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Welcome Note

Monday29th October, 2018

Stock Of The Day: (F & O)

Forecast and Analysis

CONTENTSCONTENTS



Title Page No.

'30,000 feet view’: The big picture of Dalal Street 04-07

Stock Of The Day: (F & O) 08-09

Equity Derivatives 10

Daily Pivot Table (Equities) 11

Forecast and Analysis 12-14

Daily Pivot Table (Commodities) 15

Disclaimer 16

'30,000 feet view’:

The big picture of Dalal Street

'30,000 feet view’:

The big picture of Dalal Street



'30,000 feet view’: newsletter provides insights and themes for Indian equity markets. We also try and cover international themes for the day. This newsletter is quite popular with traders as it covers the most preferred trading strategy for Sensex/Nifty for the day.

In Chart of the day section, we recommend a stock which is likely to move significantly in the short term, clearly defining the supports, the resistances and bias for the stock.

In a nutshell, '30,000 feet view’: covers themes and insights for the day.

‘30,000 feet view’: The big picture of Dalal Street

www.comfortsecurities.co.inEnjoy Your Comfort Zone.


Nifty Outlook

Intraday

Medium Term

Long Term

Key Levels to Watch

Nifty Support

Nifty Resistance

Pivot Level

Nifty

Outlook for the Day

INDICES

Nifty

Bank Nifty

Nifty Auto Index

Nifty FMCG Index

Nifty Infra Index

Nifty IT Index

Nifty Media Index

Nifty Midcap Index

Nifty Metal Index

Nifty Pharma Index

Nifty Reality Index

Nifty Smallcap Index

Sensex

SGX Nifty


Good Morning & Welcome to Monday's trading action at Dalal Street, dated 29th of

October 2018.

It is ugly out there at Dalal Street as there is pessimism all around.

There is blood in the water and sadly, it's of poor investors. Actually, the speed and magnitude of

the declines is a matter of grave concern for perma bulls camp. But digging deeper, some of this

sell-off is a correction that was long overdue.

We suspect, many a investors knew this was coming.

Now, before we start a brand new week of trading, here are the key catalysts which

caught our eye in last 36 hours:

1. Wall Street finishes lower in Friday's trade -- S&P 500, Dow Jones Industrial Average and

S&P 500 turn negative for 2018

2. Crude oil prices settled higher on Friday as commanding attention were worries about

global supply levels and conflicting comments from Saudi Arabia’s energy minister.

3. Gold prices were up for a fourth week in a row, and now near a 3-month high.

4. So far this year, Foreign investors have pulled out a total of Rs 97,000 crore from the

capital markets. This includes over Rs 37,000 crore from equities and close to Rs 60,000

crore from the debt markets.

5. Trade worries were also seen simmering after U.S. said that talks with China will not

resume until Beijing comes up with solid proposals over forced technology transfers and

other economic issues.

Amid this backdrop, expect a muted open for our stock markets. That brings us to our call of

the day which suggests, extreme turbulence likely to grip Dalal Street in today's trade and with

interweek perspective, market's mood will swing depending on outcome of following catalysts:

1. Liquidity concerns. Market participants are sensing that large volume of commercial

papers are maturing by November 14. The street will anxiously watch for fresh distress

signs in this space.

2. Q2 results of corporate India.

3. The upcoming assembly elections in five states- Madhya Pradesh, Rajasthan,

Chhattisgarh, Mizoram and Telangana.

4. Trend in Oil prices on backdrop of US sanctions on Iran. The US sanctions on Iranian oil

take effect in a week’s time.

5. Global trade war tiff. September Auto sales: The street will spy with one big eye on the

auto firms declaring their sales data for September. The street will hope for some revival

ahead of crucial festive season as well.

Outlook for Monday: Volatile session likely.

The need of the hour for the bulls camp is any sort of resolution of the trade standoff between

the U.S and China. The bulls camp must be also pinning hopes on extreme oversold conditions

as that could act as key catalyst providing impetus to move higher. From perma-bulls

perspective, Nifty needs to hang onto the psychological 10,000 for both price and momentum to

stay intact.

The big question: Will Nifty snap its recent rout?

Well, the bulls will try their level best to hunt for positive session, amid oversold conditions in

short term charts; but honestly speaking, for the day, Dalal Street’s fortunes rides on global

cues.

STOCKS TO WATCH:

• Our chart of the day suggests establishing long positions in stocks like BANK OF INDIA,

MC DOWELL and VEDANTA with interweek perspective.

10030 -0.94%

24421 -1.60%

8578 -0.03%

28013 -1.41%

2835 -0.59%

13799 -1.93%

2359 -0.34%

4444 -0.40%

3284 -0.69%

9115 -0.30%

205 -0.29%

5748 -0.63%

33349 -1.01%

10115 0.66%

Buy on dips.

Neutral (10071-10221)

Neutral (9750-10811)

Neutral (11501)

9951 & 9751

10271 & 10487

10775



Technical Strategy


• Bullish stocks: BAJAJ FINSERV, SRF, DABUR, HAVELLS, REC.

• Bearish stocks: SBI, STRIDES SHASHUN, TORRENT POWER, YES BANK, BAJAJ AUTO,

DR REDDYS LAB, ADANI PORTS, RCOM.

• Show Me the Money: Buy Bajaj Finserv (5399): Oversold conditions prevail. Positive

bias as long as 5149 support is held. Interweek Strategy: Buy between 5324-5345 zone,

targeting 5601 and then at 5799-5819 zone with stop below 5121.

• Nestle India Q3: Profit jumps 30% to Rs 446.1 crore versus Rs 343.2 crore; revenue rises

16.9 % to Rs 2,939.4 crore versus Rs 2,514.1 crore YoY.

• Hindalco Industries: Company stopped mining operation at Durgumanwadi Mine since

March 17, 2018. Stopping of mining operation has no material impact on operations or

financial performance of the company.

• Stocks banned in F&O segment for today: ADANI POWER.

• This week, the event calendar is rather blank and thus focus again shifts to Q2 earning.

