configuration of hydro power plant mathematical models
TRANSCRIPT
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Configuration of Hydro Power Plant Mathematical Models
Michael Barry, Moritz Schillinger, Hannes Weigt, René Schumann
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HP-Future• HPisimportantinCH
– Approx.56%ofSwissEnergycomesfromHP
– TheEnergyStrategy2050expectsanincreaseinHPproducDon
èInvestmentsareneeded
– BUT:• Averagepricetoproduceelectricpower5rp.perkWh• Priceleveltosellelectricpower3rpperkWh
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Watchingoutoftheoffice…
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Whereistheproblem?
• HPiswellestablishedtechnology• OperaDonPlanningiswellestablishedinHP
• Whyrevisitproblem?– LessDme– Largerproblem– Smallermarginoferror– Modelmaintenance/extension
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CurrentMethods
• StaDc• Inflexible• DomainSpecific• Highmaintenancecost• Barelyadaptableforforcurrentmarket
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Modularapproach
• CreatethespecificmodelatrunDme
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ConfiguraDon
• Howtocombinethemodules?– Tocreateavalidmodelwehavetoconsideranumberofconstraints.
• ConfiguraDonbecomesanissue– Canbedonebyahuman– Canbeautomated
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InteracDveConfiguraDon
• Turnon/offmodules• CheckValidity
• Createsthemodel• StartCPLEX
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AutomaDcConfiguraDon
• ConfigureamodeltowardsdifferentobjecDves,e.g.– RunDme– Resultquality
• Searchforbe]ercombinaDonofalternaDveextensions(extendingscenariobasedmanualevaluaDons)
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Proof-of-concept
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Proof-of-concept
• 5different(faked)markets• Themoremodules(markets)included,themorecomplexistheproblem
• FindaParetofront(RunDme/Scale)• UsingaSPEA2
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Futurework
• ExpandmathemaDcalmodel– Applytorealworldproblemsincasestudies– Competewithindustrystandards– AddiDonaltechnical/environmentalconstraints– MoreSophisDcatedmarketmodels
• Expandinterface• AutomaDcconfiguraDon• MulD-SiteoperaDons• ModelmodernizaDon
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Acknowledgement
• ThisprojectispartoftheresearchprojectTheFutureofSwissHydropower:AnIntegratedEconomicAssessmentofChances,ThreatsandSoluDons
• Thisprojectisdoneinco-operaDonwith