commercial paper july 2013 member nyse finra sipc discussion materials

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Commercial Paper July 2013 Member NYSEFINRA SIPC Discussion Materials

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Page 1: Commercial Paper July 2013 Member NYSE  FINRA  SIPC Discussion Materials

Commercial Paper

July 2013

Member NYSEFINRA SIPC

Discussion Materials

Page 2: Commercial Paper July 2013 Member NYSE  FINRA  SIPC Discussion Materials

2

Commercial Paper Overview

Page 3: Commercial Paper July 2013 Member NYSE  FINRA  SIPC Discussion Materials

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Discussion Summary

■ Commercial Paper Overview

■ Types of Commercial Paper

■ Types of Issuers

■ Available Returns

■ Investment and Policy Considerations

Page 4: Commercial Paper July 2013 Member NYSE  FINRA  SIPC Discussion Materials

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Short-Term Investment Alternatives

■ NCCMT

■ Bank Deposits

■ CDs

■ Repurchase Agreements

■ T-Bills

■ Agency Discount Notes

■ Municipal Securities (Variable Rate)

■ Commercial Paper

NCCMT Holdings as of 6/30/13Investment Options

Financial CP51%

Asset-Backed CP

14%Non-Financial CP 1%

Treasury 9%

Variable Rate Municipals

8%

Agencies6%

Repurchase Agreements

11%

Page 5: Commercial Paper July 2013 Member NYSE  FINRA  SIPC Discussion Materials

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Commercial Paper Overview

■ Short-term, unsecured Promissory Note

■ Primarily sold by corporations, financial institutions and foreign governments as a low cost, short-term financing vehicle

■ Access to capital without expense of SEC registration

■ Maturity is normally up to 270 days, with most issuance less than 90 days

CP Maturity DistributionOverview

1-4 days60%5-9 days

13%

10-20 days4%

21-40 days9%

41-80 days3% 81+ days

10%

Days to Maturity

Source: Federalreserve.gov

Page 6: Commercial Paper July 2013 Member NYSE  FINRA  SIPC Discussion Materials

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Commercial Paper Overview

■ Issued in denominations of $100,000 or greater

■ Discount security where investor purchases notes at less than par and receives par at maturity

■ Over $1.0 trillion in commercial paper outstanding

90 Day CP Yields since 1997Overview

0.00

1.00

2.00

3.00

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5.00

6.00

7.00

1997

1998

1999

2000

2001

2002

2003

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2006

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2009

2010

2011

2012

2013

Page 7: Commercial Paper July 2013 Member NYSE  FINRA  SIPC Discussion Materials

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Commercial Paper Types

■ Commercial paper sold under Section 3(a)(3) of the Securities Act of 1933:

■ Must finance “current transactions” (i.e. operating expenses or current assets such as receivables and inventories)

■ Maturity must be less than 270 days

■ Issuers often elect to roll-over on a continuous basis

■ Not ordinarily purchased by general public

■ Limited Secondary Market

3(a)(3) Commercial Paper

Page 8: Commercial Paper July 2013 Member NYSE  FINRA  SIPC Discussion Materials

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Commercial Paper Types

4(2) Commercial Paper

■ Commercial paper sold under Section 4(2) of the Securities Act of 1933:

■ Cannot be publicly offered (private placement)

■ Can only be sold to “Accredited Investors”

■ Intended for Institutional Investors with no planned resale

■ Security can only be sold or transferred through originating placement agent

■ No maximum maturity

■ Highly illiquid

Page 9: Commercial Paper July 2013 Member NYSE  FINRA  SIPC Discussion Materials

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Selected Issuers of 3(a)3 and 4(2) CP

Issuer Industry Issuer Industry

Abbott Laboratories Consumer John Deere Capital Corp FinancialAir Products & Chemicals Basic Materials JP Morgan Chase & Co FinancialCaterpillar Inc Industrial Nestle Capital Corp ConsumerCoca-Cola Co Consumer Pepsico Inc ConsumerDeere & Company Industrial Praxair Inc Basic MaterialsDuPont Basic Materials Private Export Fund Corp FinancialEli Lilly & Co Consumer Siemens Capital Co LLC IndustrialExxon Mobil Corp Energy Svenska Handelsbank Inc FinancialIBM Corp Technology Wal-Mart Stores ConsumerIllinois Tool Works Inc Industrial Walt Disney Company CommunicationIntel Corporation Technology* Short-term ratings shown are for 3(a)(3) Commercial Paper