The prominent firms announcing Q2 are:

• Monday: BPCL, CENTURY TEXTILE, CHAMBAL FERTILISER, CHENNAI PETRO, DCM

SHRIRAM, GRUH FINANCE, HDFC AMC, JUST DIAL, LIC HOUSING FINANCE,

MAITHANI ALLOYS, NILKAMAL, SPARC, SUNDRAM FASTNER, TATA POWER, UNION

BANK OF INDIA, WONDRELLA HOLIDAYS.

• Tuesday: 3M INDIA, ABB, ACCLEYA, BANK OF BARODA, BASF, CHOLAMANDALAM

FINANCE, DALMIA BHARAT, DENA BANK, IDFC, IRB, JK TYRE, NAUKRI, NAVIN

FLUORO, NOCIL, PIDILITE, RAMCO CEMENTS, TATA GLOBAL, TECH MAHINDRA,

• Wednesday: ADANI ENTERPRISES, ADANI POWER, AJANTA PHARMA, CANARA

BANK, CASTROL, DABUR, ESCORTS, LUPIN, LT, HERIGE FOODS, STRIDES

ARCOLAB, TATA MOTORS, TATA MOTORS DVR, TINPLATE, VEDANTA.

• Thursday: AARTI INDUSTRIES, ARVIND, AUROBINDO LAB, BERGER PAINTS, CERA

CERAMIC, DLF, ECLERX, GNFC, GODREJ PROPERTIES, GREAVES COTTON, HCC,

HDFC, HIKAL, HPCL, MARICO, MOREPAN LAB, SRF, SUNDRAM FINANCE, TATA

COMMUNICATION, TRENT, VESUVIUS.

• Friday: AXIS BANK, BAJAJ HINDUSTAN, BATA INDIA, BHARAT FORGE, ENIL,

EQUITAS, GE SHIPPING, GILLETTE, GODREJ CONSUMER, GSFC, GUJ ALKALI,

HINDALCO, NTPC, OFSS, PFC, PNB, RELIANCE POWER, SAIL, TVS ELECTRONICS,

TV TODAY, VMART.

GLOBAL CUES:

• Wall Street ended sharply lower in Friday's trade. The negative catalysts for the slump in

stock prices were:

1. Overbought conditions.

2. Rising interest rates

3. Persistent worries about slowing global growth

4. Doubts about whether equities can count on support from corporate earnings.

These thoughts crop up because of recent disappointing results from a handful of

megacap companies.

FII/DII & OPTIONS DATA:

• As per Friday’s Provisional Data available on the NSE, FII’s sold shares worth

Rs. 1356.66 crores in the Indian Equity Market. DIIs on the other hand

bought shares worth Rs. 1875.89 crores in the Indian Equity market.

• As per option data, key resistance level for the October series for Nifty are at 10,500

strike price as maximum call open interest of 20.18 lakh contracts were seen at the

In Monday's trade, BANK NIFTY ended on a

negative note and was seen attempting a

breakdown from a lower consolidation zone on

the daily charts, down 1.60%.

Technically, the index is in consolidation mode at

lower levels and the momentum oscillators are

signaling a major breakdown. Any move below

24240 zone will confirm weakness which also

needs to be backed by increases in volumes. The

stock is seen moving down on daily charts,

backed by negative reverse divergences.

Key support to watch in near term is at 23605

zone. Medium term supports seen at 22677 zone.

We expect BANK NIFTY to underperform the

benchmark Nifty significantly from here on.

Establishing short positions between 25500-

24701 zone, as the index is likely to stage steep

decline towards 23605 and then aggressive

targets seen at 22677-22901 zone. Place stops

above 25505. Holding Period: 9 days.

BANK NIFTY

Action

Target

Support

Resistance

Holding Period

24421

Sell on strength

22677

23605/22677

24951/25501

9 Days.




10,500 strike price. Key support level for the October series is at 10,000 as Maximum Put open interest of 34.03 lakh contracts was seen at the

10,000 strike price.

COMMODITY CUES:

• Oil prices finished higher on Friday amidst worries about global supply levels and the recent conflicting comments from Saudi Arabia’s energy

minister.

• Gold prices were seen trading with positive bias in Friday's trade. Key medium term support seen at 31201 mark. Interweek strategy: Establish long

positions between 31501-31601 zone, targeting 32451 mark and then aggressive targets at 32851-32901 with stop at 31101..

• Copper prices were seen trading rangebound in Friday's trade with slight negative bias. Interweek strategy: Establish long positions only above 457,

targeting 465 mark and then at 479 with stop at 433.

MACRO WATCH:

• The Nikkei Manufacturing Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) for October will be released on Thursday, November 1, and the fiscal deficit data for

September is due on Wednesday, October 31.

• The upcoming assembly elections in five states: Madhya Pradesh, Rajasthan, Chhattisgarh, Mizoram and Telangana. While Chhattisgarh will

go to the polls in two phases on November 12 and 20, the Madhya Pradesh and Mizoram Assembly elections will be held on November 28. Polling in

Rajasthan and Telangana will be held on December 7. Counting of votes will be held across all the five states on December 11.

• The landscape is bit scary especially on the escalating trade tension between U.S-China. This catalyst could be the real villain rattling worldwide

stock markets. The heightened tensions between U.S. -China could not only hamper U.S. economic growth but derail the global economy at large. At

the time of writing, a tit-for-tat tariff battle between Beijing and Washington remains intact.

• The Federal Reserve remains on its gradual rate-hike path.

CURRENCIES & BONDS:

• The rupee on Friday closed at Rs. 73.46 to a US dollar, weakening by 14 paise from its previous week's close of 73.32. Intermonth strategy: Buy

between 72-72.50 zone, targeting 75 and then aggressive targets at 77 with strict stop below 71.45.

What Technical Tells Us on Nifty:

On the heels of a broad based sell-off in Asia and on backdrop of nervousness at Wall Street, the benchmark Nifty traded with negative bias in Friday's trade,

down 0.94%. The Nifty settled at its lowest level in over seven months.

The market breadth, indicating the overall health of the market, was weak. The BSE Mid-Cap index fell 0.11%. The BSE Small-Cap index slipped 0.04%.

Weighing on sentiments were the continuing uncertainty over global trade and the Middle Eastern situation. Unsettling investors were also the Federal

Reserve’s rate-hike path.

