conversion 2017 - guido jansen (euroflorist)

88
How Euroflorist is preparing for AI: Changes to our optimization strategies. euroflorist.com

Upload: emerce

Post on 21-Apr-2017

46 views

Category:

Data & Analytics


0 download

TRANSCRIPT

Page 1: Conversion 2017 - Guido Jansen (Euroflorist)

How Euroflorist is preparing for AI:Changes to our optimization strategies.

euroflorist.com

Page 2: Conversion 2017 - Guido Jansen (Euroflorist)

How can we make the next step?

Page 3: Conversion 2017 - Guido Jansen (Euroflorist)

How can we maximize output(in terms of learnings and conversion uplift)

with fixed resources?

Page 4: Conversion 2017 - Guido Jansen (Euroflorist)
Page 5: Conversion 2017 - Guido Jansen (Euroflorist)

CRO is hard!

Page 6: Conversion 2017 - Guido Jansen (Euroflorist)

Optimizing for“the average user”

Who is (s)he anyway?

Page 7: Conversion 2017 - Guido Jansen (Euroflorist)

Need more resources!(but who doesn’t…?)

Page 8: Conversion 2017 - Guido Jansen (Euroflorist)

Too many variables impacting conversion!● Customer persona’s

● Countries

● Budgets

● Customer history

● Regulations

● Colors

● Flower seasons

● Product types

● Holiday peaks

● Time of day/week

● Purchasing power

● Culture

● Devices

● Social media platforms

● Acquisition channels

● Symbols

● Step in Customer Journey

● Tech adoption level

● Accessoires

● Multi-channel funnels

● Etiquette

● Consumer vs Corporate

● Platform

● Different payment systems

● Brand awareness/perception

● Different meaning of flowers

● Logistic situation

● Aesthetics

● Traditions

● Social context

● Weather

● Competition campaigns

● Consumer state-of-mind

● ...

Page 9: Conversion 2017 - Guido Jansen (Euroflorist)

And to make it even worse...

Page 10: Conversion 2017 - Guido Jansen (Euroflorist)

These variables keep changing

all the ffing time!

Page 11: Conversion 2017 - Guido Jansen (Euroflorist)
Page 12: Conversion 2017 - Guido Jansen (Euroflorist)

Let’s take a step back...

Page 13: Conversion 2017 - Guido Jansen (Euroflorist)

Why does Euroflorist exist?

Page 14: Conversion 2017 - Guido Jansen (Euroflorist)

We help people to make others

happy, noticed or remembered

Page 15: Conversion 2017 - Guido Jansen (Euroflorist)

Who are we?

Page 16: Conversion 2017 - Guido Jansen (Euroflorist)

Who is Euroflorist?

● We sell flowers & others gifts

● We’ve been doing this since 1947

● We do B2C & B2B, online and offline

● We are a Swedish company

● Our Dutch office is located in Amsterdam

Page 17: Conversion 2017 - Guido Jansen (Euroflorist)

Euroflorist in numbers (1/2)

● > 21 years in e-commerce● > 60% revenue from online● > 200 employees: 50% in CS, 35

working in online● > 2M bouquets sent every year● 19 sites in 11 countries and 8 languages

Page 18: Conversion 2017 - Guido Jansen (Euroflorist)

Euroflorist in numbers (2/2)

● 10M+ users on our sites in 2017● Sites with up to 20% conversion rate● Market share ranging from 5-45%● 8+ score on Trustpilot, NPS > 50● Growing revenue, teams and taking

market share

Page 19: Conversion 2017 - Guido Jansen (Euroflorist)

Guido Jansen

● Chief Psychology Officer @ Euroflorist

● UX/CX Team Lead

● Full Customer Journey optimization

[email protected] | @guido

Page 20: Conversion 2017 - Guido Jansen (Euroflorist)

What are we doing now (with CRO)?

Page 21: Conversion 2017 - Guido Jansen (Euroflorist)

Customer journey teams

● Branding/Marketing

● Traffic

● Landing pages

● PDP

● Product

● Checkout

● Post-order experience

● Delivery

● Customer Support

● E-mail / Retention

1 Business owner + 1 UX/CX team member

Page 22: Conversion 2017 - Guido Jansen (Euroflorist)
Page 23: Conversion 2017 - Guido Jansen (Euroflorist)

Live Testing

Complete/Analysis

Finished report

Design

Development

Q&A

Pending approval

Approved

“Act” phase:

Idea

Hypotheses

Full testing plan

Page 24: Conversion 2017 - Guido Jansen (Euroflorist)
Page 25: Conversion 2017 - Guido Jansen (Euroflorist)
Page 26: Conversion 2017 - Guido Jansen (Euroflorist)

How can we make the next step?

Page 27: Conversion 2017 - Guido Jansen (Euroflorist)

How are others doing this?

Page 28: Conversion 2017 - Guido Jansen (Euroflorist)

“[Booking.com’s] utilization of A/B testing … drives higher conversion across it’s entire platform, resulting in conversion levels 2-3x the industry average”

Source: Evercore Equity Research

Page 29: Conversion 2017 - Guido Jansen (Euroflorist)

Sadly, when you test more, the % of tests with an uplift will go down.