Page 10: Commercial Paper July 2013 Member NYSE  FINRA  SIPC Discussion Materials

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Selected Risks

Sovereign RiskCompany Risk

Market RiskIndustry Risk

Page 11: Commercial Paper July 2013 Member NYSE  FINRA  SIPC Discussion Materials

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Commercial Paper Issuers

Page 12: Commercial Paper July 2013 Member NYSE  FINRA  SIPC Discussion Materials

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Types of Commercial Paper Issuers

CP Outstanding by Issuer TypeForeign vs. Domestic

CP Outstanding by Type (billions)

Financial Domestic 289.0Financial Foreign 257.2Nonfinancial Domestic 159.9Nonfinancial Foreign 56.0Asset-Backed 271.7Total 1,033.8

Financial Domestic28%

Financial Foreign25%

Nonfinancial Domestic

16%

Nonfinancial Foreign

5%

Asset-Backed26%

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1200.0

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Foreign CP

Domestic CP

Page 13: Commercial Paper July 2013 Member NYSE  FINRA  SIPC Discussion Materials

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Top Commercial Paper Programs

Select Financial Programs

■ General Electric Capital Corp.

■ Toyota Motor Credit Corp

■ Commonwealth Bk. of Australia

■ JP Morgan Chase & Co

■ Westpac Banking Corp.

■ Nordea North America

■ DNB Bank ASA

■ ING (US) Funding LLC

■ Sumitomo Mitsui Banking Corp.

■ Bank of Nova Scotia (NY)

Page 14: Commercial Paper July 2013 Member NYSE  FINRA  SIPC Discussion Materials

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Top Commercial Paper Programs

Select Non-Financial Programs

■ Coca-Cola Co. (The)

■ Wal-Mart Stores, Inc.

■ Nestle Capital Corp.

■ Nestle Finance Int’l Ltd.

■ Procter & Gamble Co.

■ Chevron Corp.

■ Reckitt Benckiser Treasury Services

■ Total Capital Canada Ltd.

■ BHP Billiton Finance (USA) Ltd.

■ Johnson & Johnson

Page 15: Commercial Paper July 2013 Member NYSE  FINRA  SIPC Discussion Materials

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Top Commercial Paper Programs

Select Asset Backed Programs

■ Kells Funding

■ Straight-A Funding

■ Atlantis One Funding

■ Chariot Funding

■ Jupiter Securitization

■ Old Line Funding

■ Govco

■ Alpine Securitization

■ Gotham Funding

■ Atlantic Asset Securitization

Page 16: Commercial Paper July 2013 Member NYSE  FINRA  SIPC Discussion Materials

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Asset-Backed Commercial Paper

■ Issued by a conduit/special purpose entity which purchases assets or make loans backed by assets

■ Manager determines asset purchases

■ Single-seller conduit typically purchases receivables from a single entity or related group of entities

■ Multi-seller conduit purchases assets from various entities

Underlying AssetsOverview

Commercial Loans12%

Auto Loans12%

Trade Receivables

14%Government Guaranteed

Loans2%

Consumer Loans

2%Equipment

Loans2%

Floorplan Financed

2%

Equipment Leases

3%

CBO & CLO3%

Residential Mortgage Loans

4%

Auto Leases6%

Student Loans8%

Other8%

Securities11%

Credit Card Receivables

11%

Source: Moodys.com

Page 17: Commercial Paper July 2013 Member NYSE  FINRA  SIPC Discussion Materials

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Asset-Backed Commercial Paper

■ Payment is supported by specific assets and/or credit enhancement

■ Individual assets often unknown by purchaser

■ More complex and less transparent than traditional commercial paper

■ Not suitable for all investors

■ Requires high level of investment experience

Underlying AssetsOverview

Commercial Loans12%

Auto Loans12%

Trade Receivables

14%Government Guaranteed

Loans2%

Consumer Loans

2%Equipment

Loans2%

Floorplan Financed

2%

Equipment Leases

3%

CBO & CLO3%

Residential Mortgage Loans

4%

Auto Leases6%

Student Loans8%

Other8%

Securities11%

Credit Card Receivables

11%

Source: Moodys.com

Page 18: Commercial Paper July 2013 Member NYSE  FINRA  SIPC Discussion Materials