Technically speaking, key support for the day on Nifty is at 9,951 mark. The technical landscape will worsen further if Nifty closes below the 9,951

mark as that would open the door to massive technical selling, possibly quickly towards the 9750-9801 zone.

The intraday bias is negative and selling on any excessive

intraday strength should be the preferred strategy.

The make or break hurdles are at 10,775 mark. Intraday

hurdles at 10,321 mark.

The price action for Nifty is suggesting that we are likely to see an

9950 -10,511 range in near term with neutral bias.

Bulls Vs. Bears: Time to Pick a Side!!

Volatility likely to be the hallmark of today's trade.

Preferred trade on Nifty: Nifty (10030): Sell on any excessive

strength between 10151-10201 zone, targeting 9951 zone and

then aggressive targets at 9750-9801 zone with stop at 10321.

Preferred trade on Bank Nifty: Nifty (24421): Sell between

24651-24751 zone, targeting 23601 zone and then aggressive

targets at 22677 zone with stop at 25651.

Daily Chart of Nifty:



Comfort stock of the day


When we want to see what's happening far off, we will reach for the binoculars. The binocular helps us to steer out of danger and also accurately spots our targets.

When it comes to trading / investing, that's exactly how Stock Of The Day: (F & O) introduces to the momentum stocks from the list of Future & Option segment, defining their support and resistance levels, and attempts to forecast their movement with a short /medium term perspective.


R2STOCKS LTP S1 S2 R1 TRADING STRATEGYBIAS


Invest Smart. Build Wealth. www.comfortsecurities.co.in


Oversold conditions prevail. Positive bias as long as 5149 support is held. Interweek Strategy: Buy between 5324-5345 zone, targeting 5601 and then at 5799-5819 zone with stop below 5121.

HAVELLS is consolidating at lower levels on daily charts. Key intraday support seen at 591. Strength seen above 610. Interweek Strategy: Buy ABOVE 610 zone, targeting 645-651 zone. Stop below 591.

The sequence of lower high low is intact on daily, Weekly and Monthly charts. Momentum oscillators signaling weakness. Interweek strategy: Establish short positions between 76-77 zone, targeting 72.50 zone and then aggressive targets at 67.50-69 zone with stop at 78.45.

The interweek risk is on the downside with immediate targets at 499 zone. Momentum oscillators signaling weakness. Interweek Strategy: Sell between 521-525 zone, targeting 499 and then at 481-483 zone with stop above 543.

Momentum oscillators in sell mode. Key hurdles at 212. Interweek Strategy: Sell between 205-207.50 zone, targeting 199 zone and then at 189-191 zone with stop above 213.45.

Bank Of India is our preferred bet on sell side. The stock can slip towards 67.50 mark in near term.

BAJAJ FINSERVE

HAVELLS

BANK OF INDIA

MCDOWELL

VEDANTA

5399 5261 5149 5601 5819 Positive

602.85 591 579 610 645 Positive

74.9 72.5 67.5 78.05 81 Negative

518.05 499 481 541 555 Negative

203.65 199 189 212 219 Negative



EQUITY DERIVATIVESLooking into the future from present.

Changes in Open Interest (OI) in yesterday’s trade.

Nifty Spot

Bank Nifty Future

VIX

Premium

Nifty Future OI

Bank Nifty Spot OI

BSE Cash Vol. (Rs. in Cr)

NSE Cash Vol.(Rs. in Cr)

NSE Derivative Vol. (Rs. in Cr)

Index Future Volumes

Stock Future Volumes

Index Option Volumes

Stock Option Volumes

Total

Cash Volumes (INR in Cr.)

YesterdayDay Before Yesterday

Derivatives Vol.(INR in Cr.)

No of contracts

Turnover (Rs. In cr.)

Major Changes in Nifty Options (OI)

Market Summary:

In Friday's trade, Dalal Street witnessed another negative session as the benchmark

Nifty tumbled towards its psychological 10000 mark. This also marked an overall fall

of 2.81% for the entire week. All sectors were down for the entire week as well.

Amongst Broader Indices, the BSE Midcap Index was down 0.11%. The BSE

Smallcap Index was down 0.04%. Both the Indices outperformed the Sensex.

Amongst the sectoral indices, outperforming the Sensex/Nifty were BSE Consumer

Durables Index (up 0.14%), BSE Auto Index (up 0.06%).

Amongst the sectoral indices, underperforming the Sensex/Nifty were BSE IT Index

(down 2.05%), BSE Bankex Index (down 1.97%), BSE Teck Index (down 1.85%).

Amongst stock specific action, positive bias was seen in stocks like UPL (up 3.43%),

TITAN (up 2.05%), BAJAJ AUTO (up 1.67%)

Among stocks drifting down were: YES BANK (down 8.65%), JSW STEEL (down

5.35%), AXIS BANK (down 4.51%)

Maximum Call Open Interest (OI) stands at 11000 Strike Price, followed by 10500

Strike Price for November Series. Call writing continued at strike prices 10100-

10800 for November series.

Maximum Put Open Interest (OI) was seen at strike price 10000 followed by 9500

strike price for November series. Short covering in Puts was seen at strike prices

9800-10300 alongwith fresh longs established at 9500 strike price for November

series.

As per Friday’s Provisional Data available on the NSE, FII’s sold shares worth Rs.

1356.66 crores in the Indian Equity Market. DIIs on the other hand bought shares

worth Rs. 1875.89 crores in the Indian Equity market.

Highest OI Nifty: Calls 11000: 23.86 L - Puts 10000: 34.04

Highest OI Bank Nifty: Calls 26500: 3.52 L - Puts 26500: 6.41 L

Change in Stock Open Interest (OI) in previous day’s trade.

Long Buildup: BEL, PETRONET, SRF, STAR, HAVELLS.

Short Buildup: EQUITAS, YES BANK, GRASIM, RELCAP, TCS.

Short Covering: RELIANCE, TITAN, KAJARIA, PEL, BAJAJ AUTO.

Long Unwinding: NTPC, DABUR, BATA, SRTFIN.

Stocks banned in F&O segment for today: ADANI POWER.