Page 30: Conversion 2017 - Guido Jansen (Euroflorist)

When A/B testing a fully optimized site, the % of tests with an uplift is low(er).

Page 31: Conversion 2017 - Guido Jansen (Euroflorist)

Euroflorist: 1 in 5 tests with uplift

Booking.com: 1 in 10 tests with uplift

Booking.com Source: Stuart Frisby, Booking.com - Conversions@Google 2017

Page 32: Conversion 2017 - Guido Jansen (Euroflorist)

How to get more tests with an uplift?

Page 33: Conversion 2017 - Guido Jansen (Euroflorist)

Euroflorist: 10-20 concurrent test

Booking.com: 1000 concurrent tests

Booking.com Source: Stuart Frisby, Booking.com - Conversions@Google 2017

Page 34: Conversion 2017 - Guido Jansen (Euroflorist)

Euroflorist: 1 optimization team

Booking.com: 75 product teams

Booking.com Source: Stuart Frisby, Booking.com - Conversions@Google 2017

Page 35: Conversion 2017 - Guido Jansen (Euroflorist)

Of course, we are not Booking.com...

Page 36: Conversion 2017 - Guido Jansen (Euroflorist)

...but we do know a thing (or 2) about experiments...

Page 37: Conversion 2017 - Guido Jansen (Euroflorist)

...so let’s experiment on the way we experiment!

Page 38: Conversion 2017 - Guido Jansen (Euroflorist)

Let’s start looking for a solution...

Page 39: Conversion 2017 - Guido Jansen (Euroflorist)

Evolutionary AI?Tell me more!

Page 40: Conversion 2017 - Guido Jansen (Euroflorist)
Page 41: Conversion 2017 - Guido Jansen (Euroflorist)

Possible applications

Page 42: Conversion 2017 - Guido Jansen (Euroflorist)

Different applications of AI in E-commerce

● Catalog optimization

● Personalization

● RTB / Advertising

● Chatbots

● Virtual personal shopper

● Improved optimization process

● ...

Page 43: Conversion 2017 - Guido Jansen (Euroflorist)

We tried AI catalog optimization

Page 44: Conversion 2017 - Guido Jansen (Euroflorist)

Previous experience:

● “Black box”

● No (perceived) control for E-commerce managers

● No proven uplift in CR

● Hard to do for (emotional) consumers buying for

someone else?

Page 45: Conversion 2017 - Guido Jansen (Euroflorist)

How could AI help the optimization process?

● Increase conversion?

● Speed up the optimization cycle?

● Give you better insights?

● More tests with same team capacity?

● ...

Page 46: Conversion 2017 - Guido Jansen (Euroflorist)

Sentient

Page 47: Conversion 2017 - Guido Jansen (Euroflorist)

Sentient Ascend

Tooling:

Implementation partner:

Page 48: Conversion 2017 - Guido Jansen (Euroflorist)

$143Min total funding

9 YEARSplatform & technology development

35 PATENTSsubmitted to date; 11 patents issued

100+ EMPLOYEESHQ in San Francisco with offices in San Jose and Hong Kong

Founded by the team that developed the core technology behind Siri

Page 49: Conversion 2017 - Guido Jansen (Euroflorist)

Sentient Ascend

DEEP LEARNING BAYESIAN

EVOLUTIONARY ALGORITHMS NEUROEVOLUTION

Page 50: Conversion 2017 - Guido Jansen (Euroflorist)

Tested in multiple industries

FINANCE HEALTH CARE

INSURANCE

CYBERSECURITY

AGRICULTURE

Page 51: Conversion 2017 - Guido Jansen (Euroflorist)

But does it work for E-commerce…?

Page 52: Conversion 2017 - Guido Jansen (Euroflorist)

The promise...

MORE CAPABLE• Test your entire funnel in a

single experiment

ADAPTIVE• Evolves with your audience• Always-on optimization

GREATER IMPACT• More tests = better results• Focus on marketing, not test

administration

FASTER AND MORE EFFICIENT• Tests dozens of ideas• Test 1,000,000s of

combinations• Get to results faster

TIME-SAVING• Fully automated• Eliminates tedious test

administration• Handles the data science

Page 53: Conversion 2017 - Guido Jansen (Euroflorist)

“Massive MVT + evolution”

Page 54: Conversion 2017 - Guido Jansen (Euroflorist)

Massive MVT

Page 55: Conversion 2017 - Guido Jansen (Euroflorist)

Evolution: A Proven Efficient Design System

Page 56: Conversion 2017 - Guido Jansen (Euroflorist)

Evolutionary Algorithms: AI Based on Natural Selection

FITNESSWhat makes one candidate (website, trading strategy, animal) more viable than another?

COMBINATIONBy combining successful candidates, you can achieve greater fitness, and also prune out bad attributes.

MUTATIONAn element of randomness helps discover new successful combinations and ensures you find the best solution—not just a good one.

Page 57: Conversion 2017 - Guido Jansen (Euroflorist)

How the “evolution” part works...

