comres published voting intention figures · comres published voting intention figures the...
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ComRes Published Voting Intention Figures
The Independent Independent on Sunday/ Sunday Mirror The Independent Independent on Sunday/
Sunday Mirror The Independent The Independent
17th December 15th December 26th November 17th November 29th October 29th October Conservative 32% 29% 32% 29% 28% 28%
Labour 37% 36% 37% 35% 36% 36% Liberal Democrat 9% 8% 9% 10% 11% 11%
UKIP 10% 18% 11% 17% 12% 12% Other 12% 9% 11% 9% 13% 13%
METHODOLOGY NOTE ComRes interviewed 1,003 British adults by telephone between 13th and 15th December 2013. Data were weighted to be representative of all GB adults. Data were also weighted by past vote recall. ComRes is a member of the British Polling Council and abides by its rules. To commission a voting intention poll or a public opinion survey please contact Katharine Peacock: [email protected]
To register for Pollwatch, a monthly newsletter update on the polls, please email: [email protected]
RegionSocial GradeAgeGenderWales
&NorthEng-Scot-SouthEng-Mid-Southland &landWestlandlandsEastWalesDEC2C1AB65+55-6445-5435-4425-3418-24FemaleMaleTotal
87139247261269916298137194374274210195125156435264771003Unweighted base
841482472662579192262102952732101491681931631215154881003Weighted base
11413858732104833766473303045404113109221Conservative14%28%15%22%28%23%21%16%26%24%35%20%18%23%25%3%22%22%22%
221666464317157375247464040402359599193Labour26%11%27%17%17%19%25%18%18%17%22%27%24%21%14%4%18%20%19%
829303434126182747421827203324138252134Liberal Democrat9%20%12%13%13%14%8%13%16%15%8%18%12%17%14%11%16%11%13%
9131113165320111317181510459233861Other10%9%4%5%6%6%9%5%4%6%9%10%6%2%3%7%5%8%6%
203869816225061905860281949515073136134270Did not vote24%26%28%31%24%27%27%43%20%22%13%13%29%27%30%60%26%27%27%
1031321104786311277881017332457Don't remember11%2%5%8%4%5%4%3%10%4%3%5%5%4%6%14%6%5%6%
492112196214517302011111212-343266Refused5%6%9%5%8%7%6%2%6%11%10%7%7%6%7%-7%7%7%
Page 1
Opinion PollCATI Fieldwork : 13th - 15th December
Absolutes/col percentsTable 1Q.1 Thinking back to the General Election in 2010, which party if any did you vote for?Base: All respondents
Prepared by ComRes
Voted in 2010 GeneralQ.3/4/5 Voting Intention (including Squeeze & DK/Refuse atElectionQ.4)
LiberalDK/Demo-Conser-RefusePlaidLibConser
cratLabourvativeat Q4OtherBNPCymruSNPGreenUKIPDemLabourvativeTotal
1162402152012747163579652832151003Unweighted base
1341932212242236183869632542211003Weighted base
--22112*---12246172221Conservative--100%5%2%---1%33%7%2%78%22%
-193-162*-25441504193Labour-100%-7%8%18%-11%13%5%7%59%2%19%
134--125--216945384134Liberal Democrat100%--5%24%--14%43%13%72%15%2%13%
---58246519-2461Other---2%34%57%64%32%13%28%-1%2%6%
---110212151154027270Did not vote---49%11%25%36%5%13%15%8%16%12%27%
---214--741314457Don't remember---9%16%--39%10%1%4%5%2%6%
---491---2315666Refused---22%6%---6%5%1%2%3%7%
Page 2
Opinion PollCATI Fieldwork : 13th - 15th December
Absolutes/col percentsTable 1Q.1 Thinking back to the General Election in 2010, which party if any did you vote for?Base: All respondents
Prepared by ComRes
Q.5 Generally speaking, do you think of yourself as...?Conser
Don't knowRefusedOtherBNPGreenUKIPPlaid CymruSNPLib Dem-vativeLabourTotal
1758939827-1118822333231003Unweighted base
1958536627-821892382991003Weighted base
2262-1---417610221Conservative11%8%5%-4%---5%74%4%22%
73512-*1123160193Labour4%3%14%16%6%-5%5%14%1%53%19%
193419---60731134Liberal Democrat10%3%11%17%35%---67%3%10%13%
2011115-5613961Other10%1%31%9%18%-61%28%1%1%3%6%
90311046-37103576270Did not vote46%36%28%58%22%-34%32%11%15%26%27%
2632-3--715957Don't remember14%4%6%-10%--33%1%2%3%6%
10382-1--119366Refused5%45%6%-5%--3%1%4%1%7%
Page 3
Opinion PollCATI Fieldwork : 13th - 15th December
Absolutes/col percentsTable 1Q.1 Thinking back to the General Election in 2010, which party if any did you vote for?Base: All respondents
Prepared by ComRes
Region SummaryRegionScot-Eng-Scot-West Mid-East-East Mid-Yorks &
WaleslandlandlandNorth WestlandsWalesSouth WestLondonSouth EasternlandsHumb.North EastTotal