New In Ban: NIL.

Out of Ban: NIL.

Future Call: SELL VOLTAS NOVEMBER FUTURES at CMP 496.20.

Targets at 484 and then at 472. Stop: 511. Holding Period:

Intraday. Analyst’s Remark: Weakening Momentum (Voltas

November Futures CMP 496.20).

Option Call: SELL TITAN NOVEMBER CE strike price 840 at CMP

25.15. Maximum Profit: Rs. 18,862.50. Loss: Unlimited. Stop: Exit

Call option if Titan moves above 826. (Titan November Futures CMP

809.85).

10030.00 (-0.94%)

24421.05 (-1.60%)

18.2325 (+1.42%)

+14 vs +66

2.21 crores (+3.56%)

22.14 lakhs (+3.56%)

3048.61 2529.7

31842.73 40814.37

507174 1872795

423030 26598

1059366 54055

6989007 396205

551517 30316

9022920 507174

Calls in lakhs (% Change)

10500 20.18 (+18%)

10400 11.57 (+32%)

10200 10.68 (+14%)

Puts in lakhs (% Change)

10000 34.04 (+11%)

10100 11.3 (+29%)

9500 26.48 (+26%)


www.comfortsecurities.co.in

DAILY PIVOT TABLE



Instrument Close S1 S2 R1 R2 200 Day SMA Reversal Point Trend

All level indicated above are based on cash market prices.

Pivot Point

PP : Pivot Point : This is trigger point for weekly buy/sell based on the price range of the previous week.R1 : Resistance one : 1st Resistance over PP. R2 : Resistance two : 2nd Resistance over R1.S1 : Support one : 1st support after PP. S2 : Support Two : 2nd support after S1.

As per the tool, the trader should take BUY position just above PP and keep the stop loss of PP and the first target would be R1.If R1 is crossed then R2 becomes the next target with the stop loss at R1.

Similarly if price goes below PP the trader should SELL and keep the PP as Stop loss and the first target would be S1.

If S1 is crossed then S2 becomes the next target with the stop loss at S1.This is a trading tool. The key to use of this tool is the use of STOP LOSS.


