colorado center for astrodynamics research the university of colorado 1 commercial space in context...
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Colorado Center for Astrodynamics Research The University of Colorado 3 Who? And others who you might be less familiar withTRANSCRIPT
Colorado Center for Astrodynamics Research The University of Colorado 1
Commercial Space in Context
Presentation to: ESIL-01
Colorado Center for Astrodynamics Research The University of Colorado 2
Who?
Some you might have heard of:
Colorado Center for Astrodynamics Research The University of Colorado 3
Who?
And others who you might be less familiar with
Colorado Center for Astrodynamics Research The University of Colorado 4
Background: Commercial Space• Orbital Launch
– ULA, SpaceX, ILS, Arianespace, Sea Launch, Orbital Sciences • Spacecraft construction
– SS/L, Lockheed, Boeing, Orbital, Ball, EADS, …• Remote Sensing
– GeoEYE, Digital Globe, …• LEO Communications
– Iridium, OrbComm, …• GEO Communications
– SES, Intelsat, Inmarsat, Hughes, PanAmSat, …
Colorado Center for Astrodynamics Research The University of Colorado 5
Background: Commercial Space
• Why commercial space?
Colorado Center for Astrodynamics Research The University of Colorado 6
Background: Commercial Space
Credit: The Space Report. © The Space Foundation
Colorado Center for Astrodynamics Research The University of Colorado 7
Commercial Infrastructure
Credit: The Space Report. © The Space Foundation
Customer RevenueCommercial $5.14 B
Government $16.15 B
Ground equipment includes:
Network ground control stations
End-user consumer equipment:TV dishes, satellite radios, GPS devices, satellite phones
25% U.S Government Space Budgets
($64.42 B)
<1% Commercial Space Transportation
Services ($0.08B)
35% Commercial Satel-lite Services ($90.58B)
<1% Infrastructure Support Industries
($1.15B)
32% Com-mercial Infra-
structure ($83.63B)
8% International Governments Space Budgets ($21.75B)
Global Space Activity
Colorado Center for Astrodynamics Research The University of Colorado 8
Infrastructure and Support Industries
25% U.S Government Space Budgets
($64.42 B)<1% Commercial
Space Transporta-tion Services
($0.08B)
35% Commercial Satellite Services
($90.58B)
<1% Infrastructure Support Industries
($1.15B)
32% Commercial Infrastructure
($83.63B)
8% International Governments Space Budgets ($21.75B)
Global Space Activity
Category ExpendituresInsurance Premiums $965 M
IR&D $187 M
Total $1.152 B
Credit: The Space Report. © The Space Foundation
Colorado Center for Astrodynamics Research The University of Colorado 9
Commercial Satellite Services
25% U.S Government Space Budgets
($64.42 B)
<1% Commercial Space Transportation
Services ($0.08B)
35% Commercial Satel-lite Services ($90.58B)
<1% Infrastructure Support Industries
($1.15B)
32% Com-mercial Infra-
structure ($83.63B)
8% International Governments Space Budgets ($21.75B)
Global Space Activity
Credit: The Space Report. © The Space Foundation
Company 2009 Estimated Revenue
DIRECTV $20.00 B
DISH Network $12.86 B
TOTAL $32.86 B
Category 2009 Revenue Estimate
Data Sales $1.00 B
Value-added services $0.95 B
Total $2.05 B
Colorado Center for Astrodynamics Research The University of Colorado 10
Commercial Space Transportation Services
25% U.S Government Space Budgets
($64.42 B)<1% Commercial
Space Transporta-tion Services
($0.08B)
35% Commercial Satellite Services
($90.58B)
<1% Infrastructure Support Industries
($1.15B)
32% Commercial Infrastructure
($83.63B)
8% International Governments Space Budgets ($21.75B)
Global Space Activity
Suborbital• Excess of $40 M held in
deposits from over 450 customers
Orbital• $20M-35M/seat• 7 customers (8 total flights)• Commercial Crew Providers?
Colorado Center for Astrodynamics Research The University of Colorado 11
U.S. Government Space Budgets
25% U.S Government Space Budgets
($64.42 B)<1% Commercial
Space Transporta-tion Services
($0.08B)
35% Commercial Satellite Services
($90.58B)
<1% Infrastructure Support Industries
($1.15B)
32% Commercial Infrastructure
($83.63B)
8% International Governments Space Budgets ($21.75B)
Global Space Activity
Colorado Center for Astrodynamics Research The University of Colorado 12
International Governments
25% U.S Government Space Budgets
($64.42 B)
<1% Commercial Space Transportation
Services ($0.08B)
35% Commercial Satel-lite Services ($90.58B)
<1% Infrastructure Support Industries
($1.15B)
32% Com-mercial Infra-
structure ($83.63B)
8% International Governments Space Budgets ($21.75B)
Global Space Activity
2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021$0
$100
$200
$300
$400
$500
$600
Estim
ated
Wor
ldw
ide
Rev
enue
s (in
US$
bill
ions
)
Historical Projected
13
Space Industry Budgets and Revenues, 2006-2021
Government budgets are primarily (~85%) government prime contractorsLikely flat ($90B) due to austerity and budget reduction measures
Satellite Services expects steady growth of about 9% per year from $196B in; television and radio, mobile telephony and data, fixed services, broadband, private networks, transponder agreements, and remote sensing. Does not include value added services associated with GPS and remote sensing.
Satellite manufacturing orders expected to remain steady, averaging $12B per year
Orbital launches about $2B per year, includes commercial ISS launches
New space revenue about $1-$1.5 B per year through 2015
Proprietary
Colorado Center for Astrodynamics Research The University of Colorado 14
CST in context
$4 Trillion $276 Billion $168
Billion
$153 Billion
$4.3 Billion$10.8
Billion
Telecommunications Industry
Space Industry
Services & Ground Equipment
Satellite Manufacturing
Satellite Industry
Launch Industry
Sources: TIA, SIA and The Space Report
Colorado Center for Astrodynamics Research The University of Colorado 15
Demand
Colorado Center for Astrodynamics Research The University of Colorado 16
Demand?
Colorado Center for Astrodynamics Research The University of Colorado 17
Demand?
Colorado Center for Astrodynamics Research The University of Colorado 18
Demand?
Colorado Center for Astrodynamics Research The University of Colorado 19
Conclusions
• Significant opportunities• High barriers result in need for:
– Creativity– Discipline– Market focus
• Space provides:– Environmental access– Point-to-multi-point comm. (a high tower)– Infrastructure (signal vs infrastructure)
Colorado Center for Astrodynamics Research The University of Colorado 20
Questions?
Colorado Center for Astrodynamics Research The University of Colorado 21
25% U.S Government Space Budgets
($64.42 B)
<1% Commercial Space Transportation
Services ($0.08B)
35% Commercial Sa-tellite Services
($90.58B)
<1% Infrastructure Support Industries
($1.15B)
32% Commercial In-frastructure ($83.63B)
8% International Governments Space Budgets ($21.75B)
Global Space Activity