508786687113945089129140927584501003Unweighted base
528486784115925296126131967887451003Weighted base
11111991113181130353822181411221Conservative21%14%23%14%11%19%21%31%27%29%23%23%16%25%22%
1122161223422115271612111914193Labour20%26%19%26%29%24%20%5%22%12%13%15%22%30%19%
4812381514425142014695134Liberal Democrat8%9%14%9%13%15%8%26%11%15%15%8%11%12%13%
794694576610446161Other14%10%5%10%3%5%14%6%4%8%5%5%7%2%6%
1620234203323162231303127296270Did not vote30%24%27%24%29%25%30%23%25%23%33%35%33%14%27%
-10471055-3556104457Don't remember-11%5%11%4%5%-3%4%4%6%13%4%9%6%
4458411645811527366Refused7%5%7%5%10%6%7%5%6%9%6%2%8%7%7%
Page 4
Opinion PollCATI Fieldwork : 13th - 15th December
Absolutes/col percentsTable 1Q.1 Thinking back to the General Election in 2010, which party if any did you vote for?Base: All respondents
Prepared by ComRes
RegionSocial GradeAgeGenderWales
&NorthEng-Scot-SouthEng-Mid-Southland &landWestlandlandsEastWalesDEC2C1AB65+55-6445-5435-4425-3418-24FemaleMaleTotal
87139247261269916298137194374274210195125156435264771003Unweighted base
841482472662579192262102952732101491681931631215154881003Weighted base
48811321311544981119716817014896761157139281265546Absolutely certain (10)57%55%53%49%60%54%49%46%57%62%71%64%45%59%44%33%54%54%54%to vote
1-1091433551596474104112335(9)1%-4%3%6%4%2%2%5%3%3%3%4%2%6%4%2%5%3%
1816191962171117188121112136283563(8)1%6%6%7%7%7%8%5%6%6%4%8%7%6%8%5%5%7%6%
11020141055121315166514111010302555(7)1%7%8%5%4%6%5%6%5%6%3%3%8%6%6%9%6%5%6%
43210620925752923318624(6)5%2%1%4%2%2%4%1%2%3%3%1%5%1%2%2%4%1%2%
81312241160201717148111412185472269(5)10%9%5%9%4%7%9%8%6%5%4%8%8%6%11%4%9%4%7%
-1815163724-*4-297916(4)-1%3%1%2%2%1%4%1%1%-*2%-1%8%1%2%2%
26139331621964235117141832(3)2%4%5%3%1%3%2%1%7%2%2%1%2%3%7%5%3%4%3%
1248115644342-3438816(2)2%1%2%3%*2%2%2%1%1%2%1%-2%2%3%2%2%2%
1824294032125345231261713302821346776143Certain not to vote (1)21%16%12%15%12%14%15%25%11%10%8%9%18%15%13%28%13%16%14%
--1-121--111-1--212Refused--1%-**1%--***-*--***
--*1231-2*11--1-3-3Don't know--**1%**-1%*1%1%--1%-1%-*
7.077.287.547.218.017.547.226.607.768.138.468.287.087.697.085.727.527.477.50Mean
3.773.493.293.433.153.343.413.793.233.002.912.913.413.393.363.763.303.463.38Standard deviation
0.400.300.210.210.190.110.200.320.230.160.180.200.240.300.270.570.140.160.11Standard error
Page 5
Opinion PollCATI Fieldwork : 13th - 15th December
Absolutes/col percentsTable 2Q.2 If there were a General Election tomorrow, how likely would you be to vote?Base: All respondents
Prepared by ComRes
Voted in 2010 GeneralQ.3/4/5 Voting Intention (including Squeeze & DK/Refuse atElectionQ.4)
LiberalDK/Demo-Conser-RefusePlaidLibConser
cratLabourvativeat Q4OtherBNPCymruSNPGreenUKIPDemLabourvativeTotal
1162402152012747163579652832151003Unweighted base
1341932212242236183869632542211003Weighted base
8213015681141517224844175160546Absolutely certain (10)61%67%70%36%62%54%80%94%58%70%71%69%73%54%to vote
109104-1--*15161035(9)8%5%5%2%-21%--1%1%7%6%4%3%
982311----483142463(8)7%4%10%5%----12%11%5%6%11%6%
11137102-1-65521855(7)8%7%3%5%10%-20%-15%7%7%8%4%6%
25481--111110424(6)1%3%2%3%3%--6%1%2%1%4%2%2%
10991751--565171569(5)7%5%4%8%24%25%--13%9%8%7%7%7%
11-1---------16(4)1%1%-*---------2%
27510---------32(3)1%3%2%5%---------3%
1414---------16(2)1%2%1%2%---------2%
77876---------143Certain not to vote (1)5%4%3%34%---------14%
---1---------2Refused---*---------*
-*-1---------3Don't know-*-*---------*
8.488.578.885.648.358.539.409.788.609.059.169.089.227.50Mean
2.512.542.233.942.242.631.320.951.851.641.561.591.483.38Standard deviation
0.230.160.150.280.431.310.500.240.310.180.190.090.100.11Standard error
Page 6
Opinion PollCATI Fieldwork : 13th - 15th December
Absolutes/col percentsTable 2Q.2 If there were a General Election tomorrow, how likely would you be to vote?Base: All respondents
Prepared by ComRes
Q.5 Generally speaking, do you think of yourself as...?Conser
Don't knowRefusedOtherBNPGreenUKIPPlaid CymruSNPLib Dem-vativeLabourTotal
1758939827-1118822333231003Unweighted base
1958536627-821892382991003Weighted base
644414213-71456164170546Absolutely certain (10)33%52%39%33%50%-77%63%63%69%57%54%to vote