NIFTY 10030 9980.08 9930.17 10104.38 10178.77 10054.47 10770.93 DOWN

BANKNIFTY 24421.05 24258.79 24096.52 24677.63 24934.22 24515.37 26071.14 DOWN

NIFTYMID50 4444.4 4382.6 4320.8 4508.5 4572.6 4446.7 5068.42 DOWN

ACC 1349.65 1338.57 1327.48 1365.37 1381.08 1354.28 1522.46 DOWN

ADANIENT 166.75 163.12 159.48 172.57 178.38 168.93 131.04 UP

ADANIPORTS 304.1 300.18 296.27 309.28 314.47 305.37 380.88 DOWN

AJANTPHARM 977.35 962.05 946.75 1002.6 1027.85 987.3 1209.01 DOWN

ALBK 37.05 36.4 35.75 37.6 38.15 36.95 47.29 DOWN

AMARAJABAT 768.95 755.87 742.78 779.77 790.58 766.68 804.48 DOWN

ANDHRABANK 25.55 25.38 25.22 25.83 26.12 25.67 37.99 DOWN

APOLLOTYRE 207.55 200.82 194.08 213.87 220.18 207.13 263.42 DOWN

ARVIND 321.3 315.47 309.63 329.32 337.33 323.48 398.19 DOWN

ASHOKLEY 113.15 111.28 109.42 114.83 116.52 112.97 134.05 DOWN

ASIANPAINT 1190.3 1171.77 1153.23 1205.42 1220.53 1186.88 1247.84 DOWN

AUROPHARMA 719.8 709.57 699.33 728.97 738.13 718.73 635.81 UP

AXISBANK 537.7 526.83 515.97 556.28 574.87 545.42 556.67 DOWN

BAJAJ-AUTO 2513.75 2462.43 2411.12 2549.33 2584.92 2498.02 2873.05 DOWN

BAJAJFINSV 5399.2 5293.47 5187.73 5469.47 5539.73 5363.73 5761.15 DOWN

BAJFINANCE 2338.9 2286 2233.1 2384.3 2429.7 2331.4 2133.5 UP

BALKRISIND 1034.2 1006.32 978.43 1062.32 1090.43 1034.43 1154.52 DOWN

BALRAMCHIN 100.35 97.93 95.52 102.18 104.02 99.77 84.61 UP

BANKBARODA 98.85 97.27 95.68 101.02 103.18 99.43 136.63 DOWN

BANKINDIA 74.55 73.58 72.62 75.73 76.92 74.77 105.14 DOWN

BATAINDIA 908.95 898.17 887.38 925.87 942.78 915.08 827.47 UP

BEL 88.25 82.87 77.48 92.32 96.38 86.93 125.08 DOWN

BEML 528.65 518.68 508.72 541.18 553.72 531.22 984.16 DOWN

BERGEPAINT 282.5 277.87 273.23 289.77 297.03 285.13 281.23 UP

BHARATFIN 878.5 865.25 852 900.7 922.9 887.45 1107.56 DOWN

BHARATFORG 553.35 543.47 533.58 561.57 569.78 551.68 676.54 DOWN

BHARTIARTL 297.95 287.97 277.98 306.97 315.98 296.98 388.67 DOWN

BHEL 67.5 66.15 64.8 69.95 72.4 68.6 81.56 DOWN

BIOCON 604.05 587.9 571.75 632.3 660.55 616.15 614.79 DOWN

BPCL 275.2 267.63 260.07 281.63 288.07 274.07 400.32 DOWN

BRITANNIA 5320.5 5255.47 5190.43 5387.27 5454.03 5322.23 5587.12 DOWN

CANBK 212.55 209.27 205.98 215.82 219.08 212.53 272.1 DOWN

CANFINHOME 255.2 246.4 237.6 263.6 272 254.8 386.43 DOWN

CAPF 450.45 441.38 432.32 462.13 473.82 453.07 603.84 DOWN

CASTROLIND 145.25 142 138.75 148.75 152.25 145.5 175.34 DOWN

CEATLTD 1106.05 1022.07 938.08 1153.82 1201.58 1069.83 1450.01 DOWN

CENTURYTEX 771.2 752.92 734.63 789.02 806.83 770.73 1048.28 DOWN

CESC 848.15 828.37 808.58 870.97 893.78 851.18 980.31 DOWN

CGPOWER 34.95 34.3 33.65 35.9 36.85 35.25 68.7 DOWN

CHENNPETRO 257.2 251.53 245.87 262.43 267.67 256.77 322.05 DOWN

CHOLAFIN 1205.75 1157.57 1109.38 1245.22 1284.68 1197.03 1439.98 DOWN

CIPLA 603.7 597.45 591.2 611.15 618.6 604.9 604.2 DOWN

COALINDIA 281.1 276.7 272.3 284.6 288.1 280.2 282.09 DOWN

COLPAL 1106.65 1093.1 1079.55 1119.1 1131.55 1105.55 1125.53 DOWN

CUMMINSIND 671.8 656.47 641.13 687.72 703.63 672.38 743.09 DOWN

DABUR 398.25 393.17 388.08 404.17 410.08 399.08 381.94 UP

DALMIABHA 2125.95 2082 2038.05 2157.45 2188.95 2113.5 2653.39 DOWN

DCBBANK 155.2 152 148.8 159.65 164.1 156.45 172.81 DOWN

DHFL 184.1 175.63 167.17 193.93 203.77 185.47 555.77 DOWN

DISHTV 40.9 37.82 34.73 42.92 44.93 39.83 69.87 DOWN

DIVISLAB 1255.8 1235.57 1215.33 1277.22 1298.63 1256.98 1141.58 UP

DLF 153.85 150.8 147.75 156.45 159.05 153.4 206.02 DOWN

DRREDDY 2404.55 2365.07 2325.58 2447.02 2489.48 2407.53 2253.44 UP

EICHERMOT 21806.4 21574.27 21342.13 22169.27 22532.13 21937.13 28066.69 DOWN

ENGINERSIN 112.7 110 107.3 114.65 116.6 111.95 144.14 DOWN

EQUITAS 99.05 79.45 59.85 117.05 135.05 97.45 145.65 DOWN

ESCORTS 569.7 554.13 538.57 583.13 596.57 567.57 844.51 DOWN

EXIDEIND 251.75 249.2 246.65 255.35 258.95 252.8 248.45 UP

FEDERALBNK 79.45 78.48 77.52 80.93 82.42 79.97 88.47 DOWN

FORTIS 129.25 128.03 126.82 130.53 131.82 129.32 144.09 DOWN

GAIL 341.35 338.73 336.12 344.63 347.92 342.02 349.98 DOWN

GLENMARK 593.45 578.83 564.22 613.53 633.62 598.92 581.72 UP

GMRINFRA 15.5 15.17 14.83 15.82 16.13 15.48 18.36 DOWN

GODREJCP 713.85 693.08 672.32 725.53 737.22 704.77 797.62 DOWN

GODREJIND 460.35 444.2 428.05 469.25 478.15 453.1 577.27 DOWN

GRANULES 92.3 89.07 85.83 94.67 97.03 91.43 104.67 DOWN

GSFC 94.4 91.83 89.27 96.13 97.87 93.57 119.56 DOWN

HAVELLS 602.85 591 579.15 612.35 621.85 600.5 569.58 UP

HCC 11.85 11.57 11.28 12.12 12.38 11.83 20.71 DOWN

HCLTECH 966.6 952.42 938.23 990.37 1014.13 976.18 974.49 DOWN

HDFC 1702.1 1678.45 1654.8 1722.8 1743.5 1699.15 1856.8 DOWN

HDFCBANK 1961.2 1947.73 1934.27 1975.93 1990.67 1962.47 1994.89 DOWN

HDIL 18.75 18.43 18.12 19.13 19.52 18.82 33.99 DOWN

HEROMOTOCO 2705.35 2665.9 2626.45 2750.9 2796.45 2711.45 3445.06 DOWN

