community leadership and countering terrorism: the case of boko haram in northern nigeria paper...
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Community Leadership and Countering Terrorism:
The Case of Boko Haram in Northern Nigeria
Paper prepared for the
Annual Meeting of the International Studies Association
San Diego, CA
April 3, 2012
James J.F. Forest, Ph.D.
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Research trip to Nigeria, sponsored by Joint Special Operations University
Interviews with government, academics, non-government orgs
Focus: Identify ways in which local community leaders were responding to threat of terrorism
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Attacks
Proportion of Terrorist Attacks in Nigeria Attributed to Boko Haram
0
50
100
150
200
250
300
350
2008 2009 2010 2011
Boko Haram All Others
Source: Institute for the Study of Violent Groups, 2011
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Attacks
Terrorist Incidents Attributed to Boko Haram, 2009-2011
All incidents(incl. robberies)
Bombings BombingCasualties
ArmedAssaults
ArmedAssault Casualties
2009 23 1 7 14 219
2010 57 11 127 35 107
2011 191 74 587 89 258
Source: Institute for the Study of Violent Groups, 2011
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* Maiduguri
* Jos
* Abuja
* GombeBauchi *
* Kano
Bama *
Damaturu *Potiskum *
* Katsina
Boko Haram Attack Locations in Nigeria, 2009-11
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History of Boko HaramSokoto Caliphate, Usman dan Fodio
Hausa-Fulani, Kanuri
Maitisine riots
“Nigerian Taliban”
Mohammed YusufSalafist prayer and self-isolationPromote Islam and Sharia law, Ibn Taymiyya Refusal to obey traffic laws seen as refusal of
authority provokes heavy handed response . . .Yusuf publicly executed in the street
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Major Grievances
Religious insecuritiesBeing a Muslim in Nigeria used to bring power,
prestige
Political insecuritiesPoliticized religious and ethnic identityConspiracy theories driven by fear and reinforced by
a heavy-handed security response to protests
Economic insecuritiesSocio-economic isolation
* Maiduguri
* Jos
* Abuja
* GombeBauchi *
* Kano
Bama *
Damaturu *Potiskum *
* Katsina
Maiduguri, Borno state
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Current Strategy
Provoke sectarian violence
Provoke heavy handed government response
Mobilize Nigerian Muslims to revolt
Media strategy
Suicide bombings
Links with al Qaida?
Factions
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Community Responses - Religious
Interfaith Mediation Council. Started by James Wuye, a Christian pastor, and Mohammed Ashafa, an Imam
Sultan Abubakar Saad, has denounced Boko Haram’s actions as un-Islamic
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Community Responses - Traditional
Over 350 ethnic groups in NigeriaEach has its own system of authority structures,
culture and ancestry
Traditional authorities like the Ooni of Ife, Aareonokankafo of Yorubaland, Deji of Akure, Bobagunwa ilu Egba, and Alaafin of Oyo have a great deal of respect, influence and power among particular communities of Nigerians
Some have condemned Boko Haram; others are afraid
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Community Responses – Local NGO
Name City/Region
Name City/Region
Africa Centre for Rural Development & Environment
Enugu Global HIV/AIDS Initiative, Nigeria (GHAIN)
Sokoto
African Foundation for Prevention and Protection Against Child Abuse & Neglect
Rivers Greenwatch Initiative Benue
Baobab for Women’s Rights Borno
Maiduguri Human Rights & Community Development Initiative
Kano
Borno Coalition for Democracy and Progress
Maiduguri Justice, Development & Peace Commission
Abuja
Community Action for Popular Participation
Abuja Living in the Environment Benue
Centre for Campaign Against Drug Abuse & Trafficking
Sokoto Mobgal Hore Women Development Association
Adamawa
Centre for Peace Projects & Development
Kaduna National Youth Council of Nigeria Ogun State
Ogun
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Summary
Whole of government approach to CT necessary but insufficient
Need to have “whole of country” approach, involving local non-governmental entities seen as legitimate, influential
Limitations to what outsiders (like U.S.) can do to assist in the effort to combat Boko Haram, but we should not focus our assistance exclusively at the government level
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Questions?
NotesPaper is available on ISA conference archive websiteFull 139-page monograph will be released by JSOU
Press in April 2012 http://jsou.socom.mil/Pages/Publications.aspx
Contact: [email protected]