3211---1891035(9)2%3%3%9%---3%10%4%3%3%
1253-1---3251363(8)6%6%9%-5%---4%11%4%6%
11811--1-462355(7)6%9%2%15%--14%-4%3%8%6%
721-1--113724(6)4%2%2%-2%--5%2%1%2%2%
2073-*---10161369(5)10%8%8%-1%---11%7%4%7%
2-11------1216(4)1%-4%13%------4%2%
1123-3---13932(3)6%3%9%-13%---1%1%3%3%
5-1-1--113416(2)3%-3%-4%--7%1%1%1%2%
5913827-154935143Certain not to vote (1)30%16%21%30%26%-9%23%5%4%12%14%
-1--------22Refused-1%--------1%*
11--------13Don't know1%1%--------**
5.657.446.245.996.25-8.787.228.498.767.717.50Mean
3.783.383.754.114.12-2.814.052.562.353.243.38Standard deviation
0.290.360.601.450.79-0.850.950.280.150.180.11Standard error
Page 7
Opinion PollCATI Fieldwork : 13th - 15th December
Absolutes/col percentsTable 2Q.2 If there were a General Election tomorrow, how likely would you be to vote?Base: All respondents
Prepared by ComRes
Region SummaryRegionScot-Eng-Scot-West Mid-East-East Mid-Yorks &
WaleslandlandlandNorth WestlandsWalesSouth WestLondonSouth EasternlandsHumb.North EastTotal
508786687113945089129140927584501003Unweighted base
528486784115925296126131967887451003Weighted base
31484674857443150817352354331546Absolutely certain (10)59%57%54%57%50%48%59%52%64%55%54%45%50%70%54%to vote
-133177--68113-35(9)-1%4%1%6%7%--5%6%1%2%3%-3%
315913636515677663(8)5%1%7%1%2%7%5%6%4%11%6%9%8%13%6%
415119647544510155(7)7%1%6%1%8%6%7%7%4%3%4%7%11%3%6%
-420411-342271-24(6)-5%2%5%1%1%-3%3%1%2%9%1%-2%
5855851058561047169(5)10%10%6%10%4%11%10%8%4%5%11%6%8%1%7%
--16-7--114111-16(4)--2%-6%--1%1%3%1%1%1%-2%
12302931521342132(3)2%2%3%2%8%3%2%5%2%*3%5%3%3%3%
-115114-21-311216(2)-2%2%2%1%4%-2%1%-3%1%1%6%2%
91811618151391513191512132143Certain not to vote (1)17%21%13%21%13%14%17%15%11%14%16%15%14%4%14%
--2-1---1-----2Refused--*-1%---1%-----*
--3-----2--1-*3Don't know--*-----1%--1%-1%*
7.547.077.547.077.257.287.547.158.227.827.257.077.428.547.50Mean
3.463.773.333.773.423.403.463.513.073.233.523.393.292.793.38Standard deviation
0.490.400.110.400.330.350.490.370.270.270.370.390.360.400.11Standard error
Page 8
Opinion PollCATI Fieldwork : 13th - 15th December
Absolutes/col percentsTable 2Q.2 If there were a General Election tomorrow, how likely would you be to vote?Base: All respondents
Prepared by ComRes
RegionSocial GradeAgeGenderWales
&NorthEng-Scot-SouthEng-Mid-Southland &landWestlandlandsEastWalesDEC2C1AB65+55-6445-5435-4425-3418-24FemaleMaleTotal
701162042112277582461011573242421841609911825441387828Unweighted base
6311519120721372717514523723318213013115512568415376791Weighted base
103143466017934356059522527463089791188Conservative15%27%22%22%28%25%20%24%25%25%28%19%21%29%24%12%23%24%24%
14238156542135653595948414248408112115228Labour23%20%42%27%25%29%32%37%25%25%26%32%32%31%32%12%27%31%29%
7951912451391317149101262302252Lib Dem11%8%3%9%6%6%7%6%5%7%8%7%7%7%5%2%7%6%7%
-16823206719171813211910962323567UKIP-13%4%11%9%9%11%12%7%6%12%14%8%6%5%3%8%9%8%
1210514327413917638925833Green2%2%5%3%7%4%4%3%5%4%1%5%4%2%6%14%6%2%4%
17-----121053432*541317SNP27%-----1%1%4%2%1%3%2%2%*7%1%3%2%
-5---52--3111-*2235Plaid Cymru-4%---1%1%--1%*1%1%-*3%1%1%1%
--*11211--11----112BNP--****1%1%--1%1%----***
2545216532863322381018Other3%4%2%2%1%2%3%2%1%3%3%2%2%1%2%4%2%3%2%
310121215481141422135811105242751Refused4%9%6%6%7%7%6%3%6%10%7%4%6%7%8%7%6%7%6%
915294136121261848382216222422248050130Don't know14%13%15%20%17%17%15%12%20%16%12%13%17%15%17%35%19%13%16%
Page 9
Opinion PollCATI Fieldwork : 13th - 15th December
Absolutes/col percentsTable 3Q.3 If there was a General Election tomorrow, would you vote Conservative, Labour, Liberal Democrat or some other party?Base: All respondents saying 5-10 likely to vote
Prepared by ComRes
Voted in 2010 GeneralQ.3/4/5 Voting Intention (including Squeeze & DK/Refuse atElectionQ.4)
LiberalDK/Demo-Conser-RefusePlaidLibConser
cratLabourvativeat Q4OtherBNPCymruSNPGreenUKIPDemLabourvativeTotal
107222202135274716357965283215828Unweighted base
124175208131223618386963254221791Weighted base
24155---------188188Conservative2%2%75%---------85%24%
331396--------228-228Labour26%80%3%--------90%-29%
3844-------52--52Lib Dem31%2%2%-------83%--7%