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$0

$500

$1,000

$1,500

$2,000

$2,500

2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013

Bil

lion

s

Asset-Backed

Nonfinancial CP

Financial CP

CP and the Financial Crisis

■ Volume of CP outstanding grew over 60% from $1.3 trillion to over $2.1 trillion between June 2004 and June 2007

■ Asset Backed CP more than doubled during this time period

■ Growth primarily driven due to new Asset Backed CP structures, including mortgage backed programs

CP Outstanding since 2001Overview

Source: Federalreserve.gov

Page 19: Commercial Paper July 2013 Member NYSE  FINRA  SIPC Discussion Materials

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$0

$500

$1,000

$1,500

$2,000

$2,500

2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013

Bil

lion

s

Asset-Backed

Nonfinancial CP

Financial CP

CP and the Financial Crisis

■ Credit crisis brought upon reduction in asset valuations which led to failed asset valuation tests

■ Investors shifted from Money Market Mutual Funds invested in Asset Backed CP to those invested in treasuries

■ Over $400 billion moved from Sept. to Oct. 2008 in wake of Lehman bankruptcy

■ Federal Reserve created programs to generate liquidity for Asset Backed programs

CP Outstanding since 2001Overview

Source: Federalreserve.gov

Page 20: Commercial Paper July 2013 Member NYSE  FINRA  SIPC Discussion Materials

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Investing in Commercial Paper

Page 21: Commercial Paper July 2013 Member NYSE  FINRA  SIPC Discussion Materials

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Investment Considerations

■ Prime quality commercial paper bearing the highest rating of at least one nationally recognized rating service and not bearing a rating below the highest by any nationally recognized rating service which rates the particular obligation.

Investment and Policy ConsiderationsState Limitations

Type Moody's S&P Fitch

A-1+ F1+A-1 F1

P-2 A-2 F2P-3 A-3 F3

B BC C

Tier I P-1

Tier II

Not prime

■ Portfolio Limit

■ Individual Issuer Limit

■ Minimum Long-Term Ratings

■ Asset Backed Restrictions

■ Foreign vs. Domestic

■ Trading Characteristics

Page 22: Commercial Paper July 2013 Member NYSE  FINRA  SIPC Discussion Materials

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Available Returns

Overview

■ Various Factors Impact CP Yield Including:

■ Short-Term Benchmark Rates

■ Credit Risk of Issuer

■ Rollover Risk

■ Industry of CP Issuer

■ Supply/ Demand

Comparative Yields

Source: Federalreserve.gov*Data as of July 12, 2013

0.00% 0.05% 0.10% 0.15% 0.20% 0.25% 0.30% 0.35%

Non-Fin. A2/P2

Asset-Backed

Financial

Non-Financial

90 Day Commercial Paper Yields

Page 23: Commercial Paper July 2013 Member NYSE  FINRA  SIPC Discussion Materials

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Purchasing Commercial Paper

90 Day CP Yields since 1997Direct versus Dealer Purchases

■ Direct Purchases

■ Larger financial institutions that sell a large amount of commercial paper continuously

■ Dedicated sales force internally

■ Dealer Purchases

■ Smaller financial institutions/corporations use dealers to place their commercial paper

0.00

1.00

2.00

3.00

4.00

5.00

6.00

7.00

1997

1998

1999

2000

2001

2002

2003

2004

2005

2006

2007

2008

2009

2010

2011

2012

2013

Page 24: Commercial Paper July 2013 Member NYSE  FINRA  SIPC Discussion Materials

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Issuer 30 60 90 120 180 270 S&P MDY

GE Capital Corp 0.050 0.090 0.130 0.150 0.220 0.240 A-1+ P-1Toyota Motor Credit 0.080 0.120 0.160 0.170 0.230 0.250 A-1+ P-1Toyota Cred Puerto Rico 0.080 0.120 0.160 0.230 0.250 A-1+ P-1Prudential Funding 0.090 0.100 0.120 0.130 0.150 0.150 A-1+ P-1Natixis US Fin Co 0.150 0.150 0.210 0.270 0.320 0.530 A-1 P-1Abbey Natl NA LLC 0.170 0.190 0.230 0.270 0.370 0.550 A-1 P-1Societe Generale NA 0.140 0.220 0.240 0.310 0.400 0.540 A-1 P-1

