurobonds, Foreign Bonds, Brady Bonds and Sovereign Bonds
• Eurobonds– long-term bonds issued and sold outside the country of the
currency in which they are denominated (e.g., dollar-denominated bonds issued in Europe or Asia)
• Foreign Bonds– long-term bonds issued by firms and governments outside of
the issuer’s country, usually denominated in the currency of the country in which they are issued
• Brady Bonds and Sovereign Bonds– a bond that is swapped for an outstanding loan to a lesser
developed country, sovereign bonds carry the creditworthiness of the lesser developed country
• Eurobonds– long-term bonds issued and sold outside the country of the
currency in which they are denominated (e.g., dollar-denominated bonds issued in Europe or Asia)
• Foreign Bonds– long-term bonds issued by firms and governments outside of
the issuer’s country, usually denominated in the currency of the country in which they are issued
• Brady Bonds and Sovereign Bonds– a bond that is swapped for an outstanding loan to a lesser
developed country, sovereign bonds carry the creditworthiness of the lesser developed country