8422------67---67UKIP6%2%11%------97%---8%
164------33----33Green13%2%------88%----4%
22-----17-----17SNP2%1%-----95%-----2%
------5------5Plaid Cymru------88%------1%
-*---2-------2BNP-*---75%-------*
32--18--------18Other2%1%--81%--------2%
-1147----1-*2451Refused-1%*36%----4%-1%1%2%6%
23162084411132102429130Don't know18%9%10%64%19%25%12%5%9%3%17%10%13%16%
Page 10
Opinion PollCATI Fieldwork : 13th - 15th December
Absolutes/col percentsTable 3Q.3 If there was a General Election tomorrow, would you vote Conservative, Labour, Liberal Democrat or some other party?Base: All respondents saying 5-10 likely to vote
Prepared by ComRes
Q.5 Generally speaking, do you think of yourself as...?Conser
Don't knowRefusedOtherBNPGreenUKIPPlaid CymruSNPLib Dem-vativeLabourTotal
1177227419-101475217275828Unweighted base
1186823415-81583223237791Weighted base
852-1-1-61598188Conservative6%7%9%-6%-11%-7%71%3%24%
113323-*1113193228Labour9%4%13%54%17%-5%4%13%1%81%29%
7-------395152Lib Dem6%-------47%2%*7%
3324-----319567UKIP28%4%19%-----4%8%2%8%
-11110---103733Green-1%6%30%67%---12%1%3%4%
4------12--217SNP3%------80%--1%2%
--1---5----5Plaid Cymru--2%---60%----1%
1--1------*2BNP1%--16%------**
318---*221118Other3%1%36%---6%10%3%**2%
242--1-1-*5151Refused2%62%--6%-8%-1%2%1%6%
50143-1-11123019130Don't know42%21%15%-4%-10%6%14%13%8%16%
Page 11
Opinion PollCATI Fieldwork : 13th - 15th December
Absolutes/col percentsTable 3Q.3 If there was a General Election tomorrow, would you vote Conservative, Labour, Liberal Democrat or some other party?Base: All respondents saying 5-10 likely to vote
Prepared by ComRes
Region SummaryRegionScot-Eng-Scot-West Mid-East-East Mid-Yorks &
WaleslandlandlandNorth WestlandsWalesSouth WestLondonSouth EasternlandsHumb.North EastTotal
4270716709079427410512273596945828Unweighted base
4263685638273427310610774607139791Weighted base
910170101618922302918101611188Conservative21%15%25%15%20%24%21%30%29%27%24%17%22%28%24%
10142031439231013332114192715228Labour24%23%30%23%48%31%24%17%31%20%19%31%38%38%29%
17447441857951-52Lib Dem2%11%6%11%5%6%2%11%5%6%13%9%1%-7%
6-61-486105151232367UKIP14%-9%-4%11%14%13%5%14%16%6%2%7%8%
-132142-2953-6*33Green-2%5%2%4%3%-3%8%5%4%-9%1%4%
-17-17----------17SNP-27%-27%----------2%
5-----5-------5Plaid Cymru12%-----12%-------1%
--2-*---1-1---2BNP--*-1%---1%-1%---*
421221241-2133-18Other9%3%2%3%2%2%9%1%-2%1%4%4%-2%
33453473778326151Refused7%4%7%4%5%10%7%10%7%8%4%3%8%4%6%
5911699951116201418118130Don't know11%14%17%14%12%13%11%14%15%19%19%30%15%22%16%
Page 12
Opinion PollCATI Fieldwork : 13th - 15th December
Absolutes/col percentsTable 3Q.3 If there was a General Election tomorrow, would you vote Conservative, Labour, Liberal Democrat or some other party?Base: All respondents saying 5-10 likely to vote
Prepared by ComRes
RegionSocial GradeAgeGenderWales
&NorthEng-Scot-SouthEng-Mid-Southland &landWestlandlandsEastWalesDEC2C1AB65+55-6445-5435-4425-3418-24FemaleMaleTotal
324888931013301015174136855869527028199163362Unweighted base
335896111953608786120100634067727081204189393Weighted base
2431362664810634392161228Conservative7%6%4%11%7%7%7%5%6%10%10%8%6%4%13%2%8%6%7%
4619181860211021137788727362864Labour11%10%20%16%19%17%24%11%17%13%11%17%12%12%10%33%18%15%16%
-1614125-151116128312Lib Dem-1%6%1%4%3%6%-1%5%1%3%1%8%1%2%4%2%3%
14353154391624-5-61016UKIP2%8%3%5%3%4%4%3%7%1%9%5%5%-7%-3%5%4%
1255415146641433261116Green4%3%5%4%4%4%1%5%5%6%6%1%5%4%4%3%3%6%4%
22---213---3*---134SNP6%3%---*1%3%---8%1%---*2%1%
-1---11--11-1---111Plaid Cymru-3%---*1%--1%1%-1%---***
--2216-113-11-4-156BNP--2%2%1%2%-1%1%3%-3%2%-5%-*3%2%
1286520572821477-61622Other4%3%8%5%5%6%6%8%2%8%3%3%6%9%10%-3%8%6%
21017151860131118191581210115273462Refused6%17%18%13%19%17%16%12%15%19%24%20%19%14%16%6%13%18%16%
1927334735143304554342212283423439567162Don't know60%47%34%43%37%40%34%52%45%34%35%31%41%48%33%53%47%35%41%
Page 13
Opinion PollCATI Fieldwork : 13th - 15th December
Absolutes/col percentsTable 4Q.4 If it were a legal requirement for you to vote, which party do you think you would probably vote for Conservative, Labour, Liberal Democrator some other party?Base: All respondents saying 1-4 DK Ref for likely to vote or who say DK/Ref at Q3