Intesa Funding LLC 0.280 0.410 0.470 0.510 0.670 A-2 P-2Dexia Delaware LLC 0.400 0.430 0.470 0.550 A-2 P-2

-------------Days to Maturity-------------

Selected Issuers

Source: Bloomberg – July 16, 2013

Market Yields

Page 25: Commercial Paper July 2013 Member NYSE  FINRA  SIPC Discussion Materials

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Summary

Summary Summary

■ High quality commercial paper can be an effective vehicle to help portfolio diversification

■ Requires a high degree of selectivity

■ Buy and hold investment

■ Should not be relied on for liquidity needs

■ Know what you own

■ Monitor companies you invest in

■ Market is an excellent indicator of credit concerns

■ Exercise caution with unusually attractive yields

Page 26: Commercial Paper July 2013 Member NYSE  FINRA  SIPC Discussion Materials

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Contact Information

James M. TraudtSenior Vice PresidentManager of Public Finance

One James Center901 E. Cary St Ste 1100Richmond VA 23219-4037(804) 697-2904 office(804) 549-4900 fax

[email protected]

Ty WellfordVice PresidentPublic Finance

One James Center901 E. Cary St Ste 1100Richmond VA 23219-4037(804) 697-2915 office(804) 549-4915 fax

[email protected]

Page 27: Commercial Paper July 2013 Member NYSE  FINRA  SIPC Discussion Materials

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Disclaimer

Unless the enclosed material specifically addresses Davenport & Company LLC (“Davenport”) provision of financial advisory services or investment advisory services, or Davenport has an agreement with the recipient to provide such services, the recipient should assume that Davenport is acting in the capacity of an underwriter or placement agent.

The Municipal Securities Rulemaking Board (“MSRB”) Rule G-17 requires an underwriter to deal fairly at all times with both municipal issuers and investors. The rule also requires an underwriter to disclose that the underwriter’s primary role is to purchase securities with a view to distribution in an arm’s length commercial transaction with the issuer and the underwriter has financial and other interests that differ from those of the issuer; unlike a municipal advisor, the underwriter does not have a fiduciary duty to the issuer under the federal securities laws and is, therefore, not required by federal law to act in the best interest of the issuer without regard to its own financial or other interests; the underwriter has a duty to purchase securities from the issuer at a fair and reasonable price, but must balance that duty with its duty to sell municipal securities to investors at prices that are fair and reasonable; the underwriter will review the official statement of the issuer’s securities in accordance with, and as part of, its responsibilities to investors under the federal securities laws, as applied to the facts and circumstances of the transaction.

Davenport’s compensation when serving as an underwriter is normally contingent on the closing of a transaction. Clients generally prefer this arrangement so they are not obligated to pay a fee unless the transaction is completed. However, MSRB Rule G-17 requires an underwriter to disclose that compensation that is contingent on the closing of a transaction or the size of a transaction presents a conflict of interest, because it may cause the underwriter to recommend a transaction that is unnecessary or to recommend that the size of the transaction be larger than is necessary.

This material was prepared by investment banking, or other non-research personnel of Davenport. This material was not produced by a research analyst, although it may refer to a Davenport research analyst or research report. Unless otherwise indicated, these views (if any) are the author’s and may differ from those of the Davenport fixed income or research department or others in the firm.

This material may have been prepared by or in conjunction with Davenport trading desks that may deal as principal in or own or act as market maker or liquidity provider for the securities/instruments mentioned herein. The trading desk may have accumulated a position in the subject securities/instruments based on the information contained herein. Trading desk materials are not independent of the proprietary interests of Davenport, which may conflict with your interests. Davenport may also perform or seek to perform financial advisory, underwriting or placement agent services for the issuers of the securities and instruments mentioned herein.

This material has been prepared for information purposes only and is not a solicitation of any offer to buy or sell any security/instrument or to participate in any trading strategy. Any such offer would be made only after a prospective participant had completed its own independent investigation of the securities, instruments or transactions and received all information it required to make its own investment decision, including, where applicable, a review of any offering circular or memorandum describing such security or instrument. That information would contain material information not contained herein and to which prospective participants are referred. This material is based on public information as of the specified date, and may be stale thereafter. We have no obligation to tell you when information herein may change. We make no representation or warranty with respect to the completeness of this material. Davenport has no obligation to continue to publish on the securities/instruments mentioned herein.

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Version 6/1/2012 LS|TW