Elementary #15Community Meeting NOVEMBER 13, 2019

Elementary #15Community Meeting

November 13, 2019, 6:30 PM

WelcomeDr. John Villarreal, Superintendent

Introductions/Agenda/Zone ParametersDr. Tom Maglisceau, Chief—Student Services

Enrollment/Projection DataMichelle Box, Templeton Demographics

Next Steps/TimelineTom Maglisceau

Questions/Feedback

Elementary #15Attendance Zone Parameters

• Neighborhood Unity: Continuation of the neighborhood school concept, attempting to keep “existing phases” of neighborhoods together.

• Student/Family Impact: Consider impact of changing schools and attempt to move fewest number of students possible.

• Facility Utilization: Optimize space for efficient use of buildings to reduce overcrowding in existing schools.

Elementary #15Attendance Zone Parameters

• Future Growth: Consider future developments and projected enrollments. Best efforts will be made to prevent a future redrawing of boundaries.

• Projected Enrollment: Consider projected enrollment at the new school and impacted school(s).

• Transportation Needs: Consider bus routes and time students spend on buses.

• Boundary Lines: Attempt to use natural and man-made boundary lines that are easily communicated.

Rockwall Independent School District

Elementary #15Community Meeting

District Enrollment History

6

*Yellow Box = largest grade per yearGreen Box = second largest grade per year

Year (Oct.) EE PK K 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th 7th 8th 9th 10th 11th 12th Total Growth%

Growth 2015/16 163 226 960 1,068 1,055 1,154 1,188 1,229 1,254 1,174 1,255 1,324 1,266 1,140 1,006 15,4622016/17 191 203 985 1,010 1,101 1,115 1,219 1,255 1,281 1,300 1,219 1,348 1,304 1,185 1,101 15,817 355 2.3%2017/18 203 205 1,041 1,082 1,104 1,160 1,191 1,281 1,292 1,331 1,347 1,339 1,296 1,278 1,145 16,295 478 3.0%2018/19 157 284 1,063 1,113 1,119 1,165 1,197 1,240 1,341 1,345 1,371 1,443 1,310 1,241 1,204 16,593 298 1.8%2019/20 169 364 1,120 1,132 1,119 1,164 1,233 1,238 1,267 1,371 1,396 1,457 1,432 1,301 1,188 16,951 358 2.2%

0.00%

0.50%

1.00%

1.50%

2.00%

2.50%

3.00%

3.50%

13,000

13,500

14,000

14,500

15,000

15,500

16,000

16,500

17,000

17,500

2011/12 2012/13 2013/14 2014/15 2015/16 2016/17 2017/18 2018/19 2019/20

Ann

ual G

row

th R

ate

Tota

l Enr

ollm

ent

Rockwall ISD Historical Enrollment

Total Enrollment Annual Growth Rate

District Housing Overview

• There are approx. 2,500 lots available to build on within the district boundary

• Within RISD there are approx. 9,400 planned future lots

• Of those, groundwork is underway on more than 1,200 lots within RISD

7

New Housing Activity by Elementary Zone

Highest activity in the category

Second highest activity in the category

Third highest activity in the category

Elementary Zone Annual Starts

Quarter Starts

Annual Closings

Quarter Closings

Under Construction Inventory Vacant Dev.

Lots Future Lots

CULLINS 0 0 0 0 0 0 75 126

DOBBS 11 0 24 2 3 8 115 69

HARTMAN 33 15 70 9 18 28 13 0

HAYS 178 86 124 27 101 137 376 972

JONES 0 0 14 0 0 17 29 123

LYON 209 75 179 39 85 132 532 1,498

NEBBIE 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0

PARKS 37 7 33 9 24 35 172 791

PULLEN 10 3 15 4 13 16 108 825

REINHARDT 1 0 0 0 0 2 8 0

ROCHELL 0 0 0 0 0 1 1 0

SHANNON 165 46 200 29 50 94 327 2,568

SPRINGER 110 50 120 26 58 85 543 549

STEVENSON 73 14 68 43 14 35 195 1,878

Grand Total* 827 296 847 188 366 590 2,494 9,399

8

*Table does NOT include Age-Restricted communities

Residential Activity

9

Breezy Hill • 751 total lots • 174 futures • 335 occupied homes• 153 VDL• 68 homes under construction • Started 111 homes in the last year,

including 63 homes in 3Q19• Future Section 12 with 35 lots

west of John King Blvd• $384K - $615K• Building 75 – 100 homes a year• Current student yield: 0.845