Prepared by ComRes
Voted in 2010 GeneralQ.3/4/5 Voting Intention (including Squeeze & DK/Refuse atElectionQ.4)
LiberalDK/Demo-Conser-RefusePlaidLibConser
cratLabourvativeat Q4OtherBNPCymruSNPGreenUKIPDemLabourvativeTotal
274040201511163112834362Unweighted base
333634224411152112632393Weighted base
1-12---------1128Conservative4%-35%---------33%7%
6161--------19-64Labour18%45%2%--------71%-16%
41--------7--12Lib Dem13%2%--------64%--3%
116------2---16UKIP4%3%19%------100%---4%
211-----5----16Green7%4%3%-----100%----4%
2------1-----4SNP7%------100%-----1%
------1------1Plaid Cymru------100%------*
-----1-------6BNP-----100%-------2%
412-4--------22Other12%2%7%-100%--------6%
---62------*-262Refused---28%------4%-6%16%
121612162------3820162Don't know35%44%34%72%------32%29%61%41%
Page 14
Opinion PollCATI Fieldwork : 13th - 15th December
Absolutes/col percentsTable 4Q.4 If it were a legal requirement for you to vote, which party do you think you would probably vote for Conservative, Labour, Liberal Democrator some other party?Base: All respondents saying 1-4 DK Ref for likely to vote or who say DK/Ref at Q3
Prepared by ComRes
Q.5 Generally speaking, do you think of yourself as...?Conser
Don't knowRefusedOtherBNPGreenUKIPPlaid CymruSNPLib Dem-vativeLabourTotal
1027816410-35175375362Unweighted base
1297417313-27184982393Weighted base
7-2-----118128Conservative5%-9%-----3%37%1%7%
711-1---6-4864Labour6%1%5%-7%---31%-59%16%
22------61112Lib Dem2%3%------33%1%1%3%
1011-----13116UKIP8%1%8%-----4%5%1%4%
-22-6--113216Green-3%10%-48%--20%3%5%2%4%
1---2--1---4SNP1%---13%--17%---1%
------1----1Plaid Cymru------69%----*
11-3------16BNP1%1%-100%------2%2%
727-----12322Other5%3%39%-----4%5%4%6%
5521---1-*2-62Refused4%71%6%---31%-3%4%-16%
89134-4--432125162Don't know69%17%24%-32%--63%19%42%30%41%
Page 15
Opinion PollCATI Fieldwork : 13th - 15th December
Absolutes/col percentsTable 4Q.4 If it were a legal requirement for you to vote, which party do you think you would probably vote for Conservative, Labour, Liberal Democrator some other party?Base: All respondents saying 1-4 DK Ref for likely to vote or who say DK/Ref at Q3
Prepared by ComRes
Region SummaryRegionScot-Eng-Scot-West Mid-East-East Mid-Yorks &
WaleslandlandlandNorth WestlandsWalesSouth WestLondonSouth EasternlandsHumb.North EastTotal
16323143239291632485332323514362Unweighted base
17333433347351741435238383316393Weighted base
12242151243252-28Conservative9%7%7%7%3%14%9%5%8%5%6%14%6%-7%
2458414923513622364Labour14%11%17%11%30%26%14%8%12%24%16%6%7%17%16%
--12-3--122-13112Lib Dem--3%-6%--2%5%4%-2%8%4%3%
-1151-1-421311116UKIP-2%4%2%-2%-11%5%2%9%3%4%8%4%
-115141-221221-16Green-4%4%4%9%2%-4%6%2%6%5%2%-4%
-222---2------4SNP-6%*6%---4%------1%
1-----1-------1Plaid Cymru9%-----9%-------*
--6--1---11-2*6BNP--2%--3%---3%3%-5%3%2%
111912111-55-3222Other5%4%6%4%4%2%5%2%-10%13%-10%16%6%
325729837108337162Refused18%6%17%6%19%24%18%17%23%16%8%8%20%9%16%
8191351914981918171523127162Don't know47%60%39%60%29%27%47%48%41%34%38%62%37%43%41%
Page 16
Opinion PollCATI Fieldwork : 13th - 15th December
Absolutes/col percentsTable 4Q.4 If it were a legal requirement for you to vote, which party do you think you would probably vote for Conservative, Labour, Liberal Democrator some other party?Base: All respondents saying 1-4 DK Ref for likely to vote or who say DK/Ref at Q3
Prepared by ComRes
RegionSocial GradeAgeGenderWales
&NorthEng-Scot-SouthEng-Mid-Southland &landWestlandlandsEastWalesDEC2C1AB65+55-6445-5435-4425-3418-24FemaleMaleTotal
87139247261269916298137194374274210195125156435264771003Unweighted base
841482472662579192262102952732101491681931631215154881003Weighted base
163698767328386667374615151584336152147299Labour19%24%40%29%29%31%38%31%25%27%29%34%30%30%26%30%30%30%30%
14384070762244846727175363141459129109238Conservative16%25%16%26%30%24%21%22%25%26%36%24%18%21%28%8%25%22%24%
712162430821816292718151125811533689Lib Dem8%8%7%9%12%9%8%8%10%10%9%10%7%13%5%9%10%7%9%
21-----361122544*531821SNP25%-----1%3%4%1%1%3%3%2%*4%1%4%2%
-8---831-5221-12458Plaid Cymru-6%---1%1%*-2%1%1%1%-1%2%1%1%1%
