copyright ©2004 pearson education, inc. all rights reserved. chapter 2 planning with personal...
TRANSCRIPT
Copyright ©2004 Pearson Education, Inc. All rights reserved.
Chapter 2
Planning with Personal Financial Statements
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Chapter Objectives
• Explain how to create your personal cash flow statement
• Identify the factors that affect your cash flows
• Show how to create a budget based on your forecasted cash flows
• Describe how to create your personal balance sheet
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Chapter Objectives
• Explain how your net cash flows
are related to your personal balance
sheet (and therefore affect your wealth)
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Personal Cash Flow Statement
• Personal cash flow statement: a financial statement that measures a person’s cash inflows and outflows
• Cash inflows include salaries, interest, dividends
• Cash outflows include all expenses, both large and small
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Personal Cash Flow Statement
• Create a statement by recording your revenues and expenses over a period of time
• Net cash flows: cash inflows minus cash outflows
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Personal Cash Flow Statement
Cash Inflows
Last MonthActual
Disposable income $2,500Interest on deposits $0Dividend payments $0Total Cash Inflows $2,500
Cash Outflows
Rent $600Cable TV $50Electricity & water $60Telephone $60Groceries $300Health ins & expenses $130Clothing $100Car expenses $200Recreation $600Total Cash Outflows $2,100Net Cash Flows $400
Exhibit 2.1: Personal Cash Flow Statement for Stephanie Spratt
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Factors That Affect Cash Flow
• Factors affecting cash inflows:– Stage in your career path
• Closely related to your stage in the life cycle — college, career, retirement
– Type of job• Based on skill level and demand for those skills
– Number of income earners in your household
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Factors That Affect Cash Flow
• Factors affecting cash outflows:– Size of family
– Age
– Personal consumption behavior
• Some people spend all of their income and more while others spend mainly on necessities and concentrate on saving for the future
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Creating a Budget
• Budget: a cash flow statement that is based on forecasted cash flows for a future time period
• Budgets are useful for anticipating either cash surpluses or cash deficiencies
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Creating a Budget
Cash Inflows
Last MonthActual
This MonthExpected
Disposable income $2,500 $2,500Interest on deposits $0 $0Dividend payments $0 $0Total Cash Inflows $2,500 $2,500
Cash Outflows
Rent $600 $600Cable TV $50 $50Electricity & water $60 $60Telephone $60 $60Groceries $300 $300Health ins & expenses $130 $430Clothing $100 $100Car expenses $200 $500Recreation $600 $600Total Cash Outflows $2,100 $2,700Net Cash Flows $400 ($200)
Exhibit 2.3: Stephanie Spratt’s Revised Personal Cash Flow Statement
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Creating a Budget
• Anticipating cash shortages– Small shortages can usually be made up from
your checking account
– Budgets provide warning of shortages so that you can prepare for them
• Assessing the accuracy of the budget– Compare predicted cash flows to actual cash flows
– Adjustment may be necessary
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Creating a Budget
Disposable income $2,500 $2,500 $2,500 $0Interest on deposits $0 $0 $0 $0Dividend payments $0 $0 $0 $0Total Cash Inflows $2,500 $2,500 $2,500 $0
Cash Outflows
Rent $600 $600 $600 $0Cable TV $50 $50 $50 $0Electricity & water $60 $60 $60 $0Telephone $60 $60 $60 $0Groceries $300 $300 $280 $20Health ins & expenses $130 $430 $430 $0Clothing $100 $100 $170 ($70)Car expenses $200 $500 $500 $0Recreation $600 $600 $650 ($50)Total Cash Outflows $2,100 $2,700 $2,800 ($100)Net Cash Flows $400 ($200) ($300) ($100)
Exhibit 2.5: Comparison of Stephanie Spratt’s Budgeted and Actual Cash Flow for This Month
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Creating a Budget
• Forecast net cash flows over several months
– Use the information for a typical month and adjust it for unusual expenses such as seasonal shopping
– Allow for some unexpected expenses like medical care, car and home maintenance
• Create an annual budget by extending your budget out for longer periods
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Creating a Budget
Cash Inflows
Last MonthActual
This MonthExpected
This Month Actual
ForecastingError
TypicalMonth
This YrsCash Flow(typical x 12)
Disposable income $2,500 $2,500 $2,500 $0 $2,500 $30,000Interest on deposits $0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0Dividend payments $0 $0 $0 $0 $0 $0Total Cash Inflows $2,500 $2,500 $2,500 $0 $2,500 $30,000
Cash Outflows
Rent $600 $600 $600 $0 $600 $7,200Cable TV $50 $50 $50 $0 $50 $600Electricity & water $60 $60 $60 $0 $60 $720Telephone $60 $60 $60 $0 $60 $720Groceries $300 $300 $280 $20 $300 $3,600Health ins & expenses $130 $430 $430 $0 $130 $1,560Clothing $100 $100 $170 ($70) $100 $1,200Car expenses $200 $500 $500 $0 $200 $2,400Recreation $600 $600 $650 ($50) $600 $7,200Total Cash Outflows $2,100 $2,700 $2,800 ($100) $2,100 $25,200Net Cash Flows $400 ($200) ($300) $100 $400 $4,800
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Creating a Budget
• Improve the budget– Periodically review the budget to see if you
are progressing toward your goals
– Look for areas that can be changed to improve the budget over time
• Focus on ethics– Don’t become overly dependent on others
– Create a budget and stay within it
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Financial Planning Online:Budgeting Tips
• Go to: http://dallasfed.org/htm/wealth/index.html
• Click on: Budget to Save
• This Web site provides tips on effective budgeting based on your goals.