Stone Creek• 910 total lots • 141 futures • 572 occupied homes• 150 VDL• 32 homes under construction • Groundwork underway on 19

lots in Pocket Neighborhood, streets being paved

• $240K - $570K• Building 50-75 homes per year• Current student yield: 0.820

Sec 12

Ten Year Forecast by Grade Level

Yellow box = largest grade per yearGreen box = second largest grade per year

10

Year (Oct.) EE PK K 1st 2nd 3rd 4th 5th 6th 7th 8th 9th 10th 11th 12th TotalTotal

Growth % Growth2015/16 163 226 960 1,068 1,055 1,154 1,188 1,229 1,254 1,174 1,255 1,324 1,266 1,140 1,006 15,4622016/17 191 203 985 1,010 1,101 1,115 1,219 1,255 1,281 1,300 1,219 1,348 1,304 1,185 1,101 15,817 355 2.3%2017/18 203 205 1,041 1,082 1,104 1,160 1,191 1,281 1,292 1,331 1,347 1,339 1,296 1,278 1,145 16,295 478 3.0%2018/19 157 284 1,063 1,113 1,119 1,165 1,197 1,240 1,341 1,345 1,371 1,443 1,310 1,241 1,204 16,593 298 1.8%2019/20 169 364 1,120 1,132 1,119 1,164 1,233 1,238 1,267 1,371 1,396 1,457 1,432 1,301 1,188 16,951 358 2.2%2020/21 169 373 1,144 1,195 1,180 1,176 1,218 1,287 1,281 1,307 1,419 1,477 1,428 1,410 1,236 17,300 349 2.1%2021/22 169 384 1,179 1,210 1,235 1,239 1,233 1,270 1,343 1,312 1,354 1,499 1,436 1,403 1,340 17,606 306 1.8%2022/23 169 395 1,210 1,251 1,251 1,285 1,295 1,277 1,328 1,391 1,351 1,453 1,449 1,404 1,334 17,843 238 1.4%2023/24 169 390 1,224 1,287 1,299 1,314 1,347 1,341 1,337 1,371 1,449 1,420 1,421 1,432 1,328 18,129 286 1.6%2024/25 169 405 1,240 1,302 1,328 1,357 1,375 1,406 1,404 1,364 1,410 1,544 1,381 1,392 1,364 18,441 312 1.7%2025/26 169 416 1,276 1,319 1,351 1,403 1,424 1,444 1,474 1,454 1,405 1,497 1,505 1,357 1,314 18,808 367 2.0%2026/27 169 424 1,315 1,352 1,363 1,414 1,471 1,483 1,511 1,500 1,503 1,501 1,459 1,478 1,288 19,231 423 2.2%2027/28 169 424 1,339 1,402 1,399 1,442 1,485 1,531 1,555 1,552 1,546 1,603 1,461 1,431 1,403 19,742 511 2.7%2028/29 169 427 1,365 1,428 1,458 1,472 1,518 1,553 1,610 1,597 1,601 1,648 1,561 1,433 1,356 20,196 454 2.3%2029/30 169 430 1,396 1,455 1,486 1,535 1,549 1,583 1,632 1,647 1,649 1,708 1,605 1,529 1,359 20,732 536 2.7%

Student Enrollment Forecast

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Current Forecast

Proposed Boundary Forecast

SCHOOL CAPACITY 2019/20 2020/21 2021/22 2022/23 2023/24 2024/25 2025/26 2026/27 2027/28 2028/29 2029/30HAYS 765 875 928 993 1,034 1,075 1,136 1,197 1,235 1,274 1,323 1,361

SCHOOL CAPACITY 2019/20 2020/21 2021/22 2022/23 2023/24 2024/25 2025/26 2026/27 2027/28 2028/29 2029/30HAYS 765 875 427 460 482 498 527 573 615 655 699 735ELEM 15 750 N/A 501 533 552 577 609 624 620 619 624 626

Proposed Boundary for Elementary #15

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Next Steps/Timeline

Online Feedback through November 17-22

Submit zoning update to the Board on December 2

Board action on zoning approval on December 16

Questions/Feedback

Tom Maglisceau/Patrick Just Services/Transfers

David Carter/Terry Penn Facilities/Transportation

Mary Johnston/Renae Murphy Academics/Logistics