-------------------UKIP-------------------
-3978277398253377161027Green-2%3%3%3%3%3%1%3%3%1%3%2%1%5%6%3%2%3%
--411611-5-3--4-246BNP--2%1%*1%**-2%-2%--2%-*1%1%
2713773457816648973102636Other3%5%5%3%3%4%2%3%3%6%3%3%5%4%4%3%2%5%4%
413252220801816262412101818207404485Refused5%9%10%8%8%9%8%8%9%9%6%7%11%9%12%5%8%9%8%
19334259421763849674231194036284010789195Don't know23%22%17%22%16%19%17%23%23%15%15%13%24%19%17%34%21%18%19%
Page 29
Opinion PollCATI Fieldwork : 13th - 15th December
Absolutes/col percentsTable 8Q.5 Generally speaking, do you think of yourself as...?Base: All respondents
Prepared by ComRes
Voted in 2010 GeneralQ.3/4/5 Voting Intention (including Squeeze & DK/Refuse atElectionQ.4)
LiberalDK/Demo-Conser-RefusePlaidLibConser
cratLabourvativeat Q4OtherBNPCymruSNPGreenUKIPDemLabourvativeTotal
1162402152012747163579652832151003Unweighted base
1341932212242236183869632542211003Weighted base
3116010253*-29522098299Labour23%83%5%11%12%18%-8%23%7%3%82%4%30%
73176231---41953191238Conservative5%1%79%10%5%---11%28%8%1%87%24%
6012442---1034615689Lib Dem45%6%2%2%11%---28%4%74%6%3%9%
-1-42--13---1-21SNP-1%-2%7%--72%---*-2%
-*-1*-5----*18Plaid Cymru-*-*2%-91%----**1%
--------------UKIP--------------
9214----11--4127Green7%1%*2%----29%--1%*3%
11---1--1--2-6BNP1%1%---21%--3%--1%-1%
45258-1-16-3236Other3%3%1%2%37%-9%-4%8%-1%1%4%
3366511--1223685Refused2%2%3%29%3%25%--3%3%3%1%3%8%
197229451-4-348158195Don't know14%4%10%42%23%36%-20%-49%13%6%3%19%
Page 30
Opinion PollCATI Fieldwork : 13th - 15th December
Absolutes/col percentsTable 8Q.5 Generally speaking, do you think of yourself as...?Base: All respondents
Prepared by ComRes
Q.5 Generally speaking, do you think of yourself as...?Conser
Don't knowRefusedOtherBNPGreenUKIPPlaid CymruSNPLib Dem-vativeLabourTotal
1758939827-1118822333231003Unweighted base
1958536627-821892382991003Weighted base
----------299299Labour----------100%30%
-2-------238-238Conservative-3%-------100%-24%
--------89--89Lib Dem--------100%--9%
-------21---21SNP-------100%---2%
------8----8Plaid Cymru------100%----1%
------------UKIP------------
----27------27Green----100%------3%
---6-------6BNP---100%-------1%
--36--------36Other--100%--------4%
-85-------2-85Refused-100%-------1%-8%
195----------195Don't know100%----------19%
Page 31
Opinion PollCATI Fieldwork : 13th - 15th December
Absolutes/col percentsTable 8Q.5 Generally speaking, do you think of yourself as...?Base: All respondents
Prepared by ComRes
Region SummaryRegionScot-Eng-Scot-West Mid-East-East Mid-Yorks &
WaleslandlandlandNorth WestlandsWalesSouth WestLondonSouth EasternlandsHumb.North EastTotal
508786687113945089129140927584501003Unweighted base
528486784115925296126131967887451003Weighted base
15162681652331521363719243214299Labour29%19%31%19%45%36%29%21%29%28%20%31%37%32%30%
1014214141723102735412919158238Conservative20%16%25%16%15%25%20%28%28%31%30%24%17%18%24%
27807810210228955489Lib Dem3%8%9%8%7%11%3%10%17%6%9%6%5%9%9%
-21-21----------21SNP-25%-25%----------2%
8-----8-------8Plaid Cymru16%-----16%-------1%
---------------UKIP---------------
--27-31-3626-4227Green--3%-3%1%-3%5%1%7%-5%3%3%
--6-11--1--13*6BNP--1%-1%1%--*--1%3%1%1%
52292415125347336Other10%3%3%3%3%1%10%1%2%4%3%5%8%6%4%
2478412122111195510485Refused5%5%9%5%10%13%5%11%9%7%5%7%11%8%8%
919168191914924133025201310195Don't know16%23%19%23%17%15%16%25%10%23%26%26%14%22%19%
Page 32
Opinion PollCATI Fieldwork : 13th - 15th December
Absolutes/col percentsTable 8Q.5 Generally speaking, do you think of yourself as...?Base: All respondents
Prepared by ComRes
Page 45
Opinion PollCATI Fieldwork : 13th - 15th December
Absolutes/col percentsTable 12Q.3/4/5 Voting Intention (including Squeeze & DK/Refuse at Q.4) - Weighted to Turnout values (Q2)Base: All respondents expressing a voting intention and saying 5-10 likely to vote
Prepared by ComRes
RegionSocial GradeAgeGenderWales
&NorthEng-Scot-SouthEng-Mid-Southland &landWestlandlandsEastWalesDEC2C1AB65+55-6445-5435-4425-3418-24FemaleMaleTotal
6396181197194668224931322822161661438610119382349731Unweighted base
54861551671695771411181821901551081011269446322309631Weighted base