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Personal Balance Sheet
• Personal balance sheet: a summary of your assets (what you own), your liabilities (what you owe), and your net worth (assets minus liabilities)
• A balance sheet reflects your financial position at a specific point in time
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Personal Balance Sheet
• Assets– Liquid assets are financial assets that can
be easily sold without a loss in value
– Household assets are items normally owned by a household, such as a home, a car, and furniture
• You need to establish market values for these assets — the amount you would receive if you sold the asset today
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Personal Balance Sheet
– Investments• Bonds: certificates issued by borrower,
usually firms and government agencies, to raise funds
• Stocks: certificates representing partial ownership in a firm
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Personal Balance Sheet
• Mutual funds: investment companies that sell shares and invest the proceeds in investment instruments
• Real estate: holdings in rental property and land
• Rental property: housing or commercial property that is rented out to others
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Personal Balance Sheet
• Liabilities– Current liabilities: debts that will be paid
within a year
– Long-term liabilities: debts that will be paid over a period longer than one year
• Net worth is the difference between the value of your assets and the value of your liabilities
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Personal Balance Sheet
• Creating a personal balance sheet
– Allows you to determine your net worth
– Update it periodically to monitor changes in your net worth over time
Personal Balance SheetPresent Situation
Assets Liquid Assets
Cash 500Checking Acct 3500Savings Acct 0Total liquid assets 4000
Household AssetsHome 0Car 1000Furniture 1000Total household assets 2000
Investment AssetsStocks 3000Total investment assets 3000Total Assets 9000
Liabilities and Net Worth Current Liabilities
Credit card balance 2000Total current liabilities 2000
Long-Term LiabilitiesMortgage 0Car loan 0Total long-term liabilities 0Total Liabilities 2000Net Worth 7000
Exhibit 2.7: Stephanie’s Spratt’s Personal Balance Sheet
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Personal Balance Sheet
• Changes in the personal balance sheet– Some changes will affect both your
personal balance sheet and your net worth
– Other changes will affect you personal balance sheet and leave your net worth unchanged
• Consider the previous personal balance sheet with the purchase of a new car…
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Financial Planning Online:The Impact of Reduced Spending• Go to:
http://www.financenter.com/products/sellingtools/calculators/budget
• Click on: “What’s it worth to reduce my spending?”
• This Web site provides an estimate of the savings you can accumulate by reducing spending.
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Personal Balance SheetPresent Situation With New Car
Assets Liquid Assets
Cash 500 500Checking Acct 3500 500Savings Acct 0 0Total liquid assets 4000 1000
Household AssetsHome 0 0Car 1000 20000Furniture 1000 1000Total household assets 2000 21000
Investment AssetsStocks 3000 3000Total investment assets 3000 3000Total Assets 9000 25000
Liabilities and Net Worth Current Liabilities
Credit card balance 2000 2000Total current liabilities 2000 2000
Long-Term LiabilitiesMortgage 0 0Car loan 0 16000Total long-term liabilities 0 16000Total Liabilities 2000 18000Net Worth 7000 7000
Exhibit 2.8: Stephanie’s Personal Balance Sheet If She Purchases a New Car
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Personal Balance Sheet
• Analysis of the personal balance sheet– Allows monitoring of liquidity, debt, and
ability to save
– Liquidity is measured by the liquidity ratio
Liquidity ratio = Liquid assets/Current liabilities
From personal balance sheet on previous slide
4,000/2,000 = 2
Higher result = greater liquidity
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Personal Balance Sheet
– Debt level is measured by debt-to-asset ratio
• Debt-to-Asset Ratio = Total liabilities/total assets
• From personal balance sheet on previous slide
• 2,000/9,000 = 22.22%
• Higher ratio = higher debt relative to assets
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Personal Balance Sheet
– Savings rate measures savings over the period in comparison to disposable income over the period
Savings rate = Savings during the period
Disposable income during the period
From personal balance sheet on previous slide
$400/$2,500 = 16%
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Relationship Between Cash Flows and Wealth• Wealth is built by using net cash flows to
invest in assets without increasing liabilities
• Net cash flows can be used to decrease liabilities which will increase net worth
• Net worth can change even if net cash flows are zero; for example, the value of an asset or investment increases or decreases
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Financial Planning Online:Budgeting Advice• Go to:
http://www.financenter.com/products/sellingtools/calculators/budget
• Click on “How much am I spending?”
• This Web site provides a means for comparing your actual budget versus your desired budget and shows how you could improve your budget.
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Relationship Between Cash Flows and Wealth
Exhibit 2.9: How Net Cash Flows Can Be Used to Increase Net Worth
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How Budgeting Fits within Your Financial Plan
• The key budgeting decisions for building your financial plan are:– How can I improve my net cash flows
in the near future?
– How can I improve my net cash flows in the distant future?
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Integrating Key Concepts
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Integrating Key Concepts
• Part 1: Financial Planning Tools– In Chapter 2 we learned about personal financial statements
– Chapter 3 teaches time value of money
– Chapter 4 teaches tax planning
• Part 2: Liquidity Management
• Part 3: Financing
• Part 4: Protecting Your Wealth
• Part 5: Investing
• Part 6: Retirement and Estate Planning