HEXAWARE 321.2 313.27 305.33 331.87 342.53 323.93 416.45 DOWN

HINDALCO 221.25 214.47 207.68 225.97 230.68 219.18 233.76 DOWN

HINDPETRO 225.3 219.68 214.07 229.33 233.37 223.72 309.98 DOWN

HINDUNILVR 1558.25 1545.63 1533.02 1575.18 1592.12 1562.57 1526.08 UP

HINDZINC 277.6 274.83 272.07 281.03 284.47 278.27 297.37 DOWN

IBREALEST 70 68.9 67.8 72.2 74.4 71.1 173.08 DOWN

IBULHSGFIN 683.9 645.35 606.8 722.35 760.8 683.8 1201.46 DOWN

ICICIBANK 315.65 311.3 306.95 321.7 327.75 317.35 305.08 UP

ICICIPRULI 325.5 317.25 309 331.4 337.3 323.15 390.89 DOWN

ICIL 65.15 64.17 63.18 66.77 68.38 65.78 85.37 DOWN

IDBI 59.45 58.48 57.52 60.08 60.72 59.12 62.98 DOWN

IDEA 36.95 36.35 35.75 37.55 38.15 36.95 64.52 DOWN

IDFC 35.35 34.53 33.72 35.88 36.42 35.07 50.05 DOWN

IDFCBANK 33.35 32.82 32.28 34.07 34.78 33.53 45.58 DOWN

IFCI 12.6 12.33 12.07 12.83 13.07 12.57 19.02 DOWN

IGL 250.45 246.77 243.08 255.42 260.38 251.73 280.04 DOWN

INDIACEM 81.7 80.05 78.4 83.25 84.8 81.6 131.96 DOWN

INDIANB 222.3 215.93 209.57 226.73 231.17 220.37 320.67 DOWN

INDIGO 870.1 855.55 841 889.1 908.1 874.55 1140.53 DOWN

INDUSINDBK 1445.8 1423.27 1400.73 1483.17 1520.53 1460.63 1817.29 DOWN

INFIBEAM 29.95 28.45 26.95 31.5 33.05 30 158.89 DOWN

INFRATEL 265 261.75 258.5 268.35 271.7 265.1 309.97 DOWN

INFY 633.6 626.1 618.6 644.9 656.2 637.4 627.98 UP

IOC 137.65 135.2 132.75 140 142.35 137.55 168.23 DOWN

IRB 122.2 118.67 115.13 124.47 126.73 120.93 212.17 DOWN

ITC 280.9 274.67 268.43 288.47 296.03 282.23 278.73 UP

JETAIRWAYS 217.1 211.72 206.33 225.87 234.63 220.48 475.73 DOWN

JINDALSTEL 161.1 157.18 153.27 164.83 168.57 160.92 228.34 DOWN

JISLJALEQS 67.8 65.07 62.33 69.57 71.33 66.83 98.91 DOWN

JPASSOCIAT 5.85 5.68 5.52 6.08 6.32 5.92 15.64 DOWN

JSWENERGY 64 62.57 61.13 65.07 66.13 63.63 73.89 DOWN

JSWSTEEL 337.45 328.35 319.25 351.25 365.05 342.15 327.57 UP

JUBLFOOD 1055.55 994.53 933.52 1099.03 1142.52 1038.02 1242.44 DOWN

JUSTDIAL 436.85 419.9 402.95 454.9 472.95 437.95 508.41 DOWN

KOTAKBANK 1158.6 1142.93 1127.27 1183.63 1208.67 1167.97 1196.21 DOWN

KPIT 218.8 210.6 202.4 223.5 228.2 215.3 249.8 DOWN

KSCL 461 448.72 436.43 476.92 492.83 464.63 538.13 DOWN

KTKBANK 96.1 94.4 92.7 97.55 99 95.85 121.03 DOWN

L&TFH 117.9 115.75 113.6 120 122.1 117.85 162.36 DOWN

LICHSGFIN 405.5 401.07 396.63 408.97 412.43 404.53 507.66 DOWN

LT 1197.45 1188.17 1178.88 1209.87 1222.28 1200.58 1318.54 DOWN

LUPIN 855.15 841.67 828.18 865.57 875.98 852.08 841.82 UP

M&M 728.2 720 711.8 739.1 750 730.9 839.12 DOWN

M&MFIN 389.95 373.15 356.35 406.25 422.55 389.45 462.94 DOWN

MANAPPURAM 72.95 71.42 69.88 74.17 75.38 72.63 104.24 DOWN

MARICO 300.35 296.83 293.32 303.03 305.72 299.52 328.56 DOWN

MARUTI 6717.3 6546.53 6375.77 6841.53 6965.77 6670.77 8789.86 DOWN

MCDOWELL-N 518.05 509.17 500.28 532.87 547.68 523.98 632.76 DOWN

MCX 724.4 685.27 646.13 755.77 787.13 716.63 785.04 DOWN

MGL 814.6 803.08 791.57 825.08 835.57 813.57 905.79 DOWN

MOTHERSUMI 225.95 222.32 218.68 231.67 237.38 228.03 314.26 DOWN

MRF 63056.15 61340.93 59625.71 64096.43 65136.71 62381.21 72558.71 DOWN

MRPL 81.35 79.43 77.52 83.33 85.32 81.42 97.76 DOWN

MUTHOOTFIN 398.75 390.45 382.15 403.6 408.45 395.3 411.36 DOWN

NATIONALUM 67.5 65.58 63.67 68.63 69.77 66.72 70.23 DOWN

NBCC 51.75 50.25 48.75 53.8 55.85 52.3 87.08 DOWN

NCC 66.85 64.3 61.75 68.35 69.85 65.8 107.59 DOWN

NMDC 106.3 103.77 101.23 109.12 111.93 106.58 118.69 DOWN

NTPC 159.3 155.98 152.67 161.43 163.57 158.12 165.06 DOWN

OIL 200.15 195.4 190.65 203.45 206.75 198.7 220.89 DOWN

ONGC 151.8 148.7 145.6 155.85 159.9 152.75 175.75 DOWN

ORIENTBANK 65.95 64.03 62.12 67.33 68.72 65.42 86.9 DOWN

PCJEWELLER 49.35 46.55 43.75 52.45 55.55 49.65 217.52 DOWN

PEL 1924.35 1833.93 1743.52 1975.73 2027.12 1885.32 2578.93 DOWN

PETRONET 217.9 212.27 206.63 221.17 224.43 215.53 228.58 DOWN

PFC 84.25 82.07 79.88 85.72 87.18 83.53 88.63 DOWN

PIDILITIND 936.3 922.57 908.83 945.52 954.73 931.78 1021.24 DOWN

PNB 66.15 65.18 64.22 67.18 68.22 66.22 97.61 DOWN

POWERGRID 188.4 187.13 185.87 190.33 192.27 189.07 195.19 DOWN

PTC 75.75 74.17 72.58 76.82 77.88 75.23 87.74 DOWN

PVR 1295.1 1251.4 1207.7 1329.4 1363.7 1285.7 1330.21 DOWN

RAMCOCEM 561.3 552.13 542.97 574.33 587.37 565.17 723.65 DOWN

RAYMOND 692.2 641.63 591.07 722.63 753.07 672.07 914.88 DOWN

RBLBANK 498.9 487.7 476.5 508.7 518.5 497.5 528.8 DOWN

RCOM 10 9.73 9.47 10.33 10.67 10.07 19.03 DOWN

RECLTD 107 104.6 102.2 108.5 110 106.1 121.56 DOWN

RELCAPITAL 224.2 219.2 214.2 231.6 239 226.6 416.72 DOWN

RELIANCE 1044.9 1025.6 1006.3 1060.6 1076.3 1041.3 1027.53 UP

RELINFRA 331.7 325.62 319.53 339.77 347.83 333.68 424.76 DOWN

REPCOHOME 331.3 316.72 302.13 344.82 358.33 330.23 563.48 DOWN

RPOWER 27.4 26.87 26.33 27.97 28.53 27.43 36.81 DOWN

SAIL 63.2 62 60.8 64.2 65.2 63 78.43 DOWN