12304255651914033646759262945351010796204Conservative23%35%27%33%39%33%29%28%35%35%38%24%29%36%37%21%33%31%32%
152280595521655536360494243483613112119231Labour27%26%51%35%33%37%39%45%34%32%31%39%43%38%38%29%35%38%37%
69101813511581520151081663322557Lib Dem11%11%6%11%8%9%10%7%8%11%9%9%8%13%6%6%10%8%9%
-1492119621716181121168872313162UKIP-16%6%12%11%11%12%13%10%6%14%15%8%6%7%5%10%10%10%
1297143263121215558824932Green1%2%6%4%8%5%4%2%6%6%1%5%5%4%9%18%7%3%5%
18-----121053532*541318SNP33%-----1%2%5%2%2%4%3%2%1%10%1%4%3%
-6---62--4112-*2336Plaid Cymru-6%---1%1%--2%*1%2%-*5%1%1%1%
--*11211-*11--*-122BNP--*1%**1%1%-*1%1%--*-*1%*
23562165221052432371119Other4%4%3%3%1%3%3%2%1%5%3%2%3%2%2%6%2%4%3%
Voted in 2010 GeneralQ.3/4/5 Voting Intention (including Squeeze & DK/Refuse atElectionQ.4)
LiberalDK/Demo-Conser-RefusePlaidLibConser
cratLabourvativeat Q4OtherBNPCymruSNPGreenUKIPDemLabourvativeTotal
10521919938274716357965283215731Unweighted base
10915819330192618326257231204631Weighted base
4416119--------204204Conservative4%2%84%65%--------100%32%
3513967-------231-231Labour32%88%3%22%-------100%-37%
42444------57--57Lib Dem38%3%2%13%------100%--9%
7322------62---62UKIP6%2%11%------100%---10%
144*-----32----32Green13%3%*-----100%----5%
22-----18-----18SNP2%1%-----100%-----3%
------6------6Plaid Cymru------100%------1%
-*---2-------2BNP-*---100%-------*
51*-19--------19Other4%1%*-100%--------3%
Page 46
Opinion PollCATI Fieldwork : 13th - 15th December
Absolutes/col percentsTable 12Q.3/4/5 Voting Intention (including Squeeze & DK/Refuse at Q.4) - Weighted to Turnout values (Q2)Base: All respondents expressing a voting intention and saying 5-10 likely to vote
Prepared by ComRes
Q.5 Generally speaking, do you think of yourself as...?Conser
Don't knowRefusedOtherBNPGreenUKIPPlaid CymruSNPLib Dem-vativeLabourTotal
801624419-91475217275731Unweighted base
631418315-71575206217631Weighted base
762-1-1-61768204Conservative11%42%9%-5%-13%-7%85%4%32%
113324-*1143192231Labour17%21%15%51%24%-6%3%18%1%88%37%
71------435257Lib Dem10%9%------58%2%1%9%
3125-----218462UKIP49%14%28%-----3%9%2%10%
-11110---94732Green-6%4%33%70%---12%2%3%5%
4------13--218SNP6%------86%--1%3%
--1---5----6Plaid Cymru--3%---75%----1%
1*-1------*2BNP2%2%-16%------**
418---*221319Other6%4%41%---6%10%2%*1%3%
Page 47
Opinion PollCATI Fieldwork : 13th - 15th December
Absolutes/col percentsTable 12Q.3/4/5 Voting Intention (including Squeeze & DK/Refuse at Q.4) - Weighted to Turnout values (Q2)Base: All respondents expressing a voting intention and saying 5-10 likely to vote
Prepared by ComRes
Region SummaryRegionScot-Eng-Scot-West Mid-East-East Mid-Yorks &
WaleslandlandlandNorth WestlandsWalesSouth WestLondonSouth EasternlandsHumb.North EastTotal
366363263807436609010469546041731Unweighted base
33545445468603353858463455532631Weighted base
912182121620921323319161610204Conservative27%23%34%23%24%34%27%40%38%39%30%35%28%30%32%
915207153826912332215182616231Labour29%27%38%27%57%44%29%24%39%26%24%39%47%48%37%
165065419581052357Lib Dem2%11%9%11%8%6%2%16%6%9%16%11%4%8%9%
5-57-36595141142462UKIP17%-10%-4%10%17%16%6%16%18%9%3%13%10%
-132131-295516*32Green-1%6%1%4%2%-3%10%6%8%2%12%1%5%
-18-18----------18SNP-33%-33%----------3%
6-----6-------6Plaid Cymru17%-----17%-------1%
--2-**--1-1---2BNP--*-1%1%--1%-2%---*
32142223*-2224-19Other9%4%2%4%2%3%9%1%-3%4%4%6%-3%
Page 48
Opinion PollCATI Fieldwork : 13th - 15th December
Absolutes/col percentsTable 12Q.3/4/5 Voting Intention (including Squeeze & DK/Refuse at Q.4) - Weighted to Turnout values (Q2)Base: All respondents expressing a voting intention and saying 5-10 likely to vote
Prepared by ComRes
RegionSocial GradeAgeGenderWales
&NorthEng-Scot-SouthEng-Mid-Southland &landWestlandlandsEastWalesDEC2C1AB65+55-6445-5435-4425-3418-24FemaleMaleTotal
87139247261269916298137194374274210195125156435264771003Unweighted base
841482472662579192262102952732101491681931631215154881003Weighted base
71824293810921214529221753523145362116Reducing the Government8%12%10%11%15%12%9%10%15%11%11%12%3%18%14%11%10%13%12%deficit
184463775223659697056372844535538150104254Ensuring wages rise21%29%26%29%20%26%26%33%24%21%18%19%26%28%34%31%29%21%25%faster than prices
