consultation on emerging drr needs in changing context of myanmar: global and regional context...
TRANSCRIPT
Consultation on
Emerging DRR Needs in Changing Context of Myanmar: Global and Regional Context
Source: AHTF
Sudhir [email protected]
Asian Disaster Preparedness Center
Yangon, Myanmar, 2nd April 2012
Outline of today’s talk
• Changing DRR landscape in ASEAN
region and linkages with Myanmar
• Post-2015 Framework for DRR at
Global level
• Increased economic activity vis-à-vis
disaster risks
• Climate Change: re-configuring
disaster risks
Outline of today’s talk
• Changing DRR landscape in ASEAN
region and linkages with Myanmar
• Post-2015 Framework for DRR at
Global level
• Increased economic activity vis-à-vis
disaster risks
• Climate Change: re-configuring
disaster risks
Key recent DRR developments in ASEAN Region •AADMER (ASEAN Agreement on Disaster Management and Emergency Response) has been ratified and enforced since 2009• SASOP (SOP for Regional Standby
Arrangements and Coordination of Joint Disaster Relief and Emergency Response Operations) a Guide for regional disaster response
• ADDMER Work Program 2010-2015 – Regional Framework on Disaster Managements, which outlines prioritized actions & interventions
• Establishment of the the ASEAN Humanitarian Assistance [AHA] Center in Jakarta to function as regional hub to facilitate coordination and cooperation on disaster management among among ASEAN members
DRR Landscape in ASEAN Region
• Increased regional cooperation on Disaster Risk Management especially on disaster response among ASEAN members
• Myanmar (& other members) to fulfill its commitments and support operationalizing of AADMER• Policy and administrative procedures realigned
Ex Deployment of resources and assistance such as ex. Response team, relief items, equipment, etc.
• Institutional Strengthening Ex Setting up National Focal Point
• Capacity Building of officials and others
• APG (ASEAN Partnership Group) of NGOs formed to supplement country’s effort for implementation of AADMER
Likely implications
Outline of today’s talk
• Changing DRR landscape in ASEAN
region and linkages with Myanmar
• Post-2015 Framework for DRR at
Global level
• Increased economy activity vis-à-vis
disaster risks
• Climate Change: re-configuring
disaster risks
• Hyogo Framework for Action (HFA) 2005- 2015: the Framework for DRR has been endorsed by 168 countries including Myanmar
• Myanmar Action Plan on DRR’s Priorities (Components) also linked with the HFA Priorities and AADMDER Articles
• Post-2015 Framework discussion initiated
2005-2015 DRR Framework
Five HFA Priorities:1.Making disaster risk reduction a priority.2.Improving risk information and early warning.3.Building a culture of safety and resilience.4.Reducing the risks in key sectors.5.Strengthening preparedness for response.
• Key trends are as follows:
Implication: Towards Post-2015 DRR Framework (draft)
• Exposure to disaster risk is increasing & rapid urbanization a key driver
• All countries are vulnerable• Risk is accumulating as economies grow. • Few countries systematically account for
disaster losses• Disaster risk management in development
planning• Growing recognition about government’s
responsibility for effective DRR policy planning and implementation through a transparent and multi-stakeholder approach
• Culture of DRR based on joint ownership between local and central government and risk-prone communities
• Develop tools on how good practice is achieved
• Future DRR interventions including in
Myanmar is likely to be informed of these trends
Outline of today’s talk
• Changing DRR landscape in ASEAN
region and linkages with Myanmar
• Post-2015 Framework for DRR at
Global level
• Increased economic activity vis-à-vis
disaster risks
• Climate Change: re-configuring
disaster risks
• New openings, Inflow of Investment & economic aid
• Mega-projects including infrastructure projects
• GDP focused growth• Windfall incomes may be used financing
investment in infrastructure development, social and productive sectors
• Rich natural resource can lead to ‘resource curse’
• Implication : DRR inclusive development planning and implementation in all sectors
Increased economic activities
Dominican RepublicHaiti
Outline of today’s talk
• Changing DRR landscape in ASEAN
region and linkages with Myanmar
• Post-2015 Framework for DRR at
Global level
• Increased economic activity vis-à-vis
disaster risks
• Climate Change: re-configuring
disaster risks
y = -0.5905x + 145.55
90
100
110
120
130
140
150
160
170
1955
1956
1957
1958
1959
1960
1961
1962
1963
1964
1965
1966
1967
1968
1969
1970
1971
1972
1973
1974
1975
1976
1977
1978
1979
1980
1981
1982
1983
1984
1985
1986
1987
1988
1989
1990
1991
1992
1993
1994
1995
1996
1997
1998
1999
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
years
Dur
atio
n(da
ys)
Nothern to Southen Mean Linear (Nothern to Southen)
Duration of Monsoon since Onset in Northern till Withdrawl from Southern Myanmar Areas(1955-2008)
1977
(1977)113
(1979)102
130
(2004)100
• Climate change is re-configuring the disaster risks and manifest as extremes event. Ex The 2010 Floods of Pakistan
• The hazards are viewed beyond ‘natural’ as processes climate change and other factors shape and configure hazards, which mean it is becoming increasingly difficult to disentangle their natural and human attributes.
• In Myanmar, the rainfall duration has significantly reduced in over last 5 decades
• It is also posing sever threat to to sectors such as agricultural, health, etc
Climate change and disaster risks
Implication : Climate inclusive Disaster risk reduction
Today’s talk Covered
• Changing DRR landscape in ASEAN
region and linkages with Myanmar
• Post-2015 Framework for DRR at
Global level
• Increased economic activity vis-à-vis
disaster risks
• Climate Change: re-configuring
disaster risks
Thank you