SBIN 248.1 246.17 244.23 251.27 254.43 249.33 272.53 DOWN

SHREECEM 13568.85 13373.18 13177.52 13802.98 14037.12 13607.32 16843.01 DOWN

SIEMENS 865.75 853.77 841.78 884.02 902.28 872.03 1064.27 DOWN

SOUTHBANK 13.3 13.03 12.77 13.58 13.87 13.32 22.75 DOWN

SREINFRA 28.4 27.22 26.03 29.62 30.83 28.43 68.77 DOWN

SRF 1791.55 1738.4 1685.25 1822.35 1853.15 1769.2 1898.39 DOWN

SRTRANSFIN 1071.75 1037.2 1002.65 1110.1 1148.45 1075.55 1360.63 DOWN

STAR 399.6 390.85 382.1 407.65 415.7 398.9 540.13 DOWN

SUNPHARMA 554.05 548.87 543.68 560.37 566.68 555.18 558.29 DOWN

SUNTV 620.1 602.58 585.07 636.53 652.97 619.02 845.61 DOWN

SUZLON 6.05 5.85 5.65 6.2 6.35 6 9.63 DOWN

SYNDIBANK 31.2 30.67 30.13 31.72 32.23 31.18 50.1 DOWN

TATACHEM 671 657.33 643.67 679.83 688.67 666.17 712.18 DOWN

TATACOMM 446.45 435.1 423.75 458.4 470.35 447.05 591.8 DOWN

TATAELXSI 967.1 935.3 903.5 987.45 1007.8 955.65 1184.22 DOWN

TATAGLOBAL 217.6 214.57 211.53 221.82 226.03 218.78 261.5 DOWN

TATAMOTORS 168.5 165.33 162.17 172.23 175.97 169.07 305.83 DOWN

TATAMTRDVR 91.2 89.92 88.63 93.42 95.63 92.13 172.91 DOWN

TATAPOWER 68.9 67.68 66.47 70.43 71.97 69.22 78.84 DOWN

TATASTEEL 551.55 541.23 530.92 561.73 571.92 551.42 603.58 DOWN

TCS 1799.1 1775.5 1751.9 1838.3 1877.5 1814.7 1761.15 UP

TECHM 653.3 643.5 633.7 660 666.7 650.2 661.35 DOWN

TITAN 806.9 789.03 771.17 822.38 837.87 804.52 878.02 DOWN

TV18BRDCST 36.95 36.2 35.45 37.85 38.75 37.1 53.67 DOWN

TVSMOTOR 525.45 516.77 508.08 531.67 537.88 522.98 605.91 DOWN

UBL 1114.75 1089.65 1064.55 1156.2 1197.65 1131.1 1160.55 DOWN

UJJIVAN 181 165.67 150.33 197.17 213.33 181.83 360.54 DOWN

ULTRACEMCO 3386.7 3319.33 3251.97 3426.73 3466.77 3359.37 4025.46 DOWN

UNIONBANK 62.15 60.93 59.72 63.68 65.22 62.47 94.07 DOWN

VEDL 203.65 199.28 194.92 207.73 211.82 203.37 264.66 DOWN

VGUARD 174.85 171.4 167.95 177.9 180.95 174.45 215.31 DOWN

VOLTAS 506.95 497 487.05 523.45 539.95 513.5 582.24 DOWN

WIPRO 320.6 316.9 313.2 323.4 326.2 319.7 290.6 UP

WOCKPHARMA 446.3 434.6 422.9 460.85 475.4 449.15 696.62 DOWN

YESBANK 180.7 168.98 157.27 192.03 203.37 180.32 325.58 DOWN

ZEEL 421.7 414 406.3 431.25 440.8 423.55 542.08 DOWN



Comfort ‘Forecast and Analysis’

Forecast and Analysis is a daily newsletter that provides technical update on all the major instruments of the world like Gold, Silver, Crude Oil, US Dollar Index and USD/INR. We define their support and resistance levels and attempt to forecast their movement with a short / medium term perspective. Also in the report, a trader will find bias for the mentioned instruments.

This newsletter is also quite popular with a market participant who loves to have insight & theme on MCX Gold, MCX Silver as well MCX Crude-Oil.

Forecast and Analysis

Instrument TRADING STRATEGYLTP S1 S2 R1 R2 Bias


MCX GOLD

MCX SILVER

MCX CRUDE OIL

MCX COPPER

MCX NATURAL GAS

USD-INR

Forecast and Analysis …Direction at a glance



Gold price traded rangebound in Friday's trade. Key medium term suppport seen at 31201 mark. Interweek strategy: Establish long positions between 31751-31801 zone, targeting 32451 mark and then aggressive targets at 32851-32901 with stop at 31501.

Silver prices traded listless in Friday's trade. Interweek strategy: Establish long positions between 38455-38501 zone, targeting 39651 mark and then aggressive targets at 39901-40000 zone with stop at 38251.

Crude-oil prices inched up in Friday's trade. Confirmation of strength only above 5051. Interweek strategy: Establish long positions at CMP, targeting 5051 zone and then aggressive targets at 5369 with stop at 4721.

Copper prices were seen trading rangebound in Friday's trade with slight negative bias. Interweek strategy: Establish long positions only above 457, targeting 465 mark and then at 479 with stop at 433.

Natural Gas prices itraded subdued in Friday's trading action amidst profit booking. Interweek strategy: Establish long positions only on any sharp declines between 221-225 zone, targeting 241 and then aggressive targets at 249-251 zone with stop at 213.

Key support now at 71.75. Intermonth strategy: Buy between 72-72.50 zone, targeting 75 and then aggressive targets at 77 with strict stop below 71.45.

31932 31501 31201 32451 32901 Neutral

38729 38455 37201 39650 40001 Neutral

7953 4775 4501 5051 5389 Positive

445 443 425 457 479 Neutral

232.50 227.45 215.00 245.00 251.00 Positive

73.46 71.75 70.00 75.00 77.00 Positive

Crude-Oil prices end higher on Friday amidst worries about global supply levels and conflicting comments from Saudi Arabia’s energy minister.

Instrument TRADING STRATEGYLTP S1 S2 R1 R2


GOLD $

SILVER ($)

WTI CRUDE OIL ($ )

EUR/USD

Forecast and Analysis …Sailing global trend

Bias

DOW JONES

US Dollar Index



Wall Street finishes lower in Friday's trade as S&P 500, Dow turn negative for 2018.