34571031001193808275116140875782756249204209413Ensuring the British40%38%42%38%46%41%37%36%39%51%41%38%49%39%38%41%40%43%41%economy continues to
grow
2124434638151553451335240272016168884172Keeping inflation down25%16%18%17%15%16%24%16%17%12%25%27%16%11%10%13%17%17%17%
45457225697947-4291726Other5%3%2%2%3%2%2%3%3%2%4%3%4%-3%1%2%4%3%
11983214649322932111122Don't know2%*4%3%1%2%2%3%1%3%1%2%1%5%2%2%2%2%2%
Page 53
Opinion PollCATI Fieldwork : 13th - 15th December
Absolutes/col percentsTable 16Q.6 Which one of these do you think should be the most important priority for the British Government over the next five years?Base: All respondents
Prepared by ComRes
Voted in 2010 GeneralQ.3/4/5 Voting Intention (including Squeeze & DK/Refuse atElectionQ.4)
LiberalDK/Demo-Conser-RefusePlaidLibConser
cratLabourvativeat Q4OtherBNPCymruSNPGreenUKIPDemLabourvativeTotal
1162402152012747163579652832151003Unweighted base
1341932212242236183869632542211003Weighted base
191141252--241011943116Reducing the Government14%6%18%11%11%--11%11%15%17%4%20%12%deficit
2663276451231116118328254Ensuring wages rise19%33%12%29%21%54%36%16%30%23%17%32%13%25%faster than prices
67711148310139182528101114413Ensuring the British50%36%51%37%45%46%51%49%48%37%45%40%52%41%economy continues to
grow
194435354-14415125129172Keeping inflation down14%23%16%16%16%-13%24%10%22%20%20%13%17%
13481---*2-6226Other1%1%2%4%3%---1%3%-2%1%3%
23181----1*5422Don't know2%1%*4%5%----1%1%2%2%2%
Page 54
Opinion PollCATI Fieldwork : 13th - 15th December
Absolutes/col percentsTable 16Q.6 Which one of these do you think should be the most important priority for the British Government over the next five years?Base: All respondents
Prepared by ComRes
Q.5 Generally speaking, do you think of yourself as...?Conser
Don't knowRefusedOtherBNPGreenUKIPPlaid CymruSNPLib Dem-vativeLabourTotal
1758939827-1118822333231003Unweighted base
1958536627-821892382991003Weighted base
19131-6-11124618116Reducing the Government10%15%4%-22%-8%4%13%19%6%12%deficit
54221537-37162999254Ensuring wages rise28%26%41%54%25%-34%30%18%12%33%25%faster than prices
63311328-2846122120413Ensuring the British32%36%36%33%31%-29%37%52%51%40%41%economy continues to
grow
4611513-25153352172Keeping inflation down24%13%15%13%12%-29%22%17%14%17%17%
762-*--1-5626Other3%7%5%-1%--7%-2%2%3%
73--2---*5522Don't know4%4%--9%---*2%2%2%
Page 55
Opinion PollCATI Fieldwork : 13th - 15th December
Absolutes/col percentsTable 16Q.6 Which one of these do you think should be the most important priority for the British Government over the next five years?Base: All respondents
Prepared by ComRes
Region SummaryRegionScot-Eng-Scot-West Mid-East-East Mid-Yorks &
WaleslandlandlandNorth WestlandsWalesSouth WestLondonSouth EasternlandsHumb.North EastTotal
508786687113945089129140927584501003Unweighted base
528486784115925296126131967887451003Weighted base
371057912315191989105116Reducing the Government7%8%12%8%8%13%7%15%15%14%9%11%12%10%12%deficit
23182141830292321282421262112254Ensuring wages rise44%21%25%21%26%32%44%22%22%18%22%33%24%27%25%faster than prices
20343603444332037596039284415413Ensuring the British39%40%42%40%38%36%39%38%47%46%41%36%50%34%41%economy continues to
grow
521146212112519162221131012172Keeping inflation down10%25%17%25%18%13%10%20%13%17%22%17%12%26%17%
*421431*444311126Other1%5%2%5%2%1%1%5%3%3%3%1%1%2%3%
-121194-1-3311-22Don't know-2%2%2%8%4%-1%-2%3%1%1%-2%
Page 56
Opinion PollCATI Fieldwork : 13th - 15th December
Absolutes/col percentsTable 16Q.6 Which one of these do you think should be the most important priority for the British Government over the next five years?Base: All respondents
Prepared by ComRes
Unweighted Total
Weighted Total
Unweighted base 1,003 1,003 Weighted base 1,003 1,003 Conservative 201 221 20% 22% Labour 225 193 22% 19% Liberal Democrat 114 134 11% 13% Other 70 61 7% 6% Did not vote 270 270 27% 27% Don't remember 57 57 6% 6% Refused 66 66 7% 7%
Opinion Poll CATI Fieldwork : 13th - 15th December 2013
Weighting table Q.1 Thinking back to the General Election in 2010, which party if any did you vote for? Base: All respondents
Prepared by ComRes