ComputationalEarthquake Physics:Simulations, Analysis and Infrastructure, Part II

2007 Birkhäuser VerlagBasel · Boston · Berlin

Edited byXiang-chu YinPeter MoraAndrea DonnellanMitsuhiro Matsu’ura

Reprint from Pure and Applied Geophysics(PAGEOPH), Volume 163 (2006) No. 11–12

Editors

Xiang-chu YinInstitute of Earthquake ScienceChinese Earthquake AdministrationBeijing 10036China

e-mail: xcyin@public.bta.net.cn

Andrea DonnellanJet Propulsion Laboratory4800 Oak GroveDrive-Mail Stop 183-335Pasadena, CA 91109USA

e-mail: andrea.donnellan@jpl.nasa.gov

Library of Congress Control Number: 2006935063

Bibliographic information published by Die Deutsche Bibliothek:Die Deutsche Bibliothek lists this publication in the Deutsche Nationalbibliographie; detailed bibliographic data is available in the internet at <http://dnb.ddb.de>

This work is subject to copyright. All rights are reserved, whether the whole or part of the material is concerned, specifically the rights of translation, reprinting, re-use of illustrations, recitation, broadcasting, reproduction on microfilms or in other ways, and storage in data banks. For any kind of use, permission of the copyright owner must be obtained.

ISBN 3-7643-8130-2 Birkhäuser Verlag, Basel – Boston – Berlin

© 2007 Birkhäuser Verlag, P.O.Box 133, CH-4010 Basel, SwitzerlandPart of Springer Science+Business MediaPrinted on acid-free paper produced from chlorine-free pulp Printed in Germany

ISBN 10: 3-7643-8130-2 e-ISBN-3-7643-8131-8ISBN 13: 978-3-7643-8130-1

9 8 7 6 5 4 3 2 1

Peter MoraEarth Systems Science Computational CentreThe University of QueenslandBrisbane, 4072 QldAustraliae-mail: director@esscc.uq.edu.au

Mitsuhiro Matsu’uraDept. of Earth and Planetary ScienceThe University of Tokyo7-3-1 HongoBunkyo-KuTokyo 113-0033Japane-mail: matsuura@eps.s.u-tokyo.ac.jp

Contents

2259 Computational Earthquake Physics, PART II: Introduction X. C. Yin, P. Mora, A. Donnellan, M. Matsu'ura

lld'i QuakeSim and the Solid Earth Research Virtual Observatory A. Donnellan, J. Rundle, G. Fox, D. McLeod, L. Grant, T. Tullis, M. Pierce, J. Parker, G. Lyzenga, R. Granat, M. Glasscoe

2281 iSERVO: Implementing the International Sohd Earth Research Virtual Observatory by Integrating Computational Grid and Geographical Information Web Services M. Aktas, G. Ay din, A. Donnellan, G. Fox, R. Granat, L. Grant, G. Lyzenga, D. McLeod, S. Pallickara, J. Parker, M. Pierce, J. Rundle, A. Sayar, T. Tullis

2297 Construction of an Intraplate Fault System Model of South Australia, and Simulation Tool for the iSERVO Institute Seed Project H. L. Xing, P. Mora

2317 LURR's Twenty Years and its Perspective X. C. Yin, L. P. Zhang, H. H. Zhang, C. Yin. Y. C. Wang. Y. X. Zhang, K. Y. Peng, H. T. Wang, Z. P. Song, H. Z. Yu, J. C. Zhuang

TiA?) LURR and the San Simeon M 6.5 Earthquake in 2003 and the Seismic Tendency in CA Y. X. Zhang, X. C. Yin, K. Y. Peng, H. T. Wang, J. C. Zheng, Y. J. Wu, L. P. Zhang

2353 A Statistical Investigation of the Earthquake Predictions Using LURR K. Y. Peng, X. C. Yin, L. P. Zhang

2363 Stress Reorientation and LURR: Implication for Earthquake Prediction Using LURR C. Yin, P. Mora

2375 An Independent Assessment of the Load/Unload Response Ratio (LURR) Proposed Method of Earthquake Prediction / . E. Trotta, T. E. Tullis

2389 Acoustic Emission Experiments of Rock Failure Under Load Simulating the Hypocenter Condition H. H. Zhang, X. C. Yin, N. G. Liang, H. Z. Yu, S. Y. Li, Y. C. Wang, C. Yin, V. Kukshenko, N. Tomiline, S. Elizarov

2407 Stress Shadows Determined from a Phase Dynamical Measure of Historic Seismicity K. F. Tiampo, J. B. Rundle, W. Klein

2417 Pattern Informatics and its Application for Optimal Forecasting of Large Earthquakes in Japan K. Z. Nanjo, J. B. Rundle, J. R. Holliday, D. L. Turcotte

2433 Systematic Procedural and Sensitivity Analysis of the Pattern Informatics Method for Forecasting Large (M > 5) Earthquake Events in Southern California / . R. Holliday, J. B. Rundle, K. F. Tiampo, W. Klein, A. Donnellan

2455 Visualization and Analysis of Multi-terabyte Geophysical Datasets in an Interactive Setting with Remote Webcam CapabiUties B. J. Kadlec, D. A. Yuen, G. Erlebacher

2467 A Grid Framework for Visuahzation Services in the Earth Sciences G. Erlebacher, D. A. Yuen, Z. Lu, E. F. Bollig, M. Pierce, S. Pallickara

2485 Thermal Effects in the Evolution of Initially Layered Mantle Material M. Davies, H. MUhlhaus, L. Gross

2497 Detecting Regional Events via Statistical Analysis of Geodetic Networks R. Granat

2513 A Recent Application of the ETAS Model and a Proposed Method for Prediction of Strong Aftershocks W. B. Liu, L. Ma

2529 Orientation-based Continuum Damage Models for Rocks X. Y. Liu, X. C. Yin, N. G. Liang

2545 Experimental Study of the Earthquake Recurrence Period and the Trend of Post-seismic Development B. Wang, Z. Y. Xu, X. C. Yin, Y. L. Hu, R. H. Yang, J. G. Cai, S. Y. Chen

2561 State Vector: A New Approach to Prediction of the Failure of Brittle Heterogeneous Media and Large Earthquakes H. Z. Yu, X. C. Yin. Q. Y. Zhu, Y. D. Yan

2575 Crustal Movement Observed by GPS and Earthquake Activity in the Chinese Mainland and its Neighborhood G. H. Gu

2585 Thermo-hydro-mechanical ModeUng of CO2 Sequestration System Around Fault Environment Q. Li, Z. S. Wu, Y. L. Bai, X. C. Yin, X. C. Li