Gold prices were seen trading with positive bias in Friday's trade. Hurdles now seen at 1245. Confirmation of major strength only above 1245. Interweek Strategy: Sell at CMP, targeting 1207 and then at 1189-1191 zone with stop above 1247.

Silver prices traded with positive bias in Thursday's trade tracking gains in yellow metal. Hurdles now seen at 15.45. Confirmation of major strength only above 15.45.

Crude-oil prices witnessed value buying in Fridayy's trade. Inerweek strategy: Establish long positions at CMP, targeting 70.50 zone and then 72.50-75 zone with stop at 62.50.

We have a negative bias on EUR/USD. Major weakness seen only below 1.1351. Selling on strength should be preferred strategy.

We have positive bias for US Dollar Index. Hurdles at 97.50. Aggressive upside targets seen at 99. Downside well supported at 92.50. Major weakness now only below 92.50.

Wall Street ended lower on Friday with the S&P 500 and the Dow Jones turning red for the year. In last week's trade, the Dow was down 3%, the S&P 500 3.9% and the Nasdaq was down 3.8% while for the month of October so far, the S&P has lost 8.8%, the Dow is down 6.7%, and the Nasdaq has shed 11%. Dow faces major hurdles at 27200.

1235 1207 1189 1245 1261 Neutral

14.67 14.21 13.75 15.45 16.09 Neutral

67.62 65 62.5 70.5 75 Neutral

1.1404 1.1351 1.1100 1.1745 1.1900 Negative

96.32 94.45 92.50 97.50 99.00 Positive

24688 24445 23751 26001 27200 Neutral


DAILY PIVOT TABLE



CommodityExchange Close S1 S2 R1 R2200 Day

SMA Reversal

Point Trend

MCX ALUMINUM

MCX CARDAMOM

NCDEX CASTOR

NCDEX CHANA

MCX COPPER

MCX COTTON

MCX CRUDE-OIL

MCX GOLD

NCDEX GAUR GUM

NCDEX GAUR SEED

NCDEX JEERA

MCX LEAD

MCX MENTHA OIL

MCX NATURAL GAS

MCX NICKLE

NCDEX RM SEED

MCX SILVER

NCDEX SUGAR

NCDEX SOYA BEAN

MCX ZINC

145.25 144 142.75 146.1 146.95 145.93 149.35 DOWN

1422.5 1422 1421.5 1423 1423.5 1120.26 1406.75 DOWN

5486 5451.33 5416.67 5529.33 5572.67 4323.41 5304 UP

3952 3928.33 3904.67 3987.33 4022.67 3831.7 4132 UP

444.7 441.73 438.77 446.58 448.47 445.78 460.95 DOWN

23140 23073.33 23006.67 23233.33 23326.67 21663.35 22630 DOWN

4951 4886 4821 4998 5045 4597.71 5198 UP

31937 31821 31705 32133 32329 30614.58 31568 DOWN

10315 10213.33 10111.67 10463.33 10611.67 8954.04 9760 UP

4713.5 4678.5 4643.5 4765 4816.5 4164.85 4522 UP

19570 19400 19230 19770 19970 17484.67 19475 UP

145.3 144.68 144.07 146.13 146.97 155.57 143.1 UP

1780.1 1770.17 1760.23 1795.77 1811.43 1471.78 1724.7 UP

233.7 229.43 225.17 236.13 238.57 195.91 227.2 UP

864.2 853.8 843.4 882.3 900.4 926.92 921.5 UP

4196 4170 4144 4226 4256 4039.52 4118 DOWN

38712 38520 38328 38955 39198 38757.55 38153 UP

3050 3050 3050 3050 3050 3614.83 3015 UP

3270 3242.67 3215.33 3306.67 3343.33 3511.6 3139 UP

198.45 196.25 194.05 199.7 200.95 200.9 192.1 UP



DISCLAIMER: This is solely for information of clients of Comfort Securities Ltd. and does not construe to be an investment advice. It is also not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase and sale of any financial instruments. Any action taken by you on the basis of the information contained herein is your responsibility alone and Comfort Securities Ltd. its subsidiaries or its employees or associates will not be liable in any manner for the consequences of such action taken by you. We have exercised due diligence in checking the correctness and authenticity of the information contained in this recommendation, but Comfort Securities Ltd. or any of its subsidiaries or associates or employees shall not be in any way responsible for any loss or damage that may arise to any person from any inadvertent error in the information contained in this recommendation or any action taken on basis of this information.

Technical analysis studies market psychology, price patterns and volume levels. It is used to forecast future price and market movements. Technical analysis is complementary to fundamental analysis and news sources. The recommendations issued herewith might be contrary to recommendations issued by Comfort Securities Ltd. in the company research undertaken as the recommendations stated in this report is derived purely from technical analysis. Comfort Securities Ltd. has based this document on information obtained from sources it believes to be reliable but which it has not independently verified; Comfort Securities Ltd. makes no guarantee, representation or warranty and accepts no responsibility or liability as to its accuracy or completeness. The opinions contained within the report are based upon publicly available information at the time of publication and are subject to change without notice. The information and any disclosures provided herein are in summary form and have been prepared for informational purposes. The recommendations and suggested price levels are intended purely for trading purposes. The recommendations are valid for the day of the report however trading trends and volumes might vary substantially on an intraday basis and the recommendations may be subject to change. The information and any disclosures provided herein may be considered confidential. Any use, distribution, modification, copying, forwarding or disclosure by any person is strictly prohibited. The information and any disclosures provided herein do not constitute a solicitation or offer to purchase or sell any security or other financial product or instrument. The current performance may be unaudited. Past performance does not guarantee future returns. There can be no assurance that investments will achieve any targeted rates of return, and there is no guarantee against the loss of your entire investment.

POTENTIAL CONFLICT OF INTEREST DISCLOSURE (as on date of report)Disclosure of interest statement – • Analyst interest of the stock /Instrument(s): - No. • Firm interest of the stock / Instrument (s): - No.

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