+ 0 - + - + 0 + +

Page 58: Conversion 2017 - Guido Jansen (Euroflorist)

How the “evolution” part works...

+ 0 - + - + 0 + +

Page 59: Conversion 2017 - Guido Jansen (Euroflorist)

How the “evolution” part works...

Page 60: Conversion 2017 - Guido Jansen (Euroflorist)

How the “evolution” part works...

Page 61: Conversion 2017 - Guido Jansen (Euroflorist)

How the “evolution” part works...

Page 62: Conversion 2017 - Guido Jansen (Euroflorist)

How the “evolution” part works...

Page 63: Conversion 2017 - Guido Jansen (Euroflorist)

Always-on continuous optimization

Page 64: Conversion 2017 - Guido Jansen (Euroflorist)

Multipage Funnel Optimization

Home PDP Cart

Page 65: Conversion 2017 - Guido Jansen (Euroflorist)

Current brands experimenting with Sentient.ai ßeta

Page 66: Conversion 2017 - Guido Jansen (Euroflorist)

Sentient E-commerce ßeta @ Euroflorist

Page 67: Conversion 2017 - Guido Jansen (Euroflorist)

Countries selected for trial

The Netherlands

Norway Sweden

Page 68: Conversion 2017 - Guido Jansen (Euroflorist)

Workshop: Jan 19th

Page 69: Conversion 2017 - Guido Jansen (Euroflorist)

Variants based on researchStill set a strong hypothesis

Garbage in, Garbage out

Page 70: Conversion 2017 - Guido Jansen (Euroflorist)

8 elements on PDP, 2 variants each

● Header - less content

● Image position - left to right

● Add progress bar - feed forward

● Social sentence (under CTA, Hobson’s choice +1)

● Product info - full width / less prominent

● Price partitioning

● USP Bar content - different content

● USP Bar position - to the top

Page 71: Conversion 2017 - Guido Jansen (Euroflorist)

28 = 256 variants

Page 72: Conversion 2017 - Guido Jansen (Euroflorist)

(1st) baseline active: end of Feb

Page 73: Conversion 2017 - Guido Jansen (Euroflorist)

Live: March 20th

Page 74: Conversion 2017 - Guido Jansen (Euroflorist)

Test still ongoing...

Page 75: Conversion 2017 - Guido Jansen (Euroflorist)

Current status NL: 1st gen. | 3,3%./17,2% lift

Page 76: Conversion 2017 - Guido Jansen (Euroflorist)

Current status SE: 2nd gen. | 2,9%./7,0% lift

Page 77: Conversion 2017 - Guido Jansen (Euroflorist)

Current status NO: 2nd gen. | 4,7%./12,9% lift

Page 78: Conversion 2017 - Guido Jansen (Euroflorist)

Final thoughts

Page 79: Conversion 2017 - Guido Jansen (Euroflorist)

Regular A/B/MvT testing

Pro:

● More control

● Stricter hypothesis testing

● ...

Con:

● Slow

● Less variants

● Needs a lot of traffic

● Limited test capacity

● ...

Page 80: Conversion 2017 - Guido Jansen (Euroflorist)

Testing with AI

Pro:

● “Time per tested variant” much shorter

● End up with “uncommon” variation (that somehow convert better)

● Requires less traffic● Higher profit● ...

Con:

● More extensive setup process● Black box (?)● Don’t know exactly how fast

generations will follow...● Garbage in, Garbage out● ...

Page 81: Conversion 2017 - Guido Jansen (Euroflorist)

“I just followed instructions”

Page 82: Conversion 2017 - Guido Jansen (Euroflorist)
Page 83: Conversion 2017 - Guido Jansen (Euroflorist)
Page 84: Conversion 2017 - Guido Jansen (Euroflorist)

Will Sentient deliver on their promise...?

MORE CAPABLE• Test your entire funnel in a

single experiment

ADAPTIVE• Evolves with your audience• Always-on optimization

GREATER IMPACT• More tests = better results• Focus on marketing, not test

administration

FASTER AND MORE EFFICIENT• Tests dozens of ideas• Test 1,000,000s of

combinations• Get to results faster

TIME-SAVING• Fully automated• Eliminates tedious test

administration• Handles the data science

Page 85: Conversion 2017 - Guido Jansen (Euroflorist)

Presentation of results

● Meet Magento 2017 - May 10th, Utrecht

● Growth Marketing Conference - May 12th Amsterdam

● Elite Camp 2017 - Tallinn, Estonia

Or follow me @guido

Page 86: Conversion 2017 - Guido Jansen (Euroflorist)

Will this make the CRO team obsolete?

Page 87: Conversion 2017 - Guido Jansen (Euroflorist)

We’re hiring!

Optimization team:

● Web Analysts● UX designers● Growth hackers● Interns● AI/CKI background● (Cognitive/Behavioral) Psychologists

Other online:

● SEA Specialist● Marketing & communications

specialist● CRM specialist● Social Media Manager● Interns● ...

Are you smart & curious? Looking for a growing international company where you can experiment & learn a lot? Join Euroflorist!

euroflorist.com

Page 88: Conversion 2017 - Guido Jansen (Euroflorist)

THX!

